The Use of Data Envelopment Analysis as Equity Portfolio Selection Criterion in the Finnish Stock Market

This thesis examines the application of data envelopment analysis as an equity portfolio selection criterion in the Finnish stock market during period 2001-2011. A sample of publicly traded firms in the Helsinki Stock Exchange is examined in this thesis. The sample covers the majority of the publicly traded firms in the Helsinki Stock Exchange. Data envelopment analysis is used to determine the efficiency of firms using a set of input and output financial parameters. The set of financial parameters consist of asset utilization, liquidity, capital structure, growth, valuation and profitability measures. The firms are divided into artificial industry categories, because of the industry-specific nature of the input and output parameters. Comparable portfolios are formed inside the industry category according to the efficiency scores given by the DEA and the performance of the portfolios is evaluated with several measures. The empirical evidence of this thesis suggests that with certain limitations, data envelopment analysis can successfully be used as portfolio selection criterion in the Finnish stock market when the portfolios are rebalanced at annual frequency according to the efficiency scores given by the data envelopment analysis. However, when the portfolios were rebalanced every two or three years, the results are mixed and inconclusive.

Innovation Project Portfolio Management

Companies today are forced to innovate in order to remain within business. Such innovation projects undertaken by the companies are defined in this study as creative ideas which have been managed through “Stage-Gate” innovation process. This process is used to manage innovation projects as they proceed from being newly created to ready for launching/implementing. This has ensured that the companies manage the innovation project right. However, with so many new creative ideas the companies can come up within limited resources, the companies must rely on Innovation Project Portfolio Management (IPPM) to ensure that they are managing only the right innovation projects. Although, there are many tools and techniques available for use within Project Portfolio Management, there is still no consensus on which are the most effective and no standard framework has been established especially for IPPM. Thus, this study proposes a practical framework for which individual innovative organization can follow as a guideline to manage its innovation project portfolio. The study theoretically first addresses the key differences between project portfolio management of innovation projects and other traditional projects - one of which is the stage nature of innovation projects due to their unclear objectives from the beginning compare to clearly established objectives of traditional projects. Secondly, different tools and techniques which can be used are examined based on the three goals of IPPM: (1) Maximizing the Value of Innovation Project Portfolio: Financial Methods, Decision Trees, Scoring Models and Checklists; (2) Balancing Innovation Project Portfolio: Visual Representations; and (3) Aligning Innovation Project Portfolio with Strategy: Bottom-Up (Scoring Models with Strategic Criteria) and Top-Down (Strategic Buckets). Finally, the two approaches in which IPPM can be integrated with Stage-Gate innovation process are discussed: (1) Gates- Dominated; and (2) Portfolio Reviews-Dominated. Practically, this study investigates IPPM of a case organization, and through analysis of the case study results proposes a practical framework for case organization to improve its current management of innovation project portfolio. This framework is then generalized to propose a final practical framework or guideline for which an innovative organization can follow to manage its innovation project portfolio.

Market anomalies and tactical asset allocation: Utilising market anomalies in multiple asset class portfolios with the Black−Litterman model

This thesis discusses the basic problem of the modern portfolio theory about how to optimise the perfect allocation for an investment portfolio. The theory provides a solution for an efficient portfolio, which minimises the risk of the portfolio with respect to the expected return. A central feature for all the portfolios on the efficient frontier is that the investor needs to provide the expected return for each asset. Market anomalies are persistent patterns seen in the financial markets, which cannot be explained with the current asset pricing theory. The goal of this thesis is to study whether these anomalies can be observed among different asset classes. Finally, if persistent patterns are found, it is investigated whether the anomalies hold valuable information for determining the expected returns used in the portfolio optimization Market anomalies and investment strategies based on them are studied with a rolling estimation window, where the return for the following period is always based on historical information. This is also crucial when rebalancing the portfolio. The anomalies investigated within this thesis are value, momentum, reversal, and idiosyncratic volatility. The research data includes price series of country level stock indices, government bonds, currencies, and commodities. The modern portfolio theory and the views given by the anomalies are combined by utilising the Black-Litterman model. This makes it possible to optimise the portfolio so that investor’s views are taken into account. When constructing the portfolios, the goal is to maximise the Sharpe ratio. Significance of the results is studied by assessing if the strategy yields excess returns in a relation to those explained by the threefactormodel. The most outstanding finding is that anomaly based factors include valuable information to enhance efficient portfolio diversification. When the highest Sharpe ratios for each asset class are picked from the test factors and applied to the Black−Litterman model, the final portfolio results in superior riskreturn combination. The highest Sharpe ratios are provided by momentum strategy for stocks and long-term reversal for the rest of the asset classes. Additionally, a strategy based on the value effect was highly appealing, and it basically performs as well as the previously mentioned Sharpe strategy. When studying the anomalies, it is found, that 12-month momentum is the strongest effect, especially for stock indices. In addition, a high idiosyncratic volatility seems to be positively correlated with country indices on stocks.

Stability Evaluation of a Paper Machine Wet End

Työssä analysoidaanprosessin vaikutusta paperikoneen stabiiliuteen. Kaksi modernia sanomalehtipaperikonetta analysoitiin ja sen perusteella molemmista prosesseista rakennettiin fysiikan lakeihin perustuvat simulointimallit APROS Paper simulointiohjelmistolla. Työn tavoitteena on selvittää, miten kyseisten koneiden prosessit eroavat toisistaan ja arvioida, miten havaitut erot vaikuttavat prosessien stabiiliuteen. Työssä tarkastellaan periodisten häiriöiden vaimenemista prosessissa. Simuloinnissa herätteenä käytettiin puhdasta valkoista kohinaa, jonka avulla eri taajuistenperiodisten häiriöiden vaimenemista analysoitiin. Prosessien häiriövasteet esitetään taajuuskoordinaatistossa. Suurimmat erot prosessien välillä löytyivät viirakaivosta ja sen sekoitusdynamiikasta. Perinteisen viirakaivon todettiin muistuttavan käyttäytymiseltään sarjaan kytkettyjä ideaalisekoittimia, kun taas pienempitilavuuksisen fluumin todettiin käyttäytyvän lähes kuin putkiviive. Vaikka erotprosessitilavuudessa sekä viirakaivon sekoitusdynamiikassa olivat hyvin selkeät, havaittiin vain marginaalinen ero prosessin välillä periodisten häiriöiden vaimenemisessa, koska erot viiraretentiotasoissa vaikuttivat eniten simulointituloksia. Matalammalla viiraretentiolla operoivan paperikoneen todettiin vaimentavan tehokkaammin prosessihäiriöitä. Samalla retentiotasolla pienempitilavuuksisen prosessin todettiin vaimentavan hitaita prosessihäiriöitä marginaalisesti paremmin. Tutkituista paperikoneista toisella simuloitiin viiraosan vedenpoistomuutoksenvaikutusta viiraretentioon ja paperin koostumukseen. Lisäksi arvioitiin viiraretention säädön toimivuutta. Viiraosan listakengän vedenpoiston todettiin aiheuttavan merkittäviä sakeus- ja retentiohäiriöitä, mikäli sen avulla poistettavan kiintoaineen virtaus tuplaantuisi. Viiraretention säädön todettiin estävän häiriöiden kierron prosessissa, mutta siirtävän ne suoraan rainaan. Retention säädön eikuitenkaan todettu olevan suoranainen häiriön lähde.

Role of ErbB2 and ErbB4 in Cancer Growth, Prognosis and as Targets for Immunotherapy

ErbB receptors (EGFR, ErbB2, ErbB3 and ErbB4) are growth factor receptors that regulate signals of cell differentiation, proliferation, migration and survival. Inappropriate activation of these receptors is associated with the development and severity of many cancers and has prognostic and predictive value in cancer therapy. Drugs, such as therapeutic antibodies, targeted against EGFR and ErbB2, are currently used in therapy of breast, colorectal and head and neck cancers. The role of ErbB4 in tumorigenesis has remained relatively poorly understood. Alternative splicing produces four different isoforms of one ErbB4 gene. These isoforms (JM-a, JM-b, CYT-1 and CYT-2) are functionally dissimilar and proposed to have different roles in carcinogenesis. The juxtamembrane form JM-a undergoes regulated intramembrane proteolysis producing a soluble receptor ectodomain and an intracellular domain that translocates into the nucleus and regulates transcription. Nuclear signaling via JM-a isoform stimulates cancer cell proliferation. This study aimed to develop antibodies targeting the proposed oncogenic ErbB4 JM-a isoform that show potential in inhibiting ErbB4 dependent tumorigenesis. Also, the clinical relevance of ErbB4 shedding in cancer was studied. The currently used monoclonal antibody trastuzumab, targeting ErbB2, has shown efficacy in breast cancer therapy. In this study novel tissues with ErbB2 amplification and trastuzumab sensitivity were analyzed. The results of this study indicated that a subpopulation of breast cancer patients demonstrate increased shedding and cleavage of ErbB4. A JM-a isoform-specific antibody that inhibited ErbB4 shedding and consequent activation of ErbB4 had anti-tumor activity both in vitro and in vivo. Thus, ErbB4 shedding associates with tumor growth and specific targeting of the cleavable JM-a isoform could be considered as a strategy for developing novel ErbB-based cancer drugs. In addition, it was demonstrated that ErbB2 amplification is common in intestinal type gastric cancers with poor clinical outcome. Trastuzumab inhibited growth of gastric and breast cancer cells with equal efficacy. Thus, ErbB2 may be a useful target in gastric cancer.

Velkaisuus-tunnuslukujen vaikutus suomalaisten pörssiyritysten suhteellisiin markkina-arvoihin subprime-kriisin aikana

Tutkimuksessa perehdyttiin subprime-kriisin vaikutuksiin ja tutkittiin velkaisuutta kuvaavien tunnuslukujen vaikutusta suomalaisten yritysten suhteellisiin markkina-arvoihin kriisin aikana. Tulosten ja muuttujien merkitsevyyttä ja selitysasteita käytiin läpi regressioanalyysin avulla ja sen jälkeen tunnuslukuja vertaillen. Tunnuslukujen vertailuarvojen perusteella muodostettiin sitten portfolioita. Pääomarakenteella voidaan normaalissa taloustilanteessa olettaa olevan vaikutusta yrityksen arvoon siten, että velkaantuneisuuden kasvaessa myös yrityksen markkina-arvo heikentyy, joka taas vaikuttaa osakekurssiin negatiivisesti. Tutkimuksessa testattiin kolmen eri tunnusluvun avulla (omavaraisuusaste, gearing, suhteellinen velkaantuneisuus), voidaanko tunnuslukujen avulla selittää suhteellisten markkina-arvojen muutosta. Regressioanalyysin tutkimustulosten perusteella omavaraisuusastetta ja gearingia voidaan pitää hyvinä tunnuslukuina kuvaamaan muutosta, mutta suhteellinen velkaantuneisuus ja kaikki tunnusluvut yhdessä eivät sovellu kuvaamaan muutoksia.

Pienahitsien staattisen kestävyyden mitoitus perinteisesti ja eri reunaehtoihin perustuvilla parannetuilla mitoitusmalleilla

Tässä tutkimuksessa oli tavoitteena tarkastella analyyttisen laskennan keinoin pienahitsin mitoittamista ja selvittää käytännön kokeissa havaittu a-mitasta poikkeavan vauriotason sijainti poikittain kuormitetuissa pienahitseissä. Perinteinen laskentamallin tarkastelu laa-jennettiin koskemaan mielivaltaisessa kulmassa olevaa laskentatasoa ja suurimman yhdistetyn jännityksen perusteella löydettiin kriittisin leikkaus tasakylkisessä hitsissä. Lisäksi tarkasteltiin voimatasapainon huomioon ottamista mitoituksessa ja luotiin kaksi eri mallia tämän pohjalta. Kolme teoreettisesti oikeampaa mitoitusmallia täydennettiin kattamaan myös erikylkiset hitsit ja todettiin, että kaikilla mitoitusmalleilla erikylkiset hitsit ovat tilavuudeltaan optimaalisempia verrattaessa samanlujuisiin tasakylkisiin hitseihin.

Content marketing and the significance of corporate branding

Tämän tutkielman tavoite on tutkia vahvan brandin merkitystä ja syitä, miksi yritykset käyttävät sisältömarkkinointia brandin rakentamisessa, sekä selvittää mitkä ovat yritysten sisältömarkkinointi-investointien tavoitteet, odotetut seuraukset ja koetut hyödyt ja tulokset. Teoriaosassa esitetään empiriaosaa varten tarvittava akateeminen taustatutkimustieto. Empiria on toteutettu puoli-struktroiduilla kahdenkeskisillä puhelinhaastatteuilla. Haastateltavina ovat työn toimeksiantajan Calcus Kustannus Oy:n viisi asiakasta. Näiden yritysten liikevaihto vaihtelee 23-75M€ välillä, ja yritykset toimivat pääosin suomen B2B yritysmarkkinoilla. Haastateltavat henkilöt ovat yrityksissä vastuussa markkinointipäätöksistä. Tulokset osoittavat, että vahvalla brandilla on erittäin suuri merkitys yrityksen kasvun ja menestyksen kannalta, ja että yritykset käyttävät sisältömarkkinointia brandin rakentamisessa, koska se kasvattaa brandipääomaa tehokkaasti. Sisältömarkkinoinnilla yritykset pyrkivät kasvttamaan heidän asiakkaidensa branditietoisuutta ja brandiuskollisuutta, sekä brandinsa uskottavuutta jakamalla aidosti kiinnostavaa ja lisäarvoa tuottavaa sisältöä. Lisäksi yrityksen asiantuntija-, sekä mielipidejohtajaroolin vahvistaminen koettiin erittäin tärkeäksi. Sisältömarkkinoinnin koetaan olevan brandin rakentamisessa tehokkaampaa kuin traditionaalinen markkinointi, minkä vuoksi yritykset tulevat kasvattamaan sen osuutta markkinointisuunnitelmissaan tulevaisuudessa.

Strategic narratives and competitive advantage : do winners speak differently?

Concepts, models, or theories that end up shaping practices, whether those practices fall in the domains of science, technology, social movements, or business, always emerge through a change in language use. First, communities begin to talk differently, incorporating new vocabularies (Rorty, 1989), in their narratives. Whether the community’s new narratives respond to perceived anomalies or failures of the existing ones (Kuhn, 1962) or actually reveal inadequacies by addressing previously unrecognized practices (Fleck, 1979; Rorty, 1989) is less important here than the very phenomena that they introduce differences. Then, if the new language proves to be useful, for example, because it helps the community solve a problem or create a possibility that existing narratives do not, the new narrative will begin circulating more broadly throughout the community. If other communities learn of the usefulness of these new narratives, and find them sufficiently persuasive, they may be compelled to test, modify, and eventually adopt them. Of primary importance is the idea that a new concept or narrative perceived as useful is more likely to be adopted. We can expect that business concepts emerge through a similar pattern. Concepts such as “competitive advantage,” “disruption,” and the “resource based view,” now broadly known and accepted, were each at some point first introduced by a community. This community experimented with the concepts they introduced and found them useful. The concept “competitive advantage,” for example, helped researchers better explain why some firm’s outperformed others and helped practitioners more clearly understand what choices to make to improve the profit and growth prospects of their firms. The benefits of using these terms compelled other communities to consider, apply, and eventually adopt them as well. Were these terms not viewed as useful, they would not likely have been adopted. This thesis attempts to observe and anticipate new business concepts that may be emerging. It does so by seeking to observe a community of business practitioners that are using different language and appear to be more successful than a similar community of practitioners that are have not yet begun using this different language as extensively. It argues that if the community that is adopting new types of narratives is perceived as being more successful, their success will attract the attention of other communities who may then seek to adopt the same narratives. Specifically, this thesis compares the narratives used by a set of firms that are considered to be performing well (called Winners) with those of set of less-successful peers (called Losers). It does so with the aim of addressing two questions: - How do the strategic narratives that circulate within “winning” companies and their leaders differ from those circulating within “losing” companies and their leaders? - Given the answer to the first question: what new business strategy concepts are likely to emerge in the business community at large? I expected to observe “winning” companies shifting their language, abandoning an older set of narratives for newer ones. However the analysis indicates a more interesting dynamic: “winning” companies adopt the same core narratives as their “losing” peers with equal frequency yet they go beyond these. Both “winners” and “losers” seem to pursue economies of scale, customer captivity, best practices, and securing preferential access to resources with similar vigor. But “winners” seem to go further, applying three additional narratives in their pursuits of competitive advantage. They speak of coordinating what is uncoordinated, adopting what this thesis calls “exchanging the role of guest for that of host,” and “forcing a two-front battle” more frequently than their “loser” peers. Since these “winning” companies are likely perceived as being more successful, the unique narratives they use are more likely to be emulated and adopted. Understanding in what ways winners speak differently, therefore, gives us a glimpse into the possible future evolution of business concepts.

Alhaisen volatiliteetin anomalia Suomen osakemarkkinoilla

Tutkielman tavoitteena on selvittää esiintyykö Suomen osakemarkkinoilla alhaisen volatiliteetin anomaliaa. Tutkielman tavoitteeseen vastataan työn empiirisessä osassa analysoimalla Suomen osakemarkkinoilla listattujen osakkeiden tuottoaikasarjoja. Tutkielmassa tarkastellaan myös finanssikriisin vaikutusta anomalian ilmenemiseen. Tutkimus sijoittuu aikavälille tammikuusta 2001 tammikuuhun 2015. Tutkielmassa muodostetaan portfolioita osakkeiden historiallisen volatiliteetin mukaan. Näiden portfolioiden menestymistä suhteessa markkinoihin arvioidaan absoluuttisten tuottojen, Sharpen luvun sekä Jensenin alfan avulla. Markkinaindekseinä käytetään OMXH CAP -indeksiä sekä tutkimusaineiston pohjalta muodostettua markkinaportfoliota. Kaikkein parhaimman absoluuttisen tuoton on saanut vuodesta 2001 vuoteen 2015 sijoittamalla keskiverron volatiliteetin osakkeisiin. Parhaan riskikorjatun tuoton on kuitenkin saavuttanut sijoittamalla alhaisen volatiliteetin osakkeisiin. Tutkielmassa löydetään todisteita alhaisen volatiliteetin anomalian esiintymisestä Suomen osakemarkkinoilla koko tutkimusaineisto huomioon ottaen. Tutkielman ehkä mielenkiintoisin löydös on kuitenkin huomio alhaisen volatiliteetin anomalian häviämisestä Suomen osakemarkkinoilta finanssikriisin jälkeen. Ennen finanssikriisiä esiintynyt erittäin vahva alhaisen volatiliteetin osakkeiden ylisuoriutuminen hävisi täysin finanssikriisin jälkeen. Toisin sanoen riskin ja tuoton suhde on kääntynyt päälaelleen finanssikriisin jälkeen, eikä alhaisen volatiliteetin anomaliaa voida enää sanoa esiintyvän.

Measuring Brand Equity and Analyzing Its Relationship with Key Marketing Mix Elements

The aim of this paper is to analyze the effect of price and advertising on brand equity. The dimensionality of brand equity is thoroughly examined, and the effect price, price deals, perceived advertising spending and advertising appeal have on the dimensions of brand equity are analyzed using multiple regression analysis as well as other supporting analyses. Price and advertising are found to be of great importance to brand equity. Arguably the most influential finding is the strong positive effect low prices – an integral brand element – have on the case company brand equity, even though a negative effect was hypothesized based on prior research. The results also support separating advertising appeal from perceived advertising spending, as well as linking service quality as part of the overall perceived quality in the context of service-intensive firms.

Observations of Industry Momentum Effect in European Equity Indices

This thesis examines the existence and nature of momentum effect in European equity indices. A set of predefined indicators is used to compose momentum portfolios and different holding periods are used to test the strategies over variable time periods as well as under different economical conditions. The data consists of daily closing prices of STOXX Europe 600 index and its 18 super sector indices. Over the study period we follow the performances of a long position in the Winner portfolio, a position in the market neutral zero-cost portfolio and also a position in the risk-controlled zero-cost portfolio. The investment ratio of the risk-controlled zero-cost portfolio is negatively correlated with the realized market volatility. The results show that momentum effect is present in European industries and is most prominent in the short-term. Indicators that are based on short-term performance tend predict the over- and underperformers for the 1-month holding period more reliably than any other indicator/holding period combination. The examination of the strategies under different economical conditions shows that the market neutral approach can create significant returns in times of recession but in times of economic boom the long position in Winner portfolio outperforms the market neutral portfolio by an extensive margin.

Performance of active portfolio management and the effect of stock market trend

Purpose of the study is to evaluate performance of active portfolio management and the effect of stock market trend on the performance. Theory of efficient markets states that market prices reflect all available information and that all investors share a common view of future price developments. This view gives little room for the success of active management, but the theory has been disputed – at least the level of efficiency. Behavioral finance has developed theories that identify irrational behavior patterns of investors. For example, investment decisions are not made independent of past market developments. These findings give reason to believe that also the performance of active portfolio management may depend on market developments. Performance of 16 Finnish equity funds is evaluated during the period of 2005 to 2011. In addition two sub periods are constructed, a bull market period and a bear market period. The sub periods are created by joining together the two bull market phases and the two bear market phases of the whole period. This allows for the comparison of the two different market states. Performance of the funds is measured with risk-adjusted performance by Modigliani and Modigliani (1997), abnormal return over the CAPM by Jensen (1968), and market timing by Henriksson and Merton (1981). The results suggested that in average the funds are not able to outperform the market portfolio. However, the underperformance was found to be lower than the management fees in average which suggests that portfolio managers are able to do successful investment decisions to some extent. The study revealed substantial dependence on the market trend for all of the measures. The risk-adjusted performance measure suggested that in bear markets active portfolio managers in average are able to beat the market portfolio but not in bull markets. Jensen´s alpha and the market timing model also showed striking differences between the two market states. The results of these two measures were, however, somewhat problematic and reliable conclusions about the performance could not be drawn.

Review of investment strategy, portfolio management, and scorecard based portfolio selection tool for direct property investments in Finland

The lack of research of private real estate is a well-known problem. Earlier studies have mostly concentrated on the USA or the UK. Therefore, this master thesis offers more information about the performance and risk associated with private real estate investments in Nordic countries, but especially in Finland. The structure of this master thesis is divided into two independent sections based on the research questions. In first section, database analysis is performed to assess risk-return ratio of direct real estate investment for Nordic countries. Risk-return ratios are also assessed for different property sectors and economic regions. Finally, review of diversification strategies based on property sectors and economic regions is performed. However, standard deviation itself is not usually sufficient method to evaluate riskiness of private real estate. There is demand for more explicit assessment of property risk. One solution is property risk scoring. In second section risk scorecard based tool is built to make different real estate comparable in terms of risk. In order to do this, nine real estate professionals were interviewed to enhance the structure of theory-based risk scorecard and to assess weights for different risk factors.