Basel 2:n vaikutukset pk-yritysten rahoituspäätöksiin

Maailmantalouden globalisoitumisen myötä riskienhallinan rooli erityisesti rahoitusmarkkinoilla on korostunut entisestään. Pankeille on säädetty vakavaraisuusvaatimuksia, joita noudattamalla pyritään rahoitus-markkinoiden vakauden ja läpinäkyvyyden edistämiseen. Tämän tutkimuksen tarkoituksena on selvittää minkälaisia vaikutuksia pankkien uudella vakavaraisuussäädöksellä, Basel 2, on suomalaisten pk-yritysten rahoituspäätöksiin. Aiheesta ei ole vielä Suomessa tehty vastaavanlaista empiiristä tutkimuksesta. Tämä tutkimus on tehty yhteistyössä Elinkeinoelämän keskusliiton kanssa. Tuloksia analysoitiin erilaisten oletushypoteesien mukaan. Kokonaisuudessaan Basel 2:n odotetaan näkyvän yrityksissä kiristyneinä lainaehtoina. Tulosten mukaan noin joka viides yritys raportoi lainaehtojensa kiristyneen viimeisen kahden vuoden aikana. Vakuuksien vaatimus sekä luoton riskiperusteinen hinnoittelu olivat myös lisääntyneet merkittävästi. Lisäksi tutkimuksessa saatiin myös yllättäviä tuloksia esimerkiksi perheyritysten vaikutusten kohdalla. Tuloksissa on pyritty ottamaan huomioon markkinahäiriön aiheuttamat vaikutukset.

Creating and implementing a financial management process to an international company

The objectives of this thesis areto identify the best elements from Information Technology Infrastructure Library financial management for an international company. The elements need to be customized to fit existing elements and the thesis needs to provide implementation proposal. The new IT financial management needs to improve cost visibility and bring benefits to the company. In order to find the best elements for IT financial management, there needs to be a research to discover the companys business needs. The ITIL library is used to find answers and solutions to the companys issues in IT financial management. Other IT frameworks can and will be used as well, if they are able to work with ITIL model. ITIL consists from budgeting, accounting and charging in IT financial management, which all needs to be investigated. In addition more ITIL elements such as contract management and supplier management can be used, in order to make IT financial management work better.

Kansainvälisten tilinpäätösstandardien ja vakavaraisuussäännöstön vaikutukset Suomessa toimivien vähittäispankkien vakavaraisuuteen laskusuhdanteessa

Globaalin rahoituskriisin myötä pankkien vakavaraisuus on noussut yleisen kiinnostuksen kohteeksi. Pankkien toimintaa säädellään tarkasti ja kriisin esille nostamien ongelmakohtien perusteella säännöksiin ollaan edelleen tekemässä muutoksia. Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena on selvittää minkälaiset vaikutukset kansainvälisillä tilinpäätösstandardeilla, IFRS, ja uudistetulle vakavaraisuussäännöstöllä, Basel 2, on pankkien vakavaraisuuteen laskusuhdanteessa. Tutkimus toteutettiin tutkimalla viiden Suomessa toimivan pankin raportointia. Tutkimuksen tuloksena nousi esille suurimpana vakavaraisuuteen vaikuttavana tekijänä Basel 2:n käyttöönotto. Tämän lisäksi pankkien kasvanut luottoriski, lisääntyneet arvonalentumiskirjaukset lainoista ja muista saamisista sekä käyvän arvon käsittelyn aiheuttamat alaskirjaukset vaikuttivat tutkimusproposition mukaisesti pankkien vakavaraisuuteen, mutta pankkien väliltä löytyi merkittäviä eroja.

Challenges for Finnish companies in doing business in Russia

The purpose of this study was to define the key challenges for Finnish companies in doing business in Russia. The study consists of a theoretical and an empirical part and is conducted as a quantitative study. The theoretical framework was build around capital structure, cost of capital and emerging market theories. The findings suggest that the firms in the sample seek growth mainly from emerging markets. These research results also indicate that challenges are visible in emerging market environment. Challenges that companies are facing in Russian market are mainly connected with legislation, communication and language problems. In addition, companies’ profitability has changed during the financial crisis, which has been the main reason for the negative changes in companies’ profitability. Even though the financial crisis has had a strong effect on the worldwide economy, the firms in the sample are not postponing their investments to Russia, because of lack of new financing or unfavorable credit terms.

Tilinpäätösinformaation läpinäkyvyyden muutokset pohjoismaissa IFRS-standardeihin siirtymisen jälkeen

EU:n alueella julkisesti listatut yritykset siirtyivät käyttämään konsernitilinpäätöksissään IFRS standardeja vuodesta 2005 alkaen. Yhtenä syynä standardien käyttöönotolle oli lisääntynyt tarve tilinpäätösinformaation läpinäkyvyydelle. Tässä tutkimuksessa tutkitaan, onko listattujen pohjoismaisten yritysten tilinpäätösinformaation läpinäkyvyys parantunut IFRS standardeihin siirtymisen jälkeen. Tilinpäätösinformaation läpinäkyvyys koostuu oikea-aikaisuudesta ja tuloslaskelmapohjaisesta konservatiivisuudesta, jotka analysoidaan kvantitatiivisesti. Tilinpäätösinformaation läpinäkyvyys on parantunut, jos oikea-aikaisuus on kasvanut ja tuloslaskelmapohjainen konservatiivisuus madaltunut. Näin ei kuitenkaan ole käynyt analysoitavien ensimmäisten neljän vuoden aikana, eikä tasepohjaisen konservatiivisuuden todeta vaikuttaneen tuloksiin konservatiivisuuksien mittareiden negatiivisen korrelaation kautta. Tuloksiin voi vaikuttaa standardien käyttöönoton alkuvaikeudet sekä euroaluetta ja Yhdysvaltoja kohdannut rahoituskriisi tarkastelujakson loppu puolella.

Integration or a Greek tragedy?: How crisis spillovers affect Central and Eastern European States

Tutkielma siitä, miten Euroopan entisten sosialistivaltioiden markkinoiden integroituminen on edistynyt Kreikan ja EMU-alueen kanssa euron käyttöönoton ajalta. Tutkimus vertaa maiden markkinoiden reaktioita Kreikasta ja EMU-alueelta kantautuviin sokkeihin ennen ja jälkeen vuonna 2007 alkanutta kriisiä.

Basel III -implementointi: Empiirinen tutkimus

Tutkielman tavoitteena oli tarkastella, miten uusi Basel III -säännöstö implementoidaan pankkeihin. Käsittelyssä verrattiin Basel III -säännöstön tuomia muutoksia vielä voimassa olevaan Basel II -kehikkoon. Aiheeseen syvennyttiin muutoksen näkökulmasta tarkastelemalla muutoksen käyttöönottoa organisaatiossa. Lisäksi käytiin läpi sisäisen valvonnan roolia osana implementointiprosessia. Empiirisessä osiossa aihetta tarkasteltiin kohdefinanssiryhmän näkökulmasta. Aineistonhankintamenetelmänä käytettiin puolistrukturoitua haastattelua ja tutkimus sisältää piirteitä myös tapaustutkimuksesta. Basel III -säännöstö edellyttää pankeilta enemmän omia varoja suhteessa niiden riskipainotettuihin saamisiin. Tällä on tarkoitus vahvistaa pankkeja ja korjata Basel II -kehikon puutteita, jotka ilmenivät finanssikriisissä 2007–2009. Tarkasteltaessa muutosten vaikutuksia koko kohdefinanssiryhmään asettavat uudet likviditeettivaatimukset implementoinnille suurimmat haasteet, kun taas ryhmän pankit kiinnittävät huomiota enemmän talletushankintaan. Basel III -säännöstön implementoinnin vaatimat muutokset toteutetaan finanssiryhmässä vaiheittain ja eri viestintäkanavia hyödyntäen. Sisäinen valvonta varmistaa säännösten käyttöönoton ja noudattamisen.

Dynamic Hedging with Credit Default Swaps: Empirical Evidence from the European Monetary Union

This thesis investigates the effectiveness of time-varying hedging during the financial crisis of 2007 and the European Debt Crisis of 2010. In addition, the seven test economies are part of the European Monetary Union and these countries are in different economical states. Time-varying hedge ratio was constructed using conditional variances and correlations, which were created by using multivariate GARCH models. Here we have used three different underlying portfolios: national equity markets, government bond markets and the combination of these two. These underlying portfolios were hedged by using credit default swaps. Empirical part includes the in-sample and out-of-sample analysis, which are constructed by using constant and dynamic models. Moreover, almost in every case dynamic models outperform the constant ones in the determination of the hedge ratio. We could not find any statistically significant evidence to support the use of asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation model. In addition, our findings are in line with prior literature and support the use of time-varying hedge ratio. Finally, we found that in some cases credit default swaps are not suitable instruments for hedging and they act more as a speculative instrument.

The Evolution of Securities Lending and Risk Mitigation: A Finnish Market Case Study

Although securities lending is an important function of the financial markets, it has not received that much academic attention. This study examines the evolution of European securities lending and risk management with an emphasis on the development of collateral management, the function responsible for reducing credit risk. The effects of the recent financial instabilities are also considered. The evolution of the Finnish securities lending market is examined in more detail through a case-study. This study can be classified as a constructive qualitative case study. The initial practical knowledge comes from the author's own experience and additional insight and theoretical background is acquired through a literature review. The case study is based on research, semi-structured interviews and a brief analysis of numerical data. The main observation of this study was that securities lending is now recognized as more of an investment management discipline than an operational support function. The recent financial instabilities have resulted in an increased focus on risk and transparency. In securities lending this is directly reflected in collateral management guidelines and procedures. Collateral management has become increasingly technologically developed and automated. Collateral optimization initiatives have been started to make the process more efficient, liquid, and cost effective. Although securities lending is generally an OTC-market with no standard market place, centralized exchange-like models have been introduced. Finnish securities lending has now shifted towards the more common global OTC model. Although the Finnish securities lending industry has developed, and the main laws governing it (tax legislation) have changed, there is still need for development. There are still not many Finnish participants involved and due to legal issues most securities loans are collateralized with cash and not securities (e.g. government bonds).

THE ROLE OF INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY IN CREATING SUSTAINABILITY VALUE FOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS IN 2020 : a scenario planning approach

The growing importance of global sustainability issues has been causing many changes to the financial services industry. Facts such as climate change, social development and the financial crisis in 2008 have been making banks reconsider the manner that they consider environmental, social and economic factors in their decision-making process. At the same time, information technology (IT) has been transforming the financial service industry and its fast development has casted doubts on the way it should be managed within an organization. This current changing environment brings a number of uncertainties to the future that cannot be addressed using traditional forecasting techniques. This research investigates how IT can bring value to sustainability in the financial service industry in 2020. Through the use of a scenario planning technique, we analyzed how trends in the current environment (considering the relation between sustainability, financial institutions an IT) can lead to four different future scenarios. Then, we discussed how IT can improve a bank’s sustainability performance, considering the limitations of each scenario.

Pricing anomalies in the Finnish stock market

The aim of this thesis is to examine whether the pricing anomalies exists in the Finnish stock markets by comparing the performance of quantile portfolios that are formed on the basis of either individual valuation ratios, composite value measures or combined value and momentum indicators. All the research papers included in the thesis show evidence of value anomalies in the Finnish stock markets. In the first paper, the sample of stocks over the 1991-2006 period is divided into quintile portfolios based on four individual valuation ratios (i.e., E/P, EBITDA/EV, B/P, and S/P) and three hybrids of them (i.e. composite value measures). The results show the superiority of composite value measures as selection criterion for value stocks, particularly when EBITDA/EV is employed as earnings multiple. The main focus of the second paper is on the impact of the holding period length on performance of value strategies. As an extension to the first paper, two more individual ratios (i.e. CF/P and D/P) are included in the comparative analysis. The sample of stocks over 1993- 2008 period is divided into tercile portfolios based on six individual valuation ratios and three hybrids of them. The use of either dividend yield criterion or one of three composite value measures being examined results in best value portfolio performance according to all performance metrics used. Parallel to the findings of many international studies, our results from performance comparisons indicate that for the sample data employed, the yearly reformation of portfolios is not necessarily optimal in order to maximally gain from the value premium. Instead, the value investor may extend his holding period up to 5 years without any decrease in long-term portfolio performance. The same holds also for the results of the third paper that examines the applicability of data envelopment analysis (DEA) method in discriminating the undervalued stocks from overvalued ones. The fourth paper examines the added value of combining price momentum with various value strategies. Taking account of the price momentum improves the performance of value portfolios in most cases. The performance improvement is greatest for value portfolios that are formed on the basis of the 3-composite value measure which consists of D/P, B/P and EBITDA/EV ratios. The risk-adjusted performance can be enhanced further by following 130/30 long-short strategy in which the long position of value winner stocks is leveraged by 30 percentages while simultaneously selling short glamour loser stocks by the same amount. Average return of the long-short position proved to be more than double stock market average coupled with the volatility decrease. The fifth paper offers a new approach to combine value and momentum indicators into a single portfolio-formation criterion using different variants of DEA models. The results throughout the 1994-2010 sample period shows that the top-tercile portfolios outperform both the market portfolio and the corresponding bottom-tercile portfolios. In addition, the middle-tercile portfolios also outperform the comparable bottom-tercile portfolios when DEA models are used as a basis for stock classification criteria. To my knowledge, such strong performance differences have not been reported in earlier peer-reviewed studies that have employed the comparable quantile approach of dividing stocks into portfolios. Consistently with the previous literature, the division of the full sample period into bullish and bearish periods reveals that the top-quantile DEA portfolios lose far less of their value during the bearish conditions than do the corresponding bottom portfolios. The sixth paper extends the sample period employed in the fourth paper by one year (i.e. 1993- 2009) covering also the first years of the recent financial crisis. It contributes to the fourth paper by examining the impact of the stock market conditions on the main results. Consistently with the fifth paper, value portfolios lose much less of their value during bearish conditions than do stocks on average. The inclusion of a momentum criterion somewhat adds value to an investor during bullish conditions, but this added value turns to negative during bearish conditions. During bear market periods some of the value loser portfolios perform even better than their value winner counterparts. Furthermore, the results show that the recent financial crisis has reduced the added value of using combinations of momentum and value indicators as portfolio formation criteria. However, since the stock markets have historically been bullish more often than bearish, the combination of the value and momentum criteria has paid off to the investor despite the fact that its added value during bearish periods is negative, on an average.

The us subprime crisis and stock market integration: evidence from the BRICS

The aim of this study is to examine the level of stock market co-movement in the BRICS countries and three major industrialized countries (Japan, UK and USA). While analyzing the interdependence and integration of markets, two subsets are examined: before (2000 – 2007) and during the global financial crisis (2007-2011). Generally, interdependence across markets is likely to increase during a highly volatile period. This is problematic because if it were true, the main benefit of international diversification would be reduced at times when it is most needed. The results reveal the dominant role of the US financial markets over the examined time period. Empirical studies of this research paper indicate that cross-market linkages have become slightly stronger during the ongoing subprime crisis than before crisis. However, results also show that an investor may obtain some international diversification benefits by investing especially in the BRICS countries despite the fact of unstable economic condition and growing globalization.

Mapping financial stability

The ongoing global financial crisis has demonstrated the importance of a systemwide, or macroprudential, approach to safeguarding financial stability. An essential part of macroprudential oversight concerns the tasks of early identification and assessment of risks and vulnerabilities that eventually may lead to a systemic financial crisis. Thriving tools are crucial as they allow early policy actions to decrease or prevent further build-up of risks or to otherwise enhance the shock absorption capacity of the financial system. In the literature, three types of systemic risk can be identified: i ) build-up of widespread imbalances, ii ) exogenous aggregate shocks, and iii ) contagion. Accordingly, the systemic risks are matched by three categories of analytical methods for decision support: i ) early-warning, ii ) macro stress-testing, and iii ) contagion models. Stimulated by the prolonged global financial crisis, today's toolbox of analytical methods includes a wide range of innovative solutions to the two tasks of risk identification and risk assessment. Yet, the literature lacks a focus on the task of risk communication. This thesis discusses macroprudential oversight from the viewpoint of all three tasks: Within analytical tools for risk identification and risk assessment, the focus concerns a tight integration of means for risk communication. Data and dimension reduction methods, and their combinations, hold promise for representing multivariate data structures in easily understandable formats. The overall task of this thesis is to represent high-dimensional data concerning financial entities on lowdimensional displays. The low-dimensional representations have two subtasks: i ) to function as a display for individual data concerning entities and their time series, and ii ) to use the display as a basis to which additional information can be linked. The final nuance of the task is, however, set by the needs of the domain, data and methods. The following ve questions comprise subsequent steps addressed in the process of this thesis: 1. What are the needs for macroprudential oversight? 2. What form do macroprudential data take? 3. Which data and dimension reduction methods hold most promise for the task? 4. How should the methods be extended and enhanced for the task? 5. How should the methods and their extensions be applied to the task? Based upon the Self-Organizing Map (SOM), this thesis not only creates the Self-Organizing Financial Stability Map (SOFSM), but also lays out a general framework for mapping the state of financial stability. This thesis also introduces three extensions to the standard SOM for enhancing the visualization and extraction of information: i ) fuzzifications, ii ) transition probabilities, and iii ) network analysis. Thus, the SOFSM functions as a display for risk identification, on top of which risk assessments can be illustrated. In addition, this thesis puts forward the Self-Organizing Time Map (SOTM) to provide means for visual dynamic clustering, which in the context of macroprudential oversight concerns the identification of cross-sectional changes in risks and vulnerabilities over time. Rather than automated analysis, the aim of visual means for identifying and assessing risks is to support disciplined and structured judgmental analysis based upon policymakers' experience and domain intelligence, as well as external risk communication.

Liiketoimintatiedonhallinta strategisen suunnittelun tietolähteenä, Case: OP-Pohjola-ryhmä

Finanssiala on kokonaisuutena suurten muutosten ja vaatimusten kohteena. Toisaalta globalisaatio ja kehittyvä tietotalous antavat toiminnalle suuria mahdollisuuksia, toisaalta finanssikriisin jälkeistä aikaa on leimannut perinteisen korkokatteen supistuminen ja uusien tulonlähteiden etsintä. Entistä tehokkaampi tietojenkäsittely ja asiakastietojen hyväksikäyttö luo edellytyksiä toimia alalla entistä tehokkaammin ja ohjata yrityksen päätöksentekoa tiedolla. Tämän pro gradu –tutkielman tavoitteena oli tutkia tiedon roolia OP-Pohjola-ryhmän strategiaprosessissa ja luoda malli, jolla liiketoimintatietoa pystyttäisi käyttämään tehokkaammin ja tarkoituksenmukaisemmin hyväksi strategiatyössä. Tutkielma toteutettiin tapaustutkimuksena ja empiirinen aineisto hankittiin haastattelemalla organisaation strategiaprosessiin osallistuvia tahoja. Tutkimuksen tulosten mukaan OP-Pohjola-ryhmällä ei ole määrämuotoista tapaa käyttää hyväksi liiketoimintatiedonhallinnan tuottamaa dataa. Strategiaprosessin päätöksenteossa merkittävä rooli on yksilöiden toisaalta omista organisaatioista tuottaman liiketoimintatiedon ja toisaalta yksilöiden hiljaisen tiedon varassa. Tutkimuksen lopputuloksena luotiin malli, jolla strategiaprosessiin tuotetaan tietoa määrämuotoisen ja toistettavan prosessin kautta.

The Cycle Times of Working Capital: Financial Value Chain Analysis Method

Interest towards working capital management increased among practitioners and researchers because the financial crisis of 2008 caused the deterioration of the general financial situation. The importance of managing working capital effectively increased dramatically during the financial crisis. On one hand, companies highlighted the importance of working capital management as part of short-term financial management to overcome funding difficulties. On the other hand, in academia, it has been highlighted the need to analyze working capital management from a wider perspective namely from the value chain perspective. Previously, academic articles mostly discussed working capital management from a company-centered perspective. The objective of this thesis was to put working capital management in a wider and more academic perspective and present case studies of the value chains of industries as instrumental in theoretical contributions and practical contributions as complementary to theoretical contributions and conclusions. The principal assumption of this thesis is that selffinancing of value chains can be established through effective working capital management. Thus, the thesis introduces the financial value chain analysis method which is employed in the empirical studies. The effectiveness of working capital management of the value chains is studied through the cycle time of working capital. The financial value chain analysis method employed in this study is designed for considering value chain level phenomena. This method provides a holistic picture of the value chain through financial figures. It extends the value chain analysis to the industry level. Working capital management is studied by the cash conversion cycle that measures the length (days) of time a company has funds tied up in working capital, starting from the payment of purchases to the supplier and ending when remittance of sales is received from the customers. The working capital management practices employed in the automotive, pulp and paper and information and communication technology industries have been studied in this research project. Additionally, the Finnish pharmaceutical industry is studied to obtain a deeper understanding of the working capital management of the value chain. The results indicate that the cycle time of working capital is constant in the value chain context over time. The cash conversion cycle of automotive, pulp and paper, and ICT industries are on average 70, 60 and 40 days, respectively. The difference is mainly a consequence of the different cycle time of inventories. The financial crisis of 2008 affected the working capital management of the industries similarly. Both the cycle time of accounts receivable and accounts payable increased between 2008 and 2009. The results suggest that the companies of the automotive, pulp and paper and ICT value chains were not able to self-finance. Results do not indicate the improvement of value chains position in regard to working capital management either. The findings suggest that companies operating in the Finnish pharmaceutical industry are interested in developing their own working capital management, but collaboration with the value chain partners is not considered interesting. Competition no longer occurs between individual companies, but between value chains. Therefore the financial value chain analysis method introduced in this thesis has the potential to support value chains in improving their competitiveness.