900 resultados para probabilistic reasoning
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The CDIO Initiative is an open innovative educational framework for engineering graduation degrees set in the context of Conceiving – Designing – Implementing – Operating real-world systems and products, which is embraced by a network of worldwide universities, the CDIO collaborators. A CDIO compliant engineering degree programme typically includes a capstone module on the final semester. Its purpose is to expose students to problems of a greater dimension and complexity than those faced throughout the degree programme as well as to put them in contact with the so-called real world, in opposition to the academic world. However, even in the CDIO context, there are barriers that separate engineering capstone students from the real world context of an engineering professional: (i) limited interaction with experts from diverse scientific areas; (ii) reduced cultural and scientific diversity within the teams; and (iii) lack of a project supportive framework to foster the complementary technical and non-technical skills required in an engineering professional. To address these shortcomings, we propose the adoption of the European Project Semester (EPS) framework, a one semester student centred international capstone programme offered by a group of European engineering schools (the EPS Providers) as part of their student exchange programme portfolio. The EPS package is organised around a central module – the EPS project – and a set of complementary supportive modules. Project proposals refer to open multidisciplinary real world problems and supervision becomes coaching. The students are organised in teams, grouping individuals from diverse academic backgrounds and nationalities, and each team is fully responsible for conducting its project. EPS complies with the CDIO directives on Design-Implement experiences and provides an integrated framework for undertaking capstone projects, which is focussed on multicultural and multidisciplinary teamwork, problem-solving, communication, creativity, leadership, entrepreneurship, ethical reasoning and global contextual analysis. As a result, we recommend the adoption of the EPS within CDIO capstone modules for the benefit of engineering students.
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The aim of this contribution is to extend the techniques of composite materials design to non-linear material behaviour and apply it for design of new materials for passive vibration control. As a first step a computational tool allowing determination of macroscopic optimized one-dimensional isolator behaviour was developed. Voigt, Maxwell, standard and more complex material models can be implemented. Objective function considers minimization of the initial reaction and/or displacement peak as well as minimization of the steady-state amplitude of reaction and/or displacement. The complex stiffness approach is used to formulate the governing equations in an efficient way. Material stiffness parameters are assumed as non-linear functions of the displacement. The numerical solution is performed in the complex space. The steady-state solution in the complex space is obtained by an iterative process based on the shooting method which imposes the conditions of periodicity with respect to the known value of the period. Extension of the shooting method to the complex space is presented and verified. Non-linear behaviour of material parameters is then optimized by generic probabilistic meta-algorithm, simulated annealing. Dependence of the global optimum on several combinations of leading parameters of the simulated annealing procedure, like neighbourhood definition and annealing schedule, is also studied and analyzed. Procedure is programmed in MATLAB environment.
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This paper proposes the development of biologically inspired robots as the capstone project of the European Project Semester (EPS) framework. EPS is a one semester student centred international programme offered by a group of European engineering schools (EPS Providers) as part of their student exchange programme portfolio. EPS is organized around a central module (the EPS project) and a set of complementary supportive modules. Project proposals refer to open multidisciplinary real world problems. Its purpose is to expose students to problems of a greater dimension and complexity than those faced throughout the degree programme as well as to put them in contact with the socalled real world, in opposition to the academic world. Students are organized in teams, grouping individuals from diverse academic backgrounds and nationalities, and each team is fully responsible for conducting its project. EPS provides an integrated framework for undertaking capstone projects, which is focused on multicultural and multidisciplinary teamwork, communication, problem-solving, creativity, leadership, entrepreneurship, ethical reasoning and global contextual analysis. The design and development of biologically inspired robots allows the students to fulfil the previously described requirements and objectives and, as a result, we recommend the adoption of these projects within the EPS project capstone module for the benefit of engineering students.
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RESUMO - O Inquérito Nacional de Saúde é um instrumento de observação em saúde promovido pelo Ministério da Saúde desde 1987, em resposta às necessidades crescentes de informação de saúde ligadas ao estabelecimento e às exigências de planeamento e avaliação decorrentes da instituição do Serviço Nacional de Saúde. O Inquérito Nacional de Saúde conta, até agora, com quatro edições. Os dados provêm através do estudo transversal de amostras probabilísticas da população portuguesa, através de entrevistas no domicílio, utilizando instrumentos e métodos válidos e estáveis. Os indicadores gerados descrevem o estado de saúde, utilização de cuidados de saúde e determinantes de saúde da população portuguesa residente em unidades de alojamento familiar e tem representatividade a nível nacional e regional. Além de útil para a investigação dos padrões e tendências na área da saúde da população, esta informação é importante como elemento de planeamento, na identificação de necessidades em saúde e na avaliação dos eventuais efeitos e impactes das intervenções realizadas na saúde da população. A evolução do Inquérito Nacional de Saúde depende da definição das necessidades de informação epidemiológica por parte do Estado e da sua integração no sistema europeu de inquéritos de saúde. --------------------------ABSTRACT – The National Health Interview Survey is an instrument of observation in health promoted by the Ministry of Health since 1987, in response to the growing demand for health information, derived from the institution of the National Health Service, as well as its planning and evaluation activities. The National Health Interview Survey has had four editions so far. Data are obtained through the cross-sectional study of probabilistic samples of the Portuguese population, through interviews at home, using valid and stable instruments and methods. Obtained indicators describe the state of health, use of health care and health determinants of the Portuguese population living in familiar dwellings, and are representative at national and regional levels. Besides its usefulness for the study of patterns and trends, this information is important for planning purposes, in the identification of health needs and for the evaluation of the eventual effects of the planned health interventions. The future of the National Health Interview Survey depends on the State’s definition of the needs of epidemiological information and also on its participation in the European system of health surveys. Keywords: health surveys; health indicators; epidem
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This work is a contribution to the definition and assessment of structural robustness. Special emphasis is given to reliability of reinforced concrete structures under corrosion of longitudinal reinforcement. On this communication several authors’ proposals in order to define and measure structural robustness are analyzed and discussed. The probabilistic based robustness index is defined, considering the reliability index decreasing for all possible damage levels. Damage is considered as the corrosion level of the longitudinal reinforcement in terms of rebar weight loss. Damage produces changes in both cross sectional area of rebar and bond strength. The proposed methodology is illustrated by means of an application example. In order to consider the impact of reinforcement corrosion on failure probability growth, an advanced methodology based on the strong discontinuities approach and an isotropic continuum damage model for concrete is adopted. The methodology consist on a two-step analysis: on the first step an analysis of the cross section is performed in order to capture phenomena such as expansion of the reinforcement due to the corrosion products accumulation and damage and cracking in the reinforcement surrounding concrete; on the second step a 2D deteriorated structural model is built with the results obtained on the first step of the analysis. The referred methodology combined with a Monte Carlo simulation is then used to compute the failure probability and the reliability index of the structure for different corrosion levels. Finally, structural robustness is assessed using the proposed probabilistic index.
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This study aimed to examine the differences in standing balance between individuals with Parkinson's disease (PD) and subjects without PD (control group), under single and dual-task conditions. A cross-sectional study was designed using a non-probabilistic sample of 110 individuals (50 participants with PD and 60 controls) aged 50 years old and over. The individuals with PD were in the early or middle stages of the disease (characterized by Hoehn and Yahr as stages 1-3). The standing balance was assessed by measuring the centre of pressure (CoP) displacement in single-task (eyes-open/eyes-closed) and dual-task (while performing two different verbal fluency tasks). No significant differences were found between the groups regarding sociodemographic variables. In general, the standing balance of the individuals with PD was worse than the controls, as the CoP displacement across tasks was significantly higher for the individuals with PD (p<0.01), both in anteroposterior and mediolateral directions. Moreover, there were significant differences in the CoP displacement based parameters between the conditions, mainly between the eyes-open condition and the remaining conditions. However, there was no significant interaction found between group and condition, which suggests that changes in the CoP displacement between tasks were not influenced by having PD. In conclusion, this study shows that, although individuals with PD had a worse overall standing balance than individuals without the disease, the impact of performing an additional task on the CoP displacement is similar for both groups.
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Poster presented in The 28th GI/ITG International Conference on Architecture of Computing Systems (ARCS 2015). 24 to 26, Mar, 2015. Porto, Portugal.
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Target tracking with bearing-only sensors is a challenging problem when the target moves dynamically in complex scenarios. Besides the partial observability of such sensors, they have limited field of views, occlusions can occur, etc. In those cases, cooperative approaches with multiple tracking robots are interesting, but the different sources of uncertain information need to be considered appropriately in order to achieve better estimates. Even though there exist probabilistic filters that can estimate the position of a target dealing with incertainties, bearing-only measurements bring usually additional problems with initialization and data association. In this paper, we propose a multi-robot triangulation method with a dynamic baseline that can triangulate bearing-only measurements in a probabilistic manner to produce 3D observations. This method is combined with a decentralized stochastic filter and used to tackle those initialization and data association issues. The approach is validated with simulations and field experiments where a team of aerial and ground robots with cameras track a dynamic target.
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13th International Conference on Autonomous Robot Systems (Robotica), 2013, Lisboa
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The paper presents a multi-robot cooperative framework to estimate the 3D position of dynamic targets, based on bearing-only vision measurements. The uncertainty of the observation provided by each robot equipped with a bearing-only vision system is effectively addressed for cooperative triangulation purposes by weighing the contribution of each monocular bearing ray in a probabilistic manner. The envisioned framework is evaluated in an outdoor scenario with a team of heterogeneous robots composed of an Unmanned Ground and Aerial Vehicle.
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Presented at 23rd International Conference on Real-Time Networks and Systems (RTNS 2015). 4 to 6, Nov, 2015, Main Track. Lille, France.
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Perinatal bacterial infection may be caused by any microorganism colonizing the vaginal tract. Neonatologists and paediatricians are especially concerned about group B Stretpococcus (GBS). However, Enterobactereacea, mainly E.coli and Proteus, are also responsible for infection. GBS screening may be accomplished in over 90% of pregnant women. In our maternity in 2007-2008, 85% of the mothers had been screened. Screening and prophylaxis were responsible for a decreasing incidence of neonatal infection - from 0.6/1000 to 0.15/1000 live births in Portugal, from 2002 to 2007. However there are some difficulties related to screening. In the second Portuguese study 16/57 NB with early-onset infection (28%) were born to “negative” mothers. Several factors illustrate how difficult is to draw national screening policies: a wide range of carrier’s state rate throughout a country - in Portugal from 12% to 30%. The success of any screening policy may also be affected by additional technical and organizational problems. In countries where home delivery is a tradition or a trend intrapartum GBS prophylaxis requires a very well organized assistance.. Moreover factors usually accepted as protective are not so effective. In the Portuguese study 24/57 infected newborns (42%) were delivery by caesarean section. Another subject deals with the workload in the postnatal ward generated by deficient compliance to the guidelines a problem not confirm by a study of our group. Decreasing the importance of GBS, highlight the importance of E. coli in perinatal infection. From the 16 340 registrations of the National Registry 1676 were newborns with mother-related infection. Applying the same reasoning to E.coli as to GBS and Listeria monocytogenes – that is considering all of them are of maternal origin - 6.7% of these infections were due to E. coli, 4.6% to SGB and 0.5% to Listeria monocytogenes. In conclusion screening and prophylaxis may be not the best way to prevent all GBS neonatal infections but by now it is the only available procedure. The other bacteria continue to demand a high suspicion level and immediate intervention.
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In this paper, a module for homograph disambiguation in Portuguese Text-to-Speech (TTS) is proposed. This module works with a part-of-speech (POS) parser, used to disambiguate homographs that belong to different parts-of-speech, and a semantic analyzer, used to disambiguate homographs which belong to the same part-of-speech. The proposed algorithms are meant to solve a significant part of homograph ambiguity in European Portuguese (EP) (106 homograph pairs so far). This system is ready to be integrated in a Letter-to-Sound (LTS) converter. The algorithms were trained and tested with different corpora. The obtained experimental results gave rise to 97.8% of accuracy rate. This methodology is also valid for Brazilian Portuguese (BP), since 95 homographs pairs are exactly the same as in EP. A comparison with a probabilistic approach was also done and results were discussed.
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Este estudo insere-se no âmbito da Geometria e pretende compreender a influência dos recursos didáticos utilizados no reconhecimento de propriedades e relações geométricas em figuras planas. De acordo com o objetivo do estudo formulamos duas questões orientadoras que se articulam entre si. - Que fragilidades apresentam os alunos, no reconhecimento de propriedades geométricas em figuras planas? - Que contributos resultam da utilização de materiais manipuláveis, na visualização espacial e investigação de propriedades geométricas? Com este estudo pretendemos reunir informação que contribua para aprofundar o conhecimento sobre o raciocínio geométrico dos alunos. Em termos metodológicos segue um método de investigação misto, com recolha de informação qualitativa de natureza interpretativa e quantitativa, na modalidade de estudo de caso. A recolha de dados foi realizada numa turma de 4.º ano do ensino básico onde foi desenvolvida a experiência didática. A informação recolhida resultou da observação direta e as fontes dos dados foram as produções dos alunos, as notas de campo, registos fotográficos, vídeo e áudio. A docente assumiu o papel de investigadora e orientadora das tarefas propostas aos alunos tendo estes desempenhado um papel ativo na construção do seu próprio conhecimento. Os resultados obtidos permitem evidenciar as fragilidades dos alunos no reconhecimento de propriedades geométricas de figuras planas em diferentes posições. Destacam ainda os contributos da utilização da Mira e do Tangram, no estudo da simetria e no desenvolvimento da visualização espacial para a concretização de aprendizagens concretas, motivadoras e significativas.
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O presente estudo foi desenvolvido no âmbito do Mestrado de Didática da Matemática e Ciências da Natureza, no 1.º e 2.º Ciclos, no domínio da Geometria. Tem como principal objetivo compreender e analisar, através da implementação de uma sequência de tarefas de investigação e exploração, de que forma o processo de ensino e aprendizagem dos alunos, na área dos quadriláteros, com os recursos GeoGebra e o Geoplano, contribui para o desenvolvimento do raciocínio geométrico. Neste sentido, definiram-se as seguintes questões de investigação: (1) Qual a imagem concetual que os alunos possuem de cada um dos quadriláteros? (2) Que conhecimentos têm os alunos sobre as propriedades dos quadriláteros: quadrados, retângulos e losangos? (3) Quais os contributos do Geoplano e do GeoGebra na compreensão e identificação das propriedades dos quadriláteros? A metodologia adotada foi de natureza qualitativa, do tipo interpretativo, baseada em dois estudos de caso. Na recolha de dados, foram utilizados os seguintes instrumentos: observação, questionário, documentos produzidos pelos alunos, entrevistas informais, registos áudio e fotografias aos trabalhos realizados. Na análise dos dados, procurou-se descrever e interpretar os dados recolhidos, no âmbito do objeto do estudo. Os resultados mostraram que a sequência de tarefas e o modo como foram desenvolvidas foram fundamentais na compreensão dos conteúdos trabalhados. Regista-se também que os recursos utilizados motivaram os alunos e contribuíram para a interação, como também para a compreensão dos conceitos geométricos. Por outro lado, a utilização do GeoGebra e do Geoplano contribuíram para o desenvolvimento do raciocínio espacial e geométrico.