Performance characteristic of moving average trading rules in the Finnish stock market

The thesis examines the profitability of DMAC trading rules in the Finnish stock market over the 1996-2012 period. It contributes to the existing technical analysis literature by comparing for the first time the performance of DMAC strategies based on individual stock trading portfolios to the performance of index trading strategies based on the trading on the index (OMX Helsinki 25) that consists of the same stocks. Besides, the market frictions including transaction costs and taxes are taken into account, and the results are reported from both institutional and individual investor’s perspective. Performance characteristic of DMAC rules are evaluated by simulating 19,900 different trading strategies in total for two non- overlapping 8-year sub-periods, and decomposing the full-sample-period performance of DMAC trading strategies into distinct bullish- and bearish-period performances. The results show that the best DMAC rules have predictive power on future price trends, and these rules are able to outperform buy-and-hold strategy. Although the performance of the DMAC strategies is highly dependent on the combination of moving average lengths, the best DMAC rules of the first sub-period have also performed well during the latter sub-period in the case of individual stock trading strategies. According to the results, the outperformance of DMAC trading rules over buy-and-hold strategy is mostly attributed to their superiority during the bearish periods, and particularly, during stock market crashes.

Oikosulkumoottoreiden yhteisvarastointipalvelun verkostohyödyt

Tutkimuksen tavoitteena on tutkia oikosulkumoottoreiden yhteisvarastoinnista saavutettavia verkostohyötyjä asiakas-toimittaja verkostossa. Yleisesti yhteisvarastointi mielletään järkeväksi, mutta siitä saatavat hyödyt ovat usein vaikeita arvioida. Oikosulkumoottorit ovat kalliita, usein kriittisiä yrityksen tuotannon hyödykkeitä, joiden käyttöikä on jopa 30 vuotta. Tämä asettaa erityisvaatimuksia myös moottoreiden varastoinnille. Pitkä käyttöikä alentaa varaston kysyntää, kun taas niiden kriittisyys tuotannolle edellyttää varastointia. Tuotannon menetykset mielletään usein kestämättömän kalliiksi ja tämän vuoksi ajan saatossa lähivarastoihin on kerätty huomattavia moottorivarastoja. Työssä luotiin kunnossapidon, varastoinnin ja talouden teorian pohjalta viitekehys johon tukeutuen rakennettiin yhteisvarastointiverkoston kustannusmalli. Tämän jälkeen laadittiin palvelun piiriin kuuluvilta asiakkailta saaduin varastotiedoin vertailukustannuslaskelma, josta johdettiin yhteisvarastointiverkoston hyödyt. Laskennan tuloksissa havaittiin varastoitavien oikosulkumoottoreiden määrän ja kustannusten väheneminen.

Tehokalastuksen vaikutukset Lappajärvessä : Kalastus elinkeinoksi Lappajärvellä -hankkeen vuosien 2001-2006 seurannan loppuraportti

Lappajärven, Etelä-Pohjanmaan suurimman järven, ekologinen tila on heikentynyt ja se luokitellaan nykyisin tyydyttäväksi. Rehevöityminen, 1990-luvun muikkukato ja yhteiskunnan rakennemuutos ovat vähentäneet kalastajien ja kalansaaliin määrää. Ammattikalastuksen edellytysten parantamiseksi toteutettiin vuosina 2001–2004 ”Kalastus elinkeinoksi Lappajärvellä” – hanke. Hankkeen vaikutuksia kalastoon ja järven ekosysteemiin seurattiin vuosina 2001–2006. Kokonaissaalis vuosina 2001–2004 oli 1655 tonnia (n. 29 kg/ha/vuosi). Vaikka saalistavoitetta (2100 tn) ei täysin saavutettu, oli hankkeella runsaasti myönteisiä, joskin osin vähäisiä tai epävarmoja vaikutuksia järven tilaan ja kalastoon. Kalastajien yksikkösaaliit etenkin kuhan ja isokokoisen ahvenen osalta nousivat hankkeen alussa. Loppuvuosina yksikkösaaliiden kehitys oli osittain ristiriitaista. Ulapan taloudellisesti vähempiarvoinen kalasto, varsinkin kuorekanta harveni selvästi. Muikku puolestaan lisääntyi ja pysyi runsaana. Kuhan ja isokokoisen ahvenen lisääntymistä selittivät pääosin lämpimät kesät ja kuhan onnistuneet istutukset. Petokalat, etenkin kuha, voivat osaltaan säädellä Lappajärven ulapan planktonsyöjäkalojen kantoja ja toisaalta estää särjen siirtymistä ulapalle. Tehokalastuksen loputtua alkoi näkyä merkkejä kalakantojen palautumisesta takaisin kohti lähtötilannetta. Rantavyöhykkeellä hankkeen vaikutukset jäivät selvästi vähäisemmiksi kuin ulapalla. Eläinplankton lisääntyi hieman ylemmissä vesikerroksissa, mutta tilanne alkoi palautua ennalleen hankkeen jälkeen. Sinileväkukinnot vaikuttivat vähentyneen hankkeen aikana, tosin kukintojen voimakas vaihtelu vaikeutti arviointia. Tehokalastus ja vesiensuojelun tehostuminen vähensivät fosforipitoisuuksia, tosin myös vähäsateiset vuodet vaikuttivat vähenemiseen. Pitoisuuksien lasku jatkui hankkeen jälkeen. Hanketta edeltänyt klorofyllipitoisuuksien kasvusuuntaus pysähtyi ja pitoisuustaso vakiintui. Tehokalastus pienensi klorofylli/fosfori-suhdetta ja vähensi sisäistä kuormitusta, mutta vaikutus alkoi heiketä hankkeen loputtua. Typpipitoisuuksiin, veden väriin tai näkösyvyyteen kalastus ei vaikuttanut. Tehokalastuksella voidaan parantaa Lappajärven tilaa, mutta kalastuksen on oltava jatkuvaa. Saalistavoitteeksi voisi riittää n. 20-30 kg/ha vuodessa, mutta samalla on jatkettava ulkoisen kuormituksen vähentämistä. Kalastuksen tulisi kohdistua arvokalojen lisäksi myös vähempiarvoisiin kalalajeihin ja samalla on tuettava petokalakantojen vahvistumista.

The Use of Systematic Value Strategies in Separating the Winners from the Losers: Evidence from the Finnish Markets

This study examines the Magic Formula and ERP5 value strategies in the Finnish stocks markets. Magic Formula ranks stocks based on EV/EBIT and ROA and ERP5 based on EV/EBIT, ROA, P/B and five-year trailing ROA. The purpose of the study is to examine whether the value strategies can be used to generate excess returns over the market index. The data has been collected from the Datastream database for the sample period from May 1997 to May 2010 and consists of the companies listed on the main list of Helsinki Stock Exchange. This study confirms the findings of previous research that value premium exists in the Finnish stock markets and that systematic value strategies can be used to form portfolios that outperform the market index with lower volatility.

Idiosyncratic volatility around information release date

Several papers document idiosyncratic volatility is time-varying and many attempts have been made to reveal whether idiosyncratic risk is priced. This research studies behavior of idiosyncratic volatility around information release dates and also its relation with return after public announcement. The results indicate that when a company discloses specific information to the market, firm’s specific volatility level shifts and short-horizon event-induced volatility vary significantly however, the category to which the announcement belongs is not important in magnitude of change. This event-induced volatility is not small in size and should not be downplayed in event studies. Moreover, this study shows stocks with higher contemporaneous realized idiosyncratic volatility earn lower return after public announcement consistent with “divergence of opinion hypothesis”. While no significant relation is found between EGARCH estimated idiosyncratic volatility and return and also between one-month lagged idiosyncratic volatility and return presumably due to significant jump around public announcement both may provide some signals regarding future idiosyncratic volatility through their correlations with contemporaneous realized idiosyncratic volatility. Finally, the study show that positive relation between return and idiosyncratic volatility based on under-diversification is inadequate to explain all different scenarios and this negative relation after public announcement may provide a useful trading rule.

The Anchoring Bias of Investors and the 52-Week High Momentum Strategy in the OMX Helsinki Stock Exchange: Psychological Approach to Market Efficiency

The behavioural finance literature expects systematic and significant deviations from efficiency to persist in securities markets due to behavioural and cognitive biases of investors. These behavioural models attempt to explain the coexistence of intermediate-term momentum and long-term reversals in stock returns based on the systematic violations of rational behaviour of investors. The study investigates the anchoring bias of investors and the profitability of the 52-week momentum strategy (GH henceforward). The relatively highly volatile OMX Helsinki stock exchange is a suitable market for examining the momentum effect, since international investors tend to realise their positions first from the furthest security markets by the time of market turbulence. Empirical data is collected from Thomson Reuters Datastream and the OMX Nordic website. The objective of the study is to provide a throughout research by formulating a self-financing GH momentum portfolio. First, the seasonality of the strategy is examined by taking the January effect into account and researching abnormal returns in long-term. The results indicate that the GH strategy is subject to significantly negative revenues in January, but the strategy is not prone to reversals in long-term. Then the predictive proxies of momentum returns are investigated in terms of acquisition prices and 52-week high statistics as anchors. The results show that the acquisition prices do not have explanatory power over the GH strategy’s abnormal returns. Finally, the efficacy of the GH strategy is examined after taking transaction costs into account, finding that the robust abnormal returns remain statistically significant despite the transaction costs. As a conclusion, the relative distance between a stock’s current price and its 52-week high statistic explains the profits of momentum investing to a high degree. The results indicate that intermediateterm momentum and long-term reversals are separate phenomena. This presents a challenge to current behavioural theories, which model these aspects of stock returns as subsequent components of how securities markets respond to relevant information.

Finnish stock market reaction to quarterly earnings announcements

This thesis examines the stock market reactions to quarterly earnings announcements. The study covers the OMX Helsinki 25 index companies for the years 2007–2010. The stock market response to quarterly earnings announcements is tested by employing the event study –methodology and daily stock returns of Finnish listed companies. The thesis provides evidence that stock prices react to earnings announcements that exceed or fall below analyst forecasts. The most liquid stocks earn higher returns around positive earnings news than less traded stocks, which supports the evidence from previous studies. This thesis finds evidence for the authorization to sell stocks short reducing the post–earnings announcement drift induced by negative earnings news. In addition, the market’s reaction to earnings announcements seems to quicken during economic turmoil.

Greenhouse gas emissions from peat and biomass-derived fuels, electricity and heat — Estimation of various production chains by using LCA methodology

More discussion is required on how and which types of biomass should be used to achieve a significant reduction in the carbon load released into the atmosphere in the short term. The energy sector is one of the largest greenhouse gas (GHG) emitters and thus its role in climate change mitigation is important. Replacing fossil fuels with biomass has been a simple way to reduce carbon emissions because the carbon bonded to biomass is considered as carbon neutral. With this in mind, this thesis has the following objectives: (1) to study the significance of the different GHG emission sources related to energy production from peat and biomass, (2) to explore opportunities to develop more climate friendly biomass energy options and (3) to discuss the importance of biogenic emissions of biomass systems. The discussion on biogenic carbon and other GHG emissions comprises four case studies of which two consider peat utilization, one forest biomass and one cultivated biomasses. Various different biomass types (peat, pine logs and forest residues, palm oil, rapeseed oil and jatropha oil) are used as examples to demonstrate the importance of biogenic carbon to life cycle GHG emissions. The biogenic carbon emissions of biomass are defined as the difference in the carbon stock between the utilization and the non-utilization scenarios of biomass. Forestry-drained peatlands were studied by using the high emission values of the peatland types in question to discuss the emission reduction potential of the peatlands. The results are presented in terms of global warming potential (GWP) values. Based on the results, the climate impact of the peat production can be reduced by selecting high-emission-level peatlands for peat production. The comparison of the two different types of forest biomass in integrated ethanol production in pulp mill shows that the type of forest biomass impacts the biogenic carbon emissions of biofuel production. The assessment of cultivated biomasses demonstrates that several selections made in the production chain significantly affect the GHG emissions of biofuels. The emissions caused by biofuel can exceed the emissions from fossil-based fuels in the short term if biomass is in part consumed in the process itself and does not end up in the final product. Including biogenic carbon and other land use carbon emissions into the carbon footprint calculations of biofuel reveals the importance of the time frame and of the efficiency of biomass carbon content utilization. As regards the climate impact of biomass energy use, the net impact on carbon stocks (in organic matter of soils and biomass), compared to the impact of the replaced energy source, is the key issue. Promoting renewable biomass regardless of biogenic GHG emissions can increase GHG emissions in the short term and also possibly in the long term.

Factors Affecting Consumer Investment Intentions. Empirical Evidence from Finland

The thesis aims to build a theoretical model to explain consumer investment intentions in stocks and investment funds. The model examines the relationships between subjective investment knowledge, expected sacrifice, expected investment value, compatibility, perceived behavioral control and investment intentions. The data was collected via web-based survey and consisted of 45- to 65-year-old Finnish consumers (n=154). Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA), structural equation modeling (SEM) and t-tests were applied in analyzing the data. The results suggest that among average household consumers expected investment value consists of three dimensions, namely, economic, functional, and emotional, whereas expected sacrifice consists of effort, financial risk, source risk, and psychological risk. Two structural models were assessed, one for stock investments and one for investment funds. Whereas the models presented somewhat different outcomes, in both models compatibility had an essential role in explaining consumer investment intentions. Compatibility was affected by expected investment value and expected sacrifice. Subjective investment knowledge impacted consumers’ evaluations of the value and sacrifices. The effect of perceived behavioral control on investment intentions was rather small, however significant. Moreover, the results suggest that there are significant differences between consumers with no investment experience and consumers with investment experience in subjective investment knowledge, the dimensions of expected sacrifices and expected investment value, perceived behavioral control, compatibility and investment intentions.

Pollen analysis of honey and beebread derived from Brazilian mangroves

Pollen analyses were performed on honey and beebread from hives in apiaries located in two distinct mangrove areas dominated by Laguncularia racemosa (L.) C.F. Gaernt. One apiary was located at the edge of Guanabara Bay, Rio de Janeiro State, and the other near Maranguá Bay, Bahia State, Brazil. We investigated the contribution of nectar and pollen from mangrove vegetation to Apis mellifera L. honey and beebread stocks. Intensive visitation to this plant species by honeybees and the presence of its pollen grains in honey and beebread confirmed the importance of Laguncularia racemosa as a polliniferous and nectariferous species.

Mapping of a novel viviparous unstable mutant of maize (vp 12)

A new viviparous mutant of maize (Zea mays L.), associated with genetic instability and designated viviparous-12 (vp12), was identified in a synthetic Tuxpeño adapted to tropical regions. In the present work, the linkage group of this new locus was determined. Progenies of inbred line L477 segregating for the vp12 mutant were crossed with waxy-marked reciprocal translocation stocks. The phenotypic frequencies of the wx and vp12 mutants were analyzed in F2 progenies. The results demonstrated that the Viviparous-12 locus of maize is located on the long arm of chromosome 6.

Genetic interactions involving major genes at the dwarf locus in egg-type chickens

Three egg-type stocks segregating dwarf (dw) and bantam (dwB) genes in female progeny were produced from the same 18 heterozygous (dwB/dw) sires used to inseminate dams of three different genotypes: normal (dw+), dwarf (dw) and bantam (dwB) dams. The heritability of 8-week body weight estimated from full-sibs of the same phenotype of progeny was 0.40, and that estimated from paternal half-sibs of the same phenotype (dwarf or bantam), and from the same genotype of dam was 0.38. Therefore, maternal and non-additive effects within genotypic classes of dam made little contribution to the genetic variance for 8-week body weight among their progeny. The interaction of sires (S) with genotypes (dw+, dw and dwB) of dam (G) was significant at the 5% level. This indicates that the rankings of the sires within each one of the three genotypes of dam were not the same, probably due to non-additive genetic variation among genotypes of dams. The evidence indicated that in general the genes from individual sires combined differently with each type of dam (G). Those genes which combined well with the genes from normal (dw+) dams combined poorly with both the genes from the dwarf (dw) and the genes from the bantam (dwB) dams. The interaction of sires (S) with phenotypes (dwarf and bantam) of progeny (P) was significant at the 10% level. The results indicated a probable gene x genotype interaction for 8-week weight between genes at the dwarf locus (dw and dwB) and the background genotype (single and/or polygenes). The correlation among paternal half-sibs was influenced more by the S x G than by the S x P interaction, but the effects tended to be cumulative

Genetic variability of Prochilodus lineatus (Characiformes, Prochilodontidae) in the upper Paraná river

The genetic variability of the "curimba", Prochilodus lineatus, from three locations in the Paraná river basin, was investigated by starch gel electrophoresis. A total of 160 specimens were analyzed for 19 enzymes, 12 of which permitted successful interpretation of electrophoretic patterns. Eighteen loci were identified and six of them proved to be polymorphic (EST-1*, EST-2*, IDH-1*, PGM-1*, PGM-2*, LDH-2*). Mean heterozygosity was considered high (13%) by comparison with the literature. A low level of differentiation was found among subpopulations, with mean F ST = 0.018. Values of genetic distance and genetic identity suggest that, at least along this stretch of the river, P. lineatus comprises a single breed with high gene flow. This analysis has important implications for fishery management, aquaculture, and conservation of the stocks

Osinkosuhteen, osinkotuoton ja omavaraisuusasteen sijoitusstrateginen hyödynnettävyys Suomen osakemarkkinoilla

Tutkielman tavoitteena on selvittää osinkosuhteen, osinkotuoton ja omavaraisuusasteen vaikutus osakkeesta saatavaan kokonaistuottoon Suomenosakemarkkinoilla vuosina 2002–2013. Muuttujien kausaliteettisuhde kokonaistuottoon selvitetään regressioanalyysilla. Portfolioanalyysin avulla tutkitaan valittujen tunnuslukujen toimivuutta sijoitusstrategiana. Tutkimuksessa muodostetaan myös osinkosuhteen ja osinkotuoton yhdistelmänä tunnusluku, jolla pyritään maksimoimaan sijoittajan saama tuotto. Empiiriset tulokset osoittivat, että sijoittaja pystyy saavuttamaan ylituottoja hyödyntämällä edellä mainittuja tunnuslukuja osakevalinnassa. Osinkotuoton ja osakkeen kokonaistuoton välillä havaittiin positiivinen lineaarinen korrelaatio. Portfolioanalyysin perusteella sekä omavaraisuusasteen että osinkosuhteen osalta vaikutus sijoittajan saamaan riskisuhteutettuun kokonaistuottoon on ei-lineaarinen. Valittuja tunnuslukuja ja menetelmiä hyödyntäen sijoittaja saa parhaimman riskisuhteutetun tuoton valitsemalla sijoitussalkkuunsa osakkeita, joiden osinkosuhteen arvo sijoittuu toiseksi ylimpään kvartiiliin sekä osakkeita, joiden osinkotuotto on korkea ja omavaraisuusaste on samanaikaisesti alhainen.

Portfolio Selection via Composite Measure Analysis: Evidence from the U.S. Stock Market

The aim of this research is to examine the pricing anomalies existing in the U.S. market during 1986 to 2011. The sample of stocks is divided into decile portfolios based on seven individual valuation ratios (E/P, B/P, S/P, EBIT/EV, EVITDA/EV, D/P, and CE/P) and price momentum to investigate the efficiency of individual valuation ratio and their combinations as portfolio formation criteria. This is the first time in financial literature when CE/P is employed as a constituent of composite value measure. The combinations are based on median scaled composite value measures and TOPSIS method. During the sample period value portfolios significantly outperform both the market portfolio and comparable glamour portfolios. The results show the highest return for the value portfolio that was based on the combination of S/P & CE/P ratios. The outcome of this research will increase the understanding on the suitability of different methodologies for portfolio selection. It will help managers to take advantage of the results of different methodologies in order to gain returns above the market.