892 resultados para agent based modelling
Resumo:
Due to the different dynamics required for organizations to serve the emerging market which contains billions of people at the bottom of the pyramid (BOP) coupled with the increasing desire for organizations to grow and be more multinational, organizations need to continually innovate. However, the tendency for large and established companies to ignore the BOP market and rather focus on existing markets, gives an indication of the existence of a vulnerability that potentially disruptive innovations from the BOP will not be recognized in good time for a counter measure. This can be deduced from the fact that good management practice advocates that managers should learn and listen to their customers. Therefore majority of the large existing companies continually focus on their main customer/market with sustaining innovations which leaves aspiring new entrants with an underserved BOP market to experiment with. With the aid of research interviews and an agent-based model (ABM) simulation, this thesis examines the attributes of BOP innovations that can qualify them as disruptive and the possibilities of tangible disruptive innovations arising from the bottom of the pyramid and their underlying drivers. The thesis Furthermore, examines the associated impact of such innovations on the future sustainability of established large companies that are operating in the developed world, particularly those with a primary focus which is targeted towards the market at the top of the pyramid (TOP). Additionally, with the use of a scenario planning model, the research provides an evaluation of the possible evolution and potential sustainability impacts that could emerge, from the interplay of innovations at the two pyramidal market levels and the chosen market focus of organizations – TOP or BOP. Using four scenario quadrants, the thesis demonstrates the resulting possibilities from the interaction between the rate of innovations and the segment focused on by organizations with disruptive era characterizing the paradigm shift quadrant. Furthermore, a mathematical model and two theoretical propositions are developed for further research. As recommendations, the thesis also extends the ambidextrous organizational theory, business model innovation and portfolio diversification as plausible recommendations to limit a catastrophic impact, resulting from disruptive innovations.
Resumo:
Operating in business-to-business markets requires an in-depth understanding on business networks. Actions and reactions made to compete in markets are fundamentally based on managers‘ subjective perceptions of the network. However, an amalgamation of these individual perceptions, termed a network picture, to a common company level shared understanding on that network, known as network insight, is found to be a substantial challenge for companies. A company‘s capability to enhance common network insight is even argued to lead competitive advantage. Especially companies with value creating logics that require wide comprehension of and collaborating in networks, such as solution business, are necessitated to develop advanced network insight. According to the extant literature, dispersed pieces of atomized network pictures can be unified to a common network insight through a process of amalgamation that comprises barriers/drivers of multilateral exchange, manifold rationality, and recursive time. However, the extant body of literature appears to lack an understanding on the role of internal communication in the development of network insight. Nonetheless, the extant understanding on the amalgamation process indicates that internal communication plays a substantial role in the development of company level network insight. The purpose of the present thesis is to enhance understanding on internal communication in the amalgamation of network pictures to develop network insight in the solution business setting, which was chosen to represent business-to-business value creating logic that emphasizes the capability to understand and utilize networks. Thus, in solution business the role of succeeding in the amalgamation process is expected to emphasize. The study combines qualitative and quantitative research by means of various analytical methods including multiple case analysis, simulation, and social network analysis. Approaching the nascent research topic with differing perspectives and means provides a broader insight on the phenomenon. The study provides empirical evidence from Finnish business-to-business companies which operate globally. The empirical data comprise interviews (n=28) with managers of three case companies. In addition the data includes a questionnaire (n=23) collected mainly for the purpose of social network analysis. In addition, the thesis includes a simulation study more specifically achieved by means of agent based modeling. The findings of the thesis shed light on the role of internal communication in the amalgamation process, contributing to the emergent discussion of network insights and thus to the industrial marketing research. In addition, the thesis increases understanding on internal communication in the change process to solution business, a supplier‘s internal communication in its matrix organization structure during a project sales process, key barriers and drivers that influence internal communication in project sales networks, perceived power within industrial project sales, and the revisioning of network pictures. According to the findings, internal communication is found to play a substantial role in the amalgamation process. First, it is suggested that internal communication is a base of multilateral exchange. Second, it is suggested that internal communication intensifies and maintains manifold rationality. Third, internal communication is needed to explicate the usually differing time perspectives of others and thus it is suggested that internal communication has role as the explicator of recursive time. Furthermore, the role of an efficient amalgamation process is found to be emphasized in solutions business as it requires a more advanced network insight for cross-functional collaboration. Finally, the thesis offers several managerial implications for industrial suppliers to enhance the amalgamation process when operating in solution business.
Resumo:
In accordance with the Moore's law, the increasing number of on-chip integrated transistors has enabled modern computing platforms with not only higher processing power but also more affordable prices. As a result, these platforms, including portable devices, work stations and data centres, are becoming an inevitable part of the human society. However, with the demand for portability and raising cost of power, energy efficiency has emerged to be a major concern for modern computing platforms. As the complexity of on-chip systems increases, Network-on-Chip (NoC) has been proved as an efficient communication architecture which can further improve system performances and scalability while reducing the design cost. Therefore, in this thesis, we study and propose energy optimization approaches based on NoC architecture, with special focuses on the following aspects. As the architectural trend of future computing platforms, 3D systems have many bene ts including higher integration density, smaller footprint, heterogeneous integration, etc. Moreover, 3D technology can signi cantly improve the network communication and effectively avoid long wirings, and therefore, provide higher system performance and energy efficiency. With the dynamic nature of on-chip communication in large scale NoC based systems, run-time system optimization is of crucial importance in order to achieve higher system reliability and essentially energy efficiency. In this thesis, we propose an agent based system design approach where agents are on-chip components which monitor and control system parameters such as supply voltage, operating frequency, etc. With this approach, we have analysed the implementation alternatives for dynamic voltage and frequency scaling and power gating techniques at different granularity, which reduce both dynamic and leakage energy consumption. Topologies, being one of the key factors for NoCs, are also explored for energy saving purpose. A Honeycomb NoC architecture is proposed in this thesis with turn-model based deadlock-free routing algorithms. Our analysis and simulation based evaluation show that Honeycomb NoCs outperform their Mesh based counterparts in terms of network cost, system performance as well as energy efficiency.
Resumo:
In recent decades, business intelligence (BI) has gained momentum in real-world practice. At the same time, business intelligence has evolved as an important research subject of Information Systems (IS) within the decision support domain. Today’s growing competitive pressure in business has led to increased needs for real-time analytics, i.e., so called real-time BI or operational BI. This is especially true with respect to the electricity production, transmission, distribution, and retail business since the law of physics determines that electricity as a commodity is nearly impossible to be stored economically, and therefore demand-supply needs to be constantly in balance. The current power sector is subject to complex changes, innovation opportunities, and technical and regulatory constraints. These range from low carbon transition, renewable energy sources (RES) development, market design to new technologies (e.g., smart metering, smart grids, electric vehicles, etc.), and new independent power producers (e.g., commercial buildings or households with rooftop solar panel installments, a.k.a. Distributed Generation). Among them, the ongoing deployment of Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) has profound impacts on the electricity retail market. From the view point of BI research, the AMI is enabling real-time or near real-time analytics in the electricity retail business. Following Design Science Research (DSR) paradigm in the IS field, this research presents four aspects of BI for efficient pricing in a competitive electricity retail market: (i) visual data-mining based descriptive analytics, namely electricity consumption profiling, for pricing decision-making support; (ii) real-time BI enterprise architecture for enhancing management’s capacity on real-time decision-making; (iii) prescriptive analytics through agent-based modeling for price-responsive demand simulation; (iv) visual data-mining application for electricity distribution benchmarking. Even though this study is from the perspective of the European electricity industry, particularly focused on Finland and Estonia, the BI approaches investigated can: (i) provide managerial implications to support the utility’s pricing decision-making; (ii) add empirical knowledge to the landscape of BI research; (iii) be transferred to a wide body of practice in the power sector and BI research community.
Resumo:
The work presented in this thesis is regarding the development and evaluation of new bonding agents for short polyester fiber - polyurethane elastomer composites. The conventional bonding system based on hexamethylenetetramine, resorcinol and hydrated silica was not effective as a bonding agent for the composite, as the water eliminated during the formation of the RF resin hydrolysed the urethane linkages. Four bonding agents based on MDI/'I‘DI and polypropyleneglycol, propyleneglycol and glycerol were prepared and the composite recipe was optimised with respect to the cure characteristics and mechanical properties. The flow properties, stress relaxation pattern and the thermal degradation characteristics of the composites containing different bonding agents were then studied in detail to evaluate the new bonding systems. The optimum loading of resin was 5 phr and the ratio of the -01 to isocyanate was 1:1. The cure characteristics showed that the optimum combination of cure rate and processability was given by the composite with the resin based on polypropyleneglycol/ glycerol/ 4,4’diphenylmethanediisocynate (PPG/GL/MDI). From the rheological studies of the composites with and without bonding agents it was observed that all the composites showed pseudoplastic nature and the activation energy of flow of the composite was not altered by the presence of bonding agents. Mechanical properties such as tensile strength, modulus, tear resistance and abrasion resistance were improved in the presence of bonding agents and the effect was more pronounced in the case of abrasion resistance. The composites based on MDI/GL showed better initial properties while composites with resins based on MDI/PPG showed better aging resistance. Stress relaxation showed a multistage relaxation behaviour for the composite. Within the-strain levels studied, the initial rate of relaxation was higher and the cross over time was lesser for the composite containing bonding agents. The bonding agent based on MDI/PPG/GL was found to be a better choice for improving stress relaxation characteristics with better interfacial bonding. Thennogravimetirc analysis showed that the presence of fiber and bonding agents improved the thennal stability of the polyurethane elastomer marginally and it was maximum in the case of MDI / GL based bonding agents. The kinetics of degradation was not altered by the presence of bonding agents
Resumo:
El presente proyecto de investigación tiene como objetivo general evaluar la efectividad de los esfuerzos de una unidad de negocio particular de la compañía Novartis de Colombia S.A. en el área de la percepción de marca mediante un sistema de simulación que implementa una metodología para la medición de esta última. Se tiene en cuenta que contar con datos exactos acerca de cómo los clientes finales perciben una marca es un tarea dispendiosa y que aún no tiene una fórmula matemática, por lo tanto, es muy subjetivo el proceso de entender a los consumidores por parte de los directivos de la empresa. El proceso planea que por medio del procedimiento planteado que se basa en una simulación por computador y más concretamente con una modelación basada en agentes se permita acercar a las partes involucradas en el proceso de compra, es decir, la empresa involucrada, vendedores, clientes y finalmente clientes potenciales.
Resumo:
Cuando las empresas evalúan los resultados de su planeación estratégica y de mercadeo se enfrentan en numerosas ocasiones al escepticismo sobre cómo dicha planeación favoreció o afectó la percepción hacia la empresa y sus productos. Este proyecto propone por medio del uso de una herramienta de simulación computacional reducir el factor de incertidumbre de LG Electronics en el valor percibido de marca por la población de Bogotá D.C. en cada una de sus líneas de producto; el grado de inversión en mercadeo, publicidad, distribución y servicio. Para ello los consumidores son modelados como agentes inteligentes con poder de recomendación, quienes se basan principalmente en la experiencia generada por el producto y en el grado de influencia de las estrategias de mercadeo que afectan su decisión de compra, de preferencia y de permanencia. Adicionalmente se mide la retribución en utilidades y en recordación de marca de las inversiones en mercadeo que la compañía realiza.
Resumo:
Al hacer la evaluación de los resultados asociados con procesos de planeación estratégica y mercadeo en las empresas, la dirección enfrenta un cierto nivel de incertidumbre al no saber si estos planes afectaron positiva o negativamente la posición de la empresa en su entorno. El presente trabajo hace uso de una herramienta de simulación basada en agentes inteligentes para reducir el mencionado factor de incertidumbre, en este caso, para la empresa Corgranos S.A. Se espera modelar el comportamiento de los grupos poblacionales directa e indirectamente involucrados con la empresa para así afinar los esfuerzos que se efectúan sobre cada uno de ellos, siendo la diferencia entre las suposiciones iniciales y los resultados de la simulación el verdadero aporte del trabajo.
Resumo:
El presente proyecto de investigación tiene como objetivo general evaluar la efectividad de los esfuerzos en la percepción de una marca a través de la compañía “Distr & Co.” en Colombia, teniendo como fuente principal un sistema de simulación basado en agentes inteligentes; con el que se busca mejorar la metodología para medir el desempeño de una marca dada. El proceso plantea que por medio de la modelación basada en agentes se pueda dar acercamiento a las partes involucradas en los procesos de compra, es decir, la empresa, vendedores, clientes y finalmente clientes potenciales.
Resumo:
Este estudio busca mostrar la utilidad del modelado basado en agentes (MbA) para estudiar diferentes fenómenos sociales. Dicha herramienta economiza tiempo y recursos, permitiendo analizar muchas variables para posteriormente seleccionar las más significativas y proseguir así con la investigación. Lo anterior se ilustra con un modelo que analiza el tiempo requerido para encontrar y atender enfermos según sea su tratamiento: domiciliario u hospitalario, si el personal puede compartir o no información sobre localización de enfermos y si estos residen densamente o no. Los resultados revelan que compartir información acorta significativamente el tiempo sólo para tratamientos hospitalarios y que la densidad no tiene impacto. Concluimos que MbA tiene grandes ventajas para el diseño de investigaciones sociales y asiste a la toma de decisiones en contextos profesionales.
Resumo:
El siguiente trabajo, a partir de la identificación de los diferentes sujetos que participan en el medio ambiente donde se desenvuelve el restaurante El Molino, busca determinar cuáles podrían ser las estrategias de mercadeo más efectivas para que la imagen, concepto y servicio del restaurante, la marca en general, resulte lo más atractivas posibles para los segmentos objetivo de la empresa. Dadas las circunstancias de que es un negocio reciente, no existen datos históricos de la imagen que proyecta la marca hacia sus clientes, por lo tanto la información a partir de la cual se pretenden generar alternativas para que la marca influencie a los clientes de la manera deseada será conseguida a partir de una simulación que será obtenida de un modelo basado en agentes. Con esto lo que se busca es poder parametrizar en qué aspectos y de qué forma la empresa debe invertir para que la forma en que los clientes perciben la marca sea la deseada por el restaurante.
Resumo:
Hoy en día, el emprendimiento se ha convertido en uno de los factores esenciales para promover el desarrollo y fomentar la evolución de la sociedad a nivel mundial. Enfocándonos en Colombia y más específicamente en una población delimitada, el centro de emprendimiento de la Universidad del Rosario desarrolló un estudio que permitiera medir la caracterización del perfil emprendedor de sus estudiantes, éste con el objetivo de identificar diferentes variables que inciden en el entorno de los estudiantes al momento de edificar su perfil emprendedor. Por lo anterior, esta investigación se centró en realizar un análisis de la caracterización del comportamiento del perfil emprendedor de los estudiantes de Pregrado de la Facultad de Jurisprudencia de la Universidad del Rosario, la cual permitió comprender un perfil mucho más detallado a la luz de variables identificables. Para su desarrollo, se utilizó la herramienta homologada a nivel internacional conocida como "Características del Comportamiento Emprendedor" o CCE de EMPRETEC basándose en la teoría de McClelland donde se observaron los factores motivacionales que se asocian directamente al comportamiento emprendedor. La metodología usada permitió caracterizar el comportamiento de los estudiantes de la facultad de Jurisprudencia de 1° a 10° semestre mediante la evaluación de 10 factores asociados a necesidades de logro, poder y afiliación.
Resumo:
El presente trabajo de investigación fue realizado con el propósito de modelar el proceso de percepción de marca a partir del análisis de los componentes provenientes de la marca “Bodytech”, esto con el fin de simular el proceso de percepción de marca y evaluar la efectividad de la misma. El proceso que se modela es el de percepción – razonamiento – acción y se hace con el fin de evaluar los gastos en cada uno de los “componentes” que antes mencionaron Para realizar el análisis se hizo uso de un sistema de simulación basada en agentes, el cual recibe valores de diferentes variables analizadas por medio de tres herramientas: (1) un diagrama de grupos poblacionales, (2) un diagrama de desagregación de los núcleos temáticos de la marca y (3) las conclusiones obtenidas de una entrevista que se realizó a los responsables de gestionar la marca. Dicho proceso se lleva a cabo con el fin de poder determinar los valores relacionados al gasto en cada uno de los núcleos temáticos que llevan al sistema a evaluar la percepción de marca y la efectividad de estos gastos. Posteriormente, basados en los resultados del sistema de simulación, se obtiene un escenario que puede ser entendido y parcialmente predicho que le permitirán a Bodytech tener una herramienta de valoración de percepción de su marca.
Resumo:
En el contexto organizacional actual, que se caracteriza por ser hiper-conectado, cambiante, globalizado y cargado de incertidumbre, la capacidad de las organizaciones para identificar y tratar provechosamente el riesgo se hace necesaria e ineludible. Dicho más claro: gestionar adecuadamente el riesgo se convierte en un aspecto crítico para la perdurabilidad de las organizaciones. Más allá de las comprensiones tradicionales del riesgo, cuyo núcleo es el riesgo financiero, nuevas tendencias –más generales y abarcadoras– se han gestado en las últimas décadas. Una de la más destacada es la gestión del riesgo sistémico. Pese a este reconocimiento, sin embargo, siguen predominando los enfoques analítico-financieros, sobre todo en el ámbito latinoamericano. Este trabajo de grado pretende, por tanto, hacer un análisis sobre la gestión del riesgo sistémico e identificar las diferentes tendencias del riesgo y sus potencialidades de cara al ambiente organizacional actual.
Resumo:
La computación evolutiva y muy especialmente los algoritmos genéticos son cada vez más empleados en las organizaciones para resolver sus problemas de gestión y toma de decisiones (Apoteker & Barthelemy, 2000). La literatura al respecto es creciente y algunos estados del arte han sido publicados. A pesar de esto, no hay un trabajo explícito que evalúe de forma sistemática el uso de los algoritmos genéticos en problemas específicos de los negocios internacionales (ejemplos de ello son la logística internacional, el comercio internacional, el mercadeo internacional, las finanzas internacionales o estrategia internacional). El propósito de este trabajo de grado es, por lo tanto, realizar un estado situacional de las aplicaciones de los algoritmos genéticos en los negocios internacionales.