Leverage, Volatile Future Earnings Growth and Expected Stock Returns

We provide theory and evidence to complement Choi's [RFS, 2013] important new insights on the returns to equity in `value' firms. We show that higher future earnings growth ameliorates the value-reducing effect of leverage and, because the market for earnings is incomplete, reduces the earnings-risk sensitivity of the default option. Ceteris paribus, a levered firm with low (high) earnings growth is more sensitive to the first (second) of these effects thus generating higher (lower) expected returns. We demonstrate this by modeling equity as an Asian-style call option on net earnings and find significant empirical support for our hypotheses.

Future Earnings Growth Volatility and the Value Premium

The value premium is well established in empirical asset pricing, but to date there is little understanding as to its fundamental drivers. We use a stochastic earnings valuation model to establish a direct link between the volatility of future earnings growth and firm value. We illustrate that risky earnings growth affects growth and value firms differently. We provide empirical evidence that the volatility of future earnings growth is a significant determinant of the value premium. Using data on individual firms and characteristic-sorted test portfolios, we also find that earnings growth volatility is significant in explaining the cross-sectional variation of stock returns. Our findings imply that the value premium is the rational consequence of accounting for risky earnings growth in the firm valuation process.

On the Use of Regression and Verbal Protocol Analysis in Modeling Analysts’ Behavior in an Unstructured Task Environment: A Methodological Note

This paper discusses areas for future research opportunities by addressing accounting issues faced by management accountants practicing in hospitality organizations. Specifically, the article focuses on the use of the uniform system of accounts by operating properties, the usefulness of allocating support costs to operated departments, extending our understanding of operating costs and performance measurement systems and the certification of practicing accountants.

Mikroyrityksen ja tilitoimiston välisten prosessien kehittäminen sähköistämisen avulla

Tämä tutkielma käsittelee mikroyrityksen ja tilitoimiston välistä yhteistyötä sekä sen edistämistä sähköistämisen keinoin. Aihetta käsitellään ulkoistamisen näkökulmasta, jolloin taloushallinnon prosessit käsittävät tilitoimiston ja yrityksen välisen tiedonvaihdon ja yhteistyön. Tutkielmassa käsitellään taloushallinnon roolia ja prosesseja sekä taloushallinnon ulkoistamisen teoreettisia lähtökohtia. Tämän jälkeen syvennytään taloushallinnon sähköistämiseen sekä sen etuihin ja haittoihin. Aiheita pyritään käsittelemään sekä yleisellä tasolla että mikroyritysten näkökulmasta. Tutkielman tavoitteena on teorian ja empiirisen tutkimuksen avulla selvittää, millaisia sähköisiä keinoja valitun kohdeyrityksen ja tilitoimiston yhteistyön kehittämiseen on tarjolla ja kuinka nämä keinot edistäisivät osapuolten välistä yhteistyötä. Työssä käytetty tutkimusmenetelmä on kvalitatiivinen ja tutkittavaa ilmiötä on tarkasteltu tapaustutkimuksen keinoin. Tutkimusaineisto kerättiin kohdeyrityksen omistajayrittäjältä keskusteluin sekä kohdeyrityksen käyttämälle tilitoimistolle sähköpostitse lähetetyllä kyselyllä. Tutkielmassa päädyttiin siihen, että sähköisistä menetelmistä on saatu apua esimerkiksi kuittikirjanpidossa. Käytössä olevien sähköisten palveluiden määrää sen sijaan voitaisiin vähentää ainakin poistamalla yksi laskujenhallintaohjelma käytöstä. Tämä edistäisi tositteiden kulkua yritykseltä kirjanpitäjälle ja samalla päästäisiin eroon myös yhdestä käyttöominaisuuksiltaan kehnosta laskujenhallintajärjestelmästä. Toisaalta todettiin, että ydinongelmat eivät loppujen lopuksi liity heikkoon teknologiaan vaan ihmisten välisiin suhteisiin eivätkä nämä ongelmat ole ratkaistavissa teknologian keinoin.

Pk-IFRS:n soveltamisen vaikutukset tilinpäätösinformaation tuottajille ja käyttäjille Euroopassa

Pk-yritykset ovat nousseet merkittäväksi puheenaiheeksi viime vuosina niiden työllistävän vaikutuksen vuoksi. Iso osa uusista työpaikoista on syntynyt pk-yrityksiin eikä suuriin yrityksiin. Samalla kansainvälistymiskehitys on ollut aikamme suurimpia muutosvoimia, jotka vaikuttavat talouselämään. Kansainvälistymällä yritykset ovat saaneet uusia väyliä hankkia rahoitusta, laajentaneet ja monipuolistaneet asiakaskuntaansa ja hankkineet skaalaetuja. Kansainvälisyys aiheuttaa haasteita yritysten taloudelliselle raportoinnille, joten pk-yrityksille luotiin pk-IFRS –standardisto. Sen tarkoituksena on parantaa vertailukelpoisuutta eri maista tulevien yritysten välillä ja keventää raportoinnin raskautta. Tässä tutkielmassa selvitettiin, miten pk-IFRS:n soveltaminen vaikuttaa tilinpäätösten tekijöihin ja käyttäjiin. Tutkielma alkaa teoria-osuudesta, jossa käytiin läpi tuoreita tutkimuksia, minkä pohjalta esiin nousseita kysymyksiä käyttäen tehtiin empiria-osuudessa analysoitava haastattelu. Tutkimuksessa saatiin selville, että tutkijoiden ja haastateltavan näkemykset pk-IFRS:tä ovat pääosin samanlaiset. Pk-IFRS:n ongelmia on sen lyhyys, mikä aiheuttaa tulkintaongelmia ja monimutkaisuus, joka kuormittaa raportoijan resursseja. Pk-yritykset toimivat useimmin vain kotimaassa, jolloin hyödyt jäävät rajallisiksi. Pienemmissä pk-yrityksissä tilinpäätöksiä käyttäviä sidosryhmiä on vähän, jolloin käyttäjien saamat hyödyt ovat pienet. Kuitenkin käypään arvoon arvostus ja tiedon annon vaatimukset voivat helpottaa rahoituksen saantia joillekin yrityksille, jos pk-IFRS:ää aletaan soveltaa samalla tavalla joka maassa ja yrityksessä.

The impact of household size on poverty: An analysis of various low-income townships in the Northern Free State region, South Africa

Poverty is a multi-dimensional socio-economic problem in most sub-Saharan African countries. The purpose of this study is to analyse the relationship between household size and poverty in low-income communities. The Northern Free State region in South Africa was selected as the study region. A sample of approximately 2 900 households was randomly selected within 12 poor communities in the region. A poverty line was calculated and 74% of all households were found to live below the poverty line. The Pearson’s chi-square test indicated a positive relationship between household size and poverty in eleven of the twelve low-income communities. Households below the poverty line presented larger households than those households above the poverty line. This finding is in contradiction with some findings in other African countries due to the fact that South Africa has higher levels of modernisation with less access to land for subsistence farming. Effective provision of basic needs, community facilities and access to assets such as land could assist poor households with better quality of life. Poor households also need to be granted access to economic opportunities, while also receiving adult education regarding financial management and reproductive health.

Os sistemas integrados de gestão na Administração Pública : Estratégias de desenvolvimento e reorientação organizacional. Estudo de um caso

Os Organismos públicos encontram-se, actualmente, a desenvolver estudos a nível dos Sistemas Integrados de Gestão, motivados pela necessidade que existe em adoptar novas técnicas de Gestão capazes de responder às novas exigências de informação. Em termos gerais, os Organismos públicos encontram-se numa fase de viragem na sua actuação, em que surge a necessidade de dispor de novos sistemas de informação capazes de dar resposta às exigências da Nova Gestão Pública. É certo que a Nova Gestão Pública conduz a uma maior motivação, proporcionando uma melhoria na obtenção dos resultados e modernizando a relação entre o controlo das despesas públicas e a prestação de contas a nível dos órgãos do Estado, e onde a uniformização de critérios se apresenta como um dos principais requisitos para criar condições de implementação de uma contabilidade pública que funcione como instrumento de apoio aos utilizadores da informação e, em particular, aos Órgãos de Chefia e Direcção. Este trabalho analisa o caso do Exército Português, como exemplo de um Organismo público que aproveitou a obrigatoriedade de adesão ao novo Regime de Administração Financeira do Estado, para promover a implementação de um Sistema Integrado de Gestão capaz de responder às novas exigências de informação. Analisam-se também as estratégias de actuação e reorientação organizacional utilizadas pelo Exército Português, de modo a permitir o desenvolvimento e implementação do sistema baseado na uniformização de critérios que garanta os requisitos e as técnicas de Gestão capazes de criar condições para desenvolver uma contabilidade pública que funcione como instrumento de apoio à decisão. ABSTRACT; At present, government entities are developing studies at an Integrated Management System level, impelled by the actual need of adopting new Management techniques capable of responding to the new demands regarding Information. ln global terms, government entities are reaching a turning point in its way of acting, due to the arising need of settling new information systems which provide an answer to the demands of the New Public Management. It is assured that the New Public Management leads to a higher motivation, providing an improvement in accomplishing results and modernizing the link between the control of public expenditure and presenting accounts of State Organs. It also presents the criteria standards as one of the main requirements to create implementation conditions of a public accounting which operates as a support mean to the information users and, more specifically, to the Command and Boarding Bodies. This study analyses the Portuguese Army, an example of government entity which seized the obligation of joining the New Public Financial Management Regime to promote the implementation of an Integrated Management System capable of responding to the new information demands. The performing strategies and organizational refocus used by the Portuguese Army are also analyzed in order to allow the development and implementation of the system. It is based in the standard criteria that secure the requirements and Management techniques which enable the progress of a public accounting acting as a support resource in decision-making.

Análisis de la ejecución presupuestaria en el gobierno autónomo descentralizado de la parroquia Checa en el período 2013

La presente Tesis se basa en el Análisis de la Ejecución presupuestaria del Gobierno Autónomo Descentralizado de la Parroquia Checa en el periodo 2013, para establecer si el presupuesto fue ejecutado de acuerdo al Plan Operativo Anual y se cumplió con los objetivos y metas propuestas en este año. En el Capítulo 1 se estudia al Gobierno Autónomo Descentralizado de la Parroquia Checa su misión, visión, funciones, competencias, estructura orgánica y funcional, reglamento interno de la junta Parroquial. En el Capítulo 2 se hemos recolecta información conceptual para esta investigación sobre el presupuesto, principios presupuestarios y el ciclo presupuestario además de información basada en leyes como el Código Orgánico de Organización Territorial, Autonomía y Descentralización, La Constitución de la República, Normativa de Presupuesto, Tesorería. En el Capítulo 3 se realiza la aplicación práctica mediante indicadores de calidad y de Gestión Financiera de cada una de las partidas presupuestarias de ingresos y gastos establecidas en la ejecución Presupuestaria en el año 2013 y su respectivo análisis. En el Capítulo 4 tenemos las Conclusiones y Recomendaciones emitidas al Gobierno Autónomo Descentralizado de la Parroquia Checa sobre la gestión realizada después de haber aplicado los indicadores de calidad y de Gestión Financiera.

Perfil do gestor desportivo de clubes de futebol : uma proposta de modelo de formação

Este estudo tem como objectivo a proposta de um modelo de formação para gestores desportivos em clubes de futebol em Portugal, através do estudo e análise do seu perfil profissional e das insuficiências detectadas na oferta de formação de qualidade na área da gestão desportiva. Para se chegar a estas conclusões, o método de investigação escolhido foi o questionário, que foi colocado a 27 directores desportivos, visto que foi impossível recolher mais amostras. Foi, de resto, por este motivo que o estudo demorou mais tempo a concluir do que o previsto, devido à demora e dificuldade em recolher respostas que nos pudessem levar aos objectivos definidos neste estudo. Os perfis profissionais na área do Futebol foram construídos tendo em conta as limitações que existem ao nível da gestão desportiva em Portugal. Tendo como base os três tipos de competências - saber, saber-fazer e saber-fazer relacional e social – o passo seguinte passou pela construção do modelo de formação especializada para gestores desportivos, visando áreas distintas como a Gestão Financeira, os Recursos Humanos e o Marketing. Espera-se que esta proposta de modelo possa fazer face às insuficiências que existem no que diz respeito à formação de qualidade de gestores desportivos em Portugal.

Fatores de proteção em arguidos de violência nas relações íntimas

Poster apresentado no VII Congresso Internacional da Sociedade Portuguesa de Psiquiatria e Psicologia da Justiça. Centro Hosp. Conde de Ferreira, Porto, 26 e 27 de Novembro 2015.

Fundo público e o financiamento das políticas sociais no Brasil

Apresentado no I simpósio orçamento público e políticas sociais, no dia 10 de abril de 2012, na Universidade Estadual de Londrina (UEL). Este artigo integra a pesquisa Financiamento Tributário da Política Social no PósReal, e conta com apoio financeiro do CNPq.

Plataforma de información financiera como herramienta de apoyo para la gestión y toma de decisiones en las Pymes

Las pymes se encuentran envueltas en problemas derivados en distorsiones del sistema empresarial, que incide en la mortalidad de las mismas: la falta de criterios para la toma de decisiones asertivas, lo cual tiene un impacto directo también en la economía en general, y contribuye al aumento del desempleo, la desaceleración económica y, finalmente, a la reducción de la calidad de vida de la sociedad -- El objetivo general de esta investigación consiste en proponer una plataforma de información financiera integral que se constituya en una herramienta de análisis para las pymes en Medellín, Colombia -- Para resolverlo, se desarrollan los siguientes objetivos específicos: 1. Diagnosticar la gestión empresarial en la toma de decisiones -- 2. Describir la información financiera necesaria para la toma de decisiones empresariales -- 3. Indicar los aspectos constitutivos de una plataforma financiera para la gestión empresarial -- Para mitigar esta problemática, la implementación del sistema de información financiero propuesto contribuye al entorno competitivo de las pymes, lo cual permite automatizar procesos, estabilidad laboral y empresarial, reducción de costos, accesibilidad a nuevas tecnologías y crear las bases para la toma de decisiones, con la finalidad de mejorar la competitividad de las micro, pequeñas y medianas empresas

ECONOMIC PROFITABILITY OF THE BAKKEN, NORTH DAKOTA UNCONVENTIONAL OIL PLAYS BASED ON A TYPICAL WELL PERFORMANCE WITH CURRENT MARKET CONDITIONS

Increases in oil prices after the economic recession have been surprising for domestic oil production in the United States since the beginning of 2009. Not only did the conventional oil extraction increase, but unconventional oil production and exploration also improved greatly with the favorable economic conditions. This favorable economy encourages companies to invest in new reservoirs and technological developments. Recently, enhanced drilling techniques including hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling have been supporting the domestic economy by way of unconventional shale and tight oil from various U.S. locations. One of the main contributors to this oil boom is the unconventional oil production from the North Dakota Bakken field. Horizontal drilling has increased oil production in the Bakken field, but the economic issues of unconventional oil extraction are still debatable due to volatile oil prices, high decline rates of production, a limited production period, high production costs, and lack of transportation. The economic profitability and viability of the unconventional oil play in the North Dakota Bakken was tested with an economic analysis of average Bakken unconventional well features. Scenario analysis demonstrated that a typical North Dakota Bakken unconventional oil well is profitable and viable as shown by three financial metrics; net present value, internal rate of return, and break-even prices.

Liquidity, Governance and Adverse Selection in Asset Pricing

A plethora of recent literature on asset pricing provides plenty of empirical evidence on the importance of liquidity, governance and adverse selection of equity on pricing of assets together with more traditional factors such as market beta and the Fama-French factors. However, literature has usually stressed that these factors are priced individually. In this dissertation we argue that these factors may be related to each other, hence not only individual but also joint tests of their significance is called for. In the three related essays, we examine the liquidity premium in the context of the finer three-digit SIC industry classification, joint importance of liquidity and governance factors as well as governance and adverse selection. Recent studies by Core, Guay and Rusticus (2006) and Ben-Rephael, Kadan and Wohl (2010) find that governance and liquidity premiums are dwindling in the last few years. One reason could be that liquidity is very unevenly distributed across industries. This could affect the interpretation of prior liquidity studies. Thus, in the first chapter we analyze the relation of industry clustering and liquidity risk following a finer industry classification suggested by Johnson, Moorman and Sorescu (2009). In the second chapter, we examine the dwindling influence of the governance factor if taken simultaneously with liquidity. We argue that this happens since governance characteristics are potentially a proxy for information asymmetry that may be better captured by market liquidity of a company’s shares. Hence, we jointly examine both the factors, namely, governance and liquidity – in a series of standard asset pricing tests. Our results reconfirm the importance of governance and liquidity in explaining stock returns thus independently corroborating the findings of Amihud (2002) and Gompers, Ishii and Metrick (2003). Moreover, governance is not subsumed by liquidity. Lastly, we analyze the relation of governance and adverse selection, and again corroborate previous findings of a priced governance factor. Furthermore, we ascertain the importance of microstructure measures in asset pricing by employing Huang and Stoll’s (1997) method to extract an adverse selection variable and finding evidence for its explanatory power in four-factor regressions.

Three Essays on Market Depth in Futures Markets

Liquidity is an important market characteristic for participants in every financial market. One of the three components of liquidity is market depth. Prior literature lacks a comprehensive analysis of depth in U.S. futures markets due to past limitations on the availability of data. However, recent innovations in data collection and dissemination provide new opportunities to investigate the depth dimension of liquidity. In this dissertation, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) Group proprietary database on depth is employed to study the dynamics of depth in the U.S. futures markets. This database allows for the analysis of depth along the entire limit order book rather than just at the first level. The first essay examines the characteristics of depth within the context of the five-deep limit order book. Results show that a large amount of depth is present in the book beyond the best level. Furthermore, the findings show that the characteristics of five-deep depth between day and night trading vary and that depth is unequal across levels within the limit order book. The second essay examines the link between the five-deep market depth and the bid-ask spread. The results suggest an inverse relation between the spread and the depth after adjusting for control factors. The third essay explores transitory volatility in relation to depth in the limit order book. Evidence supports the relation between an increase in volatility and a subsequent decrease in market depth. Overall, the results of this dissertation are consistent with limit order traders actively managing depth along the limit order book in electronic U.S. futures markets.