Integrating corporate social responsibility into business in Finnish consumer goods companies

The motives for this study originated from the notion that surprisingly little academic literature is found on actually managing and putting corporate social responsibility (CSR) into practice, in comparison with the definitions and frameworks of the concept itself. Regardless of the author, CSR has been considered consisting of three dimensions: economic, social and environmental. The question behind the three dimensions has always been whether socially and environmentally responsible behavior can lead to increased economic performance and improve the competitiveness of a company. Most of the current CSR development has related to the quantification of environmental and social performance in order to review these along with the established financial key ratios, which are based on the law and the reporting obligation of the companies. However, the previous research has mainly focused on US companies whereas studies with a European viewpoint, let alone Nordic, have been mostly lacking. Furthermore, it has been discovered recently that the integration of corporate responsibility into business is identified as the greatest challenge in CSR management in Finnish large companies. Therefore the integration of CSR into business in Finnish consumer goods companies provided an interesting, topical and somewhat obscure purpose for this study. This was further divided into three research questions concerning the reasons for CSR engagement, the role of the stakeholders and the practice of corporate responsibility. This study did not aim to build a new theory; instead an explorative viewpoint was regarded more appropriate. Accordingly, qualitative research approach and case study design were adopted in the study. Semi-structured theme interviews were used as a primary data collection method and complemented with secondary data such as websites, responsibility reports and another recent CSR study. There were four Finnish managers as interviewees of whom three presented companies and one non-profit organization. The results were somewhat convergent but differences arose as a result of the companies being at different stages as regards corporate responsibility. However, this provided only more insight into the implementation of CSR. The voluntary CSR initiatives, responsibility reporting, stakeholders and CSR management were identified as the most important viewpoints on the practical side of CSR, besides a key requirement for the integration of CSR into business to be credible was found to be a favorable management attitude. Based on the findings of this study it was admitted that giving concrete advice on CSR management is really a challenge and there is no one generally accepted and right manner to integrate corporate responsibility successfully into business.

Management of Cross Border Mergers and Acquisitions

This research thesis analyses the motivation behind the cross-border mergers and acquisitions deals. How mergers and acquisitions of new knowledge and assets, enhance business with expansion into new streams and international markets. Also, how mega deals help them to gain a power in the international markets. The research focuses on understanding the interrelation between motivations which are contributing to M&A activities and how issues like cultural differences and different management styles are overcome by these firms in cross-border settings. Chapter 1, gives a background knowledge on cross-border M&A as popular internationalization strategy choice, continuing with describing the process in Finnish and Japanese cultural context, and how these deals are proceeding in particular cases. Chapter 2, reviews the important findings and touches the common gaps or aspects those are not studied extensively, does play a key role in the success and failure of M&A deals. A methodology is presented in chapter 3, presenting the hurdles faced by many in this research field. Chapter 4, present the case study is presented to show how M&A can play an important role in structuring the entire economy of Japan. At last chapter 5, presents the evidence, if cultural, HRM and geographical aspects really contribute to the success of M&A, based on which managerial implications are suggested and propositions are built for future research references.

Talo, kartano, puutarha. Kauppahuoneen omistaja Marie Hackman ja hänen kulutusvalintansa varhaismodernissa Viipurissa

Tutkimuksessa keskitytään tutkimaan kuluttamista elämäntavan ja identiteetin muovaajana yhden yksilön elämän kautta. Kuluttamista tutkitaan statuskuluttamisen (conspicious consumption), tilallisuuden ja sukupuolihistorian käsitteistöä hyväksi käyttäen. Tutkimuksen lähteinä on käytetty liikekirjeitä ja tilikirjoja, yksityistä kirjeenvaihtoa, päiväkirjoja ja sanomalehtiä sekä aikalaismuistelmia. Naista lähdemateriaaleista on koottu sekä tilastollista aineistoa että kvalitatiivista, lähilukuun ja mikrohistorialliseen tutkimusotteeseen nojautuvaa tutkimusta. Tutkimus alkaa vuodesta 1799 ja päättyy 1830-luvulle, jolloin seuraava sukupolvi otti vastuun liiketoimista ja lähdeaineistossa tapahtui muutoksia kuluttamisen kirjaamisen suhteen. Tutkimuksen keskeiset käsitteet ovat statuskuluttaminen ja identiteetti. Näitä käsitteitä lähestytään Thorstein Veblenin, Norbert Eliaksen ja Pierre Bourdieun tutkimuksia apuna käyttäen. Tutkimus käsittelee erottautumisen ja jäljittelyn tematiikkaa merkittävimpänä kuluttamisen motivaattoreina. Lisaksi tutkimus nostaa esille hyvän maun ja muodinmukaisuuden kulutusvalintojen taustalla. Statuskuluttaminen kytkeytyy sosiaaliseen kanssakäymiseen. Kuluttamisen kohteet ovat esineitä ja asioita, joita pidetään esillä seurapiireissä. Kuluttaminen tapahtuu seuraelämän ehdoilla, sen mukavoittamiseksi, aseman osoittamiseksi seurapiireissä tai sosiaalisen paineen vuoksi. Tutkimus osoittaa kotitalouden merkityksen kuluttamisen paikkana ja kohteena. Tutkimus myös osoittaa naisten toimintakentän olleen kytköksissä kotitalouden asemaan yhteisössään sekä osoittaa, että sukupuolta pitää tarkastella suhteessa yksilön sosiaaliseen asemaan. Tutkimus osoittaa, että Marie Hackmanin kuluttaminen muuttui ikääntymisen myötä. Aseman osoittaminen oli merkittävämpää nuorena ja aseman ollessa vielä vakiintumattomampi.

Työvoiman vaihtuvuus ja sen syyt. Case: CGI – Global HR Shared Services, Filippiinit

Tämän Pro Gradu -tutkimuksen tavoite on Filippiineillä toimivan kohdeorganisaation sisäisen HR Shared Services palvelukeskuksen kokeman henkilöstön vaihtuvuuden erityispiirteiden sekä syiden ymmärtäminen. Tätä kautta pyritään hahmottamaan myös sopivia vaihtuvuuden hallintakeinoja organisaatiotasolla. Tapaustutkimus toteutettiin laadullisen tutkimuksen keinoja ja sekundaarista lähtödataa käyttäen. Tutkimustulokset osoittivat, että kohdeorganisaatio paini useiden toimiala- ja maakohtaisten vaihtuvuuden tekijöiden lisäksi muutamien organisaatiokohtaisten haasteiden kanssa, jotka heijastuivat sen kokemaan työvoiman vaihtuvuuteen. Yksikön tulee muun muassa panostaa sisäisiin urakehitysmahdollisuuksiin sekä johtajien ja uusien työntekijöiden koulutukseen. Suuri osa löydetyistä vaihtuvuuden syistä on ainakin osin organisaation hallittavissa ja tätä kautta saatiin luotua lista suositelluista toimenpiteistä, joilla kohdeorganisaatio voi pyrkiä hallitsemaan henkilöstönsä vaihtuvuutta.

Intellectual Capital Measurement in IT industry

The goal of this research – which is to critically analyze current theories and methods of intangible assets evaluation and potentially develop and test new methodology based on the practical example(s) in the IT industry. Having this goal in mind the main research questions in this paper will be: What are advantages and disadvantages of the current practices of measurement intellectual capital or valuation of intangible assets? How to properly measure intellectual capital in IT? Resulting method exhibits a new unique approach to the IC measurement and potentially even larger field of application. Despite the fact that in this particular research, I focused my attention on IT (Software and Internet services cluster – to be exact), the logic behind the method is applicable within any industry since the method is designed to be fully compliant with measurement theory and thus can be properly scaled for any application. Building a new method is a difficult and iterative process: in the current iteration the method stands out as rather a theoretical concept rather than a business tool, however even current concept totally fulfills its purpose as a benchmarking tool for measuring intellectual capital in IT industry.

Geochemistry and water quality of Lake Qarun, Egypt

Water geochemistry is a very important tool for studying the water quality in a given area. Geology and climate are the major natural factors controlling the chemistry of most natural waters. Anthropogenic impacts are the secondary sources of contamination in natural waters. This study presents the first integrative approach to the geochemistry and water quality of surface waters and Lake Qarun in the Fayoum catchment, Egypt. Moreover, geochemical modeling of Lake Qarun was firstly presented. The Nile River is the main source of water to the Fayoum watershed. To investigate the quality and geochemistry of this water, water samples from irrigation canals, drains and Lake Qarun were collected during the period 2010‒2013 from the whole Fayoum drainage basin to address the major processes and factors governing the evolution of water chemistry in the investigation area. About 34 physicochemical quality parameters, including major ions, oxygen isotopes, trace elements, nutrients and microbiological parameters were investigated in the water samples. Multivariable statistical analysis was used to interpret the interrelationship between the different studied parameters. Geochemical modeling of Lake Qarun was carried out using Hardie and Eugster’s evolutionary model and a model simulated by PHREEQC software. The crystallization sequence during evaporation of Lake Qarun brine was also studied using a Jänecke phase diagram involving the system Na‒K‒Mg‒ Cl‒SO4‒H2O. The results show that the chemistry of surface water in the Fayoum catchment evolves from Ca- Mg-HCO3 at the head waters to Ca‒Mg‒Cl‒SO4 and eventually to Na‒Cl downstream and at Lake Qarun. The main processes behind the high levels of Na, SO4 and Cl in downstream waters and in Lake Qarun are dissolution of evaporites from Fayoum soils followed by evapoconcentration. This was confirmed by binary plots between the different ions, Piper plot, Gibb’s plot and δ18O results. The modeled data proved that Lake Qarun brine evolves from drainage waters via an evaporation‒crystallization process. Through the precipitation of calcite and gypsum, the solution should reach the final composition "Na–Mg–SO4–Cl". As simulated by PHREEQC, further evaporation of lake brine can drive halite to precipitate in the final stages of evaporation. Significantly, the crystallization sequence during evaporation of the lake brine at the concentration ponds of the Egyptian Salts and Minerals Company (EMISAL) reflected the findings from both Hardie and Eugster’s evolutionary model and the PHREEQC simulated model. After crystallization of halite at the EMISAL ponds, the crystallization sequence during evaporation of the residual brine (bittern) was investigated using a Jänecke phase diagram at 35 °C. This diagram was more useful than PHREEQC for predicting the evaporation path especially in the case of this highly concentrated brine (bittern). The predicted crystallization path using a Jänecke phase diagram at 35 °C showed that halite, hexahydrite, kainite and kieserite should appear during bittern evaporation. Yet the actual crystallized mineral salts were only halite and hexahydrite. The absence of kainite was due to its metastability while the absence of kieserite was due to opposed relative humidity. The presence of a specific MgSO4.nH2O phase in ancient evaporite deposits can be used as a paleoclimatic indicator. Evaluation of surface water quality for agricultural purposes shows that some irrigation waters and all drainage waters have high salinities and therefore cannot be used for irrigation. Waters from irrigation canals used as a drinking water supply show higher concentrations of Al and suffer from high levels of total coliform (TC), fecal coliform (FC) and fecal streptococcus (FS). These waters cannot be used for drinking or agricultural purposes without treatment, because of their high health risk. Therefore it is crucial that environmental protection agencies and the media increase public awareness of this issue, especially in rural areas.

Structural and functional Studies of angucycline tailoring enzymes

Polyketides are a diverse group of natural products produced in many bacteria, fungi and plants. These metabolites have diverse biological activities and several members of this group are in clinical use as antibiotics, anticancer agents, antifungals and immunosuppressants. The different polyketides are produced by polyketide synthases, which catalyze the condensation of extender units into various polyketide scaffolds. After the biosynthesis of the polyketide backbone, more versatility is created to the molecule by tailoring enzymes catalyzing for instance hydroxylations, methylations and glycosylations. Flavoprotein monooxygenases (FPMO) and short-chain alcohol dehydrogenases/reductases (SDR) are two enzyme families that catalyze unusual tailoring reactions in the biosynthesis of natural products. In the experimental section, functions of homologous FPMO and SDR tailoring enzymes from five different angucycline pathways were studied in vitro. The results revealed how different angucyclinones are produced from a common intermediate and that FPMO JadH and SDR LanV are responsible for the divergence of jadomycins and landomycins, respectively, from other angucyclines. Structural studies of these tailoring enzymes revealed differences between homologous enzymes and enabled the use of structure-based protein engineering. Mutagenesis experiments gave important information about the enzymes behind the evolution of distinct angucycline metabolites. These experiments revealed a correlation between the substrate inhibition and bi-functionality in JadH homologue PgaE. In the case of LanV, analysis of mutagenesis results revealed that the difference between the stereospecificities of LanV and its homologues CabV and UrdMred is unexpectedly related to the conformation of the substrate rather than to the structure of the enzyme. Altogether, the results presented here have improved our knowledge about different steps of angucycline biosynthesis and the reaction mechanisms used by the tailoring enzymes behind these steps. This information can hopefully be used to modify these enzymes to produce novel metabolites, which have new biological targets or possess novel modes-of-action. The understanding of these unusual enzyme mechanisms is also interesting to enzymologists outside the field of natural product research.

Strategisen johdon dynaamiset kyvykkyydet tuoteinnovaation mahdollistajana healthtech-toimialalla

Tämän Pro Gradu –tutkielman tarkoituksena selvittää yritysten strategisen johdon roolia tuoteinnovaatioiden mahdollistajina. Tutkielmassa perehdytään dynaamisiin kyvykkyyksiin ja dynaamisiin johtamiskyvykkyyksiin tuoteinnovaatiotoiminnan taustalla healthtech-toimialalla. Tutkimuksen perustana on teoriakatsauksen pohjalta laadittu viitekehys, joka toimii pohjana tutkimuksen empiirisessä osuudessa. Viitekehys koostuu innovaatioteoriasta sekä dynaamisista kyvykkyyksistä, jotka ovat sensing-kyvykkyys, seizing-kyvykkyys ja reconfiguring-kyvykkyys. Kyvykkyyksien taustalta selvitetään minkälaisia prosesseja, rutiineja ja toimintatapoja yrityksillä, ja niiden strategisella johdolla, on tuoteinnovaatioiden johtamisessa. Tutkimuksessa empiriisessä osuudessa käytettiin tapaustutkimusta, jonka aineisto kerättiin tutkimuksen kohderyhmälle toteutuin teemahaastatteluin. Haastattelurunko koostui tutkielman viitekehyksen pohjalta. Teemahaastatteluiden litteroitu aineisto analysoitiin sisällönanalyysin keinoin, jonka jälkeen päädyttiin johtopäätöksiin siitä, minkälaisia prosesseja, rutiineja ja toimintatapoja kyvykkyyksien taustalla on, mikä on innovaatioiden rooli liiketoiminnalle, ja miten dynaamiset johtamiskyvykkyydet näyttäytyivät. Tärkeinpänä tutkimustuloksena havaittiin, että selkeitä teorian mukaisia rutiineja, prosesseja ja toimintatapoja löytyi niin uusien mahdollisuuksien havaitsemissa, niihin tarttumisessa kuin uhkilta suojautumisessa. Havaittiin myös, että toimialalla innovaatioiden rooli on korostunut.

Luonnonkiertovirtauksen kääntyminen pystyhöyrystimen lämmönvaihtoputkissa

Diplomityössä tutkitaan virtauksen kääntymistä Lappeenrannan teknillisen yliopiston PWR PACTEL –koelaitteiston pystyhöyrystimen lämmönvaihtoputkissa käyttäen APROS–prosessisimulointiohjelmaa. Työn teoriaosassa esitellään pystyhöyrystimillä varustettuja koelaitteistoja, erityisesti PWR PACTEL ja sen höyrystin. Lisäksi esitellään virtauksen kääntymisestä tehtyjä havaintoja ja käsitellään kääntymistä teoreettisesta näkökulmasta. Simulointiosan alussa esitellään työssä käytetty APROS –prosessisimulointiohjelma, sekä sen avulla höyrystimestä luodut mallit. Työssä on tutkittu virtauksen käännöstapahtumaa simuloimalla useita eri transienttitilanteita pienillä primäärimassavirroilla. Simulaatiotapauksissa havaittiin virtauksen kääntyvän höyrystimen eripituisissa lämmönvaihtoputkissa, tilanteesta riippuen pääosin lyhimmissä tai toisiksi lyhimmissä lämmönvaihtoputkissa. Transienttien eri vaiheiden, ts. primäärimassavirran muutos- ja tasaantumisvaiheiden pituuden havaittiin vaikuttavan siihen, minkä pituisissa putkissa kääntyminen tapahtuu ja missä järjestyksessä.

Entry Modes of Finnish Food Enterprises in Chinese Market

China’s phenomenal economic growth and social development have brought along interesting opportunities for Finnish companies. One intriguing sector offering significant growth potential is the food industry. Due to the local food safety issues, rising disposable income level and changing consumer habits, the demand for foreign food is increasing. Finnish food companies have much to offer in terms of high quality, food safety in production, technological development and innovation. The purpose of this study is to examine how the Finnish food enterprises choose their entry modes in the Chinese market. This study increases understanding of entry modes the Finnish companies can use to successfully enter the unpredictable market of China in the food industry context. The study examines the industry specific challenges and the possible solutions to them. Qualitative research is selected as research methodology for this study because the intention is to understand the reasons behind the Finnish food enterprises’ entry mode choices in the Chinese market. The study is conducted as a qualitative case analysis. Six Finnish case companies operating in the food industry were interviewed. The results of the research indicate that most of the food industry companies use exporting as their entry mode to China; only one case company used an investment mode. This study illustrates the significance of the factors related to company’s background, mode concerns and Chinese market influences in the entry mode choice.

Tilintarkastuksen odotuskuilu ja keinot odotuskuilun kaventamiseen kansainvälisten tieteellisten tutkimusten näkökulmasta

Tilintarkastuksen odotuskuilua on tutkittu pitkään ja yhtämittaisesti jo vuosikymmenten ajan ympäri maailmaa. Kansainvälisiä tutkimuksia tilintarkastuksen odotuskuilusta on valtava määrä, mutta tutkimustulokset odotuskuilun muodostumiseen vaikuttavista syistä ovat osittain epäselviä. Tämän pro gradu -tutkielman tavoitteena on koota yhteen kansainvälisten tutkimusten tuloksien pohjalta keskeisimmät syyt odotuskuilun muodostumiselle ja keinot odotuskuilun kaventamiseen käyttäen lähdemateriaalina 2000-luvulla ja sen jälkeen julkaistuja tutkimuksia. Tutkimus on toteutettu systemaattisena kirjallisuuskatsauksena. Lähdeaineisto haettiin systemaattisesti EBSCO-tietokannasta, jonka kautta lopulliseen aineistoon valikoitui yhteensä 31 tutkimusta. Tutkimustulokset osoittavat, että tilintarkastuksen odotuskuilu muodostuu ensisijaisesti johtuen yleisön kohtuuttomista odotuksista ja yleisön tietämättömyydestä tilintarkastajien velvollisuuksista. Todennäköisinä keinoina odotuskuilun kaventamisessa ovat tilintarkastusraportoinnin laajentaminen sekä yleisön kouluttaminen erityisesti tilintarkastajien roolista heitä koskevista velvollisuuksista. Tutkimustulokset eivät kuitenkaan osoittaneet yksimielistä keinoa siihen, kuinka yleisön kouluttaminen pitäisi toteuttaa.

Exploring business models for medical games: Key components and challenges

The costs of health care are going up in many countries. In order to provide affordable and effective health care solutions, new technologies and approaches are constantly being developed. In this research, video games are presented as a possible solution to the problem. Video games are fun, and nowadays most people like to spend time on them. In addition, recent studies have pointed out that video games can have notable health benefits. Health games have already been developed, used in practice, and researched. However, the bulk of health game studies have been concerned with the design or the effectiveness of the games; no actual business studies have been conducted on the subject, even though health games often lack commercial success despite their health benefits. This thesis seeks to fill this gap. The specific aim of this thesis is to develop a conceptual business model framework and empirically use it in explorative medical game business model research. In the first stage of this research, a literature review was conducted and the existing literature analyzed and synthesized into a conceptual business model framework consisting of six dimensions. The motivation behind the synthesis is the ongoing ambiguity around the business model concept. In the second stage, 22 semi-structured interviews were conducted with different professionals within the value network for medical games. The business model framework was present in all stages of the empirical research: First, in the data collection stage, the framework acted as a guiding instrument, focusing the interview process. Then, the interviews were coded and analyzed using the framework as a structure. The results were then reported following the structure of the framework. In the results, the interviewees highlighted several important considerations and issues for medical games concerning the six dimensions of the business model framework. Based on the key findings of this research, several key components of business models for medical games were identified and illustrated in a single figure. Furthermore, five notable challenges for business models for medical games were presented, and possible solutions for the challenges were postulated. Theoretically, these findings provide pioneering information on the untouched subject of business models for medical games. Moreover, the conceptual business model framework and its use in the novel context of medical games provide a contribution to the business model literature. Regarding practice, this thesis further accentuates that medical games can offer notable benefits to several stakeholder groups and offers advice to companies seeking to commercialize these games.

Effects of Fin Parameters on Gas-Side Heat Transfer Performance of H-Type Finned Tube Bundle in a Waste Heat Recovery Boiler

Alfa Laval Aalborg Oy designs and manufactures waste heat recovery systems utilizing extended surfaces. The waste heat recovery boiler considered in this thesis is a water-tube boiler where exhaust gas is used as the convective heat transfer medium and water or steam flowing inside the tubes is subject to cross-flow. This thesis aims to contribute to the design of waste heat recovery boiler unit by developing a numerical model of the H-type finned tube bundle currently used by Alfa Laval Aalborg Oy to evaluate the gas-side heat transfer performance. The main objective is to identify weaknesses and potential areas of development in the current H-type finned tube design. In addition, numerical simulations for a total of 15 cases with varying geometric parameters are conducted to investigate the heat transfer and pressure drop performance dependent on H-type fin geometry. The investigated geometric parameters include fin width and height, fin spacing, and fin thickness. Comparison between single and double tube type configuration is also conducted. Based on the simulation results, the local heat transfer and flow behaviour of the H-type finned tube is presented including boundary layer development between the fins, the formation of recirculation zone behind the tubes, and the local variations of flow velocity and temperature within the tube bundle and on the fin surface. Moreover, an evaluation of the effects of various fin parameters on heat transfer and pressure drop performance of H-type finned tube bundle has been provided. It was concluded that from the studied parameters fin spacing and fin width had the most significant effect on tube bundle performance and the effect of fin thickness was the least important. Furthermore, the results suggested that the heat transfer performance would increase due to enhanced turbulence if the current double tube configuration is replaced with single tube configuration, but further investigation and experimental measurements are required in order to validate the results.

Pertussis: infection, vaccination and gene polymorphisms

Pertussis or whooping cough is a human respiratory tract infection and a vaccine-preventable disease that is caused by Bordetella pertussis bacteria. Pertussis vaccination has been part of the Finnish national vaccine program since 1952. Despite extensive vaccinations, the incidence of pertussis has increased in many countries during the last decades. Large epidemics have been observed also in countries with high vaccine coverage. Inter-individual variation in immune responses is always encountered after vaccination. Low vaccine responses may cause vulnerability to pertussis even straight after vaccination. Reasons for low responses are not fully understood. The innate immune system is responsible for the initial recognition of pathogens and vaccine antigens. The role of innate immunity on pertussis immunity has not been thoroughly investigated. Mannose-binding lectin (MBL) and toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) are important molecules of the innate immune system and in the recognition of pathogens. Cytokines form a signaling network that have a notable role in immune responses after infections as well as after vaccinations. Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) is common in genes encoding these molecules and the polymorphisms have been reported to affect vaccine response after viral and bacterial vaccines. This study investigated the gene polymorphisms of MBL2, TLR4 and interleukin (IL)-10 promoter and their association with vaccine responses after acellular pertussis (aP) vaccination in Finnish adolescents and infants. Cell-mediated immune responses were investigated ten years after the previous pertussis vaccinations in young adults. In addition, the role of MBL deficiency in pertussis infection susceptibility was evaluated. The results of this study show that subjects with TLR4 polymorphism had lower antibody production and persistence after aP vaccination compared with normal allele. A specific SNP in the TLR4 gene was associated with decreased antibody responses and persistence in adolescents after aP booster vaccination. Cell-mediated immune responses were partly detected ten years after the previous vaccination; booster vaccine clearly enhanced the responses. In addition, subjects with IL-10 polymorphism had altered cell-mediated immune responses. MBL deficiency was found to be more frequent in pertussis patients than healthy controls but the polymorphism of MBL2 was not associated with antibody responses after acellular pertussis vaccination. The novel finding of this study was that genetic variation in the innate immune system seems to play a role in altered pertussis vaccine responses as well as in pertussis infection. These new findings enlighten the mechanisms behind the low responses after pertussis vaccination and help to predict risk factors related to this phenomenon.

Dependency of military capabilities on technological development

Our goal is to get better understanding of different kind of dependencies behind the high-level capability areas. The models are suitable for investigating present state capabilities or future developments of capabilities in the context of technology forecasting. Three levels are necessary for a model describing effects of technologies on military capabilities. These levels are capability areas, systems and technologies. The contribution of this paper is to present one possible model for interdependencies between technologies. Modelling interdependencies between technologies is the last building block in constructing a quantitative model for technological forecasting including necessary levels of abstraction. This study supplements our previous research and as a result we present a model for the whole process of capability modelling. As in our earlier studies, capability is defined as the probability of a successful task or operation or proper functioning of a system. In order to obtain numerical data to demonstrate our model, we conducted a questionnaire to a group of defence technology researchers where interdependencies between seven representative technologies were inquired. Because of a small number of participants in questionnaires and general uncertainties concerning subjective evaluations, only rough conclusions can be made from the numerical results