Synthesis, thermal characterization and rheological properties of a homologous series of polymethacrylate-based side-chain liquid crystal polymers

A new homologous series of side-chain liquid crystal polymers, the poly[omega-(4-cyanoazobenzene-4'-oxy)alkyl methacrylate]s, have been prepared in which the length of the flexible alkyl spacer is varied from 3 to 12 methylene units. All the polymers exhibit liquid crystalline behaviour; specifically, crystal E, smectic A and nematic phases are observed. The glass transition temperatures decrease on increasing spacer length before reaching a limiting value at ca. 30 degrees C. The clearing temperatures exhibit an odd-even effect on varying the length and parity of the spacer. This is attributed to the change in the average shape of the side chain as the parity of the spacer is varied. This rationalization also accounts for the observed alternation in the entropy change associated with the clearing transition. A weak relaxation is observed theologically for several members of this polymer series at temperatures above their respective glass transition temperatures. This is attributed either to specific motions of the smectic layers or to 180 degrees reorientational jumps of the long axis of the mesogenic unit about the polymer backbone. (C) 1997 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.

“If I Were Nick”: Men’s Responses to an Interactive Video Drama Series to Support Smoking Cessation

Background: Men continue to smoke in greater numbers than women; however, few interventions have been developed and tested to support men’s cessation. Men also tend to rely on quitting strategies associated with stereotypical manliness, such as willpower, stoicism and independence, but may lack the self‐efficacy skills required to sustain a quit. In this article we describe the development of and reception to an interactive video drama (IVD) series, composed of 7 brief scenarios, to support and strengthen men’s smoking cessation efforts. The value of IVD in health promotion is predicated on the evidence that viewers engage with the material when they are presented characters with whom they can personally identify. The video dramatizes the challenges unfolding in the life of the main character, Nick, on the first day of his quit and models the skills necessary to embark upon a sustainable quit. 
Objective: The objective was to describe men’s responses to the If I were Nick IVD series as part of a pilot study of QuitNow MenTM, an innovative smoking cessation website designed for men. Specific objectives were to explore the resonance of the main character of the IVD series with end‐users, and men’s perceptions of the effectiveness of the IVD series for supporting their quit self‐management. 
Methods: Seven brief IVD scenarios were developed, filmed with a professional actor and uploaded to a new online smoking cessation website, QuitNow MenTM.  A sample of 117 men who smoked were recruited into the study and provided baseline data prior to access to the QuitNow MenTM website for a 6 month period. During this time, 47 men chose to view the IVDs. Their responses to questions about the IVDs were collected in 3‐month and 6‐month online follow‐up surveys and analyzed using descriptive statistics. 
Findings: The majority of participants indicated they related to the main character, Nick. Participants who “strongly agreed” they could relate to Nick perceived significantly higher levels of support from the IVDs than the “neutral” and “disagree” groups (P <.001, d =2.0, P <.001 d =3.1). The “agree” and “neutral” groups were significantly higher on rated support from the videos than the “disagree” (P <.001 d =2.2, P =.01 d = 1.5). Participants’ perception of the main character was independent of participant age, education attainment or previous quit attempts. 
Conclusions: The findings suggest that IVD interventions may be an important addition to men’s smoking cessation programs. Given that the use of IVD scenarios in health promotion is in its infancy, the positive outcomes from this pilot study signal the potential for IVD and warrant ongoing evaluation in smoking cessation and, more generally, men’s health promotion.  

Open Source Telecommunications Framework for Time-Series Data from Smart Grid Sensors.

This paper presents a framework for a telecommunications interface which allows data from sensors embedded in Smart Grid applications to reliably archive data in an appropriate time-series database. The challenge in doing so is two-fold, firstly the various formats in which sensor data is represented, secondly the problems of telecoms reliability. A prototype of the authors' framework is detailed which showcases the main features of the framework in a case study featuring Phasor Measurement Units (PMU) as the application. Useful analysis of PMU data is achieved whenever data from multiple locations can be compared on a common time axis. The prototype developed highlights its reliability, extensibility and adoptability; features which are largely deferred from industry standards for data representation to proprietary database solutions. The open source framework presented provides link reliability for any type of Smart Grid sensor and is interoperable with existing proprietary database systems, and open database systems. The features of the authors' framework allow for researchers and developers to focus on the core of their real-time or historical analysis applications, rather than having to spend time interfacing with complex protocols.

Series Introduction: Centenary Classics

The Centenary Classics contains six titles in this special edition series. The year 2016 marks the beginning of the centenary period of the Irish Free State's establishment. This beautifully produced limited edition series examines the fascinating time of change and evolution in the Ireland of 100 years ago. Each volume is a first-hand account of individuals or events during the 1913-23 revolutionary period. They are each introduced by leading experts and academics in the field - giving a contemporary analysis of the original text - while a general series introduction by Fearghal McGarry sets the scene of the period. The complete series collectively tells the story of the birth of the Irish nation and consist of the following six titles: A Chronicle of Jails - Darrell Figgis; Civil War in Ulster - Joseph Johnston; Free State or Republic? - Padraig de Burca and John F. Boyle; Rising Out - Ernie O'Malley; Victory and Woe - Mossie Harnett and The Victory of Sinn Fein - P. S. O'Hegarty.

Supervised Aggregative Feature Extraction for Big Data Time Series Regression

In many applications, and especially those where batch processes are involved, a target scalar output of interest is often dependent on one or more time series of data. With the exponential growth in data logging in modern industries such time series are increasingly available for statistical modeling in soft sensing applications. In order to exploit time series data for predictive modelling, it is necessary to summarise the information they contain as a set of features to use as model regressors. Typically this is done in an unsupervised fashion using simple techniques such as computing statistical moments, principal components or wavelet decompositions, often leading to significant information loss and hence suboptimal predictive models. In this paper, a functional learning paradigm is exploited in a supervised fashion to derive continuous, smooth estimates of time series data (yielding aggregated local information), while simultaneously estimating a continuous shape function yielding optimal predictions. The proposed Supervised Aggregative Feature Extraction (SAFE) methodology can be extended to support nonlinear predictive models by embedding the functional learning framework in a Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces setting. SAFE has a number of attractive features including closed form solution and the ability to explicitly incorporate first and second order derivative information. Using simulation studies and a practical semiconductor manufacturing case study we highlight the strengths of the new methodology with respect to standard unsupervised feature extraction approaches.

Determinants of pediatric cataract program outcomes and follow-up in a large series in Mexico.

PURPOSE:

To report determinants of outcomes and follow-up in a large Mexican pediatric cataract project.

SETTING:

Hospital Luis Sanchez Bulnes, Mexico City, Mexico.

METHODS:

Data were collected prospectively from a pediatric cataract surgery program at the Hospital Luis Sanchez Bulnes, implemented by Helen Keller International. Preoperative data included age, sex, baseline visual acuity, type of cataract, laterality, and presence of conditions such as amblyopia. Surgical data included vitrectomy, capsulotomy, complications, and use of intraocular lenses (IOLs). Postoperative data included final visual acuity, refraction, number of follow-up visits, and program support for follow-up.

RESULTS:

Of 574 eyes of 415 children (mean age 7.1 years +/- 4.7 [SD]), IOLs were placed in 416 (87%). At least 1 follow-up was attended by 408 patients (98.3%) (mean total follow-up 3.5 +/- 1.8 months); 40% of eyes achieved a final visual acuity of 6/18 or better. Children living farther from the hospital had fewer postoperative visits (P = .04), while children receiving program support had more visits (P = .001). Factors predictive of better acuity included receiving an IOL during surgery (P = .04) and provision of postoperative spectacles (P = .001). Predictive of worse acuity were amblyopia (P = .003), postoperative complications (P = .0001), unilateral surgery (P = .0075), and female sex (P = .045).

CONCLUSIONS:

The results underscore the importance of surgical training in reducing complications, early intervention before amblyopia (observed in 40% of patients) can develop, and vigorous treatment if amblyopia is present. The positive impact of program support on follow-up is encouraging, although direct financial support may pose a problem for sustainability. More work is needed to understand reasons for worse outcomes in girls.

Parallel Time Series Analysis and Income Inequality: A New Approach to Comparative Case Studies

This case study deals with the role of time series analysis in sociology, and its relationship with the wider literature and methodology of comparative case study research. Time series analysis is now well-represented in top-ranked sociology journals, often in the form of ‘pooled time series’ research designs. These studies typically pool multiple countries together into a pooled time series cross-section panel, in order to provide a larger sample for more robust and comprehensive analysis. This approach is well suited to exploring trans-national phenomena, and for elaborating useful macro-level theories specific to social structures, national policies, and long-term historical processes. It is less suited however, to understanding how these global social processes work in different countries. As such, the complexities of individual countries - which often display very different or contradictory dynamics than those suggested in pooled studies – are subsumed. Meanwhile, a robust literature on comparative case-based methods exists in the social sciences, where researchers focus on differences between cases, and the complex ways in which they co-evolve or diverge over time. A good example of this is the inequality literature, where although panel studies suggest a general trend of rising inequality driven by the weakening power of labour, marketisation of welfare, and the rising power of capital, some countries have still managed to remain resilient. This case study takes a closer look at what can be learned by applying the insights of case-based comparative research to the method of time series analysis. Taking international income inequality as its point of departure, it argues that we have much to learn about the viability of different combinations of policy options by examining how they work in different countries over time. By taking representative cases from different welfare systems (liberal, social democratic, corporatist, or antipodean), we can better sharpen our theories of how policies can be more specifically engineered to offset rising inequality. This involves a fundamental realignment of the strategy of time series analysis, grounding it instead in a qualitative appreciation of the historical context of cases, as a basis for comparing effects between different countries.

A aprendizagem musical como elemento de aperfeiçoamento de competências matemáticas

Tomando como ponto de partida a relação entre música e matemática, nesta investigação temos como principal objetivo estudar a influência da aprendizagem musical no desempenho matemático. Pretendeu-se ainda observar o efeito de um conjunto de preditores no referido desempenho, mais concretamente do nível socioeconómico, da inteligência e de variáveis cognitivo-motivacionais (motivação, expectativas de autoeficácia e atribuições causais). Numa primeira parte, delineámos as linhas teóricas desta investigação. Começámos por relatar a relação entre música e matemática no âmbito da musicologia histórica, da teoria e análise musicais, da acústica e das tendências na composição musical, evidenciando os mecanismos de ligação entre elementos e conceitos musicais e tópicos e temas matemáticos. Relatámos os benefícios da exposição musical ao nível do desenvolvimento cognitivo e intelectual, destacando o aumento do raciocínio espacial, do desempenho matemático e da inteligência com a aprendizagem musical. De seguida, descrevemos o impacto das aulas de música no aumento do desempenho académico a várias disciplinas, nomeadamente a Matemática, enfatizando a associação da duração da aprendizagem musical com o aumento das capacidades matemáticas; para além do efeito da aprendizagem musical, procurámos ainda explicação de um desempenho académico melhorado com base em variáveis potenciadoras da performance, tais como o nível socioeconómico e a inteligência. Nesta linha de abordagem, explorámos os efeitos de variáveis influentes do desempenho académico fora do contexto musical, reportando-nos ao nível socioeconómico, à inteligência e às dimensões cognitivo-motivacionais (motivação, expectativas de autoeficácia e atribuições causais), destacando o poder preditivo da inteligência, seguido do nível socioeconómico e da motivação. Por fim, referimo-nos à interação entre música e encéfalo por meio das temáticas da plasticidade neural estrutural e funcional, do efeito da aprendizagem e performance musicais, da cognição musical e domínios não musicais, bem como dos fatores genéticos; sublinhamos a possibilidade de ligações entre a cognição musical e os domínios espacial e matemático. Numa segunda parte, apresentamos a investigação que desenvolvemos em contexto escolar com 112 alunos do 7º ano de escolaridade provenientes de 12 escolas do Ensino Básico. Nove são do Ensino Especializado de Música e três são do Ensino Regular. No total, as escolas enquadram-se nas zonas urbanas de Braga, Coimbra e Lisboa. O estudo possui carácter longitudinal e abrange três anos letivos, do 7º ao 9º anos de escolaridade. Após explanação dos objetivos, das hipóteses de investigação, da caracterização da amostra, da descrição dos instrumentos de avaliação e respetiva validação empírica, relatamos os resultados que encontrámos. Estes permitiram, por um lado, validar a hipótese de que os alunos submetidos ao ensino formal de música apresentam um desempenho matemático superior comparativamente aos alunos que não frequentaram este tipo de ensino (H1) e, por outro, sustentar que o número de anos de aprendizagem musical contribui para o aumento do desempenho matemático (H3). Sublinha-se, ainda, que os alunos de instrumento de teclado revelaram desempenho matemático mais elevado em relação aos seus pares que estudaram outros instrumentos. Já no que se refere ao poder preditivo do tipo de ensino (Ensino Especializado de Música vs. Ensino Regular), apurámos que a formação em música prevê melhores desempenhos a matemática; destaca-se que as variáveis em estudo, tais como o nível socioeconómico, a motivação, as expectativas de autoeficácia e a inteligência adicionam capacidade explicativa do desempenho matemático, sendo que a presença da aprendizagem musical perdeu aptidão preditiva apenas na presença da inteligência. Contudo, após controlo estatístico da inteligência, foi possível concluir que a aprendizagem musical mantém o poder preditivo no desempenho matemático (H2). Os resultados permitiram identificar em que tópicos e temas matemáticos relacionados com os elementos e conceitos musicais os alunos com aprendizagem musical apresentam melhores desempenhos, evidenciando-se os tópicos no âmbito da Geometria (H4). Observámos, também, que é possível prever o desempenho matemático a partir do raciocínio espacial dos alunos (H5). Finalmente, referimos as limitações, refletimos sobre as implicações que estes resultados poderão trazer no âmbito do ensino da música em Portugal e apontamos pistas conducentes ao desenvolvimento de investigações futuras.

Optimal alarms systems and its application to financial time series

This thesis focuses on the application of optimal alarm systems to non linear time series models. The most common classes of models in the analysis of real-valued and integer-valued time series are described. The construction of optimal alarm systems is covered and its applications explored. Considering models with conditional heteroscedasticity, particular attention is given to the Fractionally Integrated Asymmetric Power ARCH, FIAPARCH(p; d; q) model and an optimal alarm system is implemented, following both classical and Bayesian methodologies. Taking into consideration the particular characteristics of the APARCH(p; q) representation for financial time series, the introduction of a possible counterpart for modelling time series of counts is proposed: the INteger-valued Asymmetric Power ARCH, INAPARCH(p; q). The probabilistic properties of the INAPARCH(1; 1) model are comprehensively studied, the conditional maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method is applied and the asymptotic properties of the conditional ML estimator are obtained. The final part of the work consists on the implementation of an optimal alarm system to the INAPARCH(1; 1) model. An application is presented to real data series.

F. G. Teixeira e a comunidade matemática europeia nos séculos XIX-XX

Esta dissertação descreve o processo de integração dos matemáticos portugueses na comunidade matemática internacional no final do século XIX e início do século XX, focando-se na vida e obra do matemático Francisco Gomes Teixeira (1851-1933). Tenciona a ser mais um contributo para o reconhecimento nacional e internacional do matemático Gomes Teixeira analisando a sua obra como matemático e organizador científico em Portugal através de fontes, parcialmente ainda não conhecidas. Para esse efeito analisou-se a evolução histórica que ocorreu no mundo científico daquela época, em particular a formação da comunidade matemática através de iniciativas individuais ou coletivas, muitas vezes acompanhadas pela fundação de revistas e elaboração de manuais que contribuíram para a internacionalização e, de certa forma, para uma estandardização do estudo universitário básico. Em particular foi estudada a situação em Portugal, onde o papel de liderança foi assumido por Gomes Teixeira. Mostra-se como Gomes Teixeira, graças ao seu trabalho, ao seu talento como matemático e à sua atividade como organizador académico, conseguiu reduzir significativamente o isolamento científico de Portugal na área da matemática. Estudou-se em extensão a fundação de revistas científicas em diferentes países, acompanhando a sua evolução desde de revistas nacionais até revistas internacionais. Focando-nos no Jornal de Sciencias Matemáticas e Astronómicas, fundado em 1877 por Gomes Teixeira (mais tarde conhecido internacionalmente como Teixeira’s Journal), acompanhamos detalhadamente a sua transformação de uma revista nacional numa revista internacional, sendo esta transformação comum naquela época à maioria de revistas científicas importantes de outros países como, por exemplo, no caso do Jornal de Crelle, do Jornal de Liouville, ou outros. Estudou-se igualmente o reconhecimento a nível internacional, através de referências estrangeiras, da abordagem original de Gomes Teixeira à Análise Infinitesimal patente nos seus manuais. O interesse de Gomes Teixeira pela teoria das funções analíticas e pelos seus diferentes desenvolvimentos em série manifestou-se no grande número de artigos publicados sobre este tema e encontrou reconhecimento justo pela designação de um teorema que completa resultados de Lagrange e de Laurent como Teorema de Teixeira. Na sua análise do mérito científico de Gomes Teixeira esta dissertação restringiu-se conscientemente nesta área da Análise Matemática, uma vez que um estudo abrangente de toda a obra ultrapassasse o nosso objetivo. Foi também discutido o intenso intercâmbio científico levado a cabo por Gomes Teixeira através de correspondência e troca de publicações ou permuta de revistas com os matemáticos de diferentes países. Esta análise permitiu verificar um aumento da popularidade dos matemáticos portugueses através do incremento do número de artigos publicados no estrangeiro durante quase 30 anos. Uma fonte imprescindível nesta análise foi o Jahrbuch über die Fortschritte der Mathematik, cujas referências (em geral na língua alemã e por isso até agora quase nunca usadas na literatura Portuguesa) documentaram as publicações em quase todas as revistas matemáticas durante os anos da sua existência entre 1868 e 1942. Descreve-se a colaboração de Gomes Teixeira com diferentes organizações internacionais e documenta-se o apreço internacional por parte do mundo académico. Novos documentos traçam o processo de eleição como membro da Academia das Ciências Alemã Leopoldina, sob proposta de Georg Cantor e outros matemáticos alemães. Finalmente, incluí-se uma breve descrição das atividades levadas a cabo na Rússia, em Espanha e na Grécia em prol do processo de internacionalização da comunidade matemática europeia tendo em vista uma melhor contextualização do contributo de Gomes Teixeira para a integração de Portugal neste processo.

Integer-valued APARCH processes in the analysis of time series of counts

The Asymmetric Power Arch representation for the volatility was introduced by Ding et al.(1993) in order to account for asymmetric responses in the volatility in the analysis of continuous-valued financial time series like, for instance, the log-return series of foreign exchange rates, stock indices or share prices. As reported by Brannas and Quoreshi (2010), asymmetric responses in volatility are also observed in time series of counts such as the number of intra-day transactions in stocks. In this work, an asymmetric power autoregressive conditional Poisson model is introduced for the analysis of time series of counts exhibiting asymmetric overdispersion. Basic probabilistic and statistical properties are summarized and parameter estimation is discussed. A simulation study is presented to illustrate the proposed model. Finally, an empirical application to a set of data concerning the daily number of stock transactions is also presented to attest for its practical applicability in data analysis.

The Ethical Gold series

A series of five articles, published over six months in 2010, which explained the key ethical issues relating to sourcing gold. The Ethical Gold Series was written for practising jewellers, industrial jewellery manufacturers and the wider design community. The Ethical Gold Series was published in the Benchpeg Newsletter, an online jewellery industry journal, which in 2010 had over 5,500 subscribers. The material for the articles was drawn from a year of ethnographic fieldwork in the UK jewellery sector, funded by the AHRC, and field visits to preserved, operating and proposed gold mining sites in Alaska, California, Sweden, Wales and Scotland. The ethnographic fieldwork included ‘ethical gold’ promotional events, private industry meetings and jewellery trade shows and meetings with jewellery manufacturers and retailers, assayers, gold refiners and traders and environmental and fair trade campaigners.

Tarefas matemáticas em diferentes contextos escolares

Dissertação de mestrado, Ensino da Matemática no 3.º Ciclo do Ensino Básico e Ensino Secundário, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia, Universidade do Algarve, 2015