Comparison of Griffiths-II and Bayley-II tests for the developmental assessment of high-risk infants.

INTRODUCTION: Two important risk factors for abnormal neurodevelopment are preterm birth and neonatal hypoxic ischemic encephalopathy. The new revisions of Griffiths Mental Development Scale (Griffiths-II, [1996]) and the Bayley Scales of Infant Development (BSID-II, [1993]) are two of the most frequently used developmental diagnostics tests. The Griffiths-II is divided into five subscales and a global development quotient (QD), and the BSID-II is divided into two scales, the Mental scale (MDI) and the Psychomotor scale (PDI). The main objective of this research was to establish the extent to which developmental diagnoses obtained using the new revisions of these two tests are comparable for a given child. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Retrospective study of 18-months-old high-risk children examined with both tests in the follow-up Unit of the Clinic of Neonatology of our tertiary care university Hospital between 2011 and 2012. To determine the concurrent validity of the two tests paired t-tests and Pearson product-moment correlation coefficients were computed. Using the BSID-II as a gold standard, the performance of the Griffiths-II was analyzed with receiver operating curves. RESULTS: 61 patients (80.3% preterm, 14.7% neonatal asphyxia) were examined. For the BSID-II the MDI mean was 96.21 (range 67-133) and the PDI mean was 87.72 (range 49-114). For the Griffiths-II, the QD mean was 96.95 (range 60-124), the locomotors subscale mean was 92.57 (range 49-119). The score of the Griffiths locomotors subscale was significantly higher than the PDI (p<0.001). Between the Griffiths-II QD and the BSID-II MDI no significant difference was found, and the area under the curve was 0.93, showing good validity. All correlations were high and significant with a Pearson product-moment correlation coefficient >0.8. CONCLUSIONS: The meaning of the results for a given child was the same for the two tests. Two scores were interchangeable, the Griffiths-II QD and the BSID-II MDI.

Operational sex ratio, sexual conflict and the intensity of sexual selection.

Modern sexual selection theory indicates that reproductive costs rather than the operational sex ratio predict the intensity of sexual selection. We investigated sexual selection in the polygynandrous common lizard Lacerta vivipara. This species shows male aggression, causing high mating costs for females when adult sex ratios (ASR) are male-biased. We manipulated ASR in 12 experimental populations and quantified the intensity of sexual selection based on the relationship between reproductive success and body size. In sharp contrast to classical sexual selection theory predictions, positive directional sexual selection on male size was stronger and positive directional selection on female size weaker in female-biased populations than in male-biased populations. Thus, consistent with modern theory, directional sexual selection on male size was weaker in populations with higher female mating costs. This suggests that the costs of breeding, but not the operational sex ratio, correctly predicted the strength of sexual selection.

Visual performance in preterm infants with brain injuries compared with low-risk preterm infants

Background: Neonatal brain injuries are the main cause of visual deficit produced by damage to posterior visual pathways.While there are several studies of visual function in low-risk preterm infants or older children with brain injuries, research in children of early age is lacking. Aim: To assess several aspects of visual function in preterm infants with brain injuries and to compare them with another group of low-risk preterm infants of the same age. Study design and subjects: Forty-eight preterm infants with brain injuries and 56 low-risk preterm infants. Outcome measures: The ML Leonhardt Battery of Optotypes was used to assess visual functions. This test was previously validated at a post-menstrual age of 40 weeks in newborns and at 30-plus weeks in preterm infants. Results: The group of preterminfants with brain lesions showed a delayed pattern of visual functions in alertness, fixation, visual attention and tracking behavior compared to infants in the healthy preterm group. The differences between both groups, in the visual behaviors analyzed were around 30%. These visual functions could be identified from the first weeks of life. Conclusion: Our results confirm the importance of using a straightforward screening test with preterminfants in order to assess altered visual function, especially in infants with brain injuries. The findings also highlight the need to provide visual stimulation very early on in life.

Cardiovascular risk among hypertensive adolescents and the potential benefit of a screen-and-treat strategy.

To evaluate whether screening for hypertension should start early in life, information on the risk of diseases associated with the level of blood pressure in childhood or adolescence is needed. The study by Leiba et al. that is reported in the current issue of Pediatric Nephrology demonstrates convincingly that hypertensive adolescents are at higher risk of cardiovascular death than normotensive adolescents. Nevertheless, it can be shown that this excess risk is not sufficient to justify a screen-and-treat strategy. Since the large majority of cardiovascular deaths occur among normotensive adolescents, measures for primordial prevention of cardiovascular diseases could have a much larger impact at the population level.

Consultation for Disordered Puberty: What Do Adolescent Medicine Patients Teach Us?

The period of adolescence is not only marked by important growth and pubertal events, but is also characterized by important psychosocial changes driven by a search for autonomy and the construction of one's identity. It can thus be easily understood that puberty disorders interfere heavily with these process, requiring from the endocrinologist not only medical knowledge, but also a great deal of emotional and psychological skills. They must progressively move from an educational approach that heavily involves the parents to one of shared information and decision making that places the young patient at the center of the therapeutic process. This can be achieved in several ways: respecting the affective and cognitive development of the adolescent; securing his privacy and (if requested by him) confidentiality; exploring his self-image and self-esteem and adapting the therapeutic process to the patient's expectations; reviewing the teenager's lifestyle, including the issue of sexuality and sexual behavior, and involving him in any therapeutic choice that has to be made, even if it does not match with the parents' expectations. The skills required for this respectful and holistic follow-up often exceed the abilities of any physician; it is thus suggested that a team approach involving a clinical nurse and/or a psychologist and/or social worker(s) be set up whenever possible.

Detecting Heterogeneous Risk Attitudes with Mixed Gambles

We propose a task for eliciting attitudes toward risk that is close to real-world risky decisions which typically involve gains and losses. The task consists of accepting or rejecting gambles that provide a gain with probability p and a loss with probability 1−p . We employ finite mixture models to uncover heterogeneity in risk preferences and find that (i) behavior is heterogeneous, with one half of the subjects behaving as expected utility maximizers, (ii) for the others, reference-dependent models perform better than those where subjects derive utility from final outcomes, (iii) models with sign-dependent decision weights perform better than those without, and (iv) there is no evidence for loss aversion. The procedure is sufficiently simple so that it can be easily used in field or lab experiments where risk elicitation is not the main experiment.

Epidemiological studies of childhood and adolescence headache

The main purpose of this study was to examine the changes in the prevalence, incidence, and characteristics of headache in childhood and adolescence. In addition, the predictors of the change in the occurrence of childhood headache and the association between adolescent headache and behavior were studied. The occurrence and characteristics of headache were investigated as part of a prospective follow-up study, where 6-year-old children and their families (n=1132) were followed to the age of 12-years (n=1126). The study design entailed both a cohort and case-control group. The incidence of headache and the association between headache and behavior were studied in another cohort, consisting of 11-year-old twins (n=5393), who were followed to the age of 17 (n=4159). The prevalence rates of headache increased during the follow-up, especially in boys whose mothers suffered from frequent headache. The incidence rates of frequent headache changed the most in girls between ages of 11 and 14. Early-onset migraine and tension-type headache were equal predictors of migraine at age 12. The age-related changes observed in pain localization, concurrent symptoms and triggers were considerable. Headache frequency was significantly associated with externalizing and internalizing problem behaviors and adaptive behaviors as rated by parents, but only with externalizing problem behaviors as rated by teachers. Headache both in children and adolescents is characterized by its changing nature. Its prevention and treatment should take familial, environmental and psychosocial aspects into account.

Tracking of physical activity during adolescence: The 1993 Pelotas Birth Cohort, Brazil

Objective: To analyze physical activity during adolescence in participants of the 1993 Pelotas Birth Cohort Study, Brazil. Methods: Data on leisure time physical activity at 11, 15, and 18 years of age were analyzed. At each visit, a cut-off point of 300 min/week was used to classify adolescents as active or inactive. A total of 3,736 participants provided data on physical activity at each of the three age points. Results: A significant decline in the proportion of active adolescents was observed from 11 to 18 years of age, particularly among girls (from 32.9% to 21.7%). The proportions of girls and boys who were active at all three age points were 28.0% and 55.1%, respectively. After adjustment for sex, economic status, and skin color, participants who were active at 11 and 15 years of age were 58.0% more likely to be active at 18 years of age compared with those who were inactive at 11 and 15 years of age. Conclusions: Physical activity declined during adolescence and inactivity tended to track over time. Our findings reinforce the need to promote physical activity at early stages of life, because active behavior established early tends to be maintained over time.

Expertise and decision making among clinicians in investigations of alleged child sexual abuse

The purpose of the present thesis was to explore different aspects of decision making and expertise in investigations of child sexual abuse (CSA) and subsequently shed some light on the reasons for shortcomings in the investigation processes. Clinicians’ subjective attitudes as well as scientifically based knowledge concerning CSA, CSA investigation and interviewing were explored. Furthermore the clinicians’ own view on their expertise and what enhances this expertise was investigated. Also, the effects of scientific knowledge, experience and attitudes on the decision making in a case of CSA were explored. Finally, the effects of different kinds of feedback as well as experience on the ability to evaluate CSA in the light of children’s behavior and base rates were investigated. Both explorative and experimental methods were used. The purpose of Study I was to investigate whether clinicians investigating child sexual abuse (CSA) rely more on scientific knowledge or on clinical experience when evaluating their own expertise. Another goal was to check what kind of beliefs the clinicians held. The connections between these different factors were investigated. A questionnaire covering items concerning demographic data, experience, knowledge about CSA, selfevaluated expertise and beliefs about CSA was given to social workers, child psychiatrists and psychologists working with children. The results showed that the clinicians relied more on their clinical experience than on scientific knowledge when evaluating their expertise as investigators of CSA. Furthermore, social workers possessed stronger attitudes in favor of children than the other groups, while child psychiatrists had more negative attitudes towards the criminal justice system. Male participants held less strong beliefs than female participants. The findings indicate that the education of CSA investigators should focus more on theoretical knowledge and decision making processes as well as the role of beliefs In Study II school and family counseling psychologists completed a Child Sexual Abuse Attitude and Belief Scale. Four CSA related attitude and belief subscales were identified: 1. The Disclosure subscale reflecting favoring a disclosure at any cost, 2. The Pro-Child subscale reflecting unconditional belief in children's reports, 3. The Intuition subscale reflecting favoring an intuitive approach to CSA investigations, and 4. The Anti Criminal Justice System subscale reflecting negative attitudes towards the legal system. Beliefs that were erroneous according to empirical research were analyzed separately. The results suggest that some psychologists hold extreme attitudes and many erroneous beliefs related to CSA. Some misconceptions are common. Female participants tended to hold stronger attitudes than male participants. The more training in interviewing children the participants have, the more erroneous beliefs and stronger attitudes they hold. Experience did not affect attitudes and beliefs. In Study III mental health professionals’ sensitivity to suggestive interviewing in CSA cases was explored. Furthermore, the effects of attitudes and beliefs related to CSA and experience with CSA investigations on the sensitivity to suggestive influences in the interview were investigated. Also, the effect of base rate estimates of CSA on decisions was examined. A questionnaire covering items concerning demographic data, different aspects of clinical experience, self-evaluated expertise, beliefs and knowledge about CSA and a set of ambiguous material based on real trial documents concerning an alleged CSA case was given to child mental health professionals. The experiment was based on a 2 x 2 x 2 x 2 (leading questions: yes vs no) x (stereotype induction: yes vs no) x (emotional tone: pressure to respond vs no pressure to respond) x (threats and rewards: yes vs no) between-subjects factorial design, in which the suggestiveness of the methods with which the responses of the child were obtained were varied. There was an additional condition in which the material did not contain any interview transcripts. The results showed that clinicians are sensitive only to the presence of leading questions but not to the presence of other suggestive techniques. Furthermore, the clinicians were not sensitive to the possibility that suggestive techniques could have been used when no interview transcripts had been included in the trial material. Experience had an effect on the sensitivity of the clinicians only regarding leading questions. Strong beliefs related to CSA lessened the sensitivity to leading questions. Those showing strong beliefs on the belief scales used in this study were even more prone to prosecute than other participants when other suggestive influences than leading questions were present. Controversy exists regarding effects of experience and feedback on clinical decision making. In Study IV the impact of the number of handled cases and of feedback on the decisions in cases of alleged CSA was investigated. One-hundred vignettes describing cases of suspected CSA were given to students with no experience with investigating CSA. The vignettes were based on statistical data about symptoms and prevalence of CSA. According to the theoretical likelihood of CSA the children described were categorized as abused or not abused. The participants were asked to decide whether abuse had occurred. They were divided into 4 groups: one received feedback on whether their decision was right or wrong, one received information about cognitive processes involved in decision making, one received both, and one did not receive feedback at all. The results showed that participants who received feedback on their performance made more correct positive decisions and participants who got information about decision making processes made more correct negative decisions. Feedback and information combined decreased the number of correct positive decisions but increased the number of correct negative decisions. The number of read cases had in itself a positive effect on correct positive decision.

Epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition mediates docetaxel resistance and high risk of relapse in prostate cancer

Molecular characterization of radical prostatectomy specimens after systemic therapy may identify a gene expression profile for resistance to therapy. This study assessed tumor cells from patients with prostate cancer participating in a phase II neoadjuvant docetaxel and androgen deprivation trial to identify mediators of resistance. Transcriptional level of 93 genes from a docetaxel-resistant prostate cancer cell lines microarray study was analyzed by TaqMan low-density arrays in tumors from patients with high-risk localized prostate cancer (36 surgically treated, 28 with neoadjuvant docetaxel þ androgen deprivation). Gene expression was compared between groups and correlated with clinical outcome. VIM, AR and RELA were validated by immunohistochemistry. CD44 and ZEB1 expression was tested by immunofluorescence in cells and tumor samples. Parental and docetaxel-resistant castration-resistant prostate cancer cell lines were tested for epithelial-to-mesenchymal transition (EMT) markers before and after docetaxel exposure. Reversion of EMT phenotype was investigated as a docetaxel resistance reversion strategy. Expression of 63 (67.7%) genes differed between groups (P < 0.05), including genes related to androgen receptor, NF-k B transcription factor, and EMT. Increased expression of EMT markers correlated with radiologic relapse. Docetaxel-resistant cells had increased EMT and stem-like cell markers expression. ZEB1 siRNA transfection reverted docetaxel resistance and reduced CD44 expression in DU-145R and PC-3R. Before docetaxel exposure, a selected CD44 þ subpopulation of PC-3 cells exhibited EMT phenotype and intrinsic docetaxel resistance; ZEB1/CD44 þ subpopulations were found in tumor cell lines and primary tumors; this correlated with aggressive clinical behavior. This study identifies genes potentially related to chemotherapy resistance and supports evi-dence of the EMT role in docetaxel resistance and adverse clinical behavior in early prostate cancer.

Sexual foraging segregation in South American sea lions increases during the pre-breeding period in the La Plata River plume

Stable carbon and nitrogen isotopes in skin and bone of South American sea lions from Brazil and Uruguay were analysed to test the hypothesis that trophic overlap between the sexes is lower during the pre-breeding season than throughout the rest of the year. The isotopic values of skin and bone were used to infer the trophic relationships between the sexes during the pre-breeding period and year round, respectively. Prey species were also analysed to establish a baseline necessary for interpreting the stable isotope ratios of skin and bone. Standard ellipse areas, estimated using Bayesian inference in the SIBER routine of the SIAR package in R, suggested that males and females used a wide diversity of foraging strategies throughout the year and that no differences existed between the sexes. However, the diversity of foraging strategies was largely reduced during the pre-breeding period, with all the individuals of each sex adopting similar strategies, but with the two sexes differing considerably in stable isotope values and the ellipse areas of males and females not overlapping at all. Nevertheless, the results revealed a general increase in the consumption of pelagic prey by both sexes during the pre-breeding period. The progressive crowding of individuals in the areas surrounding the breeding rookeries during the pre-breeding period could lead to an increase in the local population density, which could explain the above reported changes.

Commodity Price Driven Risk Management from Viewpoint of High Grade Steel Alloys

The study of price risk management concerning high grade steel alloys and their components was conducted. This study was focused in metal commodities, of which nickel, chrome and molybdenum were in a central role. Also possible hedging instruments and strategies for referred metals were studied. In the literature part main themes are price formation of Ni, Cr and Mo, the functioning of metal exchanges and main hedging instruments for metal commodities. This section also covers how micro and macro variables may affect metal prices from the viewpoint of short as well as longer time period. The experimental part consists of three sections. In the first part, multiple regression model with seven explanatory variables was constructed to describe price behavior of nickel. Results were compared after this with information created with comparable simple regression model. Additionally, long time mean price reversion of nickel was studied. In the second part, theoretical price of CF8M alloy was studied by using nickel, ferro-chrome and ferro-molybdenum as explanatory variables. In the last section, cross hedging possibilities for illiquid FeCr -metal was studied with five LME futures. Also this section covers new information concerning possible forthcoming molybdenum future contracts as well. The results of this study confirm, that linear regression models which are based on the assumption of market rationality, are not able to reliably describe price development of metals at issue. Models fulfilling assumptions for linear regression may though include useful information of statistical significant variables which have effect on metal prices. According to the experimental part, short futures were found to incorporate the most accurate information concerning the price movements in the future. However, not even 3M futures were able to predict turning point in the market before the faced slump. Cross hedging seemed to be very doubtful risk management strategy for illiquid metals, because correlations coefficients were found to be very sensitive for the chosen time span.

Physical activity in adolescence - with special reference to cardiovascular health

Liikunta ja sydän- ja verisuoniterveys nuorilla Aikuisiällä ilmenevien sydän- ja verisuonisairauksien kehitys alkaa lapsuudessa. Vähäinen liikunta lisää vaaraa sairastua sydän- ja verisuonisairauksiin sekä vaikuttaa haitallisesti näiden sairauksien riskitekijöihin läpi elämän. Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli tutkia nuorten liikuntaa ja sen yhteyttä sydän- ja verisuoniterveyteen. Sydän- ja verisuoniterveyttä tutkittiin riskitekijöiden sekä valtimon laajentumiskyvyn avulla. Tutkittavat koostuivat nuorista, jotka osallistuivat pitkäaikaisen sepelvaltimotaudin ehkäisytutkimuksen (STRIP) 13-vuotistutkimuskäynnille ja jotka raportoivat vapaa-ajan liikuntatottumuksensa (n=560). Liikunnan lisäksi nuorten pituus, paino, verenpaine ja olkavaltimon laajentumiskyky mitattiin sekä analysoitiin laboratorionäytteitä (otettiin verinäyte) ja selvitettiin ruoankäyttöä. Vähäinen vapaa-ajan liikunta oli yleistä etenkin tytöillä. Vapaa-ajallaan vähän liikkuvat pojat viettivät enemmän aikaa televisio- ja tietokoneruudun ääressä kuin vapaa-ajallaan paljon liikkuvat pojat. Äidin, toisin kuin isän, vapaa-ajan liikunta ja paino olivat yhteydessä lapsen vapaa-ajan liikuntaan. Vähän liikkuvat tytöt olivat olleet jo kahden vuoden iästä saakka useammin ylipainoisia kuin runsaammin liikkuvat ikätoverinsa. Sydän- ja verisuonisairauksien riskitekijöiden kasautuminen oli tavallisempaa vähän kuin paljon liikkuvilla nuorilla. Vähän liikkuvilla pojilla oli lisäksi huonompi olkavaltimon laajentumiskyky kuin paljon liikkuvilla pojilla. Tämä on tärkeä löydös, koska valtimon laajentumiskyky kuvannee sydän- ja verisuoniterveyttä jo ennen rakenteellisten muutosten ilmaantumista. Useat nuoret, etenkin tytöt, liikkuivat vähän vapaa-ajallaan. Vähäisellä vapaa-ajan liikunnalla oli haitallinen yhteys sydän- ja verisuonisairauksien riskitekijöihin sekä valtimon laajentumiskykyyn. Nuorten kannustaminen liikunnalliseen elämäntapaan on erittäin tärkeää sydän- ja verisuoniterveyden edistämiseksi sekä nuoren että kansanterveyden kannalta.

Nuorisorikollisuuden esiintyvyys, taustatekijät ja sovittelu

Tausta Vaikka nuorisorikollisuus on kriminologisen tutkimuksen perinteinen kohde, on edelleen tarvetta pitkittäistutkimuksille, joissa on laaja, koko väestöä edustava otos. Kriminaalipolitiikan alalla puolestaan rikosten sovittelu ja muut restoratiivisen oikeuden muodot ovat nousseet Suomessakin haastamaan perinteiset rikoskontrollin paradigmat, rangaistuksen ja hoidon. Tutkimuskysymykset Tutkimuksen pääkysymyksenä oli, mitkä lapsuudessa (8 v.) ja nuoruudessa (18 v.) mitatut psykososiaaliset tekijät ovat yhteydessä nuorisorikollisuuden (16-20 v.) määrään ja lajiin. Lisäksi yhtenä kysymyksenä oli, miten varusmiespalvelun aikaiset psykiatriset diagnoosit liittyvät nuorisorikollisuuteen. Lisäksi tutkimme nuorisorikollisuuden esiintyvyyttä ja palvelujen käyttöä, ja vertailimme eri informanttien (tutkimushenkilöt itse, vanhemmat ja opettajat) vastausten ennusvoimaa lasten tulevan rikollisuuden suhteen. Rikosten sovittelun osalta kysymyksenä oli, miten suomalainen sovittelukäytäntö vastaa restoratiivisen oikeuden teoriaa ja miten sovittelua pitäisi kehittää. Aineisto ja metodit Pitkittäistutkimuksemme aineistona oli valtakunnallisesti edustava satunnaisotos, joka vastasi 10% vuonna 1981 Suomessa syntyneistä suomenkielisistä pojista. Ensimmäinen tiedonkeruu tapahtui 1989, kun pojat olivat 8-vuotiaita. Tietoa kerättiin lomakekyselyin pojilta itseltään sekä heidän vanhemmiltaan ja opettajiltaan. Tietoja saatiin 2946 pojasta. Lasten lomakkeena oli Children’s Depression Inventory, vanhemman lomakkeena Rutter A2 ja opettajan lomakkeena Rutter B2. Toinen tiedonkeruu järjestettiin, kun pojat osallistuivat kutsuntoihin 1999. Tietoja saatiin 2330 pojasta. Lomakkeena oli Young Adult Self-Report . Puolustusvoimien rekisteristä saatiin tiedot poikien kutsunnoissa ja palvelusaikana (vuosina 1999-04) saamista psykiatrisista diagnooseista, jotka luokiteltiin kuuteen luokkaan: antisosiaalinen persoonallisuushäiriö, päihdehäiriöt, psykoottiset häiriöt, ahdistuneisuushäiriöt, masennustilat ja sopeutumishäiriöt. Tieto mahdollisesta diagnoosista saatiin 2712 pojasta. Rikollisuus operationalisoitiin poliisin ns. RIKI-rekisteriin vuosina 1998-2001 rekisteröityjen tekojen avulla, kun pojat olivat pääasiassa 16-20-vuotiaita. Rikosten määrän mukaan pojat jaettiin neljään ryhmään: ei rikoksia, 1-2 rikosta (satunnainen rikollisuus), 3-5 rikosta (uusintarikollisuus) ja yli 5 rikosta (aktiivinen uusintarikollisuus). Rikoslajeista muodostettiin viisi kategoriaa: huume-, väkivalta-, omaisuus-, liikenne- ja rattijuopumusrikollisuus. Analyysivaiheessa rekisteridatasta poistettiin liikennerikkomukset. Kaikkiaan tiedot mahdollisista poliisikontakteista saatiin 2866 pojasta. Sovitteludata koostui 16 sovittelujutun havainnoinnista Turussa vuosina 2001- 2003. Tulokset Kaikkiaan 23% pojista oli rekisteröity rikoksesta (poissulkien liikennerikkomukset) nelivuotisen tutkimusperiodin aikana 16-20-vuotiaana. Satunnaisia rikoksentekijöitä oli 15%, uusijoita 4% ja moninkertaisia uusijoita 4%. Rikokset kasautuivat moninkertaisille uusijoille: tämä 4%:n ryhmä teki 72% kaikista rikoksista . Omaisuus- ja liikennerikollisia oli eniten (kumpiakin 11%), ja huumerikollisia vähiten (4%). Kaikki rikoslajit korreloivat keskenään tilastollisesti merkitsevästi. Nuorisorikollisuuden itsenäisiä ennustekijöitä lapsuudessa olivat rikkinäinen perherakenne, vanhempien alhainen koulutustaso, lapsen käytösongelmat ja hyperaktiivisuus. Kun verrattiin eri informantteja (lapset itse ja heidän vanhempansa ja opettajansa), etenkin opettajien vastaukset ennustivat lasten tulevaa rikollisuutta. Nuoruudessa rikollisuuden itsenäisiä korrelaatteja olivat pienellä paikkakunnalla asuminen, vanhempien ero, seurustelu, itse ilmoitettu antisosiaalisuus ja säännöllinen tupakointi ja humalajuominen. Ennus- ja taustatekijöille oli tyypillistä se, että ne olivat lineaarisessa yhteydessä rikosten määrään (ongelmat ja rikosten määrä lisääntyivät käsi kädessä) ja että ne liittyivät useaan rikoslajiin yhtä aikaa. Huumerikollisuudella oli kuitenkin vähemmän itsenäisiä ennus- ja taustatekijöitä kuin muilla rikoslajeilla. Joka kymmenes poika kärsi psykiatrisista häiriöistä. Tämä ryhmä teki noin puolet kaikista rikoksista, ja lähes joka toinen poika, jolla oli psykiatrinen häiriö, oli rekisteröity rikoksista. Rikolliseen käytökseen liittyivät etenkin antisosiaalinen persoonallisuushäiriö ja päihdehäiriöt. Masennustilat olivat kuitenkin ainoa diagnoosiryhmä, joka ei ollut yhteydessä rikollisuuteen. Myös psykiatristen häiriöiden esiintyvyys kasvoi lineaarisesti rikosten määrän kanssa; aktiivisista uusintarikollisista yli puolella (59%) oli psykiatrinen diagnoosi. Rikollisuuden lisäksi erilaiset psykososiaaliset ongelmat kasautuivat pienelle vähemmistölle. Aktiivisten uusijoiden ryhmään olivat tilastollisesti merkitsevästi yhteydessä lähes kaikki ongelmat mitä tutkimme. Kuitenkin tästä ryhmästä vain alle 3% oli käyttänyt mielenterveyspalveluja viimeisen vuoden aikana. Rikossovittelun havainnointitutkimuksen perusteella sovittelussa monet perusasiat ovat kunnossa, ja toiminta on mielekästä niin asianosaisten kuin yhteiskunnankin kannalta. Useimmiten osapuolet kohtasivat ja saivat aikaan sopimuksen, johon he vaikuttivat tyytyväisiltä. Rikoksentekijät olivat motivoituneita korvaamaan aiheuttamansa vahingot. Osapuolet saivat kertoa tarinansa omin sanoin, heitä kuunneltiin ja he ymmärsivät mitä sovittelussa puhutaan ja sovitaan. Sovittelun kuluessa jännitys väheni ja asiat saatiin loppuunkäsiteltyä. Asianosaiset saivat vaikuttaa prosessiin ja sopimukseen, ja uhrin oikeudet olivat sovittelussa keskeisellä sijalla. Restoratiivisen teorian perusteella sovittelussa havaittiin myös kehittämisen varaa: Etenkin nuoria rikoksentekijöitä oli hankala saada osallistumaan tosissaan, ja aikuiset helposti hallitsivat keskustelua. Etukäteistapaamisia ja tukihenkilöitä ei juuri hyödynnetty. Sovitteluja hallitsi puhe sopimuksesta ja rahasta. Työkorvauksia ei käytetty eikä rehabilitaatiota käsitelty. Sekä sovitteluun pääsy että sovittelumenettely riippuivat yksittäisistä henkilöistä. Johtopäätökset Rikosten tekeminen nuoruudessa on melko yleistä ja monimuotoista. Rikokset ja psykososiaaliset ongelmat kasautuvat pienelle ryhmälle ja kulkevat käsi kädessä. Myös psykiatriset häiriöt ovat lineaarisessa yhteydessä rikosten määrään. Rikosriskiä voidaan ennustaa jo lapsuudessa, ja etenkin opettajat ovat tarkkanäköisiä lasten ongelmien suhteen. Eri rikoslajeilla on varsin samanlaisia taustatekijöitä. Aktiiviset rikoksentekijät vastaavat suuresta osasta kokonaisrikollisuutta, tarvitsevat eniten apua, mutta eivät kuitenkaan hakeudu psykososiaalisten palvelujen piiriin. Rikosten sovittelu tarjoaa keinon puuttua ongelmiin varhaisessa vaiheessa ilman leimaamista. Sovittelun kehitystehtävät liittyvät etenkin dialogiin, valmisteluihin, tukihenkilöihin, työkorvauksiin, palveluunohjaukseen ja sovittelun sovellusalaan. Sovittelua ja muita restoratiivisia menettelyjä on kehitettävä ja laajennettava esimerkiksi niin, että niitä voitaisiin käyttää palveluunohjauksen välineenä.