The handaxe and the microscope: individual and social learning in a multidimensional model of adaptation

When individuals learn by trial-and-error, they perform randomly chosen actions and then reinforce those actions that led to a high payoff. However, individuals do not always have to physically perform an action in order to evaluate its consequences. Rather, they may be able to mentally simulate actions and their consequences without actually performing them. Such fictitious learners can select actions with high payoffs without making long chains of trial-and-error learning. Here, we analyze the evolution of an n-dimensional cultural trait (or artifact) by learning, in a payoff landscape with a single optimum. We derive the stochastic learning dynamics of the distance to the optimum in trait space when choice between alternative artifacts follows the standard logit choice rule. We show that for both trial-and-error and fictitious learners, the learning dynamics stabilize at an approximate distance of root n/(2 lambda(e)) away from the optimum, where lambda(e) is an effective learning performance parameter depending on the learning rule under scrutiny. Individual learners are thus unlikely to reach the optimum when traits are complex (n large), and so face a barrier to further improvement of the artifact. We show, however, that this barrier can be significantly reduced in a large population of learners performing payoff-biased social learning, in which case lambda(e) becomes proportional to population size. Overall, our results illustrate the effects of errors in learning, levels of cognition, and population size for the evolution of complex cultural traits. (C) 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

A model of the wind direction signature in the Stokes emission vector from the ocean surface at microwave frequencies

This paper presents a model of the Stokes emission vector from the ocean surface. The ocean surface is described as an ensemble of facets with Cox and Munk's (1954) Gram-Charlier slope distribution. The study discusses the impact of different up-wind and cross-wind rms slopes, skewness, peakedness, foam cover models and atmospheric effects on the azimuthal variation of the Stokes vector, as well as the limitations of the model. Simulation results compare favorably, both in mean value and azimuthal dependence, with SSM/I data at 53° incidence angle and with JPL's WINDRAD measurements at incidence angles from 30° to 65°, and at wind speeds from 2.5 to 11 m/s.

Lipoxin A₄ prevents the progression of de novo and established endometriosis in a mouse model by attenuating prostaglandin E₂ production and estrogen signaling.

Endometriosis, a leading cause of pelvic pain and infertility, is characterized by ectopic growth of endometrial-like tissue and affects approximately 176 million women worldwide. The pathophysiology involves inflammatory and angiogenic mediators as well as estrogen-mediated signaling and novel, improved therapeutics targeting these pathways are necessary. The aim of this study was to investigate mechanisms leading to the establishment and progression of endometriosis as well as the effect of local treatment with Lipoxin A4 (LXA₄), an anti-inflammatory and pro-resolving lipid mediator that we have recently characterized as an estrogen receptor agonist. LXA₄ treatment significantly reduced endometriotic lesion size and downregulated the pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-1β and IL-6, as well as the angiogenic factor VEGF. LXA₄ also inhibited COX-2 expression in both endometriotic lesions and peritoneal fluid cells, resulting in attenuated peritoneal fluid Prostaglandin E₂ (PGE₂) levels. Besides its anti-inflammatory effects, LXA₄ differentially regulated the expression and activity of the matrix remodeling enzyme matrix metalloproteinase (MMP)-9 as well as modulating transforming growth factor (TGF)-β isoform expression within endometriotic lesions and in peritoneal fluid cells. We also report for first time that LXA₄ attenuated aromatase expression, estrogen signaling and estrogen-regulated genes implicated in cellular proliferation in a mouse model of disease. These effects were observed both when LXA₄ was administered prior to disease induction and during established disease. Collectively, our findings highlight potential targets for the treatment of endometriosis and suggest a pleotropic effect of LXA₄ on disease progression, by attenuating pro-inflammatory and angiogenic mediators, matrix remodeling enzymes, estrogen metabolism and signaling, as well as downstream proliferative pathways.

Continuous positive airway pressure causes lung injury in a model of sepsis.

Continuous positive airway pressure, aimed at preventing pulmonary atelectasis, has been used for decades to reduce lung injury in critically ill patients. In neonatal practice, it is increasingly used worldwide as a primary form of respiratory support due to its low cost and because it reduces the need for endotracheal intubation and conventional mechanical ventilation. We studied the anesthetized in vivo rat and determined the optimal circuit design for delivery of continuous positive airway pressure. We investigated the effects of continuous positive airway pressure following lipopolysaccharide administration in the anesthetized rat. Whereas neither continuous positive airway pressure nor lipopolysaccharide alone caused lung injury, continuous positive airway pressure applied following intravenous lipopolysaccharide resulted in increased microvascular permeability, elevated cytokine protein and mRNA production, and impaired static compliance. A dose-response relationship was demonstrated whereby higher levels of continuous positive airway pressure (up to 6 cmH(2)O) caused greater lung injury. Lung injury was attenuated by pretreatment with dexamethasone. These data demonstrate that despite optimal circuit design, continuous positive airway pressure causes significant lung injury (proportional to the airway pressure) in the setting of circulating lipopolysaccharide. Although we would currently avoid direct extrapolation of these findings to clinical practice, we believe that in the context of increasing clinical use, these data are grounds for concern and warrant further investigation.

Impaired aldehyde dehydrogenase 1 subfamily member 2A-dependent retinoic acid signaling is related with a mesenchymal-like phenotype and an unfavorable prognosis of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

BACKGROUND: An inverse correlation between expression of the aldehyde dehydrogenase 1 subfamily A2 (ALDH1A2) and gene promoter methylation has been identified as a common feature of oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma (OPSCC). Moreover, low ALDH1A2 expression was associated with an unfavorable prognosis of OPSCC patients, however the causal link between reduced ALDH1A2 function and treatment failure has not been addressed so far. METHODS: Serial sections from tissue microarrays of patients with primary OPSCC (n = 101) were stained by immunohistochemistry for key regulators of retinoic acid (RA) signaling, including ALDH1A2. Survival with respect to these regulators was investigated by univariate Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariate Cox regression proportional hazard models. The impact of ALDH1A2-RAR signaling on tumor-relevant processes was addressed in established tumor cell lines and in an orthotopic mouse xenograft model. RESULTS: Immunohistochemical analysis showed an improved prognosis of ALDH1A2(high) OPSCC only in the presence of CRABP2, an intracellular RA transporter. Moreover, an ALDH1A2(high)CRABP2(high) staining pattern served as an independent predictor for progression-free (HR: 0.395, p = 0.007) and overall survival (HR: 0.303, p = 0.002), suggesting a critical impact of RA metabolism and signaling on clinical outcome. Functionally, ALDH1A2 expression and activity in tumor cell lines were related to RA levels. While administration of retinoids inhibited clonogenic growth and proliferation, the pharmacological inhibition of ALDH1A2-RAR signaling resulted in loss of cell-cell adhesion and a mesenchymal-like phenotype. Xenograft tumors derived from FaDu cells with stable silencing of ALDH1A2 and primary tumors from OPSCC patients with low ALDH1A2 expression exhibited a mesenchymal-like phenotype characterized by vimentin expression. CONCLUSIONS: This study has unraveled a critical role of ALDH1A2-RAR signaling in the pathogenesis of head and neck cancer and our data implicate that patients with ALDH1A2(low) tumors might benefit from adjuvant treatment with retinoids.

Cellular and molecular studies of the effects of a selective COX-2 inhibitor celecoxib in the cardiac cell line H9c2 and their correlation with death mechanisms

Cardiovascular disease is one of the leading causes of death worldwide, and evidence indicates a correlation between the inflammatory process and cardiac dysfunction. Selective inhibitors of cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2) enzyme are not recommended for long-term use because of potentially severe side effects to the heart. Considering this and the frequent prescribing of commercial celecoxib, the present study analyzed cellular and molecular effects of 1 and 10 µM celecoxib in a cell culture model. After a 24-h incubation, celecoxib reduced cell viability in a dose-dependent manner as also demonstrated in MTT assays. Furthermore, reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction analysis showed that the drug modulated the expression level of genes related to death pathways, and Western blot analyses demonstrated a modulatory effect of the drug on COX-2 protein levels in cardiac cells. In addition, the results demonstrated a downregulation of prostaglandin E2 production by the cardiac cells incubated with celecoxib, in a dose-specific manner. These results are consistent with the decrease in cell viability and the presence of necrotic processes shown by Fourier transform infrared analysis, suggesting a direct correlation of prostanoids in cellular homeostasis and survival.

The finite bandwidth model for spin fluctuations in Pd

The frequency dependence of the electron-spin fluctuation spectrum, P(Q), is calculated in the finite bandwidth model. We find that for Pd, which has a nearly full d-band, the magnitude, the range, and the peak frequency of P(Q) are greatly reduced from those in the standard spin fluctuation theory. The electron self-energy due to spin fluctuations is calculated within the finite bandwidth model. Vertex corrections are examined, and we find that Migdal's theorem is valid for spin fluctuations in the nearly full band. The conductance of a normal metal-insulator-normal metal tunnel junction is examined when spin fluctuations are present in one electrode. We find that for the nearly full band, the momentum independent self-energy due to spin fluctuations enters the expression for the tunneling conductance with approximately the same weight as the self-energy due to phonons. The effect of spin fluctuations on the tunneling conductance is slight within the finite bandwidth model for Pd. The effect of spin fluctuations on the tunneling conductance of a metal with a less full d-band than Pd may be more pronounced. However, in this case the tunneling conductance is not simply proportional to the self-energy.

On the Manipulability of Proportional Representation

This paper presents a new model of voter behaviour under methods of proportional representation (PR). We abstract away from rounding, and assume that a party securing k percent of the vote wins exactly k percent of the available seats. Under this assumption PR is not manipulable by any voter aiming at maximisation of the number of seats in the parliament of her most preferred party. However in this paper we assume that voters are concerned, first and foremost, with the distribution of power in the post-election parliament. We show that, irrespective of which positional scoring rule is adopted, there will always exist circumstances where a voter would have an incentive to vote insincerely. We demonstrate that a voter’s attitude toward uncertainty can influence her incentives to make an insincere vote. Finally, we show that the introduction of a threshold - a rule that a party must secure at least a certain percentage of the vote in order to reach parliament - creates new opportunities for strategic voting. We use the model to explain voter behaviour at the most recent New Zealand general election.

Facteurs de risque de chutes chez les aînés vivant dans la communauté et ayant recours aux services de soutien à domicile : covariables dépendantes du temps et événements récurrents

Les chutes chez les personnes âgées représentent un problème majeur. Il n’est donc pas étonnant que l’identification des facteurs qui en accroissent le risque ait mobilisé autant d’attention. Les aînés plus fragiles ayant besoin de soutien pour vivre dans la communauté sont néanmoins demeurés le parent pauvre de la recherche, bien que, plus récemment, les autorités québécoises en aient fait une cible d’intervention prioritaire. Les études d’observation prospectives sont particulièrement indiquées pour étudier les facteurs de risque de chutes chez les personnes âgées. Leur identification optimale est cependant compliquée par le fait que l’exposition aux facteurs de risque peut varier au cours du suivi et qu’un même individu peut subir plus d’un événement. Il y a 20 ans, des chercheurs ont tenté de sensibiliser leurs homologues à cet égard, mais leurs efforts sont demeurés vains. On continue aujourd’hui à faire peu de cas de ces considérations, se concentrant sur la proportion des personnes ayant fait une chute ou sur le temps écoulé jusqu’à la première chute. On écarte du coup une quantité importante d’information pertinente. Dans cette thèse, nous examinons les méthodes en usage et nous proposons une extension du modèle de risques de Cox. Nous illustrons cette méthode par une étude des facteurs de risque susceptibles d’être associés à des chutes parmi un groupe de 959 personnes âgées ayant eu recours aux services publics de soutien à domicile. Nous comparons les résultats obtenus avec la méthode de Wei, Lin et Weissfeld à ceux obtenus avec d’autres méthodes, dont la régression logistique conventionnelle, la régression logistique groupée, la régression binomiale négative et la régression d’Andersen et Gill. L’investigation est caractérisée par des prises de mesures répétées des facteurs de risque au domicile des participants et par des relances téléphoniques mensuelles visant à documenter la survenue des chutes. Les facteurs d’exposition étudiés, qu’ils soient fixes ou variables dans le temps, comprennent les caractéristiques sociodémographiques, l’indice de masse corporelle, le risque nutritionnel, la consommation d’alcool, les dangers de l’environnement domiciliaire, la démarche et l’équilibre, et la consommation de médicaments. La quasi-totalité (99,6 %) des usagers présentaient au moins un facteur à haut risque. L’exposition à des risques multiples était répandue, avec une moyenne de 2,7 facteurs à haut risque distincts par participant. Les facteurs statistiquement associés au risque de chutes incluent le sexe masculin, les tranches d’âge inférieures, l’histoire de chutes antérieures, un bas score à l’échelle d’équilibre de Berg, un faible indice de masse corporelle, la consommation de médicaments de type benzodiazépine, le nombre de dangers présents au domicile et le fait de vivre dans une résidence privée pour personnes âgées. Nos résultats révèlent cependant que les méthodes courantes d’analyse des facteurs de risque de chutes – et, dans certains cas, de chutes nécessitant un recours médical – créent des biais appréciables. Les biais pour les mesures d’association considérées proviennent de la manière dont l’exposition et le résultat sont mesurés et définis de même que de la manière dont les méthodes statistiques d’analyse en tiennent compte. Une dernière partie, tout aussi innovante que distincte de par la nature des outils statistiques utilisés, complète l’ouvrage. Nous y identifions des profils d’aînés à risque de devenir des chuteurs récurrents, soit ceux chez qui au moins deux chutes sont survenues dans les six mois suivant leur évaluation initiale. Une analyse par arbre de régression et de classification couplée à une analyse de survie a révélé l’existence de cinq profils distinctifs, dont le risque relatif varie de 0,7 à 5,1. Vivre dans une résidence pour aînés, avoir des antécédents de chutes multiples ou des troubles de l’équilibre et consommer de l’alcool sont les principaux facteurs associés à une probabilité accrue de chuter précocement et de devenir un chuteur récurrent. Qu’il s’agisse d’activité de dépistage des facteurs de risque de chutes ou de la population ciblée, cette thèse s’inscrit dans une perspective de gain de connaissances sur un thème hautement d’actualité en santé publique. Nous encourageons les chercheurs intéressés par l’identification des facteurs de risque de chutes chez les personnes âgées à recourir à la méthode statistique de Wei, Lin et Weissfeld car elle tient compte des expositions variables dans le temps et des événements récurrents. Davantage de recherches seront par ailleurs nécessaires pour déterminer le choix du meilleur test de dépistage pour un facteur de risque donné chez cette clientèle.

Importancia de los factores de riesgo psicosocial y clima organizacional en el ámbito laboral

El trabajo es una de las actividades sobre las que se organizan las sociedades y por ello en los Estados modernos se incluye entre las responsabilidades de los poderes públicos el velar por la salud, seguridad e higiene en el trabajo. El reconocimiento del derecho de los trabajadores, en el ámbito laboral, a la protección de su salud y de su integridad, implica trabajar con seguridad y sin riesgos. En este estudio se describen los riesgos Psicosociales como: bienestar, satisfacción, y la calidad de vida laboral de los profesionales y trabajadores dentro de una organización y su relación con el clima organizacional, el cual hace relación al pensar, sentir y actuar de cada individuó para lograr un desempeño adecuado y eficiente dentro de la organización. Por lo tanto los factores de riesgo psicosocial y clima organizacional tienen una importancia significativa en la medida que permite conocer las condiciones al interior de las organizaciones que están afectando el ambiente laboral y como son percibidas por los trabajadores.

Prevalencia de riesgo psicosocial en personal civil y militar en una unidad militar de Bogotá Colombia 2014

El estudio se realizó en 2014 para establecer la prevalencia de los factores de riesgo psicosocial en el personal civil y militar en una unidad militar de Bogotá D.C. De una población universo de 632 funcionarios, se tomó por muestreo probabilístico aleatorio a 264 funcionarios a quienes se les aplicó los cuestionarios para la evaluación de Factores de Riesgo Psicosocial Intralaboral, extralaboral, síntomas de estrés y la ficha de datos sociodemográficos y ocupacionales, de la Batería de Instrumentos del Ministerio de Trabajo Colombia [1]. El estudio permitió establecer que los niveles de riesgo con síntomas de estrés son altos; el 61,74% presenta riesgo Muy alto y Alto, el 15,53% riesgo medio y 22.73% riesgo Bajo y Muy bajo. El riesgo más alto lo presentan los oficiales, seguido del personal civil y suboficiales. De mantenerse las condiciones actuales sin intervención fácilmente podrían incrementarse y de acuerdo con el modelo sistémico expuesto por Villalobos 2005, se podrían asociar a respuestas de estrés [2], por tanto se recomienda implementar un Sistema de Vigilancia Epidemiológica para riesgo psicosocial con base en los diagnósticos y sistema de gestión en seguridad y salud en el trabajo, donde se involucre personal con diagnóstico de patología mental.

Fatiga del reanimador y calidad de las compresiones torácicas en niños con y sin vía aérea asegurada

Introducción: La calidad de las compresiones torácicas tiene importancia durante la reanimación pediátrica y se ve afectada por diversos factores como la fatiga del reanimador, esta puede verse condicionada por las características de las compresiones establecidas según la presencia o ausencia de un dispositivo avanzado en la vía aérea determinando la interrupción continuidad de las mismas. En este estudio se realizó una simulación clínica, evaluando la presencia de fatiga del reanimador frente a pacientes con y sin dispositivo avanzado de la vía aérea. Metodología: Se incluyeron 12 participantes, quienes realizaron compresiones torácicas a un simulador clínico, tanto para el caso de la maniobra 1 correspondiente a ciclos interrumpidos con el fin de proporcionar ventilaciones, como para el caso de la maniobra 2 en la que la actividad fue continua. Se midieron calidad de compresiones, VO2 max y fatiga mediante escala de Borg RPE 6-20. Resultados: La calidad de las compresiones disminuyó en ambos grupos después del minuto 2 y más rápidamente cuando fueron ininterrumpidas. La fatiga se incrementó cuando las compresiones fueron continuas. Discusión: Se evidencia una relación directamente proporcional del aumento de la fatiga en relación al tiempo de reanimación e inversamente proporcional entre la calidad de las compresiones y la sensación de cansancio, en especial después del minuto 2. Un tiempo de 2 minutos podría ser el tiempo ideal para lograr compresiones de calidad y para realizar el reemplazo de la persona que realiza las compresiones.

A simple model of multiple equilibria and default. CEPS Working Document No. 366, 16 July 2012

This Working Document by Daniel Gros presents a simple model that incorporates two types of sovereign default cost: first, a lump-sum cost due to the fact that the country does not service its debt fully and is recognised as being in default status, by ratings agencies, for example. Second, a cost that increases with the size of the losses (or haircut) imposed on creditors whose resistance to a haircut increases with the proportional loss inflicted upon them. One immediate implication of the model is that under some circumstances the creditors have a (collective) interest to forgive some debt in order to induce the country not to default. The model exhibits a potential for multiple equilibria, given that a higher interest rate charged by investors increases the debt service burden and thus the temptation to default. Under very high debt levels credit rationing can set in as the feedback loop between higher interest rates and the higher incentive to default can become explosive. The introduction of uncertainty makes multiple equilibria less likely and reduces their range.

The counter-propagating Rossby-wave perspective on baroclinic instability. II: Application to the Charney model

The constant-density Charney model describes the simplest unstable basic state with a planetary-vorticity gradient, which is uniform and positive, and baroclinicity that is manifest as a negative contribution to the potential-vorticity (PV) gradient at the ground and positive vertical wind shear. Together, these ingredients satisfy the necessary conditions for baroclinic instability. In Part I it was shown how baroclinic growth on a general zonal basic state can be viewed as the interaction of pairs of ‘counter-propagating Rossby waves’ (CRWs) that can be constructed from a growing normal mode and its decaying complex conjugate. In this paper the normal-mode solutions for the Charney model are studied from the CRW perspective. Clear parallels can be drawn between the most unstable modes of the Charney model and the Eady model, in which the CRWs can be derived independently of the normal modes. However, the dispersion curves for the two models are very different; the Eady model has a short-wave cut-off, while the Charney model is unstable at short wavelengths. Beyond its maximum growth rate the Charney model has a neutral point at finite wavelength (r=1). Thereafter follows a succession of unstable branches, each with weaker growth than the last, separated by neutral points at integer r—the so-called ‘Green branches’. A separate branch of westward-propagating neutral modes also originates from each neutral point. By approximating the lower CRW as a Rossby edge wave and the upper CRW structure as a single PV peak with a spread proportional to the Rossby scale height, the main features of the ‘Charney branch’ (0model where the positive PV gradient exists only at the tropopause

Parameter sensitivity and predictive uncertainty in a new water quality model, Q(2)

A new dynamic model of water quality, Q(2), has recently been developed, capable of simulating large branched river systems. This paper describes the application of a generalized sensitivity analysis (GSA) to Q(2) for single reaches of the River Thames in southern England. Focusing on the simulation of dissolved oxygen (DO) (since this may be regarded as a proxy for the overall health of a river); the GSA is used to identify key parameters controlling model behavior and provide a probabilistic procedure for model calibration. It is shown that, in the River Thames at least, it is more important to obtain high quality forcing functions than to obtain improved parameter estimates once approximate values have been estimated. Furthermore, there is a need to ensure reasonable simulation of a range of water quality determinands, since a focus only on DO increases predictive uncertainty in the DO simulations. The Q(2) model has been applied here to the River Thames, but it has a broad utility for evaluating other systems in Europe and around the world.