Development of a systematic computer vision-based method to analyse and compare images of false identity documents for forensic intelligence purposes-Part I: acquisition, calibration and validation issues

Following their detection and seizure by police and border guard authorities, false identity and travel documents are usually scanned, producing digital images. This research investigates the potential of these images to classify false identity documents, highlight links between documents produced by a same modus operandi or same source, and thus support forensic intelligence efforts. Inspired by previous research work about digital images of Ecstasy tablets, a systematic and complete method has been developed to acquire, collect, process and compare images of false identity documents. This first part of the article highlights the critical steps of the method and the development of a prototype that processes regions of interest extracted from images. Acquisition conditions have been fine-tuned in order to optimise reproducibility and comparability of images. Different filters and comparison metrics have been evaluated and the performance of the method has been assessed using two calibration and validation sets of documents, made up of 101 Italian driving licenses and 96 Portuguese passports seized in Switzerland, among which some were known to come from common sources. Results indicate that the use of Hue and Edge filters or their combination to extract profiles from images, and then the comparison of profiles with a Canberra distance-based metric provides the most accurate classification of documents. The method appears also to be quick, efficient and inexpensive. It can be easily operated from remote locations and shared amongst different organisations, which makes it very convenient for future operational applications. The method could serve as a first fast triage method that may help target more resource-intensive profiling methods (based on a visual, physical or chemical examination of documents for instance). Its contribution to forensic intelligence and its application to several sets of false identity documents seized by police and border guards will be developed in a forthcoming article (part II).

Dismissal of the illusion of uncertainty in the assessment of a likelihood ratio

The use of the Bayes factor (BF) or likelihood ratio as a metric to assess the probative value of forensic traces is largely supported by operational standards and recommendations in different forensic disciplines. However, the progress towards more widespread consensus about foundational principles is still fragile as it raises new problems about which views differ. It is not uncommon e.g. to encounter scientists who feel the need to compute the probability distribution of a given expression of evidential value (i.e. a BF), or to place intervals or significance probabilities on such a quantity. The article here presents arguments to show that such views involve a misconception of principles and abuse of language. The conclusion of the discussion is that, in a given case at hand, forensic scientists ought to offer to a court of justice a given single value for the BF, rather than an expression based on a distribution over a range of values.

Assigning and combining probabilities in single-case designs: A second study

The present study builds on a previous proposal for assigning probabilities to the outcomes computed using different primary indicators in single-case studies. These probabilities are obtained comparing the outcome to previously tabulated reference values and reflect the likelihood of the results in case there was no intervention effect. The current study explores how well different metrics are translated into p values in the context of simulation data. Furthermore, two published multiple baseline data sets are used to illustrate how well the probabilities could reflect the intervention effectiveness as assessed by the original authors. Finally, the importance of which primary indicator is used in each data set to be integrated is explored; two ways of combining probabilities are used: a weighted average and a binomial test. The results indicate that the translation into p values works well for the two nonoverlap procedures, with the results for the regression-based procedure diverging due to some undesirable features of its performance. These p values, both when taken individually and when combined, were well-aligned with the effectiveness for the real-life data. The results suggest that assigning probabilities can be useful for translating the primary measure into the same metric, using these probabilities as additional evidence on the importance of behavioral change, complementing visual analysis and professional's judgments.

Description of diffusive and propagative behavior on fractals

The known properties of diffusion on fractals are reviewed in order to give a general outlook of these dynamic processes. After that, we propose a description developed in the context of the intrinsic metric of fractals, which leads us to a differential equation able to describe diffusion in real fractals in the asymptotic regime. We show that our approach has a stronger physical justification than previous works on this field. The most important result we present is the introduction of a dependence on time and space for the conductivity in fractals, which is deduced by scaling arguments and supported by computer simulations. Finally, the diffusion equation is used to introduce the possibility of reaction-diffusion processes on fractals and analyze their properties. Specifically, an analytic expression for the speed of the corresponding travelling fronts, which can be of great interest for application purposes, is derived

Sales and Operations Planning Implementation

The master’s thesis focused on implementing a sales and operations planning process. The main objectives were to create planning methods and tools for the implementation. The ultimate goal of the process, beyond this master’s thesis, is to balance the supply of products with customer demand, with optimized profitability. The theoretical part focused on giving a thorough view on the sales and operations planning process. The basis for a monthly planning cycle was identified. Methods, tools, and metrics for demand forecasting and operations planning were also introduced. Based on the theoretical part, a method for forecasting, a forecast spreadsheet, and a forecast accuracy metric were designed. A spreadsheet tool and methods were also designed for the monthly planning of production volumes, capacity, and inventory. The implementation progress was reviewed for two product families for three months. The sales and operations planning process was able to successfully identify a demand peak for the product families. Suggestions for the future of sales and operations planning were also made.

Novas métricas holísticas para avaliação da verdura de reações de síntese em laboratório

New semi-quantitative metrics for simple evaluation of global greenness of chemical reactions used in teaching laboratories, namely, the Green Circle (GC) and Green Matrix (GM), were developed. These metrics globally consider all Twelve Principles of Green Chemistry. To illustrate their construction, the greenness of several syntheses performed in the laboratory under different sets of conditions was assessed. The tools were validated by comparing the results with another metric, the Green Star (GS), developed in our previous study. Results showed these new metrics were useful for the intended purpose, having the advantage of being simpler than the GS.

Distortion properties of quasiconformal maps

In this Licentiate thesis we investigate the absolute ratio δ, j, ˜j and hyperbolic ρ metrics and their relations with each other. Various growth estimates are given for quasiconformal mpas both in plane and space. Some Hölder constants were refined with respect δ, j ˜j metrics. Some new results regarding the Hölder continuity of quasiconformal and quasiregular mapping of unit ball with respect to Euclidean and hyperbolic metrics are given, which were obtained by many authors in 1980’s. Applications are given to the study of metric space, quasiconformal and quasiregular maps in the plane and as well as in the space.

Spatial and Spectral Separability of Grasslands in the inner Turku Archipelago using Landsat Thematic Mapper Satellite Imagery

The present study investigates the spatial and spectral discrimination potential for grassland patches in the inner Turku Archipelago using Landsat Thematic Mapper satellite imagery. The spatial discrimination potential was computed through overlay analysis using official grassland parcel data and a hypothetical 30 m resolution satellite image capturing the site. It found that Landsat TM imagery’s ability to retrieve pure or near-pure pixels (90% purity or more) from grassland patches smaller than 1 hectare was limited to 13% success, compared to 52% success when upscaling the resolution to 10 x 10 m pixel size. Additionally, the perimeter/area patch metric is proposed as a predictor for the suitability of the spatial resolution of input imagery. Regression analysis showed that there is a strong negative correlation between a patch’s perimeter/area ratio and its pure pixel potential. The study goes on to characterise the spectral response and discrimination potential for the five main grassland types occurring in the study area: recreational grassland, traditional pasture, modern pasture, fodder production grassland and overgrown grassland. This was done through the construction of spectral response curves, a coincident spectral plot and a contingency matrix as well as by calculating the transformed divergence for the spectral signatures, all based on training samples from the TM imagery. Substantial differences in spectral discrimination potential between imagery from the beginning of the growing season and the middle of summer were found. This is because the spectral responses for these five grassland types converge as the peak of the growing season draws nearer. Recreational grassland shows a consistent discrimination advantage over other grassland types, whereas modern pasture is most easily confused. Traditional pasture land, perhaps the most biologically valuable grassland type, can be spectrally discriminated from other grassland types with satisfactory success rates provided early growing season imagery is used.

Quasiconformal mappings and inequalities involving special functions

This PhD thesis in Mathematics belongs to the field of Geometric Function Theory. The thesis consists of four original papers. The topic studied deals with quasiconformal mappings and their distortion theory in Euclidean n-dimensional spaces. This theory has its roots in the pioneering papers of F. W. Gehring and J. Väisälä published in the early 1960’s and it has been studied by many mathematicians thereafter. In the first paper we refine the known bounds for the so-called Mori constant and also estimate the distortion in the hyperbolic metric. The second paper deals with radial functions which are simple examples of quasiconformal mappings. These radial functions lead us to the study of the so-called p-angular distance which has been studied recently e.g. by L. Maligranda and S. Dragomir. In the third paper we study a class of functions of a real variable studied by P. Lindqvist in an influential paper. This leads one to study parametrized analogues of classical trigonometric and hyperbolic functions which for the parameter value p = 2 coincide with the classical functions. Gaussian hypergeometric functions have an important role in the study of these special functions. Several new inequalities and identities involving p-analogues of these functions are also given. In the fourth paper we study the generalized complete elliptic integrals, modular functions and some related functions. We find the upper and lower bounds of these functions, and those bounds are given in a simple form. This theory has a long history which goes back two centuries and includes names such as A. M. Legendre, C. Jacobi, C. F. Gauss. Modular functions also occur in the study of quasiconformal mappings. Conformal invariants, such as the modulus of a curve family, are often applied in quasiconformal mapping theory. The invariants can be sometimes expressed in terms of special conformal mappings. This fact explains why special functions often occur in this theory.

Nopeaan pyrolyysiin perustuvan bioöljyn tuotantolaitoksen liiketoiminnallinen malli ja kannattavuuslaskenta Savonlinnan seudulla

Pyrolyysiöljy on biomassasta nopealla hapettomalla lämpökäsittelyprosessilla valmistettavaa nestemäistä polttoainetta. Kasvavien uusiutuvan energian käyttötavoitteiden myötä pyrolyysiöljystä on tullut varteenotettava vaihtoehto fossiilisille polttoöljyille. Suurimmat käytön haasteet ovat alhainen lämpöarvo, happamuus ja korkeahkot kiintoainepitoisuudet verrattuna fossiilisiin polttoöljyihin. Nämä haasteet ovat kuitenkin ratkaistavissa. Työssä tarkasteltiin bioöljyn tuotantolaitoksen liiketoiminnallista mallia ja kannattavuutta Savonlinnan seudulle sijoitettuna. Tätä varten selvitettiin alueellinen raaka-aineen saatavuus ja hinta, sekä potentiaaliset markkinat pyrolyysiöljylle. Kannattavuuslaskentaa varten luotiin exel – pohjainen laskentatyökalu, jolla laskettiin pyrolyysiöljyn tuotannon omakustannushinnat ja kannattavuudet eri laitosvaihtoehdoille. Saaduille tuloksille tehtiin herkkyysanalyysi, jolla selvitettiin merkittävimmät kannattavuuteen vaikuttavat tekijät. Laskettujen tulosten perusteella pienemmät 100 BDMTPD (Bone Dry Metric Ton per Day) tuotantolaitokset eivät ole kannattavia investointeja. Suuremmat 400 BDMTPD tuotantolaitokset ovat kannattavia, kunhan raaka-aine saadaan kohtuulliseen hintaan ja investointikustannukset pysyvät kurissa.

Mittarointi- ja raportointitoimintatapojen kehittäminen lean-organisaatiossa

Tämän työn kohdeyrityksessä ryhdyttiin syksyllä 2010 muutostoimenpiteisiin kohti lean-toimintatapaa. Nyt tavoitteena on luoda kuvaus kohdeyrityksen lean-ajattelun mukaisesta mittarointi- ja raportointitoimintatapojen käyttöönotosta pyrkien saamaan kehitystyön avulla toimintatavat tukevat jatkossa paremmin yrityksen toimintaa kohti sen visiota ja strategiaa. Työssä haluttiin erityisesti tuoda esille prosessi, jolla mittareiden ja raporttien uudistus vietiin läpi. Työ voidaan asemoida normatiiviseksi tutkimukseksi, jossa on sekä konstruktiivisen että toiminta-analyyttisen tutkimusotteiden piirteitä. Työ jakautuu teoreettiseen kirjallisuusselvitykseen sekä empiiriseen osaan, joka on tehtiin kvalitatiivisena tapaustutkimuksena. Kohdeyrityksessä vallitsevista mittarointi- ja raportointitoimintatavoista tehtiin nykytilakartoitus, jonka jälkeen yrityksestä valitulle pilottikohteelle määritettiin mittaroinnin ja raportoinnin tavoitetila. Työn merkittävin tulos on kehittämisprosessin kuvaus, joka tehdään pilottilinjalla toteutettujen muutostöiden avulla. Uuden mittariston käyttöönoton työvaiheet dokumentoitiin tarkasti, jotta samaa kehitysprosessia voidaan hyödyntää myöhemmin yrityksen muilla toiminta-alueilla. Päivitetyssä mittaristossa korostetaan sitä, kuinka esimiehen seuraamat mittarit on oltava lähtöisin yrityksen tavoitteista ja kuinka tiimitasolla on vastaavasti pyrittävä täyttämään esimiehen asettamat tavoitteet. Mittareiden tuominen linjan työntekijöiden vastuulle siirtää mittaroinnin painopistettä enemmän työntekijöille sekä lisää valittujen mittareiden seurannan merkitystä.

St. Petersburg Court Chant and the Tradition of Eastern Slavic Church Singing

The present study examines the repertory of liturgical chant known as St. Petersburg Court Chant which emerged within the Imperial Court of St. Petersburg, Russia, and appeared in print in a number of revisions during the course of the 19th century, eventually to spread throughout the Russian Empire and even abroad. The study seeks answers to questions on the essence and composition of Court Chant, its history and liturgical background, and most importantly, its musical relationship to other repertories of Eastern Slavic chant. The research questions emerge from previous literary accounts of Court Chant (summarized in the Introduction), which have tended to be inaccurate and generally not based on critical research. The study is divided into eight main chapters. Chapter 1 provides a survey of the history of Eastern Slavic chant and the Imperial Court Chapel of St. Petersburg until 1917, with special emphasis on the history of singing traditional chant in polyphony, the status of the Court Chapel as a government authority, and its endeavours in publishing church music. Chapter 2 deals with the liturgical background of Eastern chant, the chant genres, and main repertories of Eastern Slavic chant. Chapter 3 concentrates on chant sources: it introduces the musical notations utilised, after which a typology of chant books is presented. The discussion continues with a survey of the sources of Court Chant and their content, the specimens selected for closer analysis, the comparative materials from other repertories, and ends with a commentary on some chant sources that have been excluded. The comparative sources include a specimen from around the beginning of the 12th century, a few manuscripts from the 17th century, and printed and manuscript chant books from the early 18th to early 20th century, covering the geographical area that delimits to the western Ukraine, Astrakhan, Nizhny Novgorod, and the Solovetsky Monastery. Chapter 4 presents the approach and methods used in the subsequent analytical comparisons. After a survey of the pitch organization of Eastern Slavic chant, the customary harmonization strategy of traditional chant polyphony is examined, according to which a method for meaningful analysis of the harmony is proposed. The method is based on the observation that the harmonic framework of chant polyphony derives from the standard pitch collection of monodic chant known as the Church Gamut, specific pitches of which form eight harmonic regions that behave like the usual tonalities of major and harmonic minor. Because of the considerable quantity of comparative chant forms, computer-assisted statistical methods are applied to the analysis of chant melodies. The primary chant forms and their respective comparative forms have been pre-processed into reduced chant prototypes and divided into redactions. The analyses are carried out by measuring the formal dissimilarities of the primary chant forms of the Court Chant repertory against each comparative form, and also by measuring the reciprocal dissimilarities of all chant versions in a redaction, the results of which are subjected to agglomerative hierarchical clustering in order to find out how the chant forms relate to each other. The dissimilarities are determined by applying a metric dissimilarity function that is based on the Levenshtein Distance. Chapter 5 provides the melodic and harmonic analyses of generic chants (chants used for multiple texts of different lengths), i.e., chants for stichera samoglasny and troparia, Chapter 6 of pseudo-generic chants (chants that are used for multiple texts but with certain restrictions), i.e., chants for heirmoi, prokeimena, and three other hymns, and Chapter 7 of non-generic chants, covering nine chants that in the Court repertory are not shared by multiple texts. The results are summarized and evaluated in Chapter 8. Accordingly, it can be established that, contrary to previous conceptions, melodically, Court Chant is in effect a full part of the wider Eastern Slavic chant tradition. Even if it is somewhat detached from the chant versions of the Synodal square-note chant books and the local tradition of Moscow, it is particularly close to chant forms of East Ukraine and some vernacular repertories from Russia. Respectively, the harmonization strategies of Court Chant do not show significant individuality in comparison with those of the available polyphonic comparative sources, the main difference being the part-writing, which generally conforms to western common practice standard, whereas the deviations from this tend to be more significant in other analysed repertories of polyphonic chant. Thus, insofar as the subsequent prevalence of Court Chant is not based on its forceful dissemination by authorities (as suggested in previous literature but for which little tangible evidence could be found in Chapter 1), in the present author’s interpretation, Court Chant attained its dominance principally because musically it was considered sufficiently traditional, and as a chant body supported by the government, was conveniently available in print in serviceable harmonizations.

Turbidimetry as an alternative method to determine the rating curve of suspended sediments

Understanding hydrosedimental behavior of a watershed is essential for properly managing and using its hydric resources. The objective of this study was to verify the feasibility of the alternative procedure for the indirect determination of the sediment key curve using a turbidimeter. The research was carried out on the São Francisco Falso River, which is situated in the west of the state of Paraná on the left bank of ITAIPU reservoir. The direct method was applied using a DH-48 sediment suspended sampler. The indirect method consisted of the use of a linigraph and a turbidimeter. Based on the results obtained, it was concluded that the indirect method using a turbidimeter showed to be fully feasible, since it gave a power function-type mathematical model equal of the direct method. Furthermore, the average suspended sediment discharge into the São Francisco Falso River during the 2006/2007 harvest was calculated at 7.26 metric t day-1.

Chasing performance persistence of hedge funds

The thesis examines the performance persistence of hedge funds using complement methodologies (namely cross-sectional regressions, quantile portfolio analysis and Spearman rank correlation test). In addition, six performance ranking metrics and six different combinations of selection and holding periods are compared. The data is gathered from HFI and Tremont databases covering over 14,000 hedge funds and time horizon is set from January 1996 to December 2007. The results suggest that there definitely exists performance persistence among hedge funds and the strength and existence of persistence vary among fund styles. The persistence depends on the metrics and combination of selection and prediction period applied. According to the results, the combination of 36-month selection and holding period outperforms other five period combinations in capturing performance persistence within the sample. Furthermore, model-free performance metrics capture persistence more sensitively than model-specific metrics. The study is the first one ever to use MVR as a performance ranking metric, and surprisingly MVR is more sensitive to detect persistence than other performance metrics employed.

Suorituskyvyn mittaaminen pk-sektorin asiantuntijayrityksessä

Suorituskyvyn mittaaminen huolellisesti suoritettuna tuo yritykselle monia hyötyjä. Mittariston avulla yritys pystyy kohdistamaan liiketoimintaansa palvelemaan paremmin strategisia tavoitteita. Työssä käsitellään suorituskyvyn mittaamista pk-sektorin asiantuntijayrityksen näkökulmasta. Suorituskyvyn mittaaminen on ollut perinteisesti aikaisemmin huomattavasti suositumpaa lähinnä tuotanto- ja palveluyrityksissä. Työssä oli tavoitteena suunnitella pk-sektorin asiantuntijayrityksen käyttöön soveltuva suorituskykymittaristo. Pk-sektorin yrityksissä suorituskyvyn mittaaminen ei ole vielä saavuttanut suurta suosiota. Tämä johtuu osaltaan pk-yritysten vähäisistä käytettävissä olevista resursseista. Tästä johtuen myös mittariston suunnitteluprosessi on yrityksille haastavampi. Asiantuntijayritysten ominaispiirteet tuovat myös omanlaiset haasteet suorituskyvyn mittaamiseen. Asiantuntijayritysten tärkein resurssi on usein henkilöstön tietotaito ja sen takia suorituskykymittaristoissa korostuu usein juuri aineettomien tekijöiden mittaaminen. Oikein suoritettu suorituskykymittariston suunnittelu vaatii huolellista paneutumista mittariston suunnitteluprosessin eri vaiheisiin. Mittaristo tulee johtaa oikein määritetyistä yrityksen visiosta ja strategioista. Tärkeää on myös yrityksen henkilöstön sitouttaminen mittariston suunnitteluun. Suunnittelu vaatii täsmällisyyttä ja johdonmukaisuutta, joka saavutetaan noudattamalla jotakin tiettyä suunnitteluprosessin vaiheet sisältävää prosessimallia. Pk-sektorin asiantuntijayrityksissä suunnittelu vaatii erityisesti tarkkuutta mittariston näkökulmien ja mittareiden valitsemisessa. On mietittävä miten pk-yrityksen vähäiset resurssit saadaan riittämään mittaamaan hankalia ja resursseja vieviä aineettomia tekijöitä, jotka ovat yleensä kuitenkin asiantuntijayrityksissä usein erittäin tärkeässä asemassa.