Turnout Intention and Social Networks

How can networking affect the turnout in an election? We present a simple model to explain turnout as a result of a dynamic process of formation of the intention to vote within Erdös-Renyi random networks. Citizens have fixed preferences for one of two parties and are embedded in a given social network. They decide whether or not to vote on the basis of the attitude of their immediate contacts. They may simply follow the behavior of the majority (followers) or make an adaptive local calculus of voting (Downsian behavior). So they either have the intention of voting when the majority of their neighbors are willing to vote too, or they vote when they perceive in their social neighborhood that elections are "close". We study the long run average turnout, interpreted as the actual turnout observed in an election. Depending on the combination of values of the two key parameters, the average connectivity and the probability of behaving as a follower or in a Downsian fashion, the system exhibits monostability (zero turnout), bistability (zero turnout and either moderate or high turnout) or tristability (zero, moderate and high turnout). This means, in particular, that for a wide range of values of both parameters, we obtain realistic turnout rates, i.e. between 50% and 90%.

Social Housing under Oligopoly

In this paper it is shown that the setting up of a social housing system may decrease the total number of houses built in the market, induce a price of non-social houses greater than the price of houses without that system and increase the profits of housing developers even in situations where they have to sell social houses at a price below production cost. The analysis considers a situation with imperfect competition in the housing market and with a social housing system where housing developers must provide some social houses when they obtain a permit to build non-social houses.

Social Security, Education, Retirement and Growth

In this paper we analyze the effects of social security policies in an unfunded, earnings-related social security system on the incentives to education investment and voluntary retirement, on growth and on income inequality. Growth is endogenously driven by human capital investment, individuals differ in their innate (learning) ability at birth, and the pension scheme includes a minimum pension. More skilled individuals spend more on education, minimum pensions reduce low skill individuals' incentives to invest in human capital, there is no monotonic relationship between per capita growth and income inequality.

Pension system's reform in Spain: a dynamic analysis of the effects in Welfare

100 p. : graf.

Fisheries management in the social domain: perspectives from Tanzania's Lake Victoria fishery

For a long time, the Tanzanian Fisheries Department has managed Tanzanian fisheries without incorporating other stakeholders within its management framework. On lake Victoria, the persistent use of illegal fishing gear and declining catches have led the government to realize that this system of fisheries management may no longer be viable, and have sought to incorporate fishing communities into the management structure. Through the creation of beach management units (BMUs), the Fisheries Departments have sought to persuade fishing communities to implement and enforce Tanzania's fishing regulations and to monitor the fishery. In this paper we explore a recently gathered data set that yields information on, amongst others, how Tanzanian fishing communities perceive the state of their resource base, how they view their relationship with the Fisheries Department, the efficacy of fishing regulations and other variables. We draw on a series of criteria developed by Ostron (1990) for institutional 'robustness' to explore various areas of institutional development on Lake Victoria, and to try and anticipate how the BMUs will fare. We argue there are many socio-political and economic factors that will determine how communities will receive and perceive their responsibilities towards government-imposed administrative structures at the local level, these will become 'socialized' such that they will vary from place to place. While this may bode well for problems of heterogeneity, it does not necessarily mean that fisheries management objective on Lake Victoria will be met

Coastal resource planning system: Integrating evaluation of ecological integrity and ecosystem services valuation

Efficient and effective coastal management decisions rely on knowledge of the impact of human activities on ecosystem integrity, vulnerable species, and valued ecosystem services—collectively, human impact on environmental quality (EQ). Ecosystem-based management (EBM) is an emerging approach to address the dynamics and complexities of coupled social-ecological systems. EBM “is intended to directly address the long-term sustainable delivery of ecosystem services and the resilience of marine ecosystems to perturbations” (Rosenberg and Sandifer, 2009). The lack of a tool that integrates human choices with the ecological connections between contributing watersheds and nearshore areas, and that incorporates valuation of ecosystem services, is a critical missing piece needed for effective and efficient coastal management. To address the need for an integrative tool for evaluation of human impacts on ecosystems and their services, Battelle developed the EcoVal™ Environmental Quality Evaluation System. The EcoVal system is an updated (2009) version of the EQ Evaluation System for Water Resources developed by Battelle for the U.S. Bureau of Reclamation (Dee et al., 1972). The Battelle EQ evaluation system has a thirty-year history of providing a standard approach to evaluate watershed EQ. This paper describes the conceptual approach and methodology of the updated EcoVal system and its potential application to coastal ecosystems. (PDF contains 4 pages)

Social saliency : visual psychophysics and single-neuron recordings in humans

My thesis studies how people pay attention to other people and the environment. How does the brain figure out what is important and what are the neural mechanisms underlying attention? What is special about salient social cues compared to salient non-social cues? In Chapter I, I review social cues that attract attention, with an emphasis on the neurobiology of these social cues. I also review neurological and psychiatric links: the relationship between saliency, the amygdala and autism. The first empirical chapter then begins by noting that people constantly move in the environment. In Chapter II, I study the spatial cues that attract attention during locomotion using a cued speeded discrimination task. I found that when the motion was expansive, attention was attracted towards the singular point of the optic flow (the focus of expansion, FOE) in a sustained fashion. The more ecologically valid the motion features became (e.g., temporal expansion of each object, spatial depth structure implied by distribution of the size of the objects), the stronger the attentional effects. However, compared to inanimate objects and cues, people preferentially attend to animals and faces, a process in which the amygdala is thought to play an important role. To directly compare social cues and non-social cues in the same experiment and investigate the neural structures processing social cues, in Chapter III, I employ a change detection task and test four rare patients with bilateral amygdala lesions. All four amygdala patients showed a normal pattern of reliably faster and more accurate detection of animate stimuli, suggesting that advantageous processing of social cues can be preserved even without the amygdala, a key structure of the “social brain”. People not only attend to faces, but also pay attention to others’ facial emotions and analyze faces in great detail. Humans have a dedicated system for processing faces and the amygdala has long been associated with a key role in recognizing facial emotions. In Chapter IV, I study the neural mechanisms of emotion perception and find that single neurons in the human amygdala are selective for subjective judgment of others’ emotions. Lastly, people typically pay special attention to faces and people, but people with autism spectrum disorders (ASD) might not. To further study social attention and explore possible deficits of social attention in autism, in Chapter V, I employ a visual search task and show that people with ASD have reduced attention, especially social attention, to target-congruent objects in the search array. This deficit cannot be explained by low-level visual properties of the stimuli and is independent of the amygdala, but it is dependent on task demands. Overall, through visual psychophysics with concurrent eye-tracking, my thesis found and analyzed socially salient cues and compared social vs. non-social cues and healthy vs. clinical populations. Neural mechanisms underlying social saliency were elucidated through electrophysiology and lesion studies. I finally propose further research questions based on the findings in my thesis and introduce my follow-up studies and preliminary results beyond the scope of this thesis in the very last section, Future Directions.

Em busca do convívio social: o regime semi-aberto no Instituto Penal Oscar Stevenson

O presente trabalho tem como objetivo central analisar o Sistema Penitenciário do Estado do Rio de Janeiro a partir do regime semi-aberto, tendo como campo de análise o Instituto Penal Oscar Stevenson, situado em Benfica, no município do Rio de Janeiro, voltado para um público carcerário feminino. Buscou-se verificar, sob o enfoque das presas, a expectativa e possibilidades de retorno ao convívio social; analisar os aspectos jurídico-institucionais referentes ao regime semi-aberto, no que tange a obtenção dos benefícios, junto a Lei de Execução Penal e identificar quais as parcerias que viabilizam a inserção delas no mercado de trabalho. Para a efetivação desse trabalho utilizou-se, preferencialmente os pressupostos teóricos e metodológicos da pesquisa quali-quantitativa, pois foi trabalhado não só no nível da objetividade, mas também no significado das ações e relações humanas, sabendo que a realidade prisional é perpassada por questões de cunho opressor, punitivo, em função de preconizar a segurança. Foram realizados também levantamentos de dados bibliográficos e censitários, bem como entrevistas semi-estruturadas junto aos agentes penitenciários do setor de educação e classificação e principalmente as presas. A análise do material coletado permitiu confirmar as hipóteses da pesquisa: i) que a ausência de oportunidades que garantam às presas os benefícios do regime semi-aberto não se dá por falta de instrumentos legais, mas sim pela burocracia no cadastramento e poucas parcerias de cursos profissionalizantes, empresas privadas que absorvam mão-de-obra das presas do regime semi-aberto; e ii) e que no momento em que as presas ainda estavam no regime fechado, não tiveram oportunidades de se capacitarem e também os vínculos familiares não foram mantidos, com isso dificultando que estas usufruam dos benefícios do regime semi-aberto. E, conseqüentemente, sendo cada vez mais adiado o seu retorno gradativo ao convívio social, através da progressão de regime.

A Previdência Social no estado contemporâneo Fundamentos, financiamento e regulação

A previdência social brasileira, apesar de constituir um dos modelos mais antigos e tradicionais de proteção social da América Latina, não muito distante dos modelos europeus quanto a sua gênese, passa por momentos difíceis. Em um contexto de rápido envelhecimento populacional, acelerada redução de natalidade e novas realidades de trabalho, nas quais a mão-de-obra assalariada perde seu espaço, o modelo tradicional de cobertura, nos moldes bismarckianos, carece de revisão, de forma a não somente adequar-se às novas premissas demográficas, mas permitir uma universalidade de cobertura efetiva. Para tanto, adota-se, como fundamento de um novo modelo, a justiça social em três dimensões necessidade, igualdade e mérito. A necessidade visa atender e assegurar a qualquer pessoa, dentro das necessidades sociais cobertas, um pagamento mínimo de forma a assegurar o mínimo existencial. A dimensão da igualdade, no viés material, visa preservar nível de bem-estar compatível, em alguma medida, com o usufruído durante a vida ativa. Já o mérito individual implica fornecer prestações mais elevadas aos que, conscientemente, reduziram o consumo presente, preservando parte de suas receitas para o futuro. As duas primeiras dimensões são, na proposta apresentada, organizadas pelo Estado, em pilares compulsórios e financiados, preponderantemente, por repartição simples. O modelo de financiamento adotado, no longo prazo, tem se mostrado mais seguro e isonômico frente a modelos capitalizados. As variantes demográficas podem ser adequadas mediante novos limites de idade para aposentadorias e, em especial, estímulo a natalidade, como novos serviços da previdência social, incluindo creches e pré-escolas. O terceiro pilar, fundado no mérito individual, é a previdência complementar, organizado de forma privada, autônoma e voluntária. Aqui, o financiamento sugerido é a capitalização, de forma a priorizar o rendimento e a eficiência, com as externalidades positivas para a economia e a sociedade, com risco assumido e aceitável em razão do papel subsidiário deste pilar protetivo. Os pilares estatais, no modelo proposto, serão financiados, exclusivamente, por impostos, pondo-se fim às contribuições sociais, que perdem a importância em um modelo universal de proteção. Troca-se a solidariedade do grupo pela solidariedade social e, como conseqüência, saem as contribuições e ingressam os impostos. Mesmo o segundo pilar, que visa prestações correlacionadas com os rendimentos em atividade, será financiado por adicional de imposto de renda. Sistema mais simples, eficaz, e com estímulo à formalização da receita por parte das pessoas. A gestão do modelo previdenciário, em todos os segmentos, contará com forte regulação estatal, mas com efetiva participação dos interessados, afastadas, dentro do possível, as ingerências políticas e formas de captura. A regulação previdenciária, desde adequadamente disciplinada e executada, permitirá que os pilares propostos funcionem em harmonia.

Realidad y retos de la protección social en Euskadi

El nº 81 de Ecomiaz lleva el título de: Estado de bienestar y gobierno multinivel

Social, economic, and health impact of the respiratory syncytial virus: a systematic search

Background: Bronchiolitis caused by the respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and its related complications are common in infants born prematurely, with severe congenital heart disease, or bronchopulmonary dysplasia, as well as in immunosuppressed infants. There is a rich literature on the different aspects of RSV infection with a focus, for the most part, on specific risk populations. However, there is a need for a systematic global analysis of the impact of RSV infection in terms of use of resources and health impact on both children and adults. With this aim, we performed a systematic search of scientific evidence on the social, economic, and health impact of RSV infection. Methods: A systematic search of the following databases was performed: MEDLINE, EMBASE, Spanish Medical Index, MEDES-MEDicina in Spanish, Cochrane Plus Library, and Google without time limits. We selected 421 abstracts based on the 6,598 articles identified. From these abstracts, 4 RSV experts selected the most relevant articles. They selected 65 articles. After reading the full articles, 23 of their references were also selected. Finally, one more article found through a literature information alert system was included. Results: The information collected was summarized and organized into the following topics: 1. Impact on health (infections and respiratory complications, mid-to long-term lung function decline, recurrent wheezing, asthma, other complications such as otitis and rhino-conjunctivitis, and mortality; 2. Impact on resources (visits to primary care and specialists offices, emergency room visits, hospital admissions, ICU admissions, diagnostic tests, and treatments); 3. Impact on costs (direct and indirect costs); 4. Impact on quality of life; and 5. Strategies to reduce the impact (interventions on social and hygienic factors and prophylactic treatments). Conclusions: We concluded that 1. The health impact of RSV infection is relevant and goes beyond the acute episode phase; 2. The health impact of RSV infection on children is much better documented than the impact on adults; 3. Further research is needed on mid-and long-term impact of RSV infection on the adult population, especially those at high-risk; 4. There is a need for interventions aimed at reducing the impact of RSV infection by targeting health education, information, and prophylaxis in high-risk populations.

The body social: an enactive approach to the self

This paper takes a new look at an old question: what is the human self? It offers a proposal for theorizing the self from an enactive perspective as an autonomous system that is constituted through interpersonal relations. It addresses a prevalent issue in the philosophy of cognitive science: the body-social problem. Embodied and social approaches to cognitive identity are in mutual tension. On the one hand, embodied cognitive science risks a new form of methodological individualism, implying a dichotomy not between the outside world of objects and the brain-bound individual but rather between body-bound individuals and the outside social world. On the other hand, approaches that emphasize the constitutive relevance of social interaction processes for cognitive identity run the risk of losing the individual in the interaction dynamics and of downplaying the role of embodiment. This paper adopts a middle way and outlines an enactive approach to individuation that is neither individualistic nor disembodied but integrates both approaches. Elaborating on Jonas' notion of needful freedom it outlines an enactive proposal to understanding the self as co-generated in interactions and relations with others. I argue that the human self is a social existence that is organized in terms of a back and forth between social distinction and participation processes. On this view, the body, rather than being identical with the social self, becomes its mediator

O serviço social no comando da Aeronáutica: decifrando este espaço socioocupacional do assistente social

Esta dissertação analisa o Serviço Social no Comando da Aeronáutica COMAER, a partir dos elementos sócio-institucionais, teórico-metodológico e ético-política profissionais na instituição. O interesse em estudar este espaço socioocupacional do assistente social define-se pela necessidade de produção de conhecimento teórico e crítico acerca do trabalho desenvolvido pelo Serviço Social nas esferas militares: um campo de trabalho profissional em crescimento, porém pouco conhecido e debatido no âmbito acadêmico. O COMAER é uma instituição militar, repleta de singularidades, pautada nos princípios de hierarquia e disciplina. Configura-se como um espaço de contradições, correlação de forças e disputas por poder. Porém, é neste terreno contraditório e tenso que o Serviço Social se realiza e se concretiza. Para melhor compreensão acerca desta instituição, torna-se imprescindível a apreensão da realidade concreta, seus limites e possibilidades no movimento real de sua historicidade. Portanto, dedicamos parte deste estudo para desenvolver uma análise institucional. Além da referida análise, o presente estudo reconstrói o processo de implementação do Sistema de Assistência Social no COMAER, situa o trabalho do Serviço Social neste espaço socioocupacional num contexto de reestruturação produtiva, bem como se apropria do debate teórico-metodológico acerca do Projeto Ético Político Profissional para analisar as possibilidades de materialização dos princípios fundamentais do Código de Ética dos Assistentes Sociais no âmbito institucional. Esta dissertação conta também com pesquisa realizada com 24 assistentes sociais civis e militares, através de formulário auto-aplicável, a partir do qual foi possível traçar o perfil das assistentes sociais do COMAER e as condições em que o trabalho profissional se realiza. Ressaltamos o protagonismo do trabalho desenvolvido pelo Serviço Social no COMAER e afirmamos que é possível realizar um trabalho crítico, coerente com os princípios do Código de Ética Profissional e norteados pelo Projeto da Profissão numa instituição militar.

Efectos macroeconómicos de la progresividad en los sistemas de seguridad social: una aplicación al caso de los Estados Unidos

[ES] Este trabajo estudia los potenciales efectos macroeconómicos de una reforma que aumente la progresividad del sistema de Seguridad Social de los Estados Unidos de América. Condicionados por los supuestos del modelo, los resultados abogan por un aumento en el bienestar social con un determinado aumento de la progresividad. Esto es debido a que la redistribución total de la renta de los más pudientes a los que cuentan con menos recursos origina un contexto de menor bienestar social. Además, los resultados respaldan la validez del tipo de cotización como herramienta para ajustar el nivel de progresividad del sistema y rechazan la tasa de reemplazo de la pensión como mecanismo para conseguir dicho fin.

Produção de saúde e governamentalidade: uma história das práticas da medicina social brasileira e de suas implicações biopolíticas

A proposta dessa pesquisa é desenvolver uma discussão a respeito das práticas da medicina social brasileira e suas articulações com as formas de governo emergentes no Ocidente. Para isso, utilizamos alguns conceitos foucaultianos como ferramentas analíticas que propiciam uma desnaturalização de objetos freqüentemente tomados como fim ou como causa de uma realidade, ao situá-los no conjunto de práticas que lhes são correlatas. Buscamos evidenciar os processos que fizeram da medicina social brasileira um poderoso e efetivo instrumento de gestão e controle da população. Analisamos, por fim, os discursos em defesa da saúde e da vida que caracterizaram o Movimento da Reforma Sanitária e a implementação do Sistema Único de Saúde no Brasil, enquanto práticas definidoras de modos de pensar e produzir saúde.