Quantum Space-Time and Noncommutative Gauge Field Theories

Arguments arising from quantum mechanics and gravitation theory as well as from string theory, indicate that the description of space-time as a continuous manifold is not adequate at very short distances. An important candidate for the description of space-time at such scales is provided by noncommutative space-time where the coordinates are promoted to noncommuting operators. Thus, the study of quantum field theory in noncommutative space-time provides an interesting interface where ordinary field theoretic tools can be used to study the properties of quantum spacetime. The three original publications in this thesis encompass various aspects in the still developing area of noncommutative quantum field theory, ranging from fundamental concepts to model building. One of the key features of noncommutative space-time is the apparent loss of Lorentz invariance that has been addressed in different ways in the literature. One recently developed approach is to eliminate the Lorentz violating effects by integrating over the parameter of noncommutativity. Fundamental properties of such theories are investigated in this thesis. Another issue addressed is model building, which is difficult in the noncommutative setting due to severe restrictions on the possible gauge symmetries imposed by the noncommutativity of the space-time. Possible ways to relieve these restrictions are investigated and applied and a noncommutative version of the Minimal Supersymmetric Standard Model is presented. While putting the results obtained in the three original publications into their proper context, the introductory part of this thesis aims to provide an overview of the present situation in the field.

Aspects of Inflationary Models at Low Energy Scales

Cosmological inflation is the dominant paradigm in explaining the origin of structure in the universe. According to the inflationary scenario, there has been a period of nearly exponential expansion in the very early universe, long before the nucleosynthesis. Inflation is commonly considered as a consequence of some scalar field or fields whose energy density starts to dominate the universe. The inflationary expansion converts the quantum fluctuations of the fields into classical perturbations on superhorizon scales and these primordial perturbations are the seeds of the structure in the universe. Moreover, inflation also naturally explains the high degree of homogeneity and spatial flatness of the early universe. The real challenge of the inflationary cosmology lies in trying to establish a connection between the fields driving inflation and theories of particle physics. In this thesis we concentrate on inflationary models at scales well below the Planck scale. The low scale allows us to seek for candidates for the inflationary matter within extensions of the Standard Model but typically also implies fine-tuning problems. We discuss a low scale model where inflation is driven by a flat direction of the Minimally Supersymmetric Standard Model. The relation between the potential along the flat direction and the underlying supergravity model is studied. The low inflationary scale requires an extremely flat potential but we find that in this particular model the associated fine-tuning problems can be solved in a rather natural fashion in a class of supergravity models. For this class of models, the flatness is a consequence of the structure of the supergravity model and is insensitive to the vacuum expectation values of the fields that break supersymmetry. Another low scale model considered in the thesis is the curvaton scenario where the primordial perturbations originate from quantum fluctuations of a curvaton field, which is different from the fields driving inflation. The curvaton gives a negligible contribution to the total energy density during inflation but its perturbations become significant in the post-inflationary epoch. The separation between the fields driving inflation and the fields giving rise to primordial perturbations opens up new possibilities to lower the inflationary scale without introducing fine-tuning problems. The curvaton model typically gives rise to relatively large level of non-gaussian features in the statistics of primordial perturbations. We find that the level of non-gaussian effects is heavily dependent on the form of the curvaton potential. Future observations that provide more accurate information of the non-gaussian statistics can therefore place constraining bounds on the curvaton interactions.

Pelon ja toivon välissä : Pätkätyöläisen urakerronta

This study analyzes the forming of the occupational identity of the well-educated fixed-term employees. Fixed-term employment contracts amongst the well-educated labour force are exceptionally common in Finland as compared to other European countries. Two groups of modern fixed-term employees are distinguished. The first comprises well-educated women employed in the public sector whose fixed-term employment often consists of successive periods as temporary substitutes. The other group comprises well-educated, upper white-collar men aged over 40, whose fixed-term employment careers often consist of jobs of project nature or posts that are filled for a fixed period only. Method of the study For the empirical data I interviewed 35 persons (26 women and 9 men) in 33 interviews, one of which was conducted by e-mail and one was a group interview. All the interviews were electronically recorded and coded. All the interviewees have two things in common: fixed-term employment and formal high education. Thirteen (13) of them are researchers, four nurses, four midwives, four journalists, and ten project experts. I used the snowball method to get in touch the interviewees. The first interviewees were those who were recommended by the trade unions and by my personal acquaintances. These interviewees, in turn, recommended other potential interviewees. In addition, announcements on the internet pages of the trade unions were used to reach other interviewees. In analysing process I read the research material several times to find the turning points in the narrative the interviewees told. I also searched for the most meaningful stories told and the meaning the interviewees gave to these stories and to the whole narrative. In addition to that I paid attention to co-production of the narrative with the interviewees and analyzed the narrative as performance to be able to search for the preferred identities the interviewees perform. (Riesman 2001, 698-701). I do not pay much attention to the question of truth of a narrative in the sense of its correspondence with facts; rather I think a working life narrative has two tasks: On the one hand one has to tell the facts and on the other hand, he/she has to describe the meaning of these facts to herself/himself. To emphasize the double nature of the narrative about one’s working life I analyzed the empirical data both by categorizing it according to the cultural models of storytelling (heroic story, comedy, irony and tragedy) and by studying the themes most of the interviewees talked about. Ethics of the study I chose to use narrative within qualitative interviews on the grounds that in my opinion is more ethical and more empowering than the more traditional structured interview methods. During the research process I carefully followed the ethical rules of a qualitative research. The purpose of the interviews and the research was told to the interviewees by giving them a written description of the study. Oral permission to use the interview in this research was obtained from the interviewees. The names and places, which are mentioned in the study, are changed to conceal the actual identity of the interviewees. I shared the analysis with the interviewees by sending each of them the first analysis of their personal interview. This way I asked them to make sure that the identity was hidden well enough and hoped to give interviewees a chance to look at their narratives, to instigate new actions and sustain the present one (Smith 2001, 721). Also I hoped to enjoy a new possibility of joint authorship. Main results As a result of the study I introduce six models of telling a story. The four typical western cultural models that guide the telling are: heroic story, comedy, tragedy and satirical story (Hänninen 1999). In addition to these models I found two ways of telling a career filled with fixed-term employments that differ significantly from traditional career story telling. However, the story models in which the interviewees pour their experience locates the fixed term employers work career in an imagined life trajectory and reveals the meaning they give to it. I analyze the many sided heroic story that Liisa tells as an example of the strength of the fear of failing or losing the job the fixed term employee feels. By this structure it is also possible to show that success is felt to be entirely a matter of chance. Tragedy, the failure in one’s trial to get something, is a model I introduce with the help of Vilppu’s story. This narrative gets its meaning both from the sorrow of the failure in the past and the rise of something new the teller has found. Aino tells her story as a comedy. By introducing her narrative, I suggest that the purpose of the comedy, a stronger social consensus, gets deeper and darker shade by fixed-term employment: one who works as a fixed term employee has to take his/her place in his/her work community by him/herself without the support the community gives to those in permanent position. By studying the satiric model Rauno uses, I argue that using irony both turns the power structures to a carnival and builds free space to the teller of the story and to the listener. Irony also helps in building a consensus, mutual understanding, between the teller and the listener and it shows the distance the teller tells to exist between him and others. Irony, however, demands some kind of success in one’s occupational career but also at least a minor disappointment in the progress of it. Helmi tells her story merely as a detective story. By introducing Helmi’s narrative, I argue that this story model strengthens the trust in fairness of the society the teller and the listener share. The analysis also emphasizes the central position of identity work, which is caused by fixed-term employment. Most of the interviewees talked about getting along in working life. I introduced Sari’s narrative as an example of this. In both of these latter narratives one’s personal character and habits are lifted as permanent parts of the actual professional expertise, which in turn varies according to different situations. By introducing these models, I reveal that the fixed-term employees have different strategies to cope with their job situations and these strategies vary according to their personal motives and situations and the actual purpose of the interview. However, I argue that they feel the space between their hopes and fears narrow and unsecure. In the research report I also introduce pieces of the stories – themes – that the interviewees use to build these survival strategies. They use their personal curriculum vitae or portfolio, their position in work community and their work morals to build their professional identity. Professional identity is flexible and varies in time and place, but even then it offers a tool to fix one’s identity work into something. It offers a viewpoint to society and a tool to measure one’s position in surrounding social nets. As one result of the study I analyze the position the fixed-term employees share on the edge of their job communities. I summarize the hopes and fears the interviewees have concerning employers, trade unions, educational institutions and the whole society. In their opinion, the solidarity between people has been weakened by the short-sighted power of the economy. The impact the fixed-term employment has on one’s professional identity and social capital is a many-sided and versatile process. Fixed-term employment both strengthens and weakens the professional identity, social capital and the building of trust. Fixed-term employment also affects one’s day-to-day life by excluding her/him from the norm and by one’s difficulty in making long-term plans (Jokinen 2005). Regardless of the nature of the job contract, the workers themselves are experts in making the best of their sometimes less than satisfying work life and they also build their professional identity by using creatively their education, work experiences and interpersonal relations. However, a long career of short fixed-term employments may seriously change the perception of employee about his/her role. He/she may start concentrating only in coping in his/her unsatisfactory situation and leaves the active improvement of the lousy working conditions to other people. Keywords: narrative, fixed-tem employment, occupational identity, work, story model, social capital, career  

Gender, Politics and Democratisation in Cameroon

Gender perceptions, religious belief systems, and political thought have excluded women from politics, for ages, around the world. Combining feminist and modernisation theorists in my theoretical framework, I examine the trends in patriarchal Europe and I highlight the gender-sensitive model of the Nordic countries. Retracing local gender patterns from precolonial to postcolonial eras in sub-Saharan Africa, I explore the links between perceptions, needs, resources, education and women's political participation in Cameroon. Democratisation is supposed to open up political participation, to grant equal opportunities to all adults. One ironic feature of the liberalisation process in Cameroon has been the decrease of women in parliamentarian representation (14% in 1988, 6% in 1992, 5% in 1997 and 10% in 2002). What social, cultural and institutional mechanisms produced this paradoxical outcome, the exclusion of half the population? The gender complementarity of the indigenous context has been lost to male prevalence privileged by education, church, law, employment, economy and politics in the public sphere; most women are marginalised in the private sphere. Nation building and development have failed; ethnicism and individualism are growing. Some hope lies in the growing civil society. From two surveys and 21 focus groups across Cameroon, in 2000 and 2002, some significant results of the processed empirical data reveal low electoral registration (34.5% women and 65.9% men), contrasted by the willingness to run for municipal elections (33.3 % women and 45.2% men). The co-existence of customary and statutory laws, the corrupt political system and fraudulent practices, contribute to the marginalisation of women and men who are interested in politics. A large majority of female respondents consider female politicians more trustworthy and capable than their male counterparts; they even foresee the appointment of a female Prime Minister. The Nordic countries have institutionalised gender equality in their legislation, policies and practices. France has improved women's political inclusion with the parity laws; Rwanda is another model of women's representation, thanks to its post-conflict constitution. From my analysis, Cameroonian institutions, men and more so women, may learn and borrow from these experiences, in order to design and implement a sustainable and gender-balanced democracy. Keywords: democratisation, politics, gender equality, feminism, citizenship, Cameroon, Nordic countries, Finland, France, United Kingdom, quotas, societal social psychology.

Alppihiihdon alkutaival : Pujottelu- ja tunturihiihto Suomessa 1920-luvulta 1960-luvulle

The object of study in this thesis is Finnish skiing culture and Alpine skiing in particular from the point of view of ethnology. The objective is to clarify how, when, why and by what routes Alpine skiing found its way to Finland. What other phenomena did it bring forth? The objective is essentially linked to the diffusion of modern sports culture to Finland. The introduction of Alpine skiing to Finland took place at a time when skiing culture was changing: flat terrain skiing was abandoned in favour of cross-country skiing in the early decades of the 20th century, and new techniques and equipment made skiing a much more versatile sport. The time span of the study starts from the late 19th century and ends in the mid-20th century. The spatial focus is in Finland. People and communities formed through their actions are core elements in the study of sports and physical activity. Organizations tend to raise themselves into influential actors in the field of physical culture even if active individuals work in their background. Original archive documents and publications of sports organizations are central source material for this thesis, complemented by newspapers and sports magazines as well as photographs and films on early Alpine skiing in Finland. Ever since their beginning in the late 19th century skiing races in Finland had mostly taken place on flat terrain or sea ice. Skiing in broken cross-country terrain made its breakthrough in the 1920 s, at a time when modern skiing techniques were introduced in instruction manuals. In the late 1920 s the Finnish Women s Physical Education Association (SNLL) developed unconventional forms of pedagogical skiing instruction. They abandoned traditional Finnish flat terrain skiing and boldly looked for influences abroad, which caused friction between the leaders of the women s sports movement and the (male) leaders of the central skiing organization. SNLL was instrumental in launching winter tourism in Finnish Lapland in 1933. The Finnish Tourism Society, the State Railways and sports organizations worked in close co-operation to instigate a boom in tourism, which culminated in the inauguration of a tourist hotel at Pallastunturi hill in the winter of 1938. Following a Swedish model, fell-skiing was developed as a domestic counterpart to Alpine skiing as practiced in Central Europe. The first Finnish skiing resorts were built at sites of major cross-country skiing races. Inspired by the slope at Bad Grankulla health spa, the first slalom skiing races and fell-skiing, slalom enthusiasts began to look for purpose-built sites to practice turn technique. At first they would train in natural slopes but in the late 1930 s new slopes were cleared for slalom races and recreational skiing. The building of slopes and ski lifts and the emergence of organized slalom racing competitions gradually separated Alpine skiing from the old fell-skiing. After the Second World War fell-skiing was transformed into ski trekking on marked courses. At the same time Alpine skiing also parted ways with cross-country skiing to become a sport of its own. In the 1940 s and 1950 s Finnish Alpine skiing was almost exclusively a competitive sport. The specificity of Alpine skiing was enhanced by rapid development of equipment: the new skis, bindings and shoes could only be used going downhill.

Global and EU governance for sustainable forest management with special reference to capacity building in Ethiopia and Southern Sudan

The purpose of this study was to produce information on and practical recommendations for informed decision-making on and capacity building for sustainable forest management (SFM) and good forest governance. This was done within the overall global framework for sustainable development with special emphasis on the EU and African frameworks and on Southern Sudan and Ethiopia in particular. The case studies on Southern Sudan and Ethiopia focused on local, national and regional issues. Moreover, this study attempted to provide both theoretical and practical new insight. The aim was to build an overall theoretical framework and to study its key contents and main implications for SFM and good forest governance at all administration levels, for providing new tools for capacity building in natural resources management. The theoretical framework and research approach were based on the original research problem and the general and specific aims of the study. The key elements of the framework encompass sustainable development, global and EU governance, sustainable forest management (SFM), good forest governance, as well as international and EU law. The selected research approach comprised matrix-based assessment of international, regional (EU and Africa) and national (Southern Sudan and Ethiopia) policy and legal documents. The specific case study on Southern Sudan also involved interviews and group discussions with local community members and government officials. As a whole, this study attempted to link the global, regional, national and local levels in forest-sector development and especially to analyse how the international policy development in environmental and forestry issues is reflected in field-level progress towards SFM and good forest governance, for the specific cases of Southern Sudan and Ethiopia. The results on Southern Sudan focused on the existing situation and perceived needs in capacity building for SFM and good forest governance at all administration levels. Specifically, the results of the case study on Southern Sudan presented the current situation in selected villages in the northern parts of Renk County in Upper Nile State, and the implications of Multilateral Environmental Agreements (MEAs) and of the new forest policy framework for capacity building actions. The results on Ethiopia focused on training, extension, research, education and new curriculum development within higher education institutions and particularly at the Wondo Genet College of Forestry and Natural Resources (WGCF-NR), which administratively lies under Hawassa University. The results suggest that, for both cases studies, informed decision-making on and capacity building for SFM and good forest governance require comprehensive, long-term, cross-sectoral, coherent and consistent approaches within the dynamic and evolving overall global framework, including its multiple inter-linked levels. The specific priority development and focus areas comprised the establishment of SFM and good forest governance in accordance with the overall sustainable development priorities and with more focus on the international trade in forest products that are derived from sustainable and legal sources with an emphasis on effective forest law enforcement and governance at all levels. In Upper Nile State in Southern Sudan there were positive development signals such as the will of the local people to plant more multipurpose trees on farmlands and range lands as well as the recognition of the importance of forests and trees for sustainable rural development where food security is a key element. In addition, it was evident that the local communities studied in Southern Sudan also wanted to establish good governance systems through partnerships with all actors and through increased local responsibilities. The results also suggest that the implementation of MEAs at the local level in Southern Sudan requires mutually supportive and coherent approaches within the agreements as well as significantly more resources and financial and technical assistance for capacity building, training and extension. Finally, the findings confirm the importance of full utilization of the existing local governance and management systems and their traditional and customary knowledge and practices, and of new development partnerships with full participation of all stakeholders. The planned new forest law for Southern Sudan, based on an already existing new forest policy, is expected to recognize the roles of local-level actors, and it would thus obviously facilitate the achieving of sustainable forest management.

Luottamus koulussa : Tutkimus yhdeksännen luokan oppilaiden luottamus- ja epäluottamuskertomuksista ja niiden merkityksestä oppilaiden kouluarjessa

The aim of this study is to explore trust at school and its meaning for 9th grade students. The intent is to investigate students views about trust and mistrust in school relationships. Three research questions are posed: 1) what meanings do students give to their experiences of trust and mistrust at school and how do they evaluate connection of these experiences to their well-being and enjoyment in the classroom? 2) what and how important, is the teacher s role according to the students writings, and 3) what might the different pedagogical and administrative structures of schools reveal about trust and mistrust in a particular school culture? The data consists of 134 writings of 9th grade students (secondary school) from three schools in one of the biggest cities in Finland. The schools differ from others in terms of their pedagogical or structural backgrounds. The study is restricted to the micro-level of, disposition of Educational Sociology, focusing on trust in schools relationships. The theoretical framework of the study is trust, as a part of social capital; however trust is also approached from the sociological, the psychological and philosophical perspective. The methodological approach is narrative research concerning school practice . Analysis of narrative consist mostly content analysis, but also some elements of holistic-content reading, thematic reading and categorical content. The analysis found three main themes: 1) individual stories of trust, 2) the teachers role in making trust possible in the classroom, and 3) school as a community of trust. According to the study trust at school (1) is a complex phenomenon consisting of people s ability to work together and to recognize the demands that different situations present. Trust at school is often taken for granted. In the students experiences trust is strongly connected to friendship, and the teacher s ability to connect with students. Students experiences of mistrust stem from bulling, school violence, lack of respect as well as teachers lacking basic professional behavior. School relationships are important for some students as source of enjoyment, but some feel that it is difficult to evaluate the connection between trust and enjoyment. The study found that students trust of teachers (2) is linked to the teacher s professional role as a teacher, a caring human being open to dialogue. In other words, the students describe teachers abilities to create a sense of trust in terms of three expectations: the teacher was better, the same or worse than expected. Better than expected, means the teacher engender a high degree of trust and has excellent communication skills. Same as expected means the teacher comes across as familiar and secure, while lower than expected means the teacher creates no trust and has poor communication skills. Finally, it was shown that trust at school (3) should not only exist between some individuals, but between (all) members of the school community. In other words, according to the study there is some evidence that trust is strongly committed to school culture. Further, trust seems to depend on (school-) cultural background, values, beliefs, expectations, norms as well as staff behaviour. The basic elements of an optimum level of trust at school are favourable school structure and pedagogical background; however, good relationships between teachers and students as well as high professional skills are also needed. Trust at school is built by good communication, working together and getting to know each other.

Suomen sahateollisuuden supistumisen ja tulevaisuuden kuvien aluetaloudelliset vaikutukset

Sahateollisuuden tuotantokapasiteetti on vähentynyt viime vuosina paljon. Syvä lama on leikannut vientiä ja myös rakentaminen on hiljentynyt. Tämä on pakottanut sopeuttamistoimiin samaan tapaan kuin massa- ja paperiteollisuuden kohdalla. Mikäli tällekin vuodelle suunnitellut toimet toteutuvat, yhteensä yksitoista sahaa ja seitsemän jalostetehdasta on suljettu. Kapasiteetin leikkaukset koskevat yhteensä kahtatoista maakuntaa ja viittätoista seutukuntaa. Puolet leikkauksista kohdistuu pieniin seutukuntiin, joka lisää aluetalouden sopeutumishaastetta. Tutkimuksessa on selvitetty sahojen ja jalostetehtaiden sulkemisten aluetaloudellisia vaikutuksia seutukuntien taloudelliseen kasvuun ja työllisyyteen. Sahateollisuuden menetyksiä verrattiin maakuntatasolla massa- ja paperiteollisuuden vastaaviin. Lisäksi tarkasteltiin alan kolmea tulevaisuuden kuvaa Suomen tasolla. Laskelmat suoritettiin alueellisella yleisen tasapainon RegFinDyn-simulointimallilla. Tarkasteluperiodi oli sulkemisten osalta vuodet 2004–2013 ja vuodet 2010–2014 tulevaisuuden kuvien kohdalla. Sulkemisten vaikutus seutukuntien taloudelliseen kasvuun näyttäisi jäävän suhteellisen pieneksi. Aluetalous sopeutuisi uuteen tilanteeseen muiden alojen kompensoidessa osan menetyksistä. Talouskasvun menetykset ovat yhteensä 173,8 miljoonaa euroa, jos Varkauden sahaa ei suljeta ja 184,7 miljoonaa, jos sulkeminen tapahtuu. Tilanne näyttäisi samalta työllisyyden suhteen. Työllisyyden menetykset ovat vastaavasti yhteensä 2 693 henkilötyövuotta tai 3 031. Menetysten osuus maakuntien yhteenlasketusta BKT:sta ja työllisyydestä on 0,3 %. Tämä on vähemmän kuin massa- ja paperiteollisuudessa. Ongelmalliseksi tilanteen tekee se, että molemmat alat ovat menettäneet talouskasvua ja työllisyyttä viidessä maakunnassa. ETLA:n sahateollisuuden ja rakentamisen tuotantoennusteiden samoin kuin PTT:n hintaennusteiden mukaan tulevaisuus näyttäisi valoisammalta. Laman pohjan saavuttamisen jälkeen sekä tuotanto että kv-hinnat alkaisivat vahvistua tästä vuodesta lähtien. Tulevaisuuden kuvat muodostettiin näiden suhdanne-ennusteiden pohjalta. Mikäli myönteinen kehitys toteutuisi, Suomen BKT voisi kasvaa yhteensä 300–900 miljoonalla eurolla vuoden 2014 loppuun mennessä. Työllisyys voisi vahvistua 1 000–5 000 henkilötyövuodella. Sahateollisuuden sopeuttaminen tulee jatkumaan, mikäli lama ei kohta hellitä. Alan kehitystä seurataan yleisellä tasolla, mutta myös sopeuttamisen aluetaloudellisten vaikutusten arviointia olisi syytä jatkaa.

Hirsitaloteollisuuden kehityshaasteet

Pientalobarometri 2/2008 ennustaa omakotitalorakentamisen jatkavan laskuaan rakentamiskustannusten kasvamisesta, kaavoituksesta, tonttitarjonnasta ja talouden tilasta johtuen. Kustannusten odotetaan edelleen nousevan mm. energia­tehokkuuden kohentumisen myötä. Työ- ja elinkeinoministeriön Puutalojen ja rakennuspuusepäntuotteiden valmistus –toimialaraportissa 2008 oletetaan myös, että lämmöneristysvaatimukset ovat saattaneet lisätä massiivihirsitalojen kysyntää, koska uusien määräysten voimaantulon jälkeen niitä ei mahdollisesti enää tehdä. Kehityksen voidaan olettaa johtavan rakennusten koon ja varustetason järkevöittämiseen. Oma­koti­talorakentamisen tarpeeksi pientalobarometri laskee 20 000 asuntoaloitusta, mutta toimialaraportissa määrän arvioidaan vuonna 2008 jäävän 12 500 oma­kotitalon aloitukseen. Avaimet käteen –rakentaminen on kasvusuunnassa ja talo­paketit ovat kehittymässä selvemmiksi rakennusosakokonaisuuksiksi. Pientalobarometri kertoo suomalaisten toivovan yksilöllisyyttä. Talotehtaiden toimituksista yksilöllisiä suunnitteluratkaisuja on kolmannes ja tyyppimuunnoksia puolet. Valmisosatalojen osuus asunnoista on noin 68 % ja teollisen hirren osuus valmisosatalojen markkinoista on nyt kutakuinkin samoissa 10 % lukemissa kuin 20 vuotta sitten. Korkeimmillaan teollisen hirren osuus valmisosataloista kävi 17 % tasolla kymmenen vuotta sitten, vuosina 1995 ja 1996. Siporex-, betoni,- tiili- ja harkkotalojen osuus on noussut kahdessakymmenessä vuodessa 4 %:sta 12 %:iin ja precut-talojen osuus 2 %:sta 16 %:iin, kun taas puuelementtien osuus on laskenut 85 %:sta 62 %:iin. Talopaketin keskimääräinen kuluttajahinta on Toimialaraportin mukaan noin 83 000 euroa ja niitä valmistuu vuodessa alle 10 000. Talopakettimarkkinat ovat Pientalobarometrin mukaan vuonna 2008 hieman laskeneet vuosien 2006 ja 2007 huippulukemista alle 800 miljoonan euron. Teollisten hirsivalmistajien liikevaihto laski myös vuodesta 2007 alle 350 miljoonan. Toimialaraportin mukaan puutalojen valmistus työllistää vajaa 4000 henkeä 251 toimipaikassa (2006). Alan liikevaihto vuonna 2006 oli 812 miljoonaa euroa ja viennin arvo 178 miljoonaa euroa. Viennin kasvun todettiin riippuvan hirsitaloteollisuudesta. Viennin kannalta tärkeitä alueita ovat Keski-Eurooppa, Venäjä, Japani ja Pohjoismaat. Puutalojen vienti on Toimialaraportin mukaan kohonnut 90-luvun alun noin 30 miljoonasta yli 200 miljoonaan euroon, josta hirsitalojen viennin arvo ylittää 160 miljoonaa. Tutkimus- ja kehittämiskuluiksi arvioidaan puutalon valmistajilla 0–2 % tuotannon arvosta. Puutalojen mediaanikäyttökate oli Toimialaraportin mukaan vuonna 2006 noin 6 % kun teollisuuden vastaava luku on 10 %. Finnveran tilastointi hirsitalojen kustannusrakenteesta ja kannattavuudesta ei poikkea tästä, vaan hirsitalojen käyttökatteeksi ilmoitetaan 6,4 % ja kokonaistulokseksi 3,4 % vuonna 2007. Toimialaraportin mukaan teollisuuden omavaraisuusaste on noin 43 % kun taas puutaloteollisuuden omavaraisuusaste jää 26,5 %:iin ja hirsitalojen Finnveran mukaan 27,7 %:iin. Hirsitaloja valmistaa Toimialaraportin mukaan noin 150 yritystä. Alan kahden suurimman yrityksen osuus on lähes puolet koko alan liikevaihdosta.

Pajala–Kolarin ja Soklin kaivoshankkeisiin liittyvien rautatie- ja tieinvestointien ja Kemin satamainvestointien aluetaloudelliset vaikutukset

Lappiin suunnitteilla olevat Pajala–Kolarin rauta- ja Soklin fosforikaivos ovat megaluokan hankkeita. Kaivosten rakentaminen ei voi kuitenkaan toteutua jos niiden tarvitsemia rautatie-, satama- ja tieinvestointeja ei voida toteuttaa. Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli arvioida näiden väyläinvestointien aluetaloudellisia vaikutuksia. Tutkimus on jatkoa Ruraliassa juuri valmistuneelle yhdeksää Pohjois- ja Itä-Suomen kaivoshanketta koskevalle tutkimukselle, jossa keskitytään itse kaivosinvestointien vaikutuksiin. Tutkimuksen on rahoittanut Liikenne- ja viestintäministeriö yhdessä Työ- ja elinkeinoministeriön kanssa. Työvälineenä oli Ruraliassa kehitetty RegFinDyn-aluemalli. Simuloinnit suoritettiin vuosille 2008–2030 ja raportoitiin Lapin seutukuntien tasolla. Tulosten mukaan kaikki, mutta erityisesti mittavat rautatieinvestoinnit olisivat merkittäviä seutukuntien taloudelliselle kasvulle. Äkäsjoki–Ajos radan rakentaminen auttaisi Tunturi-Lapin, Torniolaakson ja Kemi–Tornion seutukuntia taantuman yli. Taloudellinen kasvu voisi lisääntyä läntisen Lapin seutukunnissa yhteensä 0,6–2,2% vuoteen 2011 ja yhteensä 1,3–4,3% vuoteen 2016 mennessä. Tämä olisi keskimäärin 0,1–0,5% vuodessa. Soklin kaivoksen tapauksessa Kemijärvi–Kelloselkä–Sokli rautatien vaikutukset Itä- ja Pohjois-Lapin seutukuntiin olisivat merkittäviä. Investointien edetessä Itä-Lapin seutukunnan taloudellinen kasvu voisi vahvistua kumulatiivisesti tarkasteltuna 8,3% vuoteen 2013 mennessä. Vuosikeskiarvona tämä olisi 2,8%. Radan vaikutus Pohjois-Lapin taloudelliseen kasvuun olisi pienempi, vuoteen 2014 mennessä yhteensä 3% eli keskimäärin 0,8% vuodessa. Väyläinvestointien työllisyysvaikutukset olisivat myönteisiä. Pajala–Kolarin kaivoksen rautatieinvestoinnit toisivat läntiseen Lappiin uusia työpaikkoja vuoteen 2015 mennessä yhteensä 418. Tästä Tunturi-Lapin osuus olisi 147, Torniolaakson 114 ja Kemi–Tornion seutukunnan 157. Vastaavat vuosikeskiarvot olisivat 52, 18, 14 ja 20. Soklin kaivoksen rautatieinvestoinnit toisivat jonkun verran enemmän uusia työpaikkoja Pajala–Kolariin verrattuna koska investoinnit olisivat suuremmat. Radan rakentaminen voisi tuoda Itä-Lappiin yhteensä 506 uutta työpaikkaa vuoden 2013 loppuun mennessä. Pohjois-Lapin työllisyys voisi lisääntyä 153 uudella työpaikalla. Yhteensä voisi siten syntyä 660 uutta työpaikkaa. Vastaavat vuosikeskiarvot olisivat 169, 51, 220 uutta työpaikkaa. Kun kaivoksia tarkastellaan yhdessä, työllisyysvaikutukset olisivat suurimmat vuonna 2015, jonka loppuun mennessä väyläinvestoinnit voisivat luoda yhteensä 1288 uutta työpaikkaa. Vastaava vuosikeskiarvo olisi 161. Taloudellisen kasvun ohella työllisyystulokset korostavat analysoitujen väyläinvestointien myönteistä aluetaloudellista merkitystä. Ruralia-instituutin arvioinnin perusteella molempien kaivosten rautatie-, satama- ja tieinvestoinnit olisivat toteuttamiskelpoisia aluetaloudellisin perustein. Ne lisäisivät tuotantoa, työllisyyttä, tuloja, kulutusta ja verotuloja useissa Lapin seutukunnissa.

Suomen kaivosalan aluetaloudelliset vaikutukset elinkeinorakenteeseen ja työllisyyteen

Tutkimuksen kohteena oli Suomen kaivosala. Tavoitteena oli analysoida yhdeksän vasta käynnistyneen tai valmisteilla olevan kaivoksen aluetaloudelliset vaikutukset elinkeinorakenteeseen ja työllisyyteen. Tutkimukseen valitut kaivoshankkeet olivat Kevitsa, Kylylahti, Laivakangas, Länttä, Pajala–Kolari, Pampalo, Sokli, Suurikuusikko ja Talvivaara. Aluetaloudelliset vaikutukset laskettiin kaivosten vaatimiin investointeihin ja tulevaan liikevaihtoon perustuen. Laskelmat tehtiin Ruralia-instituutissa kehitetyllä CGE RegFinDyn -aluemallilla periodille 2007–2020. Tulokset sisältävät aluetalouden täyden sopeutumisen ja kerroinvaikutukset. Tutkimuksen rahoittaja on Työ- ja elinkeinoministeriö. Kaivoksen investointi- eli rakentamisvaihe on kiihkeä, mutta suhteellisen lyhytaikainen. Toimintavaihe on puolestaan vakaa ja pitkäaikainen riippuen metallien maailmanmarkkinahintojen kehityksestä. Vaiheet voivat olla limittäisiä kuten Pajala–Kolarin ja Talvivaaran tapauksessa tai peräkkäisiä kuten Soklissa. Tulosten mukaan limittäisyys on aluetaloudellisen vaikuttavuuden kannalta parempi vaihtoehto. Kaivoksen rakentaminen ja kasvava malmin tuotanto luovat työllisyyttä ja kulutusmahdollisuuksia yhtä aikaa, jolloin vaiheiden yhteinen aluetaloudellinen vaikutus muodostuu suuremmaksi. Peräkkäisessä tapauksessa uuden tulovirran muodostuminen on selvästi tasaisempaa. Molemmissa tapauksissa työtulot jäävät toimintavaiheessa omaan maakuntaan. Ongelmaksi alueen kannalta muodostuu, kuinka saada ainakin osa pääomatuloista jäämään aluetta hyödyttämään. Tulosten perusteella kaivoshankkeista erottuu selvästi kolme taloudellisen kasvun kannalta vaikuttavinta: Pajala–Kolari, Sokli ja Talvivaara. Näiden kumulatiivinen pitkän tähtäimen vaikutus talouskasvuun olisi 1–3 prosenttia yli sijaintimaakuntiensa ennakoidun normaalikehityksen. Toinen ryhmä olisi Kevitsa ja Kylylahti, joiden vaikuttavuus olisi tasoa 0.7 prosenttia. Pampalo, Suurikuusikko, Laivakangas ja Länttä lisäisivät talouskasvua pitkällä tähtäimellä kumulatiivisesti tarkasteltuna 0.1–0.3 prosenttia yli maakuntiensa ennakoidun normaalikehityksen. Kaivokset loisivat huomattavan määrän uusia työmahdollisuuksia. Pajala–Kolarin ja Soklin kaivoshankkeissa suurimman työvoimatarpeen aikana vuonna 2014 työllisyys olisi parantunut viiden vuoden aikana yhteensä 4600–6000 henkilötyövuodella normaalikehitykseen verrattuna. Talvivaaran kaivoksella työllisyysvaikutuksen huippuvuosi on jo 2010, jolloin kaivos olisi luonut neljän vuoden aikana yhteensä 6000 uutta työpaikkaa. Kevitsan, Kylylahden ja Suurikuusikon kohdalla vastaavat korkeimmat kumulatiiviset luvut olisivat 1300, 1000 ja 800. Muiden hankkeiden vastaava työllisyysvaikutus olisi pienempi ja vaihtelisi 60–250 henkilötyövuoden välillä. Vuositasolla työvoimatarpeet olisivat Pajala–Kolarin ja Soklin tapauksessa keskimäärin 900–1200 ja Talvivaarassa 1200. Kaivoshankkeiden vaikutus elinkeinorakenteeseen näkyisi eri toimialojen tuotannon muutosten kautta. Kaivoksilla olisi luonnollisesti suora ja suuri vaikutus mineraalien kaivuuseen. Myös rakentamisen toimialaan kaivosten vaikutus olisi erittäin merkittävä, mutta väliaikainen ja rajoittuisi investointivaiheeseen. Rakentamisen ja mineraalien kaivuun tuotannon kasvu heijastuisivat muille aloille. Tuotanto nousisi muun muassa ei-metallisten mineraalituotteiden valmistuksen, koneiden ja laitteiden valmistuksen ja kuljetuksen, varastoinnin ja tietoliikenteen toimialoilla. Yleinen elintaso nousisi, jolloin palvelutoimialoista koulutus ja terveydenhuolto- ja sosiaalipalvelut vahvistuisivat. Kaivosten vuoksi resursseja luovuttamaan joutuvia toimialoja olisi useita ja ne olisivat pääasiassa samoja kaivoksesta ja maakunnasta riippumatta. Pitkällä tähtäimellä tuotanto laskisi alkutuotannossa kuten myös metallien jalostuksen ja metallituotteiden, elintarvikkeiden, tekstiilien, massan ja paperin sekä puutavaran ja puutuotteiden valmistuksen toimialoilla. Kaivosalan voimakas kasvu Pohjois- ja Itä-Suomessa ei ratkaisisi kokonaan maakuntien taloudellisia ongelmia. Hankkeet tukisivat kuitenkin merkittävästi taantumasta nousua. Lisäksi suotuisa talouskehitys syntyisi käytännössä seutukunta- ja työssäkäyntialueilla eli maakuntaa pienemmissä aluetalouden yksiköissä, jolloin vaikutukset olisivat paljon vahvemmat. Kaivosalasta on mahdollisuus kehittyä pysyvä uusi toimiala tarkastelluissa viidessä maakunnassa, mikäli metallien hinnat eivät vaihtele liikaa.

Jätevesien puhdistuksen kustannuksista

English summary: Costs of purifying domestic sewage.