A case study of landslides and coping strategies in two villages of central-eastern Nepal

Landslides are an increasing problem in Nepal's Middle Hills due to both natural and human phenomena: mainly increasingly intense monsoon rains and a boom in rural road construction. This problem has largely been neglected due to underreporting of losses and the dispersed nature of landslides. Understanding how populations cope with landslides is a first step toward developing more effective landslide risk management programs. The present research focuses on two villages in Central-Eastern Nepal, both affected by active landslides but with different coping strategies. Research methods are interdisciplinary, based on a geological assessment of landslide risk and a socio-economic study of the villages using household questionnaires, focus group discussions and transect walks. Community risk maps are compared with geological landslide risk maps to better understand and communicate community risk perceptions, priorities and coping strategies. A modified typology of coping strategies is presented, based on previous work by Burton, Kates, and White (1993) that is useful for decision-makers for designing more effective programs for landslide mitigation. Main findings underscore that coping strategies, mainly seeking external assistance and outmigration, are closely linked to access to resources, ethnicity/social status and levels of community organization. Conclusions include the importance of investing in organizational skills, while building on local knowledge about landslide mitigation for reducing landslide risk. There is great potential to increase coping strategies by incorporating skills training on landslide mitigation in existing agricultural outreach and community forest user group training.

Older Workers in Iowa, May 2006

A large wave of workers born during the Baby Boom of 1946 to 1964 will be leaving the workforce over the next few decades. A larger share than in past generations may “retire” to collect the pensions they earned over their work life and then continue working part-time or more flexible working arrangements.

Formats radifònics "tot-notícies" a l'Estat Espanyol : naixement i consolidació de "Catalunya Informacio"(1992-1997)

Fa 20 anys que la ràdio española gaudeix de la libertad informativa que li va ser negada durant la dictadura. En aquests 20 anys, l’evolució del macro-gènere información ens ha portat des de l’anomenat “boom de la ràdio informativa” fins al naixement, al nostre país, de les primeres emissores dedicades íntegrament a la información, en primer lloc, Catalunya Informació, i més tard, Radio 5 Todo Noticias. El que pretenem amb aquest estudié s tractar del naixement i la consolidació del primer format radiofònic informatiu, un format sobre el qual no hi ha encara gaires referències bibliogràfiques.

Partial correlation : Network analysis

The final year project came to us as an opportunity to get involved in a topic which has appeared to be attractive during the learning process of majoring in economics: statistics and its application to the analysis of economic data, i.e. econometrics.Moreover, the combination of econometrics and computer science is a very hot topic nowadays, given the Information Technologies boom in the last decades and the consequent exponential increase in the amount of data collected and stored day by day. Data analysts able to deal with Big Data and to find useful results from it are verydemanded in these days and, according to our understanding, the work they do, although sometimes controversial in terms of ethics, is a clear source of value added both for private corporations and the public sector. For these reasons, the essence of this project is the study of a statistical instrument valid for the analysis of large datasets which is directly related to computer science: Partial Correlation Networks.The structure of the project has been determined by our objectives through the development of it. At first, the characteristics of the studied instrument are explained, from the basic ideas up to the features of the model behind it, with the final goal of presenting SPACE model as a tool for estimating interconnections in between elements in large data sets. Afterwards, an illustrated simulation is performed in order to show the power and efficiency of the model presented. And at last, the model is put into practice by analyzing a relatively large data set of real world data, with the objective of assessing whether the proposed statistical instrument is valid and useful when applied to a real multivariate time series. In short, our main goals are to present the model and evaluate if Partial Correlation Network Analysis is an effective, useful instrument and allows finding valuable results from Big Data.As a result, the findings all along this project suggest the Partial Correlation Estimation by Joint Sparse Regression Models approach presented by Peng et al. (2009) to work well under the assumption of sparsity of data. Moreover, partial correlation networks are shown to be a very valid tool to represent cross-sectional interconnections in between elements in large data sets.The scope of this project is however limited, as there are some sections in which deeper analysis would have been appropriate. Considering intertemporal connections in between elements, the choice of the tuning parameter lambda, or a deeper analysis of the results in the real data application are examples of aspects in which this project could be completed.To sum up, the analyzed statistical tool has been proved to be a very useful instrument to find relationships that connect the elements present in a large data set. And after all, partial correlation networks allow the owner of this set to observe and analyze the existing linkages that could have been omitted otherwise.

5

Die auJlerkörperliche Erfaltrung (AKE) hat in den letztenJahren Forscher vieler Fachrichtungen beschäftigt. Vor allem hat das Verständnis der Neurowissenschaften und experimentellen Psychologie zu diesem Boom entscheidend beigetragen. Um zu verdeutlichen, wie bereits wenige klinische Studien ein Feld verändern können, werden im Folgenden phänomenologische, neurologische, psychophysiologische, experimentelle und pharmakologische Studien zur AKE aufgefi:hrt, vor allem jene der Ietzten 20 Jahre. Von besonderer Bedeutung werden Hirnstimulationsstudien bei Patienten mit Epilepsie sein, da bei diesen Patienten das Hirn bei vollem Bewusstsein direk elektrisch stimuliert wird, Weiterhin werden Studien zur AKE vorgestellt, die Hirnströme bei Gesunden und Patienten messen; hinzu kommen Studien, mit denen versucht wird, den Ort einer Hirnschädigung mit dem Auftreten von AKE in Verbindung zu bringen, Die Schlussfolgerungen aus diesen Studien und aus experimentellen Verhaltensstudien sollen aufzeigen, dass man ein zuvor mystifiziertes Phänomen untersuchen kann, aber dass es einen genaueren Anhaltspunkt benötigt, anhand dessen man gezielt Studien planen und durchfi.rhren kann. Ebenfalls soll aufgezeigt werden, welche vielen Fragen zu diesem Phänomen noch immer offen sind und die Forschenden mindestens weitere 20 Jaltre beschäftigen werden.

Development of Rouble Exchange Rate in Russia

This 45th volume deals with the development of the Russian rouble, which suffered a severe depreciation crisis in 1998. In the aftermath of this event, a strong investment boom started in Russia. The new devalued rouble exchange rate gave price competitiveness to local industry. In addition to that, increasing export prices of Russian oil and natural gas deliveries have contributed to economic growth lately. Amid this boom period, inflationary pressure has remained high. Price increases have been higher than in the EU, Russia’s main trading partner. However, rouble/euro exchange rate has remained nominally rather stable in the current decade. This means, that rouble appreciates against euro in real terms, which is weakening Russia’s international competitiveness.

Puutavaranosturin teleskooppipuomin kehittäminen ultralujilla teräksillä toteutettavaksi

Diplomityössä on tutkittu ultralujien terästen käyttömahdollisuuksia puutavaranosturin puomirakenteissa. Työn tavoitteena on ollut suunnitella uusi puomikonstruktio, joka on kevyempi kuin aiemmat ratkaisut, mutta täyttää kuitenkin sovellettavien standardien asettamat vaatimukset väsymisen, staattisen kestävyyden ja stabiliteetin suhteen. Työ on tehty vertailemalla erilaisten uusien profiilien ja rakenneyksityiskohtien ominaisuuksia toisiinsa ja vanhaan rakenteeseen. Vertailukriteereinä on käytetty elastista taivutuskapasiteettia, kriittistä lommahduskuormaa, väsymislujuutta sekä hitsaus- ja materiaalikustannuksia. Työn lopputuloksena saatiin ehdotus uudeksi teleskooppipuomiksi, joka on noin 8 % kevyempi kuin nykyinen ratkaisu.

Nuevas profesiones periodísticas digitales

El present treball final de carrera té com a objecte analitzar el perfil i les condicions laborals de les noves professions periodístiques digitals, i fer una comparació d’aquestes amb les de les professions tradicionals en mitjans de comunicació i en comunicació corporativa mitjançant la realització d’enquestes a treballadors d’aquestes tres àrees. La finalitat es saber quin panorama es trobaran els llicenciats en periodisme en el futur, veure com han canviat aquestes feines respecte fa alguns anys en que el boom de les noves tecnologies i xarxes socials no era tan patent com és ara, i també veure com ha influït el context de crisi que travessa el país.

Testing Weak-Form Efficiency of the Chinese Stock Market

Tämän tutkielman tavoitteena on tarkastella Kiinan osakemarkkinoiden tehokkuutta ja random walk -hypoteesin voimassaoloa. Tavoitteena on myös selvittää esiintyykö viikonpäiväanomalia Kiinan osakemarkkinoilla. Tutkimusaineistona käytetään Shanghain osakepörssin A-sarjan,B-sarjan ja yhdistelmä-sarjan ja Shenzhenin yhdistelmä-sarjan indeksien päivittäisiä logaritmisoituja tuottoja ajalta 21.2.1992-30.12.2005 sekä Shenzhenin osakepörssin A-sarjan ja B-sarjan indeksien päivittäisiä logaritmisoituja tuottoja ajalta 5.10.1992-30.12.2005. Tutkimusmenetelminä käytetään neljä tilastollista menetelmää, mukaan lukien autokorrelaatiotestiä, epäparametrista runs-testiä, varianssisuhdetestiä sekä Augmented Dickey-Fullerin yksikköjuuritestiä. Viikonpäiväanomalian esiintymistä tutkitaan käyttämällä pienimmän neliösumman menetelmää (OLS). Testejä tehdään sekä koko aineistolla että kolmella erillisellä ajanjaksolla. Tämän tutkielman empiiriset tulokset tukevat aikaisempia tutkimuksia Kiinan osakemarkkinoiden tehottomuudesta. Lukuun ottamatta yksikköjuuritestien saatuja tuloksia, autokorrelaatio-, runs- ja varianssisuhdetestien perusteella random walk-hypoteesi hylättiin molempien Kiinan osakemarkkinoiden kohdalla. Tutkimustulokset osoittavat, että molemmilla osakepörssillä B-sarjan indeksien käyttäytyminenon ollut huomattavasti enemmän random walk -hypoteesin vastainen kuin A-sarjan indeksit. Paitsi B-sarjan markkinat, molempien Kiinan osakemarkkinoiden tehokkuus näytti myös paranevan vuoden 2001 markkinabuumin jälkeen. Tutkimustulokset osoittavat myös viikonpäiväanomalian esiintyvän Shanghain osakepörssillä, muttei kuitenkaan Shenzhenin osakepörssillä koko tarkasteluajanjaksolla.

Development of Rouble Exchange Rate in Russia

NORDIn julkaisu 45 käsittelee ruplan kehitystä. Vuonna 1998 rupla kärsi rajusta rahanarvon alenemisesta, minkä jälkiseuraksena investointi alkoi Venäjällä kasvaa. Uusi devalvoitu ruplan vaihtokurssi toi hintakilpailykykyä paikalliselle teollisuudelle. Tämän lisäksi Venäjän öljyn vientihintojen nousu ja maakaasujakelu ovat edesauttaneet taloudellista kasvua viime aikoina. Tämän noususuhdanteen vallitessa inflaatiopaine on pysynyt korkealla. Hinnannousut ovat olleet korkeampia kuinEU:ssa, Venäjän pääkauppakumppanilla. Kuitenkin, ruplan/euron vaihtokurssit ovat pysyneet nimellisesti melko vakaina tällä vuosikymmenellä. Tämä tarkoittaa, että todellisuudessa rupla vahvistuu euroa vastaan, mikä heikentää Venäjän kansainvälistä kilpailykykyä.

Studies on integrating kinematic design method with mechanical systems simulation techniques

Theultimate goal of any research in the mechanism/kinematic/design area may be called predictive design, ie the optimisation of mechanism proportions in the design stage without requiring extensive life and wear testing. This is an ambitious goal and can be realised through development and refinement of numerical (computational) technology in order to facilitate the design analysis and optimisation of complex mechanisms, mechanical components and systems. As a part of the systematic design methodology this thesis concentrates on kinematic synthesis (kinematic design and analysis) methods in the mechanism synthesis process. The main task of kinematic design is to find all possible solutions in the form of structural parameters to accomplish the desired requirements of motion. Main formulations of kinematic design can be broadly divided to exact synthesis and approximate synthesis formulations. The exact synthesis formulation is based in solving n linear or nonlinear equations in n variables and the solutions for the problem areget by adopting closed form classical or modern algebraic solution methods or using numerical solution methods based on the polynomial continuation or homotopy. The approximate synthesis formulations is based on minimising the approximation error by direct optimisation The main drawbacks of exact synthesis formulationare: (ia) limitations of number of design specifications and (iia) failure in handling design constraints- especially inequality constraints. The main drawbacks of approximate synthesis formulations are: (ib) it is difficult to choose a proper initial linkage and (iib) it is hard to find more than one solution. Recentformulations in solving the approximate synthesis problem adopts polynomial continuation providing several solutions, but it can not handle inequality const-raints. Based on the practical design needs the mixed exact-approximate position synthesis with two exact and an unlimited number of approximate positions has also been developed. The solutions space is presented as a ground pivot map but thepole between the exact positions cannot be selected as a ground pivot. In this thesis the exact synthesis problem of planar mechanism is solved by generating all possible solutions for the optimisation process ¿ including solutions in positive dimensional solution sets - within inequality constraints of structural parameters. Through the literature research it is first shown that the algebraic and numerical solution methods ¿ used in the research area of computational kinematics ¿ are capable of solving non-parametric algebraic systems of n equations inn variables and cannot handle the singularities associated with positive-dimensional solution sets. In this thesis the problem of positive-dimensional solutionsets is solved adopting the main principles from mathematical research area of algebraic geometry in solving parametric ( in the mathematical sense that all parameter values are considered ¿ including the degenerate cases ¿ for which the system is solvable ) algebraic systems of n equations and at least n+1 variables.Adopting the developed solution method in solving the dyadic equations in direct polynomial form in two- to three-precision-points it has been algebraically proved and numerically demonstrated that the map of the ground pivots is ambiguousand that the singularities associated with positive-dimensional solution sets can be solved. The positive-dimensional solution sets associated with the poles might contain physically meaningful solutions in the form of optimal defectfree mechanisms. Traditionally the mechanism optimisation of hydraulically driven boommechanisms is done at early state of the design process. This will result in optimal component design rather than optimal system level design. Modern mechanismoptimisation at system level demands integration of kinematic design methods with mechanical system simulation techniques. In this thesis a new kinematic design method for hydraulically driven boom mechanism is developed and integrated in mechanical system simulation techniques. The developed kinematic design method is based on the combinations of two-precision-point formulation and on optimisation ( with mathematical programming techniques or adopting optimisation methods based on probability and statistics ) of substructures using calculated criteria from the system level response of multidegree-of-freedom mechanisms. Eg. by adopting the mixed exact-approximate position synthesis in direct optimisation (using mathematical programming techniques) with two exact positions and an unlimitednumber of approximate positions the drawbacks of (ia)-(iib) has been cancelled.The design principles of the developed method are based on the design-tree -approach of the mechanical systems and the design method ¿ in principle ¿ is capable of capturing the interrelationship between kinematic and dynamic synthesis simultaneously when the developed kinematic design method is integrated with the mechanical system simulation techniques.

Automated formulation of optimisation models for steel beam structures

Over 70% of the total costs of an end product are consequences of decisions that are made during the design process. A search for optimal cross-sections will often have only a marginal effect on the amount of material used if the geometry of a structure is fixed and if the cross-sectional characteristics of its elements are property designed by conventional methods. In recent years, optimalgeometry has become a central area of research in the automated design of structures. It is generally accepted that no single optimisation algorithm is suitable for all engineering design problems. An appropriate algorithm, therefore, mustbe selected individually for each optimisation situation. Modelling is the mosttime consuming phase in the optimisation of steel and metal structures. In thisresearch, the goal was to develop a method and computer program, which reduces the modelling and optimisation time for structural design. The program needed anoptimisation algorithm that is suitable for various engineering design problems. Because Finite Element modelling is commonly used in the design of steel and metal structures, the interaction between a finite element tool and optimisation tool needed a practical solution. The developed method and computer programs were tested with standard optimisation tests and practical design optimisation cases. Three generations of computer programs are developed. The programs combine anoptimisation problem modelling tool and FE-modelling program using three alternate methdos. The modelling and optimisation was demonstrated in the design of a new boom construction and steel structures of flat and ridge roofs. This thesis demonstrates that the most time consuming modelling time is significantly reduced. Modelling errors are reduced and the results are more reliable. A new selection rule for the evolution algorithm, which eliminates the need for constraint weight factors is tested with optimisation cases of the steel structures that include hundreds of constraints. It is seen that the tested algorithm can be used nearly as a black box without parameter settings and penalty factors of the constraints.

Distribuição volumétrica e espectro de gotas de pontas de pulverização de baixa deriva

Objetivou-se neste trabalho avaliar a distribuição volumétrica e o espectro de gotas das pontas de pulverização de baixa deriva TTI110015, AI110015 e AVI11001 sob diferentes condições operacionais. A distribuição volumétrica foi determinada em bancada de ensaios padronizada analisando o coeficiente de variação (CV%) de uma barra simulada em computador, utilizando pressões de 200, 300 e 400 kPa, altura de 30, 40 e 50 cm em relação à bancada e espaçamento entre pontas de 40 a 100 cm. O espectro de gotas foi produzido utilizando-se apenas água como calda em um analisador de partículas em meio aquoso, nas pressões de 200, 300 e 400 kPa. Foram avaliados o DMV, a porcentagem de gotas com diâmetro inferior a 100 µm (%100 µm) e a amplitude relativa (AR). As pontas proporcionaram perfil descontínuo nas pressões de 300 e 400 kPa e uniforme a 200 kPa. Na pressão de 200 kPa, as pontas foram adequadas apenas para aplicação em faixa, e a 300 e 400 kPa, apenas para área total. Ocorreu menor CV (abaixo de 7%) com a maior pressão de trabalho e menor espaçamento entre pontas. À medida que se aumentou a pressão de trabalho, reduziu-se o DMV. As pontas TTI110015 e AI110015 em todas as pressões e a ponta AVI11001 na pressão de 200 kPa produziram gotas extremamente grossas e gotas grossas nas pressões de 300 e 400 kPa apenas para a ponta AVI11001. As pontas proporcionaram baixos valores de amplitude relativa (AR) e gotas de tamanho uniforme, bem como produziram baixa porcentagem de gotas menores que 100 µm, principalmente TTI110015 e AI110015, com menor risco de deriva.

Lujan teräksen hyödyntäminen taittopuomissa

Työn päätavoitteena on ennakkoluulottomasti etsiä uudenlaista ratkaisua Mantsinen -lastausnosturin taittopuomiin ja pyrkiä löytämään kevyempi tarkoitukseen sopiva rakenne hyödyntämällä lujia teräksiä. Työ painottuu eri ratkaisuvaihtoehtojen kartoittamiseen ja niiden arviointiin elementtimenetelmää hyödyntäen. Arvioinnissa painotettiin tarkoituksen mukaisuutta ja väsymiskestävyyttä. Tutkimus suoritetaan vertailemalla vanhaa ja uutta ratkaisua keskenään. Työssä havaittiin, että ottamalla huomioon hitsattujen lujien terästen väsymisominaisuudet jo suunnittelussa, voidaan saada aikaan kevyempiä ja väsymisen kannalta kestävämpiä ratkaisuja.

Tuotanto- ja varastohallinnan kehittäminen metallikonepajassa

Työn tavoitteena oli kartoittaa ja analysoida Mesera Paimio Oy:n nykyistä tuotannon- ja varastonhallintaa, kehittää varastojen seurannassa ja ostotoiminnassa käytettäviä toimintoja sekä luoda konkreettinen seurantajärjestelmä Loglift Oy Ab:n siirtopuomien osien varastoinnille. Pääpaino oli varastonhallinta – toiminnon to-teuttamisessa sekä ostotoiminnan ja tuotannon kehittämisessä kustannustehokkaampaan suuntaan. Teorian menetelmistä soveltuvimmat valittiin varastonhallinnan ja tuotannon kehittämisen toteuttamiseen käytännössä, haastattelujen toimiessa työn empiirisenä osana. Päämenetelmänä varastojen ja tuotannon tarkastelussa käytettiin ABC-analyysia ja sen erinäisiä variaatioita, kustannus- ja tuotantorakenteen selvittämiseksi. Analyysejä toteutettiin mm. kysyntä- ja kustannuskohtaisesti mikä toi syvyyttä ja laajuutta tarkasteluun. ABC-analyysien, useiden haastatteluiden ja benchmarkkien antamat tiedot analysoitiin ja pyrittiin toteuttamaan tarvittavat parametrit varastonhallinnan ja tuotannon toiminnalle. Control 9000 – tuotannonohjausjärjestelmään toteutettiin tuotetiedon- ja saldonhallinta – toiminto tarvittavine raportteineen, mitä tullaan jatkossa käyttämään ja soveltamaan mm. Loglift Oy Ab:n siirtopuomien osien varastonseurannassa ja osto- ja tilausprosessissa. Työn tarkoituksena oli myös kartoittaa ja suunnitella materiaalitarvelaskennan ja kustannustehokkaan varastoinnin ja tuotannon suunnittelua ja kehittämistä tulevaisuudessa.