Information exchange and disruption risk in multimodal maritime supply chains

Supply chains are becoming increasingly dependent on information ex-change in today’s world, and any disruption can cause severe repercus-sions to the flow of materials in the chain. The speed, accuracy and amount of information are key factors. The aim in this thesis is to address a gap in the research by focusing on information exchange and the risks related to it in a multimodal wood supply chain operating between the Baltic States and Finland. The study involved interviewing people engaged in logistics management in the supply chain in question. The main risk the interviewees identified arose from the sea logistics system, which held a lot of different kinds of information. The threat of breakdown in the Internet connection was also found to hinder the operations significantly. A vulnerability analysis was carried out in order to identify the main actors and channels of infor-mation flow in the supply chain. The analysis revealed that the most important and therefore most vulnerable information-exchange channels were those linking the terminal superintendent, the operative managers and the mill managers. The study gives a holistic picture of the investigated supply chain. Information-exchange-related risks varied greatly. One of the most frequently mentioned was the risk of information inaccuracy, which was usually due to the fact that those in charge of the various functions did not fully understand the consequences for the entire chain.

Military crisis management in the next decade (2020-2030) : inducing consent or relying on compliance?

The most outstanding conceptual challenge of modern crisis management is the principle of consent. It is not a problem only at the operational level - it challenges the entire decision-making structures of crisis management operations. In post-cold war times and especially in the 21st century, there has been a transition from peacekeeping with limited size and scope towards large and complex peace operations. This shift has presented peace operations with a dilemma. How to balance between maintaining consent for peace operations, whilst being able to use military force to coerce those attempting to wreck peace processes? To address such a dilemma, this research aims to promote understanding, on what can be achieved by military crisis management operations (peace support operations) in the next decade. The research concentrates on the focal research question: Should military components induce consent or rely on the compliance of conflicting parties in crisis management operations of the next decade (2020 – 2030)? The focus is on military – political strategic level considerations, and especially on the time before political decisions to commit to a crisis management operation. This study does not focus on which actor or organisation should intervene. The framework of this thesis derives from the so called ‘peacebuilding space’, the scope of peace operations and spoiler theory. Feasibility of both peace enforcement and peacekeeping in countering future risk conditions are analysed in this framework. This future-orientated qualitative research uses the Delphi-method with a panel of national and international experts. Citation analysis supports identification of relevant reference material, which consists of contemporary literature, the Delphi-questionnaires and interviews. The research process followed three main stages. In the first stage, plausible future scenarios and risk conditions were identified with the Delphi-panel. In the second stage, operating environments for peace support operations were described and consequent hypotheses formulated. In the third stage, these hypotheses were tested on the Delphi-panel. The Delphi-panel is sufficiently wide and diverse to produce plausible yet different insights. The research design utilised specifically military crisis management and peace operations theories. This produced various and relevant normative considerations. Therefore, one may argue that this research; which is based on accepted contemporary theory, hypotheses derived thereof and utilising an expert panel, contributes to the realm of peace support operations. This research finds that some degree of peace enforcement will be feasible and necessary in at least the following risk conditions: failed governance; potential spillover of ethnic, religious, ideological conflict; vulnerability of strategic chokepoints and infrastructures in ungoverned spaces; as well as in territorial and extra-territorial border disputes. In addition, some form of peace enforcement is probably necessary in risk conditions pertaining to: extremism of marginalised groups; potential disputes over previously uninhabited and resource-rich territories; and interstate rivalry. Furthermore, this research finds that peacekeeping measures will be feasible and necessary in at least risk conditions pertaining to: potential spillover of ethnic, religious, ideological conflict; uncontrolled migration; consequences from environmental catastrophes or changes; territorial and extra-territorial border disputes; and potential disputes over previously uninhabited and resource-rich territories. These findings are all subject to both generic and case specific preconditions that must exist for a peace support operation. Some deductions could be derived from the research findings. Although some risk conditions may appear illogical, understanding the underlying logic of a conflict is fundamental to understanding transition in crisis management. Practitioners of crisis management should possess cognizance of such transition. They must understand how transition should occur from threat to safety, from conflict to stability – and so forth. Understanding transition is imperative for managing the dynamic evolution of preconditions, which begins at the outset of a peace support operation. Furthermore, it is pertinent that spoilers are defined from a peace process point of view. If spoilers are defined otherwise, it changes the nature of an operation towards war, where the logic is breaking the will of an enemy - and surrender. In peace support operations, the logic is different: actions towards spoilers are intended to cause transition towards consent - not defeat. Notwithstanding future developments, history continues to provide strategic education. However, the distinction is that the risk conditions occur in novel futures. Hence, lessons learned from the past should be fitted to the case at hand. This research shows compelling evidence that swaying between intervention optimism and pessimism is not substantiated. Both peace enforcement and peacekeeping are sine qua non for successful military crisis management in the next decade.

Ilmastonmuutoksen turvallisuusvaikutukset Euroopan unionin ja Yhdysvaltojen näkökulmasta

Ilmastonmuutos on yhteinen, ajankohtainen ongelmamme. Kiistattomasti ilmastonmuutokseksi kutsuttu ilmaston lämpiäminen tulee aiheuttamaan turvattomuutta sekä uhkia turvallisuudelle eri puolilla maailmaa yksilöille, valtioille ja muille toimijoille. Suhtautumisen ilmastonmuutokseen ”pitäisi kuitenkin olla toisenlainen kuin ydinaseisiin” – ilmastonmuutoksella ei saa pelotella. Ilmastonmuutos on tietyllä tapaa ajatellen vain luonnossa esiintyvä ilmiö, vakavasti otettava ja huolestuttava, mutta kuitenkin vain ilmiö. Nykyajan tiedonvälityksen ja tietämyksen aikana se on kuitenkin saanut jo nyt aivan eri mittasuhteet kuin esimerkiksi saman aihepiiriin lukeutuvat vuosikymmenten takaiset happosateet tai otsonikato – tämän päivän ilmastonmuutoksella pelotellaan ihmisiä. Johtaako tämä alkanut prosessi ilmastonmuutoksen sotilaallistamiseen? Tämän tutkielman tarkoituksena on selvittää vertailemalla kahta ilmastostrategiaa, miksi ilmastonmuutos on nostettu kansainvälisen yhteisön terminologiassa turvallisuuskategoriaan. Tutkielma on kirjallisuustutkimus. Tutkielmaan on valittu vertailtaviksi kansainvälisen yhteisön länsimaisten suurten toimijoiden edustajien laatimat ilmastostrategiat, joista toinen edustaa realistista (USA) ja toinen konstruktivistista tai liberalistista näkökulmaa (EU). Vertailtavat ilmastostrategiat ovat: 1. Eurooppa-neuvoston pyytämä selvitys EU:n pääsihteeriltä ja Euroopan komissiolta ilmastonmuutoksen vaikutuksista kansainväliseen turvallisuuteen Climate Change and International Security, Paper from the High Representative and the European Commission to the European Council (14. March 2008 S113/08) 2. Tutkimuslaitos CNA:n koolle kutsuma yhdentoista Yhdysvaltalaisen puolustusasiantuntijan ja evp-kenraalin tai -amiraalin muodostaman Military Advisory Boardin laatima ilmastostrategia. Raportin julkaisi tutkimuslaitos CNA. National Security and the Threat of Climate Change, a Report from Military Advisory Board, Center for Naval Analysis (CNA) Corporation 2007. Tutkielma osoittaa, että vertailtujen ilmastostrategioiden esiintulossa on eroja, jotka eivät ole pelkästään selitettävissä laatijakuntansa perusteella. Tutkielma päättelee, että Atlantin itä- ja länsilaidalla ilmaston lämpiämiseen turvallisuustekijänä suhtaudutaan eri tavoin. Tutkielmassa on löytynyt laatijakunnan mukaan selitettävissä olevia eroja keinovalikoimassa ilmastonmuutoksen turvallisuusvaikutusten torjumiseksi. Näiden lisäksi löytyy myös muita, laatijakunnan mukaan selittämättömiä eroja. Tutkielman johtopäätöksinä voidaan pitää yksilön ja yhteisön kulttuuritaustan vaikuttavan suhtautumiseen ilmastonmuutoksen turvallisuusvaikutuksiin. Ilmastonmuutoksella pelotteluun on laatijakuntakohtaisesti ja ympäröivien yhteiskuntien olemuksen kautta ainakin kaksi, Atlantin eri puolilta löytyvää, syytä. Toinen, joka painottaa ilmastonmuutoksen mahdollista käyttöä oman vaikutusvallan kasvattamiseen ja toinen, joka hakee kollektiivista turvallisuutta ja yhteisvastuuta ilmastonmuutoksen aiheuttaman uhkan kautta.

Strike hard, strike sure - Operation Musketeer : British military planning during the Suez Crisis, 1956

Operation Musketeer, a combined joint Anglo-French operation aimed at regaining control of the Suez Canal in 1956, has received much attention from scholars. The most common approach to the crisis has been to examine the political dimension. The political events that led Prime Minister Anthony Eden’s cabinet to decide to use military force against the wishes of their superior American ally and in the face of American economic pressure and a Soviet threat to attack Paris and London with rockets have been analysed thoroughly. This is particularly the case because the ceasefire and eventual withdrawal were an indisputable defeat of British policy in the Middle East. The military operation not only ruined Prime Minister Eden’s career, but it also diminished the prestige of Britain. It was the beginning of the end, some claim. The British Empire would never be the same. As the consequences of using force are generally considered more important than the military operations themselves, very little attention has been paid to the military planning of Operation Musketeer. The difference between the number of publications on Operation Corporate of the Falklands War and Operation Musketeer is striking. Not only has there been little previous research on the military aspects of Musketeer, the conclusions drawn in the existing works have not reached a consensus. Some historians, such as Correlli Barnett, compare Musketeer to the utter failures of the Tudor landings and Gallipoli. Among significant politicians, Winston Churchill, who had retired from the prime ministership only a year before the Suez Crisis, described the operation as “the most ill-conceived and ill-executed imaginable”. Colin McInnes, a well-known author on British defence policy, represents the middle view when he describes the execution as “far from failure”. Finally, some, like Julian Thompson, the Commander of 3 Commando Brigade during the Falklands War, rate the military action itself as being successful. The interpretation of how successful the handling of the Suez Crisis was from the military point of view depends very much on the approach taken and the areas emphasised in the subject. Frequently, military operations are analysed in isolation from other events. The action of a country’s armed forces is separated from the wider context and evaluated without a solid point of comparison. Political consequences are often used as validated criteria, and complicated factors contributing to military performance are ignored. The lack of comprehensive research on the military action has left room for an analysis concentrating on the military side of the crisis.

Cyanobacteria from the Baltic Sea and Finnish lakes as an energy source and modulators of bioenergetic pathways

Cyanobacteria are a diverse group of oxygenic photosynthetic bacteria that inhabit in a wide range of environments. They are versatile and multifaceted organisms with great possibilities for different biotechnological applications. For example, cyanobacteria produce molecular hydrogen (H2), which is one of the most important alternatives for clean and sustainable energy. Apart from being beneficial, cyanobacteria also possess harmful characteristics and may become a source of threat to human health and other living organisms, as they are able to form surface blooms that are producing a variety of toxic or bioactive compounds. The University of Helsinki Culture Collection (UHCC) maintains around 1,000 cyanobacterial strains representing a large number of genera and species isolated from the Baltic Sea and Finnish lakes. The culture collection covers different life forms such as unicellular and filamentous, N2-fixing and non-N2-fixing strains, and planktonic and benthic cyanobacteria. In this thesis, the UHCC has been screened to identify potential strains for sustainable biohydrogen production and also for strains that produce compounds modifying the bioenergetic pathways of other cyanobacteria or terrestrial plants. Among the 400 cyanobacterial strains screened so far, ten were identified as high H2-producing strains. The enzyme systems involved in H2 metabolism of cyanobacteria were analyzed using the Southern hybridization approach. This revealed the presence of the enzyme nitrogenase in all strains tested, while none of them are likely to have contained alternative nitrogenases. All the strains tested, except for two Calothrix strains, XSPORK 36C and XSPORK 11A, were suggested to contain both uptake and bidirectional hydrogenases. Moreover, 55 methanol extracts of various cyanobacterial strains were screened to identify potent bioactive compounds affecting the photosynthetic apparatus of the model cyanobacterium, Synechocystis PCC 6803. The extract from Nostoc XPORK 14A was the only one that modified the photosynthetic machinery and dark respiration. The compound responsible for this effect was identified, purified, and named M22. M22 demonstrated a dual-action mechanism: production of reactive oxygen species (ROS) under illumination and an unknown mechanism that also prevailed in the dark. During summer, the Baltic Sea is occupied by toxic blooms of Nodularia spumigena (hereafter referred to as N. spumigena), which produces a hepatotoxin called nodularin. Long-term exposure of the terrestrial plant spinach to nodularin was studied. Such treatment resulted in inhibition of growth and chlorosis of the leaves. Moreover, the activity and amount of mitochondrial electron transfer complexes increased in the leaves exposed to nodularin-containing extract, indicating upregulation of respiratory reactions, whereas no marked changes were detected in the structure or function of the photosynthetic machinery. Nodularin-exposed plants suffered from oxidative stress, evidenced by oxidative modifications of various proteins. Plants initiated strategies to combat the stress by increasing the levels of alpha-tocopherol, mitochondrial alternative oxidase (AOX), and mitochondrial ascorbate peroxidase (mAPX).

Partisaanisodasta alueelliseen puolustusjärjestelmään : jugoslavialaisen sotataidollisen ajattelun kehittyminen toisen maailmansodan jälkeen

Väitöskirjan tavoitteena on ollut rakentaa kokonaiskuva aiheesta Jugoslavialaisen sotataidollisen ajattelun kehittyminen toisen maailmansodan jälkeen. Tutkimuksessa ei ole rajoituttu ainoastaan kuvailemaan sotataidollisen ajattelun kehittyminen, vaan on pyritty selvittämään kehittymiseen vaikuttaneet tekijät ja vastaamaan kysymykseen, miksi näin on tapahtunut? Aiemmat länsimaiset tutkimukset ovat tarkastelleet jugoslavialaista sotataitoa tai maanpuolustusta vain jostain tietystä rajallisesta näkökulmasta, kuten esimerkiksi Jugoslavian kansanarmeijaa, asevoimien vaikutusta maan poliittiseen elämään tai sotilaallista doktriinia koskien. Sotataidon kehittymiseen vaikuttavat tekijät huomioivaa kokonaisesitystä ole tehty. Myös jugoslavialainen sotataidollinen ajattelu on jäänyt pääosin pimentoon. Jugoslavialainen maan sotataitoon kohdistunut tutkimus on ollut laajaa ja monipuolista, mutta sen käytettävyyteen osittain vaikuttaa marxilais-leniniläinen materialistis-dialektinen, historialliseen materialismiin perustuva tutkimusmenetelmä. Väitöskirjan päätutkimusaineiston ovat muodostaneet alkuperäislähteet, ensisijaisesti jugoslavialaiset ohjesäännöt, käsikirjat, oppaat ja oppikirjat. Muu lähteistö on koostunut lähinnä arkistoasiakirjoista ja muusta kirjallisuudesta. Tutkimusmenetelmä on ollut historiatieteellinen käsittäen muun muassa ulkoisen ja sisäisen lähdekritiikin harjoittamisen, tietojen varmistamisen mahdollisimman useasta toisistaan riippumattomasta lähteestä sekä pyrkimyksen rekonstruoida ristiriidaton kokonaiskuva tutkimuskohteesta. Eri lähteistä ja lähderyhmistä saatuja tietoja on vertailtu, analysoitu sekä yhdistetty kriittisesti. Lähteiden käytettävyyden, lähdearvon ja luotettavuuden arviointi ovat olleet merkittävässä roolissa, näistä kaikista tärkeimpänä luotettavuuden arviointi. Sisäisen ja ulkoisen lähdekritiikin keinoin on pyritty luomaan oma ristiriidaton tulkinta kokonaisuudesta, jugoslavialaisen sotataidollisen ajattelun kehittymisestä toisen maailmansodan jälkeen. Tutkimuksessa on pitäydytty niin pitkälle kuin mahdollista jugoslavialaisen sotataidon alkuperäisessä terminologiassa. Jugoslavialaisia termejä ei ole muokattu vastaamaan paremmin esimerkiksi tällä hetkellä länsimaisessa sotataidossa käytettyjä käsitteitä. Väitöskirjan rakenne on temaattinen. Läpi koko tutkittavan ajanjakson jugoslavialaisen sotataidollisen ajattelun kehittymisessä on tunnistettavissa samat määräävät tekijät: historialliset taustatekijät, sotilaallinen uhka, sotilaallinen doktriini, lakiperusteet, kommunistiliiton ohjaus ja asevoimien sekä yhteiskunnan valmiuden kehittyminen. Jugoslaviassa puhuttiin aseelliseen kamppailuun vaikuttavista sodankäynnin faktoreista, joita olivat yhteiskunnalliset tekijät, materiaalis-tekniset tekijät ja sotilaalliset tekijät. Kaikista tärkeimpänä tekijänä pidettiin kuitenkin ihmistä itseään, vaikka ihmisen merkitys välillä tuntuikin hukkuvan ”moraalis-poliittiset tekijät”-sanahirviön alle. Tutkimuskysymyksiin on vastattu sotataitoon vaikuttaneiden edellä mainittujen tekijöiden kautta. Kuhunkin muutostekijään liittyvä kehitys on kuvattu kronologisena esityksenä. Kansan vapautussodassa vuosina 1941–1945 perustettujen partisaaniyksiköiden muodostamisessa sekä niiden toimintamenetelmissä on havaittavissa runsaasti yhtymäkohtia 1700- ja 1800-luvun hajdukkijoukkojen sekä 1800-luvun lopun ja 1900-luvun alun četnikkijoukkojen vastaaviin periaatteisiin. Samankaltaisuuksia ilmenee 1950-luvulta alkaen alueellisen puolustuksen joukkojen ja partisaaniyksiköiden toimintamenetelmien yhteydessä väliaikaisesti menetetyllä alueella toimittaessa. Kansan tukeen, karismaattisiin johtajiin ja yllätyselementtiin perustuva sissitoiminta on perinteistä eteläslaavilaista sotataitoa. Sodanjälkeinen jugoslavialainen sotataito oli jatkumoa eteläslaavien vuosisatoja vanhalle sotataidolliselle perinteelle, vaikka sitä ei julkisesti Jugoslaviassa muutamia poikkeuksia lukuun ottamatta myönnettykään. Jugoslavian sotilaallinen doktriini oli luotu kaikista suunnista kohdistuvia hyökkäyksiä vastaan, mutta sotilaallisen uhkan painotukset vaihtelivat usein, jopa vain muutaman vuoden välein. Tämä ei johtunut päättämättömyydestä eikä pelkästään koetun uhkan suunnan vaihtumisesta. Painottamalla sisäisen ja ulkoisen uhkan jatkuvuutta sekä uhkan suunnan vaihtelua pyrittiin pitämään maanpuolustuspiirit valppaina ja kansalaiset aktiivisina. Tällä tavalla myös perusteltiin maanpuolustuksen korkeita kustannuksia ja ennen kaikkea pyrittiin lisäämään maan sisäistä veljeyttä ja yhtenäisyyttä. On ilmeistä, että sekä lännestä että idästä kohdistui Jugoslavian suuntaan suurta poliittista ja sotilaallista intressiä kylmän sodan vuosina 1945–1990, mutta suoran sotilaallisen uhkan aukoton todistaminen olisi kuitenkin hankalaa. Oleellista onkin jugoslavialaisten oma käsitys maataan vastaan kohdistuneesta sotilaallisesta uhkasta. Sisäisen uhkan vaikutus alkoi kasvaa 1970-luvun alkupuolelta lähtien ja se johti lopulta 1980-luvulla alueellisen puolustuksen joukkojen esikuntien lakkauttamiseen ja taisteluvälineiden hajavarastointijärjestelmän purkamiseen. Yhteiskunnallisista tekijöistä merkittävimpinä sotataitoon ja sotataidolliseen ajatteluun vaikuttaneina osina olivat lait ja Jugoslavian kommunistiliitto. Perustuslakiin ja lakiin kansallisesta puolustuksesta sekä kommunistiliiton päätöslauselmiin sisällytetyt vaatimukset sotataidon kehittymiselle kuitenkin vain toistivat sotilaallisessa doktriinissa määritettyjä suuntaviivoja sekä määräyksiä. Maanpuolustukseen liittyneiden määräysten ja ohjeiden hyväksymiselle laillisen järjestyksen mukaisesti annettiin kuitenkin erittäin suuri arvo. Niiden toimeenpanon leviäminen maanlaajuisesti varmistettiin puolueen päätöksillä velvoittamalla muun muassa kommunistiliiton paikallisorganisaatiot, puoluesolut asevoimien sisällä sekä kaikki liittovaltion hallintotasot tekemään kaikkensa yleisen kansanpuolustuksen ja sitä ilmentävän sotataidon toteutumisen eteen. Materiaalis-teknisen tekijän kokonaisuus sisälsi aseet ja varusteet sekä niihin liittyviä muita seikkoja, kuten yhteiskunnan teollisuuden kehittymisen asteen sekä kyvyn suojautua vihollisen taisteluvälineitä vastaan ja luoda vihollisen aseita vastaan tehokkaampi vasta-ase. Siihen luettiin myös yksilöiden, taktisten ja yhdistettyjen taktisten yksiköiden sekä koko kansan koulutus aseiden ja varusteiden tarkoituksenmukaiseen käyttöön. Vaikka jugoslavialainen aseteollisuus kehittyi tutkimusperiodin aikana voimakkaasti, joutui maa taloudellisten resurssiensa rajallisuuden ja mahdollisen vihollishyökkäyksen ylivoimaisuuden havaittuaan toteamaan, että maanpuolustuksen ongelmia ei voida ratkaista materiaalin ja tekniikan määrällä tai laadulla. Ratkaisun oli löydyttävä sotilaallisista tekijöistä ja varsinkin sotataidosta. Sotilaalliset tekijät ja prosessit olivat jugoslavialaisen sotataidon ja sotataidollisen ajattelun kehittymisen kannalta tärkein muutostekijä. Sotilaallisten tekijöiden ytimen muodosti sotataito, joka Jugoslaviassa koostui teoriasta ja käytännöstä. Tämä jako koski sotataidon kolmea tasoa: strategiaa, operatiikkaa ja taktiikkaa. Sotataitoon kuuluvina osina pidettiin muun muassa taisteluvalmiutta, liikekannallepanovalmiutta, yhteiskunnallis-poliittisten yhteisöjen aseetonta vastarintaa, aseellisen kamppailun operatiivista ja taktista tasoa, materiaalista ja teknistä varustamista, sotatalouden valmistelujen organisointia sekä yhteiskunnallisia palveluja poikkeusoloissa. Osa näistä kuului edellä mainittuihin yhteiskunnallisiin tai materiaalis-teknisiin tekijöihin. Jugoslavialainen sotataito onkin nähtävä matriisinomaisena kokonaisuutena, jossa sotataidon kolmeen toiminnalliseen tasoon, strategiaan, operatiikkaan ja taktiikkaan vaikuttivat historialliset taustatekijät, sotilaallinen uhka, yhteiskunnalliset tekijät ja materiaalis-tekniset tekijät. Jugoslavialaisen sotataidon kokonaisuuteen kuului myös se, että mainitut muutostekijät vaikuttivat vielä toisiinsa. Lopputuloksena näin kokonaisvaltaisesta näkemyksestä sotataitoon ja sotataidolliseen ajatteluun Jugoslavia kykeni luomaan poikkeuksellisen tehokkaana pidetyn puolustusratkaisun, jossa koko yhteiskunnan kaikki resurssit pystyttiin suuntaamaan hyökkäyksen torjumiseen ja maahan tunkeutuneiden pois ajamiseen. Aiempi tutkimus on nähnyt jugoslavialaisen sotataidon kehittymisen keskeisimpänä vaikuttimena ja murroskohtana Varsovan liiton joukkojen toimeenpaneman Tšekkoslovakian miehityksen ja siitä seuranneen koetun uhkan merkittävän voimistumisen. Yleisen kansanpuolustuksen doktriiniin liittyvä taustatutkimus, teorianmuodostus ja doktriinin käyttöönotto tapahtuivat kuitenkin jo 1950-luvulla. Tšekkoslovakian miehitys toimi vain muutoksen toimeenpanoa vauhdittavana tekijänä. Jugoslavialaiset korostivat, että jugoslavialaisessa yhteiskunnassa keskeisessä asemassa ollut yhteisjohtoisuuden periaate ulottui myös maanpuolustukseen ja sotataitoon. Tutkimusaineistoon perehtyminen kuitenkin osoitti, että yleisen kansanpuolustuksen kokonaisuutta kuvaavat oppikirjat, laeissa asetetut määräykset ja Jugoslavian kommunistiliiton julkaisemat vaatimukset eivät olleet jalkautuneet sotataidon teoriaan tai käytäntöön operatiivisella tai taktisella tasolla. Strategisella tasolla yhteisjohtoisuus esiintyi näkyvämmin vain sotilaallisen konseptin ja strategian yhteydessä. Sotilaallisen doktriinin osalta yhteisjohtoisuus ilmeni lähinnä kahdessa asiassa. Alueellisen puolustuksen yksiköiden varustamisvelvoite oli asetettu siviilihallinnon eri tasojen vastuulle. Alueellisen puolustuksen esikunnat ja komentajat olivat vastuussa yleisen kansanpuolustuksen ja yhteiskunnallisen itsesuojelun komiteoille. Siviilihallinnon organisaatioiden kyky varustaa alueellisen puolustuksen yksiköt osoittautui kuitenkin heikoksi. Alueellisen puolustuksen esikunnatkin toimivat upseereiden johtamina sotilaallisina johtoportaina, ja yleisen kansanpuolustuksen ja yhteiskunnallisen itsesuojelun komiteoiden toiminta komentajien ja esikuntien suuntaan rajoittui vain nimelliseen ohjaukseen. Yhteisjohtoisuus osoittautuikin tutkimuksen kuluessa piirteeksi, joka julkisesta retoriikasta huolimatta ei toteutunut jugoslavialaisessa sotataidon praktiikassa. Jugoslavialaisen sotataidollisen ajattelun kehittymisen kaari käynnistyi partisaanisodasta ja päätyi alueelliseen puolustusjärjestelmään. Kansakunta ja sen useat eri kansallisuudet onnistuivat luomaan tieteelliseen ja tutkittuun tietoon perustuvan välineen, sotataidon teorian ja käytännön, joka suojeli maata yli puolen vuosisadan ajan. Yleinen kansanpuolustus sekä jugoslavialainen sotataito ovat toisiensa synonyymejä, seurauksia ja synnyttäjiä. Puolustusratkaisu lähti omista kansallisista lähtökohdista, siihen sulautettiin valikoiden ja jalostettuna hyviksi sekä menestyksekkäiksi koettuja ulkomaisia elementtejä sekä vaikutteita. Sitä perusteltiin monipuolisilla poliittisilla, ideologisilla, teoreettisilla, historiallisilla sekä nykyaikaisilla sotataidollisilla argumenteilla, mutta kaikesta tästä huolimatta sen ydin oli omintakeinen jugoslavialainen sotataidollinen ajattelu.

The Finnish Paper Workers' Union at a crossroads: Labor union representativeness in a changing environment, 1980-2008

This thesis consists of four articles and an introductory section. The main research questions in all the articles refer to the changes in the representativeness of the Finnish Paper Workers' Union. Representativeness stands for the entire entity of external, internal, legal and reputational factors that enable the labor union to represent its members and achieve its goals. This concept is based on an extensive reading of quantitative and qualitative industrial relations literature, which includes works based on Marxist labor-capital relations (such as Hyman's industrial relations studies), and more recent union density studies as well as gender- and ethnic diversity-based 'union revitalization' studies. Müller-Jentsch's German studies of industrial relations have been of particular importance as well as Streeck's industrial unionism and technology studies. The concept of representativeness is an attempt to combine the insights of these diverse strands of literature and bring the scientific discussion of labor unions back to the core of a union's function: representing its members. As such, it can be seen as a theoretical innovation. The concept helps to acknowledge both the heterogeneity of the membership and the totality of a labor union organization. The concept of representativeness aims to move beyond notions of 'power'. External representativeness can be expressed through the position of the labor union in the industrial relations system and the economy. Internal representativeness focuses on the aspects of labor unions that relate to the function of the union as an association with members, such as internal democracy. Legal representativeness lies in the formal legal position of the union – its rights and instruments. This includes collective bargaining legislation, co-decision rules and industrial conflict legislation. Reputational representativeness is related to how the union is seen by other actors and the general public, and can be approximated using data on strike activity. All these aspects of representativeness are path-dependent, and show the results of previous struggles over issues. The concept of representativeness goes beyond notions of labor union power and symbolizes an attempt to bring back the focus of industrial relations studies to the union's basic function of representing its members. The first article shows in detail the industrial conflict of the Finnish paper industry in 2005. The intended focus was the issue of gender in the negotiations over a new collective agreement, but the focal point of the industrial conflict was the issue of outsourcing and how this should be organized. Also, the issue of continuous shifts as an issue of working time was very important. The drawn-out conflict can be seen as a struggle over principles, and under pressure the labor union had to concede ground on the aforementioned issues. The article concludes that in this specific conflict, the union represented its' female members to a lesser extent, because the other issues took such priority. Furthermore, because of the substantive concessions. the union lost some of its internal representativeness, and the stubbornness of the union may have even harmed the reputation of the union. This article also includes an early version of the representativeness framework, through which this conflict is analyzed. The second article discusses wage developments, union density and collective bargaining within the context of representativeness. It is shown that the union has been able to secure substantial benefits for its members, regardless of declining employment. Collective agreements have often been based on centralized incomes policies, but the paper sector has not always joined these. Attention is furthermore paid to the changing competition of the General Assembly, with a surprisingly strong position of the Left Alliance still. In an attempt to replicate analysis of union density measures, an analysis of sectoral union density shows that similar factors as in aggregate data influence this measure, though – due to methodological issues – the results may not be robust. On this issue, it can be said that the method of analysis for aggregate union density is not suitable for sectoral union density analysis. The increasingly conflict-ridden industrial relations predicted have not actually materialized. The article concludes by asking whether the aim of ever-increasing wages is a sustainable one in the light of the pressures of globalization, though wage costs are a relatively small part of total costs. The third article discusses the history and use of outsourcing in the Finnish paper industry. It is shown using Hyman's framework of constituencies that over time, the perspective of the union changed from 'members of the Paper Workers' Union' to a more specific view of who is a core member of the union. Within the context of the industrial unionism that the union claims to practice, this is an important change. The article shows that the union more and more caters for a core group, while auxiliary personnel is less important to the union's identity and constituencies, which means that the union's internal representativeness has decreased. Maintenance workers are an exception; the union and employers have developed a rotating system that increases the efficient allocation of these employees. The core reason of the exceptional status of maintenance personnel is their high level of non-transferable skills. In the end it is debatable whether the compromise on outsourcing solves the challenges facing the industry. The fourth article shows diverging discourses within the union with regard to union-employer partnership for competitiveness improvements and instruments of local union representatives. In the collective agreement of 2008, the provision regulating wage effects of significant changes in the organization or content of work was thoroughly changed, though this mainly reflected decisions by the Labor Court on the pre-2008 version of the provision. This change laid bare the deep rift between the Social Democratic and Left Alliance (ex-Communist) factions of the union. The article argues that through the changed legal meaning of the provision, the union was able to transform concession bargaining into a basis for partnership. The internal discontent about this issue is nonetheless substantial and a threat to the unity of the union, both locally and at the union level. On the basis of the results of the articles, other factors influencing representativeness, such as technology and EU law and an overview of the main changes in the Finnish paper industry, it is concluded that, especially in recent years, the Finnish Paper Workers' Union has lost some of its representativeness. In particular, the loss of the efficiency of strikes is noted, the compromise on outsourcing which may have alienated a substantial part of the union's membership, and the change in the collective agreement of 2008 have caused this decline. In the latter case, the internal disunion on that issue shows the constraints of the union's internal democracy. Furthermore, the failure of the union to join the TEAM industrial union (by democratic means), the internal conflicts and a narrow focus on its own sector may also hurt the union in the future, as the paper industry in Finland is going through a structural change. None of these changes in representativeness would have been so drastic without the considerable pressure of globalization - in particular changing markets, changing technology and a loss of domestic investments to foreign investments, which in the end have benefited the corporations more than the Finnish employees of these corporations. Taken together, the union risks becoming socially irrelevant in time, though it will remain formally very strong on the basis of its institutional setting and financial situation.

Climate driven changes in temperature, pH and food quality : effects on copepod reproduction

Increased emissions of greenhouse gases into the atmosphere are causing an anthropogenic climate change. The resulting global warming challenges the ability of organisms to adapt to the new temperature conditions. However, warming is not the only major threat. In marine environments, dissolution of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere causes a decrease in surface water pH, the so called ocean acidification. The temperature and acidification effects can interact, and create even larger problems for the marine flora and fauna than either of the effects would cause alone. I have used Baltic calanoid copepods (crustacean zooplankton) as my research object and studied their growth and stress responses using climate predictions projected for the next century. I have studied both direct temperature and pH effects on copepods, and indirect effects via their food: the changing phytoplankton spring bloom composition and toxic cyanobacterium. The main aims of my thesis were: 1) to find out how warming and acidification combined with a toxic cyanobacterium affect copepod reproductive success (egg production, egg viability, egg hatching success, offspring development) and oxidative balance (antioxidant capacity, oxidative damage), and 2) to reveal the possible food quality effects of spring phytoplankton bloom composition dominated by diatoms or dinoflagellates on reproducing copepods (egg production, egg hatching, RNA:DNA ratio). The two copepod genera used, Acartia sp. and Eurytemora affinis are the dominating mesozooplankton taxa (0.2 – 2 mm) in my study area the Gulf of Finland. The 20°C temperature seems to be within the tolerance limits of Acartia spp., because copepods can adapt to the temperature phenotypically by adjusting their body size. Copepods are also able to tolerate a pH decrease of 0.4 from present values, but the combination of warm water and decreased pH causes problems for them. In my studies, the copepod oxidative balance was negatively influenced by the interaction of these two environmental factors, and egg and nauplii production were lower at 20°C and lower pH, than at 20°C and ambient pH. However, presence of toxic cyanobacterium Nodularia spumigena improved the copepod oxidative balance and helped to resist the environmental stress, in question. In addition, adaptive maternal effects seem to be an important adaptation mechanism in a changing environment, but it depends on the condition of the female copepod and her diet how much she can invest in her offspring. I did not find systematic food quality difference between diatoms and dinoflagellates. There are both good and bad diatom and dinoflagellate species. Instead, the dominating species in the phytoplankton bloom composition has a central role in determining the food quality, although copepods aim at obtaining as a balanced diet as possible by foraging on several species. If the dominating species is of poor quality it can cause stress when ingested, or lead to non-optimal foraging if rejected. My thesis demonstrates that climate change induced water temperature and pH changes can cause problems to Baltic Sea copepod communities. However, their resilience depends substantially on their diet, and therefore the response of phytoplankton to the environmental changes. As copepods are an important link in pelagic food webs, their future success can have far reaching consequences, for example on fish stocks.

Testate amoebae (thecamoebians) as indicators of aquatic mine impact

The environmental impacts of a single mine often remain local, but acidic and metal-rich acid mine drainage (AMD) from the waste materials may pose a serious threat to adjacent surface waters and their ecosystems. Testate amoebae (thecamoebian) analysis was used together with lake sediment geochemistry to study and evaluate the ecological effects of sulphidic metal mines on aquatic environments. Three different mines were included in the study: Luikonlahti Cu-mine in Kaavi, eastern Finland, Haveri Cu-Au mine in Ylöjärvi, southern Finland and Pyhäsalmi Zn-Cu-S mine in Pyhäjärvi, central Finland. Luikonlahti and Haveri are closed mines, but Pyhäsalmi is still operating. The sampling strategy was case specific, and planned to provide a representative sediment sample series to define natural background conditions, to detect spatial and temporal variations in mine impacts, to evaluate the possible recovery after the peak contamination, and to distinguish the effects of other environmental factors from the mining impacts. In the Haveri case, diatom analyses were performed alongside thecamoebian analysis to evaluate the similarities and differences between the two proxies. The results of the analyses were investigated with multivariate methods (direct and indirect ordinations, diversity and distance measure indices). Finally, the results of each case study were harmonized, pooled, and jointly analyzed to summarize the results for this dissertation. Geochemical results showed broadly similar temporal patterns in each case. Concentrations of ions in the pre-disturbance samples defined the natural baseline against which other results were compared. The beginning of the mining activities had only minor impacts on sediment geochemistry, mainly appearing as an increased clastic input into the lakes at Haveri and Pyhäsalmi. The active mining phase was followed by the metallic contamination and, subsequently, by the most recent change towards decreased but still elevated metal concentrations in the sediments. Because of the delay in the oxidation of waste material and formation of AMD, the most intense, but transient metal contamination phase occurred in the post-mining period at Luikonlahti and Haveri. At Pyhäsalmi, the highest metal contamination preceded effluent mitigation actions. Spatial gradients were observed besides the temporal evolution in both the pre-disturbance and mine-impacted samples from Luikonlahti and Pyhäsalmi. The geochemical gradients varied with distance from the main source of contaminants (dispersion and dilution) and with water depth (redox and pH). The spatial extent of the highest metal contamination associated with these mines remained rather limited. At Haveri, the metallic impact was widespread, with the upstream site in another lake basin found to be contaminated. Changes in thecamoebian assemblages corresponded well with the geochemical results. Despite some differences, the general features and ecological responses of the faunal assemblages were rather similar in each lake. Constantly abundant strains of Difflugia oblonga, Difflugia protaeiformis and centropyxids formed the core of these assemblages. Increasing proportions of Cucurbitella tricuspis towards the surface samples were found in all of the cases. The results affirmed the indicator value of some already known indicator forms, but such as C. tricuspis and higher nutrient levels, but also elicited possible new ones such as D. oblonga ‘spinosa’ and clayey substrate, high conductivity and/or alkalinity, D. protaeiformis ‘multicornis’ and pH, water hardness and the amount of clastic material and Centropyxis constricta ‘aerophila’ and high metal and S concentrations. In each case, eutrophication appeared to be the most important environmental factor, masking the effects of other variables. Faunal responses to high metal inputs in sediments remained minor, but were nevertheless detectable. Besides the trophic state of the lake, numerical methods suggested overall geochemical conditions (pH, redox) to be the most important factor at Luikonlahti, whereas the Haveri results showed the clearest connection between metals and amoebae. At Pyhäsalmi, the strongest relationships were found between Ca- and S-rich present loading, redox conditions and substrate composition. Sediment geochemistry and testate amoeba analysis proved to be a suitable combination of methods to detect and describe the aquatic mine impacts in each specific case, to evaluate recovery and to differentiate between the effects of different anthropogenic and natural environmental factors. It was also suggested that aquatic mine impacts can be significantly mitigated by careful design and after-care of the waste facilities, especially by reducing and preventing AMD. The case-specific approach is nevertheless necessary because of the unique characteristics of each mine and variations in the environmental background conditions.

Libanon ja Syyrian kansannousu

Lebanon has been largely stable during the tumultuous Arab Spring, but the country remains vulnerable to internal and regional instability. In addition to Lebanon's volatile internal conflicts, Lebanon is particularly exposed to increased regional tensions. While renewed tension in South Lebanon is often considered the most likely cause for instability in Lebanon, the deepening conflict in Syria now poses the greatest threat to Lebanon. This publication examines how the uprising in Syria affects both the internal stability of Lebanon and the South Lebanon conflict, arguing that the uprising in Syria greatly complicates Lebanon's internal power balance, elevating internal tensions, while also changing the context within which the South Lebanon conflict takes place.

Establishment of a health and safety management system according to the OHSAS 18001 standard

The thesis develops guidelines for the implementation of the health and safety management system according to the OHSAS 18001 standard, as well as the feasible threat analysis, project proposal schedule, future system quality improvements and organizational change evaluation. The theoretical part clarifies determination of occupational health and safety, its management system, the OHSAS 18001 standard and integrated management system compounded of triple ISO 14001, ISO 9001 and OHSAS 18001 standards. The literature includes such important aspects as human factor, organizational policies, possible benefits, threats, organizational safety culture, Deming’s quality improvement cycle, system implementation, maintenance and cost matters. The empirical part demonstrates real-life situation by using Andritz Pulp & Paper Oy as a case study. Prior the thesis proposal, Andritz Group is analysed including separate business areas, acquisition and integration strategies, current status of the health and safety management and parallel experiences of the largest business area Andritz Hydro. The proposal is aimed at improving the current health and safety system for the permanent and sub-contracted employees at Andritz Pulp & Paper both in Finland and in various projects globally.

Yritysjärjestelyn toteutuneeseen kauppahintaan vaikuttavat tekijät – empiirinen tutkimus ulkoisen neuvonantajan suoriutumisesta yritysjärjestelyissä

Tämän Pro Gradu -tutkielman tavoitteena on tutkia mitkä tekijät vaikuttavat yritysjärjestelyn toteutuneeseen kauppahintaan. Lisäksi tämä tutkimus pyrkii vastaamaan mikä on ulkoisen neuvonantajan rooli kauppahinnan muodostumisessa sekä miten ulkoinen neuvonantaja suoriutuu erilaisista yritysjärjestelyistä. Tutkimuksen syntyä motivoi vähäinen tutkimusten määrä pienten yritysten yritysjärjestelyistä; yritysjärjestelyt toteutetaan usein puutteellisilla resursseilla ja epäonnistuneet yritysjärjestelyt nähdään uhkana Euroopan unionin talouskasvulle. Empiirinen tutkimus koostuu 104 toteutuneesta pienen yrityksen yritysjärjestelyn tilastollisesta analyysistä. Pääsääntöisesti otosta on tutkittu keskiarvovertailulla (Ttesti ja Oneway Anova) sekä korrelaatiotestauksella. Tutkimuksen tulokset osoittavat, että arvonmääritys on merkittävimmin kauppahintaan vaikuttava tekijä. Tämän lisäksi tilinpäätöstiedoilla on positiivinen yhteys kauppahintaan, kun taas myyntiajalla tai preemiolla ei ole yhteyttä kauppahintaan. Sekä osake- ja liiketoimintakaupan että sukupolvenvaihdosten ja yrityskauppojen välillä tehty keskiarvovertailu osoittaa, että ulkoinen neuvonantaja suoriutuu ammattitaitoisesti erilaisista yritysjärjestelytilanteista osaten huomioida näihin liittyviä erityispiirteitä.

The marketing communications industry in flux: Large B2C advertisers’ viewpoint

The recent digitization, fragmentation of the media landscape and consumers’ changing media behavior are all changes that have had drastic effects on creating marketing communications. In order to create effective marketing communications large advertisers are now co-operating with a variety of marketing communications companies. The purpose of the study is to understand how advertisers perceive these different companies and more importantly how do advertisers expect their roles to change in the future as the media landscape continues to evolve. Especially the changing roles of advertising agencies and media agencies are examined as they are at the moment the most relevant partners of the advertisers. However, the research is conducted from a network perspective rather than focusing on single actors of the marketing communications industry network. The research was conducted using a qualitative theme interview method. The empirical data was gathered by interviewing representatives from nine of the 50 largest Finnish advertisers measured by media spending. Thus, the research was conducted solely from large B2C advertisers’ perspective while the views of their other relevant actors of the network were left unexplored. The interviewees were chosen with a focus on variety of points of view. The analytical framework that was used to analyze the gathered data was built the IMP group’s industrial network model that consists of actors, their resources and activities. As technology driven media landscape fragmentation and consumers’ changing media behavior continue to increase the complexity of creating marketing communications, advertisers are going to need to rely on a growing number of partnerships as they see that the current actors of the network will not be able to widen their expertise to answer to these new needs. The advertisers expect to form new partnerships with actors that are more specialized and able to react and produce activities more quickly than at the moment. Thus, new smaller and more agile actors with looser structures are going to appear to fill these new needs. Therefore, the need of co-operation between the actors is going to become more important. These changes pose the biggest threat for traditional advertising agencies as they were seen as being most unable to cope with the ongoing change. Media agencies are in a more favorable position for remaining relevant for the advertisers as they will be able to justify their activities and provided value by leveraging their data handling abilities. In general the advertisers expect to be working with a limited number of close actors and in addition having a network of smaller actors, which are used on a more ad hoc basis.

Disturbance and ecosystem functioning : the role of changes in benthic biological traits

Rapid changes in biodiversity are occurring globally, as a consequence of anthropogenic disturbance. This has raised concerns, since biodiversity is known to significantly contribute to ecosystem functions and services. Marine benthic communities participate in numerous functions provided by soft-sedimentary ecosystems. Eutrophication-induced oxygen deficiency is a growing threat against infaunal communities, both in open sea areas and in coastal zones. There is thus a need to understand how such disturbance affects benthic communities, and what is lost in terms of ecosystem functioning if benthic communities are harmed. In this thesis, the status of benthic biodiversity was assessed for the open Baltic Sea, a system severely affected by broad-scale hypoxia. Long-term monitoring data made it possible to establish quantitative biodiversity baselines against which change could be compared. The findings show that benthic biodiversity is currently severely impaired in large areas of the open Baltic Sea, from the Bornholm Basin to the Gulf of Finland. The observed reduction in biodiversity indicates that benthic communities are structurally and functionally impoverished in several of the sub-basins due to the hypoxic stress. A more detailed examination of disturbance impacts (through field studies and -experiments) on benthic communities in coastal areas showed that changes in benthic community structure and function took place well before species were lost from the system. The degradation of benthic community structure and function was directed by the type of disturbance, and its specific temporal and spatial characteristics. The observed shifts in benthic trait composition were primarily the result of reductions in species’ abundances, or of changes in demographic characteristics, such as the loss of large, adult bivalves. Reduction in community functions was expressed as declines in the benthic bioturbation potential and in secondary biomass production. The benthic communities and their degradation accounted for a substantial proportion of the changes observed in ecosystem multifunctionality. Individual ecosystem functions (i.e. measures of sediment ecosystem metabolism, elemental cycling, biomass production, organic matter transformation and physical structuring) were observed to differ in their response to increasing hypoxic disturbance. Interestingly, the results suggested that an impairment of ecosystem functioning could be detected at an earlier stage if multiple functions were considered. Importantly, the findings indicate that even small-scale hypoxic disturbance can reduce the buffering capacity of sedimentary ecosystem, and increase the susceptibility of the system towards further stress. Although the results of the individual papers are context-dependent, their combined outcome implies that healthy benthic communities are important for sustaining overall ecosystem functioning as well as ecosystem resilience in the Baltic Sea.