Varallisuudenhoito indeksiosuusrahastoilla

Tämä Pro gradu–työ on käytännönläheinen sijoittajalähtöinen tutkimus varallisuudenhoidosta indeksiosuusrahastoilla. Tavoitteena on selvittää indeksiosuusrahastojen olemusta, niiden hyötyjä sekä mahdollisia haittapuolia. Toisena tavoitteena on rakentaa indeksiosuusrahastoista aikaisemman tutkimuksen pohjalta mallisalkku. Kolmantena tavoitteena on luoda Excelin portfolio-optimoinnilla salkku, jossa tutkitaan indeksiosuusrahastojen suoriutumista markkinoilla. Tämä optimointimetodi on rakennettu Mika Vaihekosken (2002) mukaan. Tutkimusmenetelmänä on empiirinen tutkimus. Tarkastelen aihetta pääosin liiketaloustieteellisestä näkökulmasta. Tutkimuksessa käytetään myös paljon rahoitusmarkkinalähtöistä näkökulmaa. Tutkimusaineisto koostuu kolmestakymmenestäneljästä Yhdysvaltain markkinoiden osake-, joukkovelkakirja- sekä raaka-aineindeksiosuusrahastosta. Aineisto on vuosilta 2006 – 2011 sisältäen 34x69 havaintoa. Portfolio-optimoinnissa käytetään neljää hyperbola-kerrointa. Empiiristen tutkimustulosten mukaan indeksiosuusrahastojen menneisyyden hyvät tuotot ennustaisivat hyvin tulevaisuuden hyviä tuottoja ainakin tämän tutkimuksen aikavälillä tammikuusta 2006 syyskuuhun 2011. Valinta-aikavälin 2006 – 2008 aineistosta muodostettu tangenttiportfolio menestyi suhteellisen hyvin hallussapitoaikavälillä 2009 – 2011. Tangenttiportfolio osoittautui ainakin tässä tutkielmassa käyttökelpoiseksi työkaluksi indeksiosuusrahastojen varallisuudenhallinnassa.

Bisnesenkelit aloittavien kasvuyritysten vauhdittajina – Tapaustutkimus

Bisnesenkelit, eli yksityiset riskisijoittajat ovat tärkeä ulkopuolinen rahoittajataho aloittaville kasvuyrityksille. Varallisuuden sijoittamisen ohella bisnesenkeleiden tärkeä ominaisuus on osaamisen ja verkostojen sijoittaminen yritykseen, minkä myötä yritys saa paremmat edellytykset kasvua varten. Bisnesenkeleiden kontribuutio ajoittuu tyypillisesti jälki-investointivaiheeseen, eli varallisuuden sijoittamisen jälkeen. Osallistumi-sen myötä yrittäjä-sijoittajasuhde on tärkeä taustatekijä bisnesenkelin kontribuutiossa aloittavalle kasvuyritykselle. Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli luoda ymmärrystä bisnesenkelien kontribuutioon aloittavien kasvuyritysten jälki-investointivaiheessa. Tähän päätutkimusongelmaan vastattiin kuvailemalla lähtökohtia bisnesenkelin osallistumiselle, selvittämällä bisnesenkelin konkreettisia osallistumistapoja sekä kontribuutiosta koettua hyötyä erityisesti yrittäjien kannalta. Tutkimus toteutettiin laadullisena tutkimuksena hyödyntäen tapaustutkimusta. Tutkimusaineistona käytettiin neljälle yrittäjälle ja neljälle bisnesenkelille tehtyä teemahaastattelua. Tutkitut yritykset valittiin pääasiassa teknologiatoimialalta. Bisnesenkeleiden osallistumisen taustalla on pyrkimys viedä yritystä eteenpäin kasvua ja tulevasta exitistä saatavaa tuottoa ajatellen. Nämä tavoitteet ohjaavat bisnesenkeliä välittämään yritykseen strategista ja operatiivista osaamistaan sekä verkostojaan yrityksen tarpeista riippuen. Yrittäjän kannalta oleelliseksi havaittiin myös keskustelukumppanin merkitys. Suhteen toimivuuden edellytyksinä ovat erityisesti osapuolten välinen luottamus ja riittävä vuorovaikutus. Bisnesenkelin kontribuutio koettiin pääosin hyödyllisenä, esimerkiksi kasvua nopeuttaen.

The purpose of consumer co-operation: implications for the management and governance of co-operatives

Extant research on consumer co-operation has acknowledged that the corporate purpose of consumer co-operatives deviates significantly from the purpose of investor-owned firms (IOFs – the dominant form in market economies and in theory development in the field of business economics) and also suggested that the management of consumer co-operatives differs from the management of IOFs. Despite this, there is a scarcity of research focusing on the management of consumer co-operatives in general and the ways this different purpose manifests in their management in particular. In other words, research on consumer cooperatives has only started to discover the importance of identifying the premises of these organizations and generating management and organization theories that take them into account. The overall objective of this study is to map out some of the implications that the purpose of consumer co-operation has for the management and governance of consumer co-operatives. To put it more precisely, by combining interview data gathered from Finnish consumer cooperatives (S Group, OP Bank Group and POP Bank) and extant literature, this study aims to generate or elaborate on definitions and outlines of the features that co-operative purpose poses for the strategic management, governance and managerial competence needed for consumer co-operatives. The study consists of two parts. The first part introduces the research topic, methods and publications, as well as discusses the overall outcomes. The second part consists of four publications that address the research questions from different viewpoints. The analyses of this study indicate that due to the purpose of consumer co-operation, the roles of locality and regionality become emphasized in their management. While locality and regionality are potential sources of competitive advantage for consumer co-operatives, geographic boundness sets significant boundary conditions for the strategic management of these organizations. Further, the purpose of consumer co-operation may pose several challenges to governance and set specific competence demands for the managers of these organizations. Associating the observations from various streams of research on management and governance with the purpose of consumer co-operation and examining these issues further, the thesis contributes to elaboration of theory in the field. While the thesis is by no means comprehensive (but instead reflects a co-operative research project in its early stages), it does shed light on some key ideas of management and governance and offers leads to theory and, thereby, will prove useful to elaborators, disseminators and appliers of knowledge on co-operation.

Pricing anomalies in the Finnish stock market

The aim of this thesis is to examine whether the pricing anomalies exists in the Finnish stock markets by comparing the performance of quantile portfolios that are formed on the basis of either individual valuation ratios, composite value measures or combined value and momentum indicators. All the research papers included in the thesis show evidence of value anomalies in the Finnish stock markets. In the first paper, the sample of stocks over the 1991-2006 period is divided into quintile portfolios based on four individual valuation ratios (i.e., E/P, EBITDA/EV, B/P, and S/P) and three hybrids of them (i.e. composite value measures). The results show the superiority of composite value measures as selection criterion for value stocks, particularly when EBITDA/EV is employed as earnings multiple. The main focus of the second paper is on the impact of the holding period length on performance of value strategies. As an extension to the first paper, two more individual ratios (i.e. CF/P and D/P) are included in the comparative analysis. The sample of stocks over 1993- 2008 period is divided into tercile portfolios based on six individual valuation ratios and three hybrids of them. The use of either dividend yield criterion or one of three composite value measures being examined results in best value portfolio performance according to all performance metrics used. Parallel to the findings of many international studies, our results from performance comparisons indicate that for the sample data employed, the yearly reformation of portfolios is not necessarily optimal in order to maximally gain from the value premium. Instead, the value investor may extend his holding period up to 5 years without any decrease in long-term portfolio performance. The same holds also for the results of the third paper that examines the applicability of data envelopment analysis (DEA) method in discriminating the undervalued stocks from overvalued ones. The fourth paper examines the added value of combining price momentum with various value strategies. Taking account of the price momentum improves the performance of value portfolios in most cases. The performance improvement is greatest for value portfolios that are formed on the basis of the 3-composite value measure which consists of D/P, B/P and EBITDA/EV ratios. The risk-adjusted performance can be enhanced further by following 130/30 long-short strategy in which the long position of value winner stocks is leveraged by 30 percentages while simultaneously selling short glamour loser stocks by the same amount. Average return of the long-short position proved to be more than double stock market average coupled with the volatility decrease. The fifth paper offers a new approach to combine value and momentum indicators into a single portfolio-formation criterion using different variants of DEA models. The results throughout the 1994-2010 sample period shows that the top-tercile portfolios outperform both the market portfolio and the corresponding bottom-tercile portfolios. In addition, the middle-tercile portfolios also outperform the comparable bottom-tercile portfolios when DEA models are used as a basis for stock classification criteria. To my knowledge, such strong performance differences have not been reported in earlier peer-reviewed studies that have employed the comparable quantile approach of dividing stocks into portfolios. Consistently with the previous literature, the division of the full sample period into bullish and bearish periods reveals that the top-quantile DEA portfolios lose far less of their value during the bearish conditions than do the corresponding bottom portfolios. The sixth paper extends the sample period employed in the fourth paper by one year (i.e. 1993- 2009) covering also the first years of the recent financial crisis. It contributes to the fourth paper by examining the impact of the stock market conditions on the main results. Consistently with the fifth paper, value portfolios lose much less of their value during bearish conditions than do stocks on average. The inclusion of a momentum criterion somewhat adds value to an investor during bullish conditions, but this added value turns to negative during bearish conditions. During bear market periods some of the value loser portfolios perform even better than their value winner counterparts. Furthermore, the results show that the recent financial crisis has reduced the added value of using combinations of momentum and value indicators as portfolio formation criteria. However, since the stock markets have historically been bullish more often than bearish, the combination of the value and momentum criteria has paid off to the investor despite the fact that its added value during bearish periods is negative, on an average.

The us subprime crisis and stock market integration: evidence from the BRICS

The aim of this study is to examine the level of stock market co-movement in the BRICS countries and three major industrialized countries (Japan, UK and USA). While analyzing the interdependence and integration of markets, two subsets are examined: before (2000 – 2007) and during the global financial crisis (2007-2011). Generally, interdependence across markets is likely to increase during a highly volatile period. This is problematic because if it were true, the main benefit of international diversification would be reduced at times when it is most needed. The results reveal the dominant role of the US financial markets over the examined time period. Empirical studies of this research paper indicate that cross-market linkages have become slightly stronger during the ongoing subprime crisis than before crisis. However, results also show that an investor may obtain some international diversification benefits by investing especially in the BRICS countries despite the fact of unstable economic condition and growing globalization.

Hedge-rahastojen menestyksen pysyvyyden empiirinen tarkastelu sijoittajan näkökulmasta

This study examines performance persistence of hedge funds from investor's point of view and look at the methods by which an investor could choose the successful hedge funds to the portfolio. This study was used the data from HFI & Tremont databases on period 1998-2007. In this study used the 36-month combination (24-month selection and 12-month prediction periods). As the research methods used the Sharpe index, raw returns, MVR (mean variance ratio), GSC-clustering, the SDI index and the new combination of metrics. The evaluation criterions of the results used the volatility, excess returns and the Sharpe index. This study compared different results from the 7 time series with each other, and commenting the problems on a portfolio loss of funds.

The accumulation of financial and social capital as a means to achieve a sustained competitive advantage for consumer co-operatives

By so far, scholars have discussed how the characteristics of consumer co-operatives (cooperative principles, values and the dual role of members as the users and owners) can potentially give them a competitive advantage over investor-owned firms (IOFs). In addition, concern for the community (as partly derived from locality and regionality) has been seen as a potential source of success for consumer co-operatives. On the other hand, the geographicbound purpose of consumer co-operation causes that consumer co-operative can be regarded as a challenging company form to manage. This is because, according to the purpose of consumer co-operation, co-operatives are obligated to 1) provide the owners with services and goods that are needed and do so at more affordable prices than their competitors do and/or 2) to operate in areas in which competitors do not want to operate (for example, because of the low profitability in certain area of business or region). Thus, consumer co-operatives have to operate very efficiently in order to execute this geographic-bound corporate purpose (e.g. they cannot withdraw from the competition during the declining stages of business). However, this efficiency cannot be achieved by any means; as the acceptance from the important regional stakeholders is the basic operational precondition and lifeline in the long run. Thereby, the central question for the survival and success of consumer co-operatives is; how should the consumer co-operatives execute its corporate purpose so it can be the best alternative to its members in the long run? This question has remained unanswered and lack empirical evidence in the previous studies on the strategic management of consumer cooperation. In more detail, scholars have not yet empirically investigated the question: How can consumer co-operatives use financial and social capital to achieve a sustained competitive advantage? It is this research gap that this doctoral dissertation aims to fulfil. This doctoral dissertation aims to answer the above questions by combining and utilizing interview data from S Group co-operatives and the central organizations in S Group´s network (overall, 33 interviews were gathered), archival material and 56 published media articles/reports. The study is based on a qualitative case study approach that is aimed at theory development, not theory verification (as the theory is considered as nascent in this field of study). Firstly, the findings of this study indicate that consumer co-operatives accumulate financial capital; 1) by making profit (to invest and grow) and 2) by utilizing a network-based organizational structure (local supply chain economies). As a result of financial capital accumulation, consumer co-operatives are able to achieve efficiency gains but also remain local. In addition, a strong financial capital base increases consumer co-operatives´ independence, competitiveness and their ability to participate in regional development (which is in accordance with their geographically bound corporate purpose). Secondly, consumer cooperatives accumulate social capital through informal networking (with important regional stakeholders), corporate social responsibility (CSR) behaviour and CSR reporting, pursuing common good, and interacting and identity sharing. As a result of social capital accumulation, consumer co-operatives are able to obtain the resources for managing; 1) institutional dependencies and 2) customer relations. By accumulating both social and financial capital through the above presented actions, consumer co-operatives are able to achieve sustained competitive advantage. Finally, this thesis provides useful ideas and new knowledge for cooperative managers concerning why and how consumer co-operatives should accumulate financial and social capital (to achieve sustained competitive advantage), while aligning with their corporate purpose.

Pk-yrityksen menestystekijät kansainvälistymisprosessissa

Tutkielman tarkoitus oli selvittää, mitkä tekijät määrittelevät kansainvälistymisprosessin potentiaalista menestyjää. Aihetta on tutkittu paljon, mutta laajempi kokonaiskuva kansainvälistymisen menestystekijöistä puuttui. Tutkielman näkökulma on holistinen: Siinä yhdistettiin useampi linssi eri näkökulmia menestymiseen kansainvälistymisessä ja eri tutkimusmetodeja kvalitatiivisista kvantitatiivisiin. Tutkimuksessa käytettiin teoriasidonnaista lähestymistapaa ja konstruktiivista tutkimusotetta, jonka avulla Finpro ry:lle rakennettiin usean tutkimusvaiheen aikana potentiaalisia menestystapauksia tunnistava työkalu. Tutkimus toteutettiin neljässä vaiheessa, joissa rakennettiin kunkin vaiheen testituloksien mukainen konstruktio. Ensimmäisessä vaiheessa teemahaastattelulla selvitettiin konstruktion tarvepohja sekä rajaehdot. Konstruktion pohjaksi taulukoitiin 2001–2012 vuosien tutkimuksien tutkituimmat menestystekijät ja siihen lisättiin kansainvälistymisprosessin asiantuntijoiden korostamat menestystekijät. Tulokset yhdistettiin rakentamalla Konstruktio1. Toisessa vaiheessa Konstruktio1:sta kyselyn ja eksploratiivisen faktorianalyysin avulla faktoroitiin tärkeimmät menestymisen taustalla olevat ilmiöt, joista rakennettiin Konstruktio2. Kolmannessa vaiheessa kahden riippumattomien otosten ttestin avulla selvitettiin, mitkä Konstruktio2:n menestysfaktorit ovat tärkeimpiä ICT- ja life science -toimialoilla toimiville yrityksille ja mitä ilmiöitä yrityksen johto tai sijoittajat pitävät tärkeinä. Tuloksien pohjalta Konstruktio2 kehitettiin Konstruktio3:ksi. Neljännessä vaiheessa Konstruktio3:n pätevyyttä testattiin peilaamalla sen menestysfaktoreita kuuteen menestyjiksi todettuun tapaukseen, ja sen toimivuus selvitettiin kuuden avoimen haastattelun avulla. Tuloksien avulla Konstruktio3:sta rakennettiin Konstruktio4. Tutkimukset osoittivat, että menestystekijät vaihtelevat yrityksen kansainvälistymispolun ja eri näkökulmien mukaan. Tutkimus loi vahvan teoreettisen ja liiketoiminnallisen kontribuution. Tutkimusvaiheiden avulla hahmotettiin kansainvälistymisessä menestymisen kokonaisuus ja luottiin uusi näkemys pk-yrityksen menestymisestä. Toisaalta päästiin myös heti käyttövalmiiseen lopputulokseen, joka auttaa Finpron konsultteja ja myyjiä ymmärtämään menestymistä kansainvälistymisprosessissa ja löytämään potentiaalisia menestyjiä.

Pääomasijoittamisen tehostaminen suomalaisen pkt-sektorin kehittämisessä

Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli kehittää systemaattinen toimintamalli sekä luoda suorituskyvyn esi-merkkimittaristo pääomasijoittajan toiminnan tehostamiseksi. Pääomasijoittajan tärkein tehtävä on pyrkiä kasvattamaan sijoituskohdeyrityksen osakkeiden ja siten omistaja-arvoa keskipitkällä aika-jänteellä. Strategioiden kehittämistä ja toteuttamista on tutkittu sangen laajasti, mutta käytännölli-sempi lähestymiskulma hallitustyöskentelyn vaikutuksista sekä strategioiden toteutuksen varmis-tamisesta on jäänyt näissä aikaisemmissa tutkimuksissa vähemmälle huomiolle. Varsinainen perusta omistaja-arvolle ja sen kasvattamiselle suomalaisen pkt-yrityksen pääomasi-joittamisessa luodaan hyvien ja tulevaisuuden kasvupotentiaalia omaavien kohdeyritysten etsimisellä, riittävän tarkalla analysoinnilla sekä sijoitushetken kohtuullisella arvostuksella. Sijoitusaikana ei enää pystytä korjaamaan mahdollisia alkuvaiheen epäonnistumisia. Kun kohdeyhtiöön on valittu ammattitaitoinen ja motivoitunut hallitus, tulee pääomasijoittajan panostaa valittujen strategioiden toteuttamiseen havainnollisilla ja tehokkailla työkaluilla. Ne mahdollistavat kohdeyrityksen visioiden ja arvojen jakamisen edelleen helpommin ymmärrettäviksi avainmittareiksi ja –tavoitteiksi kaikille organisaatiotasoille. Suorituskyvyn mittaamisen ja analysoinnin päätehtävä sekä suurissa että pienissäkin yrityksissä on yritysjohdon päätöksenteon tukeminen luotettavan, säännöllisen ja riittävän tarkan informaation tuottamisella huolellisesti valituista mittauskohteista. Suorituskyvyn analysointi auttaa myös hahmottamaan paremmin kokonaisnäkemystä yrityksen menestykseen vaikuttavista tekijöistä sekä niiden välisistä syy-yhteyksistä. Alunperin suuryritysten tarpeisiin kehitetyt suorituskyvyn analysointi- ja mittausmenetelmät ovat poikkeuksetta liian monimutkaisia ja raskaita vastatakseen pienempien yritysten vaatimuksia. Liiketoiminnan seuraamisessa ja ohjaamisessa pkt-yrityksen hallituksen tulee ottaa perinteisten taloudellisten mittareiden lisäksi mukaan myös keskeisimpiä, ei-taloudellisia seurattavia asioita, joiden avulla muodostuu ajantasaisempi kuva kohdeyhtiön kilpailukyvystä sekä menestyksestä. Pääomasijoittajan toimintamallissa esitellään kansainvälisesti käytössä olevia menetelmiä strategian jalkauttamiseen, yrityksen liiketoimintamallin kehittämiseen sekä suorituskyvyn johtamisen tukemiseen. Pkt-yrityksille pyrittiin luomaan yksinkertainen mallimittaristo suorituskyvyn analysointiin ja yrityksen johtamisen tueksi. Sijoituskohdeyritysten hallituksilla on jo tällä hetkellä käytettävissään erilaisia kuukausittaisia taloudellisia tunnuslukuja sekä tilikauden tuloksestakin jotain ennakkotietoa. Näiden pohjalle olisi varsin yksinkertaista rakentaa myös yrityksen sisäisiä prosesseja, asiakkuustyöskentelyä, myyntiä ja markkinointia sekä toiminnan yleistä systemaattisuutta kuvaavia mittareita.

Osinkosuhteen, osinkotuoton ja omavaraisuusasteen sijoitusstrateginen hyödynnettävyys Suomen osakemarkkinoilla

Tutkielman tavoitteena on selvittää osinkosuhteen, osinkotuoton ja omavaraisuusasteen vaikutus osakkeesta saatavaan kokonaistuottoon Suomenosakemarkkinoilla vuosina 2002–2013. Muuttujien kausaliteettisuhde kokonaistuottoon selvitetään regressioanalyysilla. Portfolioanalyysin avulla tutkitaan valittujen tunnuslukujen toimivuutta sijoitusstrategiana. Tutkimuksessa muodostetaan myös osinkosuhteen ja osinkotuoton yhdistelmänä tunnusluku, jolla pyritään maksimoimaan sijoittajan saama tuotto. Empiiriset tulokset osoittivat, että sijoittaja pystyy saavuttamaan ylituottoja hyödyntämällä edellä mainittuja tunnuslukuja osakevalinnassa. Osinkotuoton ja osakkeen kokonaistuoton välillä havaittiin positiivinen lineaarinen korrelaatio. Portfolioanalyysin perusteella sekä omavaraisuusasteen että osinkosuhteen osalta vaikutus sijoittajan saamaan riskisuhteutettuun kokonaistuottoon on ei-lineaarinen. Valittuja tunnuslukuja ja menetelmiä hyödyntäen sijoittaja saa parhaimman riskisuhteutetun tuoton valitsemalla sijoitussalkkuunsa osakkeita, joiden osinkosuhteen arvo sijoittuu toiseksi ylimpään kvartiiliin sekä osakkeita, joiden osinkotuotto on korkea ja omavaraisuusaste on samanaikaisesti alhainen.

Do retail investors use technical analysis? Evidence from Stuttgart stock exchange.

Tutkielma käyttää automaattista kuviontunnistusalgoritmia ja yleisiä kahden liukuvan keskiarvon leikkauspiste –sääntöjä selittääkseen Stuttgartin pörssissä toimivien yksityissijoittajien myynti-osto –epätasapainoa ja siten vastatakseen kysymykseen ”käyttävätkö yksityissijoittajat teknisen analyysin menetelmiä kaupankäyntipäätöstensä perustana?” Perusolettama sijoittajien käyttäytymisestä ja teknisen analyysin tuottavuudesta tehtyjen tutkimusten perusteella oli, että yksityissijoittajat käyttäisivät teknisen analyysin metodeja. Empiirinen tutkimus, jonka aineistona on DAX30 yhtiöiden data vuosilta 2009 – 2013, ei tuottanut riittävän selkeää vastausta tutkimuskysymykseen. Heikko todistusaineisto näyttää kuitenkin osoittavan, että yksityissijoittajat muuttavat kaupankäyntikäyttäytymistänsä eräiden kuvioiden ja leikkauspistesääntöjen ohjastamaan suuntaan.

Family ownership – a source of sustainable success in listed companies

Extant research on exchange-listed firms has acknowledged that the concentration of ownership and the identity of owners make a difference. In addition, studies indicate that firms with a dominant owner outperform firms with dispersed ownership. During the last few years, scholars have identified one group of owners, in particular, whose ownership stake in publicly listed firm is positively related to performance: the business family. While acknowledging that family firms represent a unique organizational form, scholars have identified various concepts and theories in order to understand how the family influences organizational processes and firm performance. Despite multitude of research, scholars have not been able to present clear results on how firm performance is actually impacted by the family. In other words, studies comparing the performance of listed family and other types of firms have remained descriptive in nature since they lack empirical data and confirmation from the family business representatives. What seems to be missing is a convincing theory that links the involvement and behavioral consequences. Accordingly, scholars have not yet come to a mutual understanding of what precisely constitutes a family business. The variety of different definitions and theories has made comparability of different results difficult for instance. These two issues have hampered the development of a rigorous theory of family business. The overall objective of this study is to describe and understand how the family as a dominant owner can enhance firm performance, and can act a source of sustainable success in listed companies. In more detail, in order to develop understanding of the unique factors that can act as competitive advantages for listed family firms, this study is based on a qualitative approach and aims at theory development, not theory verification. The data in this study consist of 16 thematic interviews with CEOs, members of the board, supervisory board chairs, and founders of Finnish listed-family firms. The study consists of two parts. The first part introduces the research topic, research paradigm, methods, and publications, and also discusses the overall outcomes and contributions of the publications. The second part consists of four publications that address the research questions from different viewpoints. The analyses of this study indicate that family ownership in listed companies represents a structure that differs from the traditional views of agency and stewardship, as well as from resource-based and stakeholder views. As opposed to these theories and shareholder capitalism which consider humans as individualistic, opportunistic, and self-serving, and assume that the behaviors of an investor are based on the incentives and motivations to maximize private profits, the family owners form a collective social unit that is motivated to act together toward their mutual purpose or benefit. In addition, socio-emotional and psychological elements of ownership define the family members as owners, rather than the legal and financial dimensions of ownership. That is, collective psychological ownership of family over the business (F-CPO) can be seen as a construct that comprehensively captures the fusion between the family and the business. Moreover, it captures the realized, rather than merely potential, family influence on and interaction with the business, and thereby brings more theoretical clarity of the nature of the fusion between the family and the business, and offers a solution to the problem of family business definition. This doctoral dissertation provides academics, policy-makers, family business practitioners, and the society at large with many implications considering family and business relationships.

Analyzing the Effects of the New Renewable Energy Policy in Russia on Investments into Wind, Solar and Small Hydro Power

This thesis presents an analysis of recently enacted Russian renewable energy policy based on capacity mechanism. Considering its novelty and poor coverage by academic literature, the aim of the thesis is to analyze capacity mechanism influence on investors’ decision-making process. The current research introduces a number of approaches to investment analysis. Firstly, classical financial model was built with Microsoft Excel® and crisp efficiency indicators such as net present value were determined. Secondly, sensitivity analysis was performed to understand different factors influence on project profitability. Thirdly, Datar-Mathews method was applied that by means of Monte Carlo simulation realized with Matlab Simulink®, disclosed all possible outcomes of investment project and enabled real option thinking. Fourthly, previous analysis was duplicated by fuzzy pay-off method with Microsoft Excel®. Finally, decision-making process under capacity mechanism was illustrated with decision tree. Capacity remuneration paid within 15 years is calculated individually for each RE project as variable annuity that guarantees a particular return on investment adjusted on changes in national interest rates. Analysis results indicate that capacity mechanism creates a real option to invest in renewable energy project by ensuring project profitability regardless of market conditions if project-internal factors are managed properly. The latter includes keeping capital expenditures within set limits, production performance higher than 75% of target indicators, and fulfilling localization requirement, implying producing equipment and services within the country. Occurrence of real option shapes decision-making process in the following way. Initially, investor should define appropriate location for a planned power plant where high production performance can be achieved, and lock in this location in case of competition. After, investor should wait until capital cost limit and localization requirement can be met, after that decision to invest can be made without any risk to project profitability. With respect to technology kind, investment into solar PV power plant is more attractive than into wind or small hydro power, since it has higher weighted net present value and lower standard deviation. However, it does not change decision-making strategy that remains the same for each technology type. Fuzzy pay-method proved its ability to disclose the same patterns of information as Monte Carlo simulation. Being effective in investment analysis under uncertainty and easy in use, it can be recommended as sufficient analytical tool to investors and researchers. Apart from described results, this thesis contributes to the academic literature by detailed description of capacity price calculation for renewable energy that was not available in English before. With respect to methodology novelty, such advanced approaches as Datar-Mathews method and fuzzy pay-off method are applied on the top of investment profitability model that incorporates capacity remuneration calculation as well. Comparison of effects of two different RE supporting schemes, namely Russian capacity mechanism and feed-in premium, contributes to policy comparative studies and exhibits useful inferences for researchers and policymakers. Limitations of this research are simplification of assumptions to country-average level that restricts our ability to analyze renewable energy investment region wise and existing limitation of the studying policy to the wholesale power market that leaves retail markets and remote areas without our attention, taking away medium and small investment into renewable energy from the research focus. Elimination of these limitations would allow creating the full picture of Russian renewable energy investment profile.

Value at Risk in Foreign Exchange Risk Management

This thesis examines the suitability of VaR in foreign exchange rate risk management from the perspective of a European investor. The suitability of four different VaR models is evaluated in respect to have insight if VaR is a valuable tool in managing foreign exchange rate risk. The models evaluated are historical method, historical bootstrap method, variance-covariance method and Monte Carlo simulation. The data evaluated are divided into emerging and developed market currencies to have more intriguing analysis. The foreign exchange rate data in this thesis is from 31st January 2000 to 30th April 2014. The results show that the previously mentioned VaR models performance in foreign exchange risk management is not to be considered as a single tool in foreign exchange rate risk management. The variance-covariance method and Monte Carlo simulation performs poorest in both currency portfolios. Both historical methods performed better but should also be considered as an additional tool along with other more sophisticated analysis tools. A comparative study of VaR estimates and forward prices is also included in the thesis. The study reveals that regardless of the expensive hedging cost of emerging market currencies the risk captured by VaR is more expensive and thus FX forward hedging is recommended