Osteoporotic hip fractures: Bisphosphonates sales and observed turning point in trend. A population-based retrospective study

The aim is to examine the temporal trends of hip fracture incidence in Portugal by sex and age groups, and explore the relation with anti-osteoporotic medication. From the National Hospital Discharge Database, we selected from 1st January 2000 to 31st December 2008, 77,083 hospital admissions (77.4% women) caused by osteoporotic hip fractures (low energy, patients over 49 years-age), with diagnosis codes 820.x of ICD 9-CM. The 2001 Portuguese population was used as standard to calculate direct age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) (100,000 inhabitants). Generalized additive and linear models were used to evaluate and quantify temporal trends of age specific rates (AR), by sex. We identified 2003 as a turning point in the trend of ASIR of hip fractures in women. After 2003, the ASIR in women decreased on average by 10.3 cases/100,000 inhabitants, 95% CI (− 15.7 to − 4.8), per 100,000 anti-osteoporotic medication packages sold. For women aged 65–69 and 75–79 we identified the same turning point. However, for women aged over 80, the year 2004 marked a change in the trend, from an increase to a decrease. Among the population aged 70–74 a linear decrease of incidence rate (95% CI) was observed in both sexes, higher for women: − 28.0% (− 36.2 to − 19.5) change vs − 18.8%, (− 32.6 to − 2.3). The abrupt turning point in the trend of ASIR of hip fractures in women is compatible with an intervention, such as a medication. The trends were different according to gender and age group, but compatible with the pattern of bisphosphonates sales.

Abordagem ao risco de crédito no âmbito do acordo de Basileia III em Portugal

Dissertação para a obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Contabilidade e Finanças Orientador: Mestre Adalmiro Álvaro Malheiro de Castro Andrade Pereira

A internacionalização das empresas portuguesas da indústria do calçado e a relação com a volatilidade das vendas e resultados

Dissertação de Mestrado em Finanças Empresariais

Maximum-revenue tariff under Bertrand duopoly with unknown costs

This paper considers an international trade under Bertrand model with differentiated products and with unknown production costs. The home government imposes a specific import tariff per unit of imports from the foreign firm. We prove that this tariff is decreasing in the expected production costs of the foreign firm and increasing in the production costs of the home firm. Furthermore, it is increasing in the degree of product substitutability. We also show that an increase in the tariff results in both firms increasing their prices, an increase in both expected sales and expected profits for the home firm, and a decrease in both expected sales and expected profits for the foreign firm.

O alisamento dos resultados numa empresa: o caso do Grupo SONANGOL

Dissertação de Mestrado apresentada ao Instituto de Contabilidade e Administração do Porto para a obtenção do grau de Mestre em Contabilidade e Finanças sob orientação de Professor Doutor Adalmiro Alvaro Malheiro de Castro Andrade Pereira

Criação e atualização de aplicações para área de retalho por MDA

Nos últimos anos tem-se verificado a constante evolução dos mercados em plataformas na Internet como forma de melhoria não só dos serviços prestados, mas também para o aumento de vendas de produtos e respetiva internacionalização dos mesmos. Este aumento da procura por este tipo de softwares, assim como a constante evolução e atualização dos mesmos tem contribuído para que estas aplicações evoluam em termos de funcionalidades e complexidade. Isto contribui cada vez para a dificuldade de formar equipas capazes de manter e desenvolver estes sistemas sem que comprometa em grandes custos para as organizações. Neste sentido surgiram diversas ferramentas que permitem criar soluções pré desenvolvidas de aplicações na Internet denominadas de "E-commerce applications". Estas plataformas, apesar do utilizador não ter obrigatoriamente que deter conhecimentos de programação para proceder à sua instalação, são bastante restritas tanto aos serviços que podem ser usados, e na sua escalabilidade, visto que normalmente correm em servidores específicos e por vezes as configurações necessárias para instalação tornam-se bastante complexas de ser efetuadas. Pretende-se no âmbito desta dissertação de mestrado propor um modelo de uma arquitetura de um sistema baseado em mecanismos MDA para a área de retalho, particularmente em ambientes de e-commerce. Serão inicialmente sistematizados os principais tipos de ecommerce numa perspetiva de evolução histórica. Será igualmente enquadrado o MDA no desenvolvimento de um sistema de e-commerce. Neste sentido, serão equacionadas as diferenças entre o modelo típico de desenvolvimento de software e o desenvolvimento de software orientado pelas metodologias do MDA. No processo de especificação e desenvolvimento do modelo proposto será realizada uma análise de requisitos, assim como, a proposta do modelo da arquitetura de um sistema baseado em mecanismos MDA, tendo como orientação os requisitos e arquitetura definida na fase de análise. Finalmente no sentido de analisar o resultado esperado para um sistema orientado por metodologias definidas por MDA, serão realizado alguns testes no sistema desenvolvido de forma a analisar o seu desempenho e validar a sua adequabilidade no âmbito do processo de desenvolvimento de sistemas e-commerce

Análise do processo de desenvolvimento de novos produtos na indústria

No âmbito da unidade curricular Dissertação/Projeto do 2º ano do Mestrado em Engenharia mecânica – Ramo Gestão Industrial do Instituto Superior de Engenharia do Porto, o presente trabalho enquadra-se na análise do processo de desenvolvimento de novos produtos na indústria, como suporte à gestão de projetos. No seguimento da necessidade que as empresas têm cada vez mais presente em investirem na melhoria do processo de desenvolvimento de novos produtos, isso conduz a uma garantia de cumprimento de prazos e qualidade, à redução de custos, aumento de vendas, aumento de receitas, satisfação de clientes, entre outros benefícios. O trabalho foi desenvolvido, na empresa Doureca Produtos Plásticos, Lda, no Departamento de Engenharia. À medida que o projeto de melhoria avançou, foi cativante observar como os resultados obtidos contribuíam para a alteração dos paradigmas de trabalho da empresa e o impacto na melhoria continua, em função do caminho traçado da busca da máxima eficiência e eficácia. As ferramentas de melhoria são o suporte ideal, que ajudam a atingir a meta da sustentabilidade dos negócios, mas o maior obstáculo, continua a ser o fator humano. A implementação destes sistemas de melhoria requer uma maior abertura para a utilização das respetivas ferramentas, e uma mobilização dos diferentes intervenientes com vista à obtenção de resultados. Após uma avaliação da situação inicial, foram identificados pontos a melhorar na organização, de seguida foi definida a visão do que deveria ser implementado tendo em conta a estratégia da empresa, e posteriormente executado um plano de implementação das melhorias. No decurso do trabalho foram implementadas novas ferramentas de auxílio para o desenvolvimento de novos produtos como suporte à gestão de projetos. Estas ferramentas são apoiadas na filosofia LEAN, de forma a eliminar desperdícios e criar valor através da melhor utilização dos recursos.

Performance of state space and ARIMA models for consumer retail sales forecasting

Forecasting future sales is one of the most important issues that is beyond all strategic and planning decisions in effective operations of retail businesses. For profitable retail businesses, accurate demand forecasting is crucial in organizing and planning production, purchasing, transportation and labor force. Retail sales series belong to a special type of time series that typically contain trend and seasonal patterns, presenting challenges in developing effective forecasting models. This work compares the forecasting performance of state space models and ARIMA models. The forecasting performance is demonstrated through a case study of retail sales of five different categories of women footwear: Boots, Booties, Flats, Sandals and Shoes. On both methodologies the model with the minimum value of Akaike's Information Criteria for the in-sample period was selected from all admissible models for further evaluation in the out-of-sample. Both one-step and multiple-step forecasts were produced. The results show that when an automatic algorithm the overall out-of-sample forecasting performance of state space and ARIMA models evaluated via RMSE, MAE and MAPE is quite similar on both one-step and multi-step forecasts. We also conclude that state space and ARIMA produce coverage probabilities that are close to the nominal rates for both one-step and multi-step forecasts.

Flow amperometric determination of carbofuran and fenobucarb

A simple, rapid, and precise amperometric method for quantification of N-methylcarbamate pesticides in water samples and phytopharmaceuticals is presented. Carbofuran and fenobucarb are the target analytes. The method is developed in flow conditions providing the anodic oxidation of phenolic-based compounds formed after alkaline hydrolysis. Optimization of instrumental and chemical variables is presented. Under the optimal conditions, the amperometric signal is linear for carbofuran and fenobucarb concentrations over the range of 1.0*10-7 to 1.0*10-5 molL-1, with a detection limit of about 2 ngmL-1. The amperometric method is successfully applied to the analysis of spiked environmental waters and commercial formulations. The proposed method allows 90 samples to be analysed per hour, using 500 mL of sample, and producing wastewaters of low toxicity. The proposed method permits determinations at the mgL 1 level and offers advantages of simplicity, accuracy, precision, and applicability to coloured and turbid samples, and automation feasibility.

Survey of trace elements (Al, As, Cd, Cr, Co, Hg, Mn, Ni, Pb, Se, and Si) in retail samples of flavoured and bottled waters

Concentrations of eleven trace elements (Al, As, Cd, Cr, Co, Hg, Mn, Ni, Pb, Se, and Si) were measured in 39 (natural and flavoured) water samples. Determinations were performed using graphite furnace electrothermetry for almost all elements (Al, As, Cd, Cr, Co, Mn, Ni, Pb, and Si). For Se determination hydride generation was used, and cold vapour generation for Hg. These techniques were coupled to atomic absorption spectrophotometry. The trace element content of still or sparkling natural waters changed from brand to brand. Significant differences between natural still and natural sparkling waters (p<0.001) were only apparent for Mn. The Mann–Whitney U-test was used to search for significant differences between flavoured and natural waters. The concentration of each element was compared with the presence of flavours, preservatives, acidifying agents, fruit juice and/or sweeteners, according to the labelled composition. It was shown that flavoured waters generally increase the trace element content. The addition of preservatives and acidifying regulators had a significant influence on Mn, Co, As and Si contents (p<0.05). Fruit juice can also be correlated to the increase of Co and As. Sweeteners did not provide any significant difference in Mn, Co, Se and Si content.

Sulfadiazine-potentiometric sensors for flow and batch determinations of sulfadiazine in drugs and biological fluids

New PVC membrane electrodes for the determination of sulfadiazine (SDZ) are presented. The electrodes are fabricated with conventional and tubular configurations with a graphite-based electrical contact, and no internal reference solution. The selective membranes consist of bis(triphenylphosphoranilidene)ammonium·SDZ (electrode A), tetraoctylammonium bromide (electrode B), or iron(II)-phthalocyanine (FePC) (electrode C) electroactive materials dispersed in a PVC matrix of o-nitrophenyl octyl ether (o-NPOE) plasticizer. The sensors A, B, and C displayed linear responses over the concentration ranges 1.0*10-2 – 1.0*10–5, 1.0*10–2 – 7.5*10–6, and 3.2*10–2 – 7.0* 10–6 mol l–1 (detection limits of 1.09, 2.04 and 0.87 mg ml–1) with anionic slopes of –57.3 ± 0.1, –46.7 ± 0.5, and –65.1 ± 0.2 mV decade–1, respectively. No effect from pH was observed within 4.0 – 5.5, 4.8 – 10, and 4.5 – 8, respectively, and good selectivity was found. The sensors were applied to the analysis of pharmaceuticals and biological fluids in steady state and in flow conditions.

New biomimetic sensors for the determination of tetracycline in biological samples: batch and flow mode operations

New potentiometric membrane sensors with cylindrical configuration for tetracycline (TC) are described based on the use of a newly designed molecularly imprinted polymer (MIP) material consisting of 2-vinylpyridine as a functional monomer in a plasticized PVC membrane. The sensor exhibited significantly enhanced response towards TC over the concentration range 1.59 10 5–1.0 10 3 mol L 1 at pH 3–5 with a lower detection limit of 1.29 10 5 mol L 1. The response was near-Nernstian, with average slopes of 63.9 mV decade 1. The effect of lipophilic salts and various foreign common ions were tested and were found to be negligible. The possibility of applying the proposed sensor to TC determination in spiked biological fluid samples was demonstrated.

Sensors for the detection and quantification of bacterial contamination in water for human use

The deterioration of water quality by Cyanobacteria cause outbreaks and epidemics associated with harmful diseases in Humans and animals because of the toxins that they release. Microcystin-LR is one of the hepatotoxins most widely studied and the World Health Organization, recommend a maximum value of 1mgL 1 in drinking water. Highly specific recognition molecules, such as molecular imprinted polymers are developed to quantify microcystins in waters for human use and shown to be of great potential in the analysis of these kinds of samples. The obtained results were auspicious, the detection limit found, 1.5mgL 1, being of the same order of magnitude as the guideline limit recommended by the WHO. This technology is very promising because the sensors are stable and specific, and the technology is inexpensive and allows for rapid on-site monitoring.

Electrochemical determination of antioxidant capacities in flavored waters by guanine and adenine biosensors

The immobilization and electro-oxidation of guanine and adenine asDNA bases on glassy carbon electrode are evaluated by square wave voltammetric analysis. The influence of electrochemical pretreatments, nature of supporting electrolyte, pH, accumulation time and composition of DNA nucleotides on the immobilization effect and the electrochemical mechanism are discussed. Trace levels of either guanine or adenine can be readily detected following short accumulation time with detection limits of 35 and 40 ngmL−1 for guanine and adenine, respectively. The biosensors of guanine and adenine were employed for the voltammetric detection of antioxidant capacity in flavored water samples. The method relies on monitoring the changes of the intrinsic anodic response of the surface-confined guanine and adenine species, resulting from its interaction with free radicals from Fenton-type reaction in absence and presence of antioxidant. Ascorbic acid was used as standard to evaluate antioxidant capacities of samples. Analytical data was compared with that of FRAP method.

Flavoured versus natural waters: macromineral (Ca, Mg, K, Na) and micromineral (Fe, Cu, Zn) contents

Macro (Ca, Mg, K, Na) and micromineral (Fe, Zn, Cu) composition of 39 waters was analysed. Determinations were made by atomic flame spectrophotometry for macrominerals and electrothermic atomisation in graphite furnace for microminerals. Mineral contents of still or sparkling natural waters (without flavours) changed from brand to brand. Mann–Whitney test was used to search for significant differences between flavoured and natural waters. For that, the concentration of each mineral was compared to the presence of flavours, preservatives, acidifying agents, fruit juice and/or sweeteners, according to the labelled composition. The statistical study demonstrated that flavoured waters generally have increased contents of K, Na, Fe and Cu. The added preservatives also led to significant differences in the mineral composition. Acidifying agents and fruit juice can also be correlated to the increase of Mg, K, Na, Fe and Cu. Sweeteners do not provide any significant difference in Ca, Mg, Fe and Zn contents.