Fly Ash Soil Stabilization for Non-Uniform Subgrade Soils, Volume II: Influence of Subgrade Non-Uniformity on PCC Pavement Performance, TR-461, 2005

To provide insight into subgrade non-uniformity and its effects on pavement performance, this study investigated the influence of non-uniform subgrade support on pavement responses (stress and deflection) that affect pavement performance. Several reconstructed PCC pavement projects in Iowa were studied to document and evaluate the influence of subgrade/subbase non-uniformity on pavement performance. In situ field tests were performed at 12 sites to determine the subgrade/subbase engineering properties and develop a database of engineering parameter values for statistical and numerical analysis. Results of stiffness, moisture and density, strength, and soil classification were used to determine the spatial variability of a given property. Natural subgrade soils, fly ash-stabilized subgrade, reclaimed hydrated fly ash subbase, and granular subbase were studied. The influence of the spatial variability of subgrade/subbase on pavement performance was then evaluated by modeling the elastic properties of the pavement and subgrade using the ISLAB2000 finite element analysis program. A major conclusion from this study is that non-uniform subgrade/subbase stiffness increases localized deflections and causes principal stress concentrations in the pavement, which can lead to fatigue cracking and other types of pavement distresses. Field data show that hydrated fly ash, self-cementing fly ash-stabilized subgrade, and granular subbases exhibit lower variability than natural subgrade soils. Pavement life should be increased through the use of more uniform subgrade support. Subgrade/subbase construction in the future should consider uniformity as a key to long-term pavement performance.

Compositional influence on the electrical performance of zinc indium tin oxide transparent thin-film transistors

In this work, zinc indium tin oxide layers with different compositions are used as the active layer of thin film transistors. This multicomponent transparent conductive oxide is gaining great interest due to its reduced content of the scarce indium element. Experimental data indicate that the incorporation of zinc promotes the creation of oxygen vacancies. In thin-film transistors this effect leads to a higher threshold voltage values. The field-effect mobility is also strongly degraded, probably due to coulomb scattering by ionized defects. A post deposition annealing in air reduces the density of oxygen vacancies and improves the fieldeffect mobility by orders of magnitude. Finally, the electrical characteristics of the fabricated thin-film transistors have been analyzed to estimate the density of states in the gap of the active layers. These measurements reveal a clear peak located at 0.3 eV from the conduction band edge that could be attributed to oxygen vacancies.

Statistical properties of population differentiation estimators under stepwise mutation in a finite island model.

Microsatellite loci mutate at an extremely high rate and are generally thought to evolve through a stepwise mutation model. Several differentiation statistics taking into account the particular mutation scheme of the microsatellite have been proposed. The most commonly used is R(ST) which is independent of the mutation rate under a generalized stepwise mutation model. F(ST) and R(ST) are commonly reported in the literature, but often differ widely. Here we compare their statistical performances using individual-based simulations of a finite island model. The simulations were run under different levels of gene flow, mutation rates, population number and sizes. In addition to the per locus statistical properties, we compare two ways of combining R(ST) over loci. Our simulations show that even under a strict stepwise mutation model, no statistic is best overall. All estimators suffer to different extents from large bias and variance. While R(ST) better reflects population differentiation in populations characterized by very low gene-exchange, F(ST) gives better estimates in cases of high levels of gene flow. The number of loci sampled (12, 24, or 96) has only a minor effect on the relative performance of the estimators under study. For all estimators there is a striking effect of the number of samples, with the differentiation estimates showing very odd distributions for two samples.

Computational and statistical analysis of copy number variants in normal and cancer genomes

AbstractAlthough the genomes from any two human individuals are more than 99.99% identical at the sequence level, some structural variation can be observed. Differences between genomes include single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP), inversion and copy number changes (gain or loss of DNA). The latter can range from submicroscopic events (CNVs, at least 1kb in size) to complete chromosomal aneuploidies. Small copy number variations have often no (lethal) consequences to the cell, but a few were associated to disease susceptibility and phenotypic variations. Larger re-arrangements (i.e. complete chromosome gain) are frequently associated with more severe consequences on health such as genomic disorders and cancer. High-throughput technologies like DNA microarrays enable the detection of CNVs in a genome-wide fashion. Since the initial catalogue of CNVs in the human genome in 2006, there has been tremendous interest in CNVs both in the context of population and medical genetics. Understanding CNV patterns within and between human populations is essential to elucidate their possible contribution to disease. But genome analysis is a challenging task; the technology evolves rapidly creating needs for novel, efficient and robust analytical tools which need to be compared with existing ones. Also, while the link between CNV and disease has been established, the relative CNV contribution is not fully understood and the predisposition to disease from CNVs of the general population has not been yet investigated.During my PhD thesis, I worked on several aspects related to CNVs. As l will report in chapter 3, ! was interested in computational methods to detect CNVs from the general population. I had access to the CoLaus dataset, a population-based study with more than 6,000 participants from the Lausanne area. All these individuals were analysed on SNP arrays and extensive clinical information were available. My work explored existing CNV detection methods and I developed a variety of metrics to compare their performance. Since these methods were not producing entirely satisfactory results, I implemented my own method which outperformed two existing methods. I also devised strategies to combine CNVs from different individuals into CNV regions.I was also interested in the clinical impact of CNVs in common disease (chapter 4). Through an international collaboration led by the Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois (CHUV) and the Imperial College London I was involved as a main data analyst in the investigation of a rare deletion at chromosome 16p11 detected in obese patients. Specifically, we compared 8,456 obese patients and 11,856 individuals from the general population and we found that the deletion was accounting for 0.7% of the morbid obesity cases and was absent in healthy non- obese controls. This highlights the importance of rare variants with strong impact and provides new insights in the design of clinical studies to identify the missing heritability in common disease.Furthermore, I was interested in the detection of somatic copy number alterations (SCNA) and their consequences in cancer (chapter 5). This project was a collaboration initiated by the Ludwig Institute for Cancer Research and involved other groups from the Swiss Institute of Bioinformatics, the CHUV and Universities of Lausanne and Geneva. The focus of my work was to identify genes with altered expression levels within somatic copy number alterations (SCNA) in seven metastatic melanoma ceil lines, using CGH and SNP arrays, RNA-seq, and karyotyping. Very few SCNA genes were shared by even two melanoma samples making it difficult to draw any conclusions at the individual gene level. To overcome this limitation, I used a network-guided analysis to determine whether any pathways, defined by amplified or deleted genes, were common among the samples. Six of the melanoma samples were potentially altered in four pathways and five samples harboured copy-number and expression changes in components of six pathways. In total, this approach identified 28 pathways. Validation with two external, large melanoma datasets confirmed all but three of the detected pathways and demonstrated the utility of network-guided approaches for both large and small datasets analysis.RésuméBien que le génome de deux individus soit similaire à plus de 99.99%, des différences de structure peuvent être observées. Ces différences incluent les polymorphismes simples de nucléotides, les inversions et les changements en nombre de copies (gain ou perte d'ADN). Ces derniers varient de petits événements dits sous-microscopiques (moins de 1kb en taille), appelés CNVs (copy number variants) jusqu'à des événements plus large pouvant affecter des chromosomes entiers. Les petites variations sont généralement sans conséquence pour la cellule, toutefois certaines ont été impliquées dans la prédisposition à certaines maladies, et à des variations phénotypiques dans la population générale. Les réarrangements plus grands (par exemple, une copie additionnelle d'un chromosome appelée communément trisomie) ont des répercutions plus grave pour la santé, comme par exemple dans certains syndromes génomiques et dans le cancer. Les technologies à haut-débit telle les puces à ADN permettent la détection de CNVs à l'échelle du génome humain. La cartographie en 2006 des CNV du génome humain, a suscité un fort intérêt en génétique des populations et en génétique médicale. La détection de différences au sein et entre plusieurs populations est un élément clef pour élucider la contribution possible des CNVs dans les maladies. Toutefois l'analyse du génome reste une tâche difficile, la technologie évolue très rapidement créant de nouveaux besoins pour le développement d'outils, l'amélioration des précédents, et la comparaison des différentes méthodes. De plus, si le lien entre CNV et maladie a été établit, leur contribution précise n'est pas encore comprise. De même que les études sur la prédisposition aux maladies par des CNVs détectés dans la population générale n'ont pas encore été réalisées.Pendant mon doctorat, je me suis concentré sur trois axes principaux ayant attrait aux CNV. Dans le chapitre 3, je détaille mes travaux sur les méthodes d'analyses des puces à ADN. J'ai eu accès aux données du projet CoLaus, une étude de la population de Lausanne. Dans cette étude, le génome de plus de 6000 individus a été analysé avec des puces SNP et de nombreuses informations cliniques ont été récoltées. Pendant mes travaux, j'ai utilisé et comparé plusieurs méthodes de détection des CNVs. Les résultats n'étant pas complètement satisfaisant, j'ai implémenté ma propre méthode qui donne de meilleures performances que deux des trois autres méthodes utilisées. Je me suis aussi intéressé aux stratégies pour combiner les CNVs de différents individus en régions.Je me suis aussi intéressé à l'impact clinique des CNVs dans le cas des maladies génétiques communes (chapitre 4). Ce projet fut possible grâce à une étroite collaboration avec le Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois (CHUV) et l'Impérial College à Londres. Dans ce projet, j'ai été l'un des analystes principaux et j'ai travaillé sur l'impact clinique d'une délétion rare du chromosome 16p11 présente chez des patients atteints d'obésité. Dans cette collaboration multidisciplinaire, nous avons comparés 8'456 patients atteint d'obésité et 11 '856 individus de la population générale. Nous avons trouvés que la délétion était impliquée dans 0.7% des cas d'obésité morbide et était absente chez les contrôles sains (non-atteint d'obésité). Notre étude illustre l'importance des CNVs rares qui peuvent avoir un impact clinique très important. De plus, ceci permet d'envisager une alternative aux études d'associations pour améliorer notre compréhension de l'étiologie des maladies génétiques communes.Egalement, j'ai travaillé sur la détection d'altérations somatiques en nombres de copies (SCNA) et de leurs conséquences pour le cancer (chapitre 5). Ce projet fut une collaboration initiée par l'Institut Ludwig de Recherche contre le Cancer et impliquant l'Institut Suisse de Bioinformatique, le CHUV et les Universités de Lausanne et Genève. Je me suis concentré sur l'identification de gènes affectés par des SCNAs et avec une sur- ou sous-expression dans des lignées cellulaires dérivées de mélanomes métastatiques. Les données utilisées ont été générées par des puces ADN (CGH et SNP) et du séquençage à haut débit du transcriptome. Mes recherches ont montrées que peu de gènes sont récurrents entre les mélanomes, ce qui rend difficile l'interprétation des résultats. Pour contourner ces limitations, j'ai utilisé une analyse de réseaux pour définir si des réseaux de signalisations enrichis en gènes amplifiés ou perdus, étaient communs aux différents échantillons. En fait, parmi les 28 réseaux détectés, quatre réseaux sont potentiellement dérégulés chez six mélanomes, et six réseaux supplémentaires sont affectés chez cinq mélanomes. La validation de ces résultats avec deux larges jeux de données publiques, a confirmée tous ces réseaux sauf trois. Ceci démontre l'utilité de cette approche pour l'analyse de petits et de larges jeux de données.Résumé grand publicL'avènement de la biologie moléculaire, en particulier ces dix dernières années, a révolutionné la recherche en génétique médicale. Grâce à la disponibilité du génome humain de référence dès 2001, de nouvelles technologies telles que les puces à ADN sont apparues et ont permis d'étudier le génome dans son ensemble avec une résolution dite sous-microscopique jusque-là impossible par les techniques traditionnelles de cytogénétique. Un des exemples les plus importants est l'étude des variations structurales du génome, en particulier l'étude du nombre de copies des gènes. Il était établi dès 1959 avec l'identification de la trisomie 21 par le professeur Jérôme Lejeune que le gain d'un chromosome supplémentaire était à l'origine de syndrome génétique avec des répercussions graves pour la santé du patient. Ces observations ont également été réalisées en oncologie sur les cellules cancéreuses qui accumulent fréquemment des aberrations en nombre de copies (telles que la perte ou le gain d'un ou plusieurs chromosomes). Dès 2004, plusieurs groupes de recherches ont répertorié des changements en nombre de copies dans des individus provenant de la population générale (c'est-à-dire sans symptômes cliniques visibles). En 2006, le Dr. Richard Redon a établi la première carte de variation en nombre de copies dans la population générale. Ces découvertes ont démontrées que les variations dans le génome était fréquentes et que la plupart d'entre elles étaient bénignes, c'est-à-dire sans conséquence clinique pour la santé de l'individu. Ceci a suscité un très grand intérêt pour comprendre les variations naturelles entre individus mais aussi pour mieux appréhender la prédisposition génétique à certaines maladies.Lors de ma thèse, j'ai développé de nouveaux outils informatiques pour l'analyse de puces à ADN dans le but de cartographier ces variations à l'échelle génomique. J'ai utilisé ces outils pour établir les variations dans la population suisse et je me suis consacré par la suite à l'étude de facteurs pouvant expliquer la prédisposition aux maladies telles que l'obésité. Cette étude en collaboration avec le Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Vaudois a permis l'identification d'une délétion sur le chromosome 16 expliquant 0.7% des cas d'obésité morbide. Cette étude a plusieurs répercussions. Tout d'abord elle permet d'effectuer le diagnostique chez les enfants à naître afin de déterminer leur prédisposition à l'obésité. Ensuite ce locus implique une vingtaine de gènes. Ceci permet de formuler de nouvelles hypothèses de travail et d'orienter la recherche afin d'améliorer notre compréhension de la maladie et l'espoir de découvrir un nouveau traitement Enfin notre étude fournit une alternative aux études d'association génétique qui n'ont eu jusqu'à présent qu'un succès mitigé.Dans la dernière partie de ma thèse, je me suis intéressé à l'analyse des aberrations en nombre de copies dans le cancer. Mon choix s'est porté sur l'étude de mélanomes, impliqués dans le cancer de la peau. Le mélanome est une tumeur très agressive, elle est responsable de 80% des décès des cancers de la peau et est souvent résistante aux traitements utilisés en oncologie (chimiothérapie, radiothérapie). Dans le cadre d'une collaboration entre l'Institut Ludwig de Recherche contre le Cancer, l'Institut Suisse de Bioinformatique, le CHUV et les universités de Lausanne et Genève, nous avons séquencés l'exome (les gènes) et le transcriptome (l'expression des gènes) de sept mélanomes métastatiques, effectués des analyses du nombre de copies par des puces à ADN et des caryotypes. Mes travaux ont permis le développement de nouvelles méthodes d'analyses adaptées au cancer, d'établir la liste des réseaux de signalisation cellulaire affectés de façon récurrente chez le mélanome et d'identifier deux cibles thérapeutiques potentielles jusqu'alors ignorées dans les cancers de la peau.

Statistical significance of quantitative PCR.

BACKGROUND: PCR has the potential to detect and precisely quantify specific DNA sequences, but it is not yet often used as a fully quantitative method. A number of data collection and processing strategies have been described for the implementation of quantitative PCR. However, they can be experimentally cumbersome, their relative performances have not been evaluated systematically, and they often remain poorly validated statistically and/or experimentally. In this study, we evaluated the performance of known methods, and compared them with newly developed data processing strategies in terms of resolution, precision and robustness. RESULTS: Our results indicate that simple methods that do not rely on the estimation of the efficiency of the PCR amplification may provide reproducible and sensitive data, but that they do not quantify DNA with precision. Other evaluated methods based on sigmoidal or exponential curve fitting were generally of both poor resolution and precision. A statistical analysis of the parameters that influence efficiency indicated that it depends mostly on the selected amplicon and to a lesser extent on the particular biological sample analyzed. Thus, we devised various strategies based on individual or averaged efficiency values, which were used to assess the regulated expression of several genes in response to a growth factor. CONCLUSION: Overall, qPCR data analysis methods differ significantly in their performance, and this analysis identifies methods that provide DNA quantification estimates of high precision, robustness and reliability. These methods allow reliable estimations of relative expression ratio of two-fold or higher, and our analysis provides an estimation of the number of biological samples that have to be analyzed to achieve a given precision.

Statistical reference criteria for adaptive signal processing in digital communications

A general criterion for the design of adaptive systemsin digital communications called the statistical reference criterionis proposed. The criterion is based on imposition of the probabilitydensity function of the signal of interest at the outputof the adaptive system, with its application to the scenario ofhighly powerful interferers being the main focus of this paper.The knowledge of the pdf of the wanted signal is used as adiscriminator between signals so that interferers with differingdistributions are rejected by the algorithm. Its performance isstudied over a range of scenarios. Equations for gradient-basedcoefficient updates are derived, and the relationship with otherexisting algorithms like the minimum variance and the Wienercriterion are examined.

Average performance analysis of circular and hyperbolic geolocation

A comparative performance analysis of four geolocation methods in terms of their theoretical root mean square positioning errors is provided. Comparison is established in two different ways: strict and average. In the strict type, methods are examined for a particular geometric configuration of base stations(BSs) with respect to mobile position, which determines a givennoise profile affecting the respective time-of-arrival (TOA) or timedifference-of-arrival (TDOA) estimates. In the average type, methodsare evaluated in terms of the expected covariance matrix ofthe position error over an ensemble of random geometries, so thatcomparison is geometry independent. Exact semianalytical equationsand associated lower bounds (depending solely on the noiseprofile) are obtained for the average covariance matrix of the positionerror in terms of the so-called information matrix specific toeach geolocation method. Statistical channel models inferred fromfield trials are used to define realistic prior probabilities for therandom geometries. A final evaluation provides extensive resultsrelating the expected position error to channel model parametersand the number of base stations.

The role of causal links in performance measurement models

Abstract Purpose: Several well-known managerial accounting performance measurement models rely on causal assumptions. Whilst users of the models express satisfaction and link them with improved organizational performance, academic research, of the realworld applications, shows few reliable statistical associations. This paper provides a discussion on the"problematic" of causality in a performance measurement setting. Design/methodology/approach: This is a conceptual study based on an analysis and synthesis of the literature from managerial accounting, organizational theory, strategic management and social scientific causal modelling. Findings: The analysis indicates that dynamic, complex and uncertain environments may challenge any reliance upon valid causal models. Due to cognitive limitations and judgmental biases, managers may fail to trace correct cause-and-effect understanding of the value creation in their organizations. However, even lacking this validity, causal models can support strategic learning and perform as organizational guides if they are able to mobilize managerial action. Research limitations/implications: Future research should highlight the characteristics necessary for elaboration of convincing and appealing causal models and the social process of their construction. Practical implications: Managers of organizations using causal models should be clear on the purposes of their particular models and their limitations. In particular, difficulties are observed in specifying detailed cause and effect relations and their potential for communicating and directing attention. They should therefore construct their models to suit the particular purpose envisaged. Originality/value: This paper provides an interdisciplinary and holistic view on the issue of causality in managerial accounting models.

Compositional influence on the electrical performance of zinc indium tin oxide transparent thin-film transistors

In this work, zinc indium tin oxide layers with different compositions are used as the active layer of thin film transistors. This multicomponent transparent conductive oxide is gaining great interest due to its reduced content of the scarce indium element. Experimental data indicate that the incorporation of zinc promotes the creation of oxygen vacancies. In thin-film transistors this effect leads to a higher threshold voltage values. The field-effect mobility is also strongly degraded, probably due to coulomb scattering by ionized defects. A post deposition annealing in air reduces the density of oxygen vacancies and improves the fieldeffect mobility by orders of magnitude. Finally, the electrical characteristics of the fabricated thin-film transistors have been analyzed to estimate the density of states in the gap of the active layers. These measurements reveal a clear peak located at 0.3 eV from the conduction band edge that could be attributed to oxygen vacancies.

Purchasing Process Performance Definition and Improvement in the Mechanical Wood Industry

Tämän tutkimuksen ensisijaisena tavoitteena oli määrittää Schauman Wood Oy:n ostoprosessin suorituskyvyn nykytila yrityksen Suomen yksiköissä. Nykytila-arviointi suoritettiin uusien ja käytössä olevien mittaustulosten avulla. Tutkimuksessa verrattiin kymmenen tuotantolaitoksen ostoprosesseja keskenään. Keskeinen tutkimusongelma oli ostoprosessin suorituseroja aikaansaavien tekijöiden selvittäminen eri yksiköissä. Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli saavuttaa yhtenäisemmät toimintatavat yrityksessä sekä laajentaa konsernin osto-organisaation hyödyntämistä hankintatoimessa. Tavoitteena oli ostoprosessin virtaviivaistaminen ja tehokkaamman seurantajärjestelmän kehittäminen. Ostotoimintojen suorituskyvyn jatkuva parantaminen perustuu osittain uusien mittareiden avulla saatavaan informaatioon ja täsmällisempään seurantaan. Sisäistä benchmarkingia käytettiin työkaluna suorituskyky-eroavaisuuksien määrittelyssä. Tietoa erilaisista toimintatavoista kerättiin haastattelemalla yrityksen ostajia ja tehdaspalvelupäälliköitä eri tehdaspaikkakunnilla. Sisäisen benchmarkingin avulla määriteltiin toimintatapa eroavaisuudet sekä kehitettiin seurantakortti, jossa jokaista yksikköä verrataan parhaaseen ja eniten kehittyneeseen yksikköön. Työn tuloksina muodostui ehdotuksia ostotoiminnon uusiksi mittareiksi. Uudet mittarit ovat tehokkuusmittareita, jotka kuvaavat resurssien käytön tehokkuutta sekä auttavat seuraamaan ostoprosessin tilaa entistä paremmin. Uusien mittareiden tavoitteena on myös vähentää mittareiden manipulaatiomahdollisuutta. Työn ulkopuolelle rajattiin informaatioteknologiajärjestelmien tietotekninen osuus. Eräs yrityksen tuotantolaitoksista rajattiin myös työn ulkopuolelle, koska sen ostoprosessit ovat huomattavasti kehittymättömämpiä kuin Schauman Woodin muiden tehtaiden ostoprosessit. Kyseisen yksikön kehittämisen tulee lähteä aivan ruohonjuuritasolta. Tutkimuksen teoriaosuus on kerätty alan ammattikirjallisuudesta ja tutkimuksen aihetta käsittelevistä uudehkoista tieteellisistä alan artikkeleista. Teorian tarkoituksena on tukea empiiristä osuutta sekä antaa lukijalle uusia näkemyksiä ostotoiminnan monista mahdollisuuksista. Tutkimuksen tuloksia ovat nykytila-analyysi, ehdotukset uusista ostotoiminnan mittareista sekä ehdotus MRO-tuotteiden ulkoistamiskokeilusta. Yrityksen ostotoiminnan tulisi kehittyä operatiivisesta tasosta kohti strategisempaa oston tasoa. Johdon sitoutuminen hankintatoimen kehityshankkeisiin on erityisen tärkeää, lisäksi hankintatoimi tulisi nähdä strategisempana osa-alueena yrityksessä. Hankintatoimen kehittämisen avulla yrityksen kustannustehokkuutta voidaan lisätä merkittävästi.

Regression-based techniques for statistical decision making in single-case designs

The present study evaluates the performance of four methods for estimating regression coefficients used to make statistical decisions regarding intervention effectiveness in single-case designs. Ordinary least squares estimation is compared to two correction techniques dealing with general trend and one eliminating autocorrelation whenever it is present. Type I error rates and statistical power are studied for experimental conditions defined by the presence or absence of treatment effect (change in level or in slope), general trend, and serial dependence. The results show that empirical Type I error rates do not approximate the nominal ones in presence of autocorrelation or general trend when ordinary and generalized least squares are applied. The techniques controlling trend show lower false alarm rates, but prove to be insufficiently sensitive to existing treatment effects. Consequently, the use of the statistical significance of the regression coefficients for detecting treatment effects is not recommended for short data series.

Evaluating the Performance of a Regional-Scale Photochemical Modelling System: Part I Ozone Predictions

We present a detailed evaluation of the seasonal performance of the Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modelling system and the PSU/NCAR meteorological model coupled to a new Numerical Emission Model for Air Quality (MNEQA). The combined system simulates air quality at a fine resolution (3 km as horizontal resolution and 1 h as temporal resolution) in north-eastern Spain, where problems of ozone pollution are frequent. An extensive database compiled over two periods, from May to September 2009 and 2010, is used to evaluate meteorological simulations and chemical outputs. Our results indicate that the model accurately reproduces hourly and 1-h and 8-h maximum ozone surface concentrations measured at the air quality stations, as statistical values fall within the EPA and EU recommendations. However, to further improve forecast accuracy, three simple bias-adjustment techniques mean subtraction (MS), ratio adjustment (RA), and hybrid forecast (HF) based on 10 days of available comparisons are applied. The results show that the MS technique performed better than RA or HF, although all the bias-adjustment techniques significantly reduce the systematic errors in ozone forecasts.

The long run impact of mergers and acquisitions on performance – empirical study in the pulp and paper industry

Mergers and acquisitions (M&A) have played very important role in restructuring the pulp and paper industry (PPI). The poor performance and fragmented nature of the industry, overcapacity problems, and globalisation have driven companies to consolidate. The objective of this thesis was to examine how PPI acquirers’ have performed subsequent M&As and whether the deal characteristics have had any impact on performance. Based on the results it seems that PPI companies have not been able to enhance their performance in the long run after M&As although the per-formance of acquiring firms has remained above the industry median, and deal characteristics or the amount of premiums paid do not seem to have had any effect. The statistical significance of the results was tested with change model and regression analysis. Performance was assessed with accrual, cash flow, and market based indicators. Results are congruent with behavioural theory: managers and investors seem to be overoptimistic in determining the synergies from M&As.

Impact of a cis-associated gene expression SNP on chromosome 20q11.22 on bipolar disorder susceptibility, hippocampal structure and cognitive performance.

BackgroundBipolar disorder is a highly heritable polygenic disorder. Recent enrichment analyses suggest that there may be true risk variants for bipolar disorder in the expression quantitative trait loci (eQTL) in the brain.AimsWe sought to assess the impact of eQTL variants on bipolar disorder risk by combining data from both bipolar disorder genome-wide association studies (GWAS) and brain eQTL.MethodTo detect single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that influence expression levels of genes associated with bipolar disorder, we jointly analysed data from a bipolar disorder GWAS (7481 cases and 9250 controls) and a genome-wide brain (cortical) eQTL (193 healthy controls) using a Bayesian statistical method, with independent follow-up replications. The identified risk SNP was then further tested for association with hippocampal volume (n = 5775) and cognitive performance (n = 342) among healthy individuals.ResultsIntegrative analysis revealed a significant association between a brain eQTL rs6088662 on chromosome 20q11.22 and bipolar disorder (log Bayes factor = 5.48; bipolar disorder P = 5.85×10(-5)). Follow-up studies across multiple independent samples confirmed the association of the risk SNP (rs6088662) with gene expression and bipolar disorder susceptibility (P = 3.54×10(-8)). Further exploratory analysis revealed that rs6088662 is also associated with hippocampal volume and cognitive performance in healthy individuals.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that 20q11.22 is likely a risk region for bipolar disorder; they also highlight the informative value of integrating functional annotation of genetic variants for gene expression in advancing our understanding of the biological basis underlying complex disorders, such as bipolar disorder.

Market orientation and performance in entrepreneurial SMEs

Market orientation is the organizational culture that creates the necessary behaviors for continuous additional value for customers and thus continuous superior performance for the business. The field of market orientation has been studied repeatedly during the past two decades. Yet research has concentrated on large firms in large domestic markets creating a need for diversifying research. The master’s thesis at hand examined the general incidence of market orientation among SMEs from five different industries as well as its consequences on SME performance. The empirical part of the thesis was conducted with a web-based survey that resulted in 255 responses. The data of the survey was analyzed by statistical analysis. The incidence of market orientation varied among dimensions and market orientation did not show any direct effect on firm performance. Customer orientation was the only dimension that showed a direct (positive) effect. On the contrary, moderating effects were found which indicate that the effect of market orientation in SMEs is influenced by other factors that should receive further attention. Also industry specific differences were discovered and should be further examined.