871 resultados para Dependent Failures, Interactive Failures, Interactive Coefficients, Reliability, Complex System
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RESUMO - A segurança dos doentes é, actualmente, um princípio fundamental dos cuidados de saúde. Apesar desta realidade, cada ponto no processo de prestação de cuidados contém um certo grau de insegurança inerente. Os eventos adversos podem resultar de problemas na prática, produtos, processos ou sistemas. A melhoria da segurança do doente implica um esforço de todo um sistema complexo, envolvendo uma ampla gama de acções de melhoria do desempenho, segurança e gestão ambiental de risco, incluindo, entre outras prioridades, a prática de cuidados de saúde em ambiente seguro e com a melhor qualidade. É sabido que todos os anos morrem nos hospitais portugueses, cerca de três mil pessoas, devido a erros cometidos pelos profissionais de saúde. Compreender o erro humano e intervir de forma adequada nas suas causas, implica, muito mais que uma avaliação do facto em si, mas uma avaliação de toda a estrutura onde é passível de ocorrer um erro. São inúmeros os factores que estão relacionados com esta temática, sendo os factores humanos, aqueles que poderão merecer alguma reflexão, pois são ainda algo omitidos nas orientações de gestão e nas considerações de chefias. Assim sendo, pretende-se que, com este projecto de investigação, através de uma revisão da literatura, sejam identificados os vários factores humanos que influenciam o desempenho dos profissionais de saúde, envolvidos na prestação directa de cuidados. Estes factores reflectem-se na segurança dos cuidados de saúde e na melhoria da qualidade prestados nas instituições de saúde. Face aos resultados conclusivos após a revisão de literatura, é verificado que os factores humanos que influenciam o desempenho dos profissionais de saúde são: comunicação e partilha de informação; conhecimento e formação; liderança; trabalho em equipa; cultura de segurança e aprendizagem; carga de trabalho; exigências físicas e ambiente de trabalho. É esperado que o contributo deste trabalho promova o conhecimento em torno desta temática e que se apresente como o início de uma aposta na valorização, cada vez mais importante, mas ainda limitada, destes valores intangíveis da gestão – os factores humanos. ----------------------------------- ABSTRACT - Patient safety is, nowadays, a fundamental principle of health care. Despite this fact, each point in the process of care contains an inherent degree of uncertainty. Adverse events may result from problems in practice, products, processes or systems. Improving patient safety requires an effort of a whole complex system, involving a wide range of measures to improve performance, safety and environmental risk management, including, among other priorities, the practice of health care in a safe environment and the best quality. It is known that every year die, in Portuguese hospitals, around three thousand people, due to mistakes made by health professionals. To understand human error and intervene as appropriate in their causes, it is required much more than an assessment of the fact itself, but an assessment of the whole structure where it is likely to occur. There are countless factors that are related to this issue, but human factors, those who may deserve some consideration, are still left out in management guidelines and supervisors considerations. Therefore, this research project seeks to determine, through a literature review, the identification of various human factors that influence the performance of healthcare providers involved in direct provision of care. The aim is also to know which factors are reflected in safety healthcare and how they are, in fact, crucial in the performance of professionals and in the promotion of quality and safety of the healthcare provided in healthcare institutions. Given the conclusive results after a review of literature, it is found that the human factors that influence the performance of health professionals are: communicating and sharing information, knowledge and training, leadership, teamwork, safety culture and learning; workload, physical demands and work environment. It is expected that this project may contribute to advance of the knowledge regarding this problem and be an essential tool to the beginning of a reliance on the development, increasingly important but still limited, of these intangibles management values – the human factors.
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In this paper we analyze the behavior of tornado time-series in the U.S. from the perspective of dynamical systems. A tornado is a violently rotating column of air extending from a cumulonimbus cloud down to the ground. Such phenomena reveal features that are well described by power law functions and unveil characteristics found in systems with long range memory effects. Tornado time series are viewed as the output of a complex system and are interpreted as a manifestation of its dynamics. Tornadoes are modeled as sequences of Dirac impulses with amplitude proportional to the events size. First, a collection of time series involving 64 years is analyzed in the frequency domain by means of the Fourier transform. The amplitude spectra are approximated by power law functions and their parameters are read as an underlying signature of the system dynamics. Second, it is adopted the concept of circular time and the collective behavior of tornadoes analyzed. Clustering techniques are then adopted to identify and visualize the emerging patterns.
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This paper studies forest fires from the perspective of dynamical systems. Burnt area, precipitation and atmospheric temperatures are interpreted as state variables of a complex system and the correlations between them are investigated by means of different mathematical tools. First, we use mutual information to reveal potential relationships in the data. Second, we adopt the state space portrait to characterize the system’s behavior. Third, we compare the annual state space curves and we apply clustering and visualization tools to unveil long-range patterns. We use forest fire data for Portugal, covering the years 1980–2003. The territory is divided into two regions (North and South), characterized by different climates and vegetation. The adopted methodology represents a new viewpoint in the context of forest fires, shedding light on a complex phenomenon that needs to be better understood in order to mitigate its devastating consequences, at both economical and environmental levels.
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Atmospheric temperatures characterize Earth as a slow dynamics spatiotemporal system, revealing long-memory and complex behavior. Temperature time series of 54 worldwide geographic locations are considered as representative of the Earth weather dynamics. These data are then interpreted as the time evolution of a set of state space variables describing a complex system. The data are analyzed by means of multidimensional scaling (MDS), and the fractional state space portrait (fSSP). A centennial perspective covering the period from 1910 to 2012 allows MDS to identify similarities among different Earth’s locations. The multivariate mutual information is proposed to determine the “optimal” order of the time derivative for the fSSP representation. The fSSP emerges as a valuable alternative for visualizing system dynamics.
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A adoção da metodologia BIM (Building Information Modeling) é vista como um processo transformador que engloba as empresas e os seus projetos e, em última instância, toda a Indústria da Construção Civil. Devido ao facto de que o BIM é um complexo sistema cuja implementação tem impactos sociais, técnicos e metodológicos, este tema há já alguns anos que tem sido alvo de pesquisas com o objetivo primordial de difundir as práticas associadas ao BIM nas empresas, nos seus projetos, e na indústria. Um pouco por todo mundo, várias iniciativas de entidades públicas e privadas, governamentais e não-governamentais, têm produzido guias, normas, manuais e outros documentos que funcionam como um motor propulsor da implementação BIM. O presente trabalho contém a proposta de um Guia de Implementação da Metodologia BIM, desenvolvido no contexto do um estágio curricular levado a cabo na empresa Building Information Modeling & Management Solutions (BIMMS) e que resultou do estudo e adaptação de alguns dos mais conceituados guias, normas e manuais BIM existentes e em vigor noutros países. Este documento de caráter técnico e prático foi concebido para servir o propósito de auxiliar gabinetes de Engenharia, Arquitetura, e empresas de Construção na integração do BIM na sua atividade e foi elaborado com o intuito de poder ser divulgado e utilizado como referência a nível nacional.
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The main objective of this thesis is to study the developing fields of aquaponics and its potential for aquaculture wastewater treatment and human urine treatment. Aquaponics is a food production system which combines fish farming (aquaculture) with soilless crop farming (hydroponics). In this thesis the concept of aquaponics and the underlying processes are explained. Research on aquaculture wastewater and human urine wastewater is reviewed and its potential application with aquaponic systems is studied. An overview of the different types of aquaponic systems and current research on the field is also presented. A case study was conducted in a farm in Askeröd, Sweden, which involved building two aquaponic systems (System 1 and System 2) and a human urine-based aquaponic system (System 3), with different degrees of component complexity and sizes. The design, building and monitoring of System 1, System 2 and System 3 was documented and described in detail. Four day experiments were conducted which tested the evolution in concentration of Total Ammonia Nitrogen (NH4+/NH3), Nitrite (NO2-), Nitrate (NO3-), Phosphate (PO43-), and Dissolved Oxygen (O2) after an initial nutrient input. The goal was to assess the concentrations of these parameters after four days and compare them with relevant literature examples in the aquaculture industry and in source-separated urine research. Neither of the two aquaponic systems (System 1 and System 2) displayed all of the parameter concentrations in the last day of testing below reference values found in literature. The best performing of the aquaponic systems was the more complex system (System 2) combining the hydroponic Nutrient Film Technique with a Deep Water Culture component, with a Total Ammonia Nitrogen concentration of 0,20 mg/L, a Nitrite concentration of 0,05 mg/L, a Nitrate concentration of 1,00-5,00 mg/L, a Phosphate concentration of <0,02 mg/L and a Dissolved Oxygen concentration of 8,00 mg/L. The human urine-based aquaponic system (System 3) underperformed in achieving the reference concentration values in literature for most parameters. The removal percentage between the higher recorded values after the input addition and the final day of testing was calculated for two literature examples of separated urine treatment and System 3. The system had a removal percentage of 75% for Total Ammonia Nitrogen, 98% for Nitrite, 25% for Nitrate and 50% for Phosphate. These percentages still underperformed literature examples in most of the tested parameters. The results gathered allowed to conclude that while aquaculture wastewater treatment and human urine treatment is possible with aquaponics systems, overall these did not perform as well as some examples found in recirculating aquaculture systems and source-separated urine treatment literature. However, better measuring techniques, longer testing periods and more research is recommended in this field in order to draw an improved representative conclusion.
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In seeking to advance the possibility of justice, gender and postcolonial studies have argued for the importance of the study of masculinities, through the acknowledgment that a richer understanding of such gendered formations may provide the basis for recognition of the Other and that, left uncriticised, such formations may be continuously delineated by the reproduction of systems of domination. The current study finds as its object the representations of masculinities in J. M. Coetzee’s Boyhood (1997), Youth (2002) and Summertime (2009). As works of transition in terms of Coetzee’s oeuvre - post-apartheid and post-Disgrace - the trilogy provides an account of the development of a man through several stages of life. While portraying the tensions of different geographical and cultural locations, such as apartheid South Africa and the London of the Sixties, the trilogy articulates the various norms that impact in the formation of gender, particularly of masculinities, through a complex system of power relations. The adherence to such norms is never linear, as the trilogy provides imaginative accounts of the contradictions that assist in the formulation of gender, depicting both the allure and the terror that constitute hegemonic masculinity. Located in the intersection of gender and postcolonial studies, the present study is based on the works by Raewyn Connell on masculinities. Animated by such a critical framework, the main research question of the present study is whether the trilogy advances a notion of masculinity that differs from the traditional rigid model, that is, whether there is resistance to hegemonic masculinity and what the spaces inhabited by the subaltern are. It is suggested that the trilogy presents the reader with instances of resistance to normative formulations of masculinity, by contrasting domination with the possibility of justice, and advancing an understanding of the often fatal consequences of gender norms to one’s sense of being in the world.
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Dissertação de mestrado em Educação Especial (área de especialização em Intervenção Precoce)
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Tese de Doutoramento em Ciências da Educação (Especialidade em Desenvolvimento Curricular)
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A spreadsheet usually starts as a simple and singleuser software artifact, but, as frequent as in other software systems, quickly evolves into a complex system developed by many actors. Often, different users work on different aspects of the same spreadsheet: while a secretary may be only involved in adding plain data to the spreadsheet, an accountant may define new business rules, while an engineer may need to adapt the spreadsheet content so it can be used by other software systems.Unfortunately,spreadsheetsystemsdonotoffermodular mechanisms, and as a consequence, some of the previous tasks may be defined by adding intrusive “code” to the spreadsheet. In this paper we go through the design and implementation of an aspect-oriented language for spreadsheets so that users can work on different aspects of a spreadsheet in a modular way. For example, aspects can be defined in order to introduce new business rules to an existing spreadsheet, or to manipulate the spreadsheet data to be ported to another system. Aspects are defined as aspect-oriented program specifications that are dynamically woven into the underlying spreadsheet by an aspect weaver. In this aspect-oriented style of spreadsheet development, differentusers develop,orreuse,aspects withoutaddingintrusive code to the original spreadsheet. Such code is added/executed by the spreadsheet weaving mechanism proposed in this paper.
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The main argument developed here is the proposal of the concept of “Social Multi-Criteria Evaluation” (SMCE) as a possible useful framework for the application of social choice to the difficult policy problems of our Millennium, where, as stated by Funtowicz and Ravetz, “facts are uncertain, values in dispute, stakes high and decisions urgent”. This paper starts from the following main questions: 1. Why “Social” Multi-criteria Evaluation? 2. How such an approach should be developed? The foundations of SMCE are set up by referring to concepts coming from complex system theory and philosophy, such as reflexive complexity, post-normal science and incommensurability. To give some operational guidelines on the application of SMCE basic questions to be answered are: 1. How is it possible to deal with technical incommensurability? 2. How can we deal with the issue of social incommensurability? To answer these questions, by using theoretical considerations and lessons learned from realworld case studies, is the main objective of the present article.
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Unraveling the effect of selection vs. drift on the evolution of quantitative traits is commonly achieved by one of two methods. Either one contrasts population differentiation estimates for genetic markers and quantitative traits (the Q(st)-F(st) contrast) or multivariate methods are used to study the covariance between sets of traits. In particular, many studies have focused on the genetic variance-covariance matrix (the G matrix). However, both drift and selection can cause changes in G. To understand their joint effects, we recently combined the two methods into a single test (accompanying article by Martin et al.), which we apply here to a network of 16 natural populations of the freshwater snail Galba truncatula. Using this new neutrality test, extended to hierarchical population structures, we studied the multivariate equivalent of the Q(st)-F(st) contrast for several life-history traits of G. truncatula. We found strong evidence of selection acting on multivariate phenotypes. Selection was homogeneous among populations within each habitat and heterogeneous between habitats. We found that the G matrices were relatively stable within each habitat, with proportionality between the among-populations (D) and the within-populations (G) covariance matrices. The effect of habitat heterogeneity is to break this proportionality because of selection for habitat-dependent optima. Individual-based simulations mimicking our empirical system confirmed that these patterns are expected under the selective regime inferred. We show that homogenizing selection can mimic some effect of drift on the G matrix (G and D almost proportional), but that incorporating information from molecular markers (multivariate Q(st)-F(st)) allows disentangling the two effects.
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In this paper I review a series of theoretical concepts that are relevant for the integrated assessment of agricultural sustainability but that are not generally included in the curriculum of the various scientific disciplines dealing with quantitative analysis of agriculture. I first illustrate with plain narratives and concrete examples that sustainability is an extremely complex issue requiring the simultaneous consideration of several aspects, which cannot be reduced into a single indicator of performance. Following, I justify this obvious need for multi-criteria analysis with theoretical concepts dealing with the epistemological predicament of complexity, starting from classic philosophical lessons to arrive to recent developments in complex system theory, in particular Rosen´s theory of modelling relation which is essential to analyze the quality of any quantitative representation. The implications of these theoretical concepts are then illustrated with applications of multi-criteria analysis to the sustainability of agriculture. I wrap up by pointing out the crucial difference between "integrated assessment" and "integrated analysis". An integrated analysis is a set of indicators and analytical models generating an analytical output. An integrated assessment is much more than that. It is about finding an effective way to deal with three key issues: (i) legitimacy – how to handle the unavoidable existence of legitimate but contrasting points of view about different meanings given by social actors to the word "development"; (ii) pertinence – how to handle in a coherent way scientific analyses referring to different scales and dimensions; and (iii) credibility – how to handle the unavoidable existence of uncertainty and genuine ignorance, when dealing with the analysis of future scenarios.
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Los servicios de salud son sistemas muy complejos, pero de alta importancia, especialmente en algunos momentos críticos, en todo el mundo. Los departamentos de urgencias pueden ser una de las áreas más dinámicas y cambiables de todos los servicios de salud y a la vez más vulnerables a dichos cambios. La mejora de esos departamentos se puede considerar uno de los grandes retos que tiene cualquier administrador de un hospital, y la simulación provee una manera de examinar este sistema tan complejo sin poner en peligro los pacientes que son atendidos. El objetivo de este trabajo ha sido el modelado de un departamento de urgencias y el desarrollo de un simulador que implementa este modelo con la finalidad de explorar el comportamiento y las características de dicho servicio de urgencias. El uso del simulador ofrece la posibilidad de visualizar el comportamiento del modelo con diferentes parámetros y servirá como núcleo de un sistema de ayuda a la toma de decisiones que pueda ser usado en departamentos de urgencias. El modelo se ha desarrollado con técnicas de modelado basado en agentes (ABM) que permiten crear modelos funcionalmente más próximos a la realidad que los modelos de colas o de dinámicas de sistemas, al permitir la inclusión de la singularidad que implica el modelado a nivel de las personas. Los agentes del modelo presentado, descritos internamente como máquinas de estados, representan a todo el personal del departamento de urgencias y los pacientes que usan este servicio. Un análisis del modelo a través de su implementación en el simulador muestra que el sistema se comporta de manera semejante a un departamento de urgencias real.
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This article describes the composition of fingermark residue as being a complex system with numerous compounds coming from different sources and evolving over time from the initial composition (corresponding to the composition right after deposition) to the aged composition (corresponding to the evolution of the initial composition over time). This complex system will additionally vary due to effects of numerous influence factors grouped in five different classes: the donor characteristics, the deposition conditions, the substrate nature, the environmental conditions and the applied enhancement techniques. The initial and aged compositions as well as the influence factors are thus considered in this article to provide a qualitative and quantitative review of all compounds identified in fingermark residue up to now. The analytical techniques used to obtain these data are also enumerated. This review highlights the fact that despite the numerous analytical processes that have already been proposed and tested to elucidate fingermark composition, advanced knowledge is still missing. Thus, there is a real need to conduct future research on the composition of fingermark residue, focusing particularly on quantitative measurements, aging kinetics and effects of influence factors. The results of future research are particularly important for advances in fingermark enhancement and dating technique developments.