967 resultados para Discrete Conditional Phase-type model


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We investigate in this note the dynamics of a one-dimensional Keller-Segel type model on the half-line. On the contrary to the classical configuration, the chemical production term is located on the boundary. We prove, under suitable assumptions, the following dichotomy which is reminiscent of the two-dimensional Keller-Segel system. Solutions are global if the mass is below the critical mass, they blow-up in finite time above the critical mass, and they converge to some equilibrium at the critical mass. Entropy techniques are presented which aim at providing quantitative convergence results for the subcritical case. This note is completed with a brief introduction to a more realistic model (still one-dimensional).

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Contact surveillance is an important strategy to ensure effective early diagnosis and control of leprosy; passive detection may not be as efficient because it is directly tied to the ready availability of heath care services and health education campaigns. The aim of this study was to reinforce that contact surveillance is the most effective strategy for the control of leprosy. The analysed data were obtained from a cohort of contacts and cases diagnosed through a national referral service for leprosy. We analysed data from patients diagnosed between 1987-2010 at the Souza Araújo Ambulatory in Rio de Janeiro. Epidemiological characteristics of leprosy cases diagnosed through contact surveillance and characteristics of passively detected index cases were compared using a conditional logistic regression model. Cases diagnosed by contact surveillance were found earlier in the progression of the disease, resulting in less severe clinical presentations, lower levels of initial and final disability grades, lower initial and final bacterial indices and a lower prevalence of disease reaction. In this respect, contact surveillance proved to be an effective tertiary prevention strategy, indicating that active surveillance is especially important in areas of high endemicity, such as Brazil.

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One of the tantalising remaining problems in compositional data analysis lies in how to deal with data sets in which there are components which are essential zeros. By anessential zero we mean a component which is truly zero, not something recorded as zero simply because the experimental design or the measuring instrument has not been sufficiently sensitive to detect a trace of the part. Such essential zeros occur inmany compositional situations, such as household budget patterns, time budgets,palaeontological zonation studies, ecological abundance studies. Devices such as nonzero replacement and amalgamation are almost invariably ad hoc and unsuccessful insuch situations. From consideration of such examples it seems sensible to build up amodel in two stages, the first determining where the zeros will occur and the secondhow the unit available is distributed among the non-zero parts. In this paper we suggest two such models, an independent binomial conditional logistic normal model and a hierarchical dependent binomial conditional logistic normal model. The compositional data in such modelling consist of an incidence matrix and a conditional compositional matrix. Interesting statistical problems arise, such as the question of estimability of parameters, the nature of the computational process for the estimation of both the incidence and compositional parameters caused by the complexity of the subcompositional structure, the formation of meaningful hypotheses, and the devising of suitable testing methodology within a lattice of such essential zero-compositional hypotheses. The methodology is illustrated by application to both simulated and real compositional data

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A mechanism of extraction of tubular membranes from a lipid vesicle is presented. A concentration gradient of anchoring amphiphilic polymers generates tubes from budlike vesicle protrusions. We explain this mechanism in the framework of the Canham-Helfrich model. The energy profile is analytically calculated and a tube with a fixed length, corresponding to an energy minimum, is obtained in a certain regime of parameters. Further, using a phase-field model, we corroborate these results numerically. We obtain the growth of tubes when a polymer source is added, and the budlike shape after removal of the polymer source, in accordance with recent experimental results.

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We study a low-amplitude, long-wavelength lateral instability of the Saffman-Taylor finger by means of a phase-field model. We observe such an instability in two situations in which small dynamic perturbations are overimposed to a constant pressure drop. We first study the case in which the perturbation consists of a single oscillatory mode and then a case in which the perturbation consists of temporal noise. In both cases the instability undergoes a process of selection.

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compatible with the usual nonlocal model governed by surface tension that results from a macroscopic description. To explore this discrepancy, we exhaustively analyze numerical integrations of a phase-field model with dichotomic columnar disorder. We find that two distinct behaviors are possible depending on the capillary contrast between the two values of disorder. In a high-contrast case, where interface evolution is mainly dominated by the disorder, an inherent anomalous scaling is always observed. Moreover, in agreement with experimental work, the interface motion has to be described through a local model. On the other hand, in a lower-contrast case, the interface is dominated by interfacial tension and can be well modeled by a nonlocal model. We have studied both spontaneous and forced-flow imbibition situations, giving a complete set of scaling exponents in each case, as well as a comparison to the experimental results.

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Remarkable differences in the shape of the nematic-smectic-B interface in a quasi-two-dimensional geometry have been experimentally observed in three liquid crystals of very similar molecular structure, i.e., neighboring members of a homologous series. In the thermal equilibrium of the two mesophases a faceted rectanglelike shape was observed with considerably different shape anisotropies for the three homologs. Various morphologies such as dendritic, dendriticlike, and faceted shapes of the rapidly growing smectic-B germ were also observed for the three substances. Experimental results were compared with computer simulations based on the phase field model. The pattern forming behavior of a binary mixture of two homologs was also studied.

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This article studies alterations in the values, attitudes, and behaviors that emerged among U.S. citizens as a consequence of, and as a response to, the attacks of September 11, 2001. The study briefly examines the immediate reaction to the attack, before focusing on the collective reactions that characterized the behavior of the majority of the population between the events of 9/11 and the response to it in the form of intervention in Afghanistan. In studying this period an eight-phase sequential model (Botcharova, 2001) is used, where the initial phases center on the nation as the ingroup and the latter focus on the enemy who carried out the attack as the outgroup. The study is conducted from a psychosocial perspective and uses "social identity theory" (Tajfel & Turner, 1979, 1986) as the basic framework for interpreting and accounting for the collective reactions recorded. The main purpose of this paper is to show that the interpretation of these collective reactions is consistent with the postulates of social identity theory. The application of this theory provides a different and specific analysis of events. The study is based on data obtained from a variety of rigorous academic studies and opinion polls conducted in relation to the events of 9/11. In line with social identity theory, 9/11 had a marked impact on the importance attached by the majority of U.S. citizens to their identity as members of a nation. This in turn accentuated group differentiation and activated ingroup favoritism and outgroup discrimination (Tajfel & Turner, 1979, 1986). Ingroup favoritism strengthened group cohesion, feelings of solidarity, and identification with the most emblematic values of the U.S. nation, while outgroup discrimination induced U.S. citizens to conceive the enemy (al-Qaeda and its protectors) as the incarnation of evil, depersonalizing the group and venting their anger on it, and to give their backing to a military response, the eventual intervention in Afghanistan. Finally, and also in line with the postulates of social identity theory, as an alternative to the virtual bipolarization of the conflict (U.S. vs al-Qaeda), the activation of a higher level of identity in the ingroup is proposed, a group that includes the United States and the largest possible number of countries¿ including Islamic states¿in the search for a common, more legitimate and effective solution.

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This article studies alterations in the values, attitudes, and behaviors that emerged among U.S. citizens as a consequence of, and as a response to, the attacks of September 11, 2001. The study briefly examines the immediate reaction to the attack, before focusing on the collective reactions that characterized the behavior of the majority of the population between the events of 9/11 and the response to it in the form of intervention in Afghanistan. In studying this period an eight-phase sequential model (Botcharova, 2001) is used, where the initial phases center on the nation as the ingroup and the latter focus on the enemy who carried out the attack as the outgroup. The study is conducted from a psychosocial perspective and uses "social identity theory" (Tajfel & Turner, 1979, 1986) as the basic framework for interpreting and accounting for the collective reactions recorded. The main purpose of this paper is to show that the interpretation of these collective reactions is consistent with the postulates of social identity theory. The application of this theory provides a different and specific analysis of events. The study is based on data obtained from a variety of rigorous academic studies and opinion polls conducted in relation to the events of 9/11. In line with social identity theory, 9/11 had a marked impact on the importance attached by the majority of U.S. citizens to their identity as members of a nation. This in turn accentuated group differentiation and activated ingroup favoritism and outgroup discrimination (Tajfel & Turner, 1979, 1986). Ingroup favoritism strengthened group cohesion, feelings of solidarity, and identification with the most emblematic values of the U.S. nation, while outgroup discrimination induced U.S. citizens to conceive the enemy (al-Qaeda and its protectors) as the incarnation of evil, depersonalizing the group and venting their anger on it, and to give their backing to a military response, the eventual intervention in Afghanistan. Finally, and also in line with the postulates of social identity theory, as an alternative to the virtual bipolarization of the conflict (U.S. vs al-Qaeda), the activation of a higher level of identity in the ingroup is proposed, a group that includes the United States and the largest possible number of countries¿ including Islamic states¿in the search for a common, more legitimate and effective solution.

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We have studied sidebranching induced by fluctuations in dendritic growth. The amplitude of sidebranching induced by internal (equilibrium) concentration fluctuations in the case of solidification with solutal diffusion is computed. This amplitude turns out to be significantly smaller than values reported in previous experiments. The effects of other possible sources of fluctuations (of an external origin) are examined by introducing nonconserved noise in a phase-field model. This reproduces the characteristics of sidebranching found in experiments. Results also show that sidebranching induced by external noise is qualitatively similar to that of internal noise, and it is only distinguished by its amplitude.

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Työssä tarkastellaan, miten Nord Poolin spot-sähkömarkkinoiden systeemihinnan volatiliteetti on kehittynyt kyseisten markkinoiden kehittyessä ja onko volatiliteetin dynamiikkaa mahdollista mallintaa. Systeemihinta toimii referenssihintana sekä itse sähköpörssissä että pörssin ulkopuolella tapahtuvassa johdannaiskaupankäynnissä. Teoriaosassa luodaan katsaus Nord Pool -markkinoiden toimintaan ja systeemihinnan muodostumisen periaatteisiin. Lisäksi tutustutaan sähkön hinta-aikasarjoille tyypillisiin piirteisiin. Volatiliteetin mallinnus tapahtuu autoregressiivistä konditionaalista heteroskedastista (ARCH) mallia sekä sen laajennuksia hyödyntäen. Työn johtopäätöksinä todetaan, että sähkömarkkinoiden volatiliteettia mallinnettaessa tulisi ottaa huomioon hinnan muutosten asymmetrinen vaikutus volatiliteettiin ja volatiliteetin kausittainen vaihtelu. Lisäksi todettiin, etteivätparametrien kertoimet ole vakioita pitkällä aikavälillä tarkasteltaessa volatiliteetin ARCH-mallinnuksessa.

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Tämä työ käsittelee tuotekehitysprojektia, jonka tarkoituksena on suunnitella uusi nelitietyöntömastotrukki asiakaslähtöisesti QFD-laatutyökalua hyväksi käyttäen. Työ esittelee QFD-laatutyökalun, sekä varsinkin sen nelivaiheisen ASI:n toimintamallin. Työ antaa myös perusvalmiudet ASI:n toimintamallin käyttöön tuotekehitysprojektissa. Työssä keskitytään tarkastelemaan uuden ohjausjärjestelmän mekaanista kehittelyä. Suunnittelutyössä käytetään hyväksi ASI:n (American Supplier Institute) nelivaiheista QFD-laatutyökalua, joka on autoteollisuuden toimintatapoihin perustuva QFD-tekniikka. QFD tulee sanoista Quality Funcktion Deployment ja vapaasti suomennettuna se merkitsee asiakaslähtöinen tuotesuunnittelu. Nelivaiheinen QFD-malli koostuu seuraavista matriiseista: 1. Tuotteen suunnittelu, 2. osien suunnittelu ja kehittäminen, 3. prosessin suunnittelu sekä 4. tuotannon suunnittelu. Matriisin tulokset muodostavat aina seuraavan matriisin lähtökohdat. Ensimmäisen matriisin lähtökohdat muodostuvat asiakastarvekuvauksesta, joka saadaan haastatteluista, tutkimuksista yms. Tuotekehitysprojektissa kehitetty TEM-monitietrukki, jossa rajattomasti ympäripyöriviä tukipyöriä ohjataan CAN-väylän kautta älykkäällä ohjauslogiikalla, on markkinoilla erittäin kilpailukykyinen sekä ominaisuuksiensa että hintansa puolesta. QFD yhdessä huolellisesti analysoidun asiakastarvekuvauksen kanssa selkeyttää ja priorisoi tuotteen spesifikaation määrittelyä sekä ohjaa tuotteen kehittelyä ja tuotannollistamista. Tuotekehitysprojekti pysyy aikataulussaan ja tuotannollistamisen kynnyksellä tehtävät muutokset vähenevät selkeän jäsentelyn ansiosta.

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Muokatun matriisi-geometrian tekniikan kehitys yleimmäksi jonoksi on esitelty tässä työssä. Jonotus systeemi koostuu useista jonoista joilla on rajatut kapasiteetit. Tässä työssä on myös tutkittu PH-tyypin jakautumista kun ne jaetaan. Rakenne joka vastaa lopullista Markovin ketjua jossa on itsenäisiä matriiseja joilla on QBD rakenne. Myös eräitä rajallisia olotiloja on käsitelty tässä työssä. Sen esitteleminen matriisi-geometrisessä muodossa, muokkaamalla matriisi-geometristä ratkaisua on tämän opinnäytetyön tulos.

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Tämän työn tavoitteena oli kehittää monitehdasympäristöön siirtyneen pk-yrityksen tuotannon tuotetiedonhallintaa. Hajautettu tuotanto ja verkostoituminen oli luonut uusia haasteita ja vaatimuksia tuotetiedonhallinnalle. Teoriaosassa selvitettiin mitä tuotannon tuotetiedoilla tarkoitetaan, mitä osa-alueita on hallittava sekä miten niitä voitaisiin hallita kansainvälisesti verkostoituneen yrityksen näkökulmasta. Näiden lisäksi kartoitettiin ja vertailtiin erilaisia kehittämisvaihtoehtoja. Teorioista luotiin itsearviointityökalu kohdeyrityksen tuotannon tuotetiedon nykytilan kuvausta ja –analyysia varten. Löydetyt kehittämistarpeet priorisoitiin ja valituille kehityskohteille pohdittiin ratkaisuehdotuksia kaksivaiheisen kehittämismallin mukaisesti.

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The theoretical aspects of Voltammetry of Immobilized Microparticles (VIM) were discussed. The immobilization of microparticles on electrode surface, the electrode cleaning processes and the electrode materials were analyzed. The three-phase electrode model and the possible reactions between the immobilized particle and the electrolytic solution were discussed. In addition, this work discusses some selected applications of VIM published in the last years.