Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era

Climate model projections suggestwidespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other “Old World” climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete estimates of natural hydroclimatic variability, we have developed the “Old World Drought Atlas” (OWDA), a set of year-to-year maps of tree-ring reconstructed summer wetness and dryness over Europe and the Mediterranean Basin during the Common Era.
The OWDA matches historical accounts of severe drought and wetness with a spatial completeness not previously available. In addition, megadroughts reconstructed over north-central Europe in the 11th and mid-15th centuries
reinforce other evidence from North America and Asia that droughts were more severe, extensive, and prolonged over Northern Hemisphere land areas before the 20th century, with an inadequate understanding of their causes. The OWDA provides new data to determine the causes of Old World drought and wetness and attribute past climate variability to forced and/or internal variability.

SN 2009ip at late times - an interacting transient at+2 years

We present photometric and spectroscopic observations of the interacting transient SN 2009ip taken during the 2013 and 2014 observing seasons. We characterize the photometric evolution as a steady and smooth decline in all bands, with a decline rate that is slower than expected for a solely Co-56-powered supernova at late phases. No further outbursts or eruptions were seen over a two year period from 2012 December until 2014 December. SN 2009ip remains brighter than its historic minimum from pre-discovery images. Spectroscopically, SN 2009ip continues to be dominated by strong, narrow (less than or similar to 2000 km s(-1)) emission lines of H, He, Ca, and Fe. While we make tenuous detections of [Fe II] lambda 7155 and [O I] lambda lambda 6300, 6364 lines at the end of 2013 June and the start of 2013 October, respectively, we see no strong broad nebular emission lines that could point to a core-collapse origin. In general, the lines appear relatively symmetric, with the exception of our final spectrum in 2014 May, when we observe the appearance of a redshifted shoulder of emission at +550 km s(-1). The lines are not blueshifted, and we see no significant near-or mid-infrared excess. From the spectroscopic and photometric evolution of SN 2009ip until 820 d after the start of the 2012a event, we still see no conclusive evidence for core-collapse, although whether any such signs could be masked by ongoing interaction is unclear.

Improving appropriate polypharmacy for older people in primary care: selecting components of an evidence-based intervention to target prescribing and dispensing.

Background
The use of multiple medicines (polypharmacy) is increasingly common in older people. Ensuring that patients receive the most appropriate combinations of medications (appropriate polypharmacy) is a significant challenge. The quality of evidence to support the effectiveness of interventions to improve appropriate polypharmacy is low. Systematic identification of mediators of behaviour change, using the Theoretical Domains Framework (TDF), provides a theoretically robust evidence base to inform intervention design. This study aimed to (1) identify key theoretical domains that were perceived to influence the prescribing and dispensing of appropriate polypharmacy to older patients by general practitioners (GPs) and community pharmacists, and (2) map domains to associated behaviour change techniques (BCTs) to include as components of an intervention to improve appropriate polypharmacy in older people in primary care.

Methods
Semi-structured interviews were conducted with members of each healthcare professional (HCP) group using tailored topic guides based on TDF version 1 (12 domains). Questions covering each domain explored HCPs’ perceptions of barriers and facilitators to ensuring the prescribing and dispensing of appropriate polypharmacy to older people. Interviews were audio-recorded and transcribed verbatim. Data analysis involved the framework method and content analysis. Key domains were identified and mapped to BCTs based on established methods and discussion within the research team.

Results
Thirty HCPs were interviewed (15 GPs, 15 pharmacists). Eight key domains were identified, perceived to influence prescribing and dispensing of appropriate polypharmacy: ‘Skills’, ‘Beliefs about capabilities’, ‘Beliefs about consequences’, ‘Environmental context and resources’, ‘Memory, attention and decision processes’, ‘Social/professional role and identity’, ‘Social influences’ and ‘Behavioural regulation’. Following mapping, four BCTs were selected for inclusion in an intervention for GPs or pharmacists: ‘Action planning’, ‘Prompts/cues’, ‘Modelling or demonstrating of behaviour’ and ‘Salience of consequences’. An additional BCT (‘Social support or encouragement’) was selected for inclusion in a community pharmacy-based intervention in order to address barriers relating to interprofessional working that were encountered by pharmacists.

Conclusions
Selected BCTs will be operationalised in a theory-based intervention to improve appropriate polypharmacy for older people, to be delivered in GP practice and community pharmacy settings. Future research will involve development and feasibility testing of this intervention.

Northern Ireland: Religion and Transitional Justice

The right to practice religion is recognised as one of the universal liberties transitional justice interventions are designed to defend, and religion is often mentioned as one of the cultural factors that impact on local transitional justice practices from below. Many human rights cases of abuse, however, are motivated by religious extremism and the association of religion with conflict has largely a discouraged reflection on its positive contribution to transitional justice. This field is undeveloped and the little work that elaborates its positive role is descriptive. This paper theorises the relationship between religion and transitional justice and develops a model for understanding its potential role that better allows an assessment of its strengths and weaknesses. The model is applied to original research conducted on ex-combatants in Northern Ireland, and concludes that only in very limited circumstances can religious actors make a telling contribution to transitional justice.Understanding what these circumstances are is the purpose of the model developed here.

PatchCity: Procedural City Generation using Texture Synthesis

PatchCity is a new approach to the procedural generation of city models. The algorithm uses texture synthesis to create a city layout in the visual style of one or more input examples. Data is provided in vector graphic form from either real or synthetic city definitions. The paper describes the PatchCity algorithm, illustrates its use, and identifies its strengths and limitations. The technique provides a greater range of features and styles of city layout than existing generative methods, thereby achieving results that are more realistic. An open source implementation of the algorithm is available.

Automating fault tolerance in high-performance computational biological jobs using multi-agent approaches

Background: Large-scale biological jobs on high-performance computing systems require manual intervention if one or more computing cores on which they execute fail. This places not only a cost on the maintenance of the job, but also a cost on the time taken for reinstating the job and the risk of losing data and execution accomplished by the job before it failed. Approaches which can proactively detect computing core failures and take action to relocate the computing core's job onto reliable cores can make a significant step towards automating fault tolerance. Method: This paper describes an experimental investigation into the use of multi-agent approaches for fault tolerance. Two approaches are studied, the first at the job level and the second at the core level. The approaches are investigated for single core failure scenarios that can occur in the execution of parallel reduction algorithms on computer clusters. A third approach is proposed that incorporates multi-agent technology both at the job and core level. Experiments are pursued in the context of genome searching, a popular computational biology application. Result: The key conclusion is that the approaches proposed are feasible for automating fault tolerance in high-performance computing systems with minimal human intervention. In a typical experiment in which the fault tolerance is studied, centralised and decentralised checkpointing approaches on an average add 90% to the actual time for executing the job. On the other hand, in the same experiment the multi-agent approaches add only 10% to the overall execution time

Predictive Value of Depressive Symptoms for All-Cause Mortality: Findings From the PRIME Belfast Study Examining the Role of Inflammation and Cardiovascular Risk Markers

OBJECTIVES: To improve understanding about the potential underlying biological mechanisms in the link between depression and all-cause mortality and to investigate the role that inflammatory and other cardiovascular risk factors may play in the relationship between depressive symptoms and mortality.

METHODS: Depression and blood-based biological markers were assessed in the Belfast PRIME prospective cohort study (N = 2389 men, aged 50-59 years) in which participants were followed up for 18 years. Depression was measured using the 10-item Welsh Pure Depression Inventory. Inflammation markers (C-reactive protein [CRP], neopterin, interleukin [IL]-1 receptor antagonist [IL-1Ra], and IL-18) and cardiovascular-specific risk factors (N-terminal pro-b-type natriuretic peptide, midregion pro-atrial natriuretic peptide, midregion pro-adrenomedullin, C-terminal pro-endothelin-1 [CT-proET]) were obtained at baseline. We used Cox proportional hazards modeling to examine the association between depression and biological measures in relation to all-cause mortality and explore the mediating effects.

RESULTS: During follow-up, 418 participants died. Higher levels of depressive symptoms were associated with higher levels of CRP, IL-1Ra, and CT-proET. After adjustment for socioeconomic and life-style risk factors, depressive symptoms were significantly associated with all-cause mortality (hazard ratio = 1.10 per scale unit, 95% confidence interval = 1.04-1.16). This association was partly explained by CRP (7.3%) suggesting a minimal mediation effect. IL-1Ra, N-terminal pro-b-type natriuretic peptide, midregion pro-atrial natriuretic peptide, midregion pro-adrenomedullin, and CT-proET contributed marginally to the association between depression and subsequent mortality.

CONCLUSIONS: Inflammatory and cardiovascular risk markers are associated with depression and with increased mortality. However, depression and biological measures show additive effects rather than a pattern of meditation of biological factors in the association between depression and mortality.

Investigation into DCT Feature Selection for Visual Lip-Based Biometric Authentication

This paper investigated using lip movements as a behavioural biometric for person authentication. The system was trained, evaluated and tested using the XM2VTS dataset, following the Lausanne Protocol configuration II. Features were selected from the DCT coefficients of the greyscale lip image. This paper investigated the number of DCT coefficients selected, the selection process, and static and dynamic feature combinations. Using a Gaussian Mixture Model - Universal Background Model framework an Equal Error Rate of 2.20% was achieved during evaluation and on an unseen test set a False Acceptance Rate of 1.7% and False Rejection Rate of 3.0% was achieved. This compares favourably with face authentication results on the same dataset whilst not being susceptible to spoofing attacks.

Caseinolytic activity in gingival crevicular fluid from periodontitis patients

Introduction: Protease activity is essential for the progression of periodontal disease and several studies have shown that gingival crevicular fluid (GCF) proteases are associated with the attachment loss and bone destruction associated with periodontial disease. In addition to measuring protease levels using ELISA, it is also important to consider enzyme activity which can be measured using appropriate substrates. Aim: The aim of this work was to measure the proteolyitc activity in gingival crevicular fluid (GCF) from periodontitis patients using zymography and a fluorogenic protease substrate. Materials and Methods: Twenty four GCF samples were collected from patients with established periodontitis who had not received any periodontal treatment in the previous six months. A strip of perio-paper was inserted into the gingival crevice until light resistance was felt. After 30 seconds the perio-paper was removed and placed into 500 ul ice cold 0.01M sodium phosphate buffer, pH 7.2, containing 0.15M sodium chloride, vortex mixed for 30 seconds and stored at -80°C until required. GCF samples (10 ul) were electrophoresed on 4-16% Blue casein zymogram gels at 125V constant voltage for 90 min. Following electrophoresis the gel was washed in renaturation buffer for 30 min and then placed in developing buffer overnight. Areas of protease activity appeared as clear bands against a blue background. The total caseinolytic activity of each GCF sample was measured using a fluorescent assay with resorufin-labelled casein as the substrate. Results: The results showed that both casein zymography and fluorogenic assay methods were suitable for analysing caseinolytic activity in GCF samples from periodontitis patients. Caseinolytic activity was variable in the periodontitis samples studied and may reflect the episodic nature of the disease. Conclusion: Casein zymography and fluorogenic assay methods may be useful in future attempts to measure active episodes of periodontal disease.

Host Defence Peptide LL-37; Effects of truncation on antimicrobial activity

Background: The oral cavity is an ideal environment for colonisation by micro-organisms. A first line of defence against microbial infection is the secretion of broad spectrum host defence peptides (HDPs). In the current climate of antibiotic resistance, exploiting naturally occurring HDPs or synthetic derivatives (mimetics) to combat infection is particularly appealing. The human cathelicidin, LL-37 is one such HDP expressed ubiquitously by epithelial cells and neutrophils. LL-37 exhibits the ability to bind lipopolysaccharide (LPS) and displays broad spectrum activity against a wide range of bacteria. The current study focuses on truncation of LL-37 and defining the antimicrobial and LPS binding activity of the resultant mimetics. Objectives: To assess the antimicrobial and LPS binding activity of LL-37 and three truncated mimetics (KE-18, EF-14 and KR-12). Methods: Peptides were synthesised in-house by Fmoc solid phase peptide synthesis or obtained commercially. Antimicrobial activity was determined using a radial diffusion assay and ability to bind LPS was determined by indirect ELISA. Results: LL-37 and mimetics displayed antimicrobial activity against Streptococcus mutans and Enterococcus Faecalis. KE-18 and KR-12 were shown to possess antimicrobial activity against both pathogens whereas EF-14 was the least antimicrobial. In terms of LPS binding, KE-18 and KR-12 were both effective whereas EF-14 showed the least activity of the three mimetics. Conclusion: Truncation of LL-37 can yield peptides which retain antimicrobial activities and have the ability to bind LPS. Interestingly in some cases the truncation of LL-37 produced mimetics with greater potency than the parent molecule in terms of antimicrobial activity and LPS binding. This work was funded by DEL and the Diabetes Wellness Foundation.

TRP channel expression in human gingival fibroblasts

Background: The transient receptor potential (TRP) super family of ion channels is believed to play a critical role in sensory physiology, acting as transducers for thermal, mechanical and chemical stimuli. Our understanding of the role of TRP channel expression in gingival fibroblasts is currently limited. The role of non-neuronal TRP channel expression is an area of much research interest particularly since TRP channel activation has recently been hypothesised to be associated with inflammation. Objectives: The present study was designed to determine the expression of TRPV1, TRPV2, TRPV3 and TRPV4 on human gingival fibroblasts. Methods: Human gingival fibroblasts were derived by explant culture from surgical tissue following ethical approval. Cells were maintained in Dulbecco's modified Eagle's medium (DMEM), containing 10% fetal calf serum (FCS) in 5% CO2. Cell lysates of gingival fibroblasts were electrophoresed and blotted on to nitrocellulose before probing with specific anti-TRP antibodies. Immunoreactive bands were detected using anti-species antibodies and chemiluminescent detection. Results: Gingival fibroblasts were shown to express proteins corresponding to the TRPV1, TRPV2, TRPV3 and TRPV4 channels as determined by western blotting. Conclusion: This study reports for the first time the expression of TRPV1, TRPV2, TRPV3 and TRPV4 by gingival fibroblasts. Knowledge of the expression of TRP channels by human gingival fibroblasts will guide future research on the roles of TRP channels in sensing the external environment in the oral cavity.

TNF-α Sensitizes Mechanoreceptors in Human Odontoblasts

Background: Mechanotransduction in the dental pulp is mediated by mechano-sensitive trigeminal afferents but accumulating evidence suggests odontoblasts also contribute to mechano-sensory functions of the pulp as evidenced by expression of TRP channels, calcium-activated potassium channels and TREK-1 potassium channels. Activation of these mechano-sensitive channels is considered critical for the mechanotransduction of fluid movement within dentinal tubules into electrical signals transmitted by the pulpal afferents to elicit tooth sensitivity and pain. Since tooth pain and sensitivity are potentiated by inflammation we hypothesise that the inflammatory cytokine TNF-α sensitizes odontoblast responses to mechanical stimuli. Objective: To investigate the effect of TNF-α on the response of odontblast-like cells to mechanical stimuli. Method: Odontoblast-like cells were derived from dental pulp cells of immature third molars as previously described (El-karim et al 20112011 Pain, 152, 2211-2223). Odontoblast response to mechanical stimuli (application of hypotonic solution) was determined using ratiometric calcium imaging. Cells were treated with TNF-α for either 24hrs or short application for 10 mins prior to calcium imaging. Result: Odontoblast-like cells responded to hypotonic solution (230 mOSM) by increase in cytoplasmic Ca2+ concentration [Ca+2]i that was reduced to near base line in the presence of the TRPV4 antagonist RN-1734. Incubation of odontoblast -like cells with TNFα for 24 hrs resulted in a significant increase in cytoplasmic Ca2+ concentration in response to hypotonic stimuli compared to untreated cells. Similar results were obtained when cells were treated with TNF-α for 10 mins prior to imaging. Conclusion: Both short and long term treatment of odontoblasts-like cells with TNF-α resulted in enhanced responses to mechanical stimuli mediated via TRPV4 channel suggesting a role for this channel in inflammatory dental pain.