Assigning and combining probabilities in single-case studies

There is currently a considerable diversity of quantitative measures available for summarizing the results in single-case studies. Given that the interpretation of some of them is difficult due to the lack of established benchmarks, the current paper proposes an approach for obtaining further numerical evidence on the importance of the results, complementing the substantive criteria, visual analysis, and primary summary measures. This additional evidence consists of obtaining the statistical significance of the outcome when referred to the corresponding sampling distribution. This sampling distribution is formed by the values of the outcomes (expressed as data nonoverlap, R-squared, etc.) in case the intervention is ineffective. The approach proposed here is intended to offer the outcome"s probability of being as extreme when there is no treatment effect without the need for some assumptions that cannot be checked with guarantees. Following this approach, researchers would compare their outcomes to reference values rather than constructing the sampling distributions themselves. The integration of single-case studies is problematic, when different metrics are used across primary studies and not all raw data are available. Via the approach for assigning p values it is possible to combine the results of similar studies regardless of the primary effect size indicator. The alternatives for combining probabilities are discussed in the context of single-case studies pointing out two potentially useful methods one based on a weighted average and the other on the binomial test.

Endovascular treatment of symptomatic intracranial arterial stenosis: six-year experience in a single-center series of 42 consecutive patients with acute and mid-term results.

BACKGROUND: The limitations of the medical management of symptomatic intracranial arterial stenosis encourage the development of new therapeutic strategies such as intracranial stenting. OBJECTIVE: To report and analyze the results of a series of 42 patients treated with 3 different endovascular techniques: isolated angioplasty, balloon-expandable coronary stents, and the Wingspan self-expandable intracranial stent system. METHODS: Forty-two patients presenting with symptomatic intracranial arterial stenosis were treated with one of these techniques. Computed tomography angiography was performed 6 months after the procedure, and the clinical neurological statuses were categorized using the modified Rankin Scale and the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale. RESULTS: A total of 42 lesions were treated: 9 with isolated angioplasty, 14 with balloon-expandable coronary stents, and 19 with Wingspan self-expandable intracranial stents. The mean patient age was 62.9 years, and the mean arterial diameter stenosis was 73.9%. Technical success was achieved in 97.6% of the patients. The overall incidence of procedural complications was 21.4%, and the postoperative permanent morbidity/mortality rate was 7.1%. There were 3 cases of in-stent thrombosis (1 fatal) and 5 cases of asymptomatic restenosis (11.9%), 3 in the isolated angioplasty group and 2 in the Wingspan self-expandable intracranial stent group (mean follow-up 20.4 months). The rate of restenosis was higher in the angioplasty group (33%) than in the coronary (0%) and Wingspan stent (10.5%) groups. CONCLUSION: Endovascular treatment of symptomatic intracranial stenosis has significant overall morbidity and mortality rates. Nevertheless, the very critical natural history of severe refractory lesions and the relatively favorable postoperative evolution suggest that it should be considered the first alternative strategy in cases in which medical therapy has failed.

Pientalon asiakaskeskeisenLVI-teknisen laatusuunnittelujärjestelmän kehittäminen

Tämä opinnäytetyö on tehty SkinnAir Oy:lle, ja se käsittelee pientalojen LVI-teknistä suunnittelua pienen suunnitteluyrityksen näkökulmasta. Nykyinen kiivas rakentamistyyli, kasvaneet asumisviihtyvyydenvaatimukset, asennusammattilaisten puute sekä jatkuvasti kohoavat vaatimukset rakennusten energiatehokkuuden parantamiseksi vaativat yhä parempia ja laadukkaampia suunnitelmia pientalojen LVI-teknisten ratkaisujen toteuttamiseksi. Suunnittelusta saatavan heikon tuottavuuden johdosta monet suunnittelutoimistot eivät ole kiinnostuneita pientalojen LVI-suunnittelusta. Tässä työssä pyritään etsimään niitä menetelmiä, joilla erityisesti pieni suunnitteluyritys kykenee parantamaankannattavuuttaan ja nostamaan palvelun laatua kyseisellä suunnittelun osa-alueella. Työ on toteutettu perehtymällä yksityiskohtaisesti suunnitteluprosessin eri vaiheisiin sekä analysoimalla näistä vaiheista saadut tulokset Työssä tunnistetaan erilaiset asiakastyypit sekä heidän tarpeensa. Asiakastarpeiden perusteellasaadaan määritettyä oikeat lähtötiedot kohteen LVI-suunnittelua varten. Työn keskeinen osa on suunnitteluprosessin etenemisen sekä suunnittelutyöhön kuuluvien tehtävien tarkastelu. Tämän tarkastelun avulla pyritään löytämään keinot, joillakyetään tehostamaan suunnitteluprosessin eri vaiheisiin liittyviä toimintoja, parantamaan palvelun laatua sekä lisäksi minimoimaan suunnitteluprosessin aikaisia kustannuksia yrityksen kannattavuuden parantamiseksi. LVI-suunnittelutyön eteneminen painottuu asiakas- ja lähtötietojen keräämiseen sekä eri välivaiheiden hyväksyttämiseen tilaajalla. Suunnittelutyöhön vaikuttavat tekijät saadaan selville jatkuvassa, ennalta hyvin aikataulutetussa asiakaskontaktissa. Asiakkaan huomioiminen suunnitteluprosessin eri vaiheissa parantaa kokonaisvaltaista asiakaspalvelua. Näin asiakkaan saama vastine rahoilleen kasvaa. Suunnittelijan kannalta turhat muutostyöt vähenevät, koska asiakas on selvillä suunnittelutyön etenemisestä. Johtopäätöksenä voidaan todeta, että hyvän suunnitteluprosessin edellytyksenä on yksityiskohtaisten lähdetietojen käyttö. Työn tuloksena ilmeni, että valmiiden, ennalta hyvin laadittujen lomakkeiden käyttäminen parantaa selkeästi suunnittelutyön tehokkuutta. Lopputuloksena syntyi jatkokehittelyä vaativa lomakepohja asiakastarpeisiin perustuvalle lähtötietolomakkeelle. Lisäksi yrityksen käyttöön on tarkoitus laatia tarvittavat tietokannat sekä valmiit asennuspiirrokset. Lopullinen tavoite on rakentaa tässä työssä kuvatuista menetelmistä kattava tietotekninen järjestelmä parantamaan sekä yrityksen kannattavuutta että suunnittelutyön laatua. Lisäksi voidaan todeta, että rakennettava järjestelmä mahdollistaa myös vaativan suunnittelutyön tuotteistamisen.

Use of constant denaturant capillary electrophoresis of pooled blood samples to identify single-nucleotide polymorphisms in the genes (Scnn1a and Scnn1b) encoding the alpha and beta subunits of the epithelial sodium channel.

BACKGROUND: The epithelial sodium channel (ENaC) is composed of three homologous subunits: alpha, beta, and gamma. Mutations in the Scnn1b and Scnn1g genes, which encode the beta and the gamma subunits of ENaC, cause a severe form of hypertension (Liddle syndrome). The contribution of genetic variants within the Scnn1a gene, which codes for the alpha subunit, has not been investigated. METHODS: We screened for mutations in the COOH termini of the alpha and beta subunits of ENaC. Blood from 184 individuals from 31 families participating in a study on the genetics of hypertension were analyzed. Exons 13 of Scnn1a and Scnn1b, which encode the second transmembrane segment and the COOH termini of alpha- and beta-ENaC, respectively, were amplified from pooled DNA samples of members of each family by PCR. Constant denaturant capillary electrophoresis (CDCE) was used to detect mutations in PCR products of the pooled DNA samples. RESULTS: The detection limit of CDCE for ENaC variants was 1%, indicating that all members of any family or up to 100 individuals can be analyzed in one CDCE run. CDCE profiles of the COOH terminus of alpha-ENaC in pooled family members showed that the 31 families belonged to four groups and identified families with genetic variants. Using this approach, we analyzed 31 rather than 184 samples. Individual CDCE analysis of members from families with different pooled CDCE profiles revealed five genotypes containing 1853G-->T and 1987A-->G polymorphisms. The presence of the mutations was confirmed by DNA sequencing. For the COOH terminus of beta-ENaC, only one family showed a different CDCE profile. Two members of this family (n = 5) were heterozygous at 1781C-->T (T594M). CONCLUSION: CDCE rapidly detects point mutations in these candidate disease genes.

Safety of intramuscular influenza vaccine in patients receiving oral anticoagulation therapy: a single blinded multi-centre randomized controlled clinical trial

Influenza vaccines are recommended for administration by the intramuscular route. However, many physicians use the subcutaneous route for patients receiving an oral anticoagulant because this route is thought to induce fewer hemorrhagic side effects. Our aim is to assess the safety of intramuscular administration of influenza vaccine in patients on oral anticoagulation therapy. Methods: Design: Randomised, controlled, single blinded, multi-centre clinical trial. Setting: 4 primary care practices in Barcelona, Spain. Participants: 229 patients on oral anticoagulation therapy eligible for influenza vaccine during the 20032004 season. Interventions: intramuscular administration of influença vaccine in the experimental group (129 patients) compared to subcutaneous administration in the control group (100 patients). Primary outcome: change in the circumference of the arm at the site of injection at 24 hours. Secondary outcomes: appearance of local reactions and pain at 24 hours and at 10 days; change in INR (International Normalized Ratio) at 24 hours and at 10 days. Analysis was by intention to treat using the 95% confidence intervals of the proportions or mean differences. Results: Baseline variables in the two groups were similar. No major side effects or major haemorrhage during the follow-up period were reported. No significant differences were observed in the primary outcome between the two groups. The appearance of local adverse reactions was more frequent in the subcutaneous administration group (37,4% vs. 17,4%, 95% confidence interval of the difference 8,2% to 31,8%). Conclusion: This study shows that the intramuscular administration route of influenza vaccine in patients on anticoagulant therapy does not have more side effects than the subcutaneous administration route

Effect of hip flexion angle on hamstring optimum length after a single set of concentric contractions.

The eccentric contraction mode was proposed to be the primary stimulus for optimum angle (angle at which peak torque occurs) shift. However, the training range of motion (or muscle excursion range) could be a stimulus as important. The aim of this study was to assess the influence of the training range of motion stimulus on the hamstring optimum length. It was hypothesised that performing a single set of concentric contractions beyond optimal length (seated at 80° of hip flexion) would lead to an immediate shift of the optimum angle to longer muscle length while performing it below (supine at 0° of hip flexion) would not provide any shift. Eleven male participants were assessed on an isokinetic dynamometer. In both positions, the test consisted of 30 consecutive knee flexions at 4.19 rad · s⁻¹. The optimum angle was significantly shifted by ∼15° in the direction of longer muscle length after the contractions at 80° of hip flexion, while a non-significant shift of 3° was found at 0°. The hamstring fatigability was not influenced by the hip position. It was concluded that the training range of motion seems to be a relevant stimulus for shifting the optimum angle to longer muscle length. Moreover, fatigue appears as a mechanism partly responsible for the observed shift.

Hiilidioksidipäästöjen päästöoikeuksien markkinat ja niillä toimiminen

Pro gradu -tutkielmassa johtoajatuksena oli pohtia hiilidioksidin päästöoikeuden markkinahinnan muodostumista ja hinnanmuutoksen vaikutuksia yksittäisen päästökaupassa mukana olevan toiminnanharjoittajan tilinpäätökseen. Työssä tarkasteltiin Euroopan unionin ensimmäisen päästökauppakauden 2005-2007 päästöoikeusmarkkinoiden muodostumista olemassa olevien ja olleiden järjestelmien perusteella. Tutkielman kokeellisessa osuudessa tavoite oli selvittää päästökauppatoimijalle taloudellisesti edullisin toimintamalli muodostumassa olevilleEuroopan unionin päästöoikeusmarkkinoille. Esimerkkiyritys toimi päästöoikeuksien ostajana markkinoilla. Toimintamallien testaus suoritettiin laskuesimerkein, joissa lähtöarvoina olivat toimijalle ilmaiseksi annetut päästöoikeudet, päästökauppa-kaudella laaditut tilinpäätökset sekä toimijan vuotuiset ennustetut päästöt. Laskelmissa oletettiin päästöoikeusmarkkinoiden olevan täydelliset. Hintataso-tarkastelu suoritettiin kahdella hintatasomallilla, joiden herkkyysanalyysissä vuoden 2007 hintataso toteutui päinvastoin kuin mallissa oletettiin. Laskelmissamielenkiinnon kohteina olivat päästökaupan vaikutukset tiettyihin taseen ja tuloslaskelman eriin, kun päästöoikeuksia joudutaan ostamaan markkinoilta oikeuksien hinnan vaihdellessa. Kun päästöoikeuksien hinta muuttuu, ceteris paribus, päästöoikeuksien arvo taseessa muuttuu: oikeuksien uudelleenarvotus tilinpäätöspäivänä joko lisää tai vähentää tilikauden tulosta. Koska tilikauden voitto on taseen vastattavaa puolen omaa pääomaa, vaikuttaa voiton muutos myös taseen loppusummaan. Päästökauppa vähentää varoja yrityksen kassasta, kun yritys on ostajan asemassa päästöoikeusmarkkinoilla.

The role of auditory cortices in the retrieval of single-trial auditory-visual object memories.

Single-trial encounters with multisensory stimuli affect both memory performance and early-latency brain responses to visual stimuli. Whether and how auditory cortices support memory processes based on single-trial multisensory learning is unknown and may differ qualitatively and quantitatively from comparable processes within visual cortices due to purported differences in memory capacities across the senses. We recorded event-related potentials (ERPs) as healthy adults (n = 18) performed a continuous recognition task in the auditory modality, discriminating initial (new) from repeated (old) sounds of environmental objects. Initial presentations were either unisensory or multisensory; the latter entailed synchronous presentation of a semantically congruent or a meaningless image. Repeated presentations were exclusively auditory, thus differing only according to the context in which the sound was initially encountered. Discrimination abilities (indexed by d') were increased for repeated sounds that were initially encountered with a semantically congruent image versus sounds initially encountered with either a meaningless or no image. Analyses of ERPs within an electrical neuroimaging framework revealed that early stages of auditory processing of repeated sounds were affected by prior single-trial multisensory contexts. These effects followed from significantly reduced activity within a distributed network, including the right superior temporal cortex, suggesting an inverse relationship between brain activity and behavioural outcome on this task. The present findings demonstrate how auditory cortices contribute to long-term effects of multisensory experiences on auditory object discrimination. We propose a new framework for the efficacy of multisensory processes to impact both current multisensory stimulus processing and unisensory discrimination abilities later in time.

Euroopan yhteisen maksualueen (Single European payment area) vaikutukset maksuliikenteen tehokkuuteen case: Metso Oyj

Työn tavoitteena oli tutkia Euroopan yhteisen maksualueen (Single European Payment Area, SEPA) kehitystä ja selvittää mitä hyötyä siitä on Metso-konsernin maksuliikenteelle. Teoreettisessa osassa tarkastellaan mistä tehokas maksuliikenne koostuu ja esitetään SEPA:n kehitys peilaamalla sitä Berger et al.:n (1996) teoriasta muodostettuihin implikaatioihin. Empiirinen osuus sisältää kuvailevan Case-tutkimuksen, joka toteutettiin teemahaastatteluilla. Sitä täydennettiin kvantitatiivisella tilisiirtokustannusaineistolla (Metso-konserni). Tulosten mukaan SEPA-kehitys on sekä positiivista että negatiivista: 1) Jos kaikki maksuliikenteen osapuolet kokevat saavansa hyötyä uudistuksista, toteutuu sosiaalinen tehokkuus, jolloin kehitys nopeutuu ja kustannukset laskevat. Tämä on nähtävissä Metso-konsernin tilisiirtokustannusten kehityksestä. 2) SEPA lisää pankkien kustannuksia. 3) Järjestelmien kehitys vähentää maksuliikenneriskiä 4) Maksualuekehitys on vaarassa hidastua, jos alhaiseksi koetun riskin ehkäisemisestäei haluta maksaa.

A microarray-based system for the simultaneous analysis of single nucleotide polymorphisms in human genes involved in the metabolism of anti-malarial drugs

Background: In order to provide a cost-effective tool to analyse pharmacogenetic markers in malaria treatment, DNA microarray technology was compared with sequencing of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) fragments to detect single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in a larger number of samples. Methods: The microarray was developed to affordably generate SNP data of genes encoding the human cytochrome P450 enzyme family (CYP) and N-acetyltransferase-2 (NAT2) involved in antimalarial drug metabolisms and with known polymorphisms, i.e. CYP2A6, CYP2B6, CYP2C8, CYP2C9, CYP2C19, CYP2D6, CYP3A4, CYP3A5, and NAT2. Results: For some SNPs, i.e. CYP2A6*2, CYP2B6*5, CYP2C8*3, CYP2C9*3/*5, CYP2C19*3, CYP2D6*4 and NAT2*6/*7/*14, agreement between both techniques ranged from substantial to almost perfect (kappa index between 0.61 and 1.00), whilst for other SNPs a large variability from slight to substantial agreement (kappa index between 0.39 and 1.00) was found, e. g. CYP2D6*17 (2850C>T), CYP3A4*1B and CYP3A5*3. Conclusion: The major limit of the microarray technology for this purpose was lack of robustness and with a large number of missing data or with incorrect specificity.

On the molecular basis of ion permeation in the epithelial Na+ channel.

The epithelial Na+ channel (ENaC) is highly selective for Na+ and Li+ over K+ and is blocked by the diuretic amiloride. ENaC is a heterotetramer made of two alpha, one beta, and one gamma homologous subunits, each subunit comprising two transmembrane segments. Amino acid residues involved in binding of the pore blocker amiloride are located in the pre-M2 segment of beta and gamma subunits, which precedes the second putative transmembrane alpha helix (M2). A residue in the alpha subunit (alphaS589) at the NH2 terminus of M2 is critical for the molecular sieving properties of ENaC. ENaC is more permeable to Li+ than Na+ ions. The concentration of half-maximal unitary conductance is 38 mM for Na+ and 118 mM for Li+, a kinetic property that can account for the differences in Li+ and Na+ permeability. We show here that mutation of amino acid residues at homologous positions in the pre-M2 segment of alpha, beta, and gamma subunits (alphaG587, betaG529, gammaS541) decreases the Li+/Na+ selectivity by changing the apparent channel affinity for Li+ and Na+. Fitting single-channel data of the Li+ permeation to a discrete-state model including three barriers and two binding sites revealed that these mutations increased the energy needed for the translocation of Li+ from an outer ion binding site through the selectivity filter. Mutation of betaG529 to Ser, Cys, or Asp made ENaC partially permeable to K+ and larger ions, similar to the previously reported alphaS589 mutations. We conclude that the residues alphaG587 to alphaS589 and homologous residues in the beta and gamma subunits form the selectivity filter, which tightly accommodates Na+ and Li+ ions and excludes larger ions like K+.

HMG CoA reductase inhibitors (statins) for preventing acute kidney injury after surgical procedures requiring cardiac bypass.

BACKGROUND: Acute kidney injury (AKI) is common in patients undergoing cardiac surgery among whom it is associated with poor outcomes, prolonged hospital stays and increased mortality. Statin drugs can produce more than one effect independent of their lipid lowering effect, and may improve kidney injury through inhibition of postoperative inflammatory responses. OBJECTIVES: This review aimed to look at the evidence supporting the benefits of perioperative statins for AKI prevention in hospitalised adults after surgery who require cardiac bypass. The main objectives were to 1) determine whether use of statins was associated with preventing AKI development; 2) determine whether use of statins was associated with reductions in in-hospital mortality; 3) determine whether use of statins was associated with reduced need for RRT; and 4) determine any adverse effects associated with the use of statins. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the Cochrane Renal Group's Specialised Register to 13 January 2015 through contact with the Trials' Search Co-ordinator using search terms relevant to this review. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that compared administration of statin therapy with placebo or standard clinical care in adult patients undergoing surgery requiring cardiopulmonary bypass and reporting AKI, serum creatinine (SCr) or need for renal replacement therapy (RRT) as an outcome were eligible for inclusion. All forms and dosages of statins in conjunction with any duration of pre-operative therapy were considered for inclusion in this review. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: All authors extracted data independently and assessments were cross-checked by a second author. Likewise, assessment of study risk of bias was initially conducted by one author and then by a second author to ensure accuracy. Disagreements were arbitrated among authors until consensus was reached. Authors from two of the included studies provided additional data surrounding post-operative SCr as well as need for RRT. Meta-analyses were used to assess the outcomes of AKI, SCr and mortality rate. Data for the outcomes of RRT and adverse effects were not pooled. Adverse effects taken into account were those reported by the authors of included studies. MAIN RESULTS: We included seven studies (662 participants) in this review. All except one study was assessed as being at high risk of bias. Three studies assessed atorvastatin, three assessed simvastatin and one investigated rosuvastatin. All studies collected data during the immediate perioperative period only; data collection to hospital discharge and postoperative biochemical data collection ranged from 24 hours to 7 days. Overall, pre-operative statin treatment was not associated with a reduction in postoperative AKI, need for RRT, or mortality. Only two studies (195 participants) reported postoperative SCr level. In those studies, patients allocated to receive statins had lower postoperative SCr concentrations compared with those allocated to no drug treatment/placebo (MD 21.2 µmol/L, 95% CI -31.1 to -11.1). Adverse effects were adequately reported in only one study; no difference was found between the statin group compared to placebo. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Analysis of currently available data did not suggest that preoperative statin use is associated with decreased incidence of AKI in adults after surgery who required cardiac bypass. Although a significant reduction in SCr was seen postoperatively in people treated with statins, this result was driven by results from a single study, where SCr was considered as a secondary outcome. The results of the meta-analysis should be interpreted with caution; few studies were included in subgroup analyses, and significant differences in methodology exist among the included studies. Large high quality RCTs are required to establish the safety and efficacy of statins to prevent AKI after cardiac surgery.

Prognostic value of sentinel node biopsy in 327 prospective melanoma patients from a single institution

Résumé Etude de la valeur pronostique de la biopsie du ganglion sentinelle dans une étude prospective monocentrique de 327 patients atteints de mélanome malin But II s'agit de confirmer la validité de la biopsie du ganglion sentinelle, d'en définir la morbidité, d'investiguer les facteurs prédictifs pour le statut du ganglion sentinelle ainsi que de déterminer les facteurs pronostiques pour la survie sans récidive et la survie spécifique liée à la maladie. Matériel et méthode D'octobre 1997 à décembre 2004, 327 patients consécutifs présentant un mélanome cutané primaire des membres, du tronc et de la tête, sans adénopathie clinique ni métastase à distance ont été inclus. La biopsie du ganglion sentinelle a été réalisée selon la triple technique (lymphoscintigraphie, colorant bleu vital et sonde de détection gamma). Les paramètres et la survie ont été évalués par différentes analyses de régression logistique multiple selon Cox et la survie évaluée selon Kaplan Meier. Résultats Vingt-trois pour cent des patients présentaient au moins un ganglion sentinelle métastatique, ce qui était associé de façon significative à l'épaisseur selon Breslow (p<0.001). Le taux de succès de la biopsie du ganglion sentinelle était de 99.1% et sa morbidité de 7.6%. Avec une durée médiane de suivi de 33 mois, la survie sans récidive à 5 ans était de 43% pour les patients avec un ganglion sentinelle positif et de 83.5% pour ceux avec un ganglion sentinelle négatif. La survie spécifique liée à la maladie à 5 ans était de 49% pour les patients avec un ganglion sentinelle positif et de 87.4% pour ceux avec un ganglion sentinelle négatif. Le taux de faux négatif de la biopsie du ganglion sentinelle était de 8.6%. L'analyse multivariée a démontré que la survie sans récidive était significativement péjorée par :l'épaisseur selon Breslow (RR=5.6, p<0.001), un ganglion sentinelle positif (RR=5.0, p<0.001), et le sexe masculin (RR=2.9, p=0.001). La survie spécifique liée à la maladie était significativement diminuée par : un ganglion sentinelle métastatique (RR=8.4, p<O.OOI), le sexe masculin (RR=6.1, p<0.001), l'épaisseur selon Breslow (RR=3.2, p=0.013), et la présence d'une ulcération (RR=2.6, p=0.015). Conclusion La biopsie du ganglion sentinelle est une procédure fiable avec une haute sensibilité (91.4%) et une faible morbidité (7.6%). L'épaisseur selon Breslow était le seul facteur prédictif significatif pour le statut du ganglion sentinelle. La survie sans récidive était péjorée selon un ordre décroissant par :l'épaisseur selon Breslow, un ganglion sentinelle métastatique, et le sexe masculin. De façon similaire la survie spécifique liée à la maladie était péjorée par : un ganglion sentinelle métastatique, le sexe masculin, l'épaisseur selon Breslow, et une ulcération. Ces données renforcent le statut du ganglion sentinelle en tant que puissant moyen pour évaluer le stade tumoral ainsi que le pronostic.

The value of future opportunities: comparison of information technology firms and forest companies

There are several alternatives for valuing the future opportunities of firms. The traditional appraisal methods for single projects such as net present value, internalrate of return and payback rules have been criticized in recent years. It has been said that they do not take into account all growth opportunities of firms. At the company level, business valuation is traditionally based on financial and market information. Yield estimates, net worth values and market values of shares are commonly used. Naturally, all valuation methods have their own strengths and shortcomings. In the background of most estimation rules there is the idea that the future of the firms is quite clear and predictable. However, in recent times the business environment of most companies has changed to a more unpredictable direction and the effects of uncertainty have increased. There has been a growing interest in estimating the risks and values of future possibilities. The aim of the current paper is to describe the difference between the value of futureopportunities in information technology firms and forest companies, and also toanalyse the backgrounds for the observed gap.