Causality and endogeneity: Problems and solutions

Most leadership and management researchers ignore one key design and estimation problem rendering parameter estimates uninterpretable: Endogeneity. We discuss the problem of endogeneity in depth and explain conditions that engender it using examples grounded in the leadership literature. We show how consistent causal estimates can be derived from the randomized experiment, where endogeneity is eliminated by experimental design. We then review the reasons why estimates may become biased (i.e., inconsistent) in non-experimental designs and present a number of useful remedies for examining causal relations with non-experimental data. We write in intuitive terms using nontechnical language to make this chapter accessible to a large audience.

Predicting global change impacts on plant species' distributions: Future challenges

Given the rate of projected environmental change for the 21st century, urgent adaptation and mitigation measures are required to slow down the on-going erosion of biodiversity. Even though increasing evidence shows that recent human-induced environmental changes have already triggered species' range shifts, changes in phenology and species' extinctions, accurate projections of species' responses to future environmental changes are more difficult to ascertain. This is problematic, since there is a growing awareness of the need to adopt proactive conservation planning measures using forecasts of species' responses to future environmental changes. There is a substantial body of literature describing and assessing the impacts of various scenarios of climate and land-use change on species' distributions. Model predictions include a wide range of assumptions and limitations that are widely acknowledged but compromise their use for developing reliable adaptation and mitigation strategies for biodiversity. Indeed, amongst the most used models, few, if any, explicitly deal with migration processes, the dynamics of population at the "trailing edge" of shifting populations, species' interactions and the interaction between the effects of climate and land-use. In this review, we propose two main avenues to progress the understanding and prediction of the different processes A occurring on the leading and trailing edge of the species' distribution in response to any global change phenomena. Deliberately focusing on plant species, we first explore the different ways to incorporate species' migration in the existing modelling approaches, given data and knowledge limitations and the dual effects of climate and land-use factors. Secondly, we explore the mechanisms and processes happening at the trailing edge of a shifting species' distribution and how to implement them into a modelling approach. We finally conclude this review with clear guidelines on how such modelling improvements will benefit conservation strategies in a changing world. (c) 2007 Rubel Foundation, ETH Zurich. Published by Elsevier GrnbH. All rights reserved.

Alternative Solutions to Meet the Service Needs of Low Volume Bridges in lowa, June 2004

There is a nationwide need for a safe, efficient and cost effective transportation system. An essential component of this system is the bridges. Local agencies perhaps have an even greater task than federal and state agencies in maintaining the low volume road (LVR) bridge system due to lack of sufficient resources and funding. The primary focus of this study was to review the various aspects of off-system bridge design, rehabilitation, and replacement. Specifically, a reference report was developed to address common problems in LVR bridges. The source of information included both Iowa and national agencies. This report is intended to be a “user manual” or “tool box” of information, procedures and choices for county engineers to employ in the management of their bridge inventory plus identify areas and problems that need to be researched

Global alcohol exposure estimates by country, territory and region for 2005--a contribution to the Comparative Risk Assessment for the 2010 Global Burden of Disease Study.

AIMS: This study aimed to estimate the prevalence of life-time abstainers, former drinkers and current drinkers, adult per-capita consumption of alcohol and pattern of drinking scores, by country and Global Burden of Disease region for 2005, and to forecast these indicators for 2010. DESIGN: Statistical modelling based on survey data and routine statistics. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: A total of 241 countries and territories. MEASUREMENTS: Per-capita consumption data were obtained with the help of the World Health Organization's Global Information System on Alcohol and Health. Drinking status data were obtained from Gender, Alcohol and Culture: An International Study, the STEPwise approach to Surveillance study, the World Health Survey/Multi-Country Study and other surveys. Consumption and drinking status data were triangulated to estimate alcohol consumption across multiple categories. FINDINGS: In 2005 adult per-capita annual consumption of alcohol was 6.1 litres, with 1.7 litres stemming from unrecorded consumption; 17.1 litres of alcohol were consumed per drinker, 45.8% of all adults were life-time abstainers, 13.6% were former drinkers and 40.6% were current drinkers. Life-time abstention was most prevalent in North Africa/Middle East and South Asia. Eastern Europe and Southern sub-Saharan Africa had the most detrimental pattern of drinking scores, while drinkers in Europe (Eastern and Central) and sub-Saharan Africa (Southern and West) consumed the most alcohol. CONCLUSIONS: Just over 40% of the world's adult population consumes alcohol and the average consumption per drinker is 17.1 litres per year. However, the prevalence of abstention, level of alcohol consumption and patterns of drinking vary widely across regions of the world.

LdShake: learning design solutions sharing and co-edition

Two important challenges that teachers are currently facing are the sharing and the collaborative authoring of their learning design solutions, such as didactical units and learning materials. On the one hand, there are tools that can be used for the creation of design solutions and only some of them facilitate the co-edition. However, they do not incorporate mechanisms that support the sharing of the designs between teachers. On the other hand, there are tools that serve as repositories of educational resources but they do not enable the authoring of the designs. In this paper we present LdShake, a web tool whose novelty is focused on the combined support for the social sharing and co-edition of learning design solutions within communities of teachers. Teachers can create and share learning designs with other teachers using different access rights so that they can read, comment or co-edit the designs. Therefore, each design solution is associated to a group of teachers able to work on its definition, and another group that can only see the design. The tool is generic in that it allows the creation of designs based on any pedagogical approach. However, it can be particularized in instances providing pre-formatted designs structured according to a specific didactic method (such as Problem-Based Learning, PBL). A particularized LdShake instance has been used in the context of Human Biology studies where teams of teachers are required to work together in the design of PBL solutions. A controlled user study, that compares the use of a generic LdShake and a Moodle system, configured to enable the creation and sharing of designs, has been also carried out. The combined results of the real and controlled studies show that the social structure, and the commenting, co-edition and publishing features of LdShake provide a useful, effective and usable approach for facilitating teachers' teamwork.

Espacio global/identidades inestables. Un estudio sobre el espacio en el cine contemporáneo

En el actual paradigma global en el que se han abolido las distancias, los espacios están cada vez más uniformados. Según el autor, esto responde a una racionalizaciónideológica que se transmite a través de la imagen, con la finalidad de imponer a nivelmundial una economía de mercado. El cine contemporáneo tiene que hacer frente a estarealidad, a la tensión que se genera entre el lugar y la totalidad: pérdida de la conexión con lo local, desmaterialización del tiempo y del espacio, disolución de las identidades, etc. A través de diez fragmentos procedentes de nueve obras diferentes se analizará cómo responde el espacio cinematográfico a las nuevas concepciones del espacio y cómo éste afecta a la construcción identitaria de sus personajes.

The role of Bmi1 in CNS development and in retinal degeneration

SUMMARY : The present work addresses several aspects of cell cycle regulation, cell fate specification and cell death in the central nervous system (CNS), specifically the cortex and the retina. More precisely, we investigated the role of Bmi1, a polycomb family gene required for stem cell proliferation and self-renewal, in the development of the cerebral cortex, as well as in the genesis of the retina. These data, together with studies published during the last two decades concerning cell cycle re-activation in apoptotic neurons in the CNS, raised the question of a possible link between regulation of the cell cycle during development and during retinal degeneration. 1. The effects of Bmi1 loss in the cerebral cortex : Consistently with our and others' observations on failure of Bmi9-/- stem cells to proliferate and self-renew in vitro, the Bmi9-/- cerebral cortex presented slight defects in proliferation in stem/progenitor cells compartments in vivo. This was in accordance with the pattern of Bmi1 expression in the developing forebrain. The modest proliferation defects, compared to the drastic consequences of Bmi9 loss in vitro, suggest that cell-extrinsic mechanisms may partially compensate for Bmi1 deletion in vivo during cortical histogenesis. Nevertheless, we observed a decreased proliferating activity in neurogenic regions of the adult telencephalon, more precisely in the subventricular zone, showing that Bmi1 controls neural stem/progenitor proliferation during adulthood in vivo. Our data also highlight an increased production of astrocytes at birth, and a generalized gliosis in the adult Bmi9-/- brain. Importantly, glial progenitors and astrocytes retained the ability to proliferate in the absence of Bmi1. 2. The effects of Bmi1 loss in the retina : The pattern of expression of Bmi1 during development and in the adult retina suggests a role for Bmi1 in cell fate specification and differentiation rather than in proliferation. While the layering and the global structure of the retina appear normal in Bmi1 /adult mice, immunohistochemìcal analysis revealed defects in the three major classes of retinal interneurons, namely: horizontal, bipolar and amacrine cells. Electroretinogram recordings in Bmi9-/- mice are coherent with the defects observed at the histological level, with a reduced b-wave and low-profile oscillatory potentials. These results show that Bmi1 controls not only proliferation, but also cell type generation, as previously observed in the cerebellum. 3. Cell cycle events and related neuroprotective strategies in retinal degeneration : In several neurodegenerative disorders, neurons re-express cell cycle proteins such as cyclin dependent kinases (Cdks) prior to apoptosis. Here, we show for the first time that this is also the case during retinal degeneration. Rd1 mice carry a recessive defect (Pdeóbrd/rd) that causes retinal degeneration and serves as a model of retinitis pigmentosa. We found that photoreceptors express Cdk4 and Cdk2, and undergo DNA synthesis prior to cell death. To interfere with the reactivation of Cdk-related pathways, we deleted E2fs or Brni1, which normally allow cell cycle progression. While deleting E2f1 (downstream of Cdk4/6) in Rd1 mice provides only temporary protection, knocking out Bmi1 (upstream of Cdks) leads to an extensive neuroprotective effect, independent of p16ink4a or p19arf, two tumor suppressors regulated by Bmi1. Analysis of Cdks and the DNA repair-related protein Ligase IV showed that Bmi1 acts downstream of DNA repair events and upstream of Cdks in this neurodegenerative mechanism. Expression of Cdks during an acute model of retinal degeneration, light damage-induced photoreceptor death, points to a role for Bmi1 and cell cycle proteins in retinal degeneration. Considering the similarity with the cell cycle-related apoptotic pathway observed in other neurodegenerative diseases, Bmi1 is a possible general target to prevent or delay neuronal death. RESUME : Ce travail aborde plusieurs aspects de la régulation du cycle cellulaire, de la spécification du devenir des cellules et de la mort cellulaire dans le système nerveux centrale (SNC), plus particulièrement dans le cortex cérébral et dans la rétine. Nous nous sommes intéressés au gène Bmi1, appartenant à la famille polycomb et nécessaire à la prolifération et au renouvellement des cellules souches. Nous avons visé à disséquer son rôle dans le développement du cortex et de la rétine. Ces données, ainsi qu'une série de travaux publiés au cours des deux dernières décennies concernant la réactivation du cycle cellulaire dans les neurones en voie d'apoptose dans le SNC, nous ont ensuite poussé à chercher un lien entre la régulation du cycle cellulaire pendant le développement et au cours de la dégénérescence rétinienne. 1. Les effets de l'inactivation de Bmi1 dans le cortex cérébral : En accord avec l'incapacité des cellules souches neurales in vitro à proliférer et à se renouveler en absence de Bmi1, le cortex cérébral des souris Bmi1-/- présente de légers défauts de prolifération dans les compartiments contenant les cellules souches neurales. Ceci est en accord avec le profil d'expression de Bmi1 dans le télencéphale. Les conséquences de la délétion de Bmi1 sont toutefois nettement moins prononcées in vivo qu'in vitro ; cette différence suggère l'existence de mécanismes pouvant partiellement compenser l'absence de Bmi1 pendant la corticogenèse. Néanmoins, l'observation d'une réduction de la prolifération dans la zone sous-ventriculaire, la zone majeure de neurogenèse dans le télencéphale adulte, montre que Bmi1 contrôle la prolifération des cellules souche/progénitrices neurales chez la souris adulte. Nos résultats démontrent par ailleurs une augmentation de la production d'astrocytes à la naissance ainsi qu'une gliose généralisée à l'état adulte chez les souris Bmi1-/-. Les progéniteurs gliaux et les astrocytes conservent donc leur capacité à proliférer en absence de Bmi1. 2. Les effets de l'inactivation de Bmi1 dans la rétine : Le profil d'expression de Bmi1 pendant fe développement ainsi que dans la rétine adulte suggère un rôle de Bmi1 dans la spécification de certains types cellulaires et dans la différentiation plutôt que dans la prolifération. Alors que la structure et la lamination de la rétine semblent normales chez les souris Bmi1-/-, l'analyse par immunohistochimie amis en évidence des défauts au niveau des trois classes d'interneurones rétiniens (les cellules horizontales, bipolaires et amacrines). Les électrorétinogrammes des souris Bmi1-/- sont cohérents avec les défauts observés au niveau histologique et montrent une réduction de l'onde « b » et des potentiels oscillatoires. Ces résultats montrent que Bmi1 contrôle la génération de certaines sous-populations de neurones, comme démontré auparavant au niveau de cervelet. 3. Réactivation du cycle cellulaire et stratégies théraoeutiaues dans les dégénérescences rétiniennes : Dans plusieurs maladies neurodégénératives, les neurones ré-expriment des protéines du cycle cellulaire telles que les kinases cycline-dépendantes (Cdk) avant d'entrer en apoptose. Nous avons démontré que c'est aussi le cas dans les dégénérescences rétiniennes. Les souris Rd1 portent une mutation récessive (Pde6brd/rd) qui induit une dégénérescence de la rétine et sont utilisées comme modèle animal de rétinite pigmentaire. Nous avons observé que les photorécepteurs expriment Cdk4 et Cdk2, et entament une synthèse d'ADN avant de mourir par apoptose. Pour interférer avec la réactivation les mécanismes Cdk-dépendants, nous avons inactivé les gènes E2f et Bmi1, qui permettent normalement la progression du cycle cellulaire. Nous avons mis en évidence que la délétion de E2f1 (en aval de Cdk4/6) dans les souris Rd1 permet une protection transitoire des photorécepteurs. Toutefois, l'inactivation de Bmi1 (en amont des Cdk) est corrélée à une neuroprotection bien plus durable et ceci indépendamment de p16ink4a et p19arf, deux suppresseurs de tumeurs normalement régulés par Bmi1. L'analyse des Cdk et de la ligase IV (une protéine impliquée dans les mécanismes de réparation de l'ADN) a montré que Bmi1 agit en aval des événements de réparation de l'ADN et en amont des Cdk dans la cascade apoptotique dans les photorécepteurs des souris Rd1. Nous avons également observé la présence de Cdk dans un modèle aigu de dégénérescence rétinienne induit par une exposition des animaux à des niveaux toxiques de lumière. Nos résultats suggèrent donc un rôle général de Bmi1 et des protéines du cycle cellulaire dans les dégénérescences de la rétine. Si l'on considère la similarité avec les événements de réactivation du cycle cellulaire observés dans d'autres maladies neurodégénératives, Bmi1 pourrait être une cible thérapeutique générale pour prévenir la mort neuronale.

Global mass wasting during the Middle Ordovician: Meteoritic trigger or plate-tectonic environment ?

Mass wasting at continental margins on a global scale during the Middle Ordovician has recently been related to high meteorite influx. Although a high meteorite influx during the Ordovician should not be neglected, we challenge the idea that mass wasting was mainly produced by meteorite impacts over a period of almost 10 Ma. Having strong arguments against the impact-related hypothesis, we propose an alternative explanation, which is based on a re-evaluation of the mass wasting sites, considering their plate-tectonic distribution and the global sea level curve. A striking and important feature is the distribution of most of the mass wasting sites along continental margins characterised by periods of magmatism, terrane accretion and continental or back-arc rifting, respectively, related to subduction of oceanic lithosphere. Such processes are commonly connected with seismic activity causing earthquakes, which can cause downslope movement of sediment and rock. Considering all that, it seems more likely that most of this mass wasting was triggered by earthquakes related to plate-tectonic processes, which caused destabilisation of continental margins resulting in megabreccias and debris flows. Moreover, the period of mass wasting coincides with sea level drops during global sea level lowstand. In some cases, sea level drops can release pore-water overpressure reducing sediment strength and hence promoting instability of sediment at continental margins. Reduced pore-water overpressure can also destabilise gas hydrate-bearing sediment, causing slope failure, and thus resulting in submarine mass wasting. Overall, the global mass wasting during the Middle Ordovician does not need meteoritic trigger. (C) 2010 International Association for Gondwana Research. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Tradução e adaptação cultural do global appraisal of individual needs - initial

Este estudo objetivou traduzir e adaptar culturalmente o instrumento Global Appraisal of Individual Needs - Initial e calcular seu Índice de Validade de Conteúdo. Trata-se de estudo metodológico, de adaptação cultural do instrumento. O instrumento foi traduzido para o português em duas versões que deram origem à síntese das traduções, submetida à avaliação de quatro juízes experts na área de álcool e outras drogas. Após modificações, foi retraduzido e ressubmetido aos juízes e autores do instrumento original, resultando na versão final do instrumento, Avaliação Global das Necessidades Individuais - Inicial O Índice de Validade de Conteúdo do instrumento foi de 0,91, considerado válido pela literatura. O instrumento Avaliação Global das Necessidades Individuais - Inicial é um instrumento adaptado culturalmente para o português falado no Brasil; entretanto, não foi submetido a testes com a população-alvo, o que sugere que sejam realizados estudos que testem sua confiabilidade e validade.

El Tabac al món : la indústria a nivell local i global, legislació, problemes i reptes de futur

Per què a un fumador del Canadà li costa 10 vegades més diners comprar un paquet de tabac que el que li costa a un fumador de Cuba? Què se n’ha fet dels anuncis de Marlboro als cotxes de l’escuderia automovilística Ferrari? Comés que s’han creat espais reservats per a fumadors en els últims anys? Aquestes i altres preguntes sobre el món del tabac conformen l’objecte del nostre treball d’investigació. El nostre propòsit és intentar donar resposta a qüestions com aquestes, i fer que el lector entengui realment a què es deuen aquests canvis en l’estructura del mercat del tabac. Mostrarem, mitjançant una mirada analítica dels diferents factors, que gran part d’aquests efectes en un producte (com pot ser el cigarret, en el cas que ens ocupa) són extrapolables a altres béns i que es poden explicar des del punt de vista econòmic, examinant les decisions d’agents amagats com ara el govern, i considerant les repercussions dels diferents tipus de polítiques.Com tots sabem, el món actual està conformat per un seguit de relacions entre individus, o millor dit, agents econòmics que interactuen entre ells. Els resultats d’aquestes interaccions determinen el comportament de variables que, ben definides, poden ser estudiades, així com els seus efectes. Nosaltres hem intentat mostrar d’una manera senzilla i a l’abast de tothom fins a quin punt arriben aquestes interrelacions. El que preteníem en tot moment basar-nos en dades objectives obtingudes previ estudi. Es per això que, de la mateixa manera que al acabar el treball el lector serà capaç d’entendre per què varia elpreu del mateix bé al creuar una frontera, queda a càrrec de cadascú determinar si, per exemple, els fumadors són objectes de persecució o de si les mesures paternalistes del govern envers la prohibició de la publicitat estan justificades.

New evidence for a thermogenic defect in human obesity.

A reduced thermogenic response to food ingestion may contribute to the dynamic phase of weight gain in obesity. A defect in diet-induced thermogenesis has been reported in about one third of an unselected group of obese women. After inducing weight loss with a hypocaloric diet, the thermogenic defect does not disappear. Since basal metabolic rate decreases with weight loss, the overall postprandial energy expenditure of 'post-obese' individuals can be lower than that of lean controls. As a consequence, post-obese subjects must reset energy intake to a lower level than the previous maintenance food consumption in order to avoid relapse of body weight gain.

Geographic variation in the frequency of isolation and fluconazole and voriconazole susceptibilities of Candida glabrata: an assessment from the ARTEMIS DISK Global Antifungal Surveillance Program.

Geographic differences in frequency and azole resistance among Candida glabrata may impact empiric antifungal therapy choice. We examined geographic variation in isolation and azole susceptibility of C. glabrata. We examined 23 305 clinical isolates of C. glabrata during ARTEMIS DISK global surveillance. Susceptibility testing to fluconazole and voriconazole was assessed by disk diffusion, and the results were grouped by geographic location: North America (NA) (2470 isolates), Latin America (LA) (2039), Europe (EU) (12 439), Africa and the Middle East (AME) (728), and Asia-Pacific (AP) (5629). Overall, C. glabrata accounted for 11.6% of 201 653 isolates of Candida and varied as a proportion of all Candida isolated from 7.4% in LA to 21.1% in NA. Decreased susceptibility (S) to fluconazole was observed in all geographic regions and ranged from 62.8% in AME to 76.7% in LA. Variation in fluconazole susceptibility was observed within each region: AP (range, 50-100% S), AME (48-86.9%), EU (44.8-88%), LA (43-92%), and NA (74.5-91.6%). Voriconazole was more active than fluconazole (range, 82.3-84.2% S) with similar regional variation. Among 22 sentinel sites participating in ARTEMIS from 2001 through 2007 (84 140 total isolates, 8163 C. glabrata), the frequency of C. glabrata isolation increased in 14 sites and the frequency of fluconazole resistance (R) increased in 11 sites over the 7-year period of study. The sites with the highest cumulative rates of fluconazole R were in Poland (22% R), the Czech Republic (27% R), Venezuela (27% R), and Greece (33% R). C. glabrata was most often isolated from blood, normally sterile body fluids and urine. There is substantial geographic and institutional variation in both frequency of isolation and azole resistance among C. glabrata. Prompt species identification and fluconazole susceptibility testing are necessary to optimize therapy for invasive candidiasis.

Caution on the storage of waters and aqueous solutions in plastic containers for hydrogen and oxygen stable isotope analysis

RATIONALE The choice of containers for storage of aqueous samples between their collection, transport and water hydrogen (2H) and oxygen (18O) stable isotope analysis is a topic of concern for a wide range of fields in environmental, geological, biomedical, food, and forensic sciences. The transport and separation of water molecules during water vapor or liquid uptake by sorption or solution and the diffusive transport of water molecules through organic polymer material by permeation or pervaporation may entail an isotopic fractionation. An experiment was conducted to evaluate the extent of such fractionation. METHODS Sixteen bottle-like containers of eleven different organic polymers, including low and high density polyethylene (LDPE and HDPE), polypropylene (PP), polycarbonate (PC), polyethylene terephthalate (PET), and perfluoroalkoxy-Teflon (PFA), of different wall thickness and size were completely filled with the same mineral water and stored for 659?days under the same conditions of temperature and humidity. Particular care was exercised to keep the bottles tightly closed and prevent loss of water vapor through the seals. RESULTS Changes of up to +5 parts per thousand for d2H values and +2.0 parts per thousand for d18O values were measured for water after more than 1?year of storage within a plastic container, with the magnitude of change depending mainly on the type of organic polymer, wall thickness, and container size. The most important variations were measured for the PET and PC bottles. Waters stored in glass bottles with Polyseal (TM) cone-lined PP screw caps and thick-walled HDPE or PFA containers with linerless screw caps having an integrally molded inner sealing ring preserved their original d2H and d18O values. The carbon, hydrogen, and oxygen stable isotope compositions of the organic polymeric materials were also determined. CONCLUSIONS The results of this study clearly show that for precise and accurate measurements of the water stable isotope composition in aqueous solutions, rigorous sampling and storage procedures are needed both for laboratory standards and for unknown samples. Copyright (c) 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.