979 resultados para "Future as Nightmare" Scenarios


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Organic food products are highly susceptible to fraud. Currently, administrative controls are conducted to detect fraud, but having an analytical tool able to verify the organic identity of food would be very supportive. The state-of-the-art in food authentication relies on fingerprinting approaches that find characteristic analytical patterns to unequivocally identify authentic products. While wide research on authentication has been conducted for other commodities, the authentication of organic chicken products is still in its infancy. Challenges include finding fingerprints to discriminate organic from conventional products, and recruiting sample sets that cover natural variability. Future research might be oriented towards developing new authentication models for organic feed, eggs and chicken meat, keeping models updated and implementing them into regulations. Meanwhile, these models might be very supportive to the administrative controls directing inspections towards suspicious fraudulent samples.

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Human activities have resulted in increased nutrient levels in many rivers all over Europe. Sustainable management of river basins demands an assessment of the causes and consequences of human alteration of nutrient flows, together with an evaluation of management options. In the context of an integrated and interdisciplinary environmental assessment (IEA) of nutrient flows, we present and discuss the application of the nutrient emission model MONERIS (MOdelling Nutrient Emissions into River Systems) to the Catalan river basin, La Tordera (north-east Spain), for the period 1996–2002. After a successful calibration and verification process (Nash-Sutcliffe efficiencies E=0.85 for phosphorus and E=0.86 for nitrogen), the application of the model MONERIS proved to be useful in estimating nutrient loads. Crucial for model calibration, in-stream retention was estimated to be about 50 % of nutrient emissions on an annual basis. Through this process, we identified the importance of point sources for phosphorus emissions (about 94% for 1996–2002), and diffuse sources, especially inputs via groundwater, for nitrogen emissions (about 31% for 1996–2002). Despite hurdles related to model structure, observed loads, and input data encountered during the modelling process, MONERIS provided a good representation of the major interannual and spatial patterns in nutrient emissions. An analysis of the model uncertainty and sensitivity to input data indicates that the model MONERIS, even in data-starved Mediterranean catchments, may be profitably used by water managers for evaluating quantitative nutrient emission scenarios for the purpose of managing river basins. As an example of scenario modelling, an analysis of the changes in nutrient emissions through two different future scenarios allowed the identification of a set of relevant measures to reduce nutrient loads.

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The scale of research and development (R&D), and other technological activities, and the way in which the available resources are managed and organized at the enterprise and national level contribute to the rate of technological change in a country. A well organized national innovation system can be a powerful engine of progress, whereas a lack of interaction between institutions results in the slowing down of technological change, thereby diminishing its contribution to economic growth and welfare. The research object of this thesis is Australia’s national innovation system and the state of R&D in Australia. In order to establish an overall picture of the situation and to be able to make recommendations for future development, the general level of R&D activity and the main performers and funders of R&D within the system are analyzed. The framework policies supporting R&D and prevalent dynamics between different actors and sectors are of specific interest of the research. The findings reveal that the Australian culture is not a culture of research and innovation and that the main challenge is building a coherent system with strong domestic and international linkages.

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Cue exposure therapy has been reported to be an effective intervention for reducing binge eating behavior in patients with eating disorders and obesity. However, in vivo food exposure conducted in the therapist's office presents logistical problems and lacks ecological validity. This study proposes the use of virtual reality technology as an alternative to in vivo exposure, and assesses the ability of different virtual environments to elicit anxiety and craving for food in a non-clinical sample. The results show that exposure to virtual environments provokes changes in reported craving for food. High-calorie food cues are the ones that elicit the highest increases in craving.

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Työn tavoitteena oli lisätä ymmärrystä teollisuuden kunnossapidon toimialasta ja sen tulevaisuudesta, tutkimalla teollisuuden kunnossapitoyritysten toteuttamia käyttöomaisuus- ja käyttöpääomainvestointeja vuosilta 2003–2007. Tutkimus toteutettiin tilinpää-tösanalyysin menetelmin suppealla, mutta edustavalla, 20 teollisuuden kunnossapitoyrityksen tilinpäätösaineistolla. Yritysjoukko jaettiin pk-yrityksiin ja suuriin yrityksiin, jolla pyrittiin kuvaamaan toimialan todellisempaa rakennetta. Analyysiosiossa tarkasteltiin toteutuneita investointiasteita, investointilogiikoita, yritysten kannattavuuksia sekä käyttöpääomainvestointien hallintaa. Toteutetun analyysin perusteella luotiin kolme tulevaisuuden skenaariota teollisuuden kunnossapidon toimi-alan kehitykselle. Eri skenaarioille laskettiin ennustemallilla keskimääräiset investointiasteet. Analyysin mukaan teollisuuden kunnossapitoyrityksien liikevaihto kasvoi tutkimusaikavälillä keskimäärin noin 8,5 prosenttia vuodessa. Kyseinen kasvu on vaatinut yrityksiltä noin 2,5 prosentin investointiasteen. Verratessa pk-yrityksiä ja isoja yrityksiä, havaittiin merkittäviä eroja toteutuneissa investointiasteissa sekä investointilogiikoissa. Yhteistä yritysjoukoille oli hyvä kannattavuus, johon eri investointiasteilla ei näyttäisi lyhyellä aikavälillä olevan vaikutusta. Tulevaisuuden investointitarve vaikuttaa maltillisemmalta kuin toteutunut taso, johtuen osaltaan taantuman vaikutuksista.

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The high sensitivity and excellent timing accuracy of Geiger mode avalanche photodiodes makes them ideal sensors as pixel detectors for particle tracking in high energy physics experiments to be performed in future linear colliders. Nevertheless, it is well known that these sensors suffer from dark counts and afterpulsing noise, which induce false hits (indistinguishable from event detection) as well as an increase of the necessary area of the readout system. In this work, we present a comparison between APDs fabricated in a high voltage 0.35 µm and a high integration 0.13 µm commercially available CMOS technologies that has been performed to determine which of them best fits the particle collider requirements. In addition, a readout circuit that allows low noise operation is introduced. Experimental characterization of the proposed pixel is also presented in this work.

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Most climate change projections show important decreases in water availability in the Mediterranean region by the end of this century. We assess those main climate change impacts on water resources in three medium-sized catchments with varying climatic conditions in north-eastern Spain. A combination of hydrological modelling and climate projections with B1 and A2 IPCC emission scenarios is performed to infer future stream flows. The largest reduction (22-48% for 2076-2100) of stream flows is expected in the headwaters of the two wettest catchments, while lower decreases (22-32% for 2076-2100) are expected in the drier one. In all three catchments, autumn and summer are the seasons with the most notable projected decreases in stream flow, 50% and 34%, respectively (2076-2100). Thus, ecological flows might be noticeably impacted by climate change in the catchments, especially in the headwaters of those wet catchments.

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Raportti: Continuity through change: anthropological perspectives in the contemporary world. The annual convention of Finnish anthropologists in Tampere, 7-8 May, 2009.

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Skenaarioita käytetään usein ylimmän johdon strategiasuunnitteluvälineinä. Tämän tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli selvittää vaikuttavatko skenaariot ja skenaariotyöskentely organisaation oppimiseen laajemminkin kuin yksilötasolla ja minkälaista oppimista tapahtuu sekä minkälaisia ominaisuuksia skenaariotyötä johtavalla olisi hyvä olla. Tutkimusaineisto on kerätty haastattelemalla skenaariotöitä johtanutta henkilöä sekä niihin osallistuneita henkilöitä. Tutkittavana oli kaksi skenaariotyötä, joista toisen tavoittena oli kuvata tulevaisuuden mobiileja liiketoimintamalleja ja toisen mallintaa verkko-operaattoriliiketoiminnan tulevaisuutta. Tutkimuksen aikana selvisi, että skenaarioilla ja skenaariotyöskentelyllä voi tukea organisaation oppimista niin yksilön, ryhmän/organisaation kuin organisaatioiden väliselläkin tasolla. Skenaariotyötä tekevällä ryhmällä ja sitä johtavalla henkilöllä on vaikutusta organisaation oppimiseen. Erityisen tärkeää organisaation oppimisen kannalta on, kuinka skenaariotyöskentely aloitetaan ja lopetetaan.