Real-time monitoring of progression towards renal failure in primary care patients

First published online: December 16, 2014.

Biblioteca de referência de DNA barcodes de bivalves (Mollusca: Bivalvia) e gastrópodes (Mollusca: Gastropoda) da costa Portuguesa

Dissertação de mestrado em Ecologia

Caracterización biológica y molecular de un rhabdovirus causal de mosaico estriado amarillo, en maíz (Zea mays L.) en la provincia de Córdoba.

La familia Rhabdoviridae incluye varios patógenos económicamente importantes de cultivos, entre los más de 70 virus que afectan plantas. Estos últimos se clasifican en los géneros Cytorhabdovirus y Nucleorhabdovirus, dependiendo de si producen inclusiones en el espacio perinuclear, o si desarrollan viriones citoplasmáticos. Los integrantes de esta familia infectan gran cantidad de monocotiledóneas y dicotiledóneas y la mayoría son dependientes de transmisión por insectos. Las interacciones virus-vector son altamente específicas, y se ha registrado la replicación en insectos, del rhabdovirus que transmiten a las plantas. Cada especie de rhabdovirus induce un amplio espectro de síntomas en sus plantas huéspedes, y estos van desde la falta de efectos discernibles hasta la muerte total de la planta. El maíz (Zea mays L.) es el cultivo más ampliamente distribuido a nivel mundial y uno de los principales cultivos de cereales, ubicándose tercero en el ranking de producción en el mundo. En maíz se ha citado la presencia de varios rhabdovirus, entre estos American wheat striate mosaic virus (AWSMV), Cereal chlorotic mottle virus (CCMV), Maize mosaic virus (MMV), Maize sterile stunt virus (strains of Barley yellow striate virus), Northern cereal mosaic virus (NCMV) y Maize fine streak virus (MFSV). Ninguno de ellos reportado en Argentina. Desde 2001 un rhabdovirus es observado, por sintomatología y microscopía electrónica, en plantas de maíz de diferentes localidades de la provincia de Córdoba. Esta virosis pudo ser transmitida en dos oportunidades a plantas de maíz sanas mediante Peregrinus maidis y logró amplificarse mediante RT-PCR con iniciadores degenerados, el gen de la polimerasa L. Nuestra hipótesis es que el agente causal de la sintomatología de mosaico estriado amarillo en maíz sería un rhabdovirus emergente en Argentina, diferente de Maize mosaic virus (MMV), transmitido por delfácidos, que puede aislarse y mantenerse en condiciones controladas. El objetivo del presente trabajo es generar conocimientos biológicos, moleculares y epidemiológicos sobre el agente causal de la sintomatología en maíz de mosaico estriado amarillo. Para ello se colectarán plantas de maíz con sintomatología de mosaico estriado amarillo, en distintas localidades donde se presente la sintomatología. Las muestras se observarán al microscopio electrónico en cortes ultrafinos y en “leaf dip". Los viriones se purificarán, extraerá el RNA de los mismos, y obtendrá la secuencia de nucleótidos, para compararla con otras publicadas de virosis vegetales y se obtendrán homologías. Se realizarán transmisiones experimentales de esta virosis, por incisiones vasculares y mediante el empleo de diferentes especies de insectos vectores. Importancia del proyecto El avance de patógenos tropicales hacia zonas templadas es una de las causas de la aparición de las virosis emergentes, que se caracterizan por producir epifítias al ingresar a nuevos ecosistemas. El Maize mosaic virus (MMV) es un rhabdovirus que produce una de las virosis más importantes del maíz en el continente americano. Determinar la identidad del agente etiológico del mosaico estriado amarillo y establecer su relación con MMV es fundamental para desarrollar medidas proactivas y diseñar estrategias de manejo de esta nueva enfermedad.

A Model of Video Traffic Transmission in IP Networks

Telecommunications and network technology is now the driving force that ensures continued progress of world civilization. Design of new and expansion of existing network infrastructures requires improving the quality of service(QoS). Modeling probabilistic and time characteristics of telecommunication systems is an integral part of modern algorithms of administration of quality of service. At present, for the assessment of quality parameters except simulation models analytical models in the form of systems and queuing networks are widely used. Because of the limited mathematical tools of models of these classes the corresponding parameter estimation of parameters of quality of service are inadequate by definition. Especially concerning the models of telecommunication systems with packet transmission of multimedia real-time traffic.

A Characterization of single-peaked preferences

We identify in this paper two conditions that characterize the domain of single-peaked preferences on the line in the following sense: a preference profile satisfies these two properties if and only if there exists a linear order $L$ over the set of alternatives such that these preferences are single-peaked with respect L. The first property states that for any subset of alternatives the set of alternatives considered as the worst by all agents cannot contains more than 2 elements. The second property states that two agents cannot disagree on the relative ranking of two alternatives with respect to a third alternative but agree on the (relative) ranking of a fourth one. Classification-JEL: D71, C78

Consumers' behavior and the Bertrand paradox: an ACE approach

We analyze the classical Bertrand model when consumers exhibit some strategic behavior in deciding from which seller they will buy. We use two related but different tools. Both consider a probabilistic learning (or evolutionary) mechanism, and in the two of them consumers' behavior in uences the competition between the sellers. The results obtained show that, in general, developing some sort of loyalty is a good strategy for the buyers as it works in their best interest. First, we consider a learning procedure described by a deterministic dynamic system and, using strong simplifying assumptions, we can produce a description of the process behavior. Second, we use nite automata to represent the strategies played by the agents and an adaptive process based on genetic algorithms to simulate the stochastic process of learning. By doing so we can relax some of the strong assumptions used in the rst approach and still obtain the same basic results. It is suggested that the limitations of the rst approach (analytical) provide a good motivation for the second approach (Agent-Based). Indeed, although both approaches address the same problem, the use of Agent-Based computational techniques allows us to relax hypothesis and overcome the limitations of the analytical approach.

Generalized backward doubly stochastic differential equations and SPDEs with nonlinear Neumann boundary conditions

In this paper, a new class of generalized backward doubly stochastic differential equations is investigated. This class involves an integral with respect to an adapted continuous increasing process. A probabilistic representation for viscosity solutions of semi-linear stochastic partial differential equations with a Neumann boundary condition is given.

Un diàleg de sords: intentant donar sentit al debat sobre la publicació electrònica

Aquest article se centra en les implicacions de la difusió electrònica per al sistema de publicació de revistes basat en la revisió per parells [peer-reviewed]. Per donar sentit a un assumpte tan complex, és de molt ajut mirar-s'ho des de la perspectiva dels orígens del sistema i de les seves tres funcions nuclears: el rànquing en la recerca, facilitar la comunicació interactiva entre els estudiosos i crear un arxiu global del coneixement científic. Cadascuna d’aquestes funcions principals té requeriments diferents que, en certa mesura, se sobreposen però que també entren, d'alguna manera, en conflicte. Internet obre la possibilitat de desenvolupar una varietat de models distints de comunicació científica modulant la intensitat de cadascun d'aquests tres rols que les revistes en paper han desenvolupat i, possiblement, d'altres funcions que no eren ni tan sols imaginables abans del desenvolupament de les xarxes electròniques d'abast planetari. Les implicacions de la distribució electrònica per a la propietat i accés a la literatura científica són profundes i tendeixen a agreujar la ja seriosa crisi dels preus de les revistes que està frenant l'accés a la informació científica. La comunitat d'estudiosos, que és autora del material que aquestes publicacions contenen i, al mateix temps, n'és el principal consumidor, està en possessió de la clau per a solucionar aquesta crisi tot permetent a Internet ser un vehicle que faciliti la difusió d’una recerca finançada des del sector públic en comptes de crear una situació de propietat privada d'aquesta recerca.

Discordances between phylogenetic and morphological patterns in alpine leaf beetles attest to an intricate biogeographic history of lineages in postglacial Europe.

Pleistocene glacial and interglacial periods have moulded the evolutionary history of European cold-adapted organisms. The role of the different mountain massifs has, however, not been accurately investigated in the case of high-altitude insect species. Here, we focus on three closely related species of non-flying leaf beetles of the genus Oreina (Coleoptera, Chrysomelidae), which are often found in sympatry within the mountain ranges of Europe. After showing that the species concept as currently applied does not match barcoding results, we show, based on more than 700 sequences from one nuclear and three mitochondrial genes, the role of biogeography in shaping the phylogenetic hypothesis. Dating the phylogeny using an insect molecular clock, we show that the earliest lineages diverged more than 1 Mya and that the main shift in diversification rate occurred between 0.36 and 0.18 Mya. By using a probabilistic approach on the parsimony-based dispersal/vicariance framework (MP-DIVA) as well as a direct likelihood method of state change optimization, we show that the Alps acted as a cross-roads with multiple events of dispersal to and reinvasion from neighbouring mountains. However, the relative importance of vicariance vs. dispersal events on the process of rapid diversification remains difficult to evaluate because of a bias towards overestimation of vicariance in the DIVA algorithm. Parallels are drawn with recent studies of cold-adapted species, although our study reveals novel patterns in diversity and genetic links between European mountains, and highlights the importance of neglected regions, such as the Jura and the Balkanic range.

New perspectives in the use of ink evidence in forensic science: Part I. Development of a quality assurance process for forensic ink analysis by HPTLC

The level of information provided by ink evidence to the criminal and civil justice system is limited. The limitations arise from the weakness of the interpretative framework currently used, as proposed in the ASTM 1422-05 and 1789-04 on ink analysis. It is proposed to use the likelihood ratio from the Bayes theorem to interpret ink evidence. Unfortunately, when considering the analytical practices, as defined in the ASTM standards on ink analysis, it appears that current ink analytical practices do not allow for the level of reproducibility and accuracy required by a probabilistic framework. Such framework relies on the evaluation of the statistics of the ink characteristics using an ink reference database and the objective measurement of similarities between ink samples. A complete research programme was designed to (a) develop a standard methodology for analysing ink samples in a more reproducible way, (b) comparing automatically and objectively ink samples and (c) evaluate the proposed methodology in a forensic context. This report focuses on the first of the three stages. A calibration process, based on a standard dye ladder, is proposed to improve the reproducibility of ink analysis by HPTLC, when these inks are analysed at different times and/or by different examiners. The impact of this process on the variability between the repetitive analyses of ink samples in various conditions is studied. The results show significant improvements in the reproducibility of ink analysis compared to traditional calibration methods.

A Salience Theory of Choice Errors

We study a psychologically based foundation for choice errors. The decision maker applies a preference ranking after forming a 'consideration set' prior to choosing an alternative. Membership of the consideration set is determined both by the alternative specific salience and by the rationality of the agent (his general propensity to consider all alternatives). The model turns out to include a logit formulation as a special case. In general, it has a rich set of implications both for exogenous parameters and for a situation in which alternatives can a¤ect their own salience (salience games). Such implications are relevant to assess the link between 'revealed' preferences and 'true' preferences: for example, less rational agents may paradoxically express their preference through choice more truthfully than more rational agents.

Delay and Haircuts in Sovereign Debt: Recovery and Sustainability

One of the striking aspects of recent sovereign debt restructurings is, conditional on default, delay length is positively correlated with the size of haircut. In this paper, we develop an incomplete information model of debt restructuring where the prospect of uncertain economic recovery and the signalling about sustainability concerns together generate multi-period delay. The results from our analysis show that there is a correlation between delay length and size of haircut. Such results are supported by evidence. We show that Pareto ranking of equilibria, conditional on default, can be altered once we take into account the ex ante incentive of sovereign debtor. We use our results to evaluate proposals advocated to ensure orderly resolution of sovereign debt crises.

Ordering Policy Rules with an Unconditional Welfare Measure

The unconditional expectation of social welfare is often used to assess alternative macroeconomic policy rules in applied quantitative research. It is shown that it is generally possible to derive a linear - quadratic problem that approximates the exact non-linear problem where the unconditional expectation of the objective is maximised and the steady-state is distorted. Thus, the measure of pol icy performance is a linear combinat ion of second moments of economic variables which is relatively easy to compute numerically, and can be used to rank alternative policy rules. The approach is applied to a simple Calvo-type model under various monetary policy rules.

Comparing the early research performance of PhD graduates in labor economics in Europe and the USA

This paper analyzes the early research performance of PhD graduates in labor economics, addressing the following questions: Are there major productivity differences between graduates from American and European institutions? If so, how relevant is the quality of the training received (i.e. ranking of institution and supervisor) and the research environment in the subsequent job placement institution? The population under study consists of labor economics PhD graduates who received their degree in the years 2000 to 2005 in Europe or the USA. Research productivity is evaluated alternatively as the number of publications or the quality-adjusted number of publications of an individual. When restricting the analysis to the number of publications, results suggest a higher productivity by graduates from European universities than from USA universities, but this difference vanishes when accounting for the quality of the publication. The results also indicate that graduates placed at American institutions, in particular top ones, are likely to publish more quality-adjusted articles than their European counterparts. This may be because, when hired, they already have several good acceptances or because of more focused research efforts and clearer career incentives.

Understanding the vertical equity judgements underpinning health inequality measures

The choice of income-related health inequality measures in comparative studies is often determined by custom and analytical concerns, without much explicit consideration of the vertical equity judgements underlying alternative measures. This note employs an inequality map to illustrate how it these judgements that affect the ranking of populations by health inequality. In particular, it is shown that relative indices of inequality in health attainments and shortfalls embody distinct vertical equity judgments, where each may represent ethically defensible positions in specific contexts. Further research is needed to explore people’s preferences over distributions of income and health.