Role of Chlamydia trachomatis in miscarriage.

To determine the role of Chlamydia trachomatis in miscarriage, we prospectively collected serum, cervicovaginal swab specimens, and placental samples from 386 women with and without miscarriage. Prevalence of immunoglobulin G against C. trachomatis was higher in the miscarriage group than in the control group (15.2% vs. 7.3%; p = 0.018). Association between C. trachomatis-positive serologic results and miscarriage remained significant after adjustment for age, origin, education, and number of sex partners (odds ratio 2.3, 95% confidence interval 1.1-4.9). C. trachomatis DNA was more frequently amplified from products of conception or placenta from women who had a miscarriage (4%) than from controls (0.7%; p = 0.026). Immunohistochemical analysis confirmed C. trachomatis in placenta from 5 of 7 patients with positive PCR results, whereas results of immunohistochemical analysis were negative in placenta samples from all 8 negative controls tested. Associations between miscarriage and serologic/molecular evidence of C. trachomatis infection support its role in miscarriage.

Integrated Analysis of Molecular and Clinical Prognostic Factors in Stage II/III Colon Cancer.

Background The prognostic potential of individual clinical and molecular parameters in stage II/III colon cancer has been investigated, but a thorough multivariable assessment of their relative impact is missing. Methods Tumors from patients (N = 1404) in the PETACC3 adjuvant chemotherapy trial were examined for BRAF and KRAS mutations, microsatellite instability (MSI), chromosome 18q loss of heterozygosity (18qLOH), and SMAD4 expression. Their importance in predicting relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) was assessed by Kaplan-Meier analyses, Cox regression models, and recursive partitioning trees. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results MSI-high status and SMAD4 focal loss of expression were identified as independent prognostic factors with better RFS (hazard ratio [HR] of recurrence = 0.54, 95% CI = 0.37 to 0.81, P = .003) and OS (HR of death = 0.43, 95% CI = 0.27 to 0.70, P = .001) for MSI-high status and worse RFS (HR = 1.47, 95% CI = 1.19 to 1.81, P < .001) and OS (HR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.23 to 2.01, P < .001) for SMAD4 loss. 18qLOH did not have any prognostic value in RFS or OS. Recursive partitioning identified refinements of TNM into new clinically interesting prognostic subgroups. Notably, T3N1 tumors with MSI-high status and retained SMAD4 expression had outcomes similar to stage II disease. Conclusions Concomitant assessment of molecular and clinical markers in multivariable analysis is essential to confirm or refute their independent prognostic value. Including molecular markers with independent prognostic value might allow more accurate prediction of prognosis than TNM staging alone.

Malliavin calculus in finance

This article is an introduction to Malliavin Calculus for practitioners.We treat one specific application to the calculation of greeks in Finance.We consider also the kernel density method to compute greeks and anextension of the Vega index called the local vega index.

Local volatility changes in the black-scholes model

In this paper we address a problem arising in risk management; namely the study of price variations of different contingent claims in the Black-Scholes model due to anticipating future events. The method we propose to use is an extension of the classical Vega index, i.e. the price derivative with respect to the constant volatility, in thesense that we perturb the volatility in different directions. Thisdirectional derivative, which we denote the local Vega index, will serve as the main object in the paper and one of the purposes is to relate it to the classical Vega index. We show that for all contingent claims studied in this paper the local Vega index can be expressed as a weighted average of the perturbation in volatility. In the particular case where the interest rate and the volatility are constant and the perturbation is deterministic, the local Vega index is an average of this perturbation multiplied by the classical Vega index. We also study the well-known goal problem of maximizing the probability of a perfect hedge and show that the speed of convergence is in fact dependent of the local Vega index.

The influence of environmental conditions on immune responses, morphology and recapture probability of nestling house martins (Delichon urbica)

Nestling birds produced later in the season are hypothesized to be of poor quality with a low probability of survival and recruitment. In a Spanish population of house martins (Delichon urbica), we first compared reproductive success, immune responses and morphological traits between the first and the second broods. Second, we investigated the effects of an ectoparasite treatment and breeding date on the recapture rate the following year. Due probably to a reverse situation in weather conditions during the experiment, with more rain during rearing of the first brood, nestlings reared during the second brood were in better condition and had stronger immune responses compared with nestlings from the first brood. Contrary to other findings on house martins, we found a similar recapture rate for chicks reared during the first and the second brood. Furthermore, ectoparasitic house martin bugs had no significant effect on the recapture rate. Recaptured birds had similar morphology but higher immunoglobulin levels when nestlings compared with non-recaptured birds. This result implies that a measure of immune function is a better predictor of survival than body condition per se.

Optimal information transmission in organizations: Search and congestion

We propose a stylized model of a problem-solving organization whoseinternal communication structure is given by a fixed network. Problemsarrive randomly anywhere in this network and must find their way to theirrespective specialized solvers by relying on local information alone.The organization handles multiple problems simultaneously. For this reason,the process may be subject to congestion. We provide a characterization ofthe threshold of collapse of the network and of the stock of foatingproblems (or average delay) that prevails below that threshold. We buildupon this characterization to address a design problem: the determinationof what kind of network architecture optimizes performance for any givenproblem arrival rate. We conclude that, for low arrival rates, the optimalnetwork is very polarized (i.e. star-like or centralized ), whereas it islargely homogenous (or decentralized ) for high arrival rates. We also showthat, if an auxiliary assumption holds, the transition between these twoopposite structures is sharp and they are the only ones to ever qualify asoptimal.

The major genetic determinants of HIV-1 control affect HLA class I peptide presentation.

Infectious and inflammatory diseases have repeatedly shown strong genetic associations within the major histocompatibility complex (MHC); however, the basis for these associations remains elusive. To define host genetic effects on the outcome of a chronic viral infection, we performed genome-wide association analysis in a multiethnic cohort of HIV-1 controllers and progressors, and we analyzed the effects of individual amino acids within the classical human leukocyte antigen (HLA) proteins. We identified >300 genome-wide significant single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) within the MHC and none elsewhere. Specific amino acids in the HLA-B peptide binding groove, as well as an independent HLA-C effect, explain the SNP associations and reconcile both protective and risk HLA alleles. These results implicate the nature of the HLA-viral peptide interaction as the major factor modulating durable control of HIV infection.

Biomasa de recursos pesqueros a finales del invierno 1998. Crucero BIC Humboldt y BIC Jose Olaya Balandra 9808-09, de Paita a Tacna.

Se estimó la biomasa de las especies: anchoveta, Engraulis ringens; sardina, Sardinops sagax sagax; jurel, Trachurus picturatus murphyi; caballa, Scomber japonicus peruanus; samasa, Anchoa nasus; vinciguerria, falso volador, Prionotus stephanophrys y bagre, Galeichthys peruvianus; mediante técnicas hidroacústicas durante el crucero realizado entre el 20 de agosto y el 18 de septiembre de 1998, a bordo del BIC Humboldt, del BIC José Olaya Balandra y las lanchas IMARPE IV e IMARPE V. El diseño para la obtención de datos fue el sistemático paralelo con transectos perpendiculares a la costa con una separación entre ellos de 14 mn. El equipo utilizado fue la ecosonda científica EK-500 Simrad a frecuencias de 38 y 120 kHz, en un rango de detección de 3,5 a 400 m de profundidad. Las calibraciones hidroacústicas se realizaron en la Isla San Lorenzo (Callao). La obtención de la biomasa se determinó por el método de estratificación por rectángulos constituidos en áreas isoparalitorales de 10 x 30 mn.

Distribución e indices de avistamientos de mamiferos marinos y su relación con la abundancia del Krill Euphasia Superba. Perú Antar IX

Un total de 41 avistamientos de mamíferos marinos se registraron en el Estrecho de Bransfield y alrededores de la Isla Elefante entre los 60,5° y 63° S y los 53,5 y 60° W, cubriendo 853,02 mn durante el Crucero de Evaluación de la Biomasa del Krill en la IX Expedición Peruana a la Antártida, desarrollada entre el 12 y 24 de enero de 1998. Dentro del orden Cetacea se registraron 33 ballenas jorobadas Megaptera novaeangliae, 2 ballenas minke Balaenoptera bonaerenses, 9 orcas Orcinus orca, 2 balaenoptéridos y un cetáceo mayor no identificado. Entre los registros del orden Pinnipedia figuran 21 lobos finos antárticos Arctocephalus gazella, 2 focas cangrejas Lobodon carcinophagus y una foca leopardo Hidrurga leptonix. La presencia de estos mamíferos marinos en las áreas con valores altos en la biomasa de krill, hace presumir que estarían cumpliendo actividades tróficas, constituyéndose en posibles indicadores de la existencia de concentraciones de este crustáceo en la región antártica.

Cartas de temperatura superficial promedio del mar, frente a las costas del Perú, durante Agosto y Setiembre de 1970

Brinda información sobre la temperatura superficial del mar, con el fin de orientar a la actividad pesquera e industrias conexas para un aprovechamiento efectivo de los recursos, haciendo predicciones a corto y largo plazo sobre las condiciones del mar.

Gestión operaciones logísticas : planificación, gestión y control on-line de operaciones de descarga

Aplicación en entorno web para facilitar la planificación, control y gestión de operaciones logísticas de descarga en un almacén regulador que gestione diferentes clientes con varios orígenes y destinos. Permite el acceso concurrente de varios usuarios previamente autorizados con diferentes niveles de acceso a datos y actualizaciones. Su utilización y actualización de los datos permite mantener un control on-line de la actividad y dar visibilidad a los clientes. Los datos almacenados se convierten en una fuente única, compartida y exportable para posteriores usos en análisis de datos y procesos de mejora. Incorpora informes de actividad y de indicadores de calidad.

L'Ús de la descripció a l'aula de ciències

La competència lingüística és una competència transversal que ha de ser abordada des de totes les àrees del coneixement. Aquest treball reflexiona sobre la necessitat d’implantar la competència lingüística dins del currículum de ciències naturals. Es centra en l’ús del text descriptiu dins de l’aula de ciències, presentant una proposta de metodologia a utilitzar a l’aula de ciències. Aquesta metodologia s’ha posat en pràctica a un curs de primer d’ESO. Es presenten també els resultats obtinguts així com propostes de millora, per tal de portar a terme la proposta de metodologia a l’aula.