A novel map-matching procedure for low-sampling GPS data with applications to traffic flow analysis

An extensive sample (2%) of private vehicles in Italy are equipped with a GPS device that periodically measures their position and dynamical state for insurance purposes. Having access to this type of data allows to develop theoretical and practical applications of great interest: the real-time reconstruction of traffic state in a certain region, the development of accurate models of vehicle dynamics, the study of the cognitive dynamics of drivers. In order for these applications to be possible, we first need to develop the ability to reconstruct the paths taken by vehicles on the road network from the raw GPS data. In fact, these data are affected by positioning errors and they are often very distanced from each other (~2 Km). For these reasons, the task of path identification is not straightforward. This thesis describes the approach we followed to reliably identify vehicle paths from this kind of low-sampling data. The problem of matching data with roads is solved with a bayesian approach of maximum likelihood. While the identification of the path taken between two consecutive GPS measures is performed with a specifically developed optimal routing algorithm, based on A* algorithm. The procedure was applied on an off-line urban data sample and proved to be robust and accurate. Future developments will extend the procedure to real-time execution and nation-wide coverage.

Quantifying the OH radical by global scale NMHC measurements from the NOAA - ESRL cooperative flask sampling network

Summary PhD Thesis Jan Pollmann: This thesis focuses on global scale measurements of light reactive non-methane hydrocarbon (NMHC), in the volatility range from ethane to toluene with a special focus on ethane, propane, isobutane, butane, isopentane and pentane. Even though they only occur at the ppt level (nmol mol-1) in the remote troposphere these species can yield insight into key atmospheric processes. An analytical method was developed and subsequently evaluated to analyze NMHC from the NOAA – ERSL cooperative air sampling network. Potential analytical interferences through other atmospheric trace gases (water vapor and ozone) were carefully examined. The analytical parameters accuracy and precision were analyzed in detail. It was proven that more than 90% of the data points meet the Global Atmospheric Watch (GAW) data quality objective. Trace gas measurements from 28 measurement stations were used to derive the global atmospheric distribution profile for 4 NMHC (ethane, propane, isobutane, butane). A close comparison of the derived ethane data with previously published reports showed that northern hemispheric ethane background mixing ratio declined by approximately 30% since 1990. No such change was observed for southern hemispheric ethane. The NMHC data and trace gas data supplied by NOAA ESRL were used to estimate local diurnal averaged hydroxyl radical (OH) mixing ratios by variability analysis. Comparison of the variability derived OH with directly measured OH and modeled OH mixing ratios were found in good agreement outside the tropics. Tropical OH was on average two times higher than predicted by the model. Variability analysis was used to assess the effect of chlorine radicals on atmospheric oxidation chemistry. It was found that Cl is probably not of significant relevance on a global scale.

Local Earthquake Tomography by trans-dimensional Monte Carlo Sampling

In this study a new, fully non-linear, approach to Local Earthquake Tomography is presented. Local Earthquakes Tomography (LET) is a non-linear inversion problem that allows the joint determination of earthquakes parameters and velocity structure from arrival times of waves generated by local sources. Since the early developments of seismic tomography several inversion methods have been developed to solve this problem in a linearized way. In the framework of Monte Carlo sampling, we developed a new code based on the Reversible Jump Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling method (Rj-McMc). It is a trans-dimensional approach in which the number of unknowns, and thus the model parameterization, is treated as one of the unknowns. I show that our new code allows overcoming major limitations of linearized tomography, opening a new perspective in seismic imaging. Synthetic tests demonstrate that our algorithm is able to produce a robust and reliable tomography without the need to make subjective a-priori assumptions about starting models and parameterization. Moreover it provides a more accurate estimate of uncertainties about the model parameters. Therefore, it is very suitable for investigating the velocity structure in regions that lack of accurate a-priori information. Synthetic tests also reveal that the lack of any regularization constraints allows extracting more information from the observed data and that the velocity structure can be detected also in regions where the density of rays is low and standard linearized codes fails. I also present high-resolution Vp and Vp/Vs models in two widespread investigated regions: the Parkfield segment of the San Andreas Fault (California, USA) and the area around the Alto Tiberina fault (Umbria-Marche, Italy). In both the cases, the models obtained with our code show a substantial improvement in the data fit, if compared with the models obtained from the same data set with the linearized inversion codes.

Sampling methods for low-frequency electromagnetic imaging

For the detection of hidden objects by low-frequency electromagnetic imaging the Linear Sampling Method works remarkably well despite the fact that the rigorous mathematical justification is still incomplete. In this work, we give an explanation for this good performance by showing that in the low-frequency limit the measurement operator fulfills the assumptions for the fully justified variant of the Linear Sampling Method, the so-called Factorization Method. We also show how the method has to be modified in the physically relevant case of electromagnetic imaging with divergence-free currents. We present numerical results to illustrate our findings, and to show that similar performance can be expected for the case of conducting objects and layered backgrounds.

A sampling method for detecting buried objects using electromagnetic scattering

We consider a simple (but fully three-dimensional) mathematical model for the electromagnetic exploration of buried, perfect electrically conducting objects within the soil underground. Moving an electric device parallel to the ground at constant height in order to generate a magnetic field, we measure the induced magnetic field within the device, and factor the underlying mathematics into a product of three operations which correspond to the primary excitation, some kind of reflection on the surface of the buried object(s) and the corresponding secondary excitation, respectively. Using this factorization we are able to give a justification of the so-called sampling method from inverse scattering theory for this particular set-up.

Visualisierung vergrabener Objekte: Ein Sampling-Verfahren für die Maxwell-Gleichungen

Wir untersuchen die numerische Lösung des inversen Streuproblems der Rekonstruktion der Form, Position und Anzahl endlich vieler perfekt leitender Objekte durch Nahfeldmessungen zeitharmonischer elektromagnetischer Wellen mit Hilfe von Metalldetektoren. Wir nehmen an, dass sich die Objekte gänzlich im unteren Halbraum eines unbeschränkten zweischichtigen Hintergrundmediums befinden. Wir nehmen weiter an, dass der obere Halbraum mit Luft und der untere Halbraum mit Erde gefüllt ist. Wir betrachten zuerst die physikalischen Grundlagen elektromagnetischer Wellen, aus denen wir zunächst ein vereinfachtes mathematisches Modell ableiten, in welchem wir direkt das elektromagnetische Feld messen. Dieses Modell erweitern wir dann um die Messung des elektromagnetischen Feldes von Sendespulen mit Hilfe von Empfangsspulen. Für das vereinfachte Modell entwickeln wir, unter Verwendung der Theorie des zugehörigen direkten Streuproblems, ein nichtiteratives Verfahren, das auf der Idee der sogenannten Faktorisierungsmethode beruht. Dieses Verfahren übertragen wir dann auf das erweiterte Modell. Wir geben einen Implementierungsvorschlag der Rekonstruktionsmethode und demonstrieren an einer Reihe numerischer Experimente die Anwendbarkeit des Verfahrens. Weiterhin untersuchen wir mehrere Abwandlungen der Methode zur Verbesserung der Rekonstruktionen und zur Verringerung der Rechenzeit.

Relationships between plant diversity and environmental heterogeneity in rupicolous grasslands on gypsum. The case study of Alysso-Sedion albi (Habitat 6110).

Plant communities on weathered rock and outcrops are characterized by high values in species richness (Dengler 2006) and often persist on small and fragmented surfaces. Yet very few studies have examined the relationships between heterogeneity and plant diversity at small scales, in particular in poor-nutrient and low productive environment (Shmida and Wilson 1985, Lundholm 2003). In order to assess these relationships both in space and time in relationship, two different approaches were employed in the present study, in two gypsum outcrops of Northern Apennine. Diachronic and synchronic samplings from April 2012 to March 2013 were performed. A 50x50 cm plot was used in both samplings such as the sampling unit base. The diachronic survey aims to investigate seasonal patterning of plant diversity by the use of images analysis techniques integrated with field data and considering also seasonal climatic trend, the substrate quality and its variation in time. The purpose of the further, synchronic sampling was to describe plant diversity pattern as a function of the environmental heterogeneity meaning in substrate typologies, soil depth and topographic features. Results showed that responses of diversity pattern depend both on the resources availability, environmental heterogeneity and the manner in which the different taxonomic group access to them during the year. Species richness and Shannon diversity were positively affected by increasing in substrate heterogeneity. Furthermore a good turnover in seasonal species occurrence was detected. This vegetation may be described by the coexistence of three groups of species which created a gradient from early colonization stages, characterized by greater slope and predominance of bare rock, gradually to situation of more developed soil.

Coarse-grained peptide models: conformational sampling, peptide association and dynamical properties for peptides

In dieser Arbeit wird ein vergröbertes (engl. coarse-grained, CG) Simulationsmodell für Peptide in wässriger Lösung entwickelt. In einem CG Verfahren reduziert man die Anzahl der Freiheitsgrade des Systems, so dass manrngrössere Systeme auf längeren Zeitskalen untersuchen kann. Die Wechselwirkungspotentiale des CG Modells sind so aufgebaut, dass die Peptid Konformationen eines höher aufgelösten (atomistischen) Modells reproduziert werden.rnIn dieser Arbeit wird der Einfluss unterschiedlicher bindender Wechsel-rnwirkungspotentiale in der CG Simulation untersucht, insbesondere daraufhin,rnin wie weit das Konformationsgleichgewicht der atomistischen Simulation reproduziert werden kann. Im CG Verfahren verliert man per Konstruktionrnmikroskopische strukturelle Details des Peptids, zum Beispiel, Korrelationen zwischen Freiheitsgraden entlang der Peptidkette. In der Dissertationrnwird gezeigt, dass diese “verlorenen” Eigenschaften in einem Rückabbildungsverfahren wiederhergestellt werden können, in dem die atomistischen Freiheitsgrade wieder in die CG-Strukturen eingefügt werden. Dies gelingt, solange die Konformationen des CG Modells grundsätzlich gut mit der atomistischen Ebene übereinstimmen. Die erwähnten Korrelationen spielen einerngrosse Rolle bei der Bildung von Sekundärstrukturen und sind somit vonrnentscheidender Bedeutung für ein realistisches Ensemble von Peptidkonformationen. Es wird gezeigt, dass für eine gute Übereinstimmung zwischen CG und atomistischen Kettenkonformationen spezielle bindende Wechselwirkungen wie zum Beispiel 1-5 Bindungs- und 1,3,5-Winkelpotentiale erforderlich sind. Die intramolekularen Parameter (d.h. Bindungen, Winkel, Torsionen), die für kurze Oligopeptide parametrisiert wurden, sind übertragbarrnauf längere Peptidsequenzen. Allerdings können diese gebundenen Wechselwirkungen nur in Kombination mit solchen nichtbindenden Wechselwirkungspotentialen kombiniert werden, die bei der Parametrisierung verwendet werden, sind also zum Beispiel nicht ohne weiteres mit einem andere Wasser-Modell kombinierbar. Da die Energielandschaft in CG-Simulationen glatter ist als im atomistischen Modell, gibt es eine Beschleunigung in der Dynamik. Diese Beschleunigung ist unterschiedlich für verschiedene dynamische Prozesse, zum Beispiel für verschiedene Arten von Bewegungen (Rotation und Translation). Dies ist ein wichtiger Aspekt bei der Untersuchung der Kinetik von Strukturbildungsprozessen, zum Beispiel Peptid Aggregation.rn

The Karhunen-Loève theorem

La trasformata di Karhunen-Loève monodimensionale è la decomposizione di un processo stocastico del secondo ordine a parametrizzazione continua in coefficienti aleatori scorrelati. Nella presente dissertazione, la trasformata è ottenuta per via analitica, proiettando il processo, considerato in un intervallo di tempo limitato [a,b], su una base deterministica ottenuta dalle autofunzioni dell'operatore di Hilbert-Schmidt di covarianza corrispondenti ad autovalori positivi. Fondamentalmente l'idea del metodo è, dal primo, trovare gli autovalori positivi dell'operatore integrale di Hilbert-Schmidt, che ha in Kernel la funzione di covarianza del processo. Ad ogni tempo dell'intervallo, il processo è proiettato sulla base ortonormale dello span delle autofunzioni dell'operatore di Hilbert-Schmidt che corrispondono ad autovalori positivi. Tale procedura genera coefficienti aleatori che si rivelano variabili aleatorie centrate e scorrelate. L'espansione in serie che risulta dalla trasformata è una combinazione lineare numerabile di coefficienti aleatori di proiezione ed autofunzioni convergente in media quadratica al processo, uniformemente sull'intervallo temporale. Se inoltre il processo è Gaussiano, la convergenza è quasi sicuramente sullo spazio di probabilità (O,F,P). Esistono molte altre espansioni in serie di questo tipo, tuttavia la trasformata di Karhunen-Loève ha la peculiarità di essere ottimale rispetto all'errore totale in media quadratica che consegue al troncamento della serie. Questa caratteristica ha conferito a tale metodo ed alle sue generalizzazioni un notevole successo tra le discipline applicate.

Poor performance of microbiological sampling in the prediction of recurrent arthroplasty infection

During a two-stage revision for prosthetic joint infections (PJI), joint aspirations, open tissue sampling and serum inflammatory markers are performed before re-implantation to exclude ongoing silent infection. We investigated the performance of these diagnostic procedures on the risk of recurrence of PJI among asymptomatic patients undergoing a two-stage revision. A total of 62 PJI were found in 58 patients. All patients had intra-operative surgical exploration during re-implantation, and 48 of them had intra-operative microbiological swabs. Additionally, 18 joint aspirations and one open biopsy were performed before second-stage reimplantation. Recurrence or persistence of PJI occurred in 12 cases with a mean delay of 218 days after re-implantation, but only four pre- or intraoperative invasive joint samples had grown a pathogen in cultures. In at least seven recurrent PJIs (58%), patients had a normal C-reactive protein (CRP, < 10 mg/l) level before re-implantation. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive and negative predictive values of pre-operative invasive joint aspiration and CRP for the prediction of PJI recurrence was 0.58, 0.88, 0.5, 0.84 and 0.17, 0.81, 0.13, 0.86, respectively. As a conclusion, pre-operative joint aspiration, intraoperative bacterial sampling, surgical exploration and serum inflammatory markers are poor predictors of PJI recurrence. The onset of reinfection usually occurs far later than reimplantation.

Selective inferior petrosal sinus sampling without venous outflow diversion in the detection of a pituitary adenoma in Cushing's syndrome

Conventional MRI may still be an inaccurate method for the non-invasive detection of a microadenoma in adrenocorticotropin (ACTH)-dependent Cushing's syndrome (CS). Bilateral inferior petrosal sinus sampling (BIPSS) with ovine corticotropin-releasing hormone (oCRH) stimulation is an invasive, but accurate, intervention in the diagnostic armamentarium surrounding CS. Until now, there is a continuous controversial debate regarding lateralization data in detecting a microadenoma. Using BIPSS, we evaluated whether a highly selective placement of microcatheters without diversion of venous outflow might improve detection of pituitary microadenoma.

Comparison of gingival crevicular fluid sampling methods in patients with severe chronic periodontitis

The analysis of samplings from periodontal pockets is important in the diagnosis and therapy of periodontitis. In this study, three different sampling techniques were compared to determine whether one method yielded samples suitable for the reproducible and simultaneous determination of bacterial load, cytokines, neutrophil elastase, and arginine-specific gingipains (Rgps). Rgps are an important virulence factor of Porphyromonas gingivalis, the exact concentration of which in gingival crevicular fluid (GCF) has not been quantified.