Projeto de Sistema Fotovoltaico Para as Naves Industriais da Zona Econômica Especial de Luanda-Bengo

Com os preços do barril de petróleo a atingir níveis nunca antes atingidos, cada vez mais há uma maior sensibilização para a importância das fontes renováveis de energia, não só pelo seu baixo custo de exploração, mas também pela ausência de poluição ambiental. A integração de sistemas fotovoltaicos nas edificações, começa a ter uma expressão significativa especialmente por ser uma forma de produção renovável. Pelo seu carácter renovável, vai ao encontro de objetivos ambientais, e é também desejável pelo seu carácter distribuído, produção próxima do consumo, evitando perdas de transporte e utilizando o recurso disponível no consumidor. No presente projeto é feita uma breve descrição do atual sistema elétrico angolano, nomeadamente o seu potencial, capacidade instalada, e perspetivas futuras de desenvolvimento do mesmo. Com uma perspetiva introdutória são abordadas as energias renováveis especialmente a energia fotovoltaica, terminando com as diferentes formas de produção e tecnologias existentes. São apresentados diferentes equipamentos, que, com as inúmeras combinações poderão vir a constituir um sistema técnico e financeiramente viável. Devido aos vários cenários possíveis (combinações entre equipamentos), foram usadas como instrumentos de apoio ferramentas informáticas que permitem o dimensionamento de sistemas fotovoltaicos, análise de compatibilidades, e simulação do seu funcionamento. Foram dimensionadas quatro opções de sistemas fotovoltaicos, a instalar nas naves industriais da Zona Económica Especial Luanda-Bengo, para uma mesma área de cobertura, seguido de um estudo económico, onde é feito uma comparação custo/benefício dos vários sistemas.

Projecto de equipamento de rotação de moldes de grande porte com recurso ao método de elementos finitos

A fabricação de moldes é uma actividade que se desenvolve em Portugal há várias décadas, com qualidade reconhecida mundialmente. A indústria automóvel é um dos principais destinos de grande parte dos moldes produzidos em Portugal. Algumas das peças produzidas nesses moldes possuem dimensões apreciáveis, tendo em conta o peso e dimensão média das peças injectadas em plástico. São exemplo disso os pára-choques dos automóveis e o tabliê. A produção dos moldes para estas peças é complexa, implicando um longo tempo de maquinagem e a manipulação dos moldes em diferentes fases, com vista ao acesso a todas as faces do molde. A IGM – Indústria Global de Moldes, SA. é a empresa responsável pela produção dos moldes para peças de média dimensão dentro do Grupo SIMOLDES. Atendendo à necessidade permanente de rodar a 90o moldes de grande porte, que podem apresentar pesos na ordem das 10 a 30 toneladas, e não existindo no mercado qualquer solução adaptável a esta necessidade, a empresa entendeu por bem levar a efeito o projecto desse equipamento, atendendo ao compromisso custo-benefício que torne viável a realização prática do mesmo. Após os esboços iniciais e uma discussão interactiva e iterativa com a empresa, foram analisadas as diferentes soluções entendidas como viáveis, tendo sido escolhido um dos anteprojectos realizados. Foram ainda discutidas as diversas alternativas de accionamento. Com base nesse anteprojecto, a estrutura foi optimizada e verificada através do Método de Elementos Finitos, tendo sido elaborado o projecto final, com o grau de detalhe necessário à sua fabricação e implementação na empresa.

Os Factores Genéticos na Perda Gestacional

Pregnancy loss is the most common obstetric complication. Multiple factors have been associated with recurrent or sporadic pregnancy loss, and genetic factors, particularly at earlier gestational ages, are the most important ones. The proportion of miscarriages due to chromosomal factors decreases with increasing gestational age. The most common chromosomal abnormalities in early losses are autosomal trisomies, monosomy X and polyploidy. In later losses, aneuploidies are similar to those found in live newborns (trisomies 21,18 and 13, X monosomy and polysomy of sex chromosomes. In cases of recurrent miscarriage the most common cytogenetic changes are trisomies, polyploidy, monosomy X and unbalanced translocations. Identification of the causes of pregnancy loss facilitates the families’ grief and may indicate if there is the risk of repetition, in order to reduce recurrence. The investigation recommended in each case is far from consensual, and the cost/benefit analysis of diagnostic exams is essential. The determination of the karyotype of the products of conception is indicated in cases of fetal loss and recurrent miscarriage, while the parental karyotypes should be performed only in selected cases. Couples with identified genetic conditions should be counseled about reproductive options, including prenatal or pre-implantation diagnosis. Surveillance of a future pregnancy should be multidisciplinary and adjusted in each case. The cytogenetic factors, due to their high prevalence and complexity, have a fundamental, but still not completely clear, role in pregnancy loss.

One Anastomosis Gastric Bypass versus Roux en Y Gastric Bypass as Salvage Technique after Failed Gastric Band: a Retrospective Analysis of 80 Cases

The classical “Roux en Y Gastric Bypass” (RYGBP) is still the standard technique between all the ones being used nowadays. The “One anastomosis gastric bypass” (OAGBP), is an evolution of the “Minigastic bypass” described by Robert Rutledge in 2001, is a well known and progressively frequent but still controversial technique. In our group, after an experience of 10 years using the RYGBP as a salvage surgery after failed gastric banding, in 132 cases, we decided to adopt the OAGBP as our preferential bariatric technique also in this situation. The theoretical main reasons for that shift are related to the increased safety, maximized weight loss, long term weight loss maintenance and reversibility of the operation. Method: Retrospectively we evaluated data of the surgical management of revisional cases for conversion, after failed or complicated gastric bands to gastric bypass. We selected the last 40 cases of each technique since May 2010. Results: All cases were performed by laparoscopy without any conversion. In both groups the conversion has been performed in one single step (17 cases, 42,5%). Data showed lower morbidity with OAGBP (2,5% against 7,5%) and better weight loss in theOAGBP cohort after a median follow up of 16months (67%against 55%) in patients revised after gastric band failure or complications. None had statistic significance (p>0,1) by the chi-square contingency table analysis.Conclusion: It seems to there is a difference in favour of OAGBP for conversion of complicated gastric bands. In this study we didn’t found statistic significance probably because of the short numbers. Prospective and more powerful studies are necessary to evaluate the benefit of the studied procedure.

Estratégias de Comercialização de Potência como Medida de Eficiência Energética

A presente dissertação insere-se no âmbito da unidade curricular “ Dissertação” do 2º ano do mestrado em Engenharia Eletrotécnica – Sistemas Elétricos de Energia. Com o aumento crescente do número de consumidores de energia, é cada vez mais imperioso a adoção de medidas de racionalização e gestão dos consumos da energia elétrica. Existem diferentes tipos de dificuldades no planeamento e implementação de novas centrais produtoras de energia renovável, pelo que também por este motivo é cada vez mais importante adoção de medidas de gestão de consumos, quer ao nível dos clientes alimentados em média tensão como de baixa tensão. Desta forma será mais acessível a criação de padrões de eficiência energética elevados em toda a rede de distribuição de energia elétrica. Também a economia é afetada por uma fraca gestão dos consumos por parte dos clientes. Elevados desperdícios energéticos levam a que mais energia tenha que ser produzida, energia essa que contribui ainda mais para a elevada taxa de dependência energética em Portugal, e para o degradar da economia nacional. Coloca-se assim a necessidade de implementar planos e métodos que promovam a eficiência energética e a gestão racional de consumos de energia elétrica. Apresenta-se nesta dissertação várias propostas, algumas na forma de projetos já em execução, que visam sensibilizar o consumidor para a importância da utilização eficiente de energia e, ao mesmo tempo, disponibilizam as ferramentas tecnológicas adequadas para auxiliar a implementação dos métodos propostos. Embora os planos apresentados, sobejamente conhecidos, tenham imensa importância, a implementação nos vários consumidores de sistemas capazes de efetivamente reduzir consumos tem um papel fundamental. Equipamentos de gestão de consumos, que são apresentados nesta dissertação, permitem ao consumidor aceder diretamente ao seu consumo. Podem aceder não apenas ao consumo global da instalação mas também ao consumo específico por equipamento, permitindo perceber onde se verifica a situação mais desfavorável. Funcionalidades de programação de perfis tipo, com limitações de potência em vários períodos horários, bem como possibilidades de controlo remoto com recurso a aplicações para Smartphones permitem a redução de consumos ao nível da rede de distribuição e, desta forma, contribuir para a redução dos desperdícios e da dependência energética em Portugal. No âmbito do trabalho de dissertação é desenvolvida uma metodologia de comercialização de potência, que é apresentada nesta tese. Esta metodologia propõem que o consumidor, em função dos seus consumos, pague apenas a quantidade de potência que efetivamente necessita num certo período de tempo. Assim, o consumidor deixa de pagar uma tarifa mensal fixa associada á sua potência contratada, e passará a pagar um valor correspondente apenas à potência que efetivamente solicitou em todas as horas durante o mês. Nesta metodologia que é apresentada, o consumidor poderá também fazer uma análise do seu diagrama de cargas e simular uma alteração da sua tarifa, tarifa esta que varia entre tarifa simples, bi-horária semanal, bi-horária diária, tri-horária semanal ou tri-horária diária, de forma a perceber em qual destas pagará um menor valor pela mesma energia. De forma a que o consumidor possa perceber se haverá vantagem de uma alteração para uma potência contratada flexível, ou para uma outra tarifa associada á energia, tem ao seu dispor uma ferramenta, que em função dos seus consumos, permite retirar conclusões sobre o preço final a pagar na fatura, após cada tipo de alteração. Esta ferramenta foi validada com recurso a várias simulações, para diferentes perfis de consumidores. Desta forma, o utilizador fica a perceber que realmente pode poupar com uma potência contratada flexível, ao mesmo tempo que pode identificar-se com um perfil de simulação e, mais facilmente, perceber para que alteração tarifária pode usufruir de uma maior poupança.

A utilização de actos complementares de diagnóstico: uma análise económica

Dissertação submetida para obtenção do grau de Doutor em Saúde Pública Especialidade de Economia da Saúde

Economic analysis in health care regulation : three essays

ABSTRACT - It is the purpose of the present thesis to emphasize, through a series of examples, the need and value of appropriate pre-analysis of the impact of health care regulation. Specifically, the thesis presents three papers on the theme of regulation in different aspects of health care provision and financing. The first two consist of economic analyses of the impact of health care regulation and the third comprises the creation of an instrument for supporting economic analysis of health care regulation, namely in the field of evaluation of health care programs. The first paper develops a model of health plan competition and pricing in order to understand the dynamics of health plan entry and exit in the presence of switching costs and alternative health premium payment systems. We build an explicit model of death spirals, in which profitmaximizing competing health plans find it optimal to adopt a pattern of increasing relative prices culminating in health plan exit. We find the steady-state numerical solution for the price sequence and the plan’s optimal length of life through simulation and do some comparative statics. This allows us to show that using risk adjusted premiums and imposing price floors are effective at reducing death spirals and switching costs, while having employees pay a fixed share of the premium enhances death spirals and increases switching costs. Price regulation of pharmaceuticals is one of the cost control measures adopted by the Portuguese government, as in many European countries. When such regulation decreases the products’ real price over time, it may create an incentive for product turnover. Using panel data for the period of 1997 through 2003 on drug packages sold in Portuguese pharmacies, the second paper addresses the question of whether price control policies create an incentive for product withdrawal. Our work builds the product survival literature by accounting for unobservable product characteristics and heterogeneity among consumers when constructing quality, price control and competition indexes. These indexes are then used as covariates in a Cox proportional hazard model. We find that, indeed, price control measures increase the probability of exit, and that such effect is not verified in OTC market where no such price regulation measures exist. We also find quality to have a significant positive impact on product survival. In the third paper, we develop a microsimulation discrete events model (MSDEM) for costeffectiveness analysis of Human Immunodeficiency Virus treatment, simulating individual paths from antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation to death. Four driving forces determine the course of events: CD4+ cell count, viral load resistance and adherence. A novel feature of the model with respect to the previous MSDEMs is that distributions of time to event depend on individuals’ characteristics and past history. Time to event was modeled using parametric survival analysis. Events modeled include: viral suppression, regimen switch due virological failure, regimen switch due to other reasons, resistance development, hospitalization, AIDS events, and death. Disease progression is structured according to therapy lines and the model is parameterized with cohort Portuguese observational data. An application of the model is presented comparing the cost-effectiveness ART initiation with two nucleoside analogue reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTI) plus one non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor(NNRTI) to two NRTI plus boosted protease inhibitor (PI/r) in HIV- 1 infected individuals. We find 2NRTI+NNRTI to be a dominant strategy. Results predicted by the model reproduce those of the data used for parameterization and are in line with those published in the literature.

Determinants of venture capital and private equity investments in renewable energy: A cross-country study

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Web-assisted tobacco intervention in Portuguese : intentions to make behavioural changes and behavioural changes

ABSTRACT - The problem of how to support “intentions to make behavioural changes” (IBC) and “behaviour changes” (BC) in smoking cessation when there is a scarcity of resources is a pressing issue in public health terms. The present research focuses on the use of information and communications technologies and their role in smoking cessation. It is developed in Portugal after the ratification of WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (on 8 November 2005). The prevalence of smokers over fifteen years of age within the population stood at 20.9% (30.9% for men and 11.8% for women). While the strategy of helping people to quit smoking has been emphasised at National Health Service (NHS) level, the uptake of cessation assistance has exceeded the capacity of the service. This induced the search of new theoretical and practical venues to offer alternative options to people willing to stop smoking. Among these, the National Health Plan (NHP) of Portugal (2004-2010), identifies the use of information technologies in smoking cessation. eHealth and the importance of health literacy as a means of empowering people to make behavioural changes is recurrently considered an option worth investigating. The overall objective of this research is to understand, in the Portuguese context, the use of the Internet to help people to stop smoking. Research questions consider factors that may contribute to “intentions to make behavioural changes” (IBC) and “behavioural changes” (BC) while using a Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP). Also consideration is given to the trade-off on the use of the Web as a tool for smoking cessation: can it reach a vast number of people for a small cost (efficiency) demonstrating to work in the domain of smoking cessation (efficacy)”? In addition to the introduction, there is a second chapter in which the use of tobacco is discussed as a public health menace. The health gains achieved by stopping smoking and the means of quitting are also examined, as is the use of the Internet in smoking cessation. Then, several research issues are introduced. These include background theory and the theoretical framework for the Sense of Coherence. The research model is also discussed. A presentation of the methods, materials and of the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) follows. In chapter four the results of the use of the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) are presented. This study is divided into two sections. The first describes results related to quality control in relation to the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) and gives an overview of its users. Of these, 3,150 answered initial eligibility questions. In the end, 1,463 met all eligibility requirements, completed intake, decided on a day to quit smoking (Dday) and declared their “intentions to make behavioural changes” (IBC) while a second targeted group of 650 did not decide on a Dday. With two quit attempts made before joining the platform, most of the participants had experienced past failures while wanting to stop. The smoking rate averaged 21 cigarettes per day. With a mean age of 35, of the participants 55% were males. Among several other considerations, gender and the Sense of Coherence (SOC) influenced the success of participants in their IBC and endeavour to set quit dates. The results of comparing males and females showed that, for current smokers, establishing a Dday was related to gender differences, not favouring males (OR=0.76, p<0.005). Belonging to higher Socio-economic strata (SES) was associated with the intention to consider IBC (when compared to lower SES condition) (OR=1.57, p<0.001) and higher number of school years (OR=0.70, p<0.005) favoured the decision to smoking cessation. Those who demonstrated higher confidence in their likelihood of success in stopping in the shortest time had a higher rate of setting a Dday (OR=0.51, p<0.001). There were differences between groups in IBC reflecting the high and low levels of the SOC score (OR=1.43, p=0.006), as those who considered setting a Dday had higher levels of SOC. After adjusting for all variables, stages of readiness to change and SOC were kept in the model. This is the first Arm of this research where the focus is a discussion of the system’s implications for the participants’ “intentions to make behavioural changes” (IBC). Moreover, a second section of this study (second Arm) offers input collected from 77 in-depth interviews with the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) users. Here, “Behaviour Change” (BC) and the usability of the platform are explored a year after IBC was declared. A percentage of 32.9% of self-reported, 12-month quitters in continuous abstinence from smoking from Dday to the 12-month follow- up point of the use of the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) has been assessed. Comparing the Sense of Coherence (SOC) scores of participants by their respective means, according to the two groups, there was a significant difference in these scores of non smokers (BC) (M=144,66, SD=22,52) and Sense of Coherence (SOC) of smokers (noBC) (M=131,51, SD=21,43) p=0.014. This WATIP strategy and its contents benefit from the strengthening of the smoker’s sense of coherence (SOC), so that the person’s progress towards a life without tobacco may be experienced as comprehensible, manageable and meaningful. In this sample the sense of coherence (SOC) effect is moderate although it is associated with the day to quit smoking (Dday). Some of the limitations of this research have to do with self-selection bias, sample size (power) and self-reporting (no biochemical validation). The enrolment of participants was therefore not representative of the smoking population. It is not possible to verify the Web-Assisted Tobacco Intervention Probe (WATIP) evaluation of external validity; consequently, the results obtained cannot be applied generalized. No participation bias is provided. Another limitation of this study is the associated limitations of interviews. Interviewees’ perception that fabricating answers could benefit them more than telling the simple truth in response to questions is a risk that is not evaluated (with no external validation like measuring participants’ carbon monoxide levels). What emerges in this analysis is the relevance of the process that leads to the establishment of the quit day (Dday) to stop using tobacco. In addition, technological issues, when tailoring is the focus, are key elements for scrutiny. The high number of dropouts of users of the web platform mandates future research that should concentrate on the matters of the user-centred design of portals. The focus on gains in health through patient-centred care needs more research, so that technology usability be considered within the context of best practices in smoking cessation.

Benchmarking in primary health care: An application of the stochasticd frontier analysis and the grades of membership approach to Portuguese family health units

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Inventory management for the health sector: ABC analysis approach

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Welfare analysis of regulating mobile termination rates in the UK with an application to the Orange/T-Mobile merger

We present a calibrated model of the UK mobile telephony market with four mobile networks; calls to and from the fixed network; network-based price discrimination; and call externalities. Our results show that reducing mobile termination rates broadly in line with the recent European Commission Recommendation to either pure long-run incremental cost ; reciprocal termination charges with fixed networks; or Bill & Keep (i.e. zero termination rates), increases social welfare, consumer surplus and networks profits. Depending on the strength of call externalities, social welfare may increase by as much as £ 990 million to £ 4.5 billion per year, with Bill & Keep leading to the highest increase in welfare. We also apply the model to estimate the welfare effects of the 2010 merger between Orange and T-Mobile under different scenarios concerning MTRs, and predict that consumer surplus decreases strongly.

Cost efficiency in the Portuguese water sector: The case of multimunicipal systems operating at the bulk level

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Vodafone - Kabel Deutschland Merger

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Avaliação econômica da estação de monta em caprinos utilizando protocolo de sincronização do estro e ração flushing.

Resumo: O objetivo deste estudo foi realizar uma análise econômica do protocolo de sincronização do estro mais a ração flushing oferecida as cabras durante a estação de monta. Foram selecionadas 12 cabras da raça Saanen e um reprodutor, recebendo ração flushing. Utilizou-se esponjas análogas a progesterona, Prostaglandina e Gonadotrofina Coriônica Equina. O custo total foi de R$ 46, 17/animal. A utilização da sincronização torna-se uma medida viável economicamente quando comparada a monta natural. [Economic analisy on station of sum to Saanen goats using protocol of synchronization of estrous and flushing ration]. Abstract: The aim of the experimente was to realize na economic analysis of protocol synchronization of estrous and flushing ration offered to Saanen breed goats during station of sum. Twelve Saanen breed goats and onde billy-goat were used. Intravaginal sponges containing progesterone, Prostaglandin and Equine Corionic Gonadotroohin were used. The total costs were R$ 46,17/animal. The use of protocol of sychronization of estrous is more economically viable the sum natural.