The implications of embodiment and Putty-Clay to economic development

In this paper we construct and analyze a growth model with the following three ingredients. (i) Technological progress is embodied. (ii) The production function of a firm is such that the firm makes both technology upgrade as well as capital and labor decisions. (iii) The firm’s production technology is putty-clay. We assume that there are disincentives to the accumulation of capital, resulting in a divergence between the social and the private cost of investment. We solve a single firm’s problem in this environment. Then we determine general equilibrium prices of capital goods of different vintages. Using these prices we aggregate firms’ decisions and construct the theoretical analogues of National Income statistics. This generates a relationship between disincentives and per capita incomes. We analyze this relationship and show the quantitative and qualitative roles of embodiment and putty-clay. We also show how the model is taken to data, quantified and used to determine to what extent income gaps across countries can be attributed to disincentives.

On choice of technique in the Robinson-Solow-Srinivasan model

We report results on the optimal \choice of technique" in a model originally formulated by Robinson, Solow and Srinivasan (henceforth, the RSS model) and further discussed by Okishio and Stiglitz. By viewing this vintage-capital model without discounting as a speci c instance of the general theory of intertemporal resource allocation associated with Brock, Gale and McKenzie, we resolve longstanding conjectures in the form of theorems on the existence and price support of optimal paths, and of conditions suÆcient for the optimality of a policy rst identi ed by Stiglitz. We dispose of the necessity of these conditions in surprisingly simple examples of economies in which (i) an optimal path is periodic, (ii) a path following Stiglitz' policy is bad, and (iii) there is optimal investment in di erent vintages at di erent times. (129 words)

Implications of ernbodied technological change for development economics

Employing a embodied technologic change model in which the time decision of scrapping old vintages of capital and adopt newer one is endogenous we show that the elasticity of substitutions among capital and labor plays a key role in determining the optimum life span of capital. In particular, for the CD case the life span of capital does not depend on the relative price of it. The estimation of the model's long-run investment function shows, for a Panel data set consisting of 125 economies for 25 years, that the price elasticity of investment is lower than one; we rejected the CD specification. Our calibration for the US suggests 0.4 for the technical elasticity of substitution. In order to get a theoretical consistent concept of aggregate capital we derive the relative price profile for a shadow second-hand market for capital. The shape of the model's theoretical price curve reproduces the empírical estimation of it. \lVe plug the calibrate version of the long-run solution of the model to a cross-section of economies data set to get the implied TFP, that is, the part of the productivity which is not explained by the model. We show that the mo dei represent a good improvement, comparing to the standard neoc!assical growth model with CD production function and disembodied technical change, in accounting the world diversity in productivity. In addition the model describes the fact that a very poor economy can experience fast growth based on capital accumulation until the point of becoming a middle income economy; from this point on it has to rely on TFP increase in order to keep growing.

Optimal growth in a two-sector model without discounting: a geometric investigation

We characterize optimal policy in a two-sector growth model with xed coeÆcients and with no discounting. The model is a specialization to a single type of machine of a general vintage capital model originally formulated by Robinson, Solow and Srinivasan, and its simplicity is not mirrored in its rich dynamics, and which seem to have been missed in earlier work. Our results are obtained by viewing the model as a specific instance of the general theory of resource allocation as initiated originally by Ramsey and von Neumann and brought to completion by McKenzie. In addition to the more recent literature on chaotic dynamics, we relate our results to the older literature on optimal growth with one state variable: speci cally, to the one-sector setting of Ramsey, Cass and Koopmans, as well as to the two-sector setting of Srinivasan and Uzawa. The analysis is purely geometric, and from a methodological point of view, our work can be seen as an argument, at least in part, for the rehabilitation of geometric methods as an engine of analysis.

Marcadores nutricionais e inflamatórios e sua associação com a morbimortalidade em hemodiálise

Background: Malnutrition, inflammation and comorbidities are frequent in patients with chronic renal failure in hemodialysis (HD), contributing for morbidity and mortality. Aims: To evaluate the correlation between anthropometric, laboratory parameters, bioelectrical impedance (BIA) and inflammatory markers with the morbidity and mortality of patients in HD, as well as the impact of its alterations throughout 12 months. Methods: 143 patients of a dialysis facility in Northeast Brazil were evaluated throughout 18 months. Patients with more than 3 months on dialysis, older than 18 years, without amputation of hands and feet, were included in the study. We performed a clinical (subjective global assessment - SGA), anthropometric (BMI, percent of ideal weight, MAC, MAMC, MAMA, percent of fat mass and TSF), laboratory (albumin, creatinine, lymphocyte count as nutritional markers and CRP, IL-6 and TNF- as inflammatory markers) evaluation and BIA (reactance, phase angle and percent of body cell mass) at the beginning of study and after 3, 6 and 12 months of follow-up. The association between study variables and deaths and hospitalizations in 6 and 12 months was investigated. The variable with significance < 10% in the univariate analysis had been enclosed in a multivariate logistic regression analysis. We also investigated the risk of mortality and hospitalization associated with differences in measurements of the variables at baseline and six months later. Results: Patients were aged 52.2 ± 16.6 years on the average, 58% were male, and mean dialysis vintage was 5.27 ± 5.12 years. The prevalence of malnutrition varied from 7.7-63.6%, according to the nutritional marker. The variables associated with morbidity and mortality in 6 and 12 months had been creatinine ≤ 9.45 mg/dl, phase angle ≤ 4.57 degrees, BMI ≤ 23 kg/m2, age ≤ 64.9 years, reactance ≤ 51.7 ohms; Charlson´s index ≥ 4 and socioeconomic status ≤ 7. During six months of follow up, decrease in albumin was associated with significantly higher mortality risk. Conclusions: This study detected that the best predictors of morbidity and mortality between nutritional and inflammatory markers are phase angle, reactance, creatinine and BMI and that changes in albumin values over six 107 months provide additional prognostic information. The authors believe that parameters of BIA may detect early changes in nutritional status and emphasize that longitudinal studies with larger number of patients are necessary to confirm these data and to recommend BIA as a routine nutritional evaluation in HD patients

Wine classification by taste sensors made from ultra-thin films and using neural networks

This paper reports on a sensor array able to distinguish tastes and used to classify red wines. The array comprises sensing units made from Langmuir-Blodgett (LB) films of conducting polymers and lipids and layer-by-layer (LBL) films from chitosan deposited onto gold interdigitated electrodes. Using impedance spectroscopy as the principle of detection, we show that distinct clusters can be identified in principal component analysis (PCA) plots for six types of red wine. Distinction can be made with regard to vintage, vineyard and brands of the red wine. Furthermore, if the data are treated with artificial neural networks (ANNs), this artificial tongue can identify wine samples stored under different conditions. This is illustrated by considering 900 wine samples, obtained with 30 measurements for each of the five bottles of the six wines, which could be recognised with 100% accuracy using the algorithms Standard Backpropagation and Backpropagation momentum in the ANNs. (C) 2003 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

A layer-by-layer film of chitosan in a taste sensor application

Chitosan is alternated with sulfonated polystyrene (PSS) to build layer-by-layer (LBL) films that are used as sensing units in an electronic tongue. Using impedance spectroscopy as the principle method of detection, an array using chitosan/PSS LBL film and a bare gold electrode as the sensing units was capable of distinguishing the basic tastes - salty, sweet, bitter, and sour - to a concentration below the human threshold. The suitability of chitosan as a sensing material was confirmed by using this sensor to distinguish red wines according to their vintage, vineyard, and brands.

Desenvolvimento e caracterização de vinhos tintos a partir de uvas cultivadas no noroeste paulista

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Utilização do cavaco de madeira como combustível alternativo para a produção de vapor de água em uma caldeira aquatubular com grelha fixa do tipo PIN HOLE

The steady increase in the price of oil and its derivatives, carbon credits, the concern with the environment combined with the precipitation of rain water and lack of water resources that Brazil has suffered in 2014 caused a migration of participation sources of energy in the Brazilian energy matrix. The hydropower sector suffered big drop at 2013 and is suffering so far, contributing thus to the generation and cogeneration of thermal energy using renewable energy sources such as: sugarcane bagasse, wood chips, rice husks, among others. The selling price of the electricity market reached the level of R$ 807, 00 MWh in January 2014 (Source: ANEEL), heating the Brazilian thermoelectric sector. Although thermoelectric use in bulk water as vaporizing fluid to produce electricity and use in various processes, water reuse plans have become an important factor in these industries. The increased use of biomass has been the bagasse which is allied to the sugarcane sector, strong market in Brazil, and consists basically use the rest of sugar cane, sugarcane industries that would play out. The sugar and ethanol industry is very unstable and only lasts for 6-8 months a year, and the remaining time in the period known as between crop that corresponds to the planting and harvesting of sugarcane and then enter the period of vintage which is the constant cane harvesting and crushing it. This instability of the market and the thermoelectric idle period leads the thermoelectric industries to seek other sources of renewable energy, such as wood chips (pine, Eucalyptus, Orange), rice husk, sorghum among others, to not be dependent on alcohol sector. The present work aims to study the use of wood chips as an alternative biomass for burning a fuel that essentially uses bagasse, the thermoelectric in question consists of two boilers that produce together 350 t / h ... (Complete Abstract click electronic access below)

Characterization of red wines from South America based on sensory properties and antioxidant activity

BACKGROUND: It is widely accepted that red wines constitute one of the most important sources of dietary polyphenolic antioxidants. However, it is still not known how some variables such as variety, vintage, country of origin, and retail price are associated with the antioxidant activity and sensory profile of South American red wines. In this regard, 80 samples produced in Brazil, Chile and Argentina were assessed in relation to their sensory properties, color and in vitro antioxidant activity, and results were subjected to multivariate statistical techniques. RESULTS: Samples were grouped in clusters, characterized by high, intermediate and low in vitro antioxidant activity, sensory properties and prices. It was possible to observe that wines with high antioxidant activity were associated to high retail prices and overall perception of sensory quality. CONCLUSION: South American wines produced from Vitis vinifera such as Syrah, Malbec and Cabernet Sauvignon had higher in vitro antioxidant activity and also higher sensory quality than wines produced from Vitis labrusca. This result was independent of vintage (2002-2010), corroborating the idea that the same grape varietal, even when produced in different years, displays similar sensory characteristics and antioxidant activity. (C) 2011 Society of Chemical Industry

Progenitori endoteliali nei pazienti con Chronic Kidney Disease - Mineral and Bone Disorder (CKD-MBD) in fase uremica: effetti del trattamento con vitamina D.

L'insufficienza renale cronica (CKD) è associata ad un rischio cardiovascolare più elevato rispetto alla popolazione generale: fattori come uremia, stress ossidativo, età dialitica, infiammazione, alterazioni del metabolismo minerale e presenza di calcificazioni vascolari incidono fortemente sulla morbosità e mortalità per cause cardiovascolari nel paziente uremico. Diversi studi hanno verificato il coinvolgimento dei progenitori endoteliali (EPC) nella malattia aterosclerotica ed è stato dimostrato che esprimono osteocalcina, marcatore di calcificazione. Inoltre, nella CKD è presente una disfunzione in numero e funzionalità delle EPC. Attualmente, il ruolo delle EPC nella formazione delle calcificazioni vascolari nei pazienti in dialisi non è stato ancora chiarito. Lo scopo della tesi è quello di studiare le EPC prelevate da pazienti con CKD, al fine di determinarne numero e fenotipo. È stato anche valutato l'effetto del trattamento in vitro e in vivo con calcitriolo e paracalcitolo sulle EPC, dato il deficit di vitamina D dei pazienti con CKD: il trattamento con vitamina D sembra avere effetti positivi sul sistema cardiovascolare. Sono stati valutati: numero di EPC circolanti e la relativa espressione di osteocalcina e del recettore della vitamina D; morfologia e fenotipo EPC in vitro; effetti di calcitriolo e paracalcitolo sull’espressione di osteocalcina e sui depositi di calcio. I risultati dello studio suggeriscono che il trattamento con vitamina D abbia un effetto positivo sulle EPC, aumentando il numero di EPC circolanti e normalizzandone la morfologia. Sia calcitriolo che paracalcitolo sono in grado di ridurre notevolmente l’espressione di OC, mentre solo il paracalcitolo ha un effetto significativo sulla riduzione dei depositi di calcio in coltura. In conclusione, il trattamento con vitamina D sembra ridurre il potenziale calcifico delle EPC nell’uremia, aprendo nuove strade per la gestione del rischio cardiovascolare nei pazienti affetti da CKD.

Untersuchungen zur Lebensweise und zur Populationskontrolle des Gemeinen Ohrwurms Forficula auricularia L. (Insecta, Dermaptera) in Rebanlagen

Der Gemeine Ohrwurm (Forficula auricularia LINNAEUS 1758) wurde bisher im Weinbau als natürlicher Gegenspieler verschiedener Rebschädlinge zu den Nützlingen gezählt. Etwa seit 2005 verursacht er aufgrund stark ansteigender Populationsdichten Schäden in pfälzischen Rebanlagen. Ohrwürmer halten sich massenhaft in den Trauben auf. Zusammen mit ihren Exkrementen geraten sie bei der Lese in großer Zahl ins Erntegut. Die Tiere werden von der weinbaulichen Praxis als sehr störend und qualitätsmindernd empfunden und ihre Einstufung als Nützling kritisch gesehen. Aufgrund dieser Problematik wurde im Mai 2007 ein durch den Forschungsring des Deutschen Weinbaus (FDW) finanziertes Forschungsprojekt am Dienstleistungszentrum Ländlicher Raum Rheinpfalz in Neustadt an der Weinstraße begonnen. Bis 2010 wurden offene Fragen zur Erfassung und Populationsbiologie des Gemeinen Ohrwurms in Rebanlagen bearbeitet, die von ihm verursachten Schäden beschrieben und Strategien zu seiner Befallsregulation entwickelt. Am Boden aktive Ohrwürmer wurden mit Bodenfallen nach BARBER (1931) aufgenommen. In der Laubwand des Rebstockes wurden die Ohrwürmer mit eigens konzipierten Bambusfallen erfasst. F. auricularia ist in pfälzischen Rebanlagen die dominierende Ohrwurm-Art. Im Projektverlauf wurde der univoltine Entwicklungszyklus des Gemeinen Ohrwurms in pfälzischen Rebanlagen vollständig aufgeklärt. In der Vegetationsperiode beeinflussten die Intensität der Bodenbewirtschaftung mit der resultierenden Flächenbegrünung, die Bodenart, die Lufttemperatur, die Luftfeuchtigkeit und die Niederschlagsmenge die Befallsdichten am Rebstock signifikant. Der Ohrwurm-Befall in den Trauben war signifikant von der Kompaktheit und vom Gewicht der Trauben sowie dem Fäulnisanteil pro Traube und von eingewachsenen Rebblättern in den Trauben abhängig. Das Überwinterungs- und Brutverhalten wurde durch die Art und Weise der Bodenbewirtschaftung beeinflusst beziehungsweise gestört.rnLabor- und Freilandversuche haben gezeigt, dass F. auricularia Pilzpathogene wie die Graufäule (Botrytis cinerea PERSOON 1794) und den Pinselschimmel (Penicillium crustosum THOM 1930) auf gesunde Trauben überträgt. Ferner haben Fraßversuche ergeben, dass der Ohrwurm nur faule und vorgeschädigte Beeren anfressen kann und keine intakten Beeren verletzt. Durch analytische und sensorische Untersuchungen wurde festgestellt, dass Ohrwurm-Kot sensorische Fehltöne im Wein verursachen kann. Diese werden durch das im Kot enthaltene 2-Methyl-1,4-benzochinon hervorgerufen, das eine Komponente des arteigenen Abwehrsekrets ist. Da sich der Ohrwurm jahreszeitlich bedingt entweder im Boden oder am Rebstock aufhält, wurden befallsregulierende Maßnahmen im Boden- und Laubwandbereich der Rebanlage durchgeführt. Durch Tiefengrubbern mit Umbruch der Begrünung im Herbst und Frühjahr wurden die überwinternden Imagines und die Gelege geschädigt, so dass in der darauf folgenden Vegetationsperiode die Befallsdichten in der Laubwand geringfügig aber nicht signifikant abnahmen. Die während der Aufwanderungsphase der Ohrwürmer Ende Juni durchgeführte mechanische Störung der Begrünung reduzierte den Ohrwurm-Befall am Rebstock bis zu drei Wochen nach der Maßnahme signifikant. In der Laubwand der Rebstöcke wurden die Befallsdichten durch die Insektizide SpinTor (Wirkstoff Spinosad: 0,01%) und Steward® (Wirkstoff Indoxacarb: 0,0125 %) sowie sekundär durch partielles Entblättern der Laubwand dauerhaft bis zur Traubenlese reduziert. rn

Weinproteine - Allergenität und Trubbildung

Wein ist eine komplexe Lösung bestehend aus verschiedensten Komponenten wie Alkohol, Polyphenolen, Polysacchariden, Sulfiten und auch Proteinen. Auch wenn Proteine nur in geringen Mengen im Wein enthalten sind, beeinflussen sie die Qualität maßgeblich. Hier ist zum einen deren potentielle Unverträglichkeit bis hin zur Allergie zu nennen, und zum anderen der Einfluss der Weinproteine auf die Trübung. Im Rahmen einer epidemiologischen Studie der Arbeitsgruppe Fronk/Decker wurde festgestellt, dass es in der Weinregion Mainz ein starkes Interesse gibt die Ursache einer Weinunverträglichkeit zu untersuchen. Für weiterführende Untersuchungen wurde im Rahmen meiner Arbeit das Lipid Transfer Protein (LTP), welches als einziges Allergen der Traube bekannt ist, aus Trauben und Wein in hohem Reinheitsgrad isoliert. Es konnte gezeigt werden, dass dessen Struktur bei der Weinherstellung nicht maßgeblich verändert wurde. In einer klinischen Studie mit 29 Probanden wurde die potentielle Allergenität von Weinproteinen, im Besonderen des LTPs untersucht. Allerdings konnte bei den untersuchten Probanden keine echte IgE-Antikörper-vermittelte Allergie auf das LTP nachgewiesen werden. Daher wird die Ursache der beschriebenen Unverträglichkeiten bei anderen Weininhaltsstoffen oder auch auf pollenassoziierten Kreuzreaktionen vermutet. Bei der Entstehung einer Weintrübung sind zahlreiche Inhaltstoffe beteiligt. Die Rolle der Proteine ist in diesem Zusammenhang noch nicht abschließend geklärt. In dieser Arbeit wurde die Komplexität der Proteinzusammensetzung in Abhängigkeit von Lage, Jahrgang, Rebsorte sowie Behandlungsmaßnahmen gezeigt. Hinsichtlich der Stabilisierung und Trübungsrelevanz der Weinproteine konnte mittels biochemischer, bioinformatischer und biophysikalischer Methoden gezeigt werden, dass nur ein Teil der im Wein enthaltenen Thaumatin-ähnlichen Proteine und Chitinasen an der Trubbildung beteiligt sind. Die Invertase hingegen denaturiert erst ab einer Temperatur von ca. 83 °C und aggregiert in der Trübung. Somit führt dieses Protein bei Wärmetests zu Bentonitbedarfsermittlung in diesem Temperaturbereich zu einer Überschätzung. Die Versuche zur temperaturabhängigen Aggregation von Proteinen zeigen, wie wichtig die Berücksichtigung der Umgebungsfaktoren bei der Trubbildung ist. So konnten unterschiedliche Wechselwirkungen im Puffer- und realen Weinsystem von potentiell trübungsstabilisierenden Polysacchariden mit den Weinproteinen detektiert werden. Für das Arabinogalactan beispielsweise wurde in den Versuchen im Weinsystem eine destabilisierende Wirkung gefunden, während es bei den Versuchen im Puffersystem eine positive Wirkung auf die Stabilisierung der Probe zeigte. Es zeigte sich, dass die verschiedenen Weininhaltsstoffe in einer komplexen Wechselwirkung zueinander stehen und somit eine molekulare Interpretation erschweren.

Evolution of the Southern Kenya Rift from Miocene to present with a focus on the Magadi area

The Kenya (a.k.a., Gregory) Rift is a geologically active area located within the eastern branch of the larger East African Rift System (EARS). The study area is located in the southern Kenya Rift between 1° South and the Kenya-Tanzania border (covering approximately 1.5 square degrees, semi-centered on Lake Magadi) and is predominantly filled with extrusive igneous rocks (mostly basalts, phonolites and trachytes) of Miocene age or younger. Sediments are thin, less than 1.5Ma, and are confined to small grabens. The EARS can serve both as an analogue for ancient continental rifting and as a modern laboratory to observe the geologic processes responsible for rifting. This study demonstrates that vintage (as in older, quality maps published by the Kenya Geological Survey, that may be outdated based on newer findings) quarter-degree maps can be successfully combined with recently published data, and used to interpret satellite (mainly Landsat 7) images to produce versatile, updated digital maps. The study area has been remapped using this procedure and although it covers a large area, the mapping retains a quadrangle level of detail. Additionally, all geologic mapping elements (formations, faults, etc.) have been correlated across older map boundaries so that geologic units don't end artificially at degree boundaries within the study area. These elements have also been saved as individual digital files to facilitate future analysis. A series of maps showing the evolution of the southern Kenya rift from the Miocene to the present was created by combining the updated geologic map with age dates for geologic formations and fault displacements. Over 200 age dates covering the entire length of the Kenya Rift have been compiled for this study, and 6 paleo-maps were constructed to demonstrate the evolution of the area, starting with the eruption of the Kishalduga and Lisudwa melanephelinites onto the metamorphic basement around 15Ma. These eruptions occurred before the initial rift faulting and were followed by a massive eruption of phonolites between 13-10 Ma that covered most of the Kenya dome. This was followed by a period of relative quiescence, until the initial faulting defined the western boundary of the rift around 7Ma. The resulting graben was asymmetrical until corresponding faults to the east developed around 3Ma. The rift valley was flooded by basalts and trachytes between 3Ma and 700ka, after which the volcanic activity slowed to a near halt. Since 700ka most of the deposition has been comprised of sediments, mainly from lakes occupying the various basins in the area. The main results of this study are, in addition to a detailed interpretation of the rift development, a new geologic map that correlates dozens of formations across old map boundaries and a compilation of over 300 age dates. Specific products include paleomaps, tables of fault timing and displacement, and volume estimates of volcanic formations. The study concludes with a generalization of the present environment at Magadi including discussions of lagoon chemistry, mantle gases in relation to the trona deposit, and biology of the hot springs. Several biologic samples were collected during the 2006 field season in an attempt to characterize the organisms that are commonly seen in the present Lake Magadi environment. Samples were selected to represent the different, distinctive forms that are found in the hotsprings. Each sample had it own distinctive growth habit, and analysis showed that each was formed by a different cyanobacterial. Actual algae was rare in the collected samples, and represented by a few scattered diatoms.

Expectations, and Credibility in a Model of Monetary Policy

Recent monetary history has been characterized by monetary authorities which have been, alternatively hard and soft on inflation. In a vintage capital framework, investment decisions are not easily reversed. Therefore, expectations of policy as well as current policy are important to the investment decision. Here, a vintage capital model is used to assess the value of central bank credibility for a policy change. Policy in this model is assumed to be private information of the central banker. Agents learn about that policy which to study the ensuing transitional dynamics following a change in monetary policy regime.