Compatibilidad de Orius laevigatus (Fieber) (Hemiptera: Anthocoridae) y Nesidiocoris tenuis (Reuter)(Hemiptera: Miridae), depredadores importantes en cultivos hortícolas protegidos, con nuevas barreras físicas selectivas y modernos plaguicidas

La nueva legislación en materia fitosanitaria se dirige hacia una Gestión Integrada de Plagas (GIP). Estos programas dan preferencia a aquellos métodos más respetuosos y sostenibles con el medio ambiente, siendo piezas claves en ellos el control biológico, el físico y otros de carácter no químico. Sin embargo, el uso de insecticidas selectivos es a veces necesario para el adecuado manejo de plagas en cultivos hortícolas. Por ello, el objetivo general de este estudio es aportar conocimientos para mejorar el control de plagas en cultivos hortícolas, mediante la integración de tres estrategias de lucha: biológica, física y química. Una parte de este trabajo ha consistido en el estudio de los posibles efectos que mallas tratadas con insecticida (bifentrin) pudieran provocar mediante diferentes ensayos de laboratorio, invernadero y campo, en los enemigos naturales Orius laevigatus (Fieber) (Hemiptera: Anthocoridae) (depredador de trips), Nesidiocoris tenuis (Reuter) (Hemiptera: Miridae) (depredador de mosca blanca y Tuta absoluta (Meirick) (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae)), y otros agentes de biocontrol comúnmente usados en cultivos hortícolas protegidos. Este tipo de mallas se han empleado con éxito en entomología médica para controlar mosquitos vectores de la malaria, y actualmente se está trabajando en su desarrollo para uso agrícola como método de exclusión, y método directo de control de plagas. En los ensayos realizados en laboratorio, O. laevigatus y N. tenuis no fueron capaces de detectar la presencia de bifentrin en el ensayo de preferencia. Además, no se produjo mortalidad a corto plazo (72 horas) en ambos chinches depredadores. Por el contrario, se registró una elevada mortalidad cuando se expusieron por contacto a la malla tratada durante 72 horas en cajas de dimensiones reducidas (10 cm de diámetro X 3 cm de altura). En ensayos llevados a cabo bajo condiciones más reales de exposición, en un invernadero experimental con jaulas de 25 X 25 X 60 cm de altura, no se produjo ningún efecto en la mortalidad a corto plazo (72 horas) o en los parámetros reproductivos de O. laevigatus y N. tenuis. Finalmente, en ensayos de campo realizados en túneles semi-comerciales (8 m de largo X 6,5 m de ancho X 2,6 m de altura), ni las condiciones ambientales [temperatura, humedad relativa, radiación ultravioleta (UV) y fotosintéticamente activa (PAR)], ni los enemigos naturales, se vieron afectados por la presencia de la malla tratada con bifentrin en el cultivo. Sin embargo, los resultados no fueron concluyentes, debido al bajo establecimiento de los agentes de biocontrol liberados. Por lo tanto, más estudios son necesarios en invernaderos comerciales para confirmar los resultados preliminares de compatibilidad. Además, en este trabajo se han evaluado los efectos letales (mortalidad) y subletales (parámetros reproductivos) de seis modernos insecticidas sobre los chinches depredadores O. laevigatus y N. tenuis, mediante ensayos de laboratorio y persistencia. Los ensayos se realizaron por contacto residual, aplicando los insecticidas a la dosis máxima de campo sobre placas de cristal (laboratorio) o plantas (persistencia). Los productos fitosanitarios se seleccionaron por representar a un grupo de modernos plaguicidas con modos de acción en principio más selectivos para los enemigos naturales que antiguos plaguicidas como organoclorados, oroganofosforados o carbamatos, y por su uso frecuente en cultivos hortícolas donde O. laevigatus y N. tenuis están presentes. Todos ellos están incluidos o en proceso de inclusión en la lista comunitaria de sustancias activas para uso agrícola, Anexo I de la Directiva 91/414/CEE: abamectina y emamectina (avermectinas neurotóxicas, activadoras del canal del cloro), deltametrina (piretroide neurotóxico, modulador del canal del sodio, control positivo), flubendiamida (neurotóxico, modulador del receptor de rianodina), spinosad (naturalito neurotóxico, agonistas/antagonistas del receptor de nicotínico acetilcolina) y spiromesifen (inhibidor de la acetil CoA carboxilasa). El estudio mostró que O. laevigatus fue más susceptible a los insecticidas que N. tenuis. Además, los resultados revelaron que flubendiamida y spiromesifen fueron compatibles con los dos enemigos naturales estudiados, y por tanto se podrían usar en programas de GIP. Por el contrario, los insecticidas abamectina, deltametrina, emamectina y spinosad no fueron selectivos para ninguno de los chinches depredadores. Sin embargo, los estudios de persistencia demostraron que a pesar de que estos insecticidas no proporcionaron selectividad fisiológica, pueden proporcionar selectividad ecológica en algunos casos. Abamectina, deltametrina, emamectina y spinosad podrían ser compatibles con N. tenuis si el enemigo natural es introducido en el cultivo 4 días después de su aplicación. En el caso de O. laevigatus, abamectina, deltametrina y spinosad se clasificaron como persistentes, por lo tanto es necesario completar el estudio con experimentos de semi-campo y campo que determinen si es posible su uso conjunto en programas de GIP. Por otro lado, emamectina podría ser compatible con O. laevigatus si el enemigo natural es introducido en el cultivo 7 días después de su aplicación. Por último, se ha comprobado la selectividad de tres insecticidas aceleradores de la muda (MACs) (metoxifenocida, tebufenocida y RH-5849) sobre O. laevigatus y N. tenuis. Además de realizar estudios para evaluar la toxicidad en laboratorio de los insecticidas por contacto residual e ingestión (principal modo de acción de los MAC´s), se extrajo RNA de los insectos y con el cDNA obtenido se secuenció y clonó el dominio de unión al ligando (LBD) del receptor de ecdisona correspondiente a O. laevigatus (OlEcR-LBD) y N. tenuis (NtEcR-LBD). Posteriormente, se obtuvo la configuración en tres dimensiones del LBD y se estudió el acoplamiento de las moléculas de los tres insecticidas en la cavidad que forman las 12 α-hélices que constituyen el EcR-LBD. En el caso de N. tenuis se debe mencionar que no fue posible la obtención de la secuencia completa del LBD. Sin embargo, se obtuvo una secuencia parcial (hélice 6-hélice 11), que mostró una alta conservación de aminoácidos con respecto a la obtenida en O. laevigatus. Los ensayos de toxicidad mostraron que metoxifenocida, tebufenocida y RH-5849 no produjeron ningún efecto nocivo en ambos depredadores. Además, los estudios de modelado por homología y acoplamiento molecular llevados a cabo con O. laevigatus, también indicaron que los MACs no produjeron ningún efecto deletéreo en este enemigo natural. Por lo tanto, estos compuestos pueden ser aplicados de manera segura en programas de GIP en los cuales O. laevigatus y N. tenuis estén presentes. ABSTRACT The new pesticide legislation on pest control is aimed at integrated pest management (IPM). These programs are based on the most environmentally sustainable approaches, where biological, physical control and other non-chemical methods are the cornerstone. However, selective pesticides are often required for pest management on horticultural crops. Therefore, the main goal of this study is to provide knowledge to improve pest control on horticultural crops through the integration of three strategies: biological, physical and chemical. Firstly, the effects of insecticide treated nets (bifenthrin) were evaluated in different laboratory, greenhouse and field experiments on the natural enemies Orius laevigatus (Fieber) (Hemiptera: Anthocoridae) (predator of thrips), Nesidiocoris tenuis (Reuter) (Hemiptera: Miridae) (predator of whiteflies and Tuta absoluta (Meirick) (Lepidoptera: Gelechiidae)), and other biocontrol agents commonly used on protected horticultural crops. These types of nets have been successfully used in medical entomology to control mosquito malaria vectors, and work is currently being done on their use as exclusion barriers and as a direct method of pest control in agriculture. In experiments made under laboratory conditions, O. laevigatus and N. tenuis were not able to detect the presence of bifenthrin in a dual-choice test. Furthermore, no shortterm mortality (72 hours) was recorded on both predatory bugs. In contrast, a high mortality rate was found when they were exposed by contact to the bifenthrin-treated net for 72 hours in small cages (10 cm diameter X 3 cm high). In assays carried out under more realistic conditions of exposure, in an experimental greenhouse with cages of 25 X 25 X 60 cm high, short-term mortality (72 hours) and reproductive parameters were not affected. Lastly, in field experiments carried out in semi-commercial tunnels (8 m long X 6.5 m width X 2.6 m high), neither environmental conditions [temperature, relative humidity, ultraviolet (UV) and photosynthetically active radiation (PAR)] nor natural enemies were affected by the presence of the bifenthrin-treated net on the crop. However, results were not conclusive, mainly due to a low settlement of the released biocontrol agents, and further studies are needed in commercial greenhouses to confirm our preliminary results of compatibility. Secondly, the lethal (mortality) and sublethal effects (reproductive parameters) of six modern pesticides on the predatory bugs O. laevigatus and N. tenuis has been evaluated through laboratory and persistence experiments. Trials were carried out by residual contact, applying the insecticides to the maximum field recommended concentration on glass plates (laboratory) or plants (persistence). Insecticides were chosen as representatives of modern pesticides with a more selective mode of action on natural enemies than organochlorine, organophosphorus and carbamate insecticides. Moreover, they were also chosen because of their frequent use on horticultural crops where O. laevigatus and N. tenuis are present. All of them have been included or have been requested for inclusion in the community list of active substances on the agricultural market, Annex I of the European Directive 91/414/EEC: abamectin and emamectin (neurotoxic avermectins, chloride channel activators), deltamethrin (neutotoxic pyrethroid, sodium channel modulator, positive commercial standard), flubendiamide (neurotoxic, rianodine receptor modulator), spinosad (neurotoxic naturalyte, nicotinic acetylcholine receptor allosteric activator) and spiromesifen (inhibitors of acetyl CoA carboxylase). The study showed that O. laevigatus was more susceptible to all the studied pesticides than N. tenuis. In addition, the research results indicated no impact of flubendiamide and spiromesifen on the two natural enemies studied under laboratory conditions. Consequently, both pesticides are candidates to be included in IPM programmes where these biocontrol agents are present. On the other hand, abamectin, deltamethrin, emamectin and spinosad were not selective for both predatory bugs in laboratory experiments. However, persistence test demonstrated that in spite of the lack of physiological selectivity, these pesticides can provide ecological selectivity in some cases. Abamectin, deltamethrin, emamectin and spinosad could be compatible with N. tenuis if the mirid bug is released 4 days after the insecticide treatment on the crop. With regard to O. laevigatus, abamectin, deltamethrin and spinosad were classified as persistent in our assays, thus the study should be completed with semi-field and field experiments in order to ascertain their possible joint use in IPM programs. In contrast, emamectin could be compatible with O. laevigatus if the pirate bug is released 7 days after the insecticide treatment on the crop. Finally, the selectivity of three moulting accelerating compounds (MACs) (methoxyfenozide, tebufenozide and RH-5849) has also been evaluated on O. laevigatus and N. tenuis. In addition to laboratory experiments to evaluate the toxicity of the insecticides by residual contact and ingestion, molecular approaches were used as well. RNA of both insects was isolated, cDNA was subsequently synthesized and the complete sequence of the ligand binding domain (LBD) of the ecdysone receptor of O. laevigatus (OlEcR-LBD) and N. tenuis (NtEcR-LBD) were determined. Afterwards, the three dimensional structure of LBD was constructed. Finally, the docking of the insecticide molecules in the cavity delineated by the 12 α-helix that composed the EcRLBD was performed. In the case of N. tenuis, it should be noted that in spite of intensive efforts, we did not manage to complete the sequence for the LBD.However, a partial sequence of the LBD was obtained (helix 6-helix 11), and a strong conservation between the amino acids of N. tenuis and O. laevigatus was observed. Results showed no biological activity of methoxyfenozide, tebufenozide and RH-5849, on both predatory bugs. Moreover, modeling of the OlEcR-LBD and docking experiments also suggested that MACs were devoid of any deleterious effect on O. laevigatus. Therefore, our results indicate that these compounds could be safely applied in IPM programs in which O. laevigatus and N. tenuis are present.

The US-China Joint Announcement on Climate Change: Can the G2 make a difference? CEPS Commentary, 26 November 2014

This Commentary finds that the US-China joint declaration on climate change, issued following the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) Summit in Beijing on November 12th, is undoubtedly an important announcement by the two global economic giants responsible for emitting over 30% of the world’s GHG emissions. As such, it needs to be seen as important and relevant – a very positive development towards a new global climate change agreement in Paris. It is a challenge to those that have announced their pledges and are seen as capable of doing more, as well as to those that have not yet announced their intentions. It shows the importance and success of the UN climate change conference in Warsaw last year, when the decision was made that all Parties should announce their commitments by the first quarter of 2015. It also represents a total breakdown of the Kyoto Protocol-style separation in climate change negotiations between countries into Annex 1 and non-Annex 1, with China signalling that it is taking on the leadership role that comes with being a great economic power. In broader terms, it shows that there is scope for cooperation between the two main economic actors, even in the face of competition in other spheres. It is also a challenge to the EU, which was a leader and needs to show that there is a benefit in maintaining its leadership. Finally, agreements are deemed historic only by history. This one is important, and a potential game-changer, on the face of it. But it needs to live up to its promise. There is sufficient uncertainty for us to withhold final judgement and see if its promise materialises through implementation. But, as sober a judgement as we must make on such important matters, this announcement certainly gives us great hope that it is possible to do what needs to be done, and we must wholeheartedly welcome and applaud it.

The relationship between non-orthographic language abilities and reading performance: An exploration of the primary systems hypothesis in chronic aphasia

Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2016-06

Assessing pupil and school performance by non-parametric and parametric techniques

Often observations are nested within other units. This is particularly the case in the educational sector where school performance in terms of value added is the result of school contribution as well as pupil academic ability and other features relating to the pupil. Traditionally, the literature uses parametric (i.e. it assumes a priori a particular function on the production process) Multi-Level Models to estimate the performance of nested entities. This paper discusses the use of the non-parametric (i.e. without a priori assumptions on the production process) Free Disposal Hull model as an alternative approach. While taking into account contextual characteristics as well as atypical observations, we show how to decompose non-parametrically the overall inefficiency of a pupil into a unit specific and a higher level (i.e. a school) component. By a sample of entry and exit attainments of 3017 girls in British ordinary single sex schools, we test the robustness of the non-parametric and parametric estimates. We find that the two methods agree in the relative measures of the scope for potential attainment improvement. Further, the two methods agree on the variation in pupil attainment and the proportion attributable to pupil and school level.

Bioactivity and chromatographic analysis of nutrients and non-nutrients of two Leccinum species

Nowadays the rising cost of health care and pharmaceutical products, the increase in life expectancy as well as the demand for an improved quality of life, has led to an increased concern about food intake and an emergence of new concepts of nutrition [1]. Mushrooms have been pointed out as an excellent option to include in a healthy diet, due to their nutritional value [2] associated with their bioactive properties [3]. The current study presents the chemical profile of two edible species, Leccinum molle (Ban) Ban and Leccinum vulpinum Watling, harvested in the outskirts of Bragan9a (Northeastern Portugal), regarding their content in nutrients and nonnutrients. Individual profiles of sugars and fatty acids were obtained by HPLC-RI and GC-FID, respectively. Tocopherols were analysed by HPLC-fluorescence, and the non-nutrients (i.e., phenolic and other organic acids) by HPLC-PDA. The antioxidant activity of the methanolic extracts obtained from both species was assessed with different assays (e.g. reducing power, radical scavenging activity and lipid peroxidation inhibition) and their hepatotoxicity was evaluated in primary cell cultures obtained from porcine liver, PLP2. Generally, both Leccinum species revealed similar nutrient profiles, with low fat levels, fructose, mannitol and trehalose as the foremost free sugars, and higher percentages of mono- and polyunsaturated fatty acids in comparison with saturated fatty acids. The presence of bioactive compounds was also detected, namely phenolic (e.g., gallic, protocatechuic and p-hydroxybenzoic acids) and organic acids (e.g., citric and fumaric acids). Both species presented antioxidant properties, being L. vulpinum the species which showed the most promising results (higher contents of total phenolic acids and lower ECso values in all the performed assays). Neither of the extracts presented toxicity against the liver primary cells PLP2, up to maximal concentration tested (Giso > 400 μg/ml).

Strategie di calcolo tra studenti discalculici e non

Sono stati analizzati i circuiti neurali addetti all'elaborazione matematica, a partire da quelli di start-up neurocognitivo per l'apprendimento del numero e del calcolo, capacità innate e già presenti alla nascita. I protagonisti sono il sistema della stima approssimativa del numero e quello di individuazione degli oggetti multipli e, spesso, le difficoltà che si incontrano durante un compito matematico (o la lentezza per portarlo a termine) sono date dalla difficile interazione tra questi e le loro sottocomponenti, continuamente riprogrammate dall'esecutivo centrale per poter supervisionare i processi di problem solving. Per la costruzione e lo sviluppo del calcolo più elevato, occorrono alcune capacità di base come il concetto di corrispondenza biunivoca, quello di ordinamento di un insieme, di maggioranza, di raddoppio e di dimezzamento, per mezzo delle quali ogni procedura si può ridurre ad una serie di operazioni più semplici. Queste funzioni vengono controllate e coordinate dal Sistema Attentivo Esecutivo che presiede tutte le attività di problem solving. I ragazzi che presentano deficit altamente specifici in una o più abilità matematiche di base vengono definiti discalculici e tra i loro tratti caratteristici vi sono l'incapacità di comprendere le numerosità, i principi delle operazioni e di elaborare strategie risolutive adatte ad ogni esercizio. Non tutti i ragazzi che presentano difficoltà in matematica sono discalculici: a tal proposito ho svolto una sperimentazione didattica in 10 classi di un I.T.I.S. , per cercare di capire se i concetti reputati consolidati alla scuola secondaria di 1° grado, lo sono realmente in quella di 2° e per mostrare le diverse tipologie di errori compiuti dai ragazzi clinici e non. I risultati sono stati largamente al di sotto delle aspettative, anche negli esercizi in cui è stato permesso l'uso della calcolatrice, lasciandomi presagire che gli errori commessi siano perlopiù di concetto piuttosto che di calcolo.

“Prostite za moj francuzskij!”: la fraseologia non tradotta dal francese al russo.

Il presente elaborato tratta dei gallicismi nel russo, ossia dei prestiti che la lingua russa ha mutuato dal francese e, più in particolare, di una specifica categoria degli stessi: i fraseologismi non tradotti, come се ля ви, шерше ла фам o комильфо. Nel primo capitolo, di stampo teorico, approfondiremo il fenomeno del prestito linguistico e, in seguito, ci soffermeremo sulla classe dei gallicismi, con le sue specificità e le difficoltà definitorie che essa pone. Nel secondo capitolo ci focalizzeremo dapprima sul tema delle unità fraseologiche importate dal francese, per poi concentrarci sui fraseologismi non tradotti: i cosiddetti xenismi-gallicismi fraseologici. La particolarità di tali prestiti risiede nel fatto che, allo stato attuale della lingua, essi ci appaiono come non pienamente assimilati e quindi verosimilmente più propensi a conservare una forte fedeltà grammaticale e semantica con il loro prototipo francese. Questa peculiarità sarà l’oggetto della dell’analisi sperimentale che condurremo nel terzo capitolo. Con un approccio corpus-based, osserveremo l’uso di un campione di xenismi-gallicismi fraseologici in contesti comunicativi reali, con l’obiettivo di valutare l’effettivo grado di assimilazione degli stessi.

Políticas públicas ambientais no Brasil: mitigação das mudanças climáticas

Since the mid of 1980 an, discussed global climate change in the international sphere. This process resulted in the achievement of the United Nations Conference for Environment and Development UNCED, held in Rio de Janeiro in 1992, which resulted, among other documents, the Framework Convention of Climate Change - CMC. After five years, there was the establishment of the Kyoto Protocol - PK - which, unlike the Convention, set clearer standards on reducing emissions of gases effect of studying and targets to be achieved by countries which have issued more gas in the past, in the Annex I. The aim of this text is to analyze the ongoing federal public policies regarding mitigation of climate change in the country. To that end, it is based on analysis of official documentation. It analyzes policies before and after the adoption of the CMC in Brazil.

Thermo-solvatochromism in binary mixtures of water and ionic liquids: on the relative importance of solvophobic interactions

The thermo-solvatochromism of 2,6-dibromo-4-[(E)-2-(1-methylpyridinium-4-yl)ethenyl] phenolate, MePMBr(2), has been studied in mixtures of water, W, with ionic liquids, ILs, in the temperature range of 10 to 60 degrees C, where feasible. The objectives of the study were to test the applicability of a recently introduced solvation model, and to assess the relative importance of solute-solvent solvophobic interactions. The ILs were 1-allyl-3-alkylimidazolium chlorides, where the alkyl groups are methyl, 1-butyl, and 1-hexyl, respectively. The equilibrium constants for the interaction of W and the ILs were calculated from density data; they were found to be linearly dependent on N(C), the number of carbon atoms of the alkyl group; van't Hoff equation (log K versus 1/T) applied satisfactorily. Plots of the empirical solvent polarities, E(T) (MePMBr(2)) in kcal mol(-1), versus the mole fraction of water in the binary mixture, chi(w), showed non-linear, i.e., non-ideal behavior. The dependence of E(T) (MePMBr(2)) on chi(w), has been conveniently quantified in terms of solvation by W, IL, and the ""complex"" solvent IL-W. The non-ideal behavior is due to preferential solvation by the IL and, more efficiently, by IL-W. The deviation from linearity increases as a function of increasing N(C) of the IL, and is stronger than that observed for solvation of MePMBr(2) by aqueous 1-propanol, a solvent whose lipophilicity is 12.8 to 52.1 times larger than those of the ILs investigated. The dependence on N(C) is attributed to solute-solvent solvophobic interactions, whose relative contribution to solvation are presumably greater than that in mixtures of water and 1-propanol.

A importância do programa preliminar e do projecto no âmbito da contratação pública

O Código dos contratos públicos (CCP) veio introduzir alguns novos conceitos, nas empreitadas de obras públicas, sobre erros e omissões e também sobre trabalhos a mais. Tais conceitos têm estado na origem de algumas polémicas envolvendo donos de obra, projectistas, fiscalizações, empreiteiros e técnicos. Por outro, quer à luz da anterior legislação quer ao abrigo da actual os desvios de preço e prazo, em empreitadas de obras públicas, continuam a ser frequentes, dir-se-á mesmo, praticamente uma constante e frequentemente alvo nos meios de comunicação. No âmbito desta dissertação pretende-se partilhar algumas reflexões emergentes da observação efectuada, como participante activo em diversos empreendimentos. Verificar-se-á ao longo da mesma dissertação que nela é atribuída grande relevância ao programa preliminar constante do Anexo I à Portaria n.º 701-H/2008 de 29 de Julho, que dá origem ao projecto. Com efeito, este documento embora a sua designação de preliminar possa induzir em erro, levando a conferir-lhe pouca importância, é, em boa verdade, o programa fundamental, para um bom entendimento entre o dono de obra e o projectista e subsequentemente com o empreiteiro. Nesta dissertação faz-se uma incursão pelos conteúdos mais relevantes do CCP, no âmbito dos desvios de preço e custo, das empreitadas de obras públicas. Procede-se, também, a uma análise detalhada e sequencial das fases e actividades que contribuem para a concretização de uma obra pública, observando simultaneamente o papel dos diversos intervenientes.

Memória de longo prazo nos retornos acionistas dos índices de referência da euronext, implicações para a hipótese de mercados eficientes e contributo fractal para aperfeiçoamento do capital asset pricing model

Não existe uma definição única de processo de memória de longo prazo. Esse processo é geralmente definido como uma série que possui um correlograma decaindo lentamente ou um espectro infinito de frequência zero. Também se refere que uma série com tal propriedade é caracterizada pela dependência a longo prazo e por não periódicos ciclos longos, ou que essa característica descreve a estrutura de correlação de uma série de longos desfasamentos ou que é convencionalmente expressa em termos do declínio da lei-potência da função auto-covariância. O interesse crescente da investigação internacional no aprofundamento do tema é justificado pela procura de um melhor entendimento da natureza dinâmica das séries temporais dos preços dos ativos financeiros. Em primeiro lugar, a falta de consistência entre os resultados reclama novos estudos e a utilização de várias metodologias complementares. Em segundo lugar, a confirmação de processos de memória longa tem implicações relevantes ao nível da (1) modelação teórica e econométrica (i.e., dos modelos martingale de preços e das regras técnicas de negociação), (2) dos testes estatísticos aos modelos de equilíbrio e avaliação, (3) das decisões ótimas de consumo / poupança e de portefólio e (4) da medição de eficiência e racionalidade. Em terceiro lugar, ainda permanecem questões científicas empíricas sobre a identificação do modelo geral teórico de mercado mais adequado para modelar a difusão das séries. Em quarto lugar, aos reguladores e gestores de risco importa saber se existem mercados persistentes e, por isso, ineficientes, que, portanto, possam produzir retornos anormais. O objetivo do trabalho de investigação da dissertação é duplo. Por um lado, pretende proporcionar conhecimento adicional para o debate da memória de longo prazo, debruçando-se sobre o comportamento das séries diárias de retornos dos principais índices acionistas da EURONEXT. Por outro lado, pretende contribuir para o aperfeiçoamento do capital asset pricing model CAPM, considerando uma medida de risco alternativa capaz de ultrapassar os constrangimentos da hipótese de mercado eficiente EMH na presença de séries financeiras com processos sem incrementos independentes e identicamente distribuídos (i.i.d.). O estudo empírico indica a possibilidade de utilização alternativa das obrigações do tesouro (OT’s) com maturidade de longo prazo no cálculo dos retornos do mercado, dado que o seu comportamento nos mercados de dívida soberana reflete a confiança dos investidores nas condições financeiras dos Estados e mede a forma como avaliam as respetiva economias com base no desempenho da generalidade dos seus ativos. Embora o modelo de difusão de preços definido pelo movimento Browniano geométrico gBm alegue proporcionar um bom ajustamento das séries temporais financeiras, os seus pressupostos de normalidade, estacionariedade e independência das inovações residuais são adulterados pelos dados empíricos analisados. Por isso, na procura de evidências sobre a propriedade de memória longa nos mercados recorre-se à rescaled-range analysis R/S e à detrended fluctuation analysis DFA, sob abordagem do movimento Browniano fracionário fBm, para estimar o expoente Hurst H em relação às séries de dados completas e para calcular o expoente Hurst “local” H t em janelas móveis. Complementarmente, são realizados testes estatísticos de hipóteses através do rescaled-range tests R/S , do modified rescaled-range test M - R/S e do fractional differencing test GPH. Em termos de uma conclusão única a partir de todos os métodos sobre a natureza da dependência para o mercado acionista em geral, os resultados empíricos são inconclusivos. Isso quer dizer que o grau de memória de longo prazo e, assim, qualquer classificação, depende de cada mercado particular. No entanto, os resultados gerais maioritariamente positivos suportam a presença de memória longa, sob a forma de persistência, nos retornos acionistas da Bélgica, Holanda e Portugal. Isto sugere que estes mercados estão mais sujeitos a maior previsibilidade (“efeito José”), mas também a tendências que podem ser inesperadamente interrompidas por descontinuidades (“efeito Noé”), e, por isso, tendem a ser mais arriscados para negociar. Apesar da evidência de dinâmica fractal ter suporte estatístico fraco, em sintonia com a maior parte dos estudos internacionais, refuta a hipótese de passeio aleatório com incrementos i.i.d., que é a base da EMH na sua forma fraca. Atendendo a isso, propõem-se contributos para aperfeiçoamento do CAPM, através da proposta de uma nova fractal capital market line FCML e de uma nova fractal security market line FSML. A nova proposta sugere que o elemento de risco (para o mercado e para um ativo) seja dado pelo expoente H de Hurst para desfasamentos de longo prazo dos retornos acionistas. O expoente H mede o grau de memória de longo prazo nos índices acionistas, quer quando as séries de retornos seguem um processo i.i.d. não correlacionado, descrito pelo gBm(em que H = 0,5 , confirmando- se a EMH e adequando-se o CAPM), quer quando seguem um processo com dependência estatística, descrito pelo fBm(em que H é diferente de 0,5, rejeitando-se a EMH e desadequando-se o CAPM). A vantagem da FCML e da FSML é que a medida de memória de longo prazo, definida por H, é a referência adequada para traduzir o risco em modelos que possam ser aplicados a séries de dados que sigam processos i.i.d. e processos com dependência não linear. Então, estas formulações contemplam a EMH como um caso particular possível.

Acute myocardial infarction: predictors of mortality at a public hospital in the city of Fortaleza, Ceará state

OBJECTIVE: To identify the clinical and demographic predictors of in-hospital mortality in acute myocardial infarction with elevation of the ST segment in a public hospital, in the city of Fortaleza, Ceará state, Brazil. METHODS: A retrospective study of 373 patients experiencing their first episode of acute myocardial infarction was carried out. Of the study patients, 289 were discharged from the hospital (group A) and 84 died (group B). Both groups were analyzed regarding: sex; age; time elapsed from the beginning of the symptoms of myocardial infarction to assistance at the hospital; use of streptokinase; risk factors for atherosclerosis; electrocardiographic location of myocardial infarct; and Killip functional class. RESULTS: In a univariate analysis, group B had a greater proportion of the following parameters as compared with group A: non-Killip I functional class; diabetes; age >70 years; infarction of the inferior wall associated with right ventricular impairment; time between symptom onset and treatment at the hospital >12 h; anteroseptal or extensive anterior infarction; no use of streptokinase; and no tobacco use. In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, only non-Killip I functional class, diabetes, and age >70 years persisted as independent factors for death. CONCLUSION: Non-Killip I functional class, diabetes, and age >70 years were independent predictors of mortality in acute myocardial infarction with elevation of the ST segment.

Construcción de un Test de Conocimiento General. Development of a General Knowledge Test

Entre los factores que contribuyen a predecir el rendimiento académico se pueden destacar aquellos que reflejan capacidades cognitivas (inteligencia, por ejemplo), y aquellas diferencias individuales consideradas como no-cognitivas (rasgos de personalidad, por ejemplo). En los últimos años, también se considera al Conocimiento General (CG) como un criterio para el éxito académico (ver Ackerman, 1997), ya que se ha evidenciado que el conocimiento previo ayuda en la adquisición de nuevo conocimiento (Hambrick & Engle, 2001). Uno de los objetivos de la psicología educacional consiste en identificar las principales variables que explican el rendimiento académico, como también proponer modelos teóricos que expliquen las relaciones existentes entre estas variables. El modelo teórico PPIK (Inteligencia-como-Proceso, Personalidad, Intereses e Inteligencia-como-Conocimiento) propuesto por Ackerman (1996) propone que el conocimiento y las destrezas adquiridas en un dominio en particular son el resultado de la dedicación de recursos cognitivos que una persona realiza durante un prolongado período de tiempo. Este modelo propone que los rasgos de personalidad, intereses individuales/vocacionales y aspectos motivacionales están integrados como rasgos complejos que determinan la dirección y la intensidad de la dedicación de recursos cognitivos sobre el aprendizaje que realiza una persona (Ackerman, 2003). En nuestro medio (Córdoba, Argentina), un grupo de investigadores ha desarrollado una serie de recursos técnicos necesarios para la evaluación de algunos de los constructos propuesto por este modelo. Sin embargo, por el momento no contamos con una medida de Conocimiento General. Por lo tanto, en el presente proyecto se propone la construcción de un instrumento para medir Conocimiento General (CG), indispensable para poder contar con una herramienta que permita establecer parámetros sobre el nivel de conocimiento de la población universitaria y para en próximos trabajos poner a prueba los postulados de la teoría PPIK (Ackerman, 1996). Between the factors that contribute to predict the academic achievement, may be featured those who reflect cognitive capacities (i.g. intelligence) and those who reflect individual differences that are considered like non-cognitive (i.g. personality traits). In the last years, also the General Knowledge has been considered like a criterion for the academic successfully (see Ackerman, 1997), since it has been shown that the previous knowledge helps in the acquisition of the new knowledge (Hambrick & Engle, 2001). An interesting theoretical model that has proposed an explanation for the academic achievement, is the PPIK (intelligence like a process, interests and inteligence like knowledge) proposed by Ackerman (1996), who argues that knowledge and the acquired skills in a particular domain are the result of the dedication of cognitive resources that a person perform during a long period of time. This model proposes that personality traits, individuals interests and motivational aspects are integrated as complex traits that determine the direction and the intensity of the dedication of cognitive resources on the learning that a person make (Ackerman, 2003). In our context, (Córdoba, Argentina), a group of researcher has developed a series of necessary technical resoures for the assesment of some of the theoretical constructs proposed by this model. However, by the moment, we do not have an instrument for evaluate the General Knowledge. Therefore, this project aims the construction of an instrument to asess General Knowledge, essential to set parameters on the knowledge level of the university population and for in next works test the PPIK theory postulates.

New evidence on emigrant selection

This paper examines the extent to which Mexican emigrants to the United States are negatively selected, that is, have lower skills than individuals who remain in Mexico. Previous studies have been limited by the lack of nationally representative longitudinal data. This one uses a newly available household survey, which identifies emigrants before they leave and allows a direct comparison to non-migrants. I find that, on average, US bound Mexican emigrants from 2000 to 2004 earn a lower wage and have less schooling years than individuals who remain in Mexico, evidence of negative selection. This supports the original hypothesis of Borjas (AER, 1987) and argues against recent findings, notably those of Chiquiar and Hanson (JPE, 2005). The discrepancy with the latter is primarily due to an under-count of unskilled migrants in US sources and secondarily to the omission of unobservables in their methodology.

HCV infection after liver transplantation is associated with lower levels of alloreactive CD4+CD25+CD45RO+IL-7R+high+ T cells

Aim: Expression of IL-7R discriminates alloreactive CD4 T cells (Foxp3 negative), from IL-7Rlow regulatory CD4 T cells (Foxp3 positive). Chronic hepatitis C virus infection (HCV) reduces expression of IL-7R on T cells thus promoting persistence of infection. The aim of this study was to analyze the effect of HCV infection on the expression of IL-7R of activated CD4+ T cells in liver transplant patients. Patients and methods: We analyzed PBMC from liver transplant recipients for the expression of CD4, CD25, FoxP3, IL-7R (24 HCV negative and 29 HCV-chronically infected). We compared these data with non-transplanted individuals (52 HCV-chronically infected patients and 38 healthy donors). Results: In HCV-infected liver transplant recipients, levels of CD4+CD25+CD45RO+IL-7R+ T cells were significantly reduced (10.5+/-0.9%) when compared to non-HCV-infected liver transplant recipients (17.6+/-1.4%) (P<0.001), while both groups (HCV-infected and negative transplant recipients) had significantly higher levels than healthy individuals (6.6+/-0.9%) (P<0.0001). After successful antiviral therapy (sustained antiviral response), 6 HCV-infected transplant recipients showed an increase of CD4+CD25+CD45RO+IL-7R+ T cells, reaching levels similar to that of non-HCVinfected recipients (10.73+/-2.63% prior therapy versus 21.7+/-6.3% after clearance of HCV). (P<0.05) In 4 non-responders (i.e. HCVRNA remaining present in serum), levels of CD4+CD25+CD45RO+IL-7R+ T cells remained unmodified during and after antiviral treatment (11.8+/- 3.3% versus 11.3+/-3.3% respectively). Conclusions: Overall, these data indicate that CD4+CD25+CD45RO+IL-7R+ T cells appear to be modulated by chronic HCV infection after liver transplantation. Whether lower levels of alloreactive T cells in HCV-infected liver transplant recipients are associated with a tolerogenic profile remains to be studied.