991 resultados para Vector Auto Regression
Resumo:
Pterotaenia fasciata is commonly recorded in rural areas in Argentina, but during a Diptera survey study developed in a reservoir which retains storm water from polluted canals in an urban area of Taboão da Serra municipality, SP, Brazil, we could capture P. fasciata adults. Enteric bacteria Escherichia coli T. Escherich, 1885 and Proteus sp. were isolated from P. fasciata collected in traps inside the reservoir and around it. Fecal coliforms and E. coli were found in the water of the reservoir. These records suggest that a high abundance of this species at urban areas with inadequate sewage canals should reveal these muscoid dipterans as mechanical vectors of enteric bacteria.
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Este artigo visa analisar a recente intervenção anglo- -americana no Iraque a partir da sua conexão com o Direito Internacional e com a política internacional. Defenderei que do ponto de vista jurídico, a ‘operação liberdade iraquiana’ assenta em bases muito frágeis. A razão disso é que nem o amparo dos Estados Unidos na legítima defesa preventiva, nem o britânico na ideia de autorização implícita do Conselho de Segurança têm respaldo nas normas que regulamentam o uso da força nas relações internacionais. A melhor justificação jurídica, no entanto, o direito à intervenção humanitária unilateral, que, sem dúvida se adequaria à situação reinante no Iraque, somente foi utilizada secundariamente, ainda que tenha servido para aplacar as condenações internacionais. De qualquer modo, submeto a tese de que, mesmo a subsistirem dúvidas, quanto à legalidade da intervenção, ela justifica-se do ponto de vista da necessidade política, já que Estados liberais não devem esperar serem atingidos para tomar medidas contra agressores contumazes e tão pouco tolerar regimes tirânicos que oprimem o seu próprio povo.
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Random coefficient regression models have been applied in differentfields and they constitute a unifying setup for many statisticalproblems. The nonparametric study of this model started with Beranand Hall (1992) and it has become a fruitful framework. In thispaper we propose and study statistics for testing a basic hypothesisconcerning this model: the constancy of coefficients. The asymptoticbehavior of the statistics is investigated and bootstrapapproximations are used in order to determine the critical values ofthe test statistics. A simulation study illustrates the performanceof the proposals.
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The concept of antibody-mediated targeting of antigenic MHC/peptide complexes on tumor cells in order to sensitize them to T-lymphocyte cytotoxicity represents an attractive new immunotherapy strategy. In vitro experiments have shown that an antibody chemically conjugated or fused to monomeric MHC/peptide can be oligomerized on the surface of tumor cells, rendering them susceptible to efficient lysis by MHC-peptide restricted specific T-cell clones. However, this strategy has not yet been tested entirely in vivo in immunocompetent animals. To this aim, we took advantage of OT-1 mice which have a transgenic T-cell receptor specific for the ovalbumin (ova) immunodominant peptide (257-264) expressed in the context of the MHC class I H-2K(b). We prepared and characterized conjugates between the Fab' fragment from a high-affinity monoclonal antibody to carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) and the H-2K(b) /ova peptide complex. First, we showed in OT-1 mice that the grafting and growth of a syngeneic colon carcinoma line transfected with CEA could be specifically inhibited by systemic injections of the conjugate. Next, using CEA transgenic C57BL/6 mice adoptively transferred with OT-1 spleen cells and immunized with ovalbumin, we demonstrated that systemic injections of the anti-CEA-H-2K(b) /ova conjugate could induce specific growth inhibition and regression of well-established, palpable subcutaneous grafts from the syngeneic CEA-transfected colon carcinoma line. These results, obtained in a well-characterized syngeneic carcinoma model, demonstrate that the antibody-MHC/peptide strategy can function in vivo. Further preclinical experimental studies, using an anti-viral T-cell response, will be performed before this new form of immunotherapy can be considered for clinical use.
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Aim This study used data from temperate forest communities to assess: (1) five different stepwise selection methods with generalized additive models, (2) the effect of weighting absences to ensure a prevalence of 0.5, (3) the effect of limiting absences beyond the environmental envelope defined by presences, (4) four different methods for incorporating spatial autocorrelation, and (5) the effect of integrating an interaction factor defined by a regression tree on the residuals of an initial environmental model. Location State of Vaud, western Switzerland. Methods Generalized additive models (GAMs) were fitted using the grasp package (generalized regression analysis and spatial predictions, http://www.cscf.ch/grasp). Results Model selection based on cross-validation appeared to be the best compromise between model stability and performance (parsimony) among the five methods tested. Weighting absences returned models that perform better than models fitted with the original sample prevalence. This appeared to be mainly due to the impact of very low prevalence values on evaluation statistics. Removing zeroes beyond the range of presences on main environmental gradients changed the set of selected predictors, and potentially their response curve shape. Moreover, removing zeroes slightly improved model performance and stability when compared with the baseline model on the same data set. Incorporating a spatial trend predictor improved model performance and stability significantly. Even better models were obtained when including local spatial autocorrelation. A novel approach to include interactions proved to be an efficient way to account for interactions between all predictors at once. Main conclusions Models and spatial predictions of 18 forest communities were significantly improved by using either: (1) cross-validation as a model selection method, (2) weighted absences, (3) limited absences, (4) predictors accounting for spatial autocorrelation, or (5) a factor variable accounting for interactions between all predictors. The final choice of model strategy should depend on the nature of the available data and the specific study aims. Statistical evaluation is useful in searching for the best modelling practice. However, one should not neglect to consider the shapes and interpretability of response curves, as well as the resulting spatial predictions in the final assessment.
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The paper develops a method to solve higher-dimensional stochasticcontrol problems in continuous time. A finite difference typeapproximation scheme is used on a coarse grid of low discrepancypoints, while the value function at intermediate points is obtainedby regression. The stability properties of the method are discussed,and applications are given to test problems of up to 10 dimensions.Accurate solutions to these problems can be obtained on a personalcomputer.
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In the fixed design regression model, additional weights areconsidered for the Nadaraya--Watson and Gasser--M\"uller kernel estimators.We study their asymptotic behavior and the relationships between new andclassical estimators. For a simple family of weights, and considering theIMSE as global loss criterion, we show some possible theoretical advantages.An empirical study illustrates the performance of the weighted estimatorsin finite samples.
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The metropolitan region of Recife, Brazil is endemic for Dirofilaria immitis and has an environment favorable to the development of Culex quinquefasciatus. The goal of this study was to evaluate the vector competence of the Cx. quinquefasciatus RECIFE population for D. immitis transmission. A total of 2,104 females of Cx. quinquefasciatus RECIFE population were exposed to different densities of D. immitis microfilariae blood meals, ranging from 1,820 to 2,900 mf/ml of blood, in a natural membrane apparatus. The results showed a variation between 92.3% and 98.8% of females fed. The exposure of the Cx. quinquefasciatus RECIFE population to different densities of microfilariae did not influence the mortality of the mosquitoes. Infective larvae from D. immitis were observed in the Malpighian tubules beginning on the 12th day, whereas larvae were observed in the head and proboscis beginning on the 13th day following infection. The vector efficiency index (VEI) presented by the mosquitoes ranged from 7.8 to 56.5. The data demonstrates that the Cx. quinquefasciatus RECIFE population has great potential for the transmission of D. immitis, as it allowed the development of the filarid until the infectious stage at the different densities of microfilariae to which it was exposed.
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In this paper we examine the determinants of wages and decompose theobserved differences across genders into the "explained by differentcharacteristics" and "explained by different returns components"using a sample of Spanish workers. Apart from the conditionalexpectation of wages, we estimate the conditional quantile functionsfor men and women and find that both the absolute wage gap and thepart attributed to different returns at each of the quantiles, farfrom being well represented by their counterparts at the mean, aregreater as we move up in the wage range.
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Actualmente uma das grandes preocupações dos bancos é a redução da estrutura física dos balcões, bem como do número de recursos humanos, fazendo com que boa parte das transacções efectuadas nas agências, responsáveis por enormes filas migrem para os diversos canais alternativos de auto atendimento. O retirar dos clientes do atendimento tradicional e transportá-los para o auto atendimento, contribui para redução dos custos das agências. Os avanços tecnológicos, a globalização, a necessidade de agilizar o atendimento, o mercado altamente competitivo levam as instituições financeiras a fazer grandes investimentos, em busca da satisfação dos seus clientes com garantia da qualidade da prestação de serviços, de forma a os poder fidelizar. O BCA (Banco Comercial do Atlântico), detentor da maior quota do mercado em Cabo Verde, é conhecido pelo banco que detém maiores filas de espera, no mercado caboverdiano. Nesta sequência, procuramos analisar o porquê dos clientes da agência do BCA da Rua Santo António preferirem enfrentar enormes filas, ao invés de aderirem aos canais alternativos de auto atendimento oferecido pelo banco. Complementarmente fez-se uma pesquisa bibliográfica a nível dos conceitos inerentes ao tema. Partindo de uma abordagem qualitativa, fundamentada na metodologia do estudo de caso e baseada em questionários aplicados aos clientes e à gerente da agência, foi possível conhecer o perfil dos clientes usuários dos serviços dos canais alternativos, bem como seus interesses e relacionamento com o auto atendimento. Após a colecta dos dados, tabulação e análise, confirmou-se que a procura pelos serviços nos balcões deve-se ao facto do banco não dispor de um canal onde é possível efectuar depósitos, visto que é uma das transacções responsável pelas enormes filas. Constatou-se ainda que a procura por serviços de balcão decorre do desconhecimento, da insegurança e da não utilização dos canais alternativos na sua totalidade. iii De igual modo conferiu-se que os caixas electrónicos são bem aceites pelos clientes, contribuindo para alcançar os objectivos da agência. No entanto, estes não são aproveitados na sua totalidade pelos clientes. Paralelamente foi possível aferir, acerca da relevância da informação em relação aos benefícios do auto atendimento e como utilizá-los da melhor forma, bem como da introdução dos processos de distribuição nas prestações dos serviços bancários, como forma de melhorar o nível da comodidade e não só. Constatou-se, ainda, a importância da consistência na utilização dos canais alternativos de auto atendimento e na sua aceitação por parte dos utilizadores.
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O presente trabalho visou conhecer o auto conceito e a auto estima das crianças portadoras da hiperactividade atendidas no hospital Agostinho Neto – Extensão Trindade; caracterizar a sua auto estima e identificar a dimensão da auto - estima que essas crianças atribuem maior importância. Trabalhamos com 8 sujeitos, todos da cidade da Praia, sendo 7 do sexo masculino e 1 de sexo feminino. O recrutamento dos sujeitos para a amostra foi feito por conveniencia. Para a recolha de dados utilizamos a técnica de Desenho da Figura humana associada a entrevista. Chegamos a conclusão de que há uma relação entre o auto conceito e auto estima e a hiperactividade. Verificamos que o auto conceito e a auto estima dessas crianças se caracterizam pelo predomínio de ideias e pensamento negativistas, triste, melancólicos e muitas vezes até deprimentes, interferindo sobretudo no seu desempenho, académico, social, comportamental e físico, que foram as dimensões da auto estima mais valorizadas por essa crianças, com reflexo na auto estima global.
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Spatial evaluation of Culicidae (Diptera) larvae from different breeding sites: application of a geospatial method and implications for vector control. This study investigates the spatial distribution of urban Culicidae and informs entomological monitoring of species that use artificial containers as larval habitats. Collections of mosquito larvae were conducted in the São Paulo State municipality of Santa Bárbara d' Oeste between 2004 and 2006 during house-to-house visits. A total of 1,891 samples and nine different species were sampled. Species distribution was assessed using the kriging statistical method by extrapolating municipal administrative divisions. The sampling method followed the norms of the municipal health services of the Ministry of Health and can thus be adopted by public health authorities in disease control and delimitation of risk areas. Moreover, this type of survey and analysis can be employed for entomological surveillance of urban vectors that use artificial containers as larval habitat.
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The objective of this paper is to compare the performance of twopredictive radiological models, logistic regression (LR) and neural network (NN), with five different resampling methods. One hundred and sixty-seven patients with proven calvarial lesions as the only known disease were enrolled. Clinical and CT data were used for LR and NN models. Both models were developed with cross validation, leave-one-out and three different bootstrap algorithms. The final results of each model were compared with error rate and the area under receiver operating characteristic curves (Az). The neural network obtained statistically higher Az than LR with cross validation. The remaining resampling validation methods did not reveal statistically significant differences between LR and NN rules. The neural network classifier performs better than the one based on logistic regression. This advantage is well detected by three-fold cross-validation, but remains unnoticed when leave-one-out or bootstrap algorithms are used.
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This paper proposes a common and tractable framework for analyzingdifferent definitions of fixed and random effects in a contant-slopevariable-intercept model. It is shown that, regardless of whethereffects (i) are treated as parameters or as an error term, (ii) areestimated in different stages of a hierarchical model, or whether (iii)correlation between effects and regressors is allowed, when the sameinformation on effects is introduced into all estimation methods, theresulting slope estimator is also the same across methods. If differentmethods produce different results, it is ultimately because differentinformation is being used for each methods.