927 resultados para Poisson model with common shocks
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Tässä tutkielmassa estimoidaan korkomallin parametrit Maximum likelihood metodilla sekä näytetään kuinka mallintaa lyhyen koron evoluutiota ja korkokäyrän rakennetta.
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Neuropeptide Y (NPY) is an abundant neurotransmitter in the brain and sympathetic nervous system (SNS). Hypothalamic NPY is known to be a key player in food intake and energy expenditure. NPY’s role in cardiovascular regulation has also been shown. In humans, a Leucine 7 to Proline 7 single nucleotide polymorphism (p.L7P) in the signal peptide of the NPY gene has been associated with traits of metabolic syndrome. The p.L7P subjects also show increased stress-related release of NPY, which suggests that more NPY is produced and released from SNS. The main objective of this study was to create a novel mouse model with noradrenergic cell-targeted overexpression of NPY, and to characterize the metabolic and vascular phenotype of this model. The mouse model was named OE-NPYDBH mouse. Overexpression of NPY in SNS and brain noradrenergic neurons led to increased adiposity without significant weight gain or increased food intake. The mice showed lipid accumulation in the liver at young age, which together with adiposity led to impaired glucose tolerance and hyperinsulinemia with age. The mice displayed stress-related increased mean arterial blood pressure, increased plasma levels of catecholamines and enhanced SNS activity measured by GDP binding activity to brown adipose tissue mitochondria. Sexual dimorphism in NPY secretion pattern in response to stress was also seen. In an experimental model of vascular injury, the OE-NPYDBH mice developed more pronounced neointima formation compared with wildtype controls. These results together with the clinical data indicate that NPY in noradrenergic cells plays an important role in the pathogenesis of metabolic syndrome and related diseases. Furthermore, new insights on the role of the extrahypothalamic NPY in the process have been obtained. The OE-NPYDBH model provides an important tool for further stress and metabolic syndrome-related studies.
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During the last part of the 1990s the chance of surviving breast cancer increased. Changes in survival functions reflect a mixture of effects. Both, the introduction of adjuvant treatments and early screening with mammography played a role in the decline in mortality. Evaluating the contribution of these interventions using mathematical models requires survival functions before and after their introduction. Furthermore, required survival functions may be different by age groups and are related to disease stage at diagnosis. Sometimes detailed information is not available, as was the case for the region of Catalonia (Spain). Then one may derive the functions using information from other geographical areas. This work presents the methodology used to estimate age- and stage-specific Catalan breast cancer survival functions from scarce Catalan survival data by adapting the age- and stage-specific US functions. Methods: Cubic splines were used to smooth data and obtain continuous hazard rate functions. After, we fitted a Poisson model to derive hazard ratios. The model included time as a covariate. Then the hazard ratios were applied to US survival functions detailed by age and stage to obtain Catalan estimations. Results: We started estimating the hazard ratios for Catalonia versus the USA before and after the introduction of screening. The hazard ratios were then multiplied by the age- and stage-specific breast cancer hazard rates from the USA to obtain the Catalan hazard rates. We also compared breast cancer survival in Catalonia and the USA in two time periods, before cancer control interventions (USA 1975–79, Catalonia 1980–89) and after (USA and Catalonia 1990–2001). Survival in Catalonia in the 1980–89 period was worse than in the USA during 1975–79, but the differences disappeared in 1990–2001. Conclusion: Our results suggest that access to better treatments and quality of care contributed to large improvements in survival in Catalonia. On the other hand, we obtained detailed breast cancer survival functions that will be used for modeling the effect of screening and adjuvant treatments in Catalonia
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One of the most relevant properties of composite materials to be considered is stiffness. Fiberglass has been used traditionally as a fibrous reinforcing element when stiff materials are required. However, natural fibers are been exploited as replacements for synthetic fibers to satisfy environmental concerns. Among the different natural fibers, wood fibers show the combination of relatively high aspect ratio, good specific stiffness and strength, low density, low cost, and less variability than other natural fibers of such those from annual crops. In this work, composites from polypropylene and stone groundwood fibers from softwood were prepared and mechanically characterized under tensile loads. The Young’s moduli of the ensuing composites were analyzed and their micromechanics aspects evaluated. The reinforcing effect of stone groundwood fibers was compared to that of conventional reinforcement such fiberglass. The Halpin-Tsai model with the modification proposed by Tsai-Pagano accounted fairly for the behavior of PP composites reinforced with stone groundwood fibers. It was also demonstrated that the aspect ratio of the reinforcement plays a role in the Young’s modulus of injection molded specimens
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Tutkimuksen tavoitteena on tuottaa malli globaalin tietoliikenneverkkojen palvelutuotannon toteuttamiseksi metsäteollisuuden yrityksessä. Pääongelmana on selvittää miten tietoliikenneverkkojen palvelutuotanto on toteutettava ottaen huomioon tarvittavat toimijat, kustannustehokkuus ja tiedonhallinta. Ongelmaa lähestyttiin IT- johtamisen, ulkoistamisen, yhteistyöverkostojen, prosessien, yhteisten työkalujen ja standardoinnin näkökulmista. Yrityksen tietoliikenneverkkojen nykytilaa ja tavoitetilaa tutkittiin laadullisella kyselytutkimuksella. Tutkimuksen perusteella päädyttiin malliin, jossa tietoliikenneverkkojen palvelutuotannon laadukkuuteen ja tehokkuuteen vaikuttavat oleellisesti toimijat, yhteiset työkalut, standardointi kaikilla tasoilla ja harkittu ja laskelmoitu ulkoistaminen. Keskeiseen rooliin nousivat standardit prosessit ja niitä tukevat yhteiset työkalut, jotka on toteutettu keskitetysti ja kriittisten osien osalta myös paikallisesti. Prosessien ja työkalujen tulee tukea tiedonhallintaa luonnollisena osana päivittäistä toimintaa. Toimijoiden rajapinnat on oltava yksiselitteisesti määritelty ja toimijoiden välillä on kyettävä kommunikoimaan yhteisillä työkaluilla ja jakamaan tietoa avoimesti.
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The objective of this paper was to evaluate the potential of neural networks (NN) as an alternative method to the basic epidemiological approach to describe epidemics of coffee rust. The NN was developed from the intensities of coffee (Coffea arabica) rust along with the climatic variables collected in Lavras-MG between 13 February 1998 and 20 April 2001. The NN was built with climatic variables that were either selected in a stepwise regression analysis or by the Braincel® system, software for NN building. Fifty-nine networks and 26 regression models were tested. The best models were selected based on small values of the mean square deviation (MSD) and of the mean prediction error (MPE). For the regression models, the highest coefficients of determination (R²) were used. The best model developed with neural networks had an MSD of 4.36 and an MPE of 2.43%. This model used the variables of minimum temperature, production, relative humidity of the air, and irradiance 30 days before the evaluation of disease. The best regression model was developed from 29 selected climatic variables in the network. The summary statistics for this model were: MPE=6.58%, MSE=4.36, and R²=0.80. The elaborated neural networks from a time series also were evaluated to describe the epidemic. The incidence of coffee rust at four previous fortnights resulted in a model with MPE=4.72% and an MSD=3.95.
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Hypoksiaan liittyvät biologiset merkkiaineet leikkausta edeltävällä sädehoidolla tai kemosädehoidolla hoidetussa peräsuolisyövässä Peräsuolensyöpä on yleinen pahanlaatuinen kasvain. Leikkausta edeltävä sädehoito annetaan yleensä T3-T4-kasvaimille. Tutkimuksella pyrittiin selvittämään, voidaanko kasvaimen hapenpuutteeseen liittyvillä biologisilla merkkiaineilla arvioida peräsuolisyövän ennustetta leikkausta edeltävän sädehoidon tai kemosädehoidon jälkeen. Tällaisia merkkiaineita ovat hapenpuutteen vaikutuksesta aktivoituva HIF-1alfa hiilihappoanhydraasi IX (CA IX), sokerin kuljetukseen solussa osallistuva GLUT-1 sekä solun tukirankaproteiini ezrin. Tutkimukseen otettiin 178 potilasta, jotka olivat saaneet ennen leikkausta lyhyen (n=77) tai pitkän sädehoidon (n=10), pitkän sädehoidon ja solunsalpaajahoidon (n=37) tai ei mitään hoitoa (n=54). Lisäksi osalta leikkausta edeltävää sädehoitoa saaneelta potilaalta tutkittiin hoitoja edeltävät, diagnostiset näytteet (n=80). Tutkimuksessa käytettiin immunehistokemiallisia värjäysmenetelmiä. Kasvaimen regressiota (TRG) arvioitiin pitkän sädehoidon jälkeisistä näytteistä. Leikkausnäytteissä negatiivinen/heikko CA IX intensiteetti liittyi sekä pidempään tautispesifiseen (p=0.034) että tautivapaaseen elinaikaan (p=0.003) ja pitkän sädehoidon jälkeen HIF-1alfa-negatiivisuus pidempään tautispesifiseen (p=0.001) sekä negatiivinen/heikko GLUT-1 pidempään tautivapaaseen elinaikaan (p=0.066). Voimakas ezrin-ilmentymä diagnostisissa näytteissä liittyi lyhyempään tautivapaaseen ja tautispesifiseen (p=0.027 ja p=0.002) ennusteeseen. Monimuuttuja-analyysissä vahva CA IX intensiteetti leikkausnäytteissä ennusti itsenäisesti huonompaa tautivapaata ja tautispesifistä selviytymistä. Erinomainen TRG liittyi negatiiviseen/heikkoon CA IX- (p=0.057), ezrin- (p=0.012) ja GLUT-1 -ilmentymään (p=0.013) leikkausnäytteissä. Kun kaikki neljä merkkiainetta analysoitiin yhdessä monimuuttuja-analyysissä, CA IX intensiteetti leikkausnäytteissä ennusti itsenäisesti tautispesifistä elinaikaa. Voimakas CA IX-ilmentymä leikkausnäytteissä ja positiivinen HIF-1alfa- ja vahva GLUT-1-ilmentymä pitkän sädehoidon jälkeisissä leikkausnäytteissä sekä vahva ezrin-ilmentymä diagnostisissa näytteissä liittyivät epäsuotuisaan ennusteeseen. Monimuuttujaanalyysissä kohtalainen/voimakas CA IX intensiteetti leikkausnäytteissä ennusti itsenäisesti huonompaa tautivapaata ja tautispesifistä elinaikaa. CA IX on vahva biologinen merkkiaine peräsuolisyövässä.
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Tämän diplomityön päätavoitteena on ollut kunnossapidon kohteiden varaosien hallintaan soveltuvan laskentamallin kehittäminen ja sen tutkiminen valitussa case-kohteessa. Laskentamallissa on kartoitettu huoltovarmuuskeskeisen varastonhallinnan kannalta ne minimitiedot, joiden avulla voidaan olemassa olevat niukat lähtötiedot huomioiden tarkastella varastointikustannuksiin ja varaosien puuteriskiin liittyvää varastointiproblematiikkaa päätöksenteon tueksi. Laskentamalli voidaan jakaa kustannuskomponentteihin, jotka ovat varaosiin sitoutuneet pääomakustannukset, varaosien varastoimisesta aiheutuvat varastointikustannukset ja varaosan puutteesta laitteen vikaantuessa aiheutuvat tuotannon menetyksen kustannukset. Tämän mallin avulla on tarkoitus löytää varaosanimikkeille sopivat tilauspisteet sekä ostoeräkoot osan puutteesta aiheutuva riskikustannus huomioiden. Tämän työn tutkimusosiossa selvitettiin laskentamallin soveltuvuus ABB Oy Servicen huoltopalveluliiketoiminnan tukemiseen eri kunnossapitokohteissa. Teorioiksi mallin luomiseen määriteltiin todennäköisyyslaskentaan perustuva Poisson-jakauma varaosavaraston palveluasteen määrittämiseksi kulutustiedon / vikataajuuden perusteella sekä EOQ taloudellisen ostoeräkoon laskemiseksi.
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The aim of this study was to simulate blood flow in thoracic human aorta and understand the role of flow dynamics in the initialization and localization of atherosclerotic plaque in human thoracic aorta. The blood flow dynamics in idealized and realistic models of human thoracic aorta were numerically simulated in three idealized and two realistic thoracic aorta models. The idealized models of thoracic aorta were reconstructed with measurements available from literature, and the realistic models of thoracic aorta were constructed by image processing Computed Tomographic (CT) images. The CT images were made available by South Karelia Central Hospital in Lappeenranta. The reconstruction of thoracic aorta consisted of operations, such as contrast adjustment, image segmentations, and 3D surface rendering. Additional design operations were performed to make the aorta model compatible for the numerical method based computer code. The image processing and design operations were performed with specialized medical image processing software. Pulsatile pressure and velocity boundary conditions were deployed as inlet boundary conditions. The blood flow was assumed homogeneous and incompressible. The blood was assumed to be a Newtonian fluid. The simulations with idealized models of thoracic aorta were carried out with Finite Element Method based computer code, while the simulations with realistic models of thoracic aorta were carried out with Finite Volume Method based computer code. Simulations were carried out for four cardiac cycles. The distribution of flow, pressure and Wall Shear Stress (WSS) observed during the fourth cardiac cycle were extensively analyzed. The aim of carrying out the simulations with idealized model was to get an estimate of flow dynamics in a realistic aorta model. The motive behind the choice of three aorta models with distinct features was to understand the dependence of flow dynamics on aorta anatomy. Highly disturbed and nonuniform distribution of velocity and WSS was observed in aortic arch, near brachiocephalic, left common artery, and left subclavian artery. On the other hand, the WSS profiles at the roots of branches show significant differences with geometry variation of aorta and branches. The comparison of instantaneous WSS profiles revealed that the model with straight branching arteries had relatively lower WSS compared to that in the aorta model with curved branches. In addition to this, significant differences were observed in the spatial and temporal profiles of WSS, flow, and pressure. The study with idealized model was extended to study blood flow in thoracic aorta under the effects of hypertension and hypotension. One of the idealized aorta models was modified along with the boundary conditions to mimic the thoracic aorta under the effects of hypertension and hypotension. The results of simulations with realistic models extracted from CT scans demonstrated more realistic flow dynamics than that in the idealized models. During systole, the velocity in ascending aorta was skewed towards the outer wall of aortic arch. The flow develops secondary flow patterns as it moves downstream towards aortic arch. Unlike idealized models, the distribution of flow was nonplanar and heavily guided by the artery anatomy. Flow cavitation was observed in the aorta model which was imaged giving longer branches. This could not be properly observed in the model with imaging containing a shorter length for aortic branches. The flow circulation was also observed in the inner wall of the aortic arch. However, during the diastole, the flow profiles were almost flat and regular due the acceleration of flow at the inlet. The flow profiles were weakly turbulent during the flow reversal. The complex flow patterns caused a non-uniform distribution of WSS. High WSS was distributed at the junction of branches and aortic arch. Low WSS was distributed at the proximal part of the junction, while intermedium WSS was distributed in the distal part of the junction. The pulsatile nature of the inflow caused oscillating WSS at the branch entry region and inner curvature of aortic arch. Based on the WSS distribution in the realistic model, one of the aorta models was altered to induce artificial atherosclerotic plaque at the branch entry region and inner curvature of aortic arch. Atherosclerotic plaque causing 50% blockage of lumen was introduced in brachiocephalic artery, common carotid artery, left subclavian artery, and aortic arch. The aim of this part of the study was first to study the effect of stenosis on flow and WSS distribution, understand the effect of shape of atherosclerotic plaque on flow and WSS distribution, and finally to investigate the effect of lumen blockage severity on flow and WSS distributions. The results revealed that the distribution of WSS is significantly affected by plaque with mere 50% stenosis. The asymmetric shape of stenosis causes higher WSS in branching arteries than in the cases with symmetric plaque. The flow dynamics within thoracic aorta models has been extensively studied and reported here. The effects of pressure and arterial anatomy on the flow dynamic were investigated. The distribution of complex flow and WSS is correlated with the localization of atherosclerosis. With the available results we can conclude that the thoracic aorta, with complex anatomy is the most vulnerable artery for the localization and development of atherosclerosis. The flow dynamics and arterial anatomy play a role in the localization of atherosclerosis. The patient specific image based models can be used to diagnose the locations in the aorta vulnerable to the development of arterial diseases such as atherosclerosis.
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Biotechnology has been recognized as the key strategic technology for industrial growth. The industry is heavily dependent on basic research. Finland continues to rank in the top 10 of Europe's most innovative countries in terms of tax-policy, education system, infrastructure and the number of patents issued. Regardless of the excellent statistical results, the output of this innovativeness is below acceptable. Research on the issues hindering the output creation has already been done and the identifiable weaknesses in the Finland's National Innovation system are the non-existent growth of entrepreneurship and the missing internationalization. Finland is proven to have all the enablers of the innovation policy tools, but is lacking the incentives and rewards to push the enablers, such as knowledge and human capital, forward. Science Parks are the biggest operator in research institutes in the Finnish Science and Technology system. They exist with the purpose of speeding up the commercialization process of biotechnology innovations which usually include technological uncertainty, technical inexperience, business inexperience and high technology cost. Innovation management only internally is a rather historic approach, current trend drives towards open innovation model with strong triple helix linkages. The evident problems in the innovation management within the biotechnology industry are examined through a case study approach including analysis of the semi-structured interviews which included biotechnology and business expertise from Turku School of Economics. The results from the interviews supported the theoretical implications as well as conclusions derived from the pilot survey, which focused on the companies inside Turku Science Park network. One major issue that the Finland's National innovation system is struggling with is the fact that it is technology driven, not business pulled. Another problem is the university evaluation scale which focuses more on number of graduates and short-term factors, when it should put more emphasis on the cooperation success in the long-term, such as the triple helix connections with interaction and knowledge distribution. The results of this thesis indicated that there is indeed requirement for some structural changes in the Finland's National innovation system and innovation policy in order to generate successful biotechnology companies and innovation output. There is lack of joint output and scales of success, lack of people with experience, lack of language skills, lack of business knowledge and lack of growth companies.
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Potentiometric ion sensors are a very important subgroup of electrochemical sensors, very attractive for practical applications due to their small size, portability, low-energy consumption, relatively low cost and not changing the sample composition. They are investigated by the researchers from many fields of science. The continuous development of this field creates the necessity for a detailed description of sensor response and the electrochemical processes important in the practical applications of ion sensors. The aim of this thesis is to present the existing models available for the description of potentiometric ion sensors as well as their applicability and limitations. This includes the description of the diffusion potential occurring at the reference electrodes. The wide range of existing models, from most idealised phase boundary models to most general models, including migration, is discussed. This work concentrates on the advanced modelling of ion sensors, namely the Nernst-Planck-Poisson (NPP) model, which is the most general of the presented models, therefore the most widely applicable. It allows the modelling of the transport processes occurring in ion sensors and generating the potentiometric response. Details of the solution of the NPP model (including the numerical methods used) are shown. The comparisons between NPP and the more idealized models are presented. The applicability of the model to describe the formation of diffusion potential in reference electrode, the lower detection limit of both ion-exchanger and neutral carrier electrodes and the effect of the complexation in the membrane are discussed. The model was applied for the description of both types of electrodes, i.e. with the inner filling solution and solidcontact electrodes. The NPP model allows the electrochemical methods other than potentiometry to be described. Application of this model in Electrochemical Impedance Spectroscopy is discussed and a possible use in chrono-potentiometry is indicated. By combining the NPP model with evolutionary algorithms, namely Hierarchical Genetic Strategy (HGS), a novel method allowing the facilitation of the design of ion sensors was created. It is described in detail in this thesis and its possible applications in the field of ion sensors are indicated. Finally, some interesting effects occurring in the ion sensors (i.e. overshot response and influence of anionic sites) as well as the possible applications of NPP in biochemistry are described.
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The development of carbon capture and storage (CCS) has raised interest towards novel fluidised bed (FB) energy applications. In these applications, limestone can be utilized for S02 and/or CO2 capture. The conditions in the new applications differ from the traditional atmospheric and pressurised circulating fluidised bed (CFB) combustion conditions in which the limestone is successfully used for SO2 capture. In this work, a detailed physical single particle model with a description of the mass and energy transfer inside the particle for limestone was developed. The novelty of this model was to take into account the simultaneous reactions, changing conditions, and the effect of advection. Especially, the capability to study the cyclic behaviour of limestone on both sides of the calcination-carbonation equilibrium curve is important in the novel conditions. The significances of including advection or assuming diffusion control were studied in calcination. Especially, the effect of advection in calcination reaction in the novel combustion atmosphere was shown. The model was tested against experimental data; sulphur capture was studied in a laboratory reactor in different fluidised bed conditions. Different Conversion levels and sulphation patterns were examined in different atmospheres for one limestone type. The Conversion curves were well predicted with the model, and the mechanisms leading to the Conversion patterns were explained with the model simulations. In this work, it was also evaluated whether the transient environment has an effect on the limestone behaviour compared to the averaged conditions and in which conditions the effect is the largest. The difference between the averaged and transient conditions was notable only in the conditions which were close to the calcination-carbonation equilibrium curve. The results of this study suggest that the development of a simplified particle model requires a proper understanding of physical and chemical processes taking place in the particle during the reactions. The results of the study will be required when analysing complex limestone reaction phenomena or when developing the description of limestone behaviour in comprehensive 3D process models. In order to transfer the experimental observations to furnace conditions, the relevant mechanisms that take place need to be understood before the important ones can be selected for 3D process model. This study revealed the sulphur capture behaviour under transient oxy-fuel conditions, which is important when the oxy-fuel CFB process and process model are developed.
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Poster at Open Repositories 2014, Helsinki, Finland, June 9-13, 2014
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Open innovation paradigm states that the boundaries of the firm have become permeable, allowing knowledge to flow inwards and outwards to accelerate internal innovations and take unused knowledge to the external environment; respectively. The successful implementation of open innovation practices in firms like Procter & Gamble, IBM, and Xerox, among others; suggest that it is a sustainable trend which could provide basis for achieving competitive advantage. However, implementing open innovation could be a complex process which involves several domains of management; and whose term, classification, and practices have not totally been agreed upon. Thus, with many possible ways to address open innovation, the following research question was formulated: How could Ericsson LMF assess which open innovation mode to select depending on the attributes of the project at hand? The research followed the constructive research approach which has the following steps: find a practical relevant problem, obtain general understanding of the topic, innovate the solution, demonstrate the solution works, show theoretical contributions, and examine the scope of applicability of the solution. The research involved three phases of data collection and analysis: Extensive literature review of open innovation, strategy, business model, innovation, and knowledge management; direct observation of the environment of the case company through participative observation; and semi-structured interviews based of six cases involving multiple and heterogeneous open innovation initiatives. Results from the cases suggest that the selection of modes depend on multiple reasons, with a stronger influence of factors related to strategy, business models, and resources gaps. Based on these and others factors found in the literature review and observations; it was possible to construct a model that supports approaching open innovation. The model integrates perspectives from multiple domains of the literature review, observations inside the case company, and factors from the six open innovation cases. It provides steps, guidelines, and tools to approach open innovation and assess the selection of modes. Measuring the impact of open innovation could take years; thus, implementing and testing entirely the model was not possible due time limitation. Nevertheless, it was possible to validate the core elements of the model with empirical data gathered from the cases. In addition to constructing the model, this research contributed to the literature by increasing the understanding of open innovation, providing suggestions to the case company, and proposing future steps.
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The study was performed to investigate possible alterations in oxygen consumption in an animal model with broad intestinal resection. Oxygen consumption and the thermal effect of a short meal were measured in rats subjected to short bowel syndrome. Four groups of rats were used. Group I was the control group, group II was sham operated, group III was submitted to 80% jejunum-ileum resection, and group IV was submitted to 80% jejunum-ileum resection with colon interposition. Ninety days after surgery, oxygen consumption was measured over a period of 6 h with the animals fasted overnight. The thermal effect of feeding was determined in another session of oxygen consumption measurement in animals fasted for 12 h. A 12-kcal meal was then introduced into the animal chamber and oxygen consumption was measured for a further 4 h. No differences in fasting oxygen consumption or in the thermal effect of the meal were detected among the groups studied. It is concluded that short bowel syndrome does not affect the overall energy expenditure of rats.