Fractional state space analysis of economic systems

This paper examines modern economic growth according to the multidimensional scaling (MDS) method and state space portrait (SSP) analysis. Electing GDP per capita as the main indicator for economic growth and prosperity, the long-run perspective from 1870 to 2010 identifies the main similarities among 34 world partners’ modern economic growth and exemplifies the historical waving mechanics of the largest world economy, the USA. MDS reveals two main clusters among the European countries and their old offshore territories, and SSP identifies the Great Depression as a mild challenge to the American global performance, when compared to the Second World War and the 2008 crisis.

Analysis of world economic variables using multidimensional scaling

Waves of globalization reflect the historical technical progress and modern economic growth. The dynamics of this process are here approached using the multidimensional scaling (MDS) methodology to analyze the evolution of GDP per capita, international trade openness, life expectancy, and education tertiary enrollment in 14 countries. MDS provides the appropriate theoretical concepts and the exact mathematical tools to describe the joint evolution of these indicators of economic growth, globalization, welfare and human development of the world economy from 1977 up to 2012. The polarization dance of countries enlightens the convergence paths, potential warfare and present-day rivalries in the global geopolitical scene.

Malaria in the State of Amazonas: a typical Brazilian tropical disease influenced by waves of economic development

In Brazil, more than 99% of malaria cases are reported in the Amazon, and the State of Amazonas accounts for 40% of this total. However, the accumulated experience and challenges in controlling malaria in this region in recent decades have not been reported. Throughout the first economic cycle during the rubber boom (1879 to 1912), malaria was recorded in the entire state, with the highest incidence in the villages near the Madeira River in the Southern part of the State of Amazonas. In the 1970s, during the second economic development cycle, the economy turned to the industrial sector and demanded a large labor force, resulting in a large migratory influx to the capital Manaus. Over time, a gradual increase in malaria transmission was observed in peri-urban areas. In the 1990s, the stimulation of agroforestry, particularly fish farming, led to the formation of permanent Anopheline breeding sites and increased malaria in settlements. The estimation of environmental impacts and the planning of measures to mitigate them, as seen in the construction of the Coari-Manaus gas pipeline, proved effective. Considering the changes occurred since the Amsterdam Conference in 1992, disease control has been based on early diagnosis and treatment, but the development of parasites that are resistant to major antimalarial drugs in Brazilian Amazon has posed a new challenge. Despite the decreased lethality and the gradual decrease in the number of malaria cases, disease elimination, which should be associated with government programs for economic development in the region, continues to be a challenge.

Envelhecimento ativo : qualidade de vida relacionada com a saúde em idosos praticantes de atividade física : Gigong

RESUMO - Racional : A proporção da população nacional de idosos regista uma tendência crescente e as suas consequências a nível humano, social e económico são preocupantes para os gestores dos serviços de saúde. O Qigong, componente da Medicina Tradicional Chinesa, compreende a realização de movimentos suaves, controlo da respiração e meditação. Objetivos e hipóteses: No âmbito da prática de atividade física enquanto estratégia de um envelhecimento ativo, investigou-se a hipótese do Qigong contribuir para a melhoria da Qualidade de Vida Relacionada com a Saúde dos idosos participantes nesta investigação. Pretendeu-se igualmente investigar a contribuição do Qigong na redução das Frequências Respiratória e Cardíaca. Métodos: Tratou-se de um estudo quasi-experimental, antes e depois da prática de Qigong, caraterizando-se os idosos, avaliando-se a Qualidade de Vida Relacionada com a Saúde através do Questionário SF-12v2 e as Frequências Respiratória e Cardíaca, antes e depois das sessões de Qigong. Resultados: Observou-se uma adesão ao programa de 46%, constatando-se uma tendência global para a melhoria da Qualidade de Vida Relacionada com a Saúde após a prática de Qigong, com diferença estatisticamente significativa na dimensão Função Social do questionário (p = 0,046) e na redução da Frequência Respiratória (p = 0,031). Nas dimensões Desempenho Emocional e Medida Sumário Mental, observou-se um nível de tendência sugestivo de efeito (p <0,10). Foram demonstrados benefícios sentidos por parte dos idosos, decorrentes da prática de Qigong. Conclusão: O Qigong demonstrou efetividade na melhoria da qualidade de vida social e redução da Frequência Respiratória, sugerindo melhoria ao nível mental e emocional dos idosos.

A presunção de inocência nas fases preliminares do processo penal

This study analyses the principle of presumption of innocence in the preliminary stages of the Portuguese criminal process, its procedural aspect related with the principle of in dubio pro reo and its material aspect concerning the treatment of the defendant during the proceedings. The consequences and manifestations of the principle of presumption of innocence are analysed in the decisions of the closing stages of the preliminary criminal procedure and the application of the principle of in dubio pro reo is analysed in the judgement of sufficiency of evidence for the procedure to continue. It addresses the question of circumstantial evidence, its particular relevance in economic and financial crime, highly organized crime, the grounds for the indictment in general and when the sufficiency of evidence criteria is based on that evidence. It analyses the scope of the principle of presumption of innocence in the application of coercive measures, with reference to the arrest, first interrogation of the accused under detention and reasons for the subsequent dispatch about the measures. The asset assurance measures of preventive seizure and the preventive seizure to ensure confiscation are analysed and principle of presumption of innocence is considered non applicable to those measures.

The economic impact of the event Volta a Portugal em Bicicleta 2015

This thesis is a Field Lab project requested by the organizer of the Volta a Portugal em Bicicleta 2015, Podium Events. Its purpose is to determine the economic impact of the event for the 21 host economies and Portugal as a whole. The Volta started in Viseu and ended in Lisboa, and lasted for two weeks from the 29th July until the 8th August. Results were computed by accessing data provided by the different economic agents involved in the event (spectators, attendees and organizer), through face-to-face surveys and contact via e-mail. The Volta generated a total economic impact of €76.261.876. Keywords: Cycling,

Microstructural changes befor macroeconomic announcements: Predictability of economic surprises in the U.S. market

Flow of new information is what produces price changes, understanding if the market is unbalanced is fundamental to know how much inventory market makers should keep during an important economic release. After identifying which economic indicators impact the S&P and 10 year Treasuries. The Volume Synchronized Probability of Information-Based Trading (VPIN) will be used as a predictability measure. The results point to some predictability power over economic surprises of the VPIN metric, mainly when calculated using the S&P. This finding appears to be supported when analysing depth imbalance before economic releases. Inferior results were achieved when using treasuries. The final aim of this study is to fill the gap between microstructural changes and macroeconomic events.

The economic impact of the event Volta a Portugal em Bicicleta 2015

This thesis is a Field Lab project requested by the organizer of the Volta a Portugal em Bicicleta 2015, Podium Events. Its purpose is to determine the economic impact of the event for the 21 host economies and Portugal as a whole. The Volta started in Viseu and ended in Lisboa, and lasted for two weeks from the 29th July until the 8th August. Results were computed by accessing data provided by the different economic agents involved in the event (spectators, attendees and organizer), through face-to-face surveys and contact via e-mail. The Volta generated a total economic impact of €76.261.876.

Community indentification in peer-t-peer collaborative consumption services

Even though collaborative consumption (CC) is gaining economic importance, research in CC is still in its infancy. Consumers’ reasons for participating have already been investigated but little research on consequences of participation has been conducted. This article examines whether interactions between customers in peer-to-peer CC services influence the willingness to coproduce service outcomes. Drawing on social exchange theory, it is proposed that this effect is mediated by consumers’ identification with the brand community. Furthermore, continuance intention in CC is introduced as a second stage moderator. In a cross-sectional study, customers of peer-to-peer accommodation sharing are surveyed. While customer-to-customer interactions were found to have a positive effect on brand community identification, brand community identification did not positively affect co-production intention. Surprisingly, the effect of brand community identification on co-production intention was negative. Moreover, continuance intention of customers did not moderate this relationship. Bearing in mind current challenges for researchers and companies, theoretical and managerial implications are discussed.

The economic assessment of health benefits of active transport

Purpose:This chapter addresses the economic assessment of health benefits of active transport and presents most recent valuation studies with an overview of progresses made towards the inclusion of health benefits in the cost-benefit analysis (CBA) of active transport. Methodology/approach: It is built upon the contracted study for the World Health Organization (WHO) on the economic appraisal of health benefits of walking and cycling investments at the city of Viana do Castelo, the former pilot study in Portugal for evaluating the health benefits of non-motorized transport using the WHO Health Economic Assessment Tool (HEAT). The relative risk values adopted in the HEAT for walking refer to adult population of the age group 20â 74 years and the assessment focus in on average physical activity/regular behaviour of groups of pedestrians and all-cause mortality health impacts. During the case study, it was developed and implemented a mobility survey which aimed to collect behavioural data before and after a street intervention in the historic centre. Findings: Most recent appraisal guidance of walking and cycling and health impact modelling studies reviewed confirm that further research is expected before a more comprehensive appraisal procedure can be adopted in Europe, able to integrate physical activity effects along with other health risks such as those related to road traffic injuries and exposure to air pollution. Social implications: The health benefits assessment of walking investments helped local decision-makers to progress towards sustainable mobility options in the city. Making the population aware of the potential health benefits of regular walking can encourage more people to uptake active transport as part of their daily activities. Originality/value: This study provides a useful review of the health benefits of active transport with a comprehensive analysis of valuation studies, presenting value-added information. It then reports a former assessment of the health effects of active transport in the Portuguese context (case study) using the state-of-the-art economic analysis tool (HEAT) of the World Health Organization which is believed to contribute to a paradigm shift in the transport policy and appraisal practice given the need of shaping future cities (and their citizens) for health through more investments in active transport.

Economic evaluation of occupational safety preventive measures in a hospital

BACKGROUND: When an organization performs an integrated analysis of risks through its Occupational Health and Safety Management System, several steps are suggested to address the implications of the identified risks. Namely, the organization should make a detailed analysis of the monetary impact for the organization of each of the preventive measures considered. However, it is also important to perform an analysis of the impact of each measure on society (externalities). OBJECTIVE: The aim of this paper is to present a case study related to the application of the proposed economic evaluation methodology. METHODS: An analysis of the work accidents in a hospital has been made. Three of the major types of accidents have been selected: needle stings, falls and excessive strain. Following the risk assessment, some preventive measures have been designed. Subsequently, the Benefit/Cost ratio (B/C) of these measures has been calculated, both in financial terms (from the organization’s perspective) and in economic terms (including the benefits for the worker and for the Society). RESULTS: While the financial ratio is only advantageous in some cases, when the externalities are taken into account, the B/C ratio increases significantly. CONCLUSIONS: It is important to consider external

Relação entre regulação das ordens profissionais e gestão jurisdicional dos profissionais de contabilidade: estudo comparado entre Portugal e o Brasil

Tese de Doutoramento em Ciência da Administração

O ensino da matemática e a avaliação externa de escolas: um estudo com professores do 1.º e 2.º ciclos

Os processos e práticas de educação e formação portugueses estão cada vez mais integrados em agendas globalmente estruturadas, cujo eixo de influência se situa no quadro comum das políticas da União Europeia e de organismos transnacionais como a OCDE (Pacheco, 2009). A avaliação tem vindo a assumir, nas últimas décadas, um papel central, extrapolando a sua importância para além do campo da educação (Afonso, 2010). O destaque atribuído à avaliação das escolas decorre de duas tendências que marcam a generalidade dos países europeus: a descentralização de meios e a definição de objetivos nacionais e de patamares de resultados escolares (Eurydice, 2011). Utilizando a análise político-económica da globalização na educação e fazendo também uma abordagem crítica às políticas de partilha (Takayama, 2013), pretendese analisar a mediação das pressões das políticas curriculares de homogeneização e estandardização dos resultados (Afonso, 2012; Santiago, Donaldson, Looney & Nusche, 2012) e a sua influência nos professores de Matemática. O presente estudo quantitativo envolve a realização de um inquérito por questionário aos professores do 1.º e 2.º ciclos de Matemática do Ensino Básico, onde se averigua de que forma o modelo de avaliação externa de escolas, implementado em Portugal desde 2006, tem colaborado para a elaboração de consequências concretas nos standards de avaliação, e na preponderância dos testes sumativos na disciplina de Matemática, considerando as mudanças curriculares e pedagógicas.

Da luta contra o crime aos riscos. As consequências extra prisionais da reclusão feminina

Entre o leque de políticas penais atualmente disponíveis e legitimadas na contenção da criminalidade, a reclusão constitui a forma predominante para sancionar transgressores. Procurando alargar o debate sobre as penas de prisão, este artigo explora, através de entrevistas com 20 mulheres reclusas, os processos de reconfiguração e reestruturação das responsabilidades femininas na decorrência da reclusão de mulheres e analisa as implicações socioeconómicas da ausência feminina nos agregados domésticos. Os resultados evidenciam que a reclusão de mulheres desencadeia ou agrava posições de vulnerabilidade social e instabilidade económica, afetando sobretudo crianças, mulheres e idosos.

Influence of river ecological condition on changes in physico-chemical water parameters along rivers

Dissertação de mestrado em Ecology