Time-varying Risk Premiums and Conditional Market Risk: Empirical Evidence from European Stock Markets

This study investigates the relationship between the time-varying risk premiums and conditional market risk in the stock markets of the ten member countries of Economy and Monetary Union. Second, it examines whether the conditional second moments change over time and are there asymmetric effects in the conditional covariance matrix. Third, it analyzes the possible effects of the chosen testing framework. Empirical analysis is conducted using asymmetric univariate and multivariate GARCH-in-mean models and assuming three different degrees of market integration. For a daily sample period from 1999 to 2007, the study shows that the time-varying market risk alone is not enough to explain the dynamics of risk premiums and indications are found that the market risk is detected only when its price is allowed to change over time. Also asymmetric effects in the conditional covariance matrix, which is found to be time-varying, are clearly present and should be recognized in empirical asset pricing analyses.

Idiosyncratic Volatility Puzzle: Influence of Macro-Finance Factors

In this paper, we scrutinize the cross-sectional relation between idiosyncratic volatility and stock returns. As a novelty, the idiosyncratic volatility is obtained by conditioning upon macro-finance factors as well as upon traditional asset pricing factors. The macro-finance factors are constructed from a large pool of macroeconomic and financial variables. Cleaning for macro-finance e§ects reverses the puzzling negative relation between returns and idiosyncratic volatility documented previously. Portfolio analysis shows that the effects from macro-finance factors are economically strong. The relation between idiosyncratic volatility and returns does not vary with the NBER business cycles. The empirical results are highly robust. Keywords: Idiosyncratic volatility puzzle; Macro-finance predictors; Factor analysis; Business cycle. JEL Classifications: G12; G14

The Design of a Software Lifecycle Management Framework to a Configuration Management System

Keeping track of software assets and managing software installations in IT environments can be a hard endeavor, especially when the size and diversity of the environment grows. How to install and uninstall software efficiently and cost effectively? Are there too few or too many software licenses purchased? If installed, is the software actually in use? Software Asset Management (SAM) is a process that involves managing and optimizing the purchase, deployment, maintenance, utilization, and disposal of software applications within an organization. This master’s thesis describes a special Software Lifecycle Management Framework to provide solutions to the multitude of challenges within SAM. The main objectives when designing the framework was to provide a set of tools to control the software assets during their entire lifecycle while trying to minimize the costs related to owning and managing them.

Kvantitatiivisen osakepisteytysmallin testaaminen Euroopan markkinoilla

Tutkielman tavoitteena on testata kvantitatiivisen osakepisteytysmallin tehokkuutta Euroopan osakemarkkinoilla. Osakepisteytysmalli järjestää osakkeet paremmuusjärjestykseen yrityskohtaisten tunnuslukujen avulla. Pisteytysmallin suositusten mukaan luodaan testisalkku ajanjaksolta 2002 2007. Testisalkun tuottoa mitataan pääomahyödykkeiden hinnoittelumallin sekä Faman ja Frenchin kolmen faktorin mallin avulla. Testisalkkua testataan markkina arvopainoisena sekä tasapainoisena. Tasapainoisessa salkussa jokaista osaketta painotetaan yhtäläisesti. Testisalkun rinnalle luodaan lisäksi vertailusalkku satunnaisista osakkeista. Tasapainotettu testisalkku tuotti tarkasteluajanjaksolla tilastollisesti merkitsevää markkinariskikorjattua ylituottoa 0,7 prosenttia kuukaudessa. Kolmen faktorin mallin avulla laskettu ylituotto ei ollut merkitsevä. Yrityskokofaktori sekä markkinatuotto näyttivät selittävän vahvasti testisalkun tuottoja. Yrityskoon vaikutus näkyi myös markkina arvopainotetussa salkussa, jonka tuotto ei päihittänyt markkinatuottoa. Vertailusalkku ei tuottanut tilastollisesti merkitsevää ylituottoa.

Essays on pricing of risk and international linkage of Russian stock market

Last two decades have seen a rapid change in the global economic and financial situation; the economic conditions in many small and large underdeveloped countries started to improve and they became recognized as emerging markets. This led to growth in the amounts of global investments in these countries, partly spurred by expectations of higher returns, favorable risk-return opportunities, and better diversification alternatives to global investors. This process, however, has not been without problems and it has emphasized the need for more information on these markets. In particular, the liberalization of financial markets around the world, globalization of trade and companies, recent formation of economic and regional blocks, and the rapid development of underdeveloped countries during the last two decades have brought a major challenge to the financial world and researchers alike. This doctoral dissertation studies one of the largest emerging markets, namely Russia. The motivation why the Russian equity market is worth investigating includes, among other factors, its sheer size, rapid and robust economic growth since the turn of the millennium, future prospect for international investors, and a number of important major financial reforms implemented since the early 1990s. Another interesting feature of the Russian economy, which gives motivation to study Russian market, is Russia’s 1998 financial crisis, considered as one of the worst crisis in recent times, affecting both developed and developing economies. Therefore, special attention has been paid to Russia’s 1998 financial crisis throughout this dissertation. This thesis covers the period from the birth of the modern Russian financial markets to the present day, Special attention is given to the international linkage and the 1998 financial crisis. This study first identifies the risks associated with Russian market and then deals with their pricing issues. Finally some insights about portfolio construction within Russian market are presented. The first research paper of this dissertation considers the linkage of the Russian equity market to the world equity market by examining the international transmission of the Russia’s 1998 financial crisis utilizing the GARCH-BEKK model proposed by Engle and Kroner. Empirical results shows evidence of direct linkage between the Russian equity market and the world market both in regards of returns and volatility. However, the weakness of the linkage suggests that the Russian equity market was only partially integrated into the world market, even though the contagion can be clearly seen during the time of the crisis period. The second and the third paper, co-authored with Mika Vaihekoski, investigate whether global, local and currency risks are priced in the Russian stock market from a US investors’ point of view. Furthermore, the dynamics of these sources of risk are studied, i.e., whether the prices of the global and local risk factors are constant or time-varying over time. We utilize the multivariate GARCH-M framework of De Santis and Gérard (1998). Similar to them we find price of global market risk to be time-varying. Currency risk also found to be priced and highly time varying in the Russian market. Moreover, our results suggest that the Russian market is partially segmented and local risk is also priced in the market. The model also implies that the biggest impact on the US market risk premium is coming from the world risk component whereas the Russian risk premium is on average caused mostly by the local and currency components. The purpose of the fourth paper is to look at the relationship between the stock and the bond market of Russia. The objective is to examine whether the correlations between two classes of assets are time varying by using multivariate conditional volatility models. The Constant Conditional Correlation model by Bollerslev (1990), the Dynamic Conditional Correlation model by Engle (2002), and an asymmetric version of the Dynamic Conditional Correlation model by Cappiello et al. (2006) are used in the analysis. The empirical results do not support the assumption of constant conditional correlation and there was clear evidence of time varying correlations between the Russian stocks and bond market and both asset markets exhibit positive asymmetries. The implications of the results in this dissertation are useful for both companies and international investors who are interested in investing in Russia. Our results give useful insights to those involved in minimising or managing financial risk exposures, such as, portfolio managers, international investors, risk analysts and financial researchers. When portfolio managers aim to optimize the risk-return relationship, the results indicate that at least in the case of Russia, one should account for the local market as well as currency risk when calculating the key inputs for the optimization. In addition, the pricing of exchange rate risk implies that exchange rate exposure is partly non-diversifiable and investors are compensated for bearing the risk. Likewise, international transmission of stock market volatility can profoundly influence corporate capital budgeting decisions, investors’ investment decisions, and other business cycle variables. Finally, the weak integration of the Russian market and low correlations between Russian stock and bond market offers good opportunities to the international investors to diversify their portfolios.

Los nuevos activos del árbitro de baloncesto: poder blando, empatía y comunicación. El caso del Comité catalán de Árbitros de Baloncesto

The basketball refereeing has undergone many changes in the last ten years. This article claims to combine some conceptual and methodological basis to define the meanings for the so called ‘modern refereeing’. Indeed, this research is concerned to the analysis of the new communication skills as an inseparable asset to the arbitration task, characterized by the dialogue, the administration of 'soft power', the emotional management and the adoption of a renewed and empathic attitude towards all the components of the game. Finally, this paper will propose the concretion of some specific communicative characteristics of the basketball refereeing in the XXI century.

Teollisten palveluiden tarjoajien ja asiakkaan välisen yhteistyösuhteen kehittäminen

Työssä tutkitaan asennetun laitekannan kunnossapitopalveluun perustuvan yritysten välisen yhteistyösuhteen kehittämisen edellytyksiä. Tutkimus pohjautuu teollisten palveluiden, yritysten välisten yhteistyösuhteiden ja palveluiden kehittämisen osatekijöiden ja menestystekijöiden teoreettiseen tarkasteluun, sekä kohdeyrityksille suoritetun kvalitatiivisen haastattelututkimuksen tulosten analysointiin teoreettisen viitekehyksen valossa. Tavoitteena on muodostaa ehjä ja hallittava kokonaisuus monialaisen ongelmakentän kriittisistä osatekijöistä, sekä niiden keskinäisistä kausaliteeteista. Yritysten välisen yhteistyön lähtökohtana on, että kaikki yhteistyön osapuolet saavuttavat toiminnalla hyötyjä omasta näkökulmastaan tarkasteltuna. Yhteistyösuhteen kehittäminen ja yhteisen arvon toteutuminen edellyttää näin ollen, että tarjottavan palvelukokonaisuuden sisältämät potentiaaliset hyödyt ja toisaalta myös niitä vastaavat riskit ymmärretään sekä palveluntarjoajan että asiakkaan organisaatiossa. Yhteistyösuhteen kehittäminen edellyttää edelleen myös, että suhteen kehittymistä ja saavutettavia hyötyjä pystytään mittaamaan relevanttien mittareiden avulla. Tutkimuksessa keskitytään hyötypotentiaalin selvittämisen edellytyksiin, sekä hyötyjen viestimisen haasteisiin molempia osapuolia palvelevasta objektiivisesta näkökulmasta. Haastattelututkimuksessa havaittujen ongelmakohtien pohjalta eritellään kehityskohteita ja ratkaisuehdotuksia päätöksenteon tueksi sekä laajojen palvelukokonaisuuksien ja niihin liittyvän ongelmakentän hahmottamisen ja hallinnan helpottamiseksi.

Pankkien rahoitusinstrumenttien arvostus menetelmät IFRS siirtymässä empiirinen tarkastelu

IFRS standardit pyrkivät yhdenmukaistamaan yritysten taloudellisen informaation esittämistapaa ja lisäämään tilinpäätöksen läpinäkyvyyttä sijoittajien näkökulmasta. Tässä tutkielmassa tarkastellaan pankkien rahoitusomaisuuserien läpinäkyvyysvaatimusten toteutumista tutkimalla, kuinka rahoitusinstrumenttien arvostusmenetelmät ovat muuttuneet IFRS:n käyttöönoton myötä. Tutkimusmenetelmäksi valittiin monitapaustutkimus, jossa selvitettiin kuinka aineistoon valitut neljä pohjoismaista pankkia oust menetelleet rahoitusinstrumenttien arvostamisessa IFRS standardien käyttöönoton siirtymävaiheessa vuosina 2003 2007. Aineistona käytettiin pankkien julkisia tilinpäätöstietoja ja vuosikertomuksia. Tulosten perusteella rahoitusinstrumenttien läpinäkyvyyden voidaan sanoa jonkin verran lisääntyneen, sillä pankit olivat yleisesti ottaen siirtyneet käyvän arvon käyttämiseen aikaisemmasta hankintamenopohjaisesta menetelmästä. Käyvän arvon kaikki pankit oust määrittäneet markkinahintanoteerausten perusteella tai niiden puuttuessa erilaistenarvostusmenetelmien avulla. Pankin koko näytti olevan sidoksissa käytettavien arvostusmenetelmien monimutkaisuuteen.

Economical and operational analysis of outsourced warehouse function

The target of the thesis was to find out has the decision to outsource part of Filtronic LK warehouse function been profitable. Furthermore, another thesis target was to demonstrate current logistics processes between TPLP and company and find out the targets for developing these processes. The decision to outsource part of logistical funtions have been profitable during the first business year. Partnership includes always business risks. Risk increases high asset specific investments. In the other hand investment to partnership increases mutual trust and commitment between parties. By developing partnership risks and opportunitic behaviour can be decreased. The potential of managing material and data flows between logistic service provider and company observed. By analyzing inventory effiency were highlighted the need for decreasing the capital invested to inventories. The recommendations for managing outsourced logistical funtions were established such as improving partnership, process development, performance measurement and invoice checking.

Suomalaisten teollisuuden kunnossapitoyritysten investoinnit: analyysi ja skenaariot

Työn tavoitteena oli lisätä ymmärrystä teollisuuden kunnossapidon toimialasta ja sen tulevaisuudesta, tutkimalla teollisuuden kunnossapitoyritysten toteuttamia käyttöomaisuus- ja käyttöpääomainvestointeja vuosilta 2003–2007. Tutkimus toteutettiin tilinpää-tösanalyysin menetelmin suppealla, mutta edustavalla, 20 teollisuuden kunnossapitoyrityksen tilinpäätösaineistolla. Yritysjoukko jaettiin pk-yrityksiin ja suuriin yrityksiin, jolla pyrittiin kuvaamaan toimialan todellisempaa rakennetta. Analyysiosiossa tarkasteltiin toteutuneita investointiasteita, investointilogiikoita, yritysten kannattavuuksia sekä käyttöpääomainvestointien hallintaa. Toteutetun analyysin perusteella luotiin kolme tulevaisuuden skenaariota teollisuuden kunnossapidon toimi-alan kehitykselle. Eri skenaarioille laskettiin ennustemallilla keskimääräiset investointiasteet. Analyysin mukaan teollisuuden kunnossapitoyrityksien liikevaihto kasvoi tutkimusaikavälillä keskimäärin noin 8,5 prosenttia vuodessa. Kyseinen kasvu on vaatinut yrityksiltä noin 2,5 prosentin investointiasteen. Verratessa pk-yrityksiä ja isoja yrityksiä, havaittiin merkittäviä eroja toteutuneissa investointiasteissa sekä investointilogiikoissa. Yhteistä yritysjoukoille oli hyvä kannattavuus, johon eri investointiasteilla ei näyttäisi lyhyellä aikavälillä olevan vaikutusta. Tulevaisuuden investointitarve vaikuttaa maltillisemmalta kuin toteutunut taso, johtuen osaltaan taantuman vaikutuksista.

Verkkoyhtiön omaisuuden hallinta PAS 55 näkökulmasta

Tämän diplomityön tavoitteena oli kehittää verkkoyhtiön omaisuuden hallintaa PAS 55 standardin edellyttämälle tasolle. Kehittämistyössä keskityttiin johdon katselmukseen ja riskienhallintaan, joissa havaittiin suurimmat kehittämistarpeet. Tässä raportissa esitellään uudet toimintamallit näiden osa-alueiden kehittämiseksi. Kehittämistyössä hyödynnettiin PAS 55 standardin lisäksi uusimpia teorioita omaisuuden hallintaan liittyen. Tutkimuksessa havaittiin, että yrityksen omaisuuden hallinta on hyvällä tasolla. Lisäksi havaittiin, että kehitettyjen toimintamallien avulla yrityksen omaisuuden hallinta vastaa näiltä osin PAS 55 standardin vaatimuksia.

Strategic Development of Electricity Distribution Networks – Concept and Methods

Strategic development of distribution networks plays a key role in the asset management in electricity distribution companies. Owing to the capital-intensive nature of the field and longspan operations of companies, the significance of a strategy is emphasised. A well-devised strategy combines awareness of challenges posed by the operating environment and the future targets of the distribution company. Economic regulation, ageing infrastructure, scarcity of resources and tightening supply requirements with challenges created by the climate change put a pressure on the strategy work. On the other hand, technology development related to network automation and underground cabling assists in answering these challenges. This dissertation aims at developing process knowledge and establishing a methodological framework by which key issues related to network development can be addressed. Moreover, the work develops tools by which the effects of changes in the operating environment on the distribution business can be analysed in the strategy work. To this end, the work discusses certain characteristics of the distribution business and describes the strategy process at a principle level. Further, the work defines the subtasks in the strategy process and presents the key elements in the strategy work and long-term network planning. The work delineates the factors having either a direct or indirect effect on strategic planning and development needs in the networks; in particular, outage costs constitute an important part of the economic regulation of the distribution business, reliability being thus a key driver in network planning. The dissertation describes the methodology and tools applied to cost and reliability analyses in the strategy work. The work focuses on determination of the techno-economic feasibility of different network development technologies; these feasibility surveys are linked to the economic regulation model of the distribution business, in particular from the viewpoint of reliability of electricity supply and allowed return. The work introduces the asset management system developed for research purposes and to support the strategy work, the calculation elements of the system and initial data used in the network analysis. The key elements of this asset management system are utilised in the dissertation. Finally, the study addresses the stages of strategic decision-making and compilation of investment strategies. Further, the work illustrates implementation of strategic planning in an actual distribution company environment.

Yksilön työmotivaation ja oppimisen muodostuminen organisaatiossa Case: Päivittäistavarakaupan kassaryhmä

Tutkimuksen tavoitteena oli tarkastella yksilön työmotivaation ja osaami-sen muodostumista organisaatiossa. Lisäksi tutkimuksessa on tarkasteltu tiettyjen työmotivaatioon ja työssä oppimiseen vaikuttavien itse työhön, sekä organisaatioon liittyvien tekijöiden merkitystä näiden kehittymisessä. Tutkimuksella haluttiin ottaa osaa keskusteluun aineettoman, inhimillisen pääoman tärkeydestä organisaatioille kilpailukyvyn luojana. Aineettoman pääoman on sanottu saavan aikaan suuren osan yrityksen kasvusta ja sen arvonnoususta, joten se vaikuttaa keskeisesti organisaation strategiaan ja kilpailukykyyn (Lönnqvist et al. 2005: 61–63). Palveluryityksen tuote perus-tuu tietoon ja henkilöstön tärkeimmäksi ominaisuudeksi nousee tällöin osaaminen (Halonen, 2001: 78). Tämän vuoksi oppiminen organisaatiossa on tutkimuksessa erityisen huomion kohteena, koska sen rooli työmotivaa-tion näkökulmasta on merkittävä ja sen kautta luodaan osaamista. Osaa-mista, joka koostuu tiedoista, taidoista, asenteista, kokemuksista ja kon-takteista, voi syntyä oppimisen kautta (Sydänmaanlakka, 2001: 14) Osaamisen kautta pystytään rakentamaan myös sisäistä, pidempikestoista motivaatiota. Tutkimus on kvalitatiivinen tapaustutkimus, jossa motivaatiota ja työssä oppimista on tarkasteltu lähemmin kohdeyrityksen valitun työntekijäryh-män kautta. Tutkimusmenetelminä on käytetty puolistrukturoitua teema-haastattelua ja kyselylomaketta.

O centenário da Teoria de Bohr

The year 2013 marks the centennial of that wondrous year in which Niels Bohr proposed a novel theory about the constitution of atoms and small molecules after which the way we regard atoms and their behaviour began to be drastically altered. Bohr drew on several sources for his original description of the atoms, most importantly on spectroscopy and Balmer's equation thereof, the new quantum hypothesis advanced a few years earlier by Planck, and the planetary atom proposed by Rutherford. Although Bohr's ideas were to be eventually overtaken by the advent of quantum mechanics, his theory was the basis of a new thinking about atoms and molecules which constitutes an invaluable asset in the development of science ever since.

Customer knowledge processing in key account management

The ability of the supplier firm to generate and utilise customer-specific knowledge has attracted increasing attention in the academic literature during the last decade. It has been argued the customer knowledge should treated as a strategic asset the same as any other intangible assets. Yet, at the same time it has been shown that the management of customer-specific knowledge is challenging in practice, and that many firms are better at acquiring customer knowledge than at making use of it. This study examines customer knowledge processing in the context of key account management in large industrial firms. This focus was chosen because key accounts are demanding and complex. It is not unusual for a single key account relationship to constitute a complex web of relationships between the supplier and the key account – thus easily leading to the dispersion of customer-specific knowledge in the supplier firm. Although the importance of customer-specific knowledge generation has been widely acknowledged in the literature, surprisingly little attention has been paid to the processes through which firms generate, disseminate and use such knowledge internally for enhancing the relationships with their major, strategically important key account customers. This thesis consists of two parts. The first part comprises a theoretical overview and draws together the main findings of the study, whereas the second part consists of five complementary empirical research papers based on survey data gathered from large industrial firms in Finland. The findings suggest that the management of customer knowledge generated about and form key accounts is a three-dimensional process consisting of acquisition, dissemination and utilization. It could be concluded from the results that customer-specific knowledge is a strategic asset because the supplier’s customer knowledge processing activities have a positive effect on supplier’s key account performance. Moreover, in examining the determinants of each phase separately the study identifies a number of intra-organisational factors that facilitate the process in supplier firms. The main contribution of the thesis lies in linking the concept of customer knowledge processing to the previous literature on key account management. Moreover, given than this literature is mainly conceptual or case-based, a further contribution is to examine its consequences and determinants based on quantitative empirical data.