964 resultados para Future Value
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Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Electrotécnica e de Computadores
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This paper has developed a model of a single forest owner operating with perfect foresight in a dynamic open-city environment that allows for switching between alternative competing land uses (forest and urban use) at some point in the future. The model also incorporates external values of an even-aged standing forest in addition to the value of timber when it is harvested. Timber is exploited based on a multiple rotation model a la Faustmann with clear-cut harvesting. In contrast to previous models, our alternative land use to forest land is endogenous. Within this framework, we study the problem of the private owner as well as that of the social planner, when choosing the time to harvest, the time to convert land and the intensity of development. We also examine the extent to which the two-way linkage between urban development and forest management practices (timber production and provision of forest amenities) contributes to economic efficiency and improvements in non-market forest benefits. Finally, we consider policy options available to a regulator seeking to achieve improvements in efficiency including anti-sprawl policies (impact fees and density controls) and forest policies such a yield tax. Numerical simulations illustrate our analytical results.
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This paper examines the effectiveness of urban containment policies to protect forestland from residential conversion and to increase the provision of forest public goods in the presence of irreversible investments and policy uncertainty. We develop a model of a single landowner that allows for switching between competing land uses (forestry and residential use) at some point in the future. Our results show that urban containment policies can protect (even if temporarily) forestland from being developed but must be supplemented with policies that influence the length and number of harvesting cycles if the goal is to increase nontimber benefits. The threat of a development prohibition creates incentives for preemptive timber harvesting and land conversion. In particular, threatened regulation creates an incentive to shorten rotation cycles to avoid costly land-use restrictions. However, it has an ambiguous effect on forestland conversion as the number of rotation cycles can also be adjusted to maximize the expected returns to land. Finally, in the presence of irreversibility, forestland conversion decisions should be done using real option theory rather than net present value analysis
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Dissertação para a obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia e Gestão da Água
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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
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Peripheral blood leukocytes from different animals were isolated from whole blood and maintained in Dulbeco's medium containing homologous serum without antibiotics. After 72 hrs microscopic examination of these cells showed that most animals were infected with Ehrlichia. Observation of thin blood smears from the same animals showed that only two were positive for Ehrlichia. The results of this investigation show that leukocyte culture is superior to the traditional thin blood film method in the detection of Ehrlichia and that asymptomatic carriers are easily detected. The method is inexpensive and does not require specific cell lines although it is necessary to use sterile sera.
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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
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A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Management from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics
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Dissertation presented to obtain the Ph.D degree in Engineering Sciences and Technology
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Dissertação para a obtenção do Grau de Mestre em Engenharia Química e Bioquímica
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RESUMO:RESUMO: Nos últimos anos a ultrassonografia emergiu como um instrumento importante no diagnóstico da patologia torácica. O progresso tecnológico possibilitou a conceção de novos equipamentos como a ecoendoscopia brônquica radial e linear. Verificou-se, igualmente, o aparecimento de indicações para a realização de ecografia transtorácica. Uma das principais doenças impulsionadoras da técnica ultrassonográfica no tórax foi o cancro do pulmão, primeira causa de morte oncológica a nível mundial. A aplicabilidade e conhecimento do papel dos ultrassons no âmbito do diagnóstico e estadiamento do cancro do pulmão não se encontram esgotados, persistindo focos de controvérsia e dúvida científica que se pretendem esclarecer. A presente tese foi organizada em cinco capítulos: o primeiro abordou de forma geral e introdutória o estado da arte referente à ultrassonografia torácica, cancro do pulmão e a sua conjugação; o segundo destacou os principais objetivos; o terceiro sumarizou a metodologia utilizada; o quarto englobou os cinco estudos publicados, descritos subsequentemente, e o quinto incluiu uma discussão concisa, as principais conclusões e perspetivas futuras. O primeiro estudo avaliou a rentabilidade diagnóstica, segurança e curva de aprendizagem num coorte de 179 doentes submetidos a ecoendoscopia brônquica linear. De acordo com as indicações para este procedimento os doentes foram subdivididos em três grupos: (1) diagnóstico, (2) diagnóstico e estadiamento e (3) estadiamento. Para o primeiro, segundo e terceiro grupos a sensibilidade da ecoendoscopia foi 86.1%, 86.7% e 95% respetivamente e a precisão técnica foi 87.5%, 93.1% e 97.7% respetivamente. O treino originou um aumento progressivo do número de locais puncionados por doente, com menor duração e sem complicações, comprovando a eficácia e segurança do método quando realizado na população Portuguesa por broncologistas com experiência. O segundo estudo foi conduzido para averiguar a eficácia e custo da ecoendoscopia brônquica linear realizada através da via aérea e/ou esófago no diagnóstico de lesões sugestivas de neoplasia do pulmão, após ineficácia das técnicas convencionais. Nos doentes incluídos prospetivamente alcançou-se um diagnóstico definitivo em 106 casos (87.6%). A sensibilidade global para o diagnóstico de cancro do pulmão foi 89.8%, a especificidade foi 100%, o valor preditivo positivo foi 100%, o valor preditivo negativo foi 20% e a precisão foi 90.1%. Esta estratégia ultrassonográfica abrangente evitou intervenções cirúrgicas diagnósticas em doentes anteriormente submetidos a broncoscopia flexível ou punção aspirativa transtorácica guiada por tomografia computorizada, proporcionando uma redução significativa dos custos. No terceiro estudo investigou-se a viabilidade e papel da conjugação da ecoendoscopia brônquica linear com técnicas moleculares na avaliação de antigénios tumorais e padrões de metastização ganglionar em doentes com cancro do pulmão de não-pequenas células (CPNPC). Os marcadores citoqueratina 19 (CK-19), antigénio carcinoembrionário (CEA), molécula de adesão celular epitelial (EPCAM), sialyl-Lewis X e CD44 foram determinados nos aspirados ganglionares de 33 doentes com neoplasia e 17 controlos 10 Ultrassonografia através de citometria de fluxo (CF) e reação em cadeia da polimerase em tempo real (RTPCR). Os doentes com CPNPC possuíam um compartimento celular epitelial significativamente aumentado e com marcação superior de CK-19 comparativamente ao grupo de controlo. O compartimento imune foi também analisado nestas amostras e revelou-se alterado no CPNPC com aumento da população de monócitos e diminuição das subpopulações linfocitárias. Os transcriptos de CK-19, CEA e EPCAM estavam elevados nos doentes com cancro do pulmão, identificando-se uma correlação positiva entre estes marcadores e o tamanho da lesão primária. Concluiu-se que a identificação de CK-19, CEA e EPCAM nas amostras obtidas por ecoendoscopia e avaliadas por CF e RTPCR foi viável, podendo auxiliar na deteção de metástases ganglionares no CPNPC. O quarto estudo envolveu a combinação da ecoendoscopia brônquica radial com uma criosonda para o diagnóstico de lesões pulmonares sólidas periféricas. Foi determinada a viabilidade, rentabilidade diagnóstica, tamanho das amostras e segurança do método. Lesões inferiores a 40mm foram localizadas por ultrassonografia sendo os doentes randomizados para a realização de biópsias transbrônquicas com pinça seguidas por criosonda ou vice-versa. Nos 39 casos incluídos a lesão foi visualizada pela minisonda em 31 doentes (79.5%), com 80.6% de prevalência de cancro do pulmão na amostra. A rentabilidade diagnóstica da pinça de biópsia foi 61.3% e da criosonda foi 74.2%. O tamanho do tecido adquirido pelas criobiópsias foi significativamente maior do que o alcançado por pinça (11.17mm2 vs. 4.69mm2, p<0.001). Ocorreu um único caso de hemorragia moderada, controlada através de medidas conservadoras. As biópsias transbrônquicas com criosonda sob orientação de ecoendoscopia radial foram seguras e eficazes na obtenção de amostras histológicas. O quinto estudo determinou o valor diagnóstico da ecografia transtorácica na identificação de malignidade em doentes com derrame pleural de natureza indeterminada. Foram examinados de forma prospetiva 154 doentes. Os resultados clínicos e radiológicos de cada caso foram ocultados ao executante do exame que gerou imagens estáticas e vídeos ultrassonográficos relevantes. Estes foram posteriormente visualizados, sendo as suas características classificadas por revisores independentes e comparadas com o diagnóstico definitivo. Em 66 casos o diagnóstico foi de derrame pleural maligno (68.2% com cancro do pulmão) e em 67 de derrame benigno. A ecografia torácica obteve 80.3% de sensibilidade, 83.6% de especificidade, 81.2% de valor preditivo negativo e 82.8% de valor preditivo positivo na deteção de malignidade. A nodularidade pleural ou diafragmática, espessamento pleural superior a 10mm e sinal de swirling foram significativamente diferentes (p<0.001) sendo sugestivos de derrame maligno. A existência de nodularidade pleural e ausência de broncograma aéreo ecográfico aumentaram a probabilidade de malignidade (OR 29.0 e OR 10.4, respetivamente). A ecografia transtorácica permitiu diferenciar derrame pleural maligno do benigno. A existência de nódulos pleurais constituiu o fator discriminador mais relevante. Em conclusão, os resultados desta tese possibilitam uma melhor compreensão do papel da ecoendoscopia brônquica (linear e radial) e ecografia transtorácica no diagnóstico e estadiamento do cancro do pulmão, com implicações e aplicabilidade na prática clínica.------------- ABSTRACT: In recent years ultrasonography has emerged as an important instrument in the diagnosis of thoracic diseases. Technological progress has enabled the design of new equipment such as radial and linear endobronchial ultrasound. In addition, indications for transthoracic echography were established. One of the main diseases responsible for the progression of chest sonography was lung cancer, the leading cause of cancer mortality worldwide. The applicability and knowledge of the role of ultrasonography in diagnosing and staging lung cancer is not depleted, persisting foci of controversy and scientific doubt that we intend to elucidate. The present thesis was organized into five chapters: the first included a general introduction regarding chest ultrasound, lung cancer and their combination; the second emphasized the main objectives; the third summarized the methodology used; the fourth encompassed the five published studies, subsequently described, and the fifth included a concise discussion, the main findings and future perspectives. The first study evaluated the diagnostic yield, safety and learning curve in a cohort of 179 patients submitted to linear endobronchial ultrasound. According to procedure indications, the patients were divided into three groups: (1) diagnosis, (2) diagnosis and staging, and (3) staging. For the first, second and third groups, endobronchial ultrasound sensitivity was 86.1%, 86.7% and 95% respectively and accuracy was 87.5%, 93.1% and 97.7% respectively. Practise led to an increase number of punctured sites per patient, in a shorter period of time and without complications, proving the safety and efficacy of the method when performed in the Portuguese population by expert echoscopists. The second study was conducted to determine the efficacy and cost of linear endobronchial ultrasound performed through the airway and/or oesophagus for diagnosis of lesions suggestive of lung cancer, after failure of conventional techniques. Of the patients prospectively enrolled a definitive diagnosis was reached in 106 cases (87.6%). The overall sensitivity for the diagnosis of lung cancer was 89.8%, specificity was 100%, positive predictive value was 100%, negative predictive value was 20% and accuracy was 90.1%. In conclusion, this global ultrasonographic strategy avoided diagnostic surgical procedures in patients that had undergone flexible bronchoscopy or computed tomography-guided transthoracic needle aspiration, providing a significant cost reduction. In the third study, the feasibility and role of linear endobronchial ultrasound combined with molecular techniques in the evaluation of tumour antigens and patterns of lymph node metastasis in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) was investigated. Cytokeratin 19 (CK-19), carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), epithelial cell adhesion molecule (EPCAM), sialyl Lewis-X and CD44 were determined in lymph node aspirates of 33 lung cancer patients and 17 controls, using flow cytometry (FC) and reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). In patients with NSCLC the epithelial cell compartment was significantly increased nd showed brighter CK-19 staining, compared to the control group. In NSCLC patients the immune compartment revealed an increased monocyte population and decreased lymphocyte subsets. The transcripts of CK- 19, CEA and EPCAM were higher in lung cancer patients and a positive correlation between these markers and the size of the primary lesion was also found. We concluded that the identification of CK-19, CEA and EPCAM in endobronchial ultrasound samples, using RT-PCR and FC was feasible and might aid in the detection of NSCLC lymph node metastases. The fourth study involved the combination of the radial endobronchial ultrasound with the cryoprobe for diagnosing solid peripheral lung lesions. We determined the feasibility, diagnostic yield, sample size and safety of the method. Lesions less than 40mm were located by ultrasound and forceps or cryobiopsies were performed in a randomized order. Of the 39 cases included, the lesion could be visualized by the miniprobe in 31 patients (79.5%), and lung cancer prevalence was 80.6%. The diagnostic yield of the biopsy forceps was 61.3% and for the cryobiopsy was 74.2 %. Cryobiopsies were significantly larger than forceps biopsies (11.17mm2 vs. 4.69mm2, p<0.001). There was only one case of moderate bleeding that was controlled by conservative measures. Transbronchial cryobiopsies under radial endobronchial ultrasound guidance were safe and effective in obtaining histological samples. The fifth study determined the diagnostic value of transthoracic sonography in predicting malignancy in patients with an undiagnosed pleural effusion. One hundred and fifty four patients were prospectively scanned. Relevant ultrasound images and videos were generated by an operator blinded to clinical and radiological results. These were subsequently visualized, its characteristics classified by independent reviewers and compared to the final diagnosis. A malignant pleural effusion was diagnosed in 66 cases (68.2 % with lung cancer) and a benign effusion in 67 cases. Thoracic ultrasound had a sensitivity of 80.3 %, specificity of 83.6%, negative predictive value of 81.2 % and positive predictive value of 82.8% to detect malignancy. The presence of pleural or diaphragmatic nodularity, pleural thickening greater than 10mm and swirling signal were significantly different (p<0.001 ), being suggestive of malignant effusion. The existence of pleural nodularity and absence of lung air bronchogram were more likely to indicate malignancy (OR 29.0 and OR 10.4, respectively). Transthoracic ultrasonography permits the distinction between malignant and benign pleural effusions. Pleural nodules were the most relevant feature. In conclusion, the results of this thesis provide a better understanding of the role of endobronchial ultrasound (linear and radial) and transthoracic sonography in lung cancer diagnosis and staging, with direct implications and applicability in clinical practice.
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RESUMO: Apesar de toda a evolução farmacológica e de meios complementares de diagnóstico possível nos últimos anos, o enfarte agudo do miocárdio e a morte súbita continuam a ser a primeira manifestação da aterosclerose coronária para muitos doentes, que estavam previamente assintomáticos. Os exames complementares de diagnóstico tradicionalmente usados para avaliar a presença de doença coronária, baseiam‐se na documentação de isquémia do miocárdio e por este motivo a sua positividade depende da presença de lesões coronárias obstrutivas. As lesões coronárias não obstrutivas estão também frequentemente implicadas no desenvolvimento de eventos coronários. Apesar de o risco absoluto de instabilização por placa ser superior para as lesões mais volumosas e obstrutivas, estas são menos prevalentes do que as placas não obstrutivas e assim, por questões probabilísticas, os eventos coronários resultam com frequência da rotura ou erosão destas últimas. Estudos recentes de imagiologia intracoronária avançada forneceram evidência de que apesar de ser possível identificar algumas características de vulnerabilidade em placas associadas ao desenvolvimento subsequente de eventos coronários, a sua sensibilidade e especificidade é muito baixa para aplicação clínica. Mais do que o risco associado a uma placa em particular, para o doente poderá ser mais importante o risco global da sua árvore coronária reflexo da soma das probabilidade de todas as suas lesões, sendo que quanto maior for a carga aterosclerótica maior será o seu risco. A angio TC cardíaca é a mais recente técnica de imagem não invasiva para o estudo da doença coronária e surgiu nos últimos anos fruto de importantes avanços na tecnologia de TC multidetectores. Estes avanços, permitiram uma progressiva melhoria da resolução espacial e temporal, contribuindo para a melhoria da qualidade dos exames, bem como uma significativa redução da dose de radiação. A par desta evolução tecnológica, foi aumentando a experiência e gerada mais evidência científica, tornando a angio TC cardíaca cada vez mais robusta na avaliação da doença coronária e aumentando a sua aplicabilidade clínica. Mais recentemente apareceram vários trabalhos que validaram o seu valor prognóstico, assinalando a sua chegada à idade adulta. Para além de permitir excluir a presença de doença coronária e de identificar a presença de estenoses significativas, a angio TC cardíaca permite identificar a presença de lesões coronárias não obstrutivas, característica impar desta técnica como modalidade de imagem não invasiva. Ao permitir identificar a totalidade das lesões ateroscleróticas (obstrutivas e não obstrutivas), a 18 angio TC cardíaca poderá fornecer uma quantificação da carga aterosclerótica coronária total, podendo essa identificação ser útil na estratificação dos indivíduos em risco de eventos coronários. Neste trabalho foi possível identificar preditores demográficos e clínicos de uma elevada carga aterosclerótica coronária documentada pela angioTC cardíaca, embora o seu poder discriminativo tenha sido relativamente modesto, mesmo quando agrupados em scores clínicos. Entre os vários scores, o desempenho foi um pouco melhor para o score de risco cardiovascular Heartscore. Estas limitações espelham a dificuldade de prever apenas com base em variáveis clínicas, mesmo quando agrupadas em scores, a presença e extensão da doença coronária. Um dos factores de risco clássicos, a obesidade, parece ter uma relação paradoxal com a carga aterosclerótica, o que pode justificar algumas limitações da estimativa com base em scores clínicos. A diabetes mellitus, por outro lado, foi um dos preditores clínicos mais importantes, funcionando como modelo de doença coronária mais avançada, útil para avaliar o desempenho dos diferentes índices de carga aterosclerótica. Dada a elevada prevalência de placas ateroscleróticas identificáveis por angio TC na árvore coronária, torna-‐se importante desenvolver ferramentas que permitam quantificar a carga aterosclerótica e assim identificar os indivíduos que poderão eventualmente beneficiar de medidas de prevenção mais intensivas. Com este objectivo, foi desenvolvido um índice de carga aterosclerótica que reúne a informação global acerca da localização, do grau de estenose e do tipo de placa, obtida pela angio TC cardíaca, o CT--‐LeSc. Este score poderá vir a ser uma ferramenta útil para quantificação da carga aterosclerótica coronária, sendo de esperar que possa traduzir a informação prognóstica da angio TC cardíaca. Por fim, o conceito de árvore coronária vulnerável poderá ser mais importante do que o da placa vulnerável e a sua identificação pela angio TC cardíaca poderá ser importante numa estratégia de prevenção mais avançada. Esta poderá permitir personalizar as medidas de prevenção primária, doseando melhor a sua intensidade em função da carga aterosclerótica, podendo esta vir a constituir uma das mais importantes indicações da angio TC cardíaca no futuro.---------------- ABSTRACT Despite the significant advances made possible in recent years in the field of pharmacology and diagnostic tests, acute yocardial infarction and sudden cardiac death remain the first manifestation of coronary atherosclerosis in a significant proportion of patients, as many were previously asymptomatic. Traditionally, the diagnostic exams employed for the evaluation of possible coronary artery disease are based on the documentation of myocardial ischemia and, in this way, they are linked to the presence of obstructive coronary stenosis. Nonobstructive coronary lesions are also frequently involved in the development of coronary events. Although the absolute risk of becoming unstable per plaque is higher for more obstructive and higher burden plaques, these are much less frequent than nonobstructive lesions and therefore, in terms of probability for the patient, coronary events are often the result of rupture or erosion of the latter ones. Recent advanced intracoronary imaging studies provided evidence that although it is possible to identify some features of vulnerability in plaques associated with subsequente development of coronary events, the sensitivity and sensibility are very limited for clinical application. More important than the individual risk associated with a certain plaque, for the patient it might be more important the global risk of the total coronary tree, as reflected by the sum of the diferent probabilities of all the lesions, since the higher the coronary Atherosclerotic burden, the higher the risk for the patient. Cardiac CT or Coronary CT angiography is still a young modality. It is the most recente noninvasive imaging modality in the study of coronary artery disease and its development was possible due to important advances in multidetector CT technology. These allowed significant improvements in temporal and spatial resolution, leading to better image quality and also some impressive reductions in radiation dose. At the same time, the increasing experience with this technique lead to a growing body of scientific evidence, making cardiac CT a robust imaging tool for the evaluation of coronary artery disease and increased its clinical indications. More recently, several publications documented its prognostic value, marking the transition of cardiac CT to adulthood. Besides being able to exclude the presence of coronary artery disease and of obstructive lesions, Cardiac CT allows also the identification of nonobstructive lesions, making this a unique tool in the field of noninvasive imaging modalities. By evaluating both obstructive and nonobstructive lesions, cardiac CT can provide for the quantification of total coronary atherosclerotic burden, and this can be useful to stratify the risk of future coronary events. In the present work, it was possible to identify significant demographic and clinical predictors of a high coronary atherosclerotic burden as assessed by cardiac CT, but with modest odds ratios, even when the individual variables were gathered in clinical scores. Among these diferent clinical scores, the performance was better for the Heartscore, a cardiovascular risk score. This modest performance underline the limitations on predicting the presence and severity of coronary disease based only on clinical variables, even when optimized together in risk scores, One of the classical risk factors, obesity, had in fact a paradoxical relation with coronary atherosclerotic burden and might explain some of the limitations of the clinical models. On the opposite, diabetes mellitus was one of the strongest clinical predictors, and was considered to be a model of more advanced coronary disease, useful to evaluate the performance of diferent plaque burden scores. In face of the high prevalence of plaques that can be identified in the coronary tree of patients undergoing cardiac CT, it is of utmost importance to develop tools to quantify the total coronary atherosclerotic burden providing the identification of patients that could eventually benefit from more intensive preventive measures. This was the rational for the development of a coronary atherosclerotic burden score, reflecting the comprehensive information on localization, degree of stenosis and plaque composition provided by cardiac CT – the CT-LeSc. This score may become a useful tool to quantify total coronary atherosclerotic burden and is expected to convey the strong prognostic information of cardiac CT. Lastly, the concept of vulnerable coronary tree might become more important than the concept of the vulnerable plaque and his assessment by cardiac CT Might become important in a more advance primary prevention strategy. This Could lead to a more custom-made primary prevention, tailoring the intensity of preventive measures to the atherosclerotic burden and this might become one of the most important indications of cardiac CT In the near future.
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Using a green methodology, 17 different poly(2-oxazolines) were synthesized starting from four different oxazoline monomers. The polymerization reactions were conducted in supercritical carbon dioxide under a cationic ring-opening polymerization (CROP) mechanism using boron trifluoride diethyl etherate as the catalyst. The obtained living polymers were then end-capped with different types of amines, in order to confer them antimicrobial activity. For comparison, four polyoxazolines were end-capped with water, and by their hydrolysis the linear poly(ethyleneimine) (LPEI) was also produced. After functionalization the obtained polymers were isolated, purified and characterized by standard techniques (FT-IR, NMR, MALDI-TOF and GPC). The synthesized poly(2-oxazolines) revealed an unusual intrinsic blue photoluminescence. High concentration of carbonyl groups in the polymer backbone is appointed as a key structural factor for the presence of fluorescence and enlarges polyoxazolines’ potential applications. Microbiological assays were also performed in order to evaluate their antimicrobial profile against gram-positive Staphylococcus aureus NCTC8325-4 and gram-negative Escherichia coli AB1157 strains, two well known and difficult to control pathogens. The minimum inhibitory concentrations (MIC)s and killing rates of three synthesized polymers against both strains were determined. The end-capping with N,N-dimethyldodecylamine of living poly(2- methyl-2-oxazoline) and poly(bisoxazoline) led to materials with higher MIC values but fast killing rates (less than 5 minutes to achieve 100% killing for both bacterial species) than LPEI, a polymer which had a lower MIC value, but took a longer time to kill both E.coli and S.aureus cells. LPEI achieved 100% killing after 45 minutes in contact with E. coli and after 4 hours in contact with S.aureus. Such huge differences in the biocidal behavior of the different polymers can possibly underlie different mechanisms of action. In the future, studies to elucidate the obtained data will be performed to better understand the killing mechanisms of the polymers through the use of microbial cell biology techniques.