948 resultados para Non-parametric density estimator
Resumo:
Non-parametric multivariate analyses of complex ecological datasets are widely used. Following appropriate pre-treatment of the data inter-sample resemblances are calculated using appropriate measures. Ordination and clustering derived from these resemblances are used to visualise relationships among samples (or variables). Hierarchical agglomerative clustering with group-average (UPGMA) linkage is often the clustering method chosen. Using an example dataset of zooplankton densities from the Bristol Channel and Severn Estuary, UK, a range of existing and new clustering methods are applied and the results compared. Although the examples focus on analysis of samples, the methods may also be applied to species analysis. Dendrograms derived by hierarchical clustering are compared using cophenetic correlations, which are also used to determine optimum in flexible beta clustering. A plot of cophenetic correlation against original dissimilarities reveals that a tree may be a poor representation of the full multivariate information. UNCTREE is an unconstrained binary divisive clustering algorithm in which values of the ANOSIM R statistic are used to determine (binary) splits in the data, to form a dendrogram. A form of flat clustering, k-R clustering, uses a combination of ANOSIM R and Similarity Profiles (SIMPROF) analyses to determine the optimum value of k, the number of groups into which samples should be clustered, and the sample membership of the groups. Robust outcomes from the application of such a range of differing techniques to the same resemblance matrix, as here, result in greater confidence in the validity of a clustering approach.
Resumo:
Non-parametric multivariate analyses of complex ecological datasets are widely used. Following appropriate pre-treatment of the data inter-sample resemblances are calculated using appropriate measures. Ordination and clustering derived from these resemblances are used to visualise relationships among samples (or variables). Hierarchical agglomerative clustering with group-average (UPGMA) linkage is often the clustering method chosen. Using an example dataset of zooplankton densities from the Bristol Channel and Severn Estuary, UK, a range of existing and new clustering methods are applied and the results compared. Although the examples focus on analysis of samples, the methods may also be applied to species analysis. Dendrograms derived by hierarchical clustering are compared using cophenetic correlations, which are also used to determine optimum in flexible beta clustering. A plot of cophenetic correlation against original dissimilarities reveals that a tree may be a poor representation of the full multivariate information. UNCTREE is an unconstrained binary divisive clustering algorithm in which values of the ANOSIM R statistic are used to determine (binary) splits in the data, to form a dendrogram. A form of flat clustering, k-R clustering, uses a combination of ANOSIM R and Similarity Profiles (SIMPROF) analyses to determine the optimum value of k, the number of groups into which samples should be clustered, and the sample membership of the groups. Robust outcomes from the application of such a range of differing techniques to the same resemblance matrix, as here, result in greater confidence in the validity of a clustering approach.
Resumo:
L'un des modèles d'apprentissage non-supervisé générant le plus de recherche active est la machine de Boltzmann --- en particulier la machine de Boltzmann restreinte, ou RBM. Un aspect important de l'entraînement ainsi que l'exploitation d'un tel modèle est la prise d'échantillons. Deux développements récents, la divergence contrastive persistante rapide (FPCD) et le herding, visent à améliorer cet aspect, se concentrant principalement sur le processus d'apprentissage en tant que tel. Notamment, le herding renonce à obtenir un estimé précis des paramètres de la RBM, définissant plutôt une distribution par un système dynamique guidé par les exemples d'entraînement. Nous généralisons ces idées afin d'obtenir des algorithmes permettant d'exploiter la distribution de probabilités définie par une RBM pré-entraînée, par tirage d'échantillons qui en sont représentatifs, et ce sans que l'ensemble d'entraînement ne soit nécessaire. Nous présentons trois méthodes: la pénalisation d'échantillon (basée sur une intuition théorique) ainsi que la FPCD et le herding utilisant des statistiques constantes pour la phase positive. Ces méthodes définissent des systèmes dynamiques produisant des échantillons ayant les statistiques voulues et nous les évaluons à l'aide d'une méthode d'estimation de densité non-paramétrique. Nous montrons que ces méthodes mixent substantiellement mieux que la méthode conventionnelle, l'échantillonnage de Gibbs.
Resumo:
Neuronal morphology is a key feature in the study of brain circuits, as it is highly related to information processing and functional identification. Neuronal morphology affects the process of integration of inputs from other neurons and determines the neurons which receive the output of the neurons. Different parts of the neurons can operate semi-independently according to the spatial location of the synaptic connections. As a result, there is considerable interest in the analysis of the microanatomy of nervous cells since it constitutes an excellent tool for better understanding cortical function. However, the morphologies, molecular features and electrophysiological properties of neuronal cells are extremely variable. Except for some special cases, this variability makes it hard to find a set of features that unambiguously define a neuronal type. In addition, there are distinct types of neurons in particular regions of the brain. This morphological variability makes the analysis and modeling of neuronal morphology a challenge. Uncertainty is a key feature in many complex real-world problems. Probability theory provides a framework for modeling and reasoning with uncertainty. Probabilistic graphical models combine statistical theory and graph theory to provide a tool for managing domains with uncertainty. In particular, we focus on Bayesian networks, the most commonly used probabilistic graphical model. In this dissertation, we design new methods for learning Bayesian networks and apply them to the problem of modeling and analyzing morphological data from neurons. The morphology of a neuron can be quantified using a number of measurements, e.g., the length of the dendrites and the axon, the number of bifurcations, the direction of the dendrites and the axon, etc. These measurements can be modeled as discrete or continuous data. The continuous data can be linear (e.g., the length or the width of a dendrite) or directional (e.g., the direction of the axon). These data may follow complex probability distributions and may not fit any known parametric distribution. Modeling this kind of problems using hybrid Bayesian networks with discrete, linear and directional variables poses a number of challenges regarding learning from data, inference, etc. In this dissertation, we propose a method for modeling and simulating basal dendritic trees from pyramidal neurons using Bayesian networks to capture the interactions between the variables in the problem domain. A complete set of variables is measured from the dendrites, and a learning algorithm is applied to find the structure and estimate the parameters of the probability distributions included in the Bayesian networks. Then, a simulation algorithm is used to build the virtual dendrites by sampling values from the Bayesian networks, and a thorough evaluation is performed to show the model’s ability to generate realistic dendrites. In this first approach, the variables are discretized so that discrete Bayesian networks can be learned and simulated. Then, we address the problem of learning hybrid Bayesian networks with different kinds of variables. Mixtures of polynomials have been proposed as a way of representing probability densities in hybrid Bayesian networks. We present a method for learning mixtures of polynomials approximations of one-dimensional, multidimensional and conditional probability densities from data. The method is based on basis spline interpolation, where a density is approximated as a linear combination of basis splines. The proposed algorithms are evaluated using artificial datasets. We also use the proposed methods as a non-parametric density estimation technique in Bayesian network classifiers. Next, we address the problem of including directional data in Bayesian networks. These data have some special properties that rule out the use of classical statistics. Therefore, different distributions and statistics, such as the univariate von Mises and the multivariate von Mises–Fisher distributions, should be used to deal with this kind of information. In particular, we extend the naive Bayes classifier to the case where the conditional probability distributions of the predictive variables given the class follow either of these distributions. We consider the simple scenario, where only directional predictive variables are used, and the hybrid case, where discrete, Gaussian and directional distributions are mixed. The classifier decision functions and their decision surfaces are studied at length. Artificial examples are used to illustrate the behavior of the classifiers. The proposed classifiers are empirically evaluated over real datasets. We also study the problem of interneuron classification. An extensive group of experts is asked to classify a set of neurons according to their most prominent anatomical features. A web application is developed to retrieve the experts’ classifications. We compute agreement measures to analyze the consensus between the experts when classifying the neurons. Using Bayesian networks and clustering algorithms on the resulting data, we investigate the suitability of the anatomical terms and neuron types commonly used in the literature. Additionally, we apply supervised learning approaches to automatically classify interneurons using the values of their morphological measurements. Then, a methodology for building a model which captures the opinions of all the experts is presented. First, one Bayesian network is learned for each expert, and we propose an algorithm for clustering Bayesian networks corresponding to experts with similar behaviors. Then, a Bayesian network which represents the opinions of each group of experts is induced. Finally, a consensus Bayesian multinet which models the opinions of the whole group of experts is built. A thorough analysis of the consensus model identifies different behaviors between the experts when classifying the interneurons in the experiment. A set of characterizing morphological traits for the neuronal types can be defined by performing inference in the Bayesian multinet. These findings are used to validate the model and to gain some insights into neuron morphology. Finally, we study a classification problem where the true class label of the training instances is not known. Instead, a set of class labels is available for each instance. This is inspired by the neuron classification problem, where a group of experts is asked to individually provide a class label for each instance. We propose a novel approach for learning Bayesian networks using count vectors which represent the number of experts who selected each class label for each instance. These Bayesian networks are evaluated using artificial datasets from supervised learning problems. Resumen La morfología neuronal es una característica clave en el estudio de los circuitos cerebrales, ya que está altamente relacionada con el procesado de información y con los roles funcionales. La morfología neuronal afecta al proceso de integración de las señales de entrada y determina las neuronas que reciben las salidas de otras neuronas. Las diferentes partes de la neurona pueden operar de forma semi-independiente de acuerdo a la localización espacial de las conexiones sinápticas. Por tanto, existe un interés considerable en el análisis de la microanatomía de las células nerviosas, ya que constituye una excelente herramienta para comprender mejor el funcionamiento de la corteza cerebral. Sin embargo, las propiedades morfológicas, moleculares y electrofisiológicas de las células neuronales son extremadamente variables. Excepto en algunos casos especiales, esta variabilidad morfológica dificulta la definición de un conjunto de características que distingan claramente un tipo neuronal. Además, existen diferentes tipos de neuronas en regiones particulares del cerebro. La variabilidad neuronal hace que el análisis y el modelado de la morfología neuronal sean un importante reto científico. La incertidumbre es una propiedad clave en muchos problemas reales. La teoría de la probabilidad proporciona un marco para modelar y razonar bajo incertidumbre. Los modelos gráficos probabilísticos combinan la teoría estadística y la teoría de grafos con el objetivo de proporcionar una herramienta con la que trabajar bajo incertidumbre. En particular, nos centraremos en las redes bayesianas, el modelo más utilizado dentro de los modelos gráficos probabilísticos. En esta tesis hemos diseñado nuevos métodos para aprender redes bayesianas, inspirados por y aplicados al problema del modelado y análisis de datos morfológicos de neuronas. La morfología de una neurona puede ser cuantificada usando una serie de medidas, por ejemplo, la longitud de las dendritas y el axón, el número de bifurcaciones, la dirección de las dendritas y el axón, etc. Estas medidas pueden ser modeladas como datos continuos o discretos. A su vez, los datos continuos pueden ser lineales (por ejemplo, la longitud o la anchura de una dendrita) o direccionales (por ejemplo, la dirección del axón). Estos datos pueden llegar a seguir distribuciones de probabilidad muy complejas y pueden no ajustarse a ninguna distribución paramétrica conocida. El modelado de este tipo de problemas con redes bayesianas híbridas incluyendo variables discretas, lineales y direccionales presenta una serie de retos en relación al aprendizaje a partir de datos, la inferencia, etc. En esta tesis se propone un método para modelar y simular árboles dendríticos basales de neuronas piramidales usando redes bayesianas para capturar las interacciones entre las variables del problema. Para ello, se mide un amplio conjunto de variables de las dendritas y se aplica un algoritmo de aprendizaje con el que se aprende la estructura y se estiman los parámetros de las distribuciones de probabilidad que constituyen las redes bayesianas. Después, se usa un algoritmo de simulación para construir dendritas virtuales mediante el muestreo de valores de las redes bayesianas. Finalmente, se lleva a cabo una profunda evaluaci ón para verificar la capacidad del modelo a la hora de generar dendritas realistas. En esta primera aproximación, las variables fueron discretizadas para poder aprender y muestrear las redes bayesianas. A continuación, se aborda el problema del aprendizaje de redes bayesianas con diferentes tipos de variables. Las mixturas de polinomios constituyen un método para representar densidades de probabilidad en redes bayesianas híbridas. Presentamos un método para aprender aproximaciones de densidades unidimensionales, multidimensionales y condicionales a partir de datos utilizando mixturas de polinomios. El método se basa en interpolación con splines, que aproxima una densidad como una combinación lineal de splines. Los algoritmos propuestos se evalúan utilizando bases de datos artificiales. Además, las mixturas de polinomios son utilizadas como un método no paramétrico de estimación de densidades para clasificadores basados en redes bayesianas. Después, se estudia el problema de incluir información direccional en redes bayesianas. Este tipo de datos presenta una serie de características especiales que impiden el uso de las técnicas estadísticas clásicas. Por ello, para manejar este tipo de información se deben usar estadísticos y distribuciones de probabilidad específicos, como la distribución univariante von Mises y la distribución multivariante von Mises–Fisher. En concreto, en esta tesis extendemos el clasificador naive Bayes al caso en el que las distribuciones de probabilidad condicionada de las variables predictoras dada la clase siguen alguna de estas distribuciones. Se estudia el caso base, en el que sólo se utilizan variables direccionales, y el caso híbrido, en el que variables discretas, lineales y direccionales aparecen mezcladas. También se estudian los clasificadores desde un punto de vista teórico, derivando sus funciones de decisión y las superficies de decisión asociadas. El comportamiento de los clasificadores se ilustra utilizando bases de datos artificiales. Además, los clasificadores son evaluados empíricamente utilizando bases de datos reales. También se estudia el problema de la clasificación de interneuronas. Desarrollamos una aplicación web que permite a un grupo de expertos clasificar un conjunto de neuronas de acuerdo a sus características morfológicas más destacadas. Se utilizan medidas de concordancia para analizar el consenso entre los expertos a la hora de clasificar las neuronas. Se investiga la idoneidad de los términos anatómicos y de los tipos neuronales utilizados frecuentemente en la literatura a través del análisis de redes bayesianas y la aplicación de algoritmos de clustering. Además, se aplican técnicas de aprendizaje supervisado con el objetivo de clasificar de forma automática las interneuronas a partir de sus valores morfológicos. A continuación, se presenta una metodología para construir un modelo que captura las opiniones de todos los expertos. Primero, se genera una red bayesiana para cada experto y se propone un algoritmo para agrupar las redes bayesianas que se corresponden con expertos con comportamientos similares. Después, se induce una red bayesiana que modela la opinión de cada grupo de expertos. Por último, se construye una multired bayesiana que modela las opiniones del conjunto completo de expertos. El análisis del modelo consensuado permite identificar diferentes comportamientos entre los expertos a la hora de clasificar las neuronas. Además, permite extraer un conjunto de características morfológicas relevantes para cada uno de los tipos neuronales mediante inferencia con la multired bayesiana. Estos descubrimientos se utilizan para validar el modelo y constituyen información relevante acerca de la morfología neuronal. Por último, se estudia un problema de clasificación en el que la etiqueta de clase de los datos de entrenamiento es incierta. En cambio, disponemos de un conjunto de etiquetas para cada instancia. Este problema está inspirado en el problema de la clasificación de neuronas, en el que un grupo de expertos proporciona una etiqueta de clase para cada instancia de manera individual. Se propone un método para aprender redes bayesianas utilizando vectores de cuentas, que representan el número de expertos que seleccionan cada etiqueta de clase para cada instancia. Estas redes bayesianas se evalúan utilizando bases de datos artificiales de problemas de aprendizaje supervisado.
Resumo:
There has been a resurgence of interest in the mean trace length estimator of Pahl for window sampling of traces. The estimator has been dealt with by Mauldon and Zhang and Einstein in recent publications. The estimator is a very useful one in that it is non-parametric. However, despite some discussion regarding the statistical distribution of the estimator, none of the recent works or the original work by Pahl provide a rigorous basis for the determination a confidence interval for the estimator or a confidence region for the estimator and the corresponding estimator of trace spatial intensity in the sampling window. This paper shows, by consideration of a simplified version of the problem but without loss of generality, that the estimator is in fact the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and that it can be considered essentially unbiased. As the MLE, it possesses the least variance of all estimators and confidence intervals or regions should therefore be available through application of classical ML theory. It is shown that valid confidence intervals can in fact be determined. The results of the work and the calculations of the confidence intervals are illustrated by example. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science Ltd. All rights reserved.
Resumo:
This paper presents an analysis of motor vehicle insurance claims relating to vehicle damage and to associated medical expenses. We use univariate severity distributions estimated with parametric and non-parametric methods. The methods are implemented using the statistical package R. Parametric analysis is limited to estimation of normal and lognormal distributions for each of the two claim types. The nonparametric analysis presented involves kernel density estimation. We illustrate the benefits of applying transformations to data prior to employing kernel based methods. We use a log-transformation and an optimal transformation amongst a class of transformations that produces symmetry in the data. The central aim of this paper is to provide educators with material that can be used in the classroom to teach statistical estimation methods, goodness of fit analysis and importantly statistical computing in the context of insurance and risk management. To this end, we have included in the Appendix of this paper all the R code that has been used in the analysis so that readers, both students and educators, can fully explore the techniques described
Resumo:
Significant progress has been made with regard to the quantitative integration of geophysical and hydrological data at the local scale. However, extending the corresponding approaches to the scale of a field site represents a major, and as-of-yet largely unresolved, challenge. To address this problem, we have developed downscaling procedure based on a non-linear Bayesian sequential simulation approach. The main objective of this algorithm is to estimate the value of the sparsely sampled hydraulic conductivity at non-sampled locations based on its relation to the electrical conductivity logged at collocated wells and surface resistivity measurements, which are available throughout the studied site. The in situ relationship between the hydraulic and electrical conductivities is described through a non-parametric multivariatekernel density function. Then a stochastic integration of low-resolution, large-scale electrical resistivity tomography (ERT) data in combination with high-resolution, local-scale downhole measurements of the hydraulic and electrical conductivities is applied. The overall viability of this downscaling approach is tested and validated by comparing flow and transport simulation through the original and the upscaled hydraulic conductivity fields. Our results indicate that the proposed procedure allows obtaining remarkably faithful estimates of the regional-scale hydraulic conductivity structure and correspondingly reliable predictions of the transport characteristics over relatively long distances.
Resumo:
Pulse wave velocity (PWV) is a surrogate of arterial stiffness and represents a non-invasive marker of cardiovascular risk. The non-invasive measurement of PWV requires tracking the arrival time of pressure pulses recorded in vivo, commonly referred to as pulse arrival time (PAT). In the state of the art, PAT is estimated by identifying a characteristic point of the pressure pulse waveform. This paper demonstrates that for ambulatory scenarios, where signal-to-noise ratios are below 10 dB, the performance in terms of repeatability of PAT measurements through characteristic points identification degrades drastically. Hence, we introduce a novel family of PAT estimators based on the parametric modeling of the anacrotic phase of a pressure pulse. In particular, we propose a parametric PAT estimator (TANH) that depicts high correlation with the Complior(R) characteristic point D1 (CC = 0.99), increases noise robustness and reduces by a five-fold factor the number of heartbeats required to obtain reliable PAT measurements.
Resumo:
INTRODUCTION: The trabecular bone score (TBS) is a new parameter that is determined from grey level analysis of DXA images. It relies on the mean thickness and volume fraction of trabecular bone microarchitecture. This was a preliminary case-control study to evaluate the potential diagnostic value of TBS, both alone and combined with bone mineral density (BMDa), in the assessment of vertebral fracture. METHODS: Out of a subject pool of 441 Caucasian, postmenopausal women between the ages of 50 and 80 years, we identified 42 women with osteoporosis-related vertebral fractures, and compared them with 126 age-matched women without any fractures (1 case: 3 controls). Primary outcomes were BMDa and TBS. Inter-group comparisons were undertaken using Student's t-tests and Wilcoxon signed ranks tests for parametric and non-parametric data, respectively. Odds ratios for vertebral fracture were calculated for each incremental one standard deviation decrease in BMDa and TBS, and areas under the receiver operating curve (AUC) calculated and sensitivity analysis were conducted to compare BMDa alone, TBS alone, and the combination of BMDa and TBS. Subgroup analyses were performed specifically for women with osteopenia, and for women with T-score-defined osteoporosis. RESULTS: Across all subjects (n=42, 126) weight and body mass index were greater and BMDa and TBS both less in women with fractures. The odds of vertebral fracture were 3.20 (95% CI, 2.01-5.08) for each incremental decrease in TBS, 1.95 (1.34-2.84) for BMDa, and 3.62 (2.32-5.65) for BMDa + TBS combined. The AUC was greater for TBS than for BMDa (0.746 vs. 0.662, p=0.011). At iso-specificity (61.9%) or iso-sensitivity (61.9%) for both BMDa and TBS, TBS + BMDa sensitivity or specificity was 19.1% or 16.7% greater than for either BMDa or TBS alone. Among subjects with osteoporosis (n=11, 40) both BMDa (p=0.0008) and TBS (p=0.0001) were lower in subjects with fractures, and both OR and AUC (p=0.013) for BMDa + TBS were greater than for BMDa alone (OR=4.04 [2.35-6.92] vs. 2.43 [1.49-3.95]; AUC=0.835 [0.755-0.897] vs. 0.718 [0.627-0.797], p=0.013). Among subjects with osteopenia, TBS was lower in women with fractures (p=0.0296), but BMDa was not (p=0.75). Similarly, the OR for TBS was statistically greater than 1.00 (2.82, 1.27-6.26), but not for BMDa (1.12, 0.56-2.22), as was the AUC (p=0.035), but there was no statistical difference in specificity (p=0.357) or sensitivity (p=0.678). CONCLUSIONS: The trabecular bone score warrants further study as to whether it has any clinical application in osteoporosis detection and the evaluation of fracture risk.
Resumo:
The problem of estimating the individual probabilities of a discrete distribution is considered. The true distribution of the independent observations is a mixture of a family of power series distributions. First, we ensure identifiability of the mixing distribution assuming mild conditions. Next, the mixing distribution is estimated by non-parametric maximum likelihood and an estimator for individual probabilities is obtained from the corresponding marginal mixture density. We establish asymptotic normality for the estimator of individual probabilities by showing that, under certain conditions, the difference between this estimator and the empirical proportions is asymptotically negligible. Our framework includes Poisson, negative binomial and logarithmic series as well as binomial mixture models. Simulations highlight the benefit in achieving normality when using the proposed marginal mixture density approach instead of the empirical one, especially for small sample sizes and/or when interest is in the tail areas. A real data example is given to illustrate the use of the methodology.
Resumo:
The use of Bayesian inference in the inference of time-frequency representations has, thus far, been limited to offline analysis of signals, using a smoothing spline based model of the time-frequency plane. In this paper we introduce a new framework that allows the routine use of Bayesian inference for online estimation of the time-varying spectral density of a locally stationary Gaussian process. The core of our approach is the use of a likelihood inspired by a local Whittle approximation. This choice, along with the use of a recursive algorithm for non-parametric estimation of the local spectral density, permits the use of a particle filter for estimating the time-varying spectral density online. We provide demonstrations of the algorithm through tracking chirps and the analysis of musical data.
Resumo:
In this work we studied the asymptotic unbiasedness, the strong and the uniform strong consistencies of a class of kernel estimators fn as an estimator of the density function f taking values on a k-dimensional sphere
Resumo:
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)
Resumo:
An experiment was conducted to evaluate the effects of two levels of the β-(1→3,1→6)-d-glucan (0 and 500ppm) from yeast Saccharomyces cerevisiae and two levels of energy (3300 and 3450kcalMEkg(-1)) on the hematological, immunological and, biochemical profiles of thirty-six 21-days-old weaned piglets, challenged with 150μgkg(-1) of BW lipopolysaccharide (LPS) from Escherichia coli serotype 055:B5. The experimental design was a randomized complete block design in a 2×2 factorial arrangement with nine replicates per treatment and, one animal per experimental unit. The data were analyzed in accordance with the multivariate analysis procedure of SAS and, the treatment means of parametric and non-parametric data were compared by Bonferroni's test (P<0.05) and, by Dunn's test (P<0.05), respectively. The data of the blood profiles of alanine aminotransferase, alkaline phosphatase and, creatinine showed that LPS did not cause kidney or liver damage in the animals. The addition of beta-glucan in the diets did not prove the robustness of its effect and biological relevance when provided with low nutrient-density. However, its addition combined with the high-nutrient-density diets showed less marked hypoglobulinemia in piglets, which may have contributed to the decreasing of the synthesis of inflammatory mediators.