957 resultados para Grounded Delphi Method
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Tese apresentada como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Doutor em Gestão de Informação
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HMC08 - 1st Historical Mortars Conference: Characterization, Diagnosis, Conservation, Repair and Compatibilit, LNEC, Lisbon, 24-26 September 2008
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Dissertation presented to obtain the Ph.D degree in Chemistry.
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Esta dissertação insere-se no actual contexto de constante procura pela melhoria do desempenho dos sistemas produtivos em que se pretende estudar a utilização dos recursos produtivos numa das principais linhas de produção da fábrica da Delphi no Seixal. Para o efeito, é desenvolvido um modelo de simulação da linha de produção. O estudo inicia com uma revisão bibliográfica de conceitos e metodologias interligados com a simulação de sistemas. A fase seguinte diz respeito à recolha e tratamento de dados que caracterizam a linha de produção que se pretende simular. Posteriormente, é criado um modelo conceptual da linha de produção que serve de base ao modelo de simulação desenvolvido recorrendo ao software de simulação Arena. Após a simulação do modelo desenvolvido, é realizada a validação do modelo através da análise comparativa de algumas medidas de desempenho resultantes da simulação e do sistema real. Por último é realizada a discussão de resultados e são tecidas considerações que suportam os resultados obtidos e apoiam a diferença de resultados verificada.
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RESUMO - Introdução: As alterações epidemiológicas do sarampo em Portugal, assim como a existência de surtos de doença na Europa e noutras regiões do mundo, associadas ao facto de a informação sero epidemiológica atualizada ser escassa e pontual, e nem sempre estar relacionada com o estado vacinal, dificultam a tomada de decisões fundamentadas na área da vacinação, nomeadamente no que respeita às idades ótimas para a administração de VASPR I e VASPR II. Este estudo pretende avaliar a adequação da estratégia vacinal contra o sarampo vigente em Portugal, no que diz respeito às idades para realização da VASPR I e da VASPR II, no sentido de dar continuidade ao cumprimento do objetivo de eliminar a doença em território nacional. Material e métodos: Foi realizado um estudo com 206 recém-nascidos filhos de mães com diferentes estados vacinais contra o sarampo (0 doses, 1 dose e 2 doses). Também foram estudados 186 adolescentes/jovens que realizaram a VASPR II em diferentes idades. Os dados obtidos provêm de 3 fontes de informação: história vacinal documentada; questionários aplicados por entrevista e informação serológica. A informação serológica foi obtida através do doseamento do título de anticorpos específicos antissarampo (ATS IgG) em soros, recorrendo ao método imunoenzimático ELISA do kit Enzygnost® Anti-measles Virus/IgG, do fabricante Siemens. Resultados: A taxa de cobertura vacinal da vacina contra o sarampo aumentou de valores de pouco mais de 30% na geração nascida antes de 1977, com uma única dose de vacina, para valores superiores a 95 % na geração nascida depois de 1993, com duas doses de vacina. A concentração geométrica de ATS IgG no sangue do cordão umbilical aumentou com o aumento da idade da mãe (r2 = 0,092; p = 0,001). Os recém-nascidos filhos de mães vacinadas, apresentam menor quantidade de ATS IgG do que os filhos de mães não vacinadas (p < 0,0001), independentemente do número de doses que as suas mães tenham recebido (p = 0,222). A concentração geométrica média (CGM) de ATS IgG nos jovens e adolescentes diminui com o tempo decorrido desde a toma de VASPR II (r2 = 0,244; p = 0,001). Não foram encontradas diferenças estatisticamente significativas entre a média de ATS IgG dos indivíduos que se vacinaram com VASPR II aos 5-6 anos de idade e os que se vacinaram entre os 10-13 anos de idade (p = 0,301). Após 9 anos de VASPR II mais de 5 % dos indivíduos já não estão seropositivos contra o sarampo.Discussão: A CGM de ATS IgG aumentou com a idade da mãe, provavelmente porque as mães pertencentes às gerações mais novas contactaram menos com o vírus selvagem do sarampo, devido aos efeitos das elevadas taxas de cobertura vacinal. Os recém-nascidos filhos das mães mais novas, apesar de apresentarem menor CGM de ATS IgG, ao final de 12 meses de idade poderão ainda apresentar um teor de ATS IgG que pode interferir com a resposta vacinal à VASPR I. Vacinar com VASPR II aos 5-6 anos de idade ou vacinar entre os 10-13 anos parece ser indiferente o que parece relevante é o tempo que passa desde a última vacinação VASPR II. Nove anos depois de VASPR II a percentagem de seronegativos já ultrapassa os 5% recomendados pela OMS. Conclusão: As idades da toma de VASPR I e VASPR II poderão ter de ser alteradas por forma a adequarem-se às mudanças epidemiológicas ocorridas nos últimos anos em Portugal e contribuírem para a eliminação do sarampo no país.
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INTRODUCTION: The goal was to develop an in-house serological method with high specificity and sensitivity for diagnosis and monitoring of Chagas disease morbidity. METHODS: With this purpose, the reactivities of anti-T. cruzi IgG and subclasses were tested in successive serum dilutions of patients from Berilo municipality, Jequitinhonha Valley, Minas Gerais, Brazil. The performance of the in-house ELISA was also evaluated in samples from other relevant infectious diseases, including HIV, hepatitis C (HCV), syphilis (SYP), visceral leishmaniasis (VL), and American tegumentary leishmaniasis (ATL), and noninfected controls (NI). Further analysis was performed to evaluate the applicability of this in-house methodology for monitoring Chagas disease morbidity into three groups of patients: indeterminate (IND), cardiac (CARD), and digestive/mixed (DIG/Mix), based on their clinical status. RESULTS: The analysis of total IgG reactivity at serum dilution 1:40 was an excellent approach to Chagas disease diagnosis (100% sensitivity and specificity). The analysis of IgG subclasses showed cross-reactivity, mainly with NI, VL, and ATL, at all selected serum dilutions. Based on the data analysis, the IND group displayed higher IgG3 levels and the DIG/Mix group presented higher levels of total IgG as compared with the IND and CARD groups. CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrated that methodology presents promising applicability in the analysis of anti-T. cruzi IgG reactivity for the differential diagnosis and evaluation of Chagas disease morbidity.
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INTRODUCTION: Spontaneous sedimentation is an important procedure for stool examination. A modification of this technique using conical tubes was performed and evaluated. METHODS: Fifty fecal samples were processed in sedimentation glass and in polypropylene conical tubes. Another 50 samples were used for quantitative evaluation of protozoan cysts. RESULTS: Although no significant differences occurred in the frequency of protozoa and helminths detected, significant differences in protozoan cyst counts did occur. CONCLUSIONS: The use of tube predicts a shorter path in the sedimentation of the sample, increases concentration of parasites for microscopy analysis, minimizes the risks of contamination, reduces the odor, and optimizes the workspace.
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The assessment of wind energy resource for the development of deep offshore wind plants requires the use of every possible source of data and, in many cases, includes data gathered at meteorological stations installed at islands, islets or even oil platforms—all structures that interfere with, and change, the flow characteristics. This work aims to contribute to the evaluation of such changes in the flow by developing a correction methodology and applying it to the case of Berlenga island, Portugal. The study is performed using computational fluid dynamic simulations (CFD) validated by wind tunnel tests. In order to simulate the incoming offshore flow with CFD models a wind profile, unknown a priori, was established using observations from two coastal wind stations and a power law wind profile was fitted to the existing data (a=0.165). The results show that the resulting horizontal wind speed at 80 m above sea level is 16% lower than the wind speed at 80 m above the island for the dominant wind direction sector.
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INTRODUCTION: Although many countries have improved vaccination coverage in recent years, some, including Guinea-Bissau, failed to meet expected targets. This paper tries to understand the main barriers to better vaccination coverage in the context of the GAVI-Alliance (The Global Alliance for Vaccines and Immunisation) cash-based support provided to Guinea-Bissau. METHODS: The analysis is based on a document analysis and a three round Delphi study with a final consensus meeting. RESULTS: Consensus attributed about 25% of the failure to perform better to implementation problems; and about 10% to governance and also 10% to scarce resources. The qualitative analysis validates the importance of implementation issues and upgraded the relevance of the human resources crisis as an important drawback. The recommendations were balanced in their upstream-downstream focus but were blind to health information issues and logistical difficulties. CONCLUSIONS: It is commendable that such a fragile state, with all sorts of barriers, manages to sustain a slow steady growth of its vaccination coverage. Not reaching the targets set reflects the inappropriateness of those targets rather than a lack of commitment of the health workforce. In the unstable context of countries such as Guinea-Bissau, the predictability of the funds from global health initiatives like the GAVI-Alliance seem to make all the difference in achieving small consistent health gains even in the presence of other major bottlenecks.
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This thesis evaluates a start-up company (Jogos Almirante Lda) whose single asset is a board game named Almirante. It aims to conclude whether it makes sense to create a company or just earn copyrights. The thesis analyzes the board game’s market, as part of the general toy’s market, from which some data exists: European countries as well as the USA. In this work it is analyzed the several ways to finance a start-up company and then present an overview of the valuation of the Jogos Almirante based on three different methods: Discounted Cash Flow, Venture Capital Method and Real Options.
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INTRODUCTION: The aim of this study was to identify a rapid and simple phenotypic method for extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL) detection in Enterobacter cloacae. METHODS: A total of 79 consecutive, non-repeated samples of E. cloacae were evaluated. Four phenotypic methods were applied for ESBL detection, results were compared to multiplex polymerase chain reaction (PCR) as the gold standard reference method: 1) ceftazidime and cefotaxime disks with and without clavulanate, both with boronic acid added; 2) disk approximation using cefepime and amoxicillin/clavulanate; 3) ESBL screening by minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) ≥ 16µg/mL and 4) by MIC ≥ 2µg/mL for cefepime. RESULTS: Method 4 showed the best combination of sensitivity (100%) and specificity (94%). CONCLUSIONS: MIC ≥ 2µg/mL for cefepime would be very useful for the phenotypic detection of ESBL in samples of E. cloacae.
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ABSTRACTINTRODUCTION: In the Americas, mucosal leishmaniasis is primarily associated with infection by Leishmania (Viannia) braziliensis. However, Leishmania (Viannia) guyanensis is another important cause of this disease in the Brazilian Amazon. In this study, we aimed at detecting Leishmaniadeoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) within paraffin-embedded fragments of mucosal tissues, and characterizing the infecting parasite species.METHODS: We evaluated samples collected from 114 patients treated at a reference center in the Brazilian Amazon by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and restriction fragment length polymorphism (RFLP) analyses.RESULTS: Direct examination of biopsy imprints detected parasites in 10 of the 114 samples, while evaluation of hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides detected amastigotes in an additional 17 samples. Meanwhile, 31/114 samples (27.2%) were positive for Leishmania spp. kinetoplast deoxyribonucleic acid (kDNA) by PCR analysis. Of these, 17 (54.8%) yielded amplification of the mini-exon PCR target, thereby allowing for PCR-RFLP-based identification. Six of the samples were identified as L. (V.) braziliensis, while the remaining 11 were identified as L. (V.) guyanensis.CONCLUSIONS: The results of this study demonstrate the feasibility of applying molecular techniques for the diagnosis of human parasites within paraffin-embedded tissues. Moreover, our findings confirm that L. (V.) guyanensisis a relevant causative agent of mucosal leishmaniasis in the Brazilian Amazon.
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We analyzed 37 patients who underwent segmental wide resection of bone tumors and reconstruction with a modular titanium endoprosthesis at the Orthopaedic Oncology Group, between 1992 and 1998. Twelve patients were male and 25 were female, with a mean age of 30 years (9 - 81). The mean follow-up was 14 months (2 - 48). The diagnoses were: osteosarcoma (14 cases), metastatic carcinoma (10), Ewing's sarcoma (4), giant cell tumor (4), malignant fibrous histiocytoma (3), chondrosarcoma (1), and aneurysmal bone cyst (1). Eleven articulated total knee, 8 partial proximal femur with bipolar acetabulum, 8 partial proximal humerus, 3 total femur, 2 partial proximal tibia, 2 diaphyseal femur, 2 diaphyseal humerus, and 1 total proximal femur with cementless acetabulum endoprosthesis implant procedures were done. The complications related to the procedure included: infection (5 cases), dislocation (3), module loosening (1), and ulnar nerve paresthesia (1). We used the following criteria for the clinical evaluation: presence of pain, range of motion, reconstruction stability, surgical and oncologic complications, and patient acceptance. The results were good in 56.8% of the cases, regular in 32.4% and poor in 10.8%.
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Laggards are the last users to adopt a product. Prior literature on user-led innovation ignores laggards’ impact on innovation. In this paper, we develop the Lag-User Method, through which laggards can generate new ideas. Through six studies with 62 teams in three countries, we apply the method to different technologies and services and present our findings to executives to get managerial insights. Findings reveal that laggards who generate new ideas (lag-users) have different perceptions of user-friendly products and different unfulfilled needs. They prefer simple products. We propose that by involving lag-users in NPD, firms can improve the effectiveness of NPD.
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Diabetic neuropathy is an important complication of the disease, responsible for ulceration and amputation of the foot. Prevention of these problems is difficult mainly because there is no method to correctly access sensibility on the skin of the foot. The introduction of the Pressure-Specified Sensory Device (PSSD TM) in the last decade made possible the measurement of pressure thresholds sensed by the patient, such as touch, both static and in movement, on a continuous scale. This paper is the first in Brazil to report the use of this device to measure cutaneous sensibility in 3 areas of the foot: the hallux pulp, the calcaneus, and the dorsum, which are territories of the tibial and fibular nerves. METHOD: Non-diabetic patients were measured as controls, and 2 groups of diabetic patients - with and without ulcers - were compared. The PSSD TM was used to test the 3 areas described above. The following were evaluated: 1 PS (1-point static), 1 PD (1-point dynamic), 2 PS (2-points static), 2 PD (2-points dynamic). RESULTS: The diabetic group had poorer sensibility compared to controls and diabetics with ulcers had poorer sensibility when compared to diabetics without ulcers. The differences were statistically significant (P <.001). CONCLUSION: Due to the small number of patients compared, the results should be taken as a preliminary report.