964 resultados para Previsão com Metodologia de Box-Jenkins


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Treball final de carrera què vol determinar quins mètodes haurà de seguir l’ Associació de Turisme Rural Girona per conèixer el perfil del turista rural a les comarques gironines. En aquesta investigació es determina quin és el model d’ enquesta a seguir i la seva correcta distribució

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Un dels grans canvis que es planteja ara, és passar d’un ensenyament centrat en els coneixements acadèmics a un ensenyament centrat en les competències bàsiques, on l’alumne és el centre de l’educació i el professor el guia en el seu procés d’aprenentatge, és a dir, per ajudar-lo en l’adquisició de competències. Aquestes, posen l’accent en els aprenentatges, en el què l’alumne és capaç de fer i en els procediments que li permetran continuar aprenent al llarg de la vida. Per tant, les competències bàsiques es presenten com la resposta a un canvi en la metodologia de l’ensenyament tradicional. Això implica una modificació a nivell curricular i a nivell pràctic, ja que, per un costat, suposa que els coneixements teòrics recuperen el seu sentit, al ser ensenyats no per la mera reproducció sinó com instruments per l’acció, és a dir, per a la comprensió i intervenció en situacions reals, i per un altra banda, per l’ampliació amb altres coneixements, habilitats i actituds relacionades amb l’àmbit personal, interpersonal i social

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Complex multimorbid patients are now more common in ambulatory care and the management of their medication more frequently needs interprofessional collaboration. This qualitative study explored health professional's main challenges when introducing, preparing and sharing the use of a pill box for a patient. Another objective of this study was to explore options for improving care in these situations.

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Two candidate genes for controlling thymocyte differentiation, T-cell factor-1 (Tcf-1) and lymphoid enhancer-binding factor (Lef-1), encode closely related DNA-binding HMG-box proteins. Their expression pattern is complex and largely overlapping during embryogenesis, yet restricted to lymphocytes postnatally. Here we generate two independent germline mutations in Tcf-1 and find that thymocyte development in (otherwise normal) mutant mice is blocked at the transition from the CD8+, immature single-positive to the CD4+/CD8+ double-positive stage. In contrast to wild-type mice, most of the immature single-positive cells in the mutants are not in the cell cycle and the number of immunocompetent T cells in peripheral lymphoid organs is reduced. We conclude that Tcf-1 controls an essential step in thymocyte differentiation.

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En aquest projecte s’ha treballat amb una entitat no governamental, que es troba en la regió de Bahia (Brasil). L’associació “Mecenas da Vida” és una ONG que treballa en l’àmbit de la conservació del medi natural, fent partícips la pròpia població local. Petits agricultors dels municipis d’Itacaré i Uruçuca a l’Estat de Bahia que formen part del projecte, realitzen pràctiques conservacionistes i en compensació reben un pagament, per aquests serveis. Aquests diners provenen d’una taxa voluntària que paguen alguns empresaris turístics dels mateixos municipis. Pagant aquest import, els empresaris obtenen un segell distintiu que acredita la compensació de les seves emissions de CO2. El projecte tracta d’aportar un model de càlcul més específic al seuprograma de neutralització de carboni, amb sistemes agroforestals (SAF).No s’han trobat fonts d’informació sobre monitoratge de carboni en SAF en aquesta regió

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Os autores apresentam e discutem a operacionalização de uma disciplina de Metodologia de Investigação Científica em Saúde Coletiva, ministrada para alunos da Area de Concentração de Enfermagem em Saúde Coletiva do Programa de Pós-Graduação em Enfermagem da USP, cujo desenvolvimento foi norteado pelo referencial do materialismo histórico e dialético.

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O presente trabalho procura demonstrar a importância para a promoção em saúde da utilização de uma técnica de pesquisa qualitativa para diagnóstico denominada grupo focal. É uma técnica de diagnóstico rápida e de baixo custo, utilizada para completar in formações, conhecer atitudes, opiniões, percepções e comportamentos relativos à saúde; para desenvolvimento de programas e para avaliar recursos audiovisuais. A utilização desta metodologia têm se mostrado muito adequada para a fase de diagnóstico e outros eventos de Promoção da Saúde, conforme experiências relatadas que foram vivenciadas pelos autores.

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L'objectiu d'aquest projecte és dissenyar un sistema per a mesurar en temps real l'acceleració en les tres dimensions basat en un circuit integrat que proporciona senyals d'acceleració. Per a fer-ho, s'ha realitzat un estudi del senyal sensor d'acceleració MXD2125G i s'ha implementat el tractament d'aquest senyal en un microcontrolador MCF5213.

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O estudo identificou e descreveu os critérios adotados pelas enfermeiras na seleção dos fios de sutura cirúrgica para a elaboração da sua previsão e posterior provisão das Unidades de Centro Cirúrgico, segundo a natureza pública ou privada das instituições hospitalares. Os dados foram coletados por meio de entrevista estruturada e participaram do estudo 74 hospitais do município de São Paulo. A maioria dos hospitais pertence à rede privada e de porte médio, com Centro Cirúrgico geral e até 500 procedimentos/mês. A natureza determina a modalidade de aquisição, tipos de procedimentos cirúrgicos e a variedade de fios adquiridos. As enfermeiras participam dos processos de aquisição, distribuição e utilização de fios de sutura.

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Habitat restoration measures may result in artificially high breeding density, for instance when nest-boxes saturate the environment, which can negatively impact species' demography. Potential risks include changes in mating and reproductive behaviour such as increased extra-pair paternity, conspecific brood parasitism, and polygyny. Under particular cicumstances, these mechanisms may disrupt reproduction, with populations dragged into an extinction vortex. With the use of nuclear microsatellite markers, we investigated the occurrence of these potentially negative effects in a recovered population of a rare secondary cavity-nesting farmland bird of Central Europe, the hoopoe (Upupa epops). High intensity farming in the study area has resulted in a total eradication of cavity trees, depriving hoopoes from breeding sites. An intensive nest-box campaign rectified this problem, resulting in a spectacular population recovery within a few years only. There was some concern, however, that the new, high artificially-induced breeding density might alter hoopoe mating and reproductive behaviour. As the species underwent a serious demographic bottleneck in the 1970-1990s, we also used the microsatellite markers to reconstitute the demo-genetic history of the population, looking in particular for signs of genetic erosion. We found i) a low occurrence of extra-pair paternity, polygyny and conspecific brood parasitism, ii) a high level of neutral genetic diversity (mean number of alleles and expected heterozygosity per locus: 13.8 and 83%, respectively) and, iii) evidence for genetic connectivity through recent immigration of individuals from well differentiated populations. The recent increase in breeding density did thus not induce so far any noticeable detrimental changes in mating and reproductive behaviour. The demographic bottleneck undergone by the population in the 1970s-1990s was furthermore not accompanied by any significant drop in neutral genetic diversity. Finally, genetic data converged with a concomitant demographic study to evidence that immigration strongly contributed to local population recovery.

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Black-box optimization problems (BBOP) are de ned as those optimization problems in which the objective function does not have an algebraic expression, but it is the output of a system (usually a computer program). This paper is focussed on BBOPs that arise in the eld of insurance, and more speci cally in reinsurance problems. In this area, the complexity of the models and assumptions considered to de ne the reinsurance rules and conditions produces hard black-box optimization problems, that must be solved in order to obtain the optimal output of the reinsurance. The application of traditional optimization approaches is not possible in BBOP, so new computational paradigms must be applied to solve these problems. In this paper we show the performance of two evolutionary-based techniques (Evolutionary Programming and Particle Swarm Optimization). We provide an analysis in three BBOP in reinsurance, where the evolutionary-based approaches exhibit an excellent behaviour, nding the optimal solution within a fraction of the computational cost used by inspection or enumeration methods.

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British mammalogists have used two different systems for surveying the common dormouse Muscardinus avellanarius: a modified bird nest box with the entrance facing the tree trunk, and a smaller, cheaper model called a "nest tube". However, only few data comparing different nest box systems are currently available. To determine which system is more efficient, we compared the use of the large (GB-type) and small nest boxes (DE-type, a commercial wooden mouse trap without a door) in three Swiss forest. The presence of Muscardinus, potential competitors, and any evidence of occupation were examined in 60 pairs of nest boxes based on 2,280 nest box checks conducted over 5 years. Mean annual occupation and cumulative numbers of Muscardinus present were both significantly higher for the DE than for the GB boxes (64.6% versus 32.1%, and 149 versus 67 dormice, respectively). In contrast, the annual occupation by competitors including Glis glis, Apodemus spp. and hole-nesting birds was significantly higher in the GB than in the DE boxes in all forest (19-68% versus 0-16%, depending on the species and forest). These results suggest that smaller nest boxes are preferred by the common dormouse and are rarely occupied by competitors. These boxes hence appear to be preferable for studying Muscardinus populations.

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Transforming growth factor-beta (TGF-beta) and its related proteins regulate broad aspects of body development, including cell proliferation, differentiation, apoptosis and gene expression, in various organisms. Deregulated TGF-beta function has been causally implicated in the generation of human fibrotic disorders and in tumor progression. Nevertheless, the molecular mechanisms of TGF-beta action remained essentially unknown until recently. Here, we discuss recent progress in our understanding of the mechanism of TGF-beta signal transduction with respect to the regulation of gene expression, the control of cell phenotype and the potential usage of TGF-beta for the treatment of human diseases.

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Para o cuidado zeloso, autêntico, é preciso compreender aquele que será cuidado. Isso requer um perscrutar atento do cuidador sobre a experiência existencial do ser que precisa do cuidado. Exige, sobretudo, saber perguntar e refletir sobre o que foi revelado. Acreditando nos fundamentos da fenomenologia, as autoras vêm buscando construir uma metodologia para a arte de cuidar em enfermagem. Inspiradas nessa visão, procuram desenvolver habilidades de um pensar e de um fazer fenomenológico para ser-com-o-outro num modo autêntico de solicitude. Neste trabalho, são apresentadas reflexões sobre a compreensão do ser-paciente e sobre uma metodologia do cuidado, para que respaldem o(a) enfermeiro(a) em seu cotidiano.

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L'Observatori de Neologia, dirigit per la Dra. M. Teresa Cabré, neix com a grup de recerca l'any 1988 a la Universitat de Barcelona i des de 1994 s'incorpora com a projecte a l'Institut Universitari de Lingüística Aplicada de la Universitat Pompeu Fabra. L'Observatori de Neologia analitza el fenomen de l'aparició de paraules noves o neologismes en l'ús, tant pel que fa al català com al castellà. Actualment compta amb una base de dades de més de 82.000 ocurrències per al català i de més de 60.000 ocurrències per al castellà procedents de textos escrits i orals de mitjans de comunicació.Aquest volum recull la metodologia establerta des de l’inici del projecte pels membres fundadors de l’Observatori de Neologia - tot i que revisada i actualitzada al llarg dels anys. Aquesta metodologia guia tots els treballs de detecció, selecció, tractament i emmagatzemament de les dades que es duen a terme a l’Observatori.