The potential of 1 h refractivity changes from an operational C-band magnetron-based radar for numerical weather prediction validation and data assimilation

Refractivity changes (ΔN) derived from radar ground clutter returns serve as a proxy for near-surface humidity changes (1 N unit ≡ 1% relative humidity at 20 °C). Previous studies have indicated that better humidity observations should improve forecasts of convection initiation. A preliminary assessment of the potential of refractivity retrievals from an operational magnetron-based C-band radar is presented. The increased phase noise at shorter wavelengths, exacerbated by the unknown position of the target within the 300 m gate, make it difficult to obtain absolute refractivity values, so we consider the information in 1 h changes. These have been derived to a range of 30 km with a spatial resolution of ∼4 km; the consistency of the individual estimates (within each 4 km × 4 km area) indicates that ΔN errors are about 1 N unit, in agreement with in situ observations. Measurements from an instrumented tower on summer days show that the 1 h refractivity changes up to a height of 100 m remain well correlated with near-surface values. The analysis of refractivity as represented in the operational Met Office Unified Model at 1.5, 4 and 12 km grid lengths demonstrates that, as model resolution increases, the spatial scales of the refractivity structures improve. It is shown that the magnitude of refractivity changes is progressively underestimated at larger grid lengths during summer. However, the daily time series of 1 h refractivity changes reveal that, whereas the radar-derived values are very well correlated with the in situ observations, the high-resolution model runs have little skill in getting the right values of ΔN in the right place at the right time. This suggests that the assimilation of these radar refractivity observations could benefit forecasts of the initiation of convection.

Two fast radiative transfer methods to improve the temporal sampling of clouds in numerical weather prediction and climate models

The high computational cost of calculating the radiative heating rates in numerical weather prediction (NWP) and climate models requires that calculations are made infrequently, leading to poor sampling of the fast-changing cloud field and a poor representation of the feedback that would occur. This paper presents two related schemes for improving the temporal sampling of the cloud field. Firstly, the ‘split time-stepping’ scheme takes advantage of the independent nature of the monochromatic calculations of the ‘correlated-k’ method to split the calculation into gaseous absorption terms that are highly dependent on changes in cloud (the optically thin terms) and those that are not (optically thick). The small number of optically thin terms can then be calculated more often to capture changes in the grey absorption and scattering associated with cloud droplets and ice crystals. Secondly, the ‘incremental time-stepping’ scheme uses a simple radiative transfer calculation using only one or two monochromatic calculations representing the optically thin part of the atmospheric spectrum. These are found to be sufficient to represent the heating rate increments caused by changes in the cloud field, which can then be added to the last full calculation of the radiation code. We test these schemes in an operational forecast model configuration and find a significant improvement is achieved, for a small computational cost, over the current scheme employed at the Met Office. The ‘incremental time-stepping’ scheme is recommended for operational use, along with a new scheme to correct the surface fluxes for the change in solar zenith angle between radiation calculations.

A Posteriori analysis of discontinuous Galerkin schemes for systems of hyperbolic conservation laws

In this work we construct reliable a posteriori estimates for some semi- (spatially) discrete discontinuous Galerkin schemes applied to nonlinear systems of hyperbolic conservation laws. We make use of appropriate reconstructions of the discrete solution together with the relative entropy stability framework, which leads to error control in the case of smooth solutions. The methodology we use is quite general and allows for a posteriori control of discontinuous Galerkin schemes with standard flux choices which appear in the approximation of conservation laws. In addition to the analysis, we conduct some numerical benchmarking to test the robustness of the resultant estimator.

Discontinuous Galerkin methods for the p-biharmonic equation from a discrete variational perspective

We study discontinuous Galerkin approximations of the p-biharmonic equation for p∈(1,∞) from a variational perspective. We propose a discrete variational formulation of the problem based on an appropriate definition of a finite element Hessian and study convergence of the method (without rates) using a semicontinuity argument. We also present numerical experiments aimed at testing the robustness of the method.

Conditioning of the weak-constraint variational data assimilation problem for numerical weather prediction

4-Dimensional Variational Data Assimilation (4DVAR) assimilates observations through the minimisation of a least-squares objective function, which is constrained by the model flow. We refer to 4DVAR as strong-constraint 4DVAR (sc4DVAR) in this thesis as it assumes the model is perfect. Relaxing this assumption gives rise to weak-constraint 4DVAR (wc4DVAR), leading to a different minimisation problem with more degrees of freedom. We consider two wc4DVAR formulations in this thesis, the model error formulation and state estimation formulation. The 4DVAR objective function is traditionally solved using gradient-based iterative methods. The principle method used in Numerical Weather Prediction today is the Gauss-Newton approach. This method introduces a linearised `inner-loop' objective function, which upon convergence, updates the solution of the non-linear `outer-loop' objective function. This requires many evaluations of the objective function and its gradient, which emphasises the importance of the Hessian. The eigenvalues and eigenvectors of the Hessian provide insight into the degree of convexity of the objective function, while also indicating the difficulty one may encounter while iterative solving 4DVAR. The condition number of the Hessian is an appropriate measure for the sensitivity of the problem to input data. The condition number can also indicate the rate of convergence and solution accuracy of the minimisation algorithm. This thesis investigates the sensitivity of the solution process minimising both wc4DVAR objective functions to the internal assimilation parameters composing the problem. We gain insight into these sensitivities by bounding the condition number of the Hessians of both objective functions. We also precondition the model error objective function and show improved convergence. We show that both formulations' sensitivities are related to error variance balance, assimilation window length and correlation length-scales using the bounds. We further demonstrate this through numerical experiments on the condition number and data assimilation experiments using linear and non-linear chaotic toy models.

A discontinuous-Galerkin-based immersed boundary method with non-homogeneous boundary conditions and its application to elasticity

We propose a discontinuous-Galerkin-based immersed boundary method for elasticity problems. The resulting numerical scheme does not require boundary fitting meshes and avoids boundary locking by switching the elements intersected by the boundary to a discontinuous Galerkin approximation. Special emphasis is placed on the construction of a method that retains an optimal convergence rate in the presence of non-homogeneous essential and natural boundary conditions. The role of each one of the approximations introduced is illustrated by analyzing an analog problem in one spatial dimension. Finally, extensive two- and three-dimensional numerical experiments on linear and nonlinear elasticity problems verify that the proposed method leads to optimal convergence rates under combinations of essential and natural boundary conditions. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

An application of the Element Free Galerkin Method to the analysis of quantum well structures

In order to obtain the quantum-mechanical properties of layered semicondutor structures (quantum well and superlattice structures, for instance), solutions of the Schrodinger equation should be obtained for arbitrary potential profiles. In this paper, it is shown that such problems may be also studied by the Element Free Galerkin Method.

Discontinuous Galerkin finite element approximation of quasilinear elliptic boundary value problems II: Strongly monotone quasi-Newtonian flows

In this article, we develop the a priori and a posteriori error analysis of hp-version interior penalty discontinuous Galerkin finite element methods for strongly monotone quasi-Newtonian fluid flows in a bounded Lipschitz domain Ω ⊂ ℝd, d = 2, 3. In the latter case, computable upper and lower bounds on the error are derived in terms of a natural energy norm, which are explicit in the local mesh size and local polynomial degree of the approximating finite element method. A series of numerical experiments illustrate the performance of the proposed a posteriori error indicators within an automatic hp-adaptive refinement algorithm.

Comparison of co-located independent ground-based middle atmospheric wind and temperature measurements with numerical weather prediction models

High-resolution, ground-based and independent observations including co-located wind radiometer, lidar stations, and infrasound instruments are used to evaluate the accuracy of general circulation models and data-constrained assimilation systems in the middle atmosphere at northern hemisphere midlatitudes. Systematic comparisons between observations, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational analyses including the recent Integrated Forecast System cycles 38r1 and 38r2, the NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) reanalyses, and the free-running climate Max Planck Institute–Earth System Model–Low Resolution (MPI-ESM-LR) are carried out in both temporal and spectral dom ains. We find that ECMWF and MERRA are broadly consistent with lidar and wind radiometer measurements up to ~40 km. For both temperature and horizontal wind components, deviations increase with altitude as the assimilated observations become sparser. Between 40 and 60 km altitude, the standard deviation of the mean difference exceeds 5 K for the temperature and 20 m/s for the zonal wind. The largest deviations are observed in winter when the variability from large-scale planetary waves dominates. Between lidar data and MPI-ESM-LR, there is an overall agreement in spectral amplitude down to 15–20 days. At shorter time scales, the variability is lacking in the model by ~10 dB. Infrasound observations indicate a general good agreement with ECWMF wind and temperature products. As such, this study demonstrates the potential of the infrastructure of the Atmospheric Dynamics Research Infrastructure in Europe project that integrates various measurements and provides a quantitative understanding of stratosphere-troposphere dynamical coupling for numerical weather prediction applications.

A total variation discontinuous Galerkin approach for image restoration

The focal point of this paper is to propose and analyze a P 0 discontinuous Galerkin (DG) formulation for image denoising. The scheme is based on a total variation approach which has been applied successfully in previous papers on image processing. The main idea of the new scheme is to model the restoration process in terms of a discrete energy minimization problem and to derive a corresponding DG variational formulation. Furthermore, we will prove that the method exhibits a unique solution and that a natural maximum principle holds. In addition, a number of examples illustrate the effectiveness of the method.

Truncation error estimation in the Discontinuous Galerkin Spectral Element Method

En esta tesis, el método de estimación de error de truncación conocido como restimation ha sido extendido de esquemas de bajo orden a esquemas de alto orden. La mayoría de los trabajos en la bibliografía utilizan soluciones convergidas en mallas de distinto refinamiento para realizar la estimación. En este trabajo se utiliza una solución en una única malla con distintos órdenes polinómicos. Además, no se requiere que esta solución esté completamente convergida, resultando en el método conocido como quasi-a priori T-estimation. La aproximación quasi-a priori estima el error mientras el residuo del método iterativo no es despreciable. En este trabajo se demuestra que algunas de las hipótesis fundamentales sobre el comportamiento del error, establecidas para métodos de bajo orden, dejan de ser válidas en esquemas de alto orden, haciendo necesaria una revisión completa del comportamiento del error antes de redefinir el algoritmo. Para facilitar esta tarea, en una primera etapa se considera el método conocido como Chebyshev Collocation, limitando la aplicación a geometrías simples. La extensión al método Discontinuouos Galerkin Spectral Element Method presenta dificultades adicionales para la definición precisa y la estimación del error, debidos a la formulación débil, la discretización multidominio y la formulación discontinua. En primer lugar, el análisis se enfoca en leyes de conservación escalares para examinar la precisión de la estimación del error de truncación. Después, la validez del análisis se demuestra para las ecuaciones incompresibles y compresibles de Euler y Navier Stokes. El método de aproximación quasi-a priori r-estimation permite desacoplar las contribuciones superficiales y volumétricas del error de truncación, proveyendo información sobre la anisotropía de las soluciones así como su ratio de convergencia con el orden polinómico. Se demuestra que esta aproximación quasi-a priori produce estimaciones del error de truncación con precisión espectral. ABSTRACT In this thesis, the τ-estimation method to estimate the truncation error is extended from low order to spectral methods. While most works in the literature rely on fully time-converged solutions on grids with different spacing to perform the estimation, only one grid with different polynomial orders is used in this work. Furthermore, a non timeconverged solution is used resulting in the quasi-a priori τ-estimation method. The quasi-a priori approach estimates the error when the residual of the time-iterative method is not negligible. It is shown in this work that some of the fundamental assumptions about error tendency, well established for low order methods, are no longer valid in high order schemes, making necessary a complete revision of the error behavior before redefining the algorithm. To facilitate this task, the Chebyshev Collocation Method is considered as a first step, limiting their application to simple geometries. The extension to the Discontinuous Galerkin Spectral Element Method introduces additional features to the accurate definition and estimation of the error due to the weak formulation, multidomain discretization and the discontinuous formulation. First, the analysis focuses on scalar conservation laws to examine the accuracy of the estimation of the truncation error. Then, the validity of the analysis is shown for the incompressible and compressible Euler and Navier Stokes equations. The developed quasi-a priori τ-estimation method permits one to decouple the interfacial and the interior contributions of the truncation error in the Discontinuous Galerkin Spectral Element Method, and provides information about the anisotropy of the solution, as well as its rate of convergence in polynomial order. It is demonstrated here that this quasi-a priori approach yields a spectrally accurate estimate of the truncation error.

A Posteriori Error Analysis of hp-Version Discontinuous Galerkin Finite Element Methods for Second-Order Quasilinear Elliptic Problems

We develop the a-posteriori error analysis of hp-version interior-penalty discontinuous Galerkin finite element methods for a class of second-order quasilinear elliptic partial differential equations. Computable upper and lower bounds on the error are derived in terms of a natural (mesh-dependent) energy norm. The bounds are explicit in the local mesh size and the local degree of the approximating polynomial. The performance of the proposed estimators within an automatic hp-adaptive refinement procedure is studied through numerical experiments.

Discontinuous Galerkin Methods on hp-Anisotropic Meshes I: A Priori Error Analysis

We consider the a priori error analysis of hp-version interior penalty discontinuous Galerkin methods for second-order partial differential equations with nonnegative characteristic form under weak assumptions on the mesh design and the local finite element spaces employed. In particular, we prove a priori hp-error bounds for linear target functionals of the solution, on (possibly) anisotropic computational meshes with anisotropic tensor-product polynomial basis functions. The theoretical results are illustrated by a numerical experiment.

Discontinuous Galerkin Methods on hp-Anisotropic Meshes II: A Posteriori Error Analysis and Adaptivity

We consider the a posteriori error analysis and hp-adaptation strategies for hp-version interior penalty discontinuous Galerkin methods for second-order partial differential equations with nonnegative characteristic form on anisotropically refined computational meshes with anisotropically enriched elemental polynomial degrees. In particular, we exploit duality based hp-error estimates for linear target functionals of the solution and design and implement the corresponding adaptive algorithms to ensure reliable and efficient control of the error in the prescribed functional to within a given tolerance. This involves exploiting both local isotropic and anisotropic mesh refinement and isotropic and anisotropic polynomial degree enrichment. The superiority of the proposed algorithm in comparison with standard hp-isotropic mesh refinement algorithms and an h-anisotropic/p-isotropic adaptive procedure is illustrated by a series of numerical experiments.

Discontinuous Galerkin Methods for the Biharmonic Problem

This work is concerned with the design and analysis of hp-version discontinuous Galerkin (DG) finite element methods for boundary-value problems involving the biharmonic operator. The first part extends the unified approach of Arnold, Brezzi, Cockburn & Marini (SIAM J. Numer. Anal. 39, 5 (2001/02), 1749-1779) developed for the Poisson problem, to the design of DG methods via an appropriate choice of numerical flux functions for fourth order problems; as an example we retrieve the interior penalty DG method developed by Suli & Mozolevski (Comput. Methods Appl. Mech. Engrg. 196, 13-16 (2007), 1851-1863). The second part of this work is concerned with a new a-priori error analysis of the hp-version interior penalty DG method, when the error is measured in terms of both the energy-norm and L2-norm, as well certain linear functionals of the solution, for elemental polynomial degrees $p\ge 2$. Also, provided that the solution is piecewise analytic in an open neighbourhood of each element, exponential convergence is also proven for the p-version of the DG method. The sharpness of the theoretical developments is illustrated by numerical experiments.