Integrating environmental and economic life cycle analysis in product development: a material selection case study

Purpose Achieving sustainability by rethinking products, services and strategies is an enormous challenge currently laid upon the economic sector, in which materials selection plays a critical role. In this context, the present work describes an environmental and economic life cycle analysis of a structural product, comparing two possible material alternatives. The product chosen is a storage tank, presently manufactured in stainless steel (SST) or in a glass fibre reinforced polymer composite (CST). The overall goal of the study is to identify environmental and economic strong and weak points related to the life cycle of the two material alternatives. The consequential win-win or trade-off situations will be identified via a Life Cycle Assessment/Life Cycle Costing (LCA/LCC) integrated model. Methods The LCA/LCC integrated model used consists in applying the LCA methodology to the product system, incorporating, in parallel, its results into the LCC study, namely those of the Life Cycle Inventory (LCI) and the Life Cycle Impact Assessment (LCIA). Results In both the SST and CST systems the most significant life cycle phase is the raw materials production, in which the most significant environmental burdens correspond to the Fossil fuels and Respiratory inorganics categories. The LCA/LCC integrated analysis shows that the CST has globally a preferable environmental and economic profile, as its impacts are lower than those of the SST in all life cycle stages. Both the internal and external costs are lower, the former resulting mainly from the composite material being significantly less expensive than stainless steel. This therefore represents a full win-win situation. As a consequence, the study clearly indicates that using a thermoset composite material to manufacture storage tanks is environmentally and economically desirable. However, it was also evident that the environmental performance of the CST could be improved by altering its End-of-Life stage. Conclusions The results of the present work provide enlightening insights into the synergies between the environmental and the economic performance of a structural product made with alternative materials. Further, they provide conclusive evidence to support the integration of environmental and economic life cycle analysis in the product development processes of a manufacturing company, or in some cases even in its procurement practices.

Comparative analysis between statistical and artificial intelligence models in business failure prediction

A growing number of predicting corporate failure models has emerged since 60s. Economic and social consequences of business failure can be dramatic, thus it is not surprise that the issue has been of growing interest in academic research as well as in business context. The main purpose of this study is to compare the predictive ability of five developed models based on three statistical techniques (Discriminant Analysis, Logit and Probit) and two models based on Artificial Intelligence (Neural Networks and Rough Sets). The five models were employed to a dataset of 420 non-bankrupt firms and 125 bankrupt firms belonging to the textile and clothing industry, over the period 2003–09. Results show that all the models performed well, with an overall correct classification level higher than 90%, and a type II error always less than 2%. The type I error increases as we move away from the year prior to failure. Our models contribute to the discussion of corporate financial distress causes. Moreover it can be used to assist decisions of creditors, investors and auditors. Additionally, this research can be of great contribution to devisers of national economic policies that aim to reduce industrial unemployment.

Survival Analysis Employed in Predicting Corporate Failure: A Forecasting Model Proposal

In face of the current economic and financial environment, predicting corporate bankruptcy is arguably a phenomenon of increasing interest to investors, creditors, borrowing firms, and governments alike. Within the strand of literature focused on bankruptcy forecasting we can find diverse types of research employing a wide variety of techniques, but only a few researchers have used survival analysis for the examination of this issue. We propose a model for the prediction of corporate bankruptcy based on survival analysis, a technique which stands on its own merits. In this research, the hazard rate is the probability of ‘‘bankruptcy’’ as of time t, conditional upon having survived until time t. Many hazard models are applied in a context where the running of time naturally affects the hazard rate. The model employed in this paper uses the time of survival or the hazard risk as dependent variable, considering the unsuccessful companies as censured observations.

Comparative Analysis between Statistical and Artificial Intelligence Models in Business Failure Prediction

A growing number of predicting corporate failure models has emerged since 60s. Economic and social consequences of business failure can be dramatic, thus it is not surprise that the issue has been of growing interest in academic research as well as in business context. The main purpose of this study is to compare the predictive ability of five developed models based on three statistical techniques (Discriminant Analysis, Logit and Probit) and two models based on Artificial Intelligence (Neural Networks and Rough Sets). The five models were employed to a dataset of 420 non-bankrupt firms and 125 bankrupt firms belonging to the textile and clothing industry, over the period 2003–09. Results show that all the models performed well, with an overall correct classification level higher than 90%, and a type II error always less than 2%. The type I error increases as we move away from the year prior to failure. Our models contribute to the discussion of corporate financial distress causes. Moreover it can be used to assist decisions of creditors, investors and auditors. Additionally, this research can be of great contribution to devisers of national economic policies that aim to reduce industrial unemployment.

Táticas oligopolísticas para controlar mercados e o crescimento das CTNs na indústria de material elétrico do Brasil

A maioria das explicações convencionais da rápida expansão das corporações transnacionais (CTNs) nos países em desenvolvimento atribui seu crescimento à eficiência superior das CTNs em relação a seus competidores domésticos. Uma interpretação alternativa focaliza as estruturas industriais do oligopólio que estão associadas ao investimento transnacional e o poder de mercado das CTNs. Este trabalho explora algumas táticas de mercado e extramercado empregadas pelas CTNs para protegerem sua vantagem monopolística nos países hospedeiros. Usando o exemplo da indústria de material elétrico do Brasil, o artigo considera as conseqüências econômicas de sete formas de conduta de CTN: diretorias entrosadas, indulgência mútua, controle de canais de suprimento, subsidiação mútua e predação, conluio formal e informal, vínculos políticos formais e comportamento de aquisição das CTNs. Conclui-se que nem as barreiras à entrada determinadas pela eficiência, nem as determinadas pela tecnologia são completamente satisfatórias para explicar o crescimento da participação do mercado transnacional; ao menos no caso da indústria de material elétrico do Brasil, o poder de mercado associado ao comportamento da CTN é igualmente, ou talvez mais, importante.

How logrolling can explain the failure of the government coalition in Brazil

This article presents an analysis of the behavior of federal representatives in the Brazilian House of Representatives between 1995 and 1998, when a series of constitutional amendments were presented by the president to be voted on by Congress. The objective is to show that the lack of a stable government coalition resulted in costs to society that were not anticipated by the government. The study argues that a logroll - a trade of votes - was the strategy used by the government in order to guarantee the number of votes necessary to approve the amendments. This strategy created a vicious system in which representatives would only vote with the government if they had benefits in return.

New source-material for the socio-economic history of the Hindus of Goa

The Mhamai brothers were the suppliers of daily commodities / stationery to the viceroys / governors of Goa. Since late 18th century their agency house worked in partnership with several other trading houses all over the west coast of India. They also served as brokers for the French East India company in Goa during the critical period of anglo-french wars. The Mhamais were also revenue farmers, particularly customs and tobacco tax farming. I had the privilege of taking their family archives to the Xavier Centre of Historical Research in 1979 and making the history of the family known worldwide.

Avaliação de material educativo: adequação de quatro volantes sobre alimentação da criança de 0 a 12 meses de idade

Foi feita, através do Serviço de Educação de Saúde Pública da Secretaria de Estado da Saúde de São Paulo (Brasil), avaliação do tipo pré-teste de material instrucional - quatro volantes sobre alimentação da criança de 0 a 12 meses de idade, utilizados no programa de Assistência à Criança da referida Secretaria, com o objetivo de fornecer subsídios para reformulação deste material. O estudo foi realizado em 18 Centros de Saúde da Região Leste da Grande São Paulo, com uma amostra de 50 mães entrevistadas, clientes das Unidades Sanitárias e 48 funcionários. Investigou-se a compreensão das mães e dos funcionários em relação ao conteúdo do material instrucional e a percepção da viabilidade das práticas recomendadas nos volantes. Os resultados mostraram que em relação a 3 volantes a maioria das mensagens foi interpretada corretamente, sendo que para as mães a "boa compreensão" variou de 80,0% a 96,0% e para o pessoal auxiliar de 90,9% a 100,0%. Quanto à percepção da impossibilidade de se por em prática as orientações - avaliada através de interpretação de caráter projetivo - foi maior entre os funcionários (80,0% e mais) do que entre as mães (em torno de 50%). Identificaram-se algumas barreiras de comunicação e obtiveram-se sugestões que contribuiram para reformulação e melhoria dos materiais.

Educação em saúde para alunos de primeiro grau: avaliação de material para ensino e profilaxia da esquistossomose

Considerando a importância da informação sobre a esquistossomose para alunos de 7 a 15 anos, faixa etária apontada como de alta prevalência em regiões endêmicas e cujos hábitos colaboram para a disseminação da doença, foi elaborado um material de ensino baseado em um texto de conotação literária, o qual foi aplicado em escolas de região considerada foco isolado da doença no Município do Rio de Janeiro (Brasil). Desenvolveu-se uma metodologia de uso do material a ser empregada pelos professores, que resultou eficaz em promover aprendizagem de conceitos e cuidados básicos em relação à esquistossomose. Propõe-se o uso deste processo para outras doenças parasitárias a serem testadas em áreas caracteristicamente endêmicas.