Bayesian joint modeling of longitudinal and survival data

The joint modeling of longitudinal and survival data is a new approach to many applications such as HIV, cancer vaccine trials and quality of life studies. There are recent developments of the methodologies with respect to each of the components of the joint model as well as statistical processes that link them together. Among these, second order polynomial random effect models and linear mixed effects models are the most commonly used for the longitudinal trajectory function. In this study, we first relax the parametric constraints for polynomial random effect models by using Dirichlet process priors, then three longitudinal markers rather than only one marker are considered in one joint model. Second, we use a linear mixed effect model for the longitudinal process in a joint model analyzing the three markers. In this research these methods were applied to the Primary Biliary Cirrhosis sequential data, which were collected from a clinical trial of primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) of the liver. This trial was conducted between 1974 and 1984 at the Mayo Clinic. The effects of three longitudinal markers (1) Total Serum Bilirubin, (2) Serum Albumin and (3) Serum Glutamic-Oxaloacetic transaminase (SGOT) on patients' survival were investigated. Proportion of treatment effect will also be studied using the proposed joint modeling approaches. ^ Based on the results, we conclude that the proposed modeling approaches yield better fit to the data and give less biased parameter estimates for these trajectory functions than previous methods. Model fit is also improved after considering three longitudinal markers instead of one marker only. The results from analysis of proportion of treatment effects from these joint models indicate same conclusion as that from the final model of Fleming and Harrington (1991), which is Bilirubin and Albumin together has stronger impact in predicting patients' survival and as a surrogate endpoints for treatment. ^

Risk factors for developing complications while awaiting a cholecystectomy

Background. Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy is the gold standard for patients who are diagnosed with biliary colic (NIH, 1993). It has been demonstrated that individuals who wait a longer time between diagnosis and treatment are at increased risk of having complications (Rutledge et al., 2000; Contini et al., 2004; Eldar et al., 1999). County hospitals, such as Ben Taub General Hospital (BTGH), have a particularly high population of uninsured patients and consequently long surgical wait periods due to limited resources. This study evaluates patients the risk factors involved in their progression to complications from gallstones in a county hospital environment. ^ Methods. A case-control study using medical records was performed on all patients who underwent a cholecystectomy for gallstone disease at BTGH during the year of 2005 (n=414). The risk factors included in the study are obesity, gender, age, race, diabetes, and amount of time from diagnosis to surgery. Multivariate analysis and logistical regression were used to assess factors that potentially lead to the development of complications. ^ Results. There were a total of 414 patients at BTGH who underwent a cholecystectomy for gallstone disease during 2005. The majority of patients were female, 84.3% (n=349) and Hispanic, 79.7% (n=330). The median wait time from diagnosis to surgery was 1.43 weeks (range: 0-184.71). The majority of patients presented with complications 72.5% (n=112). The two factors that impacted development of complications in our study population were Hispanic race (OR=1.81; CI 1.02, 3.23; p=0.04) and time from diagnosis to surgery (OR=0.98; CI 0.97, 0.99; p<0.01). Obesity, gender, age, and diabetes were not predictive of development of complications. ^ Conclusions. An individual's socioeconomic status potentially influences all aspects of their health and subsequent health care. The patient population of BTGH is largely uninsured and therefore less likely to seek care at an early stage in their disease process. In order to decrease the rate of complications, there needs to be a system that increases patient access to primary care clinics. Until the problem of access to care is solved, those who are uninsured will likely suffer more severe complications and society will bear the cost. ^

Targeted inactivation of sister of P-glycoprotein gene (spgp) in mice results in nonprogressive but persistent intrahepatic cholestasis

Mutations in the sister of P-glycoprotein (Spgp) or bile salt export pump (BSEP) are associated with Progressive Familial Intrahepatic Cholestasis (PFIC2). Spgp is predominantly expressed in the canalicular membranes of liver. Consistent with in vitro evidence demonstrating the involvement of Spgp in bile salt transport, PFIC2 patients secrete less than 1% of biliary bile salts compared with normal infants. The disease rapidly progresses to hepatic failure requiring liver transplantation before adolescence. In this study, we show that the knockout of spgp gene in mice results in intrahepatic cholestasis, but with significantly less severity than PFIC2 in humans. Some unexpected characteristics are observed. Notably, although the secretion of cholic acid in mutant mice is greatly reduced (6% of wild-type), total bile salt output in mutant mice is about 30% of wild-type. Also, secretion of an unexpectedly large amount of tetra-hydroxylated bile acids (not detected in wild-type) is observed. These results suggest that hydroxylation and an alternative canalicular transport mechanism for bile acids compensate for the absence of Spgp function and protect the mutant mice from severe cholestatic damage. In addition, the spgp−/− mice display a significant increase in the secretion of cholesterol and phospholipids into the bile. This latter observation in spgp−/− mice suggests that intrahepatic, rather than intracanalicular, bile salts are the major driving force for the biliary lipid secretion. The spgp−/− mice thus provide a unique model for gaining new insights into therapeutic intervention for intrahepatic cholestasis and understanding mechanisms associated with lipid homeostasis.

Random phage mimotopes recognized by monoclonal antibodies against the pyruvate dehydrogenase complex-E2 (PDC-E2).

Dihydrolipoamide acetyltransferase, the E2 component of the pyruvate dehydrogenase complex (PDC-E2), is the autoantigen most commonly recognized by autoantibodies in primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC). We identified a peptide mimotope(s) of PDC-E2 by screening a phage-epitope library expressing random dodecapeptides in the pIII coat protein of fd phage using C355.1, a murine monoclonal antibody (mAb) that recognizes a conformation-dependent epitope in the inner lipoyl domain of PDC-E2 and uniquely stains the apical region of bile duct epithelium (BDE) only in patients with PBC. Eight different sequences were identified in 36 phage clones. WMSYPDRTLRTS was present in 29 clones; WESYPFRVGTSL, APKTYVSVSGMV, LTYVSLQGRQGH, LDYVPLKHRHRH, AALWGVKVRHVS, KVLNRIMAGVRH and GNVALVSSRVNA were singly represented. Three common amino acid motifs (W-SYP, TYVS, and VRH) were shared among all peptide sequences. Competitive inhibition of the immunohistochemical staining of PBC BDE was performed by incubating the peptides WMSYPDRTLRTS, WESYPDRTLRTS, APKTYVSVSGMV, and AALWGVKVRHVS with either C355.1 or a second PDC-E2-specific mAb, C150.1. Both mAbs were originally generated to PDC-E2 but map to distinct regions of PDC-E2. Two of the peptides, although selected by reaction with C355.1, strongly inhibited the staining of BDE by C150.1, whereas the peptide APKTYVSVSGMV consistently inhibited the staining of C355.1 on biliary duct epithelium more strongly than the typical mitochondrial staining of hepatocytes. Rabbit sera raised against the peptide WMSYPDRTLRTS stained BDE of livers and isolated bile duct epithelial cells of PBC patients more intensively than controls. The rabbit sera stained all size ducts in normals, but only small/medium-sized ductules in PBC livers. These studies provide evidence that the antigen present in BDE is a molecular mimic of PDC-E2, and not PDC-E2 itself.

Development and characterization of a rodent model of immune-mediated cholangitis.

The cholangiopathies are a group of hepatobiliary diseases in which intrahepatic bile duct epithelial cells, or cholangiocytes, are the target for a variety of destructive processes, including immune-mediated damage. We tested the hypothesis that cholangitis could be induced in rodents by immunization with highly purified cholangiocytes. Inbred Wistar rats were immunized with purified hyperplastic cholangiocytes isolated after bile duct ligation from either syngeneic Wistar or allogeneic Fischer 344 rats; control rats were immunized with bovine serum albumin (BSA) or hepatocytes. After immunization with cholangiocytes, recipient animals developed histologic evidence of nonsuppurative cholangitis without inflammation in other organs; groups immunized with BSA or hepatocytes showed no cholangitis. Immunohistochemical studies revealed that portal tract infiltrates around bile ducts consisted of CD3-positive lymphocytes, some of which expressed major histocompatibility complex class II antigen; B cells and exogenous monocytes/macrophages were essentially absent. Transfer of unfractionated ConA-stimulated spleen cells from cholangiocyte-immunized (but not BSA-immunized) rats into recipients also caused nonsuppurative cholangitis. Moreover, these splenocytes from cholangiocyte-immunized (but not BSA-immunized) rats were cytotoxic in vitro for cultured rodent cholangiocytes; no cytotoxicity was observed against a rat hepatocyte cell line. Also, a specific antibody response in sera of cholangiocyte-immunized rats was demonstrated by immunoblots against cholangiocyte proteins. Finally, cholangiograms in cholangiocyte-immunized rats showed distortion and tortuosity of the entire intrahepatic biliary ductal system. This unique rodent model of experimental cholangitis demonstrates the importance of immune mechanisms in the pathogenesis of cholangitis and will prove useful in exploring the mechanisms by which the immune system targets and damages cholangiocytes.

Colangiopancreatografia retrógrada endoscópica versus ultrassom endoscópico no diagnóstico histológico da estenose biliar maligna: revisão sistemática e metanálise

Introdução: O diagnóstico histológico das estenoses biliares é fundamental na definição da terapêutica a ser empregada, devido à heterogeneidade dos resultados dos estudos comparando o uso do escovado citológico e da biópsia transpapilar na colangiopancreatografia retrógada endoscópica (CPRE) com a punção aspirativa ecoguiada com agulha fina (ECO-PAAF) no diagnóstico histológico da estenose biliar maligna, e o fato de não existirem revisões sistemáticas e metanálises comparando esses métodos, este estudo propõe comparar esses dois métodos no diagnóstico histológico da estenose biliar maligna, através de revisão sistemática e metanálise da literatura. Métodos: Utilizando as bases de dados eletrônicas Medline, Embase, Cochrane, LILACS, CINAHL, e Scopus foram pesquisados estudos datados anteriormente a novembro de 2014. De um total de 1009 estudos publicados, foram selecionados três estudos prospectivos comparando ECO-PAAF e CPRE no diagnóstico histológico da estenose biliar maligna e cinco estudos transversais comparando ECO-PAAF com o mesmo padrão-ouro dos outros três estudos comparativos. Todos os pacientes foram submetidos ao mesmo padrão-ouro. Foram calculadas as variáveis do estudo (prevalência, sensibilidade, especificidade, valores preditivos positivos e negativos e acurácia) e realizada a metanálise utilizando os softwares Rev Man 5 e Meta-DiSc 1.4. Resultados: Um total de 294 pacientes foi incluído na análise. A probabilidade pré-teste para estenose biliar maligna foi de 76,66%. As sensibilidades médias da CPRE e da ECO-PAAF para o diagnóstico histológico da estenose biliar maligna foram de 49% e 76,5%, respectivamente; especificidades foram de 96,33% e 100%, respectivamente. As probabilidades pós-teste também foram determinadas: valores preditivos positivos de 98,33% e 100%, respectivamente, e valores preditivos negativos de 34% e 58,87%. As acurácias foram 60,66% e 82,25%, respectivamente. Conclusão: A ECO-PAAF é superior a CPRE com escovado citológico e/ou biópsia transpapilar no diagnóstico histológico da estenose biliar maligna. No entanto, um teste de ECO-PAAF ou CPRE com amostra histológica negativa não pode excluir a estenose biliar maligna, pois ambos os testes apresentam baixo valor preditivo negativo

Comparação entre prótese plástica e metálica na paliação endoscópica da obstrução maligna da via biliar: revisão sistemática e metanálise baseadas em estudos randomizados

INTRODUÇÃO: A prótese biliar endoscópica é aceita em todo o mundo como a primeira escolha de tratamento paliativo na obstrução biliar maligna. Atualmente ainda persistem dois tipos de materiais utilizados em sua confecção: plástico e metal. Consequentemente, muitas dúvidas surgem quanto a qual deles é o mais benéfico para o paciente. Esta revisão reúne as informações disponíveis da mais alta qualidade sobre estes dois tipos de prótese, fornecendo informações em relação à disfunção, complicação, taxas de reintervenção, custos, sobrevida e tempo de permeabilidade; e pretende ajudar a lidar com a prática clínica nos dias de hoje. OBJETIVO: Analisar, através de metanálise, os benefícios de dois tipos de próteses na obstrução biliar maligna inoperável. MÉTODOS: Uma revisão sistemática de ensaios clínicos randomizados (RCT) foi conduzida, com a última atualização em março de 2015, utilizando EMBASE, CINAHL (EBSCO), Medline, Lilacs / Centro (BVS), Scopus, o CAPES (Brasil), e literatura cinzenta. As informações dos estudos selecionados foram extraídas tendo em vista seis desfechos: primariamente disfunção, taxas de reintervenção e complicações; e, secundariamente, custos, sobrevivência e tempo de permeabilidade. Os dados sobre as características dos participantes do RCT, critérios de inclusão e exclusão e tipos de próteses também foram extraídos. Os vieses foram avaliados principalmente através da escala de Jadad. Esta metanálise foi registrada no banco de dados PROSPERO pelo número CRD42014015078. A análise do risco absoluto dos resultados foi realizada utilizando o software RevMan 5, calculando as diferenças de risco (RD) de variáveis dicotômicas e média das diferenças (MD) de variáveis contínuas. Os dados sobre a RD e MD para cada desfecho primário foram calculados utilizando o teste de Mantel-Haenszel e a inconsistência foi avaliada com o teste Qui-quadrado (Chi2) e o método de Higgins (I2). A análise de sensibilidade foi realizada com a retirada de estudos discrepantes e a utilização do efeito aleatório. O teste t de Student foi utilizado para a comparação das médias aritméticas ponderadas, em relação aos desfechos secundários. RESULTADOS: Inicialmente foram identificados 3660 estudos; 3539 foram excluídos por título ou resumo, enquanto 121 estudos foram totalmente avaliados e foram excluídos, principalmente por não comparar próteses metálicas (SEMS) e próteses plásticas (PS), levando a treze RCT selecionados e 1133 indivíduos metanálise. A média de idade foi de 69,5 anos, e o câncer mais comum foi de via biliar (proximal) e pancreático (distal). O diâmetro de SEMS mais utilizado foi de 10 mm (30 Fr) e o diâmetro de PS mais utilizado foi de 10 Fr. Na metanálise, SEMS tiveram menor disfunção global em comparação com PS (21,6% versus 46,8% p < 0,00001) e menos reintervenções (21,6% versus 56,6% p < 0,00001), sem diferença nas complicações (13,7% versus 15,9% p = 0,16). Na análise secundária, a taxa média de sobrevida foi maior no grupo SEMS (182 contra 150 dias - p < 0,0001), com um período maior de permeabilidade (250 contra 124 dias - p < 0,0001) e um custo semelhante por paciente, embora menor no grupo SEMS (4.193,98 contra 4.728,65 Euros - p < 0,0985). CONCLUSÃO: SEMS estão associados com menor disfunção, menores taxas de reintervenção, melhor sobrevida e maior tempo de permeabilidade. Complicações e custos não apresentaram diferença

Portal cavernoma cholangiopathy : case report and systematic review

Trabalho Final do Curso de Mestrado Integrado em Medicina, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Lisboa, 2014

Ascite no contexto de neoplasia invasiva da mama : relato de um caso clínico e revisão da literatura

Trabalho Final do Curso de Mestrado Integrado em Medicina, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Lisboa, 2014

Hidatidose hepática complicada : revisão da literatura : a propósito de um caso clínico

Trabalho Final do Curso de Mestrado Integrado em Medicina, Faculdade de Medicina, Universidade de Lisboa, 2014

Ultrasonography of gallbladder abnormalities due to schistosomiasis

After malaria, schistosomiasis remains the most important tropical parasitic disease in large parts of the world. Schistosomiasis has recently re-emerged in Southern Europe. Intestinal schistosomiasis is caused by most Schistosoma (S.) spp. pathogenic to humans and leads to chronic inflammation and fibrosis of the colon as well as to liver fibrosis. Gallbladder abnormalities usually occur in patients with advanced hepatic portal fibrosis due to Schistosoma mansoni infection. Occasionally, gallbladder abnormalities have been seen also in children and occurring without associated overt liver abnormalities.The specific S. mansoni-induced gallbladder abnormalities detectable by ultrasound include typical hyperechogenic wall thickening with external gallbladder wall protuberances. The luminal wall surface is smooth. The condition is usually clinically silent although some cases of symptomatic cholecystitis have been described. The ultrasonographic Murphy response is negative. Gallbladder contractility is impaired but sludge and calculi occur rarely. Contrary to other trematodes such as liver flukes, S. mansoni does not obstruct the biliary tract. Advanced gallbladder fibrosis is unlikely to reverse after therapy.

Practical remarks upon indigestion : particularly as connected with bilious and nervous affections of the head ... /

Mode of access: Internet.

Toward better outcomes with tacrolimus therapy: Population pharmacokinetics and individualized dosage prediction in adult liver transplantation

Patient outcomes in transplantation would improve if dosing of immunosuppressive agents was individualized. The aim of this study is to develop a population pharmacokinetic model of tacrolimus in adult liver transplant recipients and test this model in individualizing therapy. Population analysis was performed on data from 68 patients. Estimates were sought for apparent clearance (CL/F) and apparent volume of distribution (V/F) using the nonlinear mixed effects model program (NONMEM). Factors screened for influence on these parameters were weight, age, sex, transplant type, biliary reconstructive procedure, postoperative day, days of therapy, liver function test results, creatinine clearance, hematocrit, corticosteroid dose, and interacting drugs. The predictive performance of the developed model was evaluated through Bayesian forecasting in an independent cohort of 36 patients. No linear correlation existed between tacrolimus dosage and trough concentration (r(2) = 0.005). Mean individual Bayesian estimates for CL/F and V/F were 26.5 8.2 (SD) L/hr and 399 +/- 185 L, respectively. CL/F was greater in patients with normal liver function. V/F increased with patient weight. CL/F decreased with increasing hematocrit. Based on the derived model, a 70-kg patient with an aspartate aminotransferase (AST) level less than 70 U/L would require a tacrolimus dose of 4.7 mg twice daily to achieve a steady-state trough concentration of 10 ng/mL. A 50-kg patient with an AST level greater than 70 U/L would require a dose of 2.6 mg. Marked interindividual variability (43% to 93%) and residual random error (3.3 ng/mL) were observed. Predictions made using the final model were reasonably nonbiased (0.56 ng/mL), but imprecise (4.8 ng/mL). Pharmacokinetic information obtained will assist in tacrolimus dosing; however, further investigation into reasons for the pharmacokinetic variability of tacrolimus is required.

Abolition of valproate-derived choleresis in the Mrp2 transporter-deficient rat

Valproic acid (VPA) is a major therapeutic agent in the treatment of epilepsy and other neurological disorders. It is metabolized in humans and rats primarily along two pathways: direct glucuronidation to yield the acyl glucuronide (VPA-G) and beta-oxidation. We have shown much earlier in the Sprague-Dawley rat that i.v. administration of sodium valproate (NaVPA) caused a marked choleresis ( mean of 3.3 times basal bile flow after doses of 150 mg/kg), ascribed to the passive osmotic flow of bile water following excretion of VPA-G across the canalicular membrane. Active biliary pumping of anionic drug conjugates across the canalicular membrane is now believed to be attributable to transporter proteins, in particular Mrp2, which is deficient in the TR- ( a mutant Wistar) rat. In the present study, normal Wistar and Mrp2-deficient TR- rats were dosed i.v. with NaVPA at 150 mg/kg. In the Wistar rats, there was a peak choleretic effect of about 3.2 times basal bile flow, occurring at about 30 to 45 min postdose ( as seen previously with Sprague-Dawley rats). In TR- rats given the same i.v. dose, there was no evidence of postdose choleresis. The choleresis was correlated with the excretion of VPA-G into bile. In Wistar rats, 62.8 +/- 7.7% of the NaVPA dose was excreted in bile as VPA-G, whereas in TR- rats, only 2.0 +/- 0.6% of the same dose was excreted as VPA-G in bile ( with partial compensatory excretion of VPA-G in urine). This study underlines the functional ( bile flow) consequences of biliary transport of xenobiotic conjugated metabolites.

Endogenous ursodeoxycholic acid and cholic acid in liver disease due to cystic fibrosis

Focal biliary cirrhosis causes significant morbidity and mortality in cystic fibrosis (CF). Although the mechanisms of pathogenesis remain unclear, bile acids have been proposed as potential mediators of liver injury. This study examined bile acid composition in CF and assessed altered bile acid profiles to determine if they are associated with incidence and progression of liver injury in CF-associated liver disease (CFLD). Bile acid composition was determined by gas-liquid chromatography/mass spectrometry in bile, urine, and serum samples from 30 children with CFLD, 15 children with CF but without liver disease (CFnoLD)), and 43 controls. Liver biopsies from 29 CFLD subjects were assessed histologically by grading for fibrosis stage, inflammation, and disruption of the limiting plate. A significantly greater proportion of endogenous biliary ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) was demonstrated in CFnoLD subjects vs. both CFLD subjects and controls (2.4- and 2.2-fold, respectively; ANOVA, P = .04), and a 3-4 fold elevation in endogenous serum UDCA concentration was observed in both CFLD subjects and CFnoLD subjects vs. controls (ANOVA, P < .05). In CFLD, there were significant correlations between serum cholic acid and hepatic fibrosis, inflammation, and limiting plate disruption as well as the ratio of serum cholic acid/chenodeoxycholic acid to hepatic fibrosis, inflammation, and limiting plate disruption. In conclusion, elevated endogenous UDCA in CFnoLD suggests a possible protective role against liver injury in these patients. The correlation between both cholic acid and cholic acid/chenodeoxycholic acid levels with histological liver injury and fibrosis progression suggests a potential monitoring role for these bile acids in CFLD.