Forma????o de carreiras para a gest??o p??blica contempor??nea: o caso dos especialistas em pol??ticas p??blicas e gest??o governamental

O artigo analisa o curso de forma????o inicial para a carreira de Especialista em Pol??ticas P??blicas e Gest??o Governamental (EPPGG), recentemente reformulado. Conclui-se que as mudan??as realizadas no curso, tendo em vista os problemas enfrentados em edi????es anteriores, os desafios contempor??neos da administra????o p??blica, a crescente complexidade dos problemas e as demandas da sociedade, proporcionaram respostas bastante adequadas. No entanto, persistem in??meros desafios, dentre os quais se destacam o aprimoramento do ensino de aplica????o e novas tecnologias. Ao longo das nove edi????es do curso, percebe-se que os principais objetivos do projeto inicial da carreira permaneceram, mesmo com todas as descontinuidades administrativas. Preservaram-se o perfil generalista e as policompet??ncias na forma????o do EPPGG, a fim de permitir ao profissional uma vis??o abrangente e integrada dos complexos problemas da administra????o p??blica e desenvolver a capacidade de analisar, decidir e buscar os melhores resultados em prol do cidad??o, conduzindo as rela????es e as atividades profissionais de acordo com os princ??pios da ??tica p??blica.

Context-aware emotion-based model for group decision making

Involving groups in important management processes such as decision making has several advantages. By discussing and combining ideas, counter ideas, critical opinions, identified constraints, and alternatives, a group of individuals can test potentially better solutions, sometimes in the form of new products, services, and plans. In the past few decades, operations research, AI, and computer science have had tremendous success creating software systems that can achieve optimal solutions, even for complex problems. The only drawback is that people don’t always agree with these solutions. Sometimes this dissatisfaction is due to an incorrect parameterization of the problem. Nevertheless, the reasons people don’t like a solution might not be quantifiable, because those reasons are often based on aspects such as emotion, mood, and personality. At the same time, monolithic individual decisionsupport systems centered on optimizing solutions are being replaced by collaborative systems and group decision-support systems (GDSSs) that focus more on establishing connections between people in organizations. These systems follow a kind of social paradigm. Combining both optimization- and socialcentered approaches is a topic of current research. However, even if such a hybrid approach can be developed, it will still miss an essential point: the emotional nature of group participants in decision-making tasks. We’ve developed a context-aware emotion based model to design intelligent agents for group decision-making processes. To evaluate this model, we’ve incorporated it in an agent-based simulator called ABS4GD (Agent-Based Simulation for Group Decision), which we developed. This multiagent simulator considers emotion- and argument based factors while supporting group decision-making processes. Experiments show that agents endowed with emotional awareness achieve agreements more quickly than those without such awareness. Hence, participant agents that integrate emotional factors in their judgments can be more successful because, in exchanging arguments with other agents, they consider the emotional nature of group decision making.

Perspectives and progress of ecology and conservation science in the Azores: the possible contribution of Artificial Intelligence

EPIA 2013 - XVI Portuguese Conference on Artificial Intelligence Angra do Heroísmo, Azores, Portugal, 9 – 12 September.

Balanceamento de linhas de produção usando algoritmos genéticos

Aquando da definição de um layout por fluxo de produto, ou linha de produção, é necessário proceder-se à melhor selecção de combinações de tarefas a serem executadas em cada estação / posto de trabalho para que o trabalho seja executado numa sequência exequível e sejam necessárias quantidades de tempo aproximadamente iguais em cada estação / posto de trabalho. Este processo é chamado de balanceamento da linha de produção. Verifica-se que as estações de trabalho e equipamentos podem ser combinados de muitas maneiras diferentes; daí que a necessidade de efectuar o balanceamento das linhas de produção implique a distribuição de actividades sequenciais por postos de trabalho de modo a permitir uma elevada utilização de trabalho e de equipamentos e a minimizar o tempo de vazio. Os problemas de balanceamento de linhas são tipicamente problemas complexos de tratar, devido ao elevado número de combinações possíveis. Entre os métodos utilizados para resolver estes problemas encontram-se métodos de tentativa e erro, métodos heurísticos, métodos computacionais de avaliação de diferentes opções até se encontrar uma boa solução e métodos de optimização. O objectivo deste trabalho passou pelo desenvolvimento de uma ferramenta computacional para efectuar o balanceamento de linhas de produção recorrendo a algoritmos genéticos. Foi desenvolvida uma aplicação que implementa dois algoritmos genéticos, um primeiro que obtém soluções para o problema e um segundo que optimiza essas soluções, associada a uma interface gráfica em C# que permite a inserção do problema e a visualização de resultados. Obtiveram-se resultados exequíveis demonstrando vantagens em relação aos métodos heurísticos, pois é possível obter-se mais do que uma solução. Além disso, para problemas complexos torna-se mais prático o uso da aplicação desenvolvida. No entanto, esta aplicação permite no máximo seis precedências por cada operação e resultados com o máximo de nove estações de trabalho.

A transparência fiscal

Mestrado em Fiscalidade

Híper-heurísticas com aprendizagem

A otimização nos sistemas de suporte à decisão atuais assume um carácter fortemente interdisciplinar relacionando-se com a necessidade de integração de diferentes técnicas e paradigmas na resolução de problemas reais complexos, sendo que a computação de soluções ótimas em muitos destes problemas é intratável. Os métodos de pesquisa heurística são conhecidos por permitir obter bons resultados num intervalo temporal aceitável. Muitas vezes, necessitam que a parametrização seja ajustada de forma a permitir obter bons resultados. Neste sentido, as estratégias de aprendizagem podem incrementar o desempenho de um sistema, dotando-o com a capacidade de aprendizagem, por exemplo, qual a técnica de otimização mais adequada para a resolução de uma classe particular de problemas, ou qual a parametrização mais adequada de um dado algoritmo num determinado cenário. Alguns dos métodos de otimização mais usados para a resolução de problemas do mundo real resultaram da adaptação de ideias de várias áreas de investigação, principalmente com inspiração na natureza - Meta-heurísticas. O processo de seleção de uma Meta-heurística para a resolução de um dado problema é em si um problema de otimização. As Híper-heurísticas surgem neste contexto como metodologias eficientes para selecionar ou gerar heurísticas (ou Meta-heurísticas) na resolução de problemas de otimização NP-difícil. Nesta dissertação pretende-se dar uma contribuição para o problema de seleção de Metaheurísticas respetiva parametrização. Neste sentido é descrita a especificação de uma Híperheurística para a seleção de técnicas baseadas na natureza, na resolução do problema de escalonamento de tarefas em sistemas de fabrico, com base em experiência anterior. O módulo de Híper-heurística desenvolvido utiliza um algoritmo de aprendizagem por reforço (QLearning), que permite dotar o sistema da capacidade de seleção automática da Metaheurística a usar no processo de otimização, assim como a respetiva parametrização. Finalmente, procede-se à realização de testes computacionais para avaliar a influência da Híper- Heurística no desempenho do sistema de escalonamento AutoDynAgents. Como conclusão genérica, é possível afirmar que, dos resultados obtidos é possível concluir existir vantagem significativa no desempenho do sistema quando introduzida a Híper-heurística baseada em QLearning.

Hybrid systems biology: application to Escherichia coli

Dissertation presented to obtain a Master degree in Biotechnology

Análise do Desempenho de Técnicas de Otimização no Problema de Escalonamento

A optimização nas aplicações modernas assume um carácter fortemente interdisciplinar, relacionando-se com a necessidade de integração de diferentes técnicas e paradigmas na resolução de problemas reais complexos. O problema do escalonamento é recorrente no planeamento da produção. Sempre que uma ordem de fabrico é lançada, é necessário determinar que recursos serão utilizados e em que sequência as atividades serão executadas, para otimizar uma dada medida de desempenho. Embora ainda existam empresas a abordar o problema do escalonamento através de simples heurísticas, a proposta de sistemas de escalonamento tem-se evidenciado na literatura. Pretende-se nesta dissertação, a realização da análise de desempenho de Técnicas de Optimização, nomeadamente as meta-heurísticas, na resolução de problemas de optimização complexos – escalonamento de tarefas, particularmente no problema de minimização dos atrasos ponderados, 1||ΣwjTj. Assim sendo, foi desenvolvido um protótipo que serviu de suporte ao estudo computacional, com vista à avaliação do desempenho do Simulated Annealing (SA) e o Discrete Artificial Bee Colony (DABC). A resolução eficiente de um problema requer, em geral, a aplicação de diferentes métodos, e a afinação dos respetivos parâmetros. A afinação dos parâmetros pode permitir uma maior flexibilidade e robustez mas requer uma inicialização cuidadosa. Os parâmetros podem ter uma grande influência na eficiência e eficácia da pesquisa. A sua definição deve resultar de um cuidadoso esforço experimental no sentido da respectiva especificação. Foi usado, no âmbito deste trabalho de mestrado, para suportar a fase de parametrização das meta-heurísticas em análise, o planeamento de experiências de Taguchi. Da análise dos resultados, foi possível concluir que existem vantagem estatisticamente significativa no desempenho do DABC, mas quando analisada a eficiência é possível concluir que há vantagem do SA, que necessita de menos tempo computacional.

A crop-land allocation model: A case study in La Rioja, Spain

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Adaptation as a part of system resilience. insights from fish producers organizations in Portugal

Complex problems of globalized society challenge its adaptive capacity. However, it is precisely the nature of these human induced problems that provide enough evidence to show that adaptability may not be on a resilient path. This thesis explores the ambiguity of the idea of adaptation (and its practice) and illustrates the ways in which adaptability contributes to resilience of social ecological systems. The thesis combines a case study and grounded theory approach and develops an analytical framework to study adaptability in resource users’ organizations: from what it depends on and what the key challenges are for resource management and system resilience. It does so for the specific case of fish producers’ organizations (POs) in Portugal. The findings suggest that while ecological and market context, including the type of crisis, may influence the character of fishers’ adaptation within POs (i.e. anticipatory, maladaptive and reactively adaptive), it does not determine it. Instead, it makes agency even more crucial (i.e. leadership, trust and agent’s perceptions in terms of their impact on fishers’ motivation to learn from each other). In sum, it was found that internal adaptation can improve POs’ contribution to fishery management and resilience, but it is not a panacea and may, in some cases, increase system vulnerability to change. Continuous maladaptation of some Portuguese POs points at a basic institutional problem (fish market regime), which clearly reduces fisheries resilience as it promotes overfishing. However, structural change may not be sufficient to address other barriers to Portuguese fishers’ (PO members) adaptability, such as history (collective memory) and associated problematic self-perceptions. The agency (people involved in structures and practices) also needs to change. What and how institutional change and agency change build on one another (e.g. comparison of fisheries governance in Portugal and other EU countries) is a topic to be explored in further research.

The use of analytical hierarchy process in spatial decision support system for land use management

Geographic information systems give us the possibility to analyze, produce, and edit geographic information. Furthermore, these systems fall short on the analysis and support of complex spatial problems. Therefore, when a spatial problem, like land use management, requires a multi-criteria perspective, multi-criteria decision analysis is placed into spatial decision support systems. The analytic hierarchy process is one of many multi-criteria decision analysis methods that can be used to support these complex problems. Using its capabilities we try to develop a spatial decision support system, to help land use management. Land use management can undertake a broad spectrum of spatial decision problems. The developed decision support system had to accept as input, various formats and types of data, raster or vector format, and the vector could be polygon line or point type. The support system was designed to perform its analysis for the Zambezi river Valley in Mozambique, the study area. The possible solutions for the emerging problems had to cover the entire region. This required the system to process large sets of data, and constantly adjust to new problems’ needs. The developed decision support system, is able to process thousands of alternatives using the analytical hierarchy process, and produce an output suitability map for the problems faced.

A public transport bus assignment problem: parallel metaheuristics assessment

Combinatorial Optimization Problems occur in a wide variety of contexts and generally are NP-hard problems. At a corporate level solving this problems is of great importance since they contribute to the optimization of operational costs. In this thesis we propose to solve the Public Transport Bus Assignment problem considering an heterogeneous fleet and line exchanges, a variant of the Multi-Depot Vehicle Scheduling Problem in which additional constraints are enforced to model a real life scenario. The number of constraints involved and the large number of variables makes impracticable solving to optimality using complete search techniques. Therefore, we explore metaheuristics, that sacrifice optimality to produce solutions in feasible time. More concretely, we focus on the development of algorithms based on a sophisticated metaheuristic, Ant-Colony Optimization (ACO), which is based on a stochastic learning mechanism. For complex problems with a considerable number of constraints, sophisticated metaheuristics may fail to produce quality solutions in a reasonable amount of time. Thus, we developed parallel shared-memory (SM) synchronous ACO algorithms, however, synchronism originates the straggler problem. Therefore, we proposed three SM asynchronous algorithms that break the original algorithm semantics and differ on the degree of concurrency allowed while manipulating the learned information. Our results show that our sequential ACO algorithms produced better solutions than a Restarts metaheuristic, the ACO algorithms were able to learn and better solutions were achieved by increasing the amount of cooperation (number of search agents). Regarding parallel algorithms, our asynchronous ACO algorithms outperformed synchronous ones in terms of speedup and solution quality, achieving speedups of 17.6x. The cooperation scheme imposed by asynchronism also achieved a better learning rate than the original one.

Decision methods applied to solve a safety problem on a waste treatment facility

To solve a health and safety problem on a waste treatment facility, different multicriteria decision methods were used, including the PROV Exponential decision method. Four alternatives and ten attributes were considered. We found a congruent solution, validated by the different methods. The AHP and the PROV Exponential decision method led us to the same options ordering, but the last method reinforced one of the options as being the best performing one, and detached the least performing option. Also, the ELECTRE I method results led to the same ordering which allowed to point the best solution with reasonable confidence. This paper demonstrates the potential of using multicriteria decision methods to support decision making on complex problems such as risk control and accidents prevention.

Analysis, modelling and visualisation of spatiotemporal data for urban studies

The proportion of population living in or around cites is more important than ever. Urban sprawl and car dependence have taken over the pedestrian-friendly compact city. Environmental problems like air pollution, land waste or noise, and health problems are the result of this still continuing process. The urban planners have to find solutions to these complex problems, and at the same time insure the economic performance of the city and its surroundings. At the same time, an increasing quantity of socio-economic and environmental data is acquired. In order to get a better understanding of the processes and phenomena taking place in the complex urban environment, these data should be analysed. Numerous methods for modelling and simulating such a system exist and are still under development and can be exploited by the urban geographers for improving our understanding of the urban metabolism. Modern and innovative visualisation techniques help in communicating the results of such models and simulations. This thesis covers several methods for analysis, modelling, simulation and visualisation of problems related to urban geography. The analysis of high dimensional socio-economic data using artificial neural network techniques, especially self-organising maps, is showed using two examples at different scales. The problem of spatiotemporal modelling and data representation is treated and some possible solutions are shown. The simulation of urban dynamics and more specifically the traffic due to commuting to work is illustrated using multi-agent micro-simulation techniques. A section on visualisation methods presents cartograms for transforming the geographic space into a feature space, and the distance circle map, a centre-based map representation particularly useful for urban agglomerations. Some issues on the importance of scale in urban analysis and clustering of urban phenomena are exposed. A new approach on how to define urban areas at different scales is developed, and the link with percolation theory established. Fractal statistics, especially the lacunarity measure, and scale laws are used for characterising urban clusters. In a last section, the population evolution is modelled using a model close to the well-established gravity model. The work covers quite a wide range of methods useful in urban geography. Methods should still be developed further and at the same time find their way into the daily work and decision process of urban planners. La part de personnes vivant dans une région urbaine est plus élevé que jamais et continue à croître. L'étalement urbain et la dépendance automobile ont supplanté la ville compacte adaptée aux piétons. La pollution de l'air, le gaspillage du sol, le bruit, et des problèmes de santé pour les habitants en sont la conséquence. Les urbanistes doivent trouver, ensemble avec toute la société, des solutions à ces problèmes complexes. En même temps, il faut assurer la performance économique de la ville et de sa région. Actuellement, une quantité grandissante de données socio-économiques et environnementales est récoltée. Pour mieux comprendre les processus et phénomènes du système complexe "ville", ces données doivent être traitées et analysées. Des nombreuses méthodes pour modéliser et simuler un tel système existent et sont continuellement en développement. Elles peuvent être exploitées par le géographe urbain pour améliorer sa connaissance du métabolisme urbain. Des techniques modernes et innovatrices de visualisation aident dans la communication des résultats de tels modèles et simulations. Cette thèse décrit plusieurs méthodes permettant d'analyser, de modéliser, de simuler et de visualiser des phénomènes urbains. L'analyse de données socio-économiques à très haute dimension à l'aide de réseaux de neurones artificiels, notamment des cartes auto-organisatrices, est montré à travers deux exemples aux échelles différentes. Le problème de modélisation spatio-temporelle et de représentation des données est discuté et quelques ébauches de solutions esquissées. La simulation de la dynamique urbaine, et plus spécifiquement du trafic automobile engendré par les pendulaires est illustrée à l'aide d'une simulation multi-agents. Une section sur les méthodes de visualisation montre des cartes en anamorphoses permettant de transformer l'espace géographique en espace fonctionnel. Un autre type de carte, les cartes circulaires, est présenté. Ce type de carte est particulièrement utile pour les agglomérations urbaines. Quelques questions liées à l'importance de l'échelle dans l'analyse urbaine sont également discutées. Une nouvelle approche pour définir des clusters urbains à des échelles différentes est développée, et le lien avec la théorie de la percolation est établi. Des statistiques fractales, notamment la lacunarité, sont utilisées pour caractériser ces clusters urbains. L'évolution de la population est modélisée à l'aide d'un modèle proche du modèle gravitaire bien connu. Le travail couvre une large panoplie de méthodes utiles en géographie urbaine. Toutefois, il est toujours nécessaire de développer plus loin ces méthodes et en même temps, elles doivent trouver leur chemin dans la vie quotidienne des urbanistes et planificateurs.

Subclass problem-dependent design for error-correcting output codes

A common way to model multiclass classification problems is by means of Error-Correcting Output Codes (ECOCs). Given a multiclass problem, the ECOC technique designs a code word for each class, where each position of the code identifies the membership of the class for a given binary problem. A classification decision is obtained by assigning the label of the class with the closest code. One of the main requirements of the ECOC design is that the base classifier is capable of splitting each subgroup of classes from each binary problem. However, we cannot guarantee that a linear classifier model convex regions. Furthermore, nonlinear classifiers also fail to manage some type of surfaces. In this paper, we present a novel strategy to model multiclass classification problems using subclass information in the ECOC framework. Complex problems are solved by splitting the original set of classes into subclasses and embedding the binary problems in a problem-dependent ECOC design. Experimental results show that the proposed splitting procedure yields a better performance when the class overlap or the distribution of the training objects conceal the decision boundaries for the base classifier. The results are even more significant when one has a sufficiently large training size.