Multiplicador fiscal nos países desenvolvidos e em desenvolvimento

A eficácia do estímulo fiscal ou uma política fiscal expansionista, tem sido alvo de análise e debate durante as últimas décadas, sendo estudada através de diferentes metodologias, períodos históricos e grupos de países. O trabalho tem como objetivo estudar o impacto da política fiscal em outras variáveis macroeconômicas relevantes, dentre elas: carga tributária, inflação, desemprego, poupança e taxa de investimento, nos últimos 20 anos, para países desenvolvidos e em desenvolvimento, e em especial o caso Brasileiro nos últimos 60 anos. Alguns trabalhos importantes, evidenciam que os choques fiscais dependem basicamente de algumas características principais dos países, como nível de desenvolvimento, regime cambial, abertura da economia e dívida pública, entre outras. Além disso, a resposta ao estímulo irá depender do estágio do ciclo econômico que determinada economia se encontra, recessão ou expansão. Os resultados encontrados com base no modelo autoregressivo estrutural (SVAR), através das função impulso resposta, demonstra que para ambos os grupos de países, desenvolvidos e em desenvolvimento, e também para o Brasil, à resposta do produto a um estímulo fiscal é negativo, ou seja, há uma queda do produto em função do estímulo fiscal.

Ensaios sobre política monetária

Esta tese é composta de três ensaios a respeito de política monetária. O primeiro ensaio aborda o canal em que as crises financeiras aumentam a ineficiência alocativa nos países emergentes. O segundo ensaio trata do grau de não-neutralidade da moeda no Brasil de acordo com o modelo de Golosov e Lucas (2007). O terceiro ensaio estima a inclinação da hazard function da precifi cação para o Brasil pela metodologia de Finite Mixture Model.

The BRICS: some historical experiences, growth challenges and opportunities

The acronym BRICS was a fad among the media and global investors. Now, the acronym sounds passé. However, the group of countries remains important, from both political and economic reasons. They have a large aggregate size, 28% of the global GDP and 42% of the world’s population, high growth potential due to the current significant misallocation of resources and relatively low stock of human capital, structural transformation is in progress and one of them, China, is taking steps to become a global power and a challenger to the US dominance. This paper provides a brief overview of the five economies, Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. We focus on some aspects of their history, the Chinese initiatives in international finance and geopolitical strategic moves, their growth experience and structural transformation over the last 35 years, trade and investment integration into the global economy and among themselves, the growth challenges faced by their economies and the potential gains to the Brazilian economy from a stronger integration with the other BRICS. In association with its efforts to be a global power, China aims to become a major player in global finance and to achieve the status of global currency for the renminbi, which would be the first currency of an emerging economy to attain such position. Despite the similarities, the BRICS encompass very diverse economies. In the recent decades, China and India showed stellar growth rates. On the other hand, Brazil, Russia and South Africa have expanded just in line with global output growth with the Russian economy exhibiting high volatility. China is by far the largest economy, and South Africa the smallest, the only BRICS economy with a GDP lower than US$ 1 trillion. Russia abandoned communism almost 25 years ago, but reversed many of the privatizations of 90’s. China is still ruled by communism, but has a vibrant private sector and recently has officially declared market forces to play a dominant role in its economy. Brazil, Russia and South Africa are global natural resources powerhouses and commodity exporters while China and India are large commodity importers. Brazil is relatively closed to international trade of goods and services, in marked contrast to the other four economies. Brazil, India and South Africa are dependent on external capital flows whereas China and Russia are capital exporters. India and South Africa have younger populations and a large portion living below the poverty line. Despite its extraordinary growth experience that lifted many millions from poverty, China still has 28% of its population classified as poor. Russia and China have much older populations and one of their challenges is to deal with the effects of a declining labor force in the near future. India, China and South Africa face a long way to urbanization, while Brazil and Russia are already urbanized countries. China is an industrial economy but its primary sector still absorbs a large pool of workers. India is not, but the primary sector employs also a large share of the labor force. China’s aggregate demand structure is biased towards investment that has been driving its expansion. Brazil and South Africa have an aggregate demand structure similar to the developed economies, with private consumption accounting for approximately 70%. The same similarity applies to the supply side, as in both economies the share of services nears 70%. The development problem is a productivity problem, so microeconomic reforms are badly needed to foster long-term growth of the BRICS economies since they have lost steam due a variety of factors, but fundamentally due to slower total factor productivity growth. China and India are implementing ambitious reform programs, while Brazil is dealing with macroeconomic disequilibria. Russia and South Africa remain mute about structural reforms. There are some potential benefits to Brazil to be extracted from a greater economic integration with the BRICS, particularly in natural resources intensive industries and services. Necessary conditions to the materialization of those gains are the removal of the several sources of resource misallocation and strong investment in human capital.

A relação entre governos e multinacionais locais nos países emergentes

Pesquisa em foco: The role of home country political resources for brazilian multinational companies - 2011. Pesquisador: Professor Dr. Rodrigo Bandeira de Mello

Mhealth entrepreneurship: an exploratory research for a managerial model for mhealth start ups in low and middle income countries

Since some years, mobile technologies in healthcare (mHealth) stand for the transformational force to improve health issues in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Although several studies have identified the prevailing issue of inconsistent evidence and new evaluation frameworks have been proposed, few have explored the role of entrepreneurship to create disruptive change in a traditionally conservative sector. I argue that improving the effectiveness of mHealth entrepreneurs might increase the adoption of mHealth solutions. Thus, this study aims at proposing a managerial model for the analysis of mHealth solutions from the entrepreneurial perspective in the context of LMICs. I identified the Khoja–Durrani–Scott (KDS) framework as theoretical basis for the managerial model, due to its explicit focus on the context of LMICs. In the subsequent exploratory research I, first, used semi-structured interviews with five specialists in mHealth, local healthcare systems and investment to identify necessary adaptations to the model. The findings of the interviews proposed that especially the economic theme had to be clarified and an additional entrepreneurial theme was necessary. Additionally, an evaluation questionnaire was proposed. In the second phase, I applied the questionnaire to five start-ups, operating in Brazil and Tanzania, and conducted semi-structured interviews with the entrepreneurs to gain practical insights for the theoretical development. Three of five entrepreneurs perceived that the results correlated with the entrepreneurs' expectations of the strengths and weaknesses of the start-ups. Main shortcomings of the model related to the ambiguity of some questions. In addition to the findings for the model, the results of the scores were analyzed. The analysis suggested that across the participating mHealth start-ups the ‘behavioral and socio-technical’ outcomes were the strongest and the ‘policy’ outcomes were the weakest themes. The managerial model integrates several perspectives, structured around the entrepreneur. In order to validate the model, future research may link the development of a start-up with the evolution of the scores in longitudinal case studies or large-scale tests.

Entry mode choice and market selection of born globals in developing countries: a multiple-case study of the ecuadorian software sector

O fenômeno "Born global" refere-se a empresas que consideram o mercado global como seu contexto natural e que iniciam seu processo de internacionalização muito cedo após sua criação. As teorias tradicionais como o modelo de Uppsala não conseguem explicar este processo. Portanto, outras teorias têm surgido, como a perspectiva de redes. Existem alguns estudos relacionados a esta área, principalmente realizados em países desenvolvidos com pequenos mercados e economias abertas. No entanto, poucos estudos têm sido feitos em economias em desenvolvimento. Além disso, o número de pesquisas quanto à escolha do modo de entrada e seleção de mercados das empresas “born global” é bastante limitado. Consequentemente, este estudo pretende descrever os principais fatores que influenciam a escolha do modo de entrada e seleção de mercados das empresas, de economias em desenvolvimento, nascidas globais. O foco da pesquisa é a indústria de software e um estudo de casos múltiplo foi realizado com três empresas no Equador. A metodologia incluiu entrevistas com fundadores, bem como a coleta de dados secundários. Com base na evidência empírica, verificou-se que os principais fatores que influenciam a escolha do modo de entrada são as restrições financeiras, as receitas esperadas, a velocidade de internacionalização, mercados nicho e a experiência empresarial anterior dos fundadores. Por outro lado, a seleção de mercado é influenciada por semelhanças de língua e cultura, mercados nicho e relações em rede.

Influência da alimentação sobre os níveis de retinol do leite caprino

The caprine milk is a product of high biological value and high digestibility. Due to these characteristics it is quite used by newly born children that are not breastfed or that are intolerant to the bovine milk. The vitamin deficiency is a public health problem in underdeveloped areas as the Northeast of Brazil and where areas the caprine ones adapt very well. The present study was led to analyze the influence of the feeding in the vitamin levels in the caprine milk. The animals used were the races Saanen and Murciana, divided in three groups. The first group with 38 animals of race Saanen and the second with 30 animals of race Murciana were, fed with concentrated and voluminous. A third group with 20 animals of the race Saanen was fed exclusively with voluminous. The four group was added with 10. 000 UI of retinol palmitato, administered directly, like capsule, in the mouth of animal. Parallel it was verified the level of retinol of milk in the beginning and final of the sucked, in the goats of the second group (race Murciana n =30). The retinol of caprine milk was determined through the system of liquid cromatografia of high efficiency (HPLC). The retinol levels in the studied groups were respectively: first (38. 5 ± 12. 7 μg/100ml), second (40. 5 ± 9. 7 μg/100ml); third, with 20 animals of race Saanen fed exclusively with voluminous (23. 1 ± 6. 7 μg/100ml) and in the group a, suplementation with 10. 000 UI of retinol palmitato (43,7 ± 18,8 μg/100ml) before, and (61,9 ± 26,9 μg/100ml) after the supplementation. It was not found significant difference between the averages from animals of the first and second group, that were fed with the same concentrate diet and voluminous, showing that the retinol levels in the milk of these two races are equivalent. Already in the animals of the first and third group that they were fed with different diets, in those which diet was just voluminous, a drastic reduction was verified in the retinol levels. In relation to the retinol of the milk in different moments from the same sucked, it was observed in the beginning of the breast-feeding (22. 6 ± 9. 8 μg/100ml) and at the end of the sucked (49. 6 ± 14. 7μg/100ml), being the difference between the averages, statistically significant (p < 0,0001). Already in the animals that were supplemented, a significant increase was observed in the retinol concentration, being obtained a medium response of 41,85%

Influência da alimentação sobre os níveis de retinol no leite caprino

The caprine milk is a product of high biological value and high digestibility. Due to these characteristics it is quite used by newly born children that are not breastfed or that are intolerant to the bovine milk. The vitamin deficiency is a public health problem in underdeveloped areas as the Northeast of Brazil and where areas the caprine ones adapt very well. The present study was led to analyze the influence of the feeding in the vitamin levels in the caprine milk. The animals used were the races Saanen and Murciana, divided in three groups. The first group with 38 animals of race Saanen and the second with 30 animals of race Murciana were, fed with concentrated and voluminous. A third group with 20 animals of the race Saanen was fed exclusively with voluminous. The four group was added with 10. 000 UI of retinol palmitato, administered directly, like capsule, in the mouth of animal. Parallel it was verified the level of retinol of milk in the beginning and final of the sucked, in the goats of the second group (race Murciana n =30). The retinol of caprine milk was determined through the system of liquid cromatografia of high efficiency (HPLC). The retinol levels in the studied groups were respectively: first (38. 5 ± 12. 7 μg/100ml), second (40. 5 ± 9. 7 μg/100ml); third, with 20 animals of race Saanen fed exclusively with voluminous (23. 1 ± 6. 7 μg/100ml) and in the group a, suplementation with 10. 000 UI of retinol palmitato (43,7 ± 18,8 μg/100ml) before, and (61,9 ± 26,9 μg/100ml) after the supplementation. It was not found significant difference between the averages from animals of the first and second group, that were fed with the same concentrate diet and voluminous, showing that the retinol levels in the milk of these two races are equivalent. Already in the animals of the first and third group that they were fed with different diets, in those which diet was just voluminous, a drastic reduction was verified in the retinol levels. In relation to the retinol of the milk in different moments from the same sucked, it was observed in the beginning of the breast-feeding (22. 6 ± 9. 8 μg/100ml) and at the end of the sucked (49. 6 ± 14. 7μg/100ml), being the difference between the averages, statistically significant (p < 0,0001). Already in the animals that were supplemented, a significant increase was observed in the retinol concentration, being obtained a medium response of 41,85%

Herramientas y métodos para la caracterización de la sostenibilidad socio, productivo, ambiental en áreas representativas de la cuenca del río Carcarañá, en el sur de la provincia de Santa Fe

Resumen: El presente trabajo aborda la caracterización socio-ambiental de un tramo de la cuenca del Río Carcarañá que atraviesa el sur de la Provincia de Santa Fe, en Argentina. El sector de interés ha sido especialmente afectado por el desarrollo de la agricultura extensiva que, si bien ha sido un elemento determinante del crecimiento económico y de la expansión tanto de las áreas de uso agropecuario, como del medio urbano y recreacional hacia el rural, ha sido sometido a un uso extensivo que requiere analizar la vulnerabilidad ambiental de la cuenca por pérdida de bienes y servicios ecosistémicos, evaluar el soporte ambiental, el uso de los recursos y la sostenibilidad ambiental. Para lograr este objetivo se propone el empleo de La metodologia multimodal, para generar un marco de evaluaciones tanto sociales como biofísicas y energéticas y además bosquejar modelos empíricos y/o teóricos que permitan interpretar la dinámica de los diferentes contaminantes en la cuenca, así como las preocupaciones de la población con relación a estos temas.

Colaboración como oficial de crédito en las áreas de crédito y certificaciones de UCASUMAN R.L Unión de cooperativas agropecuarias de servicios unidas de Mancotal, Departamento de Jnotega-Informe final

Durante el proceso de pasantías realizadas en por un periodo de seis meses calendario como forma de culminación de estudio en UCASUMAN R. L Unión de Cooperativas Agropecuarias de Crédito y Servicios Unidas de Mancotal me desempeñe como oficial de crédito en las cooperativas, San Francisco, San Isidro, Rubén Darío, Asturias y La Unión los Robles con 200 productores y productoras que trabajan con tecnologías orgánicas y convencionales certificados por Mercado Justo y Ocia Internacional, cuya función es fomentar una estrategia de desarrollo para las organizaciones de productores. El proceso de Pasantías es importante para el pasante ya que el estudiante participa en el desarrollo de actividades propias de la empresa que incrementa su formación académica y de esta manera se tiene la oportunidad de integrarse al campo laboral como parte del desarrollo de sí mismo en dicha empresa demostrando la habilidad de asumir responsabilidades y desarrollar un puesto de trabajo. La metodología utilizada durante el proceso de pasantías fue la entrevista a los productores mediante visitas directas a la propiedad gestionando cobros realizadas por la oficial de crédito con el objetivo de incentivar al productor a realizar entregas de café al centro de acopio de su cooperativa de base. La función del área de crédito es la colocación de crédito a las cooperativas de base y su recuperación, visitas técnicas y apoyo en campo al área de certificaciones en sus actividades. Durante el periodo de trabajo las funciones del pasante fueron el seguimiento de cartera a través de cartas de cobro para recuperación de cosecha, levantamiento de solicitudes de crédito, apoyo a las cooperativas para las visitas de las certificadoras, levantamientos de fichas diagnosticas para gestión de proyectos parte de la ejecución del plan de trabajo. Las actividades realizadas durante el proceso de proceso de pasantía son: levantamiento de 200 fichas diagnósticas, elaboración y levantamiento de 150 solicitudes de crédito para fines crediticios, 180 visitas de campo para gestión de cobro, llenado de 100 cuadernos de registro y 100 charlas brindadas sobre normas orgánicas para la certificación. El trabajo en equipo realizado por el pasante con sus compañeros de trabajo y jefa inmediata , comunicación con los socios, elaboración o ejecución de planes de trabajo, las diferentes situaciones presentadas en la etapa de campo fueron parte de las lecciones aprendidas durante mi desempeño ya que pude conocer y comprender el modo de producción de estos productores apoyando en la prevención de la contaminación de las fuentes de agua con desechos sólidos, fomentar la reforestación como una opción amigable con el medio ambiente y la implementación de obras de conservación de suelo para mejorar su producción y fertilidad.

As áreas de preservação permanente e a questão urbana

Consultoria Legislativa - Área XI - Meio Ambiente e Direito Ambiental, Organização Territorial, Desenvolvimento Urbano e Regional.

Viabilidade técnica de proposta de emenda à Constituição que submeta a criação de áreas naturais protegidas à aprovação do Congresso Nacional

Consultoria Legislativa - Área XI - Meio Ambiente e Direito Ambiental, Organização Territorial, Desenvolvimento Urbano e Regional.

Área de preservação permanente em áreas urbanas

Consultora Legislativa - Área XI - Meio Ambiente e Direito Ambiental, Organização Territorial, Desenvolvimento Urbano e Regional