Adding Run-Time Monitoring to UML-RT by Modifying the Papyrus-RT Code Generator

In Model-Driven Engineering (MDE), the developer creates a model using a language such as Unified Modeling Language (UML) or UML for Real-Time (UML-RT) and uses tools such as Papyrus or Papyrus-RT that generate code for them based on the model they create. Tracing allows developers to get insights such as which events occur and timing information into their own application as it runs. We try to add monitoring capabilities using Linux Trace Toolkit: next generation (LTTng) to models created in UML-RT using Papyrus-RT. The implementation requires changing the code generator to add tracing statements for the events that the user wants to monitor to the generated code. We also change the makefile to automate the build process and we create an Extensible Markup Language (XML) file that allows developers to view their traces visually using Trace Compass, an Eclipse-based trace viewing tool. Finally, we validate our results using three models we create and trace.

The contribution of community enterprise to British urban regeneration in a period of state retrenchment

This chapter discusses the growth and nature of community enterprise and in particular the sub-set of asset-based community development trusts and reviews their contribution to urban regeneration in Britain. Three models are presented and illustrated with case studies.

El interés de la audiencia por las intervenciones televisivas de Pablo Iglesias: estrategia comunicativa de Podemos

Este artículo analiza la eclosión mediática y política del partido político Podemos durante sus primeros meses de vida tras las elecciones europeas. Comprobaremos si el interés que despierta el partido en sus inicios, en intención de voto, se traslada a las audiencias de televisión con dos hipótesis que muestran la estrategia comunicativa de Podemos y su repercusión: la H1 afirma que los programas en los que participa Pablo Iglesias obtienen mayor audiencia de la habitual y la H2 plantea que la apuesta del líder de Podemos por el medio televisivo es muy superior y con mejores resultados con respecto a los partidos clásicos. Los resultados demuestran que los programas en los que participa (N=14) crecen un 62% y baten récord de audiencia. Concluimos que la estrategia comunicativa de Podemos da importancia a la televisión, además de continuar con la estrategia en redes aprendida en el 15M.

Investigative journalism in Mexico: between ideals and realities. The case of Morelia

The aim of this paper is to analyse the state of the investigative journalism in Mexico, especially the one that is practiced at the local level in the provinces. That is, this research is based upon a case study conducted in Morelia, the capital city of the state of Michoacán. The empirical evidence will show that there is an evident divergence regarding the practice of the investigative journalism: on the one hand, journalists are aware of what this concept involves and they consider that they practice it on a regular basis; but, on the other, the content analysis prove otherwise. In other words, the account of what is actually printed significantly differs from the news workers’ perceptions, because the former shows a poorly developed journalistic investigation practice.

The impact of political and economic crisis on the polarization of the Spanish media

In this paper the characteristics of the cyclical political polarization of the Spanish media system are defined. From this study, a prospective analysis raises doubts about this scenario remains unchanged because of the political and economic crisis. It seeks to define the role played by political and media actors in polarization focusing on the two legislatures where the tension reached higher levels (1993-1996 and 2004-2008) and compares it with the developments faced by them in the current economical and political context of crisis. To achieve these aims, it has been performed an analysis of media content (since 1993) and looked through primary sociological sources and the scientific literature about polarization. This is an exploratory, critical and descriptive case analysis.

“Yo acojo, tú agrupas, ella compensa”: Análisis comparado de la política de integración del alumnado inmigrante en tres Comunidades Autónomas

Con la Ley Orgánica de Mejora de la Calidad Educativa vuelve a emerger uno de los temas educativos más oportunos: la toma de decisiones en torno a las políticas educativas de atención al alumnado inmigrante. El momento supone una excelente excusa para, desde el prisma que nos ofrece la Educación Comparada, revisar cómo el colectivo de infancia inmigrante ha sido educado desde tres modelos de gestión educativa representados por tres Comunidades Autónomas: Comunidad Valenciana, Cataluña y Andalucía. El artículo se sitúa en el análisis de las medidas que se han articulado en los tres casos como respuesta a su recepción, acogida y escolarización, utilizando una metodología cualitativa basada en el método comparado: en el estudio descriptivo (fase analítica), se realiza una exploración explicativa de las medidas articuladas en torno a las políticas de gestión del alumnado inmigrante, mediante el análisis de contenido de fuentes primarias y secundarias. Con respecto a los resultados, en la fase sintética, tras haber yuxtapuesto los principales criterios que asemejan y también dirimen a los tres modelos, se reconoce cómo las tres Comunidades Autónomas presentan particularidades, fruto de trayectos históricos propios, coyunturas económicas y políticas e intenciones educativas y sociales, influidas por contextos en los que algunos factores han tenido un peso específico importante. Además del protagonismo institucional, se detectan diferencias notables en las medidas concretas adoptadas, pero también coincidencias, como las políticas que apoyan económicamente la lengua de la comunidad autónoma. Finalmente, en la fase de conclusiones comparadas, se plantean una serie de elementos de los que se deberían dotar las Comunidades Autónomas y que se hallan presentes en algunos modelos analizados. La atención a la lengua que porta el alumnado o el cuidado por incluir una educación intercultural en los planes de los centros educativos son dos de las acciones más significativas.

Safety Assessment Tool for Construction Zone Work Phasing Plans, 2016

The Highway Safety Manual (HSM) is the compilation of national safety research that provides quantitative methods for analyzing highway safety. The HSM presents crash modification functions related to freeway work zone characteristics such as work zone duration and length. These crash modification functions were based on freeway work zones with high traffic volumes in California. When the HSM-referenced model was calibrated for Missouri, the value was 3.78, which is not ideal since it is significantly larger than 1. Therefore, new models were developed in this study using Missouri data to capture geographical, driver behavior, and other factors in the Midwest. Also, new models for expressway and rural two-lane work zones that barely were studied in the literature were developed. A large sample of 20,837 freeway, 8,993 expressway, and 64,476 rural two-lane work zones in Missouri was analyzed to derive 15 work zone crash prediction models. The most appropriate samples of 1,546 freeway, 1,189 expressway, and 6,095 rural two-lane work zones longer than 0.1 mile and with a duration of greater than 10 days were used to make eight, four, and three models, respectively. A challenging question for practitioners is always how to use crash prediction models to make the best estimation of work zone crash count. To solve this problem, a user-friendly software tool was developed in a spreadsheet format to predict work zone crashes based on work zone characteristics. This software selects the best model, estimates the work zone crashes by severity, and converts them to monetary values using standard crash estimates. This study also included a survey of departments of transportation (DOTs), Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) representatives, and contractors to assess the current state of the practice regarding work zone safety. The survey results indicate that many agencies look at work zone safety informally using engineering judgment. Respondents indicated that they would like a tool that could help them to balance work zone safety across projects by looking at crashes and user costs.

Previsão do índice bovespa por meio de redes neurais artificiais: uma análise comparada aos métodos tradicionais de séries de tempo

Forecast is the basis for making strategic, tactical and operational business decisions. In financial economics, several techniques have been used to predict the behavior of assets over the past decades.Thus, there are several methods to assist in the task of time series forecasting, however, conventional modeling techniques such as statistical models and those based on theoretical mathematical models have produced unsatisfactory predictions, increasing the number of studies in more advanced methods of prediction. Among these, the Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) are a relatively new and promising method for predicting business that shows a technique that has caused much interest in the financial environment and has been used successfully in a wide variety of financial modeling systems applications, in many cases proving its superiority over the statistical models ARIMA-GARCH. In this context, this study aimed to examine whether the ANNs are a more appropriate method for predicting the behavior of Indices in Capital Markets than the traditional methods of time series analysis. For this purpose we developed an quantitative study, from financial economic indices, and developed two models of RNA-type feedfoward supervised learning, whose structures consisted of 20 data in the input layer, 90 neurons in one hidden layer and one given as the output layer (Ibovespa). These models used backpropagation, an input activation function based on the tangent sigmoid and a linear output function. Since the aim of analyzing the adherence of the Method of Artificial Neural Networks to carry out predictions of the Ibovespa, we chose to perform this analysis by comparing results between this and Time Series Predictive Model GARCH, developing a GARCH model (1.1).Once applied both methods (ANN and GARCH) we conducted the results' analysis by comparing the results of the forecast with the historical data and by studying the forecast errors by the MSE, RMSE, MAE, Standard Deviation, the Theil's U and forecasting encompassing tests. It was found that the models developed by means of ANNs had lower MSE, RMSE and MAE than the GARCH (1,1) model and Theil U test indicated that the three models have smaller errors than those of a naïve forecast. Although the ANN based on returns have lower precision indicator values than those of ANN based on prices, the forecast encompassing test rejected the hypothesis that this model is better than that, indicating that the ANN models have a similar level of accuracy . It was concluded that for the data series studied the ANN models show a more appropriate Ibovespa forecasting than the traditional models of time series, represented by the GARCH model

Understanding information use in multiattribute decision making

An inference task in one in which some known set of information is used to produce an estimate about an unknown quantity. Existing theories of how humans make inferences include specialized heuristics that allow people to make these inferences in familiar environments quickly and without unnecessarily complex computation. Specialized heuristic processing may be unnecessary, however; other research suggests that the same patterns in judgment can be explained by existing patterns in encoding and retrieving memories. This dissertation compares and attempts to reconcile three alternate explanations of human inference. After justifying three hierarchical Bayesian version of existing inference models, the three models are com- pared on simulated, observed, and experimental data. The results suggest that the three models capture different patterns in human behavior but, based on posterior prediction using laboratory data, potentially ignore important determinants of the decision process.

Contratos futuros sobre o petróleo: um estudo sobre a assimetria na volatilidade

Mestrado em Contabilidade e Análise Financeira

Studia europejskie jako element internacjonalizacji szkolnictwa wyzszego w Unii Europejskiej

The aim of this article is to investigate how the European university education sector is being internationalized. The authors test „European Studies” programs, assuming that due to their peculiar character they are the forerunners of change, which results, among other things, from Europeanization processes. The field of „Teaching Europe” is mapped in the European Union and then a more detailed analysis is conducted in Poland and Germany. These allow the authors to formulate three models describing how universities in Europe are answering the challenges created by the integration process. The Polish and German cases further illustrate the dynamics of „European Studies” development, as well as differences in general aims, disciplinary construction as well as level of internationalization. Various geographical patterns of enhanced collaboration are revealed by the research when checking Double Degree programs.

Medizinischer und gesundheitsökonomischer Nutzen der Untersuchung auf Helicobacter pylori-Besiedlung mittels 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest in der Primärdiagnostik im Vergleich zu invasiven und nichtinvasiven diagnostischen Verfahren

Hintergrund: Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) zählt trotz abnehmender Inzidenz zu den häufigsten bakteriellen Infektionskrankheiten des Menschen. Die Infektion mit H. pylori ist ein Risikofaktor für Krankheiten wie gastroduodenale Geschwüre, Magenkarzinomen und MALT (Mucosa Associated Lymphoid Tissue)-Lymphomen. Zur Diagnostik von H. pylori stehen verschiedene invasive und nichtinvasive Verfahren zur Verfügung. Der 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest wird zur Kontrolle einer Eradikationstherapie empfohlen, kommt in der Primärdiagnostik von H. pylori derzeit jedoch nicht standardmäßig in Deutschland zum Einsatz. Fragestellung: Welchen medizinischen und gesundheitsökonomischen Nutzen hat die Untersuchung auf H. pylori-Besiedlung mittels 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest in der Primärdiagnostik im Vergleich zu invasiven und nichtinvasiven diagnostischen Verfahren? Methodik: Basierend auf einer systematischen Literaturrecherche in Verbindung mit einer Handsuche werden Studien zur Testgüte und Kosten-Effektivität des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtests im Vergleich zu anderen diagnostischen Verfahren zum primären Nachweis von H. pylori identifiziert. Es werden nur medizinische Studien eingeschlossen, die den 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest direkt mit anderen H. pylori-Testverfahren vergleichen. Goldstandard ist eines oder eine Kombination der biopsiebasierten Testverfahren. Für die gesundheitsökonomische Beurteilung werden nur vollständige gesundheitsökonomische Evaluationsstudien einbezogen, bei denen die Kosten-Effektivität des 13C Harnstoff-Atemtests direkt mit anderen H. pylori-Testverfahren verglichen wird. Ergebnisse: Es werden 30 medizinische Studien für den vorliegenden Bericht eingeschlossen. Im Vergleich zum Immunglobulin G (IgG)-Test ist die Sensitivität des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtests zwölfmal höher, sechsmal niedriger und einmal gleich, und die Spezifität 13-mal höher, dreimal niedriger und zweimal gleich. Im Vergleich zum Stuhl-Antigen-Test ist die Sensitivität des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtests neunmal höher, dreimal niedriger und einmal gleich, und die Spezifität neunmal höher, zweimal niedriger und zweimal gleich. Im Vergleich zum Urease-Schnelltest sind die Sensitivität des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtests viermal höher, dreimal niedriger und viermal gleich und die Spezifität fünfmal höher, fünfmal niedriger und einmal gleich. Im Vergleich mit der Histologie ist die Sensitivität des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtests einmal höher und zweimal niedriger und die Spezifität zweimal höher und einmal niedriger. In je einem Vergleich zeigt sich kein Unterschied zwischen 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest und 14C-Harnstoff-Atemtest, sowie eine niedrigere Sensitivität und höhere Spezifität im Vergleich zur Polymerase-Kettenreaktion (PCR). Inwieweit die beschriebenen Unterschiede statistisch signifikant sind, wird in sechs der 30 Studien angegeben. Es werden neun gesundheitsökonomische Evaluationen in dem vorliegenden Bericht berücksichtigt. Die Test-and-Treat-Strategie mittels 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest wird in sechs Studien mit einem Test-and-Treat-Verfahren auf Basis der Serologie sowie in drei Studien mit einem Test-and-Treat-Verfahren auf Basis des Stuhl-Antigen-Tests verglichen. Dabei ist das Atemtestverfahren dreimal kosteneffektiv gegenüber der serologischen Methode und wird von der Stuhl-Antigen-Test-Strategie einmal dominiert. Vier Studien beinhalten einen Vergleich der Test-and -Treat-Strategie auf Basis des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtests mit einer empirischen antisekretorischen Therapie, wobei sich das Atemtesverfahren zweimal als kosteneffektive Prozedur erweist und zwei Studien einen Vergleich mit einer empirischen Eradikationstherapie. In fünf Studien wird das Test-and-Treat-Verfahren mittels 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest einer endoskopiebasierten Strategie gegenübergestellt. Zweimal dominiert die Atemteststrategie die endoskopische Prozedur und einmal wird sie von dieser Strategie dominiert. Diskussion:Sowohl die medizinischen als auch die ökonomischen Studien weisen mehr oder minder gravierende Mängel auf und liefern heterogene Ergebnisse. So werden in der Mehrzahl der medizinischen Studien keine Angaben zur statistischen Signifikanz der berichteten Unterschiede zwischen den jeweiligen Testverfahren gemacht. Im direkten Vergleich weist der 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest überwiegend eine höhere Testgüte als der IgG und der Stuhl-Antigen-Test auf. Aus den Vergleichen mit dem Urease-Schnelltest lassen sich keine Tendenzen bezüglich der Sensitivität ableiten, wohingegen die Spezifität des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtests höher einzuschätzen ist. Für die Vergleiche des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest mit der Histologie, dem 14C-Harnstoff-Atemtest und der PCR liegen zu wenige Ergebnisse vor. In der eingeschlossenen ökonomischen Literatur deuten einige Studienergebnisse auf eine Kosten-Effektivität der Test-and-Treat-Strategie mittels 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtest gegenüber dem Test-and-Treat-Verfahren auf Basis der Serologie und der empirischen antiskretorischen Therapie hin. Um Tendenzen bezüglich der Kosten-Effektivität der Atemteststrategie gegenüber der Test-and-Treat-Strategie mittels Stuhl-Antigen-Test sowie der empirischen Eradikationstherapie abzuleiten, mangelt es an validen Ergebnissen bzw. ökonomischer Evidenz. Die Untersuchungsresultate hinsichtlich eines Vergleichs mit endoskopiebasierten Verfahren fallen diesbezüglich zu heterogen aus. Insgesamt kann keines der ökonomischen Modelle der Komplexität des Managements von Patienten mit dyspeptischen Beschwerden gänzlich gerecht werden. Schlussfolgerungen/Empfehlungen: Zusammenfassend ist festzuhalten, dass die Studienlage zur medizinischen und ökonomischen Beurteilung des 13C-Harnstoff-Atemtests im Vergleich zu anderen diagnostischen Methoden nicht ausreichend ist, um den Atemtest als primärdiagnostisches Standardverfahren im Rahmen einer Test-and-Treat-Strategie beim Management von Patienten mit dyspeptischen Beschwerden für die deutsche Versorgungslandschaft insbesondere vor dem Hintergrund der Leitlinien der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Verdauungs- und Stoffwechselkrankheiten (DGVS) anstelle einer endoskopiebasierten Methode zu empfehlen.

Variação da composição nutricional e propriedades de cenouras durante a secagem

Este trabalho teve como objetivo a determinação das propriedades da cenoura (Daucus carota L.), da variedade Nantes, antes, durante e após a secagem por convecção a três temperaturas diferentes (50, 60 e 70 ºC).De forma a verificar as alterações ao nível de diferentes propriedades, tais como: propriedades químicas (humidade, proteínas, fibras, cinzas, açúcares e 'aw') propriedades físicas (textura, cor, porosidade e densidade) e propriedades termofísicas (calor específico, condutividade térmica, difusividade e entalpia). Dos resultados obtidos foi possível concluir que a temperatura de secagem de 70 º C foi a que mais afetou as propriedades químicas analisadas, tais como a humidade, proteínas e açúcares redutores, onde estes sofreram uma diminuição ao longo das secagens. A 'aw' também apresentou uma diminuição ao longo das secagens, onde apresentou um menor valor na secagem a 70 ºC, tendo passado de 0,97 para 0,69, enquanto as temperaturas de 50 ºC e 60 ºC apresentaram um valor final igual, de 0,74. No que diz respeito às propriedades físicas, verificou-se que em relação à textura registaram-se evoluções semelhantes em termos de dureza, mastigabilidade e gomosidade, na medida em que sofreram uma acentuada diminuição nas primeiras horas de secagem, e a temperatura de 70 ºC foi a que mais afetou estas propriedades. No caso da cor a temperatura de 60 ºC foi a que provocou uma maior diferença de cor, a qual ao longo da secagem esta foi aumentando. A porosidade sofreu um aumento com as secagens devido à diminuição da humidade, no entanto a temperatura de 70 ºC foi a que obteve uma menor porosidade, e as temperaturas de 50 ºC e 60 ºC apresentaram valores de porosidade semelhantes. As propriedades termofísicas registaram uma diminuição ao longo da secagem, onde o calor específico sofreu uma maior diminuição com a temperatura de 70 ºC, passando de 3,90 kJ/kg.K para 1,99 kJ/kg.K. A condutividade térmica também sofreu uma maior diminuição com a temperatura de 70 ºC, diminuindo de 0,5243 W/m.K para 0,2782 W/m.K. A difusividade foi de igual forma afetada pela temperatura de 70 ºC, tendo diminuído de 1,50×10-7 m2/s para 1,06×10-7 m2/s. No caso da entalpia, esta sofreu uma maior diminuição com a temperatura de 50 ºC, passando de 233 J/kg para 96,7 J/kg. As isotérmicas de sorção foram ajustadas ao modelo de GAB, onde se verificou que apesar de algumas oscilações a quantidade de água sorvida a uma determinada aw, aumentou com a diminuição da temperatura.Os dados da cinética de secagem foram tratados e ajustados de acordo com três modelos: Page, Henderson & Pabis e Logarítmico, tendo-se verificado que o modelo de Page foi o que mostrou melhor descrever os processos em estudo, enquanto o pior modelo para descrever a cinética de secagem foi o Logarítmico.

Influência do género, da institucionalização e da força da fé sobre a ansiedade face à morte em adultos idosos

Dissertação de Mestrado apresentada ao Instituto Superior de Psicologia Aplicada para obtenção de grau de Mestre na especialidade de Psicologia Clínica.

Modelagem univariada e regressão múltipla na análise da oferta e do preço do boi gordo no mercado brasileiro

Dissertação (mestrado)—Universidade de Brasília, Faculdade de Agronomia e Medicina Veterinária, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Agronegócios, 2016.