New Zealand climate in the Neogene and implications for global atmospheric circulation

New Zealand has a good Neogene plant fossil record. During the Miocene it was without high topography and it was highly maritime, meaning that its climate, and the resulting vegetation, would be controlled dominantly by zonal climate conditions. Its vegetation record during this time suggests the climate passed from an ever-wet and cool but frostless phase in the Early Miocene in which Nothofagus subgenus Brassospora was prominent. Then it became seasonally dry, with vegetation in which palms and Eucalyptus were prominent and fires were frequent, and in the mid-Miocene, it developed a dry-climate vegetation dominated by Casuarinaceae. These changes are reflected in a sedimentological change from acidic to alkaline chemistry and the appearance of regular charcoal in the record. The vegetation then changed again to include a prominent herb component including Chenopodiaceae and Asteraceae. Sphagnum became prominent, and Nothofagus returned, but mainly as the subgenus Fuscospora (presently restricted to temperate climates). This is interpreted as a return to a generally wet, but now cold climate, in which outbreaks of cold polar air and frost were frequent. The transient drying out of a small maritime island and the accompanying vegetation/climate sequence could be explained by a higher frequency of the Sub-Tropical High Pressure (STHP) cells (the descending limbs of the Hadley cells) over New Zealand during the Miocene. This may have resulted from an increased frequency of 'blocking', a synoptic situation which occurs in the region today. An alternative hypothesis, that the global STHP belt lay at a significantly higher latitude in the early Neogene (perhaps 55degreesS) than today (about 30degreesS), is considered less likely because of physical constraints on STHP belt latitude. In either case, the difference between the early Neogene and present situation may have been a response to an increased polar-equatorial temperature gradient. This contrasts with current climate models for the geological past in which the latitude of the High Pressure belt impact is held invariant though geological time. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

Estimates of global and regional potential health gains from reducing multiple major risk factors

Background Estimates of the disease burden due to multiple risk factors can show the potential gain from combined preventive measures. But few such investigations have been attempted, and none on a global scale. Our aim was to estimate the potential health benefits from removal of multiple major risk factors. Methods We assessed the burden of disease and injury attributable to the joint effects of 20 selected leading risk factors in 14 epidemiological subregions of the world. We estimated population attributable fractions, defined as the proportional reduction in disease or mortality that would occur if exposure to a risk factor were reduced to an alternative level, from data for risk factor prevalence and hazard size. For every disease, we estimated joint population attributable fractions, for multiple risk factors, by age and sex, from the direct contributions of individual risk factors. To obtain the direct hazards, we reviewed publications and re-analysed cohort data to account for that part of hazard that is mediated through other risks. Results Globally, an estimated 47% of premature deaths and 39% of total disease burden in 2000 resulted from the joint effects of the risk factors considered. These risks caused a substantial proportion of important diseases, including diarrhoea (92%-94%), lower respiratory infections (55-62%), lung cancer (72%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (60%), ischaemic heart disease (83-89%), and stroke (70-76%). Removal of these risks would have increased global healthy life expectancy by 9.3 years (17%) ranging from 4.4 years (6%) in the developed countries of the western Pacific to 16.1 years (43%) in parts of sub-Saharan Africa. Interpretation Removal of major risk factors would not only increase healthy life expectancy in every region, but also reduce some of the differences between regions, The potential for disease prevention and health gain from tackling major known risks simultaneously would be substantial.

Usefulness of quantitative echocardiographic techniques to predict recovery of regional and global left ventricular function after acute myocardial infarction

The left ventricular response to dobutamine may be quantified using tissue Doppler measurement of myocardial velocity or displacement or 3-dimensional echocardiography to measure ventricular volume and ejection fraction. This study sought to explore the accuracy of these methods for predicting segmental and global responses to therapy. Standard dobutamine and 3-dimensional echocardiography were performed in 92 consecutive patients with abnormal left ventricular function at rest. Recovery of function was defined by comparison with follow-up echocardiography at rest 5 months later. Segments that showed improved regional function at follow-up showed a higher increment in peak tissue Doppler velocity with dobutamine therapy than in nonviable segments (1.2 +/- 0.4 vs 0.3 +/- 0.2 cm/s, p = 0.001). Similarly, patients who showed a > 5% improvement of ejection fraction at follow-up showed a greater displacement response to dobutamine (6.9 +/- 3.2 vs 2.1 +/- 2.3 mm, p = 0.001), as well as a higher rate of ejection fraction, response to dobutamine (9 +/- 3% vs 2 +/- 2%, p = 0.001). The optimal cutoff values for predicting subsequent recovery of function at rest were an increment of peak velocity > 1 cm/s, >5 mm of displacement, and a >5% improvement of ejection fraction with low-dose dobutamine. (C) 2003 by Excerpta Medica, Inc.

A global health problem caused by arsenic from natural sources

Arsenic is a carcinogen to both humans and animals. Arsenicals have been associated with cancers of the skin, lung, and bladder. Clinical manifestations of chronic arsenic poisoning include non-cancer end point of hyper- and hypo-pigmentation, keratosis, hypertension, cardiovascular diseases and diabetes. Epidemiological evidence indicates that arsenic concentration exceeding 50 mug l(-1) in the drinking water is not public health protective. The current WHO recommended guideline value for arsenic in drinking water is 10 mug l(-1), whereas many developing countries are still having a value of 50 mug 1(-1). It has been estimated that tens of millions of people are. at risk exposing to excessive levels of arsenic from both contaminated water and arsenic-bearing coal from natural sources. The global health implication and possible intervention strategies were also discussed in this review article. (C) 2003 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

Measuring the accumulated hazards of smoking: global and regional estimates for 2000

Objective: Current prevalence of smoking, even where data are available, is a poor proxy for cumulative hazards of smoking, which depend on several factors including the age at which smoking began, duration of smoking, number of cigarettes smoked per day, degree of inhalation, and cigarette characteristics such as tar and nicotine content or filter type. Methods: We extended the Peto-Lopez smoking impact ratio method to estimate accumulated hazards of smoking for different regions of the world. Lung cancer mortality data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease mortality database. The American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study, phase 11 (CPS-II) with follow up for the years 1982 to 1988 was the reference population. For the global application of the method, never-smoker lung cancer mortality rates were chosen based on the estimated use of coal for household energy in each region. Results: Men in industrialised countries of Europe, North America, and the Western Pacific had the largest accumulated hazards of smoking. Young and middle age males in many regions of the developing world also had large smoking risks. The accumulated hazards of smoking for women were highest in North America followed by Europe. Conclusions: In the absence of detailed data on smoking prevalence and history, lung cancer mortality provides a robust indicator of the accumulated hazards of smoking. These hazards in developing countries are currently more concentrated among young and middle aged males.

Estimates of global mortality attributable to smoking in 2000

Background Smoking is a risk factor for several diseases and has been increasing in many developing countries. Our aim was to estimate global and regional mortality in 2000 caused by smoking, including an analysis of uncertainty. Methods Following the methods of Peto and colleagues, we used lung-cancer mortality as an indirect marker for accumulated smoking risk. Never-smoker lung-cancer mortality was estimated based on the household use of coal with poor ventilation. Relative risks were taken from the American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study, phase II, and the retrospective proportional mortality analysis of Liu and colleagues in China. Relative risks were corrected for confounding and extrapolation to other regions. Results We estimated that in 2000, 4.83 (uncertainty range 3.94-5.93) million premature deaths in the world were attributable to smoking; 2.41 (1.80-3.15) million in developing countries and 2.43 (2.13-2.78) million in industrialised countries. 3.84 million of these deaths were in men. The leading causes of death from smoking were cardiovascular diseases (1.69 million deaths), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (0.97 million deaths), and lung cancer (0.85 million deaths). Interpretation Smoking was an important cause of global mortality in 2000. In view of the expected demographic and epidemiological transitions and current smoking patterns in the developing world, the health loss due to smoking will grow even larger unless effective interventions and policies that reduce smoking among men and prevent increases among women in developing countries are implemented.

Melhoria de gest??o com foco no trin??mio: pessoas, processos e tecnologia de informa????o

O trabalho iniciou-se em junho de 2005, na GMEFH1, cuja metodologia se pautava na revis??o dos processos de trabalho, levantados a partir de reuni??es semanais com um grupo representativo, na defini????o de pap??is e responsabilidades dos colaboradores da ??rea, no desenvolvimento de um sistema de informa????o que possibilitasse a consolida????o dos procedimentos e uniformiza????o de condutas e, por fim, no treinamento de uma pr??tica gestora, com estabelecimento de metas, registro e revis??o de procedimentos, bem como o monitoramento de prazos e resultados. O cen??rio anterior apresentava grande descontrole do fluxo do processo de trabalho, aus??ncia de padr??o nos procedimentos, n??mero desconhecido das peti????es sem an??lise (passivo), infraestrutura impr??pria, subjetividade na an??lise t??cnica, inexist??ncia de planejamento estrat??gico, entre outros. Ap??s a realiza????o do trabalho, foram observados os seguintes resultados: acr??scimo significativo da produtividade, apesar da redu????o do quadro-geral de pessoas (de 38 para 30) e do n??mero de t??cnicos (de 34 para 23) desempenhando a atividade-fim (an??lise 100 t??cnica para concess??o de registro de medicamentos); tratamento do passivo com redu????o de 89% das peti????es que iriam para a an??lise; grande diminui????o do tempo de resposta ao setor regulado; e padroniza????o nos procedimentos de an??lise t??cnica, trazendo uniformidade na conduta t??cnica, tema recorrentemente requisitado pelo setor regulado

Medidas saneadoras na gest??o do estoque

Com a iminente conclus??o das obras remanescentes da Itaipu Binacional, e atendendo a orienta????es da nova administra????o, foram realizadas mudan??as em pr??ticas e procedimentos internos da gest??o de estoques, que possibilitaram a redu????o do valor do estoque em 15,7% (redu????o de US$8 milh??es) em dois anos, sem preju??zo do n??vel de atendimento aos clientes internos (atendimento de 99% para materiais sobressalentes e 95% para materiais de uso geral). Tais altera????es aliadas a outras medidas administrativas resultaram na diminui????o da ??rea de p??tio em aproximadamente 90% (redu????o de 100.780m2) e da ??rea constru??da em 6% (redu????o de 2.000m2) e na diminui????o do tempo de invent??rio em 39%. O resultado global das a????es tomadas gerou uma economia da ordem de US$1,4 milh??es ao ano, relativo ao custo de n??o manter o carregamento do estoque

Sistemas de informa????es para o licenciamento ambiental: exemplo de coopera????o interinstitucional para melhoria da gest??o ambiental

Em 1981, com a edi????o da Lei no 6938, foi criado o Sistema Nacional de Meio Ambiente (Sisnama), composto dos ??rg??os federais e estaduais respons??veis pela formula????o e implementa????o das pol??ticas de meio ambiente. No ??mbito federal, integram o Sisnama o Minist??rio do Meio Ambiente (MMA) e o Instituto Brasileiro de Meio Ambiente e Recursos Naturais (Ibama); nos estados s??o integrantes os ??rg??os estaduais de meio ambiente. O licenciamento ambiental de qualquer atividade econ??mica ?? obrigat??rio em todo o pa??s, mas somente seis desses ??rg??os ambientais estaduais possuem sistemas informatizados para acompanhamento da situa????o desses empreendimentos. Essa situa????o conduz a uma s??rie de problemas gerenciais e administrativos entre os empreendedores e o governo, entre o p??blico e o governo e entre os empreendedores e a sociedade. At?? mesmo o Minist??rio P??blico, ao requisitar informa????es sobre a situa????o de determinada atividade econ??mica, n??o recebe dados com a presteza e a confiabilidade necess??rias

Projeto b??sico: oficina de fundamentos para supervis??o da presta????o de servi??os de consultoria em melhoria de processos

Servi??os t??cnicos profissionais especializados de treinamento e aperfei??oamento de pessoal de instrutoria em sala de aula, objetivando a realiza????o de curso de desenvolvimento t??cnico gerencial

Relat??rio de atividades 2000

Apresenta as atividades realizadas pela ENAP no ano de 2000. Nesse ano, o Governo Federal adotou um novo modelo de gest??o, integrando planejamento e or??amento, organizando todas as a????es da Administra????o P??blica Federal em programas. O conjunto de programas federais constitui o Plano Plurianual PPA 2000-2003 ??? Avan??a Brasil. O presente relat??rio est?? estruturado segundo as a????es deste Programa

Programa de melhoria do atendimento aos usu??rios do ambulat??rio Maria da Gl??ria

Este projeto refere-se ?? implementa????o de um conjunto de a????es destinadas ?? melhoria do atendimento e do ambiente f??sico do ambulat??rio Maria da Gl??ria, no Hospital Escola da Faculdade de Medicina do Tri??ngulo Mineiro, onde s??o atendidos diariamente mais de 1000 usu??rios. Neste mesmo ambiente convivem, aproximadamente, 600 pessoas entre professores, m??dicos, servidores e alunos. Foram realizados treinamentos espec??ficos para a humaniza????o do atendimento ao p??blico, e efetuadas mudan??as no padr??o de cor do Hospital, visando a cria????o de um ambiente mais agrad??vel. Pesquisa realizada junto aos usu??rios constata que o ??ndice de reclama????es do p??blico caiu em torno de 89%

Melhoria do atendimento do INSS: Proplan

Em novembro de 1995, o Escrit??rio Estadual da Dataprev no Par?? constatou um atendimento deficiente a seu cliente local: o INSS-PA. Diante deste fato, atrav??s de um processo de planejamento estrat??gico estabeleceu um programa de a????o com 31 projetos e atividades, que tinham como objetivo a melhoria do atendimento ao Cliente. Dentre os projetos destaca-se o Modelo de Atendimento, o qual definiu como filosofias: atendimento feito por t??cnicos generalistas e compromisso com os resultados do cliente. Em janeiro de 1996, o Escrit??rio Estadual do Par?? iniciou um processo de realoca????o de pessoal e um intenso programa de capacita????o para forma????o generalista. Come??ou ainda o atendimento preventivo, realizado atrav??s de visitas peri??dicas. Em seguida, implantou uma Central de Atendimento T??cnico, visando sempre que poss??vel solu????o imediata e conclusiva, atrav??s de atendimento a dist??ncia, via telefone e via telecomunica????o. Como resultados da implanta????o do Modelo de Atendimento, destacam-se: melhoria da satisfa????o do cliente; redu????o em 41% de despesas de viagens para atendimento; redu????o do tempo m??dio de atendimento e aumento de produtividade