Intelligent decision making in electricity markets: simulated annealing Q-Learning

Electricity markets are complex environments, involving a large number of different entities, playing in a dynamic scene to obtain the best advantages and profits. MASCEM is a multi-agent electricity market simulator to model market players and simulate their operation in the market. Market players are entities with specific characteristics and objectives, making their decisions and interacting with other players. MASCEM is integrated with ALBidS, a system that provides several dynamic strategies for agents’ behavior. This paper presents a method that aims at enhancing ALBidS competence in endowing market players with adequate strategic bidding capabilities, allowing them to obtain the higher possible gains out of the market. This method uses a reinforcement learning algorithm to learn from experience how to choose the best from a set of possible actions. These actions are defined accordingly to the most probable points of bidding success. With the purpose of accelerating the convergence process, a simulated annealing based algorithm is included.

Balancing market integration in MASCEM electricity market simulator

With the restructuring of the energy sector in industrialized countries there is an increased complexity in market players’ interactions along with emerging problems and new issues to be addressed. Decision support tools that facilitate the study and understanding of these markets are extremely useful to provide players with competitive advantage. In this context arises MASCEM, a multi-agent simulator for competitive electricity markets. It is essential to reinforce MASCEM with the ability to recreate electricity markets reality in the fullest possible extent, making it able to simulate as many types of markets models and players as possible. This paper presents the development of the Balancing Market in MASCEM. A key module to the study of competitive electricity markets, as it has well defined and distinct characteristics previously implemented.

Complex market integration in MASCEM electricity market simulator

The restructuring that the energy sector has suffered in industrialized countries originated a greater complexity in market players’ interactions, and thus new problems and issues to be addressed. Decision support tools that facilitate the study and understanding of these markets become extremely useful to provide players with competitive advantage. In this context arises MASCEM, a multi-agent system for simulating competitive electricity markets. To provide MASCEM with the capacity to recreate the electricity markets reality in the fullest possible extent, it is essential to make it able to simulate as many market models and player types as possible. This paper presents the development of the Complex Market in MASCEM. This module is fundamental to study competitive electricity markets, as it exhibits different characteristics from the already implemented market types.

Renewable-based generation integration in electricity markets with virtual power producers

The development of renewable energy sources and Distributed Generation (DG) of electricity is of main importance in the way towards a sustainable development. However, the management, in large scale, of these technologies is complicated because of the intermittency of primary resources (wind, sunshine, etc.) and small scale of some plants. The aggregation of DG plants gives place to a new concept: the Virtual Power Producer (VPP). VPPs can reinforce the importance of these generation technologies making them valuable in electricity markets. VPPs can ensure a secure, environmentally friendly generation and optimal management of heat, electricity and cold as well as optimal operation and maintenance of electrical equipment, including the sale of electricity in the energy market. For attaining these goals, there are important issues to deal with, such as reserve management strategies, strategies for bids formulation, the producers’ remuneration, and the producers’ characterization for coalition formation. This chapter presents the most important concepts related with renewable-based generation integration in electricity markets, using VPP paradigm. The presented case studies make use of two main computer applications:ViProd and MASCEM. ViProd simulates VPP operation, including the management of plants in operation. MASCEM is a multi-agent based electricity market simulator that supports the inclusion of VPPs in the players set.

Execução de um projecto solar térmico para uma instalação de A.Q.S. da Escola Básica Guilherme Stephens

O presente documento tem como principal objectivo efectuar o projecto de dimensionamento de um sistema de águas quentes sanitárias para uma escola. Numa primeira fase foi elaborado uma pesquisa sobre o contexto energético, a nível mundial, europeu e nacional, bem como o seu contexto jurídico a nível europeu e nacional, e uma explicação superficial sobre os fundamentos da energia solar, onde se foca a importância da radiação solar e os vários tipos de sistemas solares térmicos, bem como os seus constituintes. Segue-se a abordagem ao caso de estudo onde foram efectuados inicialmente inquéritos como forma de determinar os consumos de água quente utilizada nessa escola. Continuou-se o estudo efectuando-se a variação de duas características do sistema solar: o tamanho dos depósitos e o tipo de colectores solares a aplicar. Após as simulações efectuadas para a determinação das soluções a aplicar ao sistemasolar e apresentadas ao longo do presente documento, foram efectuadas análises económicas como forma de se verificar a viabilidade do sistema a aplicar. Por último foram elaboradas conclusões sobre o sistema a aplicar e apresentados alguns cenários financeiros do mesmo.

Dynamical analysis in growth models: Blumberg’s equation

We present a new dynamical approach to the Blumberg's equation, a family of unimodal maps. These maps are proportional to Beta(p, q) probability densities functions. Using the symmetry of the Beta(p, q) distribution and symbolic dynamics techniques, a new concept of mirror symmetry is defined for this family of maps. The kneading theory is used to analyze the effect of such symmetry in the presented models. The main result proves that two mirror symmetric unimodal maps have the same topological entropy. Different population dynamics regimes are identified, when the intrinsic growth rate is modified: extinctions, stabilities, bifurcations, chaos and Allee effect. To illustrate our results, we present a numerical analysis, where are demonstrated: monotonicity of the topological entropy with the variation of the intrinsic growth rate, existence of isentropic sets in the parameters space and mirror symmetry.

The electric vehicle integration into the power system: an application to the portuguese case

Electric vehicles (EV) offer a great potential to address the integration of renewable energy sources (RES) in the power grid, and thus reduce the dependence on oil as well as the greenhouse gases (GHG) emissions. The high share of wind energy in the Portuguese energy mix expected for 2020 can led to eventual curtailment, especially during the winter when high levels of hydro generation occur. In this paper a methodology based on a unit commitment and economic dispatch is implemented, and a hydro-thermal dispatch is performed in order to evaluate the impact of the EVs integration into the grid. Results show that the considered 10 % penetration of EVs in the Portuguese fleet would increase load in 3 % and would not integrate a significant amount of wind energy because curtailment is already reduced in the absence of EVs. According to the results, the EV is charged mostly with thermal generation and the associated emissions are much higher than if they were calculated based on the generation mix.

Análise da resistência à fadiga de tubos de aço API 5CT N80 Tipo Q soldados via processo de indução magnética de alta frequência (HFIW)

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Integration of biomonitoring and instrumental techniques to assess the air quality in an industrial area located in the coastal of Central Asturias, Spain

Throughout the world, epidemiological studies were established to examine the relationship between air pollution and mortality rates and adverse respiratory health effects. However, despite the years of discussion the correlation between adverse health effects and atmospheric pollution remains controversial, partly because these studies are frequently restricted to small and well-monitored areas. Monitoring air pollution is complex due to the large spatial and temporal variations of pollution phenomena, the high costs of recording instruments, and the low sampling density of a purely instrumental approach. Therefore, together with the traditional instrumental monitoring, bioindication techniques allow for the mapping of pollution effects over wide areas with a high sampling density. In this study, instrumental and biomonitoring techniques were integrated to support an epidemiological study that will be developed in an industrial area located in Gijon in the coastal of central Asturias, Spain. Three main objectives were proposed to (i) analyze temporal patterns of PM10 concentrations in order to apportion emissions sources, (ii) investigate spatial patterns of lichen conductivity to identify the impact of the studied industrial area in air quality, and (iii) establish relationships amongst lichen conductivity with some site-specific characteristics. Samples of the epiphytic lichen Parmelia sulcata were transplanted in a grid of 18 by 20 km with an industrial area in the center. Lichens were exposed for a 5-mo period starting in April 2010. After exposure, lichen samples were soaked in 18-MΩ water aimed at determination of water electrical conductivity and, consequently, lichen vitality and cell damage. A marked decreasing gradient of lichens conductivity relative to distance from the emitting sources was observed. Transplants from a sampling site proximal to the industrial area reached values 10-fold higher than levels far from it. This finding showed that lichens reacted physiologically in the polluted industrial area as evidenced by increased conductivity correlated to contamination level. The integration of temporal PM10 measurements and analysis of wind direction corroborated the importance of this industrialized region for air quality measurements and identified the relevance of traffic for the urban area.

A gestão dos custos da qualidade: Modelo A.B.Q.C. aplicado à Mercauto

Mestrado em Controlo e Gestão dos Negócios

Robôs quadrúpedes: geração de trajectórias em tempo real usando sistemas dinâmicos não-lineares

A geração de trajectórias de robôs em tempo real é uma tarefa muito complexa, não existindo ainda um algoritmo que a permita resolver de forma eficaz. De facto, há controladores eficientes para trajectórias previamente definidas, todavia, a adaptação a variações imprevisíveis, como sendo terrenos irregulares ou obstáculos, constitui ainda um problema em aberto na geração de trajectórias em tempo real de robôs. Neste trabalho apresentam-se modelos de geradores centrais de padrões de locomoção (CPGs), inspirados na biologia, que geram os ritmos locomotores num robô quadrúpede. Os CPGs são modelados matematicamente por sistemas acoplados de células (ou neurónios), sendo a dinâmica de cada célula dada por um sistema de equações diferenciais ordinárias não lineares. Assume-se que as trajectórias dos robôs são constituídas por esta parte rítmica e por uma parte discreta. A parte discreta pode ser embebida na parte rítmica, (a.1) como um offset ou (a.2) adicionada às expressões rítmicas, ou (b) pode ser calculada independentemente e adicionada exactamente antes do envio dos sinais para as articulações do robô. A parte discreta permite inserir no passo locomotor uma perturbação, que poderá estar associada à locomoção em terrenos irregulares ou à existência de obstáculos na trajectória do robô. Para se proceder á análise do sistema com parte discreta, será variado o parâmetro g. O parâmetro g, presente nas equações da parte discreta, representa o offset do sinal após a inclusão da parte discreta. Revê-se a teoria de bifurcação e simetria que permite a classificação das soluções periódicas produzidas pelos modelos de CPGs com passos locomotores quadrúpedes. Nas simulações numéricas, usam-se as equações de Morris-Lecar e o oscilador de Hopf como modelos da dinâmica interna de cada célula para a parte rítmica. A parte discreta é modelada por um sistema inspirado no modelo VITE. Medem-se a amplitude e a frequência de dois passos locomotores para variação do parâmetro g, no intervalo [-5;5]. Consideram-se duas formas distintas de incluir a parte discreta na parte rítmica: (a) como um (a.1) offset ou (a.2) somada nas expressões que modelam a parte rítmica, e (b) somada ao sinal da parte rítmica antes de ser enviado às articulações do robô. No caso (a.1), considerando o oscilador de Hopf como dinâmica interna das células, verifica-se que a amplitude e frequência se mantêm constantes para -50.2. A extensão do movimento varia de forma directamente proporcional à amplitude. No caso das equações de Morris-Lecar, quando a componente discreta é embebida (a.2), a amplitude e a frequência aumentam e depois diminuem para - 0.170.5 Pode concluir-se que: (1) a melhor forma de inserção da parte discreta que menos perturbação insere no robô é a inserção como offset; (2) a inserção da parte discreta parece ser independente do sistema de equações diferenciais ordinárias que modelam a dinâmica interna de cada célula. Como trabalho futuro, é importante prosseguir o estudo das diferentes formas de inserção da parte discreta na parte rítmica do movimento, para que se possa gerar uma locomoção quadrúpede, robusta, flexível, com objectivos, em terrenos irregulares, modelada por correcções discretas aos padrões rítmicos.

O webmarketing e o perfil de consumidor online: estudo de caso da Delta Q

Mestrado em Controlo de Gestão e dos Negócios

Integração energética unidades 0300 e 0400 da Fábrica de Aromáticos Refinaria de Matosinhos

Mestrado em Engenharia Química - Ramo optimização energética na indústria química

A class of singular first order differential equations with applications in reaction-diffusion

Agências Financiadoras: FCT e MIUR

The cross crypto scheme cipher integration for securing SCADA component communication

Critical Infrastructures became more vulnerable to attacks from adversaries as SCADA systems become connected to the Internet. The open standards for SCADA Communications make it very easy for attackers to gain in-depth knowledge about the working and operations of SCADA networks. A number of Intenrnet SCADA security issues were raised that have compromised the authenticity, confidentiality, integrity and non-repudiation of information transfer between SCADA Components. This paper presents an integration of the Cross Crypto Scheme Cipher to secure communications for SCADA components. The proposed scheme integrates both the best features of symmetric and asymmetric encryptiontechniques. It also utilizes the MD5 hashing algorithm to ensure the integrity of information being transmitted.