Insiders´ views as a predictor of stock performance : can insider trading be used to predict stock performance on the United States stock market?

This thesis studies the possibility of using information on insiders’ transactions to forecast future stock returns after the implementation of Sarbanes Oxley Act in July 2003. Insider transactions between July 2003 and August 2009 are analysed with regression tests to identify the relationships between insiders’ transactions and future stock returns. This analysis is complemented with rudimentary bootstrapping procedures to verify the robustness of the findings. The underlying assumption of the thesis is that insiders constantly receive pieces of information that indicate future performance of the company. They may not be allowed to trade on large and tangible pieces of information but they can trade on accumulation of smaller, intangible pieces of information. Based on the analysis in the thesis insiders’ profits were found not to differ from the returns from broad stock index. However, their individual transactions were found to be linked to future stock returns. The initial model was found to be unstable but some of the predictive power could be sacrificed to achieve greater stability. Even after sacrificing some predictive power the relationship was significant enough to allow external investors to achieve abnormal profits after transaction costs and taxes. The thesis does not go into great detail about timing of transactions. Delay in publishing insiders’ transactions is not taken into account in the calculations and the closed windows are not studied in detail. The potential effects of these phenomena are looked into and they do not cause great changes in the findings. Additionally the remuneration policy of an insider or a company is not taken into account even though it most likely affects the trading patterns of insiders. Even with the limitations the findings offer promising opportunities for investors to improve their investment processes by incorporating additional information from insiders’ transaction into their decisions. The findings also raise questions on how insider trading should be regulated. Insiders achieve greater returns than other investors based on superior information. On the other hand, more efficient information transfer could warrant more lenient regulation. The fact that insiders’ returns are dominated by the large investment stake they maintain all the time in their own companies also speaks for more leniency. As Sarbanes Oxley Act considerably modified the insider trading landscape, this analysis provides information that has not been available before. The thesis also constitutes a thorough analysis of insider trading phenomenon which has previously been somewhat separated into several studies.

Ball Bearing Model Performance on Various Sized Rotors with and without Centrifugal and Gyroscopic Forces

Bearing performance signi cantly a ects the dynamic behaviors and estimated working life of a rotating system. A common bearing type is the ball bearing, which has been under investigation in numerous published studies. The complexity of the ball bearing models described in the literature varies. Naturally, model complexity is related to computational burden. In particular, the inclusion of centrifugal forces and gyroscopic moments signi cantly increases the system degrees of freedom and lengthens solution time. On the other hand, for low or moderate rotating speeds, these e ects can be neglected without signi cant loss of accuracy. The objective of this paper is to present guidelines for the appropriate selection of a suitable bearing model for three case studies. To this end, two ball bearing models were implemented. One considers high-speed forces, and the other neglects them. Both models were used to study a three structures, and the simulation results were.

Predicting performance on fluid intelligence from speed of processing, working memory, and controlled attention

Fluid inteliigence has been defined as an innate ability to reason which is measured commonly by the Raven's Progressive Matrices (RPM). Individual differences in fluid intelligence are currently explained by the Cascade model (Fry & Hale, 1996) and the Controlled Attention hypothesis (Engle, Kane, & Tuholski, 1999; Kane & Engle, 2002). The first theory is based on a complex relation among age, speed, and working memory which is described as a Cascade. The alternative to this theory, the Controlled Attention hypothesis, is based on the proposition that it is the executive attention component of working memory that explains performance on fluid intelligence tests. The first goal of this study was to examine whether the Cascade model is consistent within the visuo-spatial and verbal-numerical modalities. The second goal was to examine whether the executive attention component ofworking memory accounts for the relation between working memory and fluid intelligence. Two hundred and six undergraduate students between the ages of 18 and 28 completed a battery of cognitive tests selected to measure processing speed, working memory, and controlled attention which were selected from two cognitive modalities, verbalnumerical and visuo-spatial. These were used to predict performance on two standard measures of fluid intelligence: the Raven's Progressive Matrices (RPM) and the Shipley Institute of Living Scales (SILS) subtests. Multiple regression and Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) were used to test the Cascade model and to determine the independent and joint effects of controlled attention and working memory on general fluid intelligence. Among the processing speed measures only spatial scan was related to the RPM. No other significant relations were observed between processing speed and fluid intelligence. As 1 a construct, working memory was related to the fluid intelligence tests. Consistent with the predictions for the RPM there was support for the Cascade model within the visuo-spatial modality but not within the verbal-numerical modality. There was no support for the Cascade model with respect to the SILS tests. SEM revealed that there was a direct path between controlled attention and RPM and between working memory and RPM. However, a significant path between set switching and RPM explained the relation between controlled attention and RPM. The prediction that controlled attention mediated the relation between working memory and RPM was therefore not supported. The findings support the view that the Cascade model may not adequately explain individual differences in fluid intelligence and this may be due to the differential relations observed between working memory and fluid intelligence across different modalities. The findings also show that working memory is not a domain-general construct and as a result its relation with fluid intelligence may be dependent on the nature of the working memory modality.

Arsenic speciation by ion-exchange chromatography with on- line determination by hydride generation: electronic modification of the D.C. plasma by photon counting

A method using L-cysteine for the determination of arsenous acid (As(III)), arsenic acid (As(V)), monomethylarsonic acid (MMAA), and dimethylarsinic acid (DMAA) by hydride generation was demonstrated. The instrument used was a d.c. plasma atomic emission spectrometer (OCP-AES). Complete recovery was reported for As(III), As(V), and DMAA while 86% recovery was reported for MMAA. Detection limits were determined, as arsenic for the species listed previously, to be 1.2, 0.8, 1.1, and 1.0 ngemL-l, respectively. Precision values, at 50 ngemL-1 arsenic concentration, were f.80/0, 2.50/0, 2.6% and 2.6% relative standard deviation, respectively. The L-cysteine reagent was compared directly with the conventional hydride generation technique which uses a potassium iodide-hydrochloric acid medium. Recoveries using L-cysteine when compared with the conventional method provided the following results: similar recoveries were obtained for As(III), slightly better recoveries were obtained for As(V) and MMAA, and significantly better recoveries for DMAA. In addition, tall and sharp peak shapes were observed for all four species when using L-cysteine. The arsenic speciation method involved separation by ion exchange .. high perfonnance liquid chromatography (HPLC) with on-line hydride generation using the L.. cysteine reagent and measurement byOCP-AES. Total analysis time per sample was 12 min while the time between the start of subsequent runs was approximately 20 min. A binary . gradient elution program, which incorporated the following two eluents: 0.01 and 0.5 mM tri.. sodium citrate both containing 5% methanol (v/v) and both at a pH of approximately 9, was used during the separation by HPLC. Recoveries of the four species which were measured as peak area, and were normalized against As(III), were 880/0, 290/0, and 40% for DMAA, MMAA and As(V), respectively. Resolution factors between adjacent analyte peaks of As(III) and DMAA was 1.1; DMAA and MMAA was 1.3; and MMAA and As(V) was 8.6. During the arsenic speciation study, signals from the d.c. plasma optical system were measured using a new photon-signal integrating device. The_new photon integrator developed and built in this laboratory was based on a previously published design which was further modified to reflect current available hardware. This photon integrator was interfaced to a personal computer through an AID convertor. The .photon integrator has adjustable threshold settings and an adjustable post-gain device.

ESL students' off-line and on-line texts : differences and similarities /

This study was undertaken to investigate any textual differences and similarities within essays written with a word processing program and an e-mail editor by non-native writers. It arose from many contradictions and a paucity of empirical research within the field of second language learning and electronic technology. To further explore these contradictory observations, 3 classes of intermediate level ESL (English as a Second Language) students v^ote 6 essays, alternating between a word processing program and an e-mail editor. Prior to the data collection, students read brief texts and responded to questions that focused upon three formal topics: immigration, economics, and multiculturalism. Data were examined for (a) the differences in the frequency counts of 12 cohesive devices, (b) sentence complexity, which focused upon the occurrences of simple and complex sentences, (c) the number of words within the writings, (d) the method of contextualization preferred by writers, and (e) any variations in the final grades of the students' texts that resulted from holistic rating. Results of analysis indicated that there were no statistically significant differences in the frequency counts of the linguistic features. Sentence complexity did not vary within the off-line and on-line essays. The average number of words found within the off-line essays was approximately 20% greater than within on-line essays. Contextualization methods were not different within word-processed or e-mailed essays. Finally, there was no difference in the quality of the texts when holistically rated.

The von Neumann Minimax Theorem and its relatives and a study of externality in on-line auctions

This work consists of a theoretical part and an experimental one. The first part provides a simple treatment of the celebrated von Neumann minimax theorem as formulated by Nikaid6 and Sion. It also discusses its relationships with fundamental theorems of convex analysis. The second part is about externality in sponsored search auctions. It shows that in these auctions, advertisers have externality effects on each other which influence their bidding behavior. It proposes Hal R.Varian model and shows how adding externality to this model will affect its properties. In order to have a better understanding of the interaction among advertisers in on-line auctions, it studies the structure of the Google advertisements networ.k and shows that it is a small-world scale-free network.

Gala Performance on the occasion of the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting Programme

The programme from the Gala Performance on the occasion of the Commonwealth Heads of Government meeting, 7 August 1973. The event took place in the Opera of the National Arts Centre in Ottawa.

Vers l’émergence d’une justice on-line

Le réseau Internet s’avère être un outil important pour les juristes. Il rend possible la constitution d’une base de données juridiques, la création de revues de droit, la mise sur pied de forums de discussion sur les questions de droit, la diffusion d’ouvrages, etc. Le réseau Internet facilite les recherches en droit, car grâce aux bases des données, les juristes peuvent facilement accéder notamment aux textes légaux et réglementaires, à la jurisprudence et aux textes de doctrine. Cependant, Internet peut également servir à résoudre les conflits qui surviennent dans les rapports entre les internautes ou entre les internautes et les opérateurs du réseau Internet. La cyberjustice existe déjà, à petite échelle. L’on peut se permettre de mentionner le Centre de médiation et d’arbitrage de l’OMPI, le Virtual Magistrate, l’Online Ombuds Office, le CyberTribunal et le Règlement Uniforme de l’ICANN. S’il faut saluer les efforts qui ont abouti à l’existence de ces instances de cyberjustice, il convient pourtant de reconnaître leurs limites. En effet, ces diverses formes de cyberjustice ont un caractère privé et demeurent incapables d’assurer la répression des infractions. Ensuite, elles ne tiennent pas compte du déséquilibre des rapports entre télétravailleurs et employeurs, puisqu’elles reconnaissent à ces deux groupes des droits équivalents quant au choix de la juridiction et des règles applicables. Enfin, en l’état actuel de la cyberjustice, le sens de la justice est sacrifié à la célérité. Certains droits reconnus aux parties — celui de jouir d’un double degré de juridiction en particulier — sont ignorés. Ces faits montrent bien la nécessité de concevoir des modèles d’institutions plus appropriés en vue de l’instauration d’un certain ordre dans le réseau Internet. C’est dans cette optique que la présente étude offre quelques modèles de juridictions virtuelles, dont une juridiction virtuelle répressive.

k-NN based On-Line Handwritten Character recognition system

On-line handwriting recognition has been a frontier area of research for the last few decades under the purview of pattern recognition. Word processing turns to be a vexing experience even if it is with the assistance of an alphanumeric keyboard in Indian languages. A natural solution for this problem is offered through online character recognition. There is abundant literature on the handwriting recognition of western, Chinese and Japanese scripts, but there are very few related to the recognition of Indic script such as Malayalam. This paper presents an efficient Online Handwritten character Recognition System for Malayalam Characters (OHR-M) using K-NN algorithm. It would help in recognizing Malayalam text entered using pen-like devices. A novel feature extraction method, a combination of time domain features and dynamic representation of writing direction along with its curvature is used for recognizing Malayalam characters. This writer independent system gives an excellent accuracy of 98.125% with recognition time of 15-30 milliseconds

On-Line Handwritten Character Recognition using Kohonen Networks

This paper presents an efficient Online Handwritten character Recognition System for Malayalam Characters (OHR-M) using Kohonen network. It would help in recognizing Malayalam text entered using pen-like devices. It will be more natural and efficient way for users to enter text using a pen than keyboard and mouse. To identify the difference between similar characters in Malayalam a novel feature extraction method has been adopted-a combination of context bitmap and normalized (x, y) coordinates. The system reported an accuracy of 88.75% which is writer independent with a recognition time of 15-32 milliseconds

On-line analytical processing with conceptual information systems

A conceptual information system consists of a database together with conceptual hierarchies. The management system TOSCANA visualizes arbitrary combinations of conceptual hierarchies by nested line diagrams and allows an on-line interaction with a database to analyze data conceptually. The paper describes the conception of conceptual information systems and discusses the use of their visualization techniques for on-line analytical processing (OLAP).

A finite state model for on-line analytical processing in triadic contexts

About ten years ago, triadic contexts were presented by Lehmann and Wille as an extension of Formal Concept Analysis. However, they have rarely been used up to now, which may be due to the rather complex structure of the resulting diagrams. In this paper, we go one step back and discuss how traditional line diagrams of standard (dyadic) concept lattices can be used for exploring and navigating triadic data. Our approach is inspired by the slice & dice paradigm of On-Line-Analytical Processing (OLAP). We recall the basic ideas of OLAP, and show how they may be transferred to triadic contexts. For modeling the navigation patterns a user might follow, we use the formalisms of finite state machines. In order to present the benefits of our model, we show how it can be used for navigating the IT Baseline Protection Manual of the German Federal Office for Information Security.

Klassifikationsgestützte on-line Adaption eines robusten beobachterbasierten Fehlerdiagnoseansatzes für nichtlineare Systeme

Diese Arbeit behandelt die Problemstellung der modellbasierten Fehlerdiagnose für Lipschitz-stetige nichtlineare Systeme mit Unsicherheiten. Es wird eine neue adaptive Fehlerdiagnosemethode vorgestellt. Erkenntnisse und Verfahren aus dem Bereich der Takagi-Sugeno (TS) Fuzzy-Modellbildung und des Beobachterentwurfs sowie der Sliding-Mode (SM) Theorie werden genutzt, um einen neuartigen robusten und nichtlinearen TS-SM-Beobachter zu entwickeln. Durch diese Zusammenführung lassen sich die jeweiligen Vorteile beider Ansätze miteinander kombinieren. Bedingungen zur Konvergenz des Beobachters werden als lineare Matrizenungleichungen (LMIs) abgeleitet. Diese Bedingungen garantieren zum einen die Stabilität und liefern zum anderen ein direktes Entwurfsverfahren für den Beobachter. Der Beobachterentwurf wird für die Fälle messbarer und nicht messbarer Prämissenvariablen angegeben. Durch die TS-Erweiterung des in dieser Arbeit verwendeten SM-Beobachters ist es möglich, den diskontinuierlichen Rückführterm mithilfe einer geeigneten kontinuierlichen Funktion zu approximieren und dieses Signal daraufhin zur Fehlerdiagnose auszuwerten. Dies liefert eine Methodik zur Aktor- und Sensorfehlerdiagnose nichtlinearer unsicherer Systeme. Gegenüber anderen Ansätzen erlaubt das Vorgehen eine quantitative Bestimmung und teilweise sogar exakte Rekonstruktion des Fehlersignalverlaufs. Darüber hinaus ermöglicht der Ansatz die Berechnung konstanter Fehlerschwellen direkt aus dem physikalischen Vorwissen über das betrachtete System. Durch eine Erweiterung um eine Betriebsphasenerkennung wird es möglich, die Schwellenwerte des Fehlerdiagnoseansatzes online an die aktuelle Betriebsphase anzupassen. Hierdurch ergibt sich in Betriebsphasen mit geringen Modellunsicherheiten eine deutlich erhöhte Fehlersensitivität. Zudem werden in Betriebsphasen mit großen Modellunsicherheiten Falschalarme vermieden. Die Kernidee besteht darin, die aktuelle Betriebsphase mittels eines Bayes-Klassikators in Echtzeit zu ermitteln und darüber die Fehlerschwellen an die a-priori de nierten Unsicherheiten der unterschiedlichen Betriebsphasen anzupassen. Die E ffektivität und Übertragbarkeit der vorgeschlagenen Ansätze werden einerseits am akademischen Beispiel des Pendelwagens und anderseits am Beispiel der Sensorfehlerdiagnose hydrostatisch angetriebener Radlader als praxisnahe Anwendung demonstriert.

Grupo de trabajo on line de prevenci??n de riesgos

Se presenta experiencia educativa que propone el proceso de formaci??n y desarrollo de un grupo de trabajo formado por profesorado de las distintas etapas educativas. Lo realiza la Delegaci??n de Educaci??n de Granada. El objetivo principal es: fomentar una aut??ntica cultura preventiva mediante la promoci??n de la mejora de la educaci??n en dicha materia en todos los ??mbitos educativos.

Context constraints, prior vocabulary knowledge and on-line inferences in reading

Resumen tomado de la publicaci??n