SQualTrack: A Tool for Robust Fault Detection

One of the techniques used to detect faults in dynamic systems is analytical redundancy. An important difficulty in applying this technique to real systems is dealing with the uncertainties associated with the system itself and with the measurements. In this paper, this uncertainty is taken into account by the use of intervals for the parameters of the model and for the measurements. The method that is proposed in this paper checks the consistency between the system's behavior, obtained from the measurements, and the model's behavior; if they are inconsistent, then there is a fault. The problem of detecting faults is stated as a quantified real constraint satisfaction problem, which can be solved using the modal interval analysis (MIA). MIA is used because it provides powerful tools to extend the calculations over real functions to intervals. To improve the results of the detection of the faults, the simultaneous use of several sliding time windows is proposed. The result of implementing this method is semiqualitative tracking (SQualTrack), a fault-detection tool that is robust in the sense that it does not generate false alarms, i.e., if there are false alarms, they indicate either that the interval model does not represent the system adequately or that the interval measurements do not represent the true values of the variables adequately. SQualTrack is currently being used to detect faults in real processes. Some of these applications using real data have been developed within the European project advanced decision support system for chemical/petrochemical manufacturing processes and are also described in this paper

Lectures 17 and 18 - Exceptions - when it all goes wrong

Exceptions An Example The Throws keyword Try and Catch The flow Multiple exceptions Finally How exceptions are thrown What the complier checks Handle or Defer Recovery Writing your own

Plan estratégico de mercadeo para alimentos especializados "ALES" Ltda.

Alimentos Especializados “ALES” Ltda., es una empresa colombiana que se dedica al Diseño, producción y comercialización de productos alimenticios industriales especializados para personas con problemas asociados al consumo de azúcar. La comercialización se realiza a través del canal minorista, el mercado institucional, tiendas especializadas, tiendas naturistas y al detal. En los últimos años ALES ha disminuido sustancialmente sus ventas a causa del aumento de marcas propias de las cadenas en el sector y a los elevados costos, que asignan los canales a la comercialización de los productos a través de los mismos. A finales del año 2011, ALES implementa una estrategia de diversificación y de mercado por medio del desarrollo de una nueva unidad de negocio que penetra un nuevo segmento y emplea el canal directo de distribución, un segmento antes no explotado: Postres preparados. Para la organización, la calidad de la decisión dependerá de los objetivos cumplidos por la unidad de negocio. Buscando contribuir con el análisis de la decisión estratégica, el trabajo constituye un análisis para ALES Ltda, que incluye herramientas sólidas con las que podrá analizar su decisión estratégica. Inicialmente se realiza un Análisis Matricial, cuyo análisis muestra la posición estratégica de ALES y el estado del sector, luego se realiza un Análisis Estructural de Sectores Estratégicos AESE, se verifica el estado actual del sector estratégico, se ratifica que la empresa es líder en el segmento de postres preparados. Posteriormente se realiza un modelo sugerido de un Balance Score Card BSC para con indicadores de gestión evaluar la línea de negocio (estrategia) y establecer una cadena de valor alineada a los objetivos estratégicos.

Relación entre cultura corporativa y desempeño: Una caracterización desde las ciencias de la complejidad

La siguiente monografía busca dar una mirada descriptiva a la cultura corporativa y a su relación con el desempeño organizacional desde la perspectiva de las ciencias de la complejidad. Inicialmente presenta una mirada general de la definición de cultura y caracteriza los sistemas complejos para luego proceder a examinar como algunos fenómenos de la complejidad se ven reflejados en la cultura, revisando la propuesta de Dolan et al, que proponen los valores como atractores en el desempeño. Adicionalmente se examinan distintas formas y definiciones de desempeño organizacional y se identifican algunos estudios que apuntan a la correlación entre culturas fuertes y desempeño. Sin embargo Gordon & DiTomaso concluyen que no se comprende muy bien cómo funciona la relación más allá de la correlación. Finalmente se concluye que la complejidad presenta una opción para explicar cómo puede funcionar la relación entre cultura y desempeño a través de los valores como un elemento cultural que lleva a la emergencia. Sin embargo queda la incógnita sobre la aplicabilidad de estrategias para implementar lo estudiado en organizaciones y en el uso de herramientas de simulación para profundizar en la investigación

Definición y factores del ‘ultrapresidencialismo’: hacia la construcción de un problema de política pública

A partir del estudio del sistema presidencial clásico y algunas de sus deformaciones en Latinoamérica, el presente artículo propone una definición del concepto de “ultrapresidencialismo” y avanza en el entendimiento de los diversos factores que lo pueden ocasionar.---Defining and explaining ‘ultrapresidencialism’: towards the construction of a public-policy problemAfter reviewing the Classic Presidential System and some of its distortions in Latin America, this article proposes a new definition of the concept “ultrapresidentialism” and advances in the understanding of the different factors that may cause it.Key words: ultrapresidentialism, presidential system, balance of power, checks and balances, public policy problem definition.---Definição e fatores do ‘ultrapresidencialismo’: para a construção de um problema de política públicaA partir do estudo do sistema presidencial clássico e algumas de suas deformações em Latino América, o presente artigo propõe uma definição do conceito de “ultra-presidencialismo” e avança no entendimento dos diversos fatores que podem ocasioná-lo.Palavras chave: ultra-presidencialismo, sistema presidencial, equilíbrio de poderes, freios e contrapses, definição de problemas de política pública.

El papel de la migración rumana en la transformación de las relaciones internacionales entre España y Rumania. Periodo 2004-2012

El presente trabajo de grado estudia las relaciones internacionales entre España y Rumania en virtud de la migración de rumanos a España en el periodo 2004-2012. El estudio analiza los antecedentes y vínculos migratorios entre España y Rumania y el perfil migratorio rumano. Así mismo, describe el proceso de adhesión de Rumania a la Unión Europea y analiza la compleja integración de los rumanos al espacio comunitario y las discutidas acciones estatales por parte de España en este contexto. La evolución en las relaciones entre España y Rumania, es pieza clave para comprender los diferentes momentos de su relación migratoria, dicha evolución afectó, el proceso de “integración” de los inmigrantes rumanos, situación que alcanzó su punto más crítico durante la reciente crisis económica española. Teniendo en cuenta, datos de fuentes estadísticas y académicas, se evaluaron las redes migratorias como mecanismo para el asentamiento y crecimiento de los rumanos en España.

Inequality of opportunity in educational achievement in Latin America: evidence from PISA 2006-2009

We assess inequality of opportunity in educational achievement in six Latin American countries, employing two waves of PISA data (2006 and 2009). By means of a non-parametric approach using a decomposable inequality index, GE(0), we rank countries according to their degree of inequality of opportunity. We work with alternative characterizations of types: school type (public or private), gender, parental education, and combinations of those variables. We calculate incremental contributions of each set of circumstances to inequality. We provide rankings of countries based on unconditional inequalities (using conventional indices) and on conditional inequalities (EOp indices), and the two sets of rankings do not always coincide. Inequality of opportunities range from less than 1% to up to 27%, with substantial heterogeneity according to the year, the country, the subject and the specificication of circumstances. Robustness checks based on bootstrap and the use of an alternative index confirm most of the initial results.

The crime kuznets curve

We document the existence of a Crime Kuznets Curve in US states since the 1970s. As income levels have risen, crime has followed an inverted U-shaped pattern, first increasing and then dropping. The Crime Kuznets Curve is not explained by income inequality. In fact, we show that during the sample period inequality has risen monotonically with income, ruling out the traditional Kuznets Curve. Our finding is robust to adding a large set of controls that are used in the literature to explain the incidence of crime, as well as to controlling for state and year fixed effects. The Curve is also revealed in nonparametric specifications. The Crime Kuznets Curve exists for property crime and for some categories of violent crime.

Evaluación de intervención de alertas para riesgo cardiovascular por diclofenaco en afiliados al régimen contributivo 2014 -2015

El objetivo fue evaluar la intervención de las alertas en la prescripción de diclofenaco. Estudio observacional, comparativo, post intervención, de un antes después, en pacientes con prescripción de diclofenaco. Se evaluó la intervención de las alertas restrictivas antes y después de su implementación en los pacientes prescritos con diclofenaco y que tenían asociado un diagnóstico de riesgo cardiovascular según CIE 10 o eran mayores de 65 años. Un total de 315.135 transacciones con prescripción de diclofenaco, en 49.355 pacientes promedio mes. El 94,8% (298.674) de las transacciones fueron prescritas por médicos generales.

Corrupción, reforma y realidad. Incidencia de la corrupción publicada por los medios de comunicación en la estructura de la policía nacional de Colombia (1993 – 2012)

El texto analiza el impacto de la corrupción policial presentada por los medios de comunicación desde 1993 hasta el 2012 en la estructura interna de la Policía Nacional de Colombia. En el primer capítulo se plantea un estado del arte del concepto de corrupción policial, asimismo, se incluyen las teorías bajo las cuales se ha entendido el fenómeno a nivel mundial buscando generar soluciones plausibles a un flagelo en el que se ven inmiscuidos una gran cantidad de cuerpos policiales en el mundo. En el segundo apartado, se evalúa de manera cuantitativa cómo los casos de corrupción han modificado la estructura de la Policía Nacional, pero a su vez, cómo éstas modificaciones han sido evanescentes. En el tercer capítulo, se escudriña el impacto y los cambios estructurales desde la perspectiva de los miembros del cuerpo policial, recurriendo a la recolección de datos de manera cualitativa por medio de entrevistas y encuestas. En el cuarto momento se analiza la incidencia de los directores de la policía en la lucha contra la corrupción policial y como se establece una relación entre los subalternos y los mandos medios al momento de realizar este tipo de actividades. Finalmente se plasman las conclusiones a las que se llegó posterior a la realización del trabajo investigativo.

A funcionalidade da Avaliação em Matemática no Ensino Médio

The evaluation appears as a natural process in which a professional education to build a notion of content assimilated by the students as well as whether the teaching methods adopted by him are having an effect on learning of these. Long meant, to apply only to evaluate evidence, a grade and classify students in approved and disapproved. Even today there are teachers who believe that assessment is only in this process. However, this vision has been gradually modified. The evaluation is not at the time of carrying out tests and checks, but is an ongoing process, aimed at reflection for error correction and forwarding the student to acquire the expected objectives. This study was designed to analyze the data from the result of the survey, we can see that the form evaluative functions as an element of integration and motivation for the teaching-learning process. The speech of most education professionals interviewed here reflects the current notion that the evaluation process is currently understood not only as the result of the tests, but the results of the work and / or research that students perform. There are numerous evaluative techniques that allow the teacher to evaluate student performance and escape the traditional written exam, allowing teachers and students to dialogue sought to find and correct possible errors by redirecting the student for learning, motivating for the correction, and suggesting to him new ways of study for better understanding of the issues addressed within the class. The key is to understand that the evaluation process is not just about taking exams and assign grade. Evaluation is a continuous learning process that occurs every day in order to correct mistakes and build new knowledge.

Microbial perchlorate reduction: A precise laboratory determination of the chlorine isotope fractionation and its possible biochemical basis

Perchlorate-reducing bacteria fractionate chlorine stable isotopes giving a powerful approach to monitor the extent of microbial consumption of perchlorate in contaminated sites undergoing remediation or natural perchlorate containing sites. This study reports the full experimental data and methodology used to re-evaluate the chlorine isotope fractionation of perchlorate reduction in duplicate culture experiments of Azospira suillum strain PS at 37 degrees C (Delta Cl-37(Cr)--ClO4-) previously reported, without a supporting data set by Coleman et al. [Coleman, M.L., Ader, M., Chaudhuri, S., Coates,J.D., 2003. Microbial Isotopic Fractionation of Perchlorate Chlorine. Appl. Environ. Microbiol. 69, 4997-5000] in a reconnaissance study, with the goal of increasing the accuracy and precision of the isotopic fractionation determination. The method fully described here for the first time, allows the determination of a higher precision Delta Cl-37(Cl)--ClO4- value, either from accumulated chloride content and isotopic composition or from the residual perchlorate content and isotopic composition. The result sets agree perfectly, within error, giving average Delta Cl-37(Cl)--ClO4- = -14.94 +/- 0.15%omicron. Complementary use of chloride and perchlorate data allowed the identification and rejection of poor quality data by applying mass and isotopic balance checks. This precise Delta Cl-37(Cl)--ClO4-, value can serve as a reference point for comparison with future in situ or microcosm studies but we also note its similarity to the theoretical equilibrium isotopic fractionation between a hypothetical chlorine species of redox state +6 and perchlorate at 37 degrees C and suggest that the first electron transfer during perchlorate reduction may occur at isotopic equilibrium between art enzyme-bound chlorine and perchlorate. (C) 2008 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

The effect of paddock size on the response of seasonal anoestrous ewes to the ram effect

Many aspects of the conditions required to maximize the ewe's response to ram introduction in the late anoestrous season remain unclear. The aim of this research was to determine whether grazing space allowances could influence the efficacy of the ram effect. In August 1995, at Reading (latitude 51degrees27'N), following a 3-month isolation period from rams, two groups of nulliparous Mule ewes, aged 15 months, were introduced to four rains in a low (12 ewes/ha; treatment L, n = 124) or in a high stocking rate (84 ewes/ha; treatment H, n = 126). From the beginning of August until the end of August oestrous behaviour was recorded by daily checks of mating marks on ewes. Rams were removed and in October all ewes were scanned (day 50) for pregnancy. No significant differences were found in the parameters investigated. Eighty-two percent of the L and 75.4% of the H ewes exhibited oestrus, with a pronounced peak on day 23 following ram introduction and a compact concentration in the 21-25-day period. The oestrous synchronisation rate in this 5-day period was 69.4 and 68.3%, respectively for L and H. The mean interval from ram introduction to oestrus was 23.17+/-2.4 days in L and 23.0+/-2.2 days in the H group. Conception rates were 84.3 and 87.4% for L and H groups, respectively. These results suggest that the response of anoestrous ewes to the introduction of rams was not affected by grazing space allowances and that yearling Mule ewes respond well to the ram effect in the late anoestrus season. (C) 2003 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.

Economists are not dismal, the world is not a Petri dish and other reasons for optimism

One of the recurrent themes in the debate around how to ensure global food security concerns the capacity of the planet to support its growing population. Neo-Malthusian thinking suggests that we are in a situation in which further expansion of the population cannot be supported and that the population checks, with their dismal consequences envisaged by Malthus, will lead to a new era of stagnant incomes and population. More sophisticated models of the link between population and income are less gloomy however. They see population growth as an integral component of the economic growth which is necessary to ensure that the poorest achieve food security. An undue focus on the difficulties of meeting the demands of the increasing population risks damaging this growth. Instead, attention should be focused on ensuring that the conditions to ensure that economic growth accompanies population growth are in place.

NGOs, elite capture and community-driven development: perspectives in rural Mozambique

This article examines the problems of elite capture in community driven development (CDD). Drawing on two case studies of non-governmental organisation (NGO) intervention in rural Mozambique, the authors consider two important variables – 1) the diverse and complex contributions of local elites to CDD in different locations, and 2) the roles that non-elites play in monitoring and controlling leader activities – to argue that donors should be cautious about automatically assuming the prevalence of malevolent patrimonialism and its ill-effects in their projects. This is because the ‘checks and balances’ on elite behaviour that exist within locally-defined and historically-rooted forms of community-based governance are likely to be more effective than those introduced by the external intervener.