7 resultados para Brote epidémico

em Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte(UFRN)


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The pair contact process - PCP is a nonequilibrium stochastic model which, like the basic contact process - CP, exhibits a phase transition to an absorbing state. While the absorbing state CP corresponds to a unique configuration (empty lattice), the PCP process infinitely many. Numerical and theoretical studies, nevertheless, indicate that the PCP belongs to the same universality class as the CP (direct percolation class), but with anomalies in the critical spreading dynamics. An infinite number of absorbing configurations arise in the PCP because all process (creation and annihilation) require a nearest-neighbor pair of particles. The diffusive pair contact process - PCPD) was proposed by Grassberger in 1982. But the interest in the problem follows its rediscovery by the Langevin description. On the basis of numerical results and renormalization group arguments, Carlon, Henkel and Schollwöck (2001), suggested that certain critical exponents in the PCPD had values similar to those of the party-conserving - PC class. On the other hand, Hinrichsen (2001), reported simulation results inconsistent with the PC class, and proposed that the PCPD belongs to a new universality class. The controversy regarding the universality of the PCPD remains unresolved. In the PCPD, a nearest-neighbor pair of particles is necessary for the process of creation and annihilation, but the particles to diffuse individually. In this work we study the PCPD with diffusion of pair, in which isolated particles cannot move; a nearest-neighbor pair diffuses as a unit. Using quasistationary simulation, we determined with good precision the critical point and critical exponents for three values of the diffusive probability: D=0.5 and D=0.1. For D=0.5: PC=0.89007(3), β/v=0.252(9), z=1.573(1), =1.10(2), m=1.1758(24). For D=0.1: PC=0.9172(1), β/v=0.252(9), z=1.579(11), =1.11(4), m=1.173(4)

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Toxoplasmosis, provoked by the intracellular parasite Toxoplasma gondii, is one of the most prevalent parasitoses in the world. In humans, transmission occurs by three evolutionary forms of the parasite: oocysts, tissue cysts and tachyzoites. Wild and domestic felines are definitive hosts. The ocular form of toxoplasmosis can be of congenital origin with early or late clinical manifestations, or acquired after birth. T. gondii is considered the main culprit for most cases of infectious uveitis. This study aimed at assessing ocular toxoplasmosis, relating it to factors associated to the patient s lifestyle and describing the epidemic-serological and clinical profile of affected individuals. A cross-sectional study was conducted with a population of 159 patients. Univariate analysis (odds ratio) was used to evaluate the data, with a confidence interval of 95% and p-value < 0.05. A prevalence of 4% of ocular toxoplasmosis was observed in the population of patients treated at an ophthalmological clinic. Of patients directly examined by immunoenzymatic assay (MEIA-AxSYM®- Microparticle Enzyme Immune Assay), considering only uveitis, a frequency of anti-T. gondii of 73%, most of whom exhibited titulation between 40-99 UI IgG/mL. With respect to location of ocular lesions, bilaterality was observed in 57% of patients assessed by the ophthalmoscopy technique. When compared with the results of an active search of medical records, a similarity in ocular toxoplasmosis (74%) and bilateral lesion location (55%) was observed. Type I lesion was the most frequent type observed, with intraocular disposition in the macula. An epidemiological survey revealed that direct contact with cats; consuming raw or poorly cooked meat and direct contact with the soil were significantly associated with greater likelihood of acquiring ocular toxoplasmosis. Sample characterization in relation to age range was significant for patients between 31 and 40 years [χ², chi-square test (p = 0.04)], but population traits such as schooling, sanitary district, and monthly income were not significant. Results confirm that ocular toxoplasmosis is widely distributed in the metropolitan area of Natal, Brazil, with significant prevalence of ocular lesions provoked by T.gondii. It is suggested that sanitary authorities exert greater control in order to minimize the risk of toxoplasmic infection, mainly in pregnant women.

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In this work we study a connection between a non-Gaussian statistics, the Kaniadakis statistics, and Complex Networks. We show that the degree distribution P(k)of a scale free-network, can be calculated using a maximization of information entropy in the context of non-gaussian statistics. As an example, a numerical analysis based on the preferential attachment growth model is discussed, as well as a numerical behavior of the Kaniadakis and Tsallis degree distribution is compared. We also analyze the diffusive epidemic process (DEP) on a regular lattice one-dimensional. The model is composed of A (healthy) and B (sick) species that independently diffusive on lattice with diffusion rates DA and DB for which the probabilistic dynamical rule A + B → 2B and B → A. This model belongs to the category of non-equilibrium systems with an absorbing state and a phase transition between active an inactive states. We investigate the critical behavior of the DEP using an auto-adaptive algorithm to find critical points: the method of automatic searching for critical points (MASCP). We compare our results with the literature and we find that the MASCP successfully finds the critical exponents 1/ѵ and 1/zѵ in all the cases DA =DB, DA DB. The simulations show that the DEP has the same critical exponents as are expected from field-theoretical arguments. Moreover, we find that, contrary to a renormalization group prediction, the system does not show a discontinuous phase transition in the regime o DA >DB.

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The diffusive epidemic process (PED) is a nonequilibrium stochastic model which, exhibits a phase trnasition to an absorbing state. In the model, healthy (A) and sick (B) individuals diffuse on a lattice with diffusion constants DA and DB, respectively. According to a Wilson renormalization calculation, the system presents a first-order phase transition, for the case DA > DB. Several researches performed simulation works for test this is conjecture, but it was not possible to observe this first-order phase transition. The explanation given was that we needed to perform simulation to higher dimensions. In this work had the motivation to investigate the critical behavior of a diffusive epidemic propagation with Lévy interaction(PEDL), in one-dimension. The Lévy distribution has the interaction of diffusion of all sizes taking the one-dimensional system for a higher-dimensional. We try to explain this is controversy that remains unresolved, for the case DA > DB. For this work, we use the Monte Carlo Method with resuscitation. This is method is to add a sick individual in the system when the order parameter (sick density) go to zero. We apply a finite size scalling for estimates the critical point and the exponent critical =, e z, for the case DA > DB

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The pair contact process - PCP is a nonequilibrium stochastic model which, like the basic contact process - CP, exhibits a phase transition to an absorbing state. While the absorbing state CP corresponds to a unique configuration (empty lattice), the PCP process infinitely many. Numerical and theoretical studies, nevertheless, indicate that the PCP belongs to the same universality class as the CP (direct percolation class), but with anomalies in the critical spreading dynamics. An infinite number of absorbing configurations arise in the PCP because all process (creation and annihilation) require a nearest-neighbor pair of particles. The diffusive pair contact process - PCPD) was proposed by Grassberger in 1982. But the interest in the problem follows its rediscovery by the Langevin description. On the basis of numerical results and renormalization group arguments, Carlon, Henkel and Schollwöck (2001), suggested that certain critical exponents in the PCPD had values similar to those of the party-conserving - PC class. On the other hand, Hinrichsen (2001), reported simulation results inconsistent with the PC class, and proposed that the PCPD belongs to a new universality class. The controversy regarding the universality of the PCPD remains unresolved. In the PCPD, a nearest-neighbor pair of particles is necessary for the process of creation and annihilation, but the particles to diffuse individually. In this work we study the PCPD with diffusion of pair, in which isolated particles cannot move; a nearest-neighbor pair diffuses as a unit. Using quasistationary simulation, we determined with good precision the critical point and critical exponents for three values of the diffusive probability: D=0.5 and D=0.1. For D=0.5: PC=0.89007(3), β/v=0.252(9), z=1.573(1), =1.10(2), m=1.1758(24). For D=0.1: PC=0.9172(1), β/v=0.252(9), z=1.579(11), =1.11(4), m=1.173(4)

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Staphylococcus aureus resistente à meticilina (MRSA) é um dos principais agentes de infecções associadas a serviços de saúde em todo o mundo. No Brasil, há a predominância de um clone de MRSA multirresistente denominando clone epidêmico brasileiro (CEB). Entretanto, novos clones nãomultirresistentes com alta virulência têm sido descritos em infecções comunitárias e hospitalares. O objetivo desse estudo foi realizar a caracterização fenotípica e genotípica de cepas de MRSA isoladas na cidade do Natal/RN. Inicialmente avaliamos 60 amostras de S. aureus quanto a resistência à meticilina através de diferentes técnicas fenotípicas, utilizando a detecção do gene mecA por PCR como padrão. O antibiograma de todas as cepas foi realizado utilizando 12 antimicrobianos conforme descrito pelo CLSI. As cepas de MRSA foram caracterizadas geneticamente através da tipagem do cassete cromossômico estafilocócico mec (SCCmec) e da eletroforese em campo elétrico alternado (PFGE). Dos 60 S. aureus estudados, 45 foram resistentes à meticilina. Observamos que para algumas cepas de MRSA os testes de triagem em ágar com 6μg/mL de oxacilina e difusão em meio sólido com oxacilina-1μg apresentaram dificuldades na sua interpretação. No entanto, todas as 45 amostras de MRSA, foram facilmente detectadas pelos testes com o disco de cefoxitina-30μg e pesquisa da PBP2a. A análise molecular das cepas de MRSA mostrou 8 padrões distintos de PFGE (A-H), com predominância do padrão A (73%), relacionado ao CEB. Estas carreavam o SCCmec tipo IIIA, e apresentaram uma considerável variedade de subtipos (A1-A16). Cinco cepas de MRSA portando SCCmec IV também foram xiv identificadas, três delas relacionadas geneticamente ao clone USA800 (Padrão B). Destas cinco, três (2 padrão F e 1 padrão B) foram altamente susceptíveis as drogas testadas, entretanto, dois outros isolados, padrão B, apresentaram multirresistência. As amostras restantes pertenciam a padrões de PFGE distintos dos clones internacionais predominantes em nosso continente. Para realização deste projeto de pesquisa, a metodologia exigiu a interação com pesquisadores de áreas como: infectologia, microbiologia e biologia molecular. Portanto, esta dissertação apresentou um caráter de multidisciplinaridade e transdiciplinaridade no seu desenvolvimento

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Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico