4 resultados para Ambiguous Situations
em Repositório digital da Fundação Getúlio Vargas - FGV
Resumo:
The importance of small and medium enterprises for the economy of a country is fundamental because they have several strategic social and economic roles. Besides contributing to the production of national wealth, they also counterbalance the vulnerabilities of large companies providing the necessary economic balance. Socially their contribution is directly related to the lessening of unemployment, functioning also as source of stability in the community, as a means of reducing inequalities in the distribution of income among regions and economic groups, and contributes, decisively, to limit migration to urbans area. The capacity to innovate is now a key component for the survival and development of small organizations. The future today is increasingly less predictable using past parameters and the business world is more turbulent. The objective of this is to point out the need to revise the models which serve as examples for their adoption of competitive alternatives of development and to offer theoretical-practical knowledge to make possible the implementation of the innovative culture in small enterprises. It emphasizes, moreover, that in the present context, flexibility and skills to work in ambiguous situations and to find creative solutions become central concerns of businessmen and managers.
Resumo:
The most widely used updating rule for non-additive probalities is the Dempster-Schafer rule. Schmeidles and Gilboa have developed a model of decision making under uncertainty based on non-additive probabilities, and in their paper “Updating Ambiguos Beliefs” they justify the Dempster-Schafer rule based on a maximum likelihood procedure. This note shows in the context of Schmeidler-Gilboa preferences under uncertainty, that the Dempster-Schafer rule is in general not ex-ante optimal. This contrasts with Brown’s result that Bayes’ rule is ex-ante optimal for standard Savage preferences with additive probabilities.
Resumo:
O objetivo deste trabalho foi a construção de um instrumento para medir o nível de ambiguidade expresso pelos indivíduos em situações simples do cotidiano. Definiu-se como nível de ambiguidade, a capacidade do indivíduo para criar ambiguidade diante de determinadas situações sociais. Este trabalho vem como consequência da tese de doutorado "Anomia e Desorganização: estudo psicológico em contexto brasileiro", elaborada em 1981 e cujos resultados, confrontados com a realidade cotidiana, fizeram ressaltar o modelo ambíguo característico de nossa sociedade, que se afigura sob a forma de variadas contradições nas atitudes dos indivíduos. A ambiguidade parece ser encontrada no sistema como resultante da interpretação que o indivíduo dá a padrões, leis, normas e valores ambíguos ou ainda como consequência da própria violação ou desinformação a respeito das regras, das constantes reformulações, da desconfiança, da adaptação social de um modo geral. O enfoque teórico se baseou fundamentalmente em teorias antropológicas e sociais que propõem a realidade como algo construído pelo indivíduo e onde apareceria o comportamento ambíguo como resultante da interrelação entre o indivíduo e o meio social no qual ele se desenvolve. Para a fundamentação da escala foram isolados dois fatores a saber: (1) a ambiguidade como fator social e (2) a ambiguidade como fator psicológico.
Resumo:
The general idea of this research is to analyze overall firm performance before and after the global financial crisis of 2008. The main question is: What kind of strategies did companies adopt that led to positive business performance after the crisis? Are there any particular competitive advantages that bring better performance in the case of an economic downturn? This research focuses on competitive advantage gained by resource-based view attributes of a product (quality, durability and prestige) and dynamic capabilities (strategic flexibility in product development and technological innovation ability). The economic crisis setting provides a proper background to analyze the competitive advantage strategies in a dynamic, low-probability environment to determine which are most worth adopting in the business world. I employ an OLS regression analysis in order to measure the business performance of 136 Brazilian firms across four years – 2002, 2005, 2008 and 2012. The findings indicate that even though all of the strategic resources and capabilities positively influence firm performance in expansionary periods, only the superior product characteristics are pertinent in surviving an economic downturn.